CNN Orc Poll 1-26-16

Interviews with 1,002 adult Americans conducted by telephone by ORC
International on January 21-24, 2016. The margin of sampling error for

results based on the total sample is plus or minus 3 percentage points.
The sample also includes 907 interviews among registered voters (plus or
minus 3.5 percentage points).
This sample includes 602 interviews among landline respondents and 400
interviews among cell phone respondents.
EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE:

Tuesday, January 26 at 6:00 a.m.
3.
How well do you feel the government in Washington represents the views of people like yourself?
Very well
Somewhat well
Not too well
Not at well
No opinion
POLL 3
3
Jan. 21-24
2016
Oct. 14-17
2015
July 22-25
2015
4%
16%
39%
40%
1%
3%
22%
35%
40%
*
5%
25%
30%
38%
*
-2-
January 21-24, 2016
BASED ON 893 REGISTERED VOTERS AND 14 INDIVIDUALS WHO PLAN TO REGISTER TO

VOTE, FOR A TOTAL OF 907 REGISTERED VOTERS -- (SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 3.5% PTS.)
4.
How important will each of the following issues be to your vote for President -- will it be extremely
important, very important, moderately important, or not that important? (RANDOM ORDER)
Registered Voters
Extremely
important
Very
important
Moderately
important
Not that
important
No
opinion
Terrorism
45%
36%
15%
4%
The economy
42%
46%
11%
1%
Health care
35%
41%
18%
6%
Government spending
35%
45%
15%
5%
Gun policy
32%
36%
19%
12%
Foreign policy
30%
42%
21%
6%
1%
The income gap

between rich and poor
30%
32%
21%
16%
Illegal immigration
27%
34%
24%
14%
1%
Climate change
18%
26%
22%
34%
POLL 3
3
-3-
January 21-24, 2016
BASED ON 253 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS REPUBLICANS AND

152 WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN REPUBLICAN, FOR A
TOTAL OF 405 REPUBLICANS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 5 PERCENTAGE PTS.
4.
Registered Republicans
Extremely
important
Very
important
Moderately
important
Not that
important
No
opinion
Terrorism
49%
40%
9%
1%
The economy
45%
45%
10%
Government spending
41%
47%
10%
2%
Foreign policy
34%
40%
21%
4%
Illegal immigration
32%
42%
20%
6%
Gun policy
31%
37%
19%
13%
1%
Health care
30%
39%
23%
8%
The income gap

18%
24%
27%
30%
1%
Climate change
3%
18%
19%
59%
POLL 3
3
-4-
January 21-24, 2016
BASED ON 304 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS DEMOCRATS AND

136 WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN DEMOCRATIC, FOR A
TOTAL OF 440 DEMOCRATS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 4.5 PERCENTAGE PTS.
Registered Democrats
4.
Extremely
important
Very
important
Moderately
important
Not that
important
No
opinion
The income gap

42%
41%
14%
2%
Health care
40%
43%
16%
1%
The economy
38%
48%
13%
1%
Terrorism
38%
35%
21%
5%
Climate change
33%
34%
22%
11%
Gun policy
33%
37%
19%
11%
Government spending
28%
44%
20%
8%
Foreign policy
27%
44%
23%
5%
1%
Illegal immigration
22%
28%
29%
21%
POLL 3
3
-5-
January 21-24, 2016

4.
Extremely
Very
Moderately
Not that
No
important
important
important
important opinion
The economy
Jan. 21-24, 2016 (RV)
42%
46%
11%
1%
*
Nov. 27 - Dec. 1, 2015 (RV)
43%
45%
11%
1%
*
Sept. 4-8, 2015 (RV)
52%
36%
10%
2%
*
June 26-28, 2015
47%
41%
11%
2%
*
June 26-28, 2015 (RV)
48%
41%
10%
1%
*
Feb. 12-15, 2015
41%
47%
11%
1%
*
Feb. 12-15, 2015 (RV)
42%
45%
12%
1%
*
Nov. 2-4, 2012 (RV)
58%
35%
6%
1%
*
June 28-July 1, 2012
51%
41%
6%
2%
*
October 14-16, 2011
54%
39%
6%
1%
*
June 3-7, 2011
51%
41%
6%
2%
*
October 17-19, 2008
61%
33%
5%
2%
*
June 26-29, 2008
58%
35%
6%
1%
*
Jan. 14-17, 2008
45%
41%
12%
2%
*
Nov. 2-4, 2007
34%
48%
16%
2%
*
May 4-6, 2007
33%
46%
16%
4%
*
Illegal immigration
Jan. 21-24, 2016 (RV)
Nov. 27 - Dec. 1, 2015 (RV)
Sept. 4-8, 2015 (RV)
June 26-28, 2015
June 26-28, 2015 (RV)
Feb. 12-15, 2015
Feb. 12-15, 2015 (RV)
June 28 July 1, 2012
October 14-16, 2011
June 3-7, 2011
October 17-19, 2008
June 26-29, 2008
Jan. 14-17, 2008
Nov. 2-4, 2007
May 4-6, 2007
27%
33%
39%
30%
30%
29%
30%
28%
24%
29%
29%
34%
31%
23%
31%
34%
34%
29%
32%
33%
35%
35%
31%
28%
33%
31%
33%
34%
38%
32%
24%
21%
21%
26%
26%
26%
26%
26%
27%
26%
28%
24%
23%
26%
26%
14%
11%
11%
12%
11%
10%
9%
14%
19%
12%
12%
9%
11%
13%
10%
1%
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
1%
*
*
1%
(RV) = Registered voter
POLL 3
3
-6-
January 21-24, 2016

4.
Extremely
Very
Moderately
Not that
No
important
important
important
important opinion
Foreign policy
Jan. 21-24, 2016 (RV)
30%
42%
21%
6%
1%
Nov. 27 - Dec. 1, 2015 (RV)
37%
39%
20%
4%
*
Sept. 4-8, 2015 (RV)
35%
35%
24%
6%
*
June 26-28, 2015
32%
39%
22%
7%
1%
June 26-28, 2015 (RV)
33%
40%
22%
5%
1%
Feb. 12-15, 2015
28%
39%
25%
7%
*
Feb. 12-15, 2015 (RV)
29%
39%
25%
6%
*
Nov. 2-4, 2012 (RV)
41%
31%
21%
6%
1%
24%
39%
26%
11%
*
October 14-16, 2011
23%
33%
32%
11%
1%
Terrorism
Jan. 21-24, 2016 (RV)
Nov. 27 - Dec. 1, 2015 (RV)
Sept. 4-8, 2015* (RV)
June 26-28, 2015
June 26-28, 2015 (RV)
Feb. 12-15, 2015
Feb. 12-15, 2015 (RV)
June 28 July 1, 2012
October 14-16, 2011
June 3-7, 2011
October 17-19, 2008
June 26-29, 2008
Jan. 14-17, 2008
Nov. 2-4, 2007
May 4-6, 2007
45%
50%
49%
48%
49%
42%
44%
41%
36%
42%
50%
45%
42%
32%
45%
36%
35%
31%
33%
32%
38%
37%
30%
36%
33%
33%
32%
34%
44%
35%
15%
10%
13%
14%
14%
14%
15%
18%
19%
16%
14%
18%
19%
18%
14%
4%
5%
7%
5%
5%
6%
4%
10%
9%
8%
3%
4%
5%
6%
6%
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
1%
*
*
*
*
*

*Asked of a half sample.
POLL 3
3
-7-
January 21-24, 2016

4.
Extremely
Very
Moderately
Not that
No
important
important
important
important opinion
Health care
Jan. 21-24, 2016 (RV)
35%
41%
18%
6%
*
Nov. 27 - Dec. 1, 2015 (RV)
40%
38%
18%
4%
*
Sept. 4-8, 2015 (RV)
47%
36%
13%
3%
*
June 26-28, 2015
44%
39%
13%
4%
*
June 26-28, 2015 (RV)
44%
39%
13%
4%
*
Feb. 12-15, 2015
39%
40%
16%
5%
*
Feb. 12-15, 2015 (RV)
41%
39%
17%
4%
*
Nov. 2-4, 2012 (RV)
49%
33%
14%
3%
*
47%
40%
10%
3%
*
October 14-16, 2011
42%
38%
16%
3%
*
June 3-7, 2011
45%
41%
10%
3%
*
October 17-19, 2008
44%
38%
13%
4%
*
June 26-29, 2008
47%
36%
14%
3%
*
Jan. 14-17, 2008
41%
36%
19%
4%
*
Nov. 2-4, 2007
35%
41%
19%
5%
*
May 4-6, 2007
43%
35%
18%
4%
*
Climate Change
Jan. 21-24, 2016 (RV)
Nov. 27 -Dec. 1, 2015 (RV)
18%
20%
26%
26%
22%
27%
34%
26%
*
1%
FOR COMPARISON:
Global warming
Sept. 4-8, 2015* (RV)
Feb. 12-15, 2015
Feb. 12-15, 2015 (RV)
Nov. 2-4, 2007
Extremely
important
Very
important
Moderately
important
Not that
important
No
opinion
23%
22%
23%
19%
24%
23%
21%
29%
30%
26%
26%
27%
23%
29%
30%
25%
*
*
*
*

*Asked of half sample
QUESTION WORDING: How important will each of the following issues be to your vote for President next year -will it be extremely important, very important, moderately important, or not that important?
POLL 3
3
-8-
January 21-24, 2016

4.
Extremely
important
Very
important
Moderately
important
Not that
important
No
opinion
32%
42%
22%
21%
26%
20%
26%
36%
26%
28%
27%
27%
26%
26%
19%
24%
28%
30%
28%
29%
29%
12%
8%
22%
20%
19%
26%
17%
*
*
1%
1%
*
*
2%
The income gap between rich and

poor
Jan. 21-24, 2016 (RV)
Sept. 4-8, 2015* (RV)
Feb. 12-15, 2015
Feb. 12-15, 2015 (RV)
30%
33%
29%
30%
32%
28%
32%
30%
21%
24%
24%
25%
16%
15%
15%
15%
*
*
*
*
Government spending
Jan. 21-24, 2016 (RV)
35%
45%
15%
5%
Gun policy
Jan. 21-24, 2016(RV)
Sept. 4-8, 2015* (RV)
June 28 July 1, 2012*
June 3-7, 2011
June 26-29, 2008
Nov. 2-4, 2007
May 4-6, 2007
POLL 3
3
-9-
January 21-24, 2016

VOTE, FOR A TOTAL OF 907 REGISTERED VOTERS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 3.5% PTS.
5.
How enthusiastic would you say you are about voting for president in this years election-- extremely
enthusiastic, very enthusiastic, somewhat enthusiastic, not too enthusiastic, or not at all enthusiastic?
Extremely
enthusiastic
Very
Somewhat
Not too
Not at all
No
enthusiastic enthusiastic enthusiastic enthusiastic opinion
Registered Voters
Jan. 21-24, 2016
32%
24%
21%
13%
9%
Sept. 17-19, 2015

Sept. 4-8, 2015
August 13-16, 2015
July 22-25, 2015
Nov. 2-4, 2012
Sept. 28-30, 2012
Sept. 7-9, 2012
Aug. 31-Sept. 3, 2012
Aug. 22-23, 2012
Mar. 24-25, 2012
Feb. 10-13, 2012
Jan. 11-12, 2012
Oct. 14-16, 2011
June 3-7, 2011
March 11-13, 2011
Oct. 5-7, 2010*
Sept. 21-23, 2010*
Oct. 30 - Nov. 1, 2008
Oct. 17-19, 2008
Sept. 5-7, 2008
June 23-24, 2007
Oct. 14-16 2004
Sept. 3-5 2004
Oct. 24-26 2003
31%
30%
29%
22%
38%
37%
30%
32%
31%
28%
24%
22%
24%
28%
29%
28%
20%
23%
37%
34%
30%
26%
36%
32%
19%
24%
24%
27%
26%
30%
25%
27%
25%
27%
25%
23%
26%
27%
23%
25%
30%
22%
17%
32%
24%
30%
28%
34%
32%
34%
24%
25%
23%
27%
17%
20%
22%
20%
23%
25%
29%
26%
27%
28%
25%
24%
30%
31%
16%
23%
23%
27%
17%
23%
31%
10%
10%
10%
13%
9%
9%
15%
11%
10%
13%
11%
13%
10%
9%
10%
11%
16%
17%
7%
11%
11%
13%
8%
9%
11%
10%
12%
10%
11%
5%
9%
6%
11%
9%
9%
12%
13%
12%
12%
10%
7%
12%
12%
8%
8%
6%
6%
4%
4%
4%
1%
*
*
*
1%
*
*
*
1%
*
*
*
*
*
1%
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
1%
*
1%
POLL 3
3
-10-
January 21-24, 2016
BASED ON 304 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS DEMOCRATS AND

136 WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN DEMOCRATIC, FOR A
TOTAL OF 440 DEMOCRATS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 4.5 PERCENTAGE PTS.
5.
Extremely
enthusiastic
Very
Somewhat
Not too
Not at all
No
Registered Democrats
Jan. 21-24, 2016
28%
24%
26%
14%
8%
Sept. 17-19, 2015

Sept. 4-8, 2015
August 13-16, 2015
July 22-25, 2015
Nov. 2-4, 2012
Sept. 28-30, 2012
Sept. 7-9, 2012
Aug. 31-Sept. 3, 2012
Aug. 22-23, 2012
Mar. 24-25, 2012
Feb. 10-13, 2012
Jan. 11-12, 2012
Oct. 14-16, 2011
June 3-7, 2011
March 11-13, 2011
Oct. 5-7, 2010*
Sept. 21-23, 2010*
Oct. 30 - Nov. 1, 2008
Oct. 17-19, 2008
Sept. 5-7, 2008
June 23-24, 2007
Oct. 14-16 2004
Sept. 3-5 2004
Oct. 24-26 2003
30%
28%
33%
18%
37%
39%
30%
32%
29%
27%
25%
20%
21%
21%
26%
26%
13%
16%
45%
45%
36%
28%
38%
31%
19%
21%
24%
22%
28%
33%
25%
29%
24%
29%
32%
21%
29%
28%
22%
29%
30%
21%
14%
34%
23%
30%
32%
27%
26%
29%
26%
26%
23%
28%
17%
21%
23%
23%
24%
26%
33%
27%
31%
34%
29%
27%
35%
36%
13%
20%
21%
27%
19%
23%
31%
13%
9%
11%
15%
6%
8%
13%
9%
11%
9%
10%
11%
10%
10%
9%
12%
18%
19%
4%
7%
6%
9%
8%
10%
16%
10%
13%
11%
11%
5%
7%
6%
12%
6%
6%
10%
12%
9%
12%
6%
5%
12%
15%
3%
5%
6%
4%
7%
10%
5%
*
*
*
1%
1%
*
*
*
1%
*
*
*
1%
*
2%
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
1%
*
*
POLL 3
3
-11-
January 21-24, 2016

5.
Extremely
enthusiastic
Very
Somewhat
Not too
Not at all
No
Jan. 21-24, 2016
39%
27%
16%
11%
7%
Sept. 17-19, 2015

Sept. 4-8, 2015
August 13-16, 2015
July 22-25, 2015
Nov. 2-4, 2012
Sept. 28-30, 2012
Sept. 7-9, 2012
Aug. 31-Sept. 3, 2012
Aug. 22-23, 2012
Mar. 24-25, 2012
Feb. 10-13, 2012
Jan. 11-12, 2012
Oct. 14-16, 2011
June 3-7, 2011
March 11-13, 2011
Oct. 5-7, 2010*
Sept. 21-23, 2010*
Oct. 30 - Nov. 1, 2008
Oct. 17-19, 2008
Sept. 5-7, 2008
June 23-24, 2007
Oct. 14-16 2004
Sept. 3-5 2004
Oct. 24-26 2003
35%
34%
28%
28%
42%
38%
32%
35%
35%
31%
25%
26%
26%
38%
38%
33%
29%
31%
28%
24%
26%
27%
35%
31%
19%
30%
25%
33%
27%
28%
27%
25%
27%
26%
20%
27%
25%
28%
26%
23%
31%
25%
22%
32%
26%
28%
25%
42%
39%
39%
22%
24%
23%
27%
17%
17%
19%
17%
22%
24%
25%
25%
25%
20%
18%
19%
25%
27%
19%
27%
26%
27%
15%
21%
32%
6%
9%
9%
9%
9%
11%
17%
12%
8%
15%
13%
15%
12%
7%
10%
10%
13%
13%
9%
12%
15%
16%
6%
6%
7%
5%
7%
7%
10%
4%
7%
7%
8%
10%
9%
11%
10%
9%
9%
10%
6%
8%
7%
12%
10%
4%
6%
2%
3%
2%
1%
*
*
*
1%
*
*
1%
*
1%
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
1%
POLL 3
3
-12-
January 21-24, 2016

6.
I'm going to read a list of people who are running in the Republican primaries for president this year.
After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to
support for the Republican nomination for president, or if you would support someone else. Jeb Bush,
Ben Carson, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Carly Fiorina, Jim Gilmore, Mike Huckabee, John Kasich,
Rand Paul, Marco Rubio, Rick Santorum, or Donald Trump. (RANDOM ORDER)
Trump
Cruz
Rubio
Carson
Bush
Christie
Huckabee
Paul
Fiorina
Kasich
Santorum
Gilmore
Graham
Jindal
Pataki
Perry
Walker
Someone else (vol.)
None/No one (vol.)
No opinion
Jan.
21-24
2016
Dec.
17-21
2015
Nov. 27Dec. 1
2015
Oct.
14-17
2015
Sept
17-19
2015
Sept.
4-8
2015
41%
19%
8%
6%
5%
4%
3%
3%
2%
1%
*
*
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
3%
1%
4%
39%
18%
10%
10%
3%
5%
2%
4%
1%
2%
*
*
1%
NA
*
NA
NA
3%
1%
1%
36%
16%
12%
14%
3%
4%
2%
1%
3%
2%
*
*
*
NA
*
NA
NA
1%
4%
2%
27%
4%
8%
22%
8%
4%
5%
5%
4%
3%
2%
*
1%
*
*
NA
NA
1%
2%
4%
24%
6%
11%
14%
9%
3%
6%
4%
15%
2%
1%
*
*
*
*
NA
*
*
1%
3%
32%
7%
3%
19%
9%
2%
5%
3%
3%
2%
1%
*
1%
1%
*
*
5%
3%
2%
2%
(QUESTION 6 CONTINUED ON THE NEXT PAGE)
POLL 3
3
-13-
January 21-24, 2016

6.
I'm going to read a list of people who are running in the Republican primaries for president this year.
After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to
support for the Republican nomination for president, or if you would support someone else. Jeb Bush,
Ben Carson, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Carly Fiorina, Jim Gilmore, Mike Huckabee, John Kasich,
Rand Paul, Marco Rubio, Rick Santorum, or Donald Trump. (RANDOM ORDER)
Trump
Cruz
Rubio
Carson
Bush
Christie
Huckabee
Paul
Fiorina
Kasich
Santorum
Gilmore
Graham
Jindal
Pataki
Perry
Walker
Someone else (vol.)
None/No one (vol.)
No opinion
7.
Aug.
13-16
2015
July
22-25
2015
June
26-28
2015
24%
5%
8%
9%
13%
3%
4%
6%
5%
5%
1%
*
*
*
*
2%
8%
4%
3%
1%
18%
7%
6%
4%
15%
4%
5%
6%
1%
4%
2%
*
1%
2%
1%
3%
10%
4%
4%
3%
12%
3%
7%
8%
17%
3%
5%
8%
1%
3%
4%
NA
1%
2%
*
4%
6%
5%
6%
3%
Would you say you will definitely will support that candidate, or is it possible you would change
your mind?
Jan. 21-24
2016
Definitely support
Might change mind
No opinion
POLL 3
3
53%
46%
*
-14-
January 21-24, 2016

8.
Next I'm going to read the names of some of those candidates and ask how you would feel if each of
them won the Republican presidential nomination. As I read each name, please tell me whether you
would feel enthusiastic, satisfied but not enthusiastic, dissatisfied but not upset, or upset if that person
were the Republican nominee? (RANDOM ORDER)
Enthusiastic
Satisfied but
not enthusiastic
Donald Trump
January 21-24, 2016
September 4-8, 2015
40%
40%
28%
27%
12%
13%
19%
19%
1%
*
Ted Cruz
January 21-24, 2016
September 4-8, 2015
25%
21%
43%
42%
22%
22%
9%
10%
1%
6%
Marco Rubio
January 21-24, 2016
September 4-8, 2015
18%
21%
44%
48%
26%
21%
11%
7%
1%
3%
POLL 3
3
-15-
Dissatisfied but
not upset
Upset
No
opinion
January 21-24, 2016

9.
Regardless of who you are voting for, which Republican candidate do you think can best handle:
The economy
Trump
Cruz
Rubio
Bush
Paul
Fiorina
Carson
Christie
Kasich
Huckabee
Santorum
Gilmore
Graham
Jindal
Pataki
Perry
Walker
Someone else (vol.)
None/No one
No opinion
Jan. 21-24
2016
Dec. 17-21
2015
Nov. 27-Dec. 1
2015
Sept. 17-19
2015
Aug. 13-16
2015
June 26-28
2015
60%
12%
5%
4%
4%
3%
2%
2%
2%
1%
*
*
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
1%
2%
1%
57%
8%
7%
5%
2%
2%
6%
2%
4%
1%
*
*
1%
NA
*
NA
NA
1%
1%
2%
55%
9%
7%
3%
3%
5%
7%
3%
2%
*
*
*
*
NA
*
NA
NA
1%
3%
2%
44%
3%
10%
8%
2%
11%
5%
3%
2%
2%
1%
*
*
*
*
NA
2%
*
2%
2%
45%
5%
3%
9%
2%
6%
5%
2%
5%
2%
*
*
1%
*
*
1%
6%
2%
1%
3%
20%
2%
6%
16%
7%
2%
3%
3%
2%
4%
4%
NA
*
1%
1%
4%
8%
2%
6%
9%
Jan. 21-24
2016
Dec. 17-21
2015
Nov. 27-Dec. 1
2015
Sept. 17-19
2015
Aug. 13-16
2015
June 26-28
2015
55%
16%
11%
6%
2%
2%
1%
1%
1%
*
*
*
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
2%
2%
1%
55%
15%
10%
3%
4%
2%
2%
1%
*
1%
1%
*
*
NA
*
NA
NA
2%
2%
2%
48%
11%
14%
4%
9%
*
4%
1%
1%
*
*
*
*
NA
*
NA
NA
1%
1%
4%
47%
5%
15%
9%
6%
2%
1%
4%
2%
1%
*
*
*
*
*
NA
1%
1%
3%
5%
44%
7%
7%
13%
4%
2%
3%
3%
2%
1%
1%
*
*
*
*
4%
2%
2%
2%
2%
14%
6%
9%
18%
3%
6%
3%
1%
5%
1%
1%
NA
1%
1%
*
8%
3%
2%
6%
9%
Illegal immigration
Trump
Cruz
Rubio
Bush
Carson
Paul
Christie
Fiorina
Huckabee
Kasich
Santorum
Gilmore
Graham
Jindal
Pataki
Perry
Walker
Someone else (vol.)
None/No one
No opinion
POLL 3
3
-16-
January 21-24, 2016

9.
Foreign policy
Trump
Cruz
Rubio
Bush
Carson
Paul
Christie
Fiorina
Huckabee
Kasich
Santorum
Gilmore
Graham
Jindal
Pataki
Walker
Someone else (vol.)
None/No one
No opinion
Jan. 21-24
2016
Nov. 27-Dec. 1
2015
Sept. 17-19
2015
35%
22%
13%
9%
4%
3%
2%
2%
2%
2%
*
*
NA
NA
NA
NA
2%
2%
2%
30%
17%
14%
7%
8%
3%
5%
3%
2%
1%
*
*
2%
NA
*
NA
1%
3%
4%
22%
7%
17%
11%
7%
5%
3%
8%
4%
1%
1%
*
2%
*
*
*
2%
3%
7%
Social issues, such as abortion and same-sex marriage
Trump
Cruz
Carson
Rubio
Bush
Huckabee
Fiorina
Christie
Kasich
Paul
Santorum
Gilmore
Graham
Jindal
Pataki
Perry
Walker
Someone else (vol.)
None/No one
No opinion
POLL 3
3
Jan. 21-24
2016
Sept. 17-19
2015
Aug. 13-16
2015
June 26-28
2015
28%
24%
11%
7%
4%
4%
3%
2%
2%
2%
1%
*
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
2%
3%
6%
15%
7%
17%
7%
6%
9%
14%
4%
2%
3%
*
*
1%
*
*
NA
*
2%
5%
6%
19%
5%
12%
7%
15%
7%
6%
3%
4%
4%
2%
*
1%
*
*
1%
4%
3%
4%
3%
7%
5%
8%
6%
13%
9%
2%
5%
1%
7%
4%
NA
2%
2%
*
4%
5%
2%
8%
12%
-17-
January 21-24, 2016

10.
Now Im going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me
which Republican candidate you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting
for. Which Republican candidate do you think: (RANDOM ORDER)
Jan. 21-24 Nov. 27-Dec. 1
2016
2015
Has the best chance of winning in

the general election in November
Trump
Cruz
Rubio
Bush
Carson
Christie
Fiorina
Kasich
Huckabee
Paul
Santorum
Gilmore
Graham
Pataki
Someone else (vol.)
None/No one
No opinion
63%
16%
10%
3%
1%
1%
1%
1%
*
*
*
*
NA
NA
1%
*
3%
52%
11%
15%
3%
10%
1%
1%
*
*
1%
*
*
*
*
1%
2%
2%
Best represents the values of Republicans

like yourself
Trump
Cruz
Carson
Rubio
Bush
Paul
Huckabee
Christie
Fiorina
Kasich
Santorum
Gilmore
Someone else (vol.)
None/No one
No opinion
POLL 3
3
34%
25%
9%
9%
6%
4%
3%
2%
1%
1%
1%
*
1%
2%
2%
-18-
January 21-24, 2016

16.
Just your best guess... Regardless of who you support, which Republican candidate do you think is
most likely to win the Republican nomination for president next year? (RANDOM ORDER)
Jan. 21-24
2016
Trump
56%
Cruz
17%
Rubio
8%
Bush
5%
Kasich
3%
Carson
2%
Christie
1%
Fiorina
1%
Paul
1%
Santorum
1%
Gilmore
*
Huckabee
*
Graham
NA
Jindal
NA
Pataki
NA
Perry
NA
Walker
NA
Someone else (vol.) 1%
No opinion
4%
Sept. 4-8 July 22-25

2015
2015
41%
3%
4%
22%
2%
9%
2%
1%
2%
1%
*
1%
1%
*
*
1%
1%
3%
8%
18%
4%
6%
39%
1%
2%
3%
*
3%
1%
*
2%
1%
*
*
1%
11%
2%
6%
FOR COMPARISON
QUESTION WORDING: Just your best guess... Regardless of who you support, which Republican candidate do you think is most
likely to win the Republican nomination for president this year?
Romney
Santorum
Gingrich
Paul
Someone else (vol.)
Bachmann
Cain
Huntsman
Perry
None/ No one (vol.)
No opinion
Feb. 10-13
2012
Dec. 16-18
2011
Oct. 14-16
2011
Sept. 9-11
2011
68%
13%
11%
5%
*
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1%
2%
41%
2%
37%
4%
*
6%
N/A
*
4%
2%
3%
51%
1%
3%
3%
*
3%
18%
*
14%
N/A
8%
28%
1%
6%
4%
*
3%
5%
1%
41%
3%
2%
DATA SHOWN PRIOR TO SEPTEMBER 2015 IS FOR ALL ADULTS NOT REGISTERED VOTERS
POLL 3
3
-19-
January 21-24, 2016

(QUESTIONS 17 THROUGH 19 ROTATED)
17a.
17b.
If Hillary Clinton were the Democratic Party's candidate and Donald Trump were the Republican
Party's candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for --? (RANDOM ORDER)
(IF NEITHER OR DONT KNOW) As of today, do you lean more toward --?
Jan. 21-24, 2016

Dec. 17-21, 2015
Nov. 27-Dec. 1, 2015
Oct. 14-17, 2015
Clinton
Trump
Other
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
No
opinion
48%
49%
49%
50%
47%
47%
46%
45%
1%
1%
1%
2%
4%
3%
3%
4%
*
*
*
*
FOR COMPARISON
For the next few questions, let's assume that former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton will be the Democratic presidential
nominee in 2016. I'm going to read the names of a few Republicans who may run for their party's nomination. After I
read each one, please tell me if you would be more likely to vote for that Republican candidate or if you would be more
likely to vote for Hillary Clinton. (RANDOM ORDER)
Businessman Donald Trump
Registered Voters
Sept. 4-8, 2015
Aug. 13-16, 2015
July 22-25, 2015
June 26-28, 2015
POLL 3
3
Clinton
Trump
Other
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
No
opinion
48%
51%
56%
59%
48%
45%
40%
35%
*
*
*
*
3%
4%
4%
6%
*
*
*
*
-20-
January 21-24, 2016

18a.
18b.
If Hillary Clinton were the Democratic Party's candidate and Marco Rubio were the Republican
Jan. 21-24, 2016

Dec. 17-21, 2015
Nov. 27-Dec. 1, 2015
Clinton
Rubio
Other
(vol.)
47%
46%
48%
50%
49%
49%
1%
2%
1%
Neither
(vol.)
No
opinion
2%
3%
2%
1%
*
*
FOR COMPARISON
Florida Senator Marco Rubio
Clinton
Rubio
Other
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
No
opinion
Registered Voters
June 26-28, 2015
56%
40%
3%
All Adults
May 29-31, 2015
Apr. 16-19, 2015
Mar. 13-15, 2015
Dec. 16-19, 2013
49%
55%
55%
57%
46%
41%
42%
36%
*
*
*
1%
4%
3%
3%
4%
1%
1%
*
2%
19a.
19b.
If Hillary Clinton were the Democratic Party's candidate and Ted Cruz were the Republican Party's
candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for --? (RANDOM ORDER)
Jan. 21-24, 2016

Dec. 17-21, 2015
Nov. 27 - Dec. 1, 2015
Clinton
Cruz
Other
(vol.)
47%
46%
50%
50%
48%
47%
1%
1%
1%
Neither
(vol.)
No
opinion
2%
4%
2%
*
*
*
FOR COMPARISON
Texas Senator Ted Cruz
All Adults
May 29-31, 2015
Apr. 16-19, 2015
Dec. 18-21, 2014
POLL 3
3
Clinton
Cruz
Other
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
No
opinion
52%
60%
60%
43%
36%
35%
*
*
1%
4%
3%
3%
1%
1%
1%
-21-
January 21-24, 2016

(QUESTIONS 20 THROUGH 22 ROTATED)
20a.
20b.
If Bernie Sanders were the Democratic Party's candidate and Donald Trump were the Republican
Jan. 21-24, 2016

Oct. 14-17, 2015
Sanders
Trump
Other
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
No
opinion
50%
53%
47%
44%
*
*
3%
3%
*
*
FOR COMPARISON
And now, lets assume Senator Bernie Sanders of Vermont will be the Democratic presidential nominee in 2016. After I
likely to vote for Bernie Sanders. (RANDOM ORDER)
Businessman Donald Trump
Registered Voters
July 22-25, 2015
21a.
21b.
22b.
Other
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
No
opinion
59%
38%
3%
Sanders
Rubio
Other
(vol.)
49%
48%
Neither
(vol.)
No
opinion
2%
1%
If Bernie Sanders were the Democratic Party's candidate and Ted Cruz were the Republican Party's
candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for --? (RANDOM ORDER)
Jan. 21-24, 2016
POLL 3
3
Trump
If Bernie Sanders were the Democratic Party's candidate and Marco Rubio were the Republican
Jan. 21-24, 2016

22a.
Sanders
Sanders
Cruz
Other
(vol.)
50%
47%
-22-
Neither
(vol.)
No
opinion
3%
January 21-24, 2016
23.
We'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if
you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of these people -- or if you have never heard of them.
(RANDOM ORDER)
All Americans
Favorable
Unfavorable
Never
heard of
No
opinion
Bernie Sanders
50%
33%
8%
9%
Hillary Clinton
45%
52%
3%
Ted Cruz
45%
37%
9%
8%
Marco Rubio
44%
33%
12%
11%
Ben Carson
43%
34%
14%
10%
Donald Trump
40%
55%
1%
3%
Chris Christie
36%
40%
15%
9%
Jeb Bush
35%
51%
6%
8%
John Kasich
24%
26%
36%
15%
The Democratic Party
45%
46%
1%
8%
The Republican Party
40%
50%
1%
9%
POLL 3
3
-23-
January 21-24, 2016

23.
Wed like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if
(RANDOM ORDER)
Favorable
Unfavorable
Never
heard of
No
opinion
Ted Cruz
77%
20%
2%
1%
Ben Carson
71%
19%
6%
4%
Marco Rubio
69%
19%
5%
6%
Donald Trump
69%
26%
4%
Chris Christie
57%
30%
8%
6%
Jeb Bush
48%
46%
2%
4%
John Kasich
34%
28%
25%
14%
73%
24%
3%
POLL 3
3
-24-
January 21-24, 2016
23.
(RANDOM ORDER)
Jeb Bush
January 21-24, 2016
December 17-21, 2015
September 17-19, 2015
August 13-16, 2015
July 22-25, 2015
March 13-15, 2015
May 14-17, 2009
Favorable
Unfavorable
Never
heard of
No
opinion
35%
51%
6%
8%
34%
34%
34%
33%
31%
33%
57%
46%
56%
43%
47%
40%
4%
7%
6%
11%
14%
8%
5%
13%
4%
12%
9%
19%
CNN/USA TODAY/GALLUP TREND
2005 Apr 1-2
Favorable
Unfavorable
Never heard of
No opinion
44
38
13
QUESTION WORDING MAY, 2009: "Former Florida Governor Jeb Bush"; APRIL, 2005: "Florida Governor Jeb Bush"
Ben Carson
January 21-24, 2016
July 22-25, 2015
March 13-15, 2015
Chris Christie
January 21-24, 2016
March 13-15, 2015
August 7-8, 2012
43%
34%
14%
10%
43%
40%
20%
22%
40%
20%
19%
14%
10%
28%
48%
56%
8%
12%
14%
8%
36%
40%
15%
9%
37%
32%
25%
37%
46%
39%
44%
21%
10%
21%
24%
27%
7%
8%
6%
15%
QUESTION WORDING PRIOR TO 2015: "New Jersey Governor Chris Christie"
POLL 3
3
-25-
January 21-24, 2016
23.
(RANDOM ORDER)
Favorable
Unfavorable
Never
heard of
No
opinion
January 21-24, 2016
45%
52%
3%

October 14-17, 2015
August 13-16, 2015
July 22-25, 2015
May 29-31, 2015
March 13-15, 2015
November 21-23, 2014
May 29-June 1, 2014
March 7-9, 2014
October 18-20, 2013
May 17-18, 2013
March 15-17, 2013
May 29-31, 2012
March 11-13, 2011
January 14-16, 2011
October 27-30, 2010
April 9-11, 2010
January 22-24, 2010
October 16-18, 2009
July 31-Aug. 3, 2009
April 23-26, 2009
December 1-2, 2008
August 29-31, 2008
August 23-24, 2008
July 27-29, 2008
June 26-29, 2008
April 28-30, 2008
February 1-3, 2008
January 9-10, 2008
September 7-9, 2007
June 23-24, 2007
March 9-11, 2007
November 3-5, 2006
47%
46%
44%
45%
46%
53%
59%
55%
57%
59%
61%
63%
67%
67%
69%
65%
66%
62%
61%
62%
64%
65%
61%
64%
66%
58%
56%
56%
53%
51%
52%
53%
53%
51%
49%
51%
50%
51%
50%
53%
48%
50%
44%
38%
42%
41%
37%
36%
33%
28%
29%
26%
31%
31%
34%
35%
35%
30%
32%
35%
34%
33%
40%
40%
42%
44%
46%
44%
39%
39%
44%
44%
40%
45%
1%
1%
*
1%
*
1%
1%
*
*
*
1%
1%
1%
*
*
*
*
*
*
1%
1%
*
*
1%
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
1%
1%
*
2%
3%
2%
1%
3%
2%
6%
3%
2%
2%
3%
2%
3%
2%
3%
4%
4%
4%
4%
3%
3%
5%
2%
5%
3%
4%
2%
1%
1%
4%
2%
3%
3%
*
7%
7%
4%
5%
7%
4%
Hillary Clinton
CNN/USA TODAY/GALLUP TRENDS ON NEXT PAGE
POLL 3
3
-26-
January 21-24, 2016
CNN/USA TODAY/GALLUP TRENDS

Fav.
2006
2006 Apr 21-23
2005
2005 Oct 21-23
2005 Jul 25-28
2005 May 20-22
2005 Feb 25-27
2004
2004 Jul 19-21*
2003
2003 Oct 24-26
2003 Sep 19-21
2003 Jun 27-29*
2003 Jun 9-10
2003 Mar 14-15
2002
2002 Dec 16-17
2002 Sep 23-26
2001
2001 Aug 3-5
2001 Mar 5-7
2001 Feb 19-21
2001 Feb 1-4
2000
2000 Nov 13-15
2000 Oct 25-28
2000 Aug 4-5
2000 Feb 4-6
1999
1999 Dec 9-12
1999 Sep 23-26
1999 Aug 3-4
1999 Jul 22-24
1999 Jun 25-27
1999 Mar 5-7
1999 Feb 19-21
1999 Feb 4-8
1998
1998 Dec 28-29
1998 Oct 9-12***
1998 Sep 14-15
1998 Aug 21-23
1998 Aug 10-12
1998 Aug 7-8
1998 Feb 13-15
1998 Jan 30-Feb 1
1998 Jan 24-25
1998 Jan 23-24
Unfav.
DK
50
42
54
53
55
53
41
43
39
41
5
4
6
6
56
38
51
54
52
53
45
44
40
44
43
46
5
6
4
4
9
48
47
46
44
6
9
51
44
49
52
44
53
44
43
5
3
7
5
56
52
45
55
39
43
50
39
5
5
5
6
48
56
56
62
56
65
65
66
48
40
41
35
42
31
30
31
4
4
3
3
2
4
5
3
67
63
61
61
60
60
60
64
61
60
29
33
33
33
36
35
36
34
33
35
4
4
6
6
4
5
4
2
6
5
1997
1997 Dec 18-21
1997 Oct 27-29
1997 Jun 26-29
1997 Feb 24-26
1997 Jan 31-Feb 2
1997 Jan 10-13
1996
1996 Oct 26-29***
1996 Aug 28-29**
1996 Aug 16-18**
1996 Aug 5-7**
1996 Jun 18-19
1996 Mar 15-17
1996 Jan 12-15
1995
1995 Jul 7-9
1995 Mar 17-19
1995 Jan 16-18
1994
1994 Nov 28-29
1994 Sep 6-7
1994 Jul 15-17
1994 Apr 23-24
1994 Mar 25-27
1994 Mar 7-8
1994 Jan. 15-17
1993
1993 Nov. 2-4
1993 Sept. 24-26
1993 Aug. 8-10
1993 July 19-21
1993 June 5-6
1993 April 22-24
1993 March 22-24
1993 Jan. 29-31
1992
1992 Nov. 10-11
1992 Aug 31-Sept 2
1992 Aug. 19-20
1992 July 17-18
1992 July 6-8
1992 April 20-22
1992 March 20-22
Fav.
60
56
61
51
51
55
56
Unfav.
35
38
34
42
42
39
37
DK
5
6
5
7
6
6
7
49
51
47
48
46
47
43
43
41
48
45
47
48
51
8
8
5
7
6
5
6
50
49
50
44
44
44
6
7
6
50
48
48
56
52
55
57
44
47
46
40
42
40
36
6
5
6
4
6
5
7
58
62
57
56
50
61
61
67
34
27
33
34
31
27
31
22
8
11
10
10
19
12
8
11
49
56
48
51
45
38
39
30
25
31
24
30
39
26
21
19
21
25
25
23
35
*Asked of a half sample. **Based on likely voters. ***Based on registered voters.

2002-March 2003 WORDING: New York Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton.
POLL 3
3
-27-
January 21-24, 2016
23.
(RANDOM ORDER)
Favorable
Unfavorable
Never
heard of
No
opinion
45%
37%
9%
8%
45%
27%
22%
39%
35%
34%
8%
24%
31%
9%
14%
13%
24%
26%
36%
15%
22%
21%
23%
31%
22%
22%
29%
39%
44%
18%
18%
11%
44%
33%
12%
11%
46%
32%
24%
25%
32%
28%
34%
29%
27%
26%
22%
22%
9%
27%
33%
39%
30%
36%
10%
12%
16%
9%
16%
14%
Ted Cruz
January 21-24, 2016
July 22-25, 2015
John Kasich
January 21-24, 2016
August 13-16, 2015
Marco Rubio
January 21-24, 2016
July 22-25, 2015
March 13-15, 2015
August 7-8, 2012
QUESTION WORDING PRIOR TO 2015: "Florida Senator Mario Rubio"
Bernie Sanders
January 21-24, 2016
50%
33%
8%
9%

October 14-17, 2015
August 13-16, 2015
July 22-25, 2015
46%
41%
35%
23%
36%
29%
27%
22%
10%
19%
28%
41%
7%
11%
10%
13%
Donald Trump
January 21-24, 2016
40%
55%
1%
3%
39%
31%
36%
33%
31%
57%
59%
59%
58%
64%
1%
1%
1%
2%
*
2%
9%
3%
7%
4%

August 13-16, 2015
July 22-25, 2015
April 29-May 1, 2011
2005 Jun 16-19

1999 Oct 8-10
1999 Sep 23-26
POLL 3
3
Favorable
Unfavorable
Never
heard of
No
opinion
50
33
41
38
58
47
2
2
3
10
7
9
-28-
January 21-24, 2016
23.
(RANDOM ORDER)
Favorable
Unfavorable
Never
heard of
No
opinion
January 21-24, 2016
45%
46%
1%
8%
August 13-16, 2015

May 29-31, 2015
October 18-20, 2013
May 17-18, 2013
March 15-17, 2013
Nov. 16-18, 2012
Nov. 2-4, 2012 (RV)
Sept. 7-9, 2012 (RV)
August 22-23, 2012 (RV)
April 13-15, 2012
March 24-25, 2012
August 5-7, 2011
July 18-20, 2011
March 11-13, 2011
October 27-30, 2010
September 1-2, 2010
April 9-11, 2010
January 22-24, 2010
October 16-18, 2009
July 31-Aug. 3, 2009
April 23-26, 2009
February 18-19, 2009
December 1-2, 2008
November 6-9, 2008
October 17-19, 2008 (RV)
Sept. 5-7, 2008 (RV)
Aug. 29-31, 2008 (RV)
Aug. 23-24, 2008 (RV)
April 28-30, 2008
January 9-10, 2008
June 22-24, 2007
March 9-11, 2007
November 3-5, 2006
47%
47%
44%
43%
43%
52%
46%
51%
52%
52%
49%
46%
48%
44%
47%
45%
46%
47%
46%
46%
44%
49%
46%
53%
52%
51%
58%
60%
62%
53%
51%
59%
52%
56%
55%
51%
51%
53%
56%
48%
45%
50%
51%
52%
43%
48%
41%
43%
43%
45%
46%
45%
48%
47%
49%
48%
47%
48%
47%
49%
46%
46%
41%
39%
44%
36%
34%
31%
42%
40%
36%
40%
35%
34%
38%
34%
35%
39%
*
1%
1%
1%
*
2%
1%
1%
*
*
*
1%
1%
1%
*
1%
*
1%
1%
*
1%
1%
*
*
1%
*
*
*
1%
*
1%
*
1%
1%
2%
1%
1%
*
*
5%
7%
5%
6%
5%
4%
5%
7%
4%
5%
6%
7%
6%
6%
6%
5%
7%
6%
5%
7%
6%
5%
8%
6%
8%
4%
5%
5%
6%
5%
8%
4%
7%
8%
8%
9%
13%
11%
5%
POLL 3
3
-29-
January 21-24, 2016
23.
(RANDOM ORDER)
Favorable
Unfavorable
Never
heard of
No
opinion
January 21-24, 2016
40%
50%
1%
9%
August 13-16, 2015

May 29-31, 2015
October 18-20, 2013
May 17-18, 2013
March 15-17, 2013
Nov. 16-18, 2012
Nov. 2-4, 2012 (RV)
Sept. 7-9, 2012 (RV)
August 22-23, 2012 (RV)
April 13-15, 2012
March 24-25, 2012
August 5-7, 2011
July 18-20, 2011
March 11-13, 2011
October 27-30, 2010
September 1-2, 2010
April 9-11, 2010
January 22-24, 2010
October 16-18, 2009
July 31-Aug. 3, 2009
April 23-26, 2009
February 18-19, 2009
December 1-2, 2008
November 6-9, 2008
October 17-19, 2008 (RV)
Sept. 5-7, 2008 (RV)
Aug. 29-31, 2008 (RV)
Aug. 23-24, 2008 (RV)
April 28-30, 2008
January 9-10, 2008
June 22-24, 2007
March 9-11, 2007
November 3-5, 2006
41%
41%
41%
30%
32%
35%
38%
38%
45%
38%
41%
41%
35%
39%
33%
41%
44%
42%
43%
44%
45%
47%
44%
36%
41%
39%
39%
41%
38%
43%
48%
43%
48%
38%
41%
36%
42%
38%
44%
54%
49%
52%
64%
62%
59%
54%
53%
49%
55%
52%
51%
58%
54%
59%
55%
48%
50%
48%
43%
49%
47%
45%
54%
50%
55%
54%
52%
54%
51%
45%
50%
46%
53%
48%
53%
45%
52%
51%
*
1%
1%
*
*
2%
1%
*
*
*
*
*
1%
1%
1%
1%
*
*
1%
1%
1%
*
1%
1%
1%
*
*
*
1%
*
*
*
*
1%
2%
1%
1%
1%
*
5%
9%
5%
6%
5%
4%
7%
9%
7%
7%
7%
8%
6%
6%
7%
3%
7%
8%
8%
12%
6%
6%
10%
8%
8%
6%
7%
6%
8%
6%
6%
6%
6%
7%
10%
9%
12%
10%
5%
TRENDS CONTINUE ON NEXT PAGE
POLL 3
3
-30-
January 21-24, 2016

Favorable
46
52
47
52
50
52
46
49
50
54
55
48
59
47
49
49
52
52
48
58
56
2005 Dec 16-18

2005 Oct 13-16
2005 Sep 8-11
2005 Jul 22-24
2005 Apr 1-2
2005 Feb 25-27
2005 Feb 4-6
2004 Sep 13-15
2004 Sep 3-5
2004 Aug 23-25*
2004 Jul 30-Aug 1
2004 Jul 19-21*
2004 Jan 29-Feb 1
2004 Jan 2-5
2003 Sep 8-10
2003 Mar 29-30
2003 Jan 3-5
2002 Dec 16-17
2002 Nov 8-10
2002 Oct 21-22
2002 Sep 5-8
Unfavorable
45
36
41
38
42
41
47
45
41
36
37
41
34
44
45
39
36
37
42
30
38
Never heard
of
*
2
1
1
*
1
*
-*
1
1
1
*
*
-1
1
1
0
*
0
No
opinion
9
10
11
9
8
6
7
6
9
9
7
10
7
9
6
11
11
10
10
12
6
Favorable
55
55
56
53
53
56
61
51
53
55
56
57
57
57
58
54
60
55
57
55
51
54
2002 Jul 26-28

2002 Jan 11-14
2001 Sep 7-10
2000 Nov 13-15
2000 Aug 4-5
2000 Jul 25-26
2000 Jan 7-10
1999 Nov 18-21
1999 Apr 30-May 2
1999 Feb 19-21
1999 Feb 12-13
1999 Feb 4-8
1999 Jan 8-10
1998 Dec 19-20
1998 Dec 15-16
1997 Oct 27-29
1996 Aug 30-Sep 1**
1996 Aug 16-18**
1996 Aug 5-7**
1996 Apr 9-10
1995 Apr 17-19
1992 Jul 6-8**
Unfavorable
34
33
38
38
38
35
33
41
37
37
38
37
35
30
32
39
36
41
38
38
43
38
Never
heard of
*
*
*
1
1
*
*
*
1
0
*
*
*
*
2
*
*
1
1
0
*
*
Never
heard of
*
*
*
*
1
*
*
*
*
0
1
*
*
*
2
*
*
1
*
*
*
*
No
opinion
9
9
5
8
8
12
6
6
9
9
5
8
8
12
8
8
5
2
5
7
6
8
No
opinion
11
12
6
8
8
9
6
8
9
8
6
6
8
13
8
7
4
3
4
7
6
8
*Asked of a half sample

**Based on registered voters.
2005 Dec 16-18

2005 Oct 13-16
2005 Sep 8-11
2005 Jul 22-24
2005 Apr 1-2
2005 Feb 25-27
2005 Feb 4-6
2004 Sep 13-15
2004 Sep 3-5
2004 Aug 23-25*
2004 Jul 30-Aug 1
2004 Jul 19-21*
2004 Jan 29-Feb 1
2004 Jan 2-5
2003 Sep 8-10
2003 Mar 29-30
2003 Jan 3-5
2002 Dec 16-17
2002 Nov 8-10
2002 Oct 21-22
2002 Sep 5-8
Favorable
45
40
45
46
50
51
56
55
53
50
47
50
48
52
50
56
51
51
54
53
54
Unfavor
able
48
50
45
45
44
42
39
41
40
41
45
43
45
40
44
33
38
38
38
35
40
Never
heard of
*
2
1
1
1
1
1
*
*
1
1
*
*
1
-1
1
1
*
*
0
No
opinion
7
8
9
8
5
6
4
4
7
8
7
7
7
7
6
10
10
10
8
12
6
2002 Jul 26-28

2002 Jan 11-14
2001 Sep 7-10
2000 Nov 13-15
2000 Aug 4-5
2000 Jul 25-26
2000 Jan 7-10
1999 Nov 18-21
1999 Apr 30-May 2
1999 Feb 19-21
1999 Feb 12-13
1999 Feb 4-8
1999 Jan 8-10
1998 Dec 19-20
1998 Dec 15-16
1997 Oct 27-29
1996 Aug 30-Sep 1**
1996 Aug 16-18**
1996 Aug 5-7**
1996 Apr 9-10
1995 Apr 17-19
1992 Jul 6-8**
Favor
able
55
61
47
49
54
49
53
50
47
45
40
45
40
31
43
50
50
55
51
52
52
53
Unfavorable
36
30
48
43
37
39
41
44
44
46
54
47
52
57
47
42
45
41
44
41
42
39

**Based on registered voters.
POLL 3
3
-31-
January 21-24, 2016
METHODOLOGY
A total of 1,002 adults were interviewed by telephone nationwide by live interviewers calling both landline and cell phones.
Among the entire sample, 28% described themselves as Democrats, 24% described themselves as Republicans, and 48% described
themselves as independents or members of another party.
All respondents were asked questions concerning basic demographics, and the entire sample was weighted to reflect national
Census figures for gender, race, age, education, region of country, and telephone usage.
Crosstabs on the following pages only include results for subgroups with enough unweighted cases to produce a sampling error of
+/- 8.5 percentage points or less. Some subgroups represent too small a share of the national population to produce crosstabs with
an acceptable sampling error. Interviews were conducted among these subgroups, but results for groups with a sampling error
larger than +/-8.5 percentage points are not displayed and instead are denoted with "NA".
POLL 3
3
-32-
January 21-24, 2016
CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 21 to 24, 2016

Question 3
How well do you feel the government in Washington represents the views of people like yourself?
Base = Total Sample
Very well
Somewhat well
Not too well
Not at all well
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
Men
Women
White
----------------4%
5%
3%
2%
16%
14%
17%
14%
39%
36%
41%
39%
40%
43%
38%
44%
1%
1%
1%
1%
+/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5
Very well
Somewhat well
Not too well
Not at all well
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----4%
16%
39%
40%
1%
+/-3.0
Very well
Somewhat well
Not too well
Not at all well
No opinion
Sampling Error
Under
Total
$50K
--------4%
4%
16%
12%
39%
42%
40%
41%
1%
1%
+/-3.0 +/-5.0
Very well
Somewhat well
Not too well
Not at all well
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----4%
16%
39%
40%
1%
+/-3.0
Democrat
----10%
27%
41%
21%
2%
+/-5.5
Very well
Somewhat well
Not too well
Not at all well
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----4%
16%
39%
40%
1%
+/-3.0
North
east
----6%
19%
35%
38%
2%
+/-6.5
Midwest
----5%
17%
40%
39%
*
+/-6.5
South
----5%
12%
43%
39%
1%
+/-5.5
Very well
Somewhat well
Not too well
Not at all well
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----4%
16%
39%
40%
1%
+/-3.0
Tea Pty
Support
------2%
6%
35%
57%
*
+/-7.5
Tea Pty
Neutral
------6%
17%
40%
37%
1%
+/-4.5
Tea Pty White

All
Gun Owner
Oppose Evang. Others Yes
No
------- ----- ------ ----- ----3%
1%
5%
N/A
N/A
19%
13%
17%
N/A
N/A
41%
31%
41%
N/A
N/A
36%
54%
37%
N/A
N/A
1%
1%
1%
N/A
N/A
+/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-3.5
1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3549
----3%
9%
43%
44%
1%
+/-7.0
Non-White
--------10%
18%
40%
32%
*
+/-6.5
5064
----3%
18%
33%
45%
*
+/-5.5
$50K
or more
------4%
20%
36%
40%
1%
+/-4.5
65+
----5%
14%
37%
44%
1%
+/-5.0
College
Grad
------6%
17%
43%
33%
2%
+/-4.5
Independent
-----3%
14%
37%
46%
1%
+/-5.0
Republican
-----1%
7%
40%
52%
*
+/-6.0
Under
55
----5%
16%
41%
37%
1%
+/-5.0
Non
College
Grad
-------4%
15%
37%
43%
*
+/-4.0
Lean
Democrat
-----7%
23%
40%
29%
1%
+/-4.5
Liberal
----3%
26%
42%
28%
2%
+/-6.5
Moderate
----6%
16%
42%
37%
*
+/-5.0
West
----1%
18%
34%
47%
*
+/-6.5
Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
55 and
Older
-----4%
15%
35%
46%
*
+/-4.0
Lean
Republican
-----2%
8%
38%
52%
*
+/-4.5
Conservative
------4%
9%
35%
53%
*
+/-5.0
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
* percentage less than 1%
POLL 3
3
-33-
January 21-24, 2016

Question 4A
How important will each of the following issues be to your vote for president this year -- will
it be extremely important, very important, moderately important, or not that important?
A. The economy
Base = Registered Voters
Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
Men
Women
White
----------------42%
44%
39%
42%
46%
44%
48%
44%
11%
11%
12%
12%
1%
1%
1%
2%
*
*
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5
Extremely important
Very important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----42%
46%
11%
1%
*
+/-3.5
Extremely important
Very important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error
Under
Total
$50K
--------42%
40%
46%
45%
11%
14%
1%
1%
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-5.5
Extremely important
Very important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----42%
46%
11%
1%
*
+/-3.5
Democrat
----36%
54%
9%
1%
*
+/-5.5
Extremely important
Very important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----42%
46%
11%
1%
*
+/-3.5
North
east
----45%
39%
14%
2%
*
+/-7.0
Midwest
----43%
44%
11%
1%
*
+/-7.0
South
----42%
49%
9%
*
*
+/-5.5
Extremely important
Very important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----42%
46%
11%
1%
*
+/-3.5
Tea Pty
Support
------47%
41%
11%
1%
*
+/-7.5
Tea Pty
Neutral
------42%
48%
9%
1%
*
+/-5.0
Tea Pty White

All
Gun Owner
No
------- ----- ------ ----- ----36%
47%
40%
N/A
N/A
46%
43%
47%
N/A
N/A
17%
9%
12%
N/A
N/A
1%
*
1%
N/A
N/A
*
*
*
N/A
N/A
+/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-3.5
1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3549
----45%
44%
11%
*
*
+/-7.5
Non-White
--------41%
50%
9%
*
*
+/-7.0
5064
----43%
48%
8%
1%
*
+/-5.5
$50K
or more
------45%
45%
9%
1%
*
+/-4.5
65+
----41%
46%
11%
1%
*
+/-5.5
College
Grad
------36%
50%
13%
1%
*
+/-5.0
Independent
-----45%
38%
15%
2%
*
+/-5.0
Republican
-----42%
51%
7%
*
*
+/-6.0
Under
55
----41%
46%
12%
1%
*
+/-5.5
Non
College
Grad
-------44%
45%
10%
1%
*
+/-4.5
Lean
Democrat
-----38%
48%
13%
1%
*
+/-4.5
Liberal
----34%
45%
20%
*
*
+/-7.0
Moderate
----42%
46%
10%
3%
*
+/-5.5
West
----37%
50%
12%
1%
*
+/-7.0
Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
55 and
Older
-----43%
47%
10%
1%
*
+/-4.0
Lean
Republican
-----45%
45%
10%
*
*
+/-5.0
Conservative
------47%
45%
7%
*
*
+/-5.5
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
POLL 3
3
-34-
January 21-24, 2016

Question 4B
B. Illegal immigration
Extremely important
Very important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
Men
Women
White
----------------27%
27%
28%
28%
34%
33%
35%
33%
24%
25%
24%
26%
14%
15%
12%
12%
1%
*
1%
1%
+/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5
Extremely important
Very important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----27%
34%
24%
14%
1%
+/-3.5
Extremely important
Very important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error
Under
Total
$50K
--------27%
28%
34%
35%
24%
21%
14%
14%
1%
1%
+/-3.5 +/-5.5
Extremely important
Very important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----27%
34%
24%
14%
1%
+/-3.5
Democrat
----24%
30%
25%
20%
*
+/-5.5
Extremely important
Very important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----27%
34%
24%
14%
1%
+/-3.5
North
east
----31%
31%
23%
14%
*
+/-7.0
Midwest
----24%
36%
26%
12%
2%
+/-7.0
South
----27%
35%
25%
13%
*
+/-5.5
Extremely important
Very important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----27%
34%
24%
14%
1%
+/-3.5
Tea Pty
Support
------41%
38%
20%
1%
*
+/-7.5
Tea Pty
Neutral
------27%
38%
23%
10%
1%
+/-5.0
Tea Pty White

All
Gun Owner
No
------- ----- ------ ----- ----16%
28%
27%
N/A
N/A
23%
43%
31%
N/A
N/A
33%
23%
25%
N/A
N/A
28%
4%
17%
N/A
N/A
*
2%
*
N/A
N/A
+/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-3.5
1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3549
----25%
30%
26%
17%
2%
+/-7.5
Non-White
--------25%
36%
22%
17%
*
+/-7.0
5064
----29%
36%
24%
11%
*
+/-5.5
$50K
or more
------26%
30%
29%
15%
*
+/-4.5
65+
----31%
36%
25%
8%
*
+/-5.5
College
Grad
------19%
34%
28%
20%
*
+/-5.0
Independent
-----27%
31%
26%
14%
1%
+/-5.0
Republican
-----31%
43%
21%
5%
*
+/-6.0
Under
55
----26%
32%
24%
17%
1%
+/-5.5
Non
College
Grad
-------31%
33%
23%
11%
1%
+/-4.5
Lean
Democrat
-----22%
28%
29%
21%
*
+/-4.5
Liberal
----15%
29%
26%
30%
*
+/-7.0
Moderate
----30%
33%
24%
13%
*
+/-5.5
West
----26%
34%
24%
15%
*
+/-7.0
Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
55 and
Older
-----30%
36%
25%
9%
*
+/-4.0
Lean
Republican
-----32%
42%
20%
6%
*
+/-5.0
Conservative
------34%
39%
22%
4%
1%
+/-5.5
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
POLL 3
3
-35-
January 21-24, 2016

Question 4C
C. Foreign policy
Extremely important
Very important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
Men
Women
White
----------------30%
28%
32%
30%
42%
43%
41%
42%
21%
23%
19%
22%
6%
6%
6%
5%
1%
*
2%
1%
+/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5
Extremely important
Very important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----30%
42%
21%
6%
1%
+/-3.5
Extremely important
Very important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error
Under
Total
$50K
--------30%
29%
42%
40%
21%
23%
6%
7%
1%
1%
+/-3.5 +/-5.5
Extremely important
Very important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----30%
42%
21%
6%
1%
+/-3.5
Democrat
----25%
45%
23%
5%
2%
+/-5.5
Extremely important
Very important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----30%
42%
21%
6%
1%
+/-3.5
North
east
----32%
47%
19%
2%
*
+/-7.0
Midwest
----30%
39%
22%
7%
2%
+/-7.0
South
----32%
37%
25%
5%
2%
+/-5.5
Extremely important
Very important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----30%
42%
21%
6%
1%
+/-3.5
Tea Pty
Support
------43%
36%
19%
2%
1%
+/-7.5
Tea Pty
Neutral
------26%
41%
25%
6%
2%
+/-5.0
Tea Pty White

All
Gun Owner
No
------- ----- ------ ----- ----29%
34%
29%
N/A
N/A
48%
42%
42%
N/A
N/A
17%
20%
22%
N/A
N/A
7%
3%
6%
N/A
N/A
*
2%
1%
N/A
N/A
+/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-3.5
1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3549
----26%
39%
26%
5%
4%
+/-7.5
Non-White
--------30%
41%
21%
6%
2%
+/-7.0
5064
----34%
42%
18%
5%
*
+/-5.5
$50K
or more
------31%
44%
20%
4%
2%
+/-4.5
65+
----35%
49%
11%
4%
1%
+/-5.5
College
Grad
------33%
45%
19%
3%
*
+/-5.0
Independent
-----32%
42%
18%
7%
1%
+/-5.0
Republican
-----32%
38%
26%
5%
*
+/-6.0
Under
55
----26%
40%
25%
6%
2%
+/-5.5
Non
College
Grad
-------29%
40%
23%
7%
2%
+/-4.5
Lean
Democrat
-----27%
44%
23%
5%
1%
+/-4.5
Liberal
----23%
46%
21%
8%
3%
+/-7.0
Moderate
----30%
41%
21%
8%
*
+/-5.5
West
----25%
47%
18%
9%
1%
+/-7.0
Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
55 and
Older
-----35%
45%
15%
5%
*
+/-4.0
Lean
Republican
-----34%
40%
21%
4%
*
+/-5.0
Conservative
------36%
41%
20%
2%
2%
+/-5.5
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
POLL 3
3
-36-
January 21-24, 2016

Question 4D
D. Terrorism
Extremely important
Very important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
Men
Women
White
----------------45%
44%
45%
44%
36%
33%
39%
34%
15%
16%
15%
17%
4%
7%
1%
5%
*
*
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5
Extremely important
Very important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----45%
36%
15%
4%
*
+/-3.5
Extremely important
Very important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error
Under
Total
$50K
--------45%
42%
36%
41%
15%
12%
4%
4%
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-5.5
Extremely important
Very important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----45%
36%
15%
4%
*
+/-3.5
Democrat
----40%
37%
18%
5%
1%
+/-5.5
Extremely important
Very important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----45%
36%
15%
4%
*
+/-3.5
North
east
----43%
35%
18%
3%
*
+/-7.0
Midwest
----46%
36%
12%
6%
*
+/-7.0
South
----46%
33%
17%
4%
*
+/-5.5
Extremely important
Very important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----45%
36%
15%
4%
*
+/-3.5
Tea Pty
Support
------50%
39%
11%
*
*
+/-7.5
Tea Pty
Neutral
------50%
37%
9%
4%
*
+/-5.0
Tea Pty White

All
Gun Owner
No
------- ----- ------ ----- ----29%
51%
43%
N/A
N/A
35%
37%
36%
N/A
N/A
30%
11%
16%
N/A
N/A
6%
*
5%
N/A
N/A
*
*
*
N/A
N/A
+/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-3.5
1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3549
----49%
33%
16%
3%
*
+/-7.5
Non-White
--------44%
42%
11%
3%
*
+/-7.0
5064
----44%
37%
15%
3%
*
+/-5.5
$50K
or more
------45%
32%
19%
3%
*
+/-4.5
65+
----46%
41%
10%
1%
*
+/-5.5
College
Grad
------36%
35%
20%
8%
*
+/-5.0
Independent
-----47%
32%
16%
5%
*
+/-5.0
Republican
-----47%
42%
10%
2%
*
+/-6.0
Under
55
----43%
35%
17%
5%
*
+/-5.5
Non
College
Grad
-------48%
37%
13%
2%
*
+/-4.5
Lean
Democrat
-----38%
35%
21%
5%
*
+/-4.5
Liberal
----32%
31%
29%
9%
*
+/-7.0
Moderate
----46%
38%
13%
3%
*
+/-5.5
West
----43%
42%
13%
3%
*
+/-7.0
Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
55 and
Older
-----46%
39%
13%
2%
*
+/-4.0
Lean
Republican
-----49%
40%
9%
1%
*
+/-5.0
Conservative
------52%
39%
8%
1%
*
+/-5.5
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
POLL 3
3
-37-
January 21-24, 2016

Question 4E
E. Health care
Extremely important
Very important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
Men
Women
White
----------------35%
33%
38%
33%
41%
35%
47%
40%
18%
25%
12%
21%
6%
8%
4%
6%
*
*
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5
Extremely important
Very important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----35%
41%
18%
6%
*
+/-3.5
Extremely important
Very important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error
Under
Total
$50K
--------35%
36%
41%
44%
18%
15%
6%
5%
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-5.5
Extremely important
Very important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----35%
41%
18%
6%
*
+/-3.5
Democrat
----39%
46%
14%
1%
*
+/-5.5
Extremely important
Very important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----35%
41%
18%
6%
*
+/-3.5
North
east
----40%
42%
14%
5%
*
+/-7.0
Midwest
----37%
40%
16%
7%
*
+/-7.0
South
----34%
39%
23%
5%
*
+/-5.5
Extremely important
Very important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----35%
41%
18%
6%
*
+/-3.5
Tea Pty
Support
------34%
38%
22%
6%
*
+/-7.5
Tea Pty
Neutral
------35%
41%
18%
6%
*
+/-5.0
Tea Pty White

All
Gun Owner
No
------- ----- ------ ----- ----36%
30%
37%
N/A
N/A
43%
46%
39%
N/A
N/A
16%
18%
18%
N/A
N/A
6%
6%
6%
N/A
N/A
*
*
*
N/A
N/A
+/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-3.5
1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3549
----34%
36%
21%
9%
*
+/-7.5
Non-White
--------42%
42%
11%
5%
*
+/-7.0
5064
----38%
43%
16%
3%
*
+/-5.5
$50K
or more
------36%
36%
22%
6%
*
+/-4.5
65+
----36%
45%
13%
6%
*
+/-5.5
College
Grad
------32%
44%
17%
6%
*
+/-5.0
Independent
-----36%
38%
19%
7%
*
+/-5.0
Republican
-----29%
40%
21%
9%
*
+/-6.0
Under
55
----34%
39%
20%
7%
*
+/-5.5
Non
College
Grad
-------38%
38%
18%
6%
*
+/-4.5
Lean
Democrat
-----40%
43%
16%
1%
*
+/-4.5
Liberal
----41%
42%
12%
5%
*
+/-7.0
Moderate
----36%
43%
16%
5%
*
+/-5.5
West
----32%
43%
18%
7%
*
+/-7.0
Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
55 and
Older
-----38%
43%
14%
5%
*
+/-4.0
Lean
Republican
-----30%
39%
23%
8%
*
+/-5.0
Conservative
------34%
35%
23%
8%
*
+/-5.5
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
POLL 3
3
-38-
January 21-24, 2016

Question 4F
F. Climate change
Extremely important
Very important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
Men
Women
White
----------------18%
16%
20%
14%
26%
20%
32%
24%
22%
21%
24%
23%
34%
43%
24%
39%
*
*
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5
Extremely important
Very important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----18%
26%
22%
34%
*
+/-3.5
Extremely important
Very important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error
Under
Total
$50K
--------18%
17%
26%
30%
22%
26%
34%
27%
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-5.5
Extremely important
Very important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----18%
26%
22%
34%
*
+/-3.5
Democrat
----28%
39%
21%
11%
*
+/-5.5
Extremely important
Very important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----18%
26%
22%
34%
*
+/-3.5
North
east
----28%
30%
16%
25%
*
+/-7.0
Midwest
----15%
26%
27%
32%
*
+/-7.0
South
----16%
22%
21%
41%
*
+/-5.5
Extremely important
Very important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----18%
26%
22%
34%
*
+/-3.5
Tea Pty
Support
------3%
19%
16%
62%
*
+/-7.5
Tea Pty
Neutral
------14%
23%
26%
37%
1%
+/-5.0
Tea Pty White

All
Gun Owner
No
------- ----- ------ ----- ----34%
4%
22%
N/A
N/A
38%
24%
27%
N/A
N/A
19%
24%
22%
N/A
N/A
9%
47%
29%
N/A
N/A
*
*
*
N/A
N/A
+/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-3.5
1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3549
----15%
30%
20%
34%
*
+/-7.5
Non-White
--------26%
33%
21%
19%
*
+/-7.0
5064
----19%
24%
22%
35%
*
+/-5.5
$50K
or more
------20%
24%
18%
38%
*
+/-4.5
65+
----17%
28%
23%
32%
1%
+/-5.5
College
Grad
------22%
24%
24%
29%
*
+/-5.0
Independent
-----19%
24%
26%
31%
*
+/-5.0
Republican
-----3%
15%
17%
64%
*
+/-6.0
Under
55
----19%
27%
21%
33%
*
+/-5.5
Non
College
Grad
-------16%
28%
22%
34%
*
+/-4.5
Lean
Democrat
-----33%
34%
22%
11%
*
+/-4.5
Liberal
----36%
33%
18%
13%
*
+/-7.0
Moderate
----19%
34%
26%
20%
1%
+/-5.5
West
----15%
30%
24%
31%
*
+/-7.0
Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
55 and
Older
-----16%
26%
24%
33%
1%
+/-4.0
Lean
Republican
-----3%
18%
19%
59%
*
+/-5.0
Conservative
------6%
15%
21%
58%
*
+/-5.5
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
POLL 3
3
-39-
January 21-24, 2016

Question 4G
G. Gun policy
Extremely important
Very important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
Men
Women
White
----------------32%
32%
32%
33%
36%
34%
38%
33%
19%
19%
20%
21%
12%
14%
10%
12%
*
*
*
1%
+/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5
Extremely important
Very important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----32%
36%
19%
12%
*
+/-3.5
Extremely important
Very important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error
Under
Total
$50K
--------32%
31%
36%
38%
19%
21%
12%
10%
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-5.5
Extremely important
Very important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----32%
36%
19%
12%
*
+/-3.5
Democrat
----37%
36%
17%
10%
*
+/-5.5
Extremely important
Very important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----32%
36%
19%
12%
*
+/-3.5
North
east
----41%
34%
16%
9%
*
+/-7.0
Midwest
----32%
40%
19%
8%
*
+/-7.0
South
----30%
37%
20%
13%
1%
+/-5.5
Extremely important
Very important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----32%
36%
19%
12%
*
+/-3.5
Tea Pty
Support
------34%
39%
17%
10%
1%
+/-7.5
Tea Pty
Neutral
------31%
35%
21%
13%
*
+/-5.0
Tea Pty White

All
Gun Owner
No
------- ----- ------ ----- ----32%
36%
31%
N/A
N/A
35%
35%
36%
N/A
N/A
20%
21%
19%
N/A
N/A
12%
8%
13%
N/A
N/A
*
*
1%
N/A
N/A
+/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-3.5
1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3549
----29%
34%
24%
11%
1%
+/-7.5
Non-White
--------31%
40%
17%
12%
*
+/-7.0
5064
----37%
34%
15%
14%
*
+/-5.5
$50K
or more
------34%
34%
18%
14%
*
+/-4.5
65+
----33%
39%
20%
7%
1%
+/-5.5
College
Grad
------27%
35%
23%
14%
*
+/-5.0
Independent
-----29%
32%
22%
16%
*
+/-5.0
Republican
-----33%
42%
17%
7%
1%
+/-6.0
Under
55
----30%
37%
20%
13%
*
+/-5.5
Non
College
Grad
-------34%
36%
18%
11%
*
+/-4.5
Lean
Democrat
-----33%
37%
19%
11%
*
+/-4.5
Liberal
----33%
31%
19%
17%
*
+/-7.0
Moderate
----29%
38%
21%
11%
*
+/-5.5
West
----28%
33%
22%
17%
*
+/-7.0
Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
55 and
Older
-----35%
34%
19%
11%
1%
+/-4.0
Lean
Republican
-----31%
37%
19%
13%
1%
+/-5.0
Conservative
------34%
36%
18%
11%
1%
+/-5.5
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
POLL 3
3
-40-
January 21-24, 2016

Question 4H
H. The income gap between rich and poor
Extremely important
Very important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
Men
Women
White
----------------30%
28%
32%
27%
32%
30%
34%
27%
21%
19%
23%
25%
16%
23%
10%
20%
*
1%
*
1%
+/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5
Extremely important
Very important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----30%
32%
21%
16%
*
+/-3.5
Extremely important
Very important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error
Under
Total
$50K
--------30%
34%
32%
40%
21%
14%
16%
11%
*
1%
+/-3.5 +/-5.5
Extremely important
Very important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----30%
32%
21%
16%
*
+/-3.5
Democrat
----37%
46%
14%
2%
*
+/-5.5
Extremely important
Very important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----30%
32%
21%
16%
*
+/-3.5
North
east
----39%
27%
20%
15%
*
+/-7.0
Midwest
----28%
39%
17%
15%
*
+/-7.0
South
----33%
30%
25%
11%
1%
+/-5.5
Extremely important
Very important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----30%
32%
21%
16%
*
+/-3.5
Tea Pty
Support
------14%
22%
29%
35%
*
+/-7.5
Tea Pty
Neutral
------29%
33%
23%
14%
1%
+/-5.0
Tea Pty White

All
Gun Owner
No
------- ----- ------ ----- ----42%
24%
32%
N/A
N/A
39%
24%
34%
N/A
N/A
12%
28%
19%
N/A
N/A
7%
22%
14%
N/A
N/A
*
1%
*
N/A
N/A
+/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-3.5
1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3549
----30%
32%
19%
19%
1%
+/-7.5
Non-White
--------36%
47%
11%
6%
*
+/-7.0
5064
----31%
31%
20%
18%
*
+/-5.5
$50K
or more
------29%
25%
25%
21%
*
+/-4.5
65+
----29%
32%
24%
14%
1%
+/-5.5
College
Grad
------29%
28%
26%
17%
1%
+/-5.0
Independent
-----34%
28%
20%
19%
*
+/-5.0
Republican
-----16%
23%
31%
28%
1%
+/-6.0
Under
55
----31%
33%
21%
16%
*
+/-5.5
Non
College
Grad
-------31%
34%
19%
16%
*
+/-4.5
Lean
Democrat
-----42%
41%
14%
2%
*
+/-4.5
Liberal
----44%
41%
11%
4%
*
+/-7.0
Moderate
----34%
37%
20%
9%
*
+/-5.5
West
----20%
34%
19%
26%
*
+/-7.0
Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
55 and
Older
-----30%
31%
21%
17%
1%
+/-4.0
Lean
Republican
-----18%
24%
27%
30%
1%
+/-5.0
Conservative
------18%
21%
30%
30%
1%
+/-5.5
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
POLL 3
3
-41-
January 21-24, 2016

Question 4I
I. Government spending
Extremely important
Very important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
Men
Women
White
----------------35%
36%
33%
36%
45%
42%
47%
42%
15%
16%
15%
17%
5%
6%
5%
5%
*
*
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5
Extremely important
Very important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----35%
45%
15%
5%
*
+/-3.5
Extremely important
Very important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error
Under
Total
$50K
--------35%
33%
45%
51%
15%
11%
5%
5%
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-5.5
Extremely important
Very important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----35%
45%
15%
5%
*
+/-3.5
Democrat
----26%
45%
21%
9%
*
+/-5.5
Extremely important
Very important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----35%
45%
15%
5%
*
+/-3.5
North
east
----32%
41%
17%
11%
*
+/-7.0
Midwest
----34%
46%
14%
6%
*
+/-7.0
South
----39%
43%
17%
1%
*
+/-5.5
Extremely important
Very important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----35%
45%
15%
5%
*
+/-3.5
Tea Pty
Support
------49%
41%
9%
1%
*
+/-7.5
Tea Pty
Neutral
------34%
52%
11%
3%
*
+/-5.0
Tea Pty White

All
Gun Owner
No
------- ----- ------ ----- ----27%
45%
31%
N/A
N/A
33%
41%
46%
N/A
N/A
28%
12%
16%
N/A
N/A
12%
2%
6%
N/A
N/A
*
*
*
N/A
N/A
+/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-3.5
1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3549
----39%
41%
16%
3%
*
+/-7.5
Non-White
--------31%
52%
12%
5%
*
+/-7.0
5064
----36%
45%
17%
2%
*
+/-5.5
$50K
or more
------37%
37%
20%
6%
*
+/-4.5
65+
----36%
47%
13%
3%
*
+/-5.5
College
Grad
------32%
37%
24%
7%
*
+/-5.0
Independent
-----37%
43%
14%
5%
*
+/-5.0
Republican
-----40%
47%
12%
1%
*
+/-6.0
Under
55
----34%
43%
16%
7%
*
+/-5.5
Non
College
Grad
-------36%
48%
11%
4%
*
+/-4.5
Lean
Democrat
-----28%
44%
20%
8%
*
+/-4.5
Liberal
----26%
41%
23%
11%
*
+/-7.0
Moderate
----34%
44%
16%
5%
*
+/-5.5
West
----32%
50%
13%
5%
*
+/-7.0
Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
55 and
Older
-----36%
46%
15%
3%
*
+/-4.0
Lean
Republican
-----41%
47%
10%
2%
*
+/-5.0
Conservative
------43%
45%
10%
2%
*
+/-5.5
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
POLL 3
3
-42-
January 21-24, 2016

Question 5
How enthusiastic would you say you are about voting for president in this year's election -extremely enthusiastic, very enthusiastic, somewhat enthusiastic, not too enthusiastic or not at
all enthusiastic?
Extremely enthusiastic
Very enthusiastic
Somewhat enthusiastic
Not too enthusiastic
Not at all enthusiastic
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
Men
Women
White
----------------32%
32%
33%
33%
24%
26%
23%
26%
21%
21%
21%
20%
13%
12%
14%
13%
9%
8%
9%
7%
*
*
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5
Very enthusiastic
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----32%
24%
21%
13%
9%
*
+/-3.5
Very enthusiastic
No opinion
Sampling Error
Under
Total
$50K
--------32%
25%
24%
26%
21%
22%
13%
15%
9%
12%
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-5.5
Very enthusiastic
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----32%
24%
21%
13%
9%
*
+/-3.5
Democrat
----29%
26%
25%
10%
10%
*
+/-5.5
Very enthusiastic
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----32%
24%
21%
13%
9%
*
+/-3.5
North
east
----31%
30%
21%
12%
5%
*
+/-7.0
Midwest
----25%
27%
19%
15%
15%
*
+/-7.0
South
----35%
22%
23%
12%
7%
*
+/-5.5
Very enthusiastic
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----32%
24%
21%
13%
9%
*
+/-3.5
Tea Pty
Support
------41%
33%
14%
8%
5%
*
+/-7.5
Tea Pty
Neutral
------30%
22%
24%
15%
8%
*
+/-5.0
Tea Pty White

All
Gun Owner
No
------- ----- ------ ----- ----31%
35%
31%
N/A
N/A
22%
25%
24%
N/A
N/A
23%
16%
23%
N/A
N/A
13%
10%
14%
N/A
N/A
12%
13%
7%
N/A
N/A
*
*
*
N/A
N/A
+/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-3.5
1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3549
----31%
22%
23%
13%
11%
*
+/-7.5
Non-White
--------29%
19%
26%
13%
13%
*
+/-7.0
5064
----37%
22%
21%
13%
7%
*
+/-5.5
$50K
or more
------39%
23%
22%
11%
5%
*
+/-4.5
65+
----37%
25%
18%
12%
7%
*
+/-5.5
College
Grad
------37%
24%
21%
12%
7%
*
+/-5.0
Independent
-----30%
22%
24%
16%
9%
*
+/-5.0
Republican
-----41%
27%
13%
12%
8%
*
+/-6.0
Under
55
----29%
25%
23%
13%
10%
*
+/-5.5
Non
College
Grad
-------30%
24%
22%
14%
10%
*
+/-4.5
Lean
Democrat
-----28%
24%
26%
14%
8%
*
+/-4.5
Liberal
----39%
22%
22%
11%
7%
*
+/-7.0
Moderate
----22%
25%
26%
15%
11%
*
+/-5.5
West
----36%
21%
21%
14%
9%
*
+/-7.0
Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
55 and
Older
-----38%
24%
18%
13%
7%
*
+/-4.0
Lean
Republican
-----39%
27%
16%
11%
7%
*
+/-5.0
Conservative
------39%
27%
16%
11%
7%
*
+/-5.5
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
POLL 3
3
-43-
January 21-24, 2016

Question 6
I'm going to read a list of people who are running in the Republican primaries for president this
year. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely
to support for the Republican nomination for president, or if you would support someone else.
Base = Registered Republicans
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
Men
Women
White
----------------5%
6%
2%
5%
6%
5%
8%
7%
4%
3%
4%
3%
19%
17%
21%
20%
2%
2%
2%
2%
3%
3%
3%
3%
1%
1%
1%
1%
3%
5%
1%
4%
8%
5%
11%
8%
*
*
1%
*
41%
44%
37%
39%
*
*
*
*
3%
*
5%
3%
1%
2%
1%
1%
4%
5%
3%
5%
+/-5.0 +/-6.5 +/-7.0 +/-5.0
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----5%
6%
4%
19%
2%
3%
1%
3%
8%
*
41%
*
3%
1%
4%
+/-5.0
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Under
Total
$50K
--------5%
2%
6%
7%
4%
5%
19%
14%
2%
1%
3%
5%
1%
1%
3%
5%
8%
4%
*
1%
41%
43%
*
*
3%
5%
1%
3%
4%
4%
+/-5.0 +/-8.5
1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
$50K
or more
------7%
4%
3%
23%
3%
*
1%
2%
9%
*
42%
*
1%
*
4%
+/-6.5
Non-White
--------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5064
----7%
3%
1%
20%
3%
4%
2%
*
7%
*
43%
*
2%
5%
3%
+/-8.5
College
Grad
------4%
12%
5%
20%
4%
*
2%
8%
11%
1%
26%
*
1%
1%
4%
+/-7.5
65+
----3%
5%
5%
25%
1%
4%
1%
2%
10%
1%
38%
*
1%
*
4%
+/-8.0
Under
55
----5%
9%
4%
15%
2%
3%
*
5%
7%
*
41%
*
3%
*
5%
+/-8.0
Non
College
Grad
-------5%
4%
2%
18%
1%
4%
1%
1%
6%
*
47%
*
3%
2%
4%
+/-6.5
Lean
Democrat
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
55 and
Older
-----4%
4%
3%
23%
1%
3%
2%
1%
9%
1%
41%
*
2%
3%
3%
+/-6.0
Lean
Republican
-----5%
6%
4%
19%
2%
3%
1%
3%
8%
*
41%
*
3%
1%
4%
+/-5.0
POLL 3
3
-44-
January 21-24, 2016

Question 6
I'm going to read a list of people who are running in the Republican primaries for president this
year. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely
to support for the Republican nomination for president, or if you would support someone else.
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----5%
6%
4%
19%
2%
3%
1%
3%
8%
*
41%
*
3%
1%
4%
+/-5.0
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----5%
6%
4%
19%
2%
3%
1%
3%
8%
*
41%
*
3%
1%
4%
+/-5.0
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----5%
6%
4%
19%
2%
3%
1%
3%
8%
*
41%
*
3%
1%
4%
+/-5.0
Democrat
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Independent
-----6%
5%
8%
19%
2%
1%
1%
4%
8%
*
39%
*
2%
2%
3%
+/-8.0
North
east
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Midwest
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Tea Pty
Support
------1%
10%
2%
34%
2%
1%
*
4%
7%
*
37%
*
*
*
*
+/-8.0
Tea Pty
Neutral
------4%
5%
3%
12%
1%
4%
1%
3%
7%
1%
45%
*
5%
2%
6%
+/-7.0
Republican
-----4%
7%
1%
18%
1%
5%
1%
3%
8%
1%
42%
*
3%
1%
5%
+/-6.0
South
----6%
6%
3%
21%
1%
6%
*
1%
6%
1%
41%
*
1%
*
7%
+/-8.0
Tea Pty
Oppose
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Liberal
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
West
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Moderate
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Conservative
------2%
8%
2%
26%
1%
2%
1%
3%
7%
1%
42%
*
*
*
6%
+/-6.0
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
White
All
Gun Owner
Evang. Others Yes
No
----- ------ ----- ----3%
6%
N/A
N/A
11%
4%
N/A
N/A
1%
6%
N/A
N/A
25%
15%
N/A
N/A
1%
2%
N/A
N/A
3%
3%
N/A
N/A
1%
1%
N/A
N/A
1%
5%
N/A
N/A
7%
9%
N/A
N/A
1%
*
N/A
N/A
39%
42%
N/A
N/A
*
*
N/A
N/A
2%
3%
N/A
N/A
*
2%
N/A
N/A
7%
3%
N/A
N/A
+/-8.0 +/-6.5
POLL 3
3
-45-
January 21-24, 2016

Question 7
Would you say you will definitely support that candidate, or is it possible you would change your
mind?
Base = Registered Republicans who support a candidate
Definitely support
Might change mind
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
Men
Women
White
----------------53%
51%
56%
52%
46%
48%
44%
48%
*
1%
*
1%
+/-5.0 +/-7.0 +/-7.5 +/-5.5
Definitely support
Might change mind
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----53%
46%
*
+/-5.0
Definitely support
Might change mind
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----53%
46%
*
+/-5.0
Definitely support
Might change mind
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----53%
46%
*
+/-5.0
Definitely support
Might change mind
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----53%
46%
*
+/-5.0
Definitely support
Might change mind
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----53%
46%
*
+/-5.0
1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
Under
$50K
----N/A
N/A
N/A
3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
Non-White
--------N/A
N/A
N/A
5064
----N/A
N/A
N/A
$50K
or more
------54%
46%
*
+/-7.0
65+
----57%
42%
*
+/-8.0
College
Grad
------43%
57%
*
+/-7.5
Democrat
----N/A
N/A
N/A
Independent
-----46%
53%
1%
+/-8.0
North
east
----N/A
N/A
N/A
Midwest
----N/A
N/A
N/A
Tea Pty
Support
------61%
37%
1%
+/-8.0
Tea Pty
Neutral
------52%
48%
*
+/-7.0
Republican
-----58%
42%
*
+/-6.5
South
----51%
49%
*
+/-8.5
Tea Pty
Oppose
------N/A
N/A
N/A
Under
55
----50%
50%
1%
+/-8.0
Non
College
Grad
-------58%
41%
1%
+/-6.5
Lean
Democrat
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
Liberal
----N/A
N/A
N/A
Moderate
----N/A
N/A
N/A
West
----N/A
N/A
N/A
Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
55 and
Older
-----58%
41%
*
+/-6.5
Lean
Republican
-----53%
46%
*
+/-5.0
Conservative
------56%
43%
1%
+/-6.0
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
White
All
Gun Owner
Evang. Others Yes
No
----- ------ ----- ----52%
54%
N/A
N/A
47%
46%
N/A
N/A
1%
*
N/A
N/A
+/-8.0 +/-6.5
POLL 3
3
-46-
January 21-24, 2016

Question 8A
Next I'm going to read the names of some of those candidates and ask how you would feel if each
of them won the Republican presidential nomination. As I read each name, please tell me whether
you would feel enthusiastic, satisfied but not enthusiastic, dissatisfied but not upset, or upset
if that person were the Republican nominee?
A. Donald Trump
Total
Men
Women
White
----------------Enthusiastic
40%
39%
42%
38%
Satisfied but not enthusiastic
28%
33%
22%
29%
Dissatisfied but not upset
12%
13%
10%
13%
Upset
19%
13%
26%
18%
No opinion
1%
1%
*
1%
Sampling Error
+/-5.0 +/-6.5 +/-7.0 +/-5.0
Total
----Enthusiastic
40%
28%
12%
Upset
19%
No opinion
1%
Sampling Error
+/-5.0
1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Under
Total
$50K
--------Enthusiastic
40%
47%
28%
24%
12%
13%
Upset
19%
15%
No opinion
1%
1%
Sampling Error
+/-5.0 +/-8.5
Total
----Enthusiastic
40%
28%
12%
Upset
19%
No opinion
1%
Sampling Error
+/-5.0
Total
----Enthusiastic
40%
28%
12%
Upset
19%
No opinion
1%
Sampling Error
+/-5.0
Total
----Enthusiastic
40%
28%
12%
Upset
19%
No opinion
1%
Sampling Error
+/-5.0
3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Non-White
--------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5064
----46%
31%
3%
20%
*
+/-8.5
$50K
or more
------37%
28%
11%
23%
*
+/-6.5
65+
----41%
25%
17%
14%
3%
+/-8.0
College
Grad
------30%
26%
15%
29%
*
+/-7.5
Democrat
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Independent
-----39%
27%
10%
23%
*
+/-8.0
North
east
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Midwest
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Tea Pty
Support
------44%
29%
15%
12%
*
+/-8.0
Tea Pty
Neutral
------40%
29%
9%
21%
1%
+/-7.0
Republican
-----41%
28%
13%
16%
1%
+/-6.0
South
----34%
37%
9%
18%
1%
+/-8.0
Tea Pty
Oppose
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Under
55
----36%
29%
12%
23%
*
+/-8.0
Non
College
Grad
-------45%
29%
11%
15%
1%
+/-6.5
Lean
Democrat
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Liberal
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Moderate
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
West
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
55 and
Older
-----45%
26%
12%
16%
1%
+/-6.0
Lean
Republican
-----40%
28%
12%
19%
1%
+/-5.0
Conservative
------40%
33%
10%
17%
*
+/-6.0
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
White
All
Gun Owner
Evang. Others Yes
No
----- ------ ----- ----40%
41%
N/A
N/A
34%
24%
N/A
N/A
11%
13%
N/A
N/A
15%
22%
N/A
N/A
1%
1%
N/A
N/A
+/-8.0 +/-6.5
POLL 3
3
-47-
January 21-24, 2016

Question 8B
B. Ted Cruz
Total
Men
Women
White
25%
23%
26%
24%
43%
45%
41%
45%
22%
21%
22%
23%
Upset
9%
9%
9%
7%
No opinion
1%
1%
1%
1%
Sampling Error
+/-5.0 +/-6.5 +/-7.0 +/-5.0
Total
----Enthusiastic
25%
43%
22%
Upset
9%
No opinion
1%
Sampling Error
+/-5.0
1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Under
Total
$50K
25%
28%
43%
39%
22%
25%
Upset
9%
8%
No opinion
1%
1%
Sampling Error
+/-5.0 +/-8.5
Total
----Enthusiastic
25%
43%
22%
Upset
9%
No opinion
1%
Sampling Error
+/-5.0
Total
----Enthusiastic
25%
43%
22%
Upset
9%
No opinion
1%
Sampling Error
+/-5.0
Total
----Enthusiastic
25%
43%
22%
Upset
9%
No opinion
1%
Sampling Error
+/-5.0
3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Non-White
--------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5064
----25%
38%
21%
15%
1%
+/-8.5
$50K
or more
------24%
45%
19%
11%
1%
+/-6.5
65+
----27%
50%
17%
3%
3%
+/-8.0
College
Grad
------25%
45%
21%
7%
1%
+/-7.5
Democrat
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Independent
-----28%
40%
22%
9%
*
+/-8.0
North
east
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Midwest
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Tea Pty
Support
------41%
47%
8%
4%
*
+/-8.0
Tea Pty
Neutral
------19%
46%
25%
8%
2%
+/-7.0
Republican
-----22%
46%
21%
9%
2%
+/-6.0
South
----22%
47%
22%
7%
2%
+/-8.0
Tea Pty
Oppose
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Under
55
----25%
43%
24%
8%
1%
+/-8.0
Non
College
Grad
-------26%
42%
22%
9%
1%
+/-6.5
Lean
Democrat
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Liberal
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Moderate
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
West
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
55 and
Older
-----26%
44%
18%
11%
1%
+/-6.0
Lean
Republican
-----25%
43%
22%
9%
1%
+/-5.0
Conservative
------32%
49%
13%
6%
*
+/-6.0
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
White
All
Gun Owner
Evang. Others Yes
No
----- ------ ----- ----27%
23%
N/A
N/A
47%
41%
N/A
N/A
16%
25%
N/A
N/A
9%
9%
N/A
N/A
2%
1%
N/A
N/A
+/-8.0 +/-6.5
POLL 3
3
-48-
January 21-24, 2016

Question 8C
C. Marco Rubio
Total
Men
Women
White
18%
15%
21%
17%
44%
48%
39%
45%
26%
28%
25%
28%
Upset
11%
8%
14%
9%
No opinion
1%
*
2%
1%
Sampling Error
+/-5.0 +/-6.5 +/-7.0 +/-5.0
Total
----Enthusiastic
18%
44%
26%
Upset
11%
No opinion
1%
Sampling Error
+/-5.0
1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Under
Total
$50K
18%
15%
44%
42%
26%
25%
Upset
11%
17%
No opinion
1%
1%
Sampling Error
+/-5.0 +/-8.5
Total
----Enthusiastic
18%
44%
26%
Upset
11%
No opinion
1%
Sampling Error
+/-5.0
Total
----Enthusiastic
18%
44%
26%
Upset
11%
No opinion
1%
Sampling Error
+/-5.0
Total
----Enthusiastic
18%
44%
26%
Upset
11%
No opinion
1%
Sampling Error
+/-5.0
3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Non-White
--------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5064
----17%
47%
20%
15%
1%
+/-8.5
$50K
or more
------18%
45%
28%
8%
1%
+/-6.5
65+
----24%
39%
25%
9%
3%
+/-8.0
College
Grad
------26%
46%
21%
5%
2%
+/-7.5
Democrat
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Independent
-----17%
47%
25%
11%
1%
+/-8.0
North
east
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Midwest
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Tea Pty
Support
------19%
47%
25%
8%
1%
+/-8.0
Tea Pty
Neutral
------16%
46%
24%
12%
1%
+/-7.0
Republican
-----19%
42%
28%
11%
1%
+/-6.0
South
----13%
45%
29%
11%
2%
+/-8.0
Tea Pty
Oppose
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Under
55
----15%
46%
29%
9%
1%
+/-8.0
Non
College
Grad
-------14%
43%
28%
14%
1%
+/-6.5
Lean
Democrat
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Liberal
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Moderate
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
West
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
55 and
Older
-----21%
42%
22%
14%
2%
+/-6.0
Lean
Republican
-----18%
44%
26%
11%
1%
+/-5.0
Conservative
------18%
49%
23%
9%
*
+/-6.0
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
White
All
Gun Owner
Evang. Others Yes
No
----- ------ ----- ----13%
21%
N/A
N/A
49%
41%
N/A
N/A
23%
29%
N/A
N/A
13%
9%
N/A
N/A
2%
1%
N/A
N/A
+/-8.0 +/-6.5
POLL 3
3
-49-
January 21-24, 2016

Question 9A
A. The economy
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
Men
Women
White
----------------4%
5%
2%
4%
2%
2%
3%
2%
2%
3%
2%
3%
12%
9%
15%
11%
3%
3%
3%
3%
1%
2%
1%
1%
2%
3%
2%
2%
4%
4%
3%
4%
5%
4%
6%
5%
*
*
1%
*
60%
64%
55%
59%
*
*
*
*
1%
*
3%
2%
2%
1%
4%
2%
1%
*
1%
1%
+/-5.0 +/-6.5 +/-7.0 +/-5.0
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----4%
2%
2%
12%
3%
1%
2%
4%
5%
*
60%
*
1%
2%
1%
+/-5.0
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Under
Total
$50K
--------4%
2%
2%
2%
2%
1%
12%
12%
3%
1%
1%
3%
2%
1%
4%
7%
5%
5%
*
1%
60%
60%
*
*
1%
3%
2%
1%
1%
*
+/-5.0 +/-8.5
1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
$50K
or more
------4%
2%
3%
14%
4%
*
3%
2%
4%
*
61%
*
1%
1%
*
+/-6.5
Non-White
--------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5064
----7%
2%
*
13%
4%
2%
5%
*
1%
*
62%
*
1%
1%
1%
+/-8.5
College
Grad
------2%
4%
3%
13%
5%
1%
3%
8%
8%
1%
47%
*
*
6%
*
+/-7.5
65+
----6%
1%
4%
15%
4%
4%
1%
2%
6%
1%
53%
*
*
1%
2%
+/-8.0
Under
55
----2%
3%
3%
11%
3%
1%
1%
6%
5%
*
60%
*
2%
3%
*
+/-8.0
Non
College
Grad
-------4%
1%
2%
12%
3%
2%
2%
2%
3%
*
65%
*
2%
1%
1%
+/-6.5
Lean
Democrat
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
55 and
Older
-----6%
1%
2%
14%
4%
3%
4%
1%
4%
1%
58%
*
1%
1%
1%
+/-6.0
Lean
Republican
-----4%
2%
2%
12%
3%
1%
2%
4%
5%
*
60%
*
1%
2%
1%
+/-5.0
POLL 3
3
-50-
January 21-24, 2016

Question 9A
A. The economy
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----4%
2%
2%
12%
3%
1%
2%
4%
5%
*
60%
*
1%
2%
1%
+/-5.0
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----4%
2%
2%
12%
3%
1%
2%
4%
5%
*
60%
*
1%
2%
1%
+/-5.0
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----4%
2%
2%
12%
3%
1%
2%
4%
5%
*
60%
*
1%
2%
1%
+/-5.0
Democrat
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Independent
-----5%
2%
4%
12%
3%
2%
1%
6%
4%
*
60%
*
*
*
1%
+/-8.0
North
east
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Midwest
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Tea Pty
Support
------1%
3%
1%
18%
3%
2%
2%
8%
5%
*
54%
*
*
3%
*
+/-8.0
Tea Pty
Neutral
------4%
1%
3%
10%
3%
2%
2%
3%
5%
1%
62%
*
3%
2%
1%
+/-7.0
Republican
-----3%
2%
1%
12%
3%
1%
3%
2%
5%
1%
60%
*
3%
3%
*
+/-6.0
South
----8%
3%
2%
10%
3%
3%
2%
3%
4%
1%
60%
*
1%
2%
1%
+/-8.0
Tea Pty
Oppose
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Liberal
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
West
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Moderate
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Conservative
------2%
2%
2%
13%
3%
2%
3%
4%
4%
1%
62%
*
*
2%
1%
+/-6.0
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
White
All
Gun Owner
Evang. Others Yes
No
----- ------ ----- ----3%
4%
N/A
N/A
3%
2%
N/A
N/A
1%
3%
N/A
N/A
14%
11%
N/A
N/A
2%
4%
N/A
N/A
2%
1%
N/A
N/A
2%
2%
N/A
N/A
4%
4%
N/A
N/A
3%
5%
N/A
N/A
1%
*
N/A
N/A
60%
60%
N/A
N/A
*
*
N/A
N/A
1%
2%
N/A
N/A
4%
1%
N/A
N/A
1%
1%
N/A
N/A
+/-8.0 +/-6.5
POLL 3
3
-51-
January 21-24, 2016

Question 9B
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
Men
Women
White
----------------6%
8%
4%
7%
2%
2%
2%
3%
1%
1%
*
1%
16%
13%
19%
16%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
*
*
*
*
2%
2%
1%
2%
11%
9%
14%
11%
*
*
*
*
55%
60%
50%
54%
*
*
*
*
2%
*
3%
2%
2%
1%
2%
2%
1%
*
2%
1%
+/-5.0 +/-6.5 +/-7.0 +/-5.0
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----6%
2%
1%
16%
1%
1%
*
2%
11%
*
55%
*
2%
2%
1%
+/-5.0
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Under
Total
$50K
--------6%
3%
2%
1%
1%
1%
16%
15%
1%
1%
1%
1%
*
*
2%
4%
11%
8%
*
1%
55%
61%
*
*
2%
3%
2%
2%
1%
*
+/-5.0 +/-8.5
1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
$50K
or more
------8%
4%
1%
17%
1%
2%
*
*
13%
*
52%
*
1%
1%
*
+/-6.5
Non-White
--------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5064
----8%
2%
1%
16%
1%
1%
*
1%
11%
*
57%
*
1%
*
*
+/-8.5
College
Grad
------6%
2%
2%
18%
2%
2%
*
4%
18%
*
39%
*
*
6%
1%
+/-7.5
65+
----8%
1%
1%
16%
1%
2%
*
2%
13%
1%
51%
*
*
1%
4%
+/-8.0
Under
55
----5%
3%
1%
16%
1%
1%
*
2%
11%
*
56%
*
2%
3%
*
+/-8.0
Non
College
Grad
-------6%
2%
*
15%
*
1%
*
1%
9%
*
62%
*
2%
*
1%
+/-6.5
Lean
Democrat
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
55 and
Older
-----8%
1%
1%
16%
1%
1%
*
2%
12%
1%
53%
*
1%
1%
2%
+/-6.0
Lean
Republican
-----6%
2%
1%
16%
1%
1%
*
2%
11%
*
55%
*
2%
2%
1%
+/-5.0
POLL 3
3
-52-
January 21-24, 2016

Question 9B
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----6%
2%
1%
16%
1%
1%
*
2%
11%
*
55%
*
2%
2%
1%
+/-5.0
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----6%
2%
1%
16%
1%
1%
*
2%
11%
*
55%
*
2%
2%
1%
+/-5.0
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----6%
2%
1%
16%
1%
1%
*
2%
11%
*
55%
*
2%
2%
1%
+/-5.0
Democrat
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Independent
-----9%
1%
1%
18%
1%
1%
*
2%
15%
*
51%
*
*
*
1%
+/-8.0
North
east
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Midwest
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Tea Pty
Support
------1%
1%
*
26%
1%
2%
*
1%
11%
*
53%
*
*
3%
1%
+/-8.0
Tea Pty
Neutral
------5%
3%
1%
12%
1%
1%
*
2%
10%
*
58%
*
3%
2%
1%
+/-7.0
Republican
-----4%
3%
1%
14%
1%
1%
*
1%
9%
*
58%
*
3%
3%
1%
+/-6.0
South
----8%
3%
1%
14%
1%
1%
*
1%
13%
1%
53%
*
1%
2%
1%
+/-8.0
Tea Pty
Oppose
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Liberal
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
West
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Moderate
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Conservative
------4%
3%
1%
19%
1%
1%
*
2%
10%
*
57%
*
*
2%
1%
+/-6.0
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
White
All
Gun Owner
Evang. Others Yes
No
----- ------ ----- ----4%
8%
N/A
N/A
3%
2%
N/A
N/A
*
1%
N/A
N/A
20%
13%
N/A
N/A
1%
1%
N/A
N/A
1%
2%
N/A
N/A
*
*
N/A
N/A
1%
2%
N/A
N/A
11%
12%
N/A
N/A
1%
*
N/A
N/A
53%
57%
N/A
N/A
*
*
N/A
N/A
1%
2%
N/A
N/A
4%
*
N/A
N/A
1%
1%
N/A
N/A
+/-8.0 +/-6.5
POLL 3
3
-53-
January 21-24, 2016

Question 9C
C. Foreign policy
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
Men
Women
White
----------------9%
9%
8%
9%
4%
4%
3%
4%
2%
2%
3%
2%
22%
21%
23%
22%
2%
2%
2%
2%
2%
3%
2%
2%
2%
2%
1%
2%
3%
4%
2%
3%
13%
13%
14%
14%
*
*
*
*
35%
36%
34%
32%
*
*
*
*
2%
*
3%
2%
2%
1%
3%
2%
2%
3%
1%
3%
+/-5.0 +/-6.5 +/-7.0 +/-5.0
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----9%
4%
2%
22%
2%
2%
2%
3%
13%
*
35%
*
2%
2%
2%
+/-5.0
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Under
Total
$50K
--------9%
8%
4%
5%
2%
2%
22%
22%
2%
1%
2%
2%
2%
2%
3%
4%
13%
7%
*
1%
35%
39%
*
*
2%
3%
2%
3%
2%
1%
+/-5.0 +/-8.5
1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
$50K
or more
------8%
4%
3%
23%
2%
2%
2%
3%
17%
*
33%
*
1%
1%
3%
+/-6.5
Non-White
--------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5064
----10%
4%
3%
21%
3%
3%
3%
1%
11%
*
38%
*
1%
1%
*
+/-8.5
College
Grad
------10%
5%
4%
25%
3%
1%
1%
5%
17%
*
21%
*
*
6%
*
+/-7.5
65+
----11%
3%
2%
17%
3%
4%
1%
2%
19%
1%
32%
*
*
1%
4%
+/-8.0
Under
55
----8%
5%
2%
27%
2%
1%
1%
4%
12%
*
32%
*
2%
3%
2%
+/-8.0
Non
College
Grad
-------7%
4%
1%
22%
2%
2%
2%
2%
12%
*
39%
*
2%
1%
3%
+/-6.5
Lean
Democrat
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
55 and
Older
-----11%
3%
3%
17%
2%
4%
3%
1%
15%
1%
36%
*
1%
1%
2%
+/-6.0
Lean
Republican
-----9%
4%
2%
22%
2%
2%
2%
3%
13%
*
35%
*
2%
2%
2%
+/-5.0
POLL 3
3
-54-
January 21-24, 2016

Question 9C
C. Foreign policy
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----9%
4%
2%
22%
2%
2%
2%
3%
13%
*
35%
*
2%
2%
2%
+/-5.0
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----9%
4%
2%
22%
2%
2%
2%
3%
13%
*
35%
*
2%
2%
2%
+/-5.0
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----9%
4%
2%
22%
2%
2%
2%
3%
13%
*
35%
*
2%
2%
2%
+/-5.0
Democrat
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Independent
-----11%
5%
2%
25%
2%
3%
2%
5%
14%
*
29%
*
*
*
1%
+/-8.0
North
east
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Midwest
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Tea Pty
Support
------5%
5%
1%
31%
2%
3%
2%
2%
13%
*
33%
*
*
3%
*
+/-8.0
Tea Pty
Neutral
------9%
4%
2%
20%
1%
2%
2%
3%
10%
*
36%
*
3%
2%
4%
+/-7.0
Republican
-----7%
3%
2%
20%
2%
2%
2%
1%
13%
*
39%
*
3%
4%
4%
+/-6.0
South
----12%
6%
3%
15%
2%
4%
1%
2%
9%
1%
37%
*
1%
2%
5%
+/-8.0
Tea Pty
Oppose
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Liberal
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
West
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Moderate
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Conservative
------8%
3%
1%
24%
2%
2%
2%
3%
14%
*
36%
*
*
2%
3%
+/-6.0
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
White
All
Gun Owner
Evang. Others Yes
No
----- ------ ----- ----9%
9%
N/A
N/A
7%
2%
N/A
N/A
1%
3%
N/A
N/A
23%
21%
N/A
N/A
2%
2%
N/A
N/A
2%
3%
N/A
N/A
1%
2%
N/A
N/A
2%
4%
N/A
N/A
11%
15%
N/A
N/A
1%
*
N/A
N/A
30%
38%
N/A
N/A
*
*
N/A
N/A
1%
2%
N/A
N/A
6%
*
N/A
N/A
5%
1%
N/A
N/A
+/-8.0 +/-6.5
POLL 3
3
-55-
January 21-24, 2016

Question 9D
D. Social issues, such as abortion and same-sex marraige
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
Men
Women
White
----------------4%
6%
3%
5%
11%
12%
9%
12%
2%
2%
2%
3%
24%
24%
24%
21%
3%
2%
4%
3%
4%
4%
3%
4%
2%
1%
3%
2%
2%
3%
*
2%
7%
8%
5%
7%
1%
1%
1%
1%
28%
27%
31%
29%
*
*
*
*
2%
1%
3%
2%
3%
3%
3%
3%
6%
5%
8%
5%
+/-5.0 +/-6.5 +/-7.0 +/-5.0
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----4%
11%
2%
24%
3%
4%
2%
2%
7%
1%
28%
*
2%
3%
6%
+/-5.0
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Under
Total
$50K
--------4%
2%
11%
11%
2%
1%
24%
26%
3%
1%
4%
5%
2%
2%
2%
4%
7%
3%
1%
2%
28%
33%
*
*
2%
3%
3%
3%
6%
3%
+/-5.0 +/-8.5
1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
$50K
or more
------6%
12%
3%
23%
5%
4%
2%
*
9%
1%
28%
*
*
3%
4%
+/-6.5
Non-White
--------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5064
----4%
11%
2%
24%
5%
6%
2%
*
11%
1%
26%
*
*
2%
5%
+/-8.5
College
Grad
------4%
16%
6%
19%
6%
4%
4%
4%
8%
3%
16%
*
*
5%
6%
+/-7.5
65+
----5%
4%
3%
21%
3%
7%
1%
*
8%
1%
33%
*
3%
4%
6%
+/-8.0
Under
55
----4%
15%
2%
24%
2%
2%
2%
3%
6%
1%
27%
*
2%
3%
7%
+/-8.0
Non
College
Grad
-------5%
9%
1%
26%
2%
4%
1%
1%
6%
1%
35%
*
2%
2%
5%
+/-6.5
Lean
Democrat
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
55 and
Older
-----6%
5%
3%
23%
5%
7%
2%
*
8%
1%
32%
*
1%
4%
4%
+/-6.0
Lean
Republican
-----4%
11%
2%
24%
3%
4%
2%
2%
7%
1%
28%
*
2%
3%
6%
+/-5.0
POLL 3
3
-56-
January 21-24, 2016

Question 9D
D. Social issues, such as abortion and same-sex marraige
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----4%
11%
2%
24%
3%
4%
2%
2%
7%
1%
28%
*
2%
3%
6%
+/-5.0
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----4%
11%
2%
24%
3%
4%
2%
2%
7%
1%
28%
*
2%
3%
6%
+/-5.0
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----4%
11%
2%
24%
3%
4%
2%
2%
7%
1%
28%
*
2%
3%
6%
+/-5.0
Democrat
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Independent
-----7%
10%
3%
22%
4%
5%
3%
2%
10%
*
19%
*
2%
2%
10%
+/-8.0
North
east
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Midwest
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Tea Pty
Support
------1%
12%
2%
36%
2%
5%
*
1%
5%
1%
28%
*
*
3%
4%
+/-8.0
Tea Pty
Neutral
------4%
11%
2%
20%
4%
4%
2%
3%
7%
2%
30%
*
2%
2%
7%
+/-7.0
Republican
-----2%
11%
2%
25%
2%
3%
1%
1%
5%
2%
35%
*
2%
4%
4%
+/-6.0
South
----4%
11%
2%
27%
3%
5%
*
*
7%
2%
30%
*
2%
4%
3%
+/-8.0
Tea Pty
Oppose
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Liberal
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
West
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Moderate
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Conservative
------2%
12%
1%
31%
3%
3%
2%
2%
8%
1%
26%
*
1%
3%
5%
+/-6.0
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
White
All
Gun Owner
Evang. Others Yes
No
----- ------ ----- ----2%
6%
N/A
N/A
11%
11%
N/A
N/A
1%
3%
N/A
N/A
28%
21%
N/A
N/A
2%
4%
N/A
N/A
4%
4%
N/A
N/A
*
3%
N/A
N/A
*
3%
N/A
N/A
7%
7%
N/A
N/A
3%
*
N/A
N/A
34%
25%
N/A
N/A
*
*
N/A
N/A
*
3%
N/A
N/A
4%
2%
N/A
N/A
5%
7%
N/A
N/A
+/-8.0 +/-6.5
POLL 3
3
-57-
January 21-24, 2016

Question 10A
Now I'm going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me
for. Which Republican candidate do you think:
A. Has the best chance of winning in the general election in November
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
Men
Women
White
----------------3%
5%
1%
4%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
2%
*
2%
16%
14%
18%
16%
1%
*
1%
1%
*
*
*
*
1%
1%
*
1%
*
1%
*
*
10%
9%
10%
10%
*
*
1%
*
63%
63%
62%
61%
*
*
*
*
1%
*
2%
1%
*
*
*
*
3%
2%
4%
3%
+/-5.0 +/-6.5 +/-7.0 +/-5.0
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----3%
1%
1%
16%
1%
*
1%
*
10%
*
63%
*
1%
*
3%
+/-5.0
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Under
Total
$50K
--------3%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
16%
16%
1%
*
*
1%
1%
1%
*
1%
10%
7%
*
1%
63%
68%
*
*
1%
*
*
1%
3%
2%
+/-5.0 +/-8.5
1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
$50K
or more
------5%
1%
1%
16%
2%
*
*
*
10%
*
61%
*
*
*
2%
+/-6.5
Non-White
--------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5064
----5%
1%
*
16%
1%
1%
1%
1%
8%
*
65%
*
*
*
*
+/-8.5
College
Grad
------5%
1%
1%
15%
2%
*
1%
*
20%
1%
48%
*
3%
1%
2%
+/-7.5
65+
----2%
2%
4%
24%
*
*
1%
1%
12%
1%
47%
*
*
1%
6%
+/-8.0
Under
55
----3%
1%
1%
13%
1%
*
*
1%
9%
*
68%
*
1%
*
2%
+/-8.0
Non
College
Grad
-------3%
1%
*
17%
*
*
*
1%
5%
*
68%
*
*
*
3%
+/-6.5
Lean
Democrat
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
55 and
Older
-----3%
2%
2%
20%
1%
*
1%
*
10%
1%
55%
*
*
1%
3%
+/-6.0
Lean
Republican
-----3%
1%
1%
16%
1%
*
1%
*
10%
*
63%
*
1%
*
3%
+/-5.0
POLL 3
3
-58-
January 21-24, 2016

Question 10A
A. Has the best chance of winning in the general election in November
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----3%
1%
1%
16%
1%
*
1%
*
10%
*
63%
*
1%
*
3%
+/-5.0
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----3%
1%
1%
16%
1%
*
1%
*
10%
*
63%
*
1%
*
3%
+/-5.0
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----3%
1%
1%
16%
1%
*
1%
*
10%
*
63%
*
1%
*
3%
+/-5.0
Democrat
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Independent
-----4%
1%
3%
15%
2%
*
1%
1%
9%
*
63%
*
*
*
3%
+/-8.0
North
east
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Midwest
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Tea Pty
Support
------1%
*
*
27%
1%
1%
1%
*
10%
*
56%
*
3%
*
1%
+/-8.0
Tea Pty
Neutral
------5%
2%
1%
13%
1%
*
*
1%
7%
1%
66%
*
*
*
3%
+/-7.0
Republican
-----3%
1%
*
17%
*
*
*
*
10%
1%
62%
*
1%
1%
2%
+/-6.0
South
----7%
1%
2%
18%
1%
*
1%
1%
8%
1%
58%
*
*
1%
2%
+/-8.0
Tea Pty
Oppose
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Liberal
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
West
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Moderate
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Conservative
------3%
2%
1%
19%
1%
*
1%
*
10%
1%
58%
*
1%
*
4%
+/-6.0
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
White
All
Gun Owner
Evang. Others Yes
No
----- ------ ----- ----2%
4%
N/A
N/A
3%
*
N/A
N/A
*
2%
N/A
N/A
19%
14%
N/A
N/A
*
1%
N/A
N/A
*
*
N/A
N/A
1%
*
N/A
N/A
*
1%
N/A
N/A
8%
11%
N/A
N/A
1%
*
N/A
N/A
62%
63%
N/A
N/A
*
*
N/A
N/A
2%
*
N/A
N/A
1%
*
N/A
N/A
1%
3%
N/A
N/A
+/-8.0 +/-6.5
POLL 3
3
-59-
January 21-24, 2016

Question 10B
B. Best represents the values of Republicans like yourself
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
Men
Women
White
----------------6%
6%
7%
6%
9%
9%
8%
9%
2%
3%
1%
2%
25%
24%
26%
26%
1%
2%
1%
1%
3%
4%
2%
3%
1%
2%
1%
1%
4%
5%
2%
4%
9%
9%
10%
9%
1%
1%
*
1%
34%
35%
32%
31%
*
*
*
*
1%
*
3%
1%
2%
*
4%
2%
2%
1%
3%
2%
+/-5.0 +/-6.5 +/-7.0 +/-5.0
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----6%
9%
2%
25%
1%
3%
1%
4%
9%
1%
34%
*
1%
2%
2%
+/-5.0
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Under
Total
$50K
--------6%
3%
9%
10%
2%
1%
25%
24%
1%
1%
3%
6%
1%
1%
4%
6%
9%
7%
1%
1%
34%
35%
*
*
1%
*
2%
4%
2%
2%
+/-5.0 +/-8.5
1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
$50K
or more
------6%
8%
3%
29%
2%
1%
2%
3%
10%
*
34%
*
1%
1%
1%
+/-6.5
Non-White
--------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5064
----9%
6%
1%
27%
3%
5%
3%
1%
9%
1%
29%
*
1%
1%
2%
+/-8.5
College
Grad
------9%
9%
5%
22%
2%
*
2%
9%
16%
2%
18%
*
3%
1%
2%
+/-7.5
65+
----7%
4%
3%
23%
1%
5%
1%
3%
12%
*
34%
*
*
1%
6%
+/-8.0
Under
55
----4%
12%
2%
26%
1%
1%
*
6%
8%
1%
35%
*
1%
2%
1%
+/-8.0
Non
College
Grad
-------3%
9%
1%
27%
1%
4%
1%
2%
6%
*
40%
*
*
2%
2%
+/-6.5
Lean
Democrat
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
55 and
Older
-----8%
5%
1%
25%
2%
6%
3%
2%
10%
1%
32%
*
1%
1%
4%
+/-6.0
Lean
Republican
-----6%
9%
2%
25%
1%
3%
1%
4%
9%
1%
34%
*
1%
2%
2%
+/-5.0
POLL 3
3
-60-
January 21-24, 2016

Question 10B
B. Best represents the values of Republicans like yourself
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----6%
9%
2%
25%
1%
3%
1%
4%
9%
1%
34%
*
1%
2%
2%
+/-5.0
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----6%
9%
2%
25%
1%
3%
1%
4%
9%
1%
34%
*
1%
2%
2%
+/-5.0
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----6%
9%
2%
25%
1%
3%
1%
4%
9%
1%
34%
*
1%
2%
2%
+/-5.0
Democrat
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Independent
-----8%
8%
2%
32%
2%
3%
2%
5%
10%
*
26%
*
*
*
2%
+/-8.0
North
east
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Midwest
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Tea Pty
Support
------1%
12%
2%
36%
1%
1%
*
5%
9%
*
28%
*
3%
*
1%
+/-8.0
Tea Pty
Neutral
------6%
8%
2%
21%
2%
4%
1%
3%
8%
1%
38%
*
*
3%
3%
+/-7.0
Republican
-----5%
9%
2%
20%
1%
3%
1%
3%
9%
1%
39%
*
2%
3%
2%
+/-6.0
South
----12%
10%
2%
21%
1%
3%
*
2%
10%
1%
34%
*
1%
1%
3%
+/-8.0
Tea Pty
Oppose
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Liberal
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
West
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Moderate
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Conservative
------3%
9%
1%
30%
2%
2%
1%
4%
8%
*
36%
*
1%
*
2%
+/-6.0
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
White
All
Gun Owner
Evang. Others Yes
No
----- ------ ----- ----3%
8%
N/A
N/A
12%
7%
N/A
N/A
2%
2%
N/A
N/A
30%
22%
N/A
N/A
1%
1%
N/A
N/A
2%
4%
N/A
N/A
1%
2%
N/A
N/A
2%
5%
N/A
N/A
8%
10%
N/A
N/A
2%
*
N/A
N/A
32%
34%
N/A
N/A
*
*
N/A
N/A
3%
*
N/A
N/A
1%
2%
N/A
N/A
2%
2%
N/A
N/A
+/-8.0 +/-6.5
POLL 3
3
-61-
January 21-24, 2016

Question 17A/17B
Q17A. If Hillary Clinton were the Democratic Party's candidate and Donald Trump were the Republican
Party's candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for -- ?
Q17B. As of today, do you lean more toward -- ?
Total
Men
Women
White
----------------Hillary Clinton, the Democrat
48%
39%
57%
38%
Donald Trump, the Republican
47%
57%
37%
57%
Other
1%
*
2%
1%
Neither
4%
4%
4%
5%
No opinion
*
*
*
*
Sampling Error
+/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5
Total
----Hillary Clinton, the Democrat
48%
47%
Other
1%
Neither
4%
No opinion
*
Sampling Error
+/-3.5
1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Under
Total
$50K
--------Hillary Clinton, the Democrat
48%
49%
47%
44%
Other
1%
1%
Neither
4%
5%
No opinion
*
*
Sampling Error
+/-3.5 +/-5.5
3549
----47%
47%
3%
1%
1%
+/-7.5
Non-White
--------72%
22%
2%
3%
1%
+/-7.0
5064
----43%
51%
1%
5%
*
+/-5.5
$50K
or more
------49%
47%
1%
3%
*
+/-4.5
65+
----43%
53%
*
4%
*
+/-5.5
College
Grad
------56%
37%
2%
5%
1%
+/-5.0
Independent
-----43%
47%
2%
7%
1%
+/-5.0
Republican
-----4%
92%
1%
4%
*
+/-6.0
Under
55
----51%
43%
2%
4%
*
+/-5.5
Non
College
Grad
-------45%
50%
1%
4%
*
+/-4.5
Lean
Democrat
-----87%
10%
1%
2%
*
+/-4.5
Liberal
----77%
15%
3%
6%
*
+/-7.0
Moderate
----58%
38%
*
4%
*
+/-5.5
55 and
Older
-----44%
52%
*
4%
*
+/-4.0
Lean
Republican
-----9%
87%
1%
3%
*
+/-5.0
Total
48%
47%
Other
1%
Neither
4%
No opinion
*
Sampling Error
+/-3.5
Democrat
----93%
6%
*
1%
*
+/-5.5
Total
48%
47%
Other
1%
Neither
4%
No opinion
*
Sampling Error
+/-3.5
North
east
----60%
39%
*
1%
*
+/-7.0
Midwest
----49%
44%
*
6%
*
+/-7.0
South
----43%
51%
1%
5%
*
+/-5.5
Total
48%
47%
Other
1%
Neither
4%
No opinion
*
Sampling Error
+/-3.5
Tea Pty
Support
------13%
82%
*
4%
*
+/-7.5
Tea Pty
Neutral
------43%
51%
1%
6%
*
+/-5.0
Tea Pty White

All
Gun Owner
No
------- ----- ------ ----- ----80%
23%
56%
N/A
N/A
15%
74%
38%
N/A
N/A
2%
*
1%
N/A
N/A
2%
3%
4%
N/A
N/A
*
*
*
N/A
N/A
+/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-3.5
West
----43%
50%
2%
5%
1%
+/-7.0
Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Conservative
------21%
77%
1%
1%
*
+/-5.5
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
POLL 3
3
-62-
January 21-24, 2016

Question 18A/18B
Q18A. If Hillary Clinton were the Democratic Party's candidate and Marco Rubio were the Republican
Total
Men
Women
White
47%
39%
54%
37%
Marco Rubio, the Republican
50%
59%
41%
60%
Other
1%
*
1%
*
Neither
2%
1%
2%
2%
No opinion
1%
1%
1%
1%
Sampling Error
+/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5
Total
47%
50%
Other
1%
Neither
2%
No opinion
1%
Sampling Error
+/-3.5
1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Under
Total
$50K
47%
51%
50%
44%
Other
1%
1%
Neither
2%
2%
No opinion
1%
1%
Sampling Error
+/-3.5 +/-5.5
3549
----44%
51%
1%
1%
3%
+/-7.5
Non-White
--------72%
24%
1%
2%
1%
+/-7.0
5064
----45%
52%
*
3%
*
+/-5.5
$50K
or more
------46%
52%
*
2%
*
+/-4.5
65+
----42%
55%
1%
1%
1%
+/-5.5
College
Grad
------52%
44%
1%
2%
1%
+/-5.0
Independent
-----42%
53%
1%
3%
2%
+/-5.0
Republican
-----6%
92%
1%
2%
*
+/-6.0
Under
55
----50%
47%
1%
1%
1%
+/-5.5
Non
College
Grad
-------45%
52%
*
2%
1%
+/-4.5
Lean
Democrat
-----87%
11%
1%
*
*
+/-4.5
Liberal
----81%
15%
2%
2%
*
+/-7.0
Moderate
----59%
39%
*
1%
1%
+/-5.5
55 and
Older
-----43%
53%
*
3%
1%
+/-4.0
Lean
Republican
-----9%
90%
*
2%
*
+/-5.0
Total
47%
50%
Other
1%
Neither
2%
No opinion
1%
Sampling Error
+/-3.5
Democrat
----91%
9%
*
*
*
+/-5.5
Total
47%
50%
Other
1%
Neither
2%
No opinion
1%
Sampling Error
+/-3.5
North
east
----59%
40%
*
1%
*
+/-7.0
Midwest
----48%
49%
*
1%
3%
+/-7.0
South
----43%
55%
1%
1%
*
+/-5.5
Total
47%
50%
Other
1%
Neither
2%
No opinion
1%
Sampling Error
+/-3.5
Tea Pty
Support
------14%
82%
1%
3%
*
+/-7.5
Tea Pty
Neutral
------40%
57%
*
2%
1%
+/-5.0
Tea Pty White

All
Gun Owner
No
------- ----- ------ ----- ----82%
21%
55%
N/A
N/A
16%
75%
42%
N/A
N/A
1%
*
1%
N/A
N/A
*
1%
2%
N/A
N/A
*
2%
1%
N/A
N/A
+/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-3.5
West
----42%
51%
1%
5%
1%
+/-7.0
Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Conservative
------15%
81%
*
1%
2%
+/-5.5
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
POLL 3
3
-63-
January 21-24, 2016

Question 19A/19B
Q19A. If Hillary Clinton were the Democratic Party's candidate and Ted Cruz were the Republican
Total
Men
Women
White
47%
42%
52%
37%
Ted Cruz, the Republican
50%
55%
44%
60%
Other
1%
*
1%
*
Neither
2%
2%
3%
2%
No opinion
*
*
*
*
Sampling Error
+/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5
Total
47%
50%
Other
1%
Neither
2%
No opinion
*
Sampling Error
+/-3.5
1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Under
Total
$50K
47%
47%
50%
50%
Other
1%
1%
Neither
2%
2%
No opinion
*
*
Sampling Error
+/-3.5 +/-5.5
3549
----42%
54%
1%
2%
*
+/-7.5
Non-White
--------70%
25%
1%
3%
*
+/-7.0
5064
----48%
48%
*
4%
*
+/-5.5
$50K
or more
------48%
50%
*
2%
*
+/-4.5
65+
----43%
55%
1%
1%
1%
+/-5.5
College
Grad
------54%
41%
1%
3%
*
+/-5.0
Independent
-----40%
55%
1%
4%
*
+/-5.0
Republican
-----6%
90%
1%
2%
1%
+/-6.0
Under
55
----49%
49%
1%
2%
*
+/-5.5
Non
College
Grad
-------44%
53%
*
2%
*
+/-4.5
Lean
Democrat
-----87%
12%
1%
*
*
+/-4.5
Liberal
----78%
19%
2%
1%
*
+/-7.0
Moderate
----60%
37%
*
3%
*
+/-5.5
55 and
Older
-----45%
51%
*
3%
1%
+/-4.0
Lean
Republican
-----8%
89%
*
2%
*
+/-5.0
Total
47%
50%
Other
1%
Neither
2%
No opinion
*
Sampling Error
+/-3.5
Democrat
----93%
7%
*
*
*
+/-5.5
Total
47%
50%
Other
1%
Neither
2%
No opinion
*
Sampling Error
+/-3.5
North
east
----60%
39%
*
*
*
+/-7.0
Midwest
----49%
50%
*
1%
*
+/-7.0
South
----41%
56%
1%
2%
*
+/-5.5
Total
47%
50%
Other
1%
Neither
2%
No opinion
*
Sampling Error
+/-3.5
Tea Pty
Support
------14%
82%
1%
3%
*
+/-7.5
Tea Pty
Neutral
------39%
57%
*
3%
1%
+/-5.0
Tea Pty White

All
Gun Owner
No
------- ----- ------ ----- ----82%
19%
56%
N/A
N/A
16%
79%
41%
N/A
N/A
1%
*
1%
N/A
N/A
1%
2%
2%
N/A
N/A
*
*
*
N/A
N/A
+/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-3.5
West
----42%
51%
1%
6%
*
+/-7.0
Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Conservative
------16%
82%
*
1%
*
+/-5.5
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
POLL 3
3
-64-
January 21-24, 2016

Question 20A/20B
Q20A. If Bernie Sanders were the Democratic Party's candidate and Donald Trump were the Republican
Bernie Sanders, the Democrat

Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
Men
Women
White
----------------50%
41%
58%
41%
47%
56%
37%
55%
*
*
*
1%
3%
3%
4%
3%
*
*
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5

Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----50%
47%
*
3%
*
+/-3.5

Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error
Under
Total
$50K
--------50%
52%
47%
44%
*
*
3%
4%
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-5.5

Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----50%
47%
*
3%
*
+/-3.5
Democrat
----88%
11%
*
*
*
+/-5.5

Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----50%
47%
*
3%
*
+/-3.5
North
east
----52%
45%
*
2%
*
+/-7.0
Midwest
----53%
44%
*
3%
*
+/-7.0
South
----49%
47%
1%
3%
*
+/-5.5

Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----50%
47%
*
3%
*
+/-3.5
Tea Pty
Support
------17%
80%
*
3%
*
+/-7.5
Tea Pty
Neutral
------44%
51%
1%
4%
*
+/-5.0
Tea Pty White

All
Gun Owner
No
------- ----- ------ ----- ----82%
25%
57%
N/A
N/A
16%
72%
39%
N/A
N/A
*
1%
*
N/A
N/A
2%
3%
4%
N/A
N/A
*
*
*
N/A
N/A
+/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-3.5
1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3549
----50%
47%
*
4%
*
+/-7.5
Non-White
--------73%
24%
*
3%
*
+/-7.0
5064
----48%
47%
1%
4%
*
+/-5.5
$50K
or more
------49%
48%
*
2%
*
+/-4.5
65+
----47%
51%
*
1%
*
+/-5.5
College
Grad
------60%
35%
*
4%
*
+/-5.0
Independent
-----49%
47%
*
4%
*
+/-5.0
Republican
-----8%
86%
1%
5%
*
+/-6.0
Under
55
----53%
43%
*
4%
*
+/-5.5
Non
College
Grad
-------45%
52%
*
3%
*
+/-4.5
Lean
Democrat
-----88%
12%
*
1%
*
+/-4.5
Liberal
----80%
16%
*
3%
*
+/-7.0
Moderate
----59%
37%
1%
3%
*
+/-5.5
West
----46%
49%
*
5%
*
+/-7.0
Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
55 and
Older
-----46%
51%
1%
2%
*
+/-4.0
Lean
Republican
-----12%
84%
*
3%
*
+/-5.0
Conservative
------22%
76%
*
1%
*
+/-5.5
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
POLL 3
3
-65-
January 21-24, 2016

Question 21A/21B
Q21A. If Bernie Sanders were the Democratic Party's candidate and Marco Rubio were the Republican

Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
Men
Women
White
----------------49%
47%
51%
41%
48%
51%
46%
56%
*
*
*
*
2%
1%
2%
2%
1%
1%
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5

Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----49%
48%
*
2%
1%
+/-3.5

Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error
Under
Total
$50K
--------49%
54%
48%
43%
*
*
2%
2%
1%
1%
+/-3.5 +/-5.5

Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----49%
48%
*
2%
1%
+/-3.5
Democrat
----84%
14%
*
1%
1%
+/-5.5

Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----49%
48%
*
2%
1%
+/-3.5
North
east
----57%
42%
*
1%
*
+/-7.0
Midwest
----48%
50%
*
1%
1%
+/-7.0
South
----48%
51%
*
1%
*
+/-5.5

Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----49%
48%
*
2%
1%
+/-3.5
Tea Pty
Support
------22%
74%
1%
3%
*
+/-7.5
Tea Pty
Neutral
------45%
52%
*
2%
1%
+/-5.0
Tea Pty White

All
Gun Owner
No
------- ----- ------ ----- ----74%
25%
56%
N/A
N/A
24%
73%
41%
N/A
N/A
*
*
*
N/A
N/A
1%
2%
2%
N/A
N/A
*
1%
*
N/A
N/A
+/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-3.5
1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3549
----50%
48%
*
1%
1%
+/-7.5
Non-White
--------69%
28%
*
2%
1%
+/-7.0
5064
----48%
49%
*
2%
*
+/-5.5
$50K
or more
------47%
51%
*
2%
*
+/-4.5
65+
----44%
52%
1%
2%
1%
+/-5.5
College
Grad
------52%
44%
*
2%
1%
+/-5.0
Independent
-----48%
49%
*
3%
1%
+/-5.0
Republican
-----11%
87%
1%
2%
*
+/-6.0
Under
55
----51%
47%
*
1%
1%
+/-5.5
Non
College
Grad
-------47%
50%
*
2%
*
+/-4.5
Lean
Democrat
-----83%
16%
*
*
*
+/-4.5
Liberal
----77%
20%
*
2%
*
+/-7.0
Moderate
----58%
39%
*
2%
1%
+/-5.5
West
----44%
49%
1%
5%
1%
+/-7.0
Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
55 and
Older
-----46%
50%
1%
3%
*
+/-4.0
Lean
Republican
-----15%
84%
*
1%
*
+/-5.0
Conservative
------21%
77%
*
1%
*
+/-5.5
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
POLL 3
3
-66-
January 21-24, 2016

Question 22A/22B
Q22A. If Bernie Sanders were the Democratic Party's candidate and Ted Cruz were the Republican

Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
Men
Women
White
----------------50%
49%
51%
43%
47%
49%
45%
54%
*
1%
*
1%
3%
1%
4%
2%
*
*
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5

Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----50%
47%
*
3%
*
+/-3.5

Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error
Under
Total
$50K
--------50%
54%
47%
43%
*
1%
3%
2%
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-5.5

Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----50%
47%
*
3%
*
+/-3.5
Democrat
----85%
12%
1%
3%
*
+/-5.5

Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----50%
47%
*
3%
*
+/-3.5
North
east
----56%
43%
*
2%
*
+/-7.0
Midwest
----54%
45%
1%
*
*
+/-7.0
South
----46%
51%
*
3%
*
+/-5.5

Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----50%
47%
*
3%
*
+/-3.5
Tea Pty
Support
------19%
77%
1%
3%
*
+/-7.5
Tea Pty
Neutral
------44%
52%
*
3%
*
+/-5.0
Tea Pty White

All
Gun Owner
No
------- ----- ------ ----- ----82%
26%
57%
N/A
N/A
17%
73%
39%
N/A
N/A
*
*
1%
N/A
N/A
1%
1%
3%
N/A
N/A
*
*
1%
N/A
N/A
+/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-3.5
1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3549
----45%
50%
*
4%
1%
+/-7.5
Non-White
--------67%
28%
*
4%
1%
+/-7.0
5064
----53%
44%
1%
2%
*
+/-5.5
$50K
or more
------47%
49%
*
3%
*
+/-4.5
65+
----45%
52%
1%
2%
*
+/-5.5
College
Grad
------57%
39%
*
3%
1%
+/-5.0
Independent
-----46%
50%
*
3%
1%
+/-5.0
Republican
-----16%
82%
*
2%
*
+/-6.0
Under
55
----51%
45%
*
3%
1%
+/-5.5
Non
College
Grad
-------46%
51%
1%
3%
*
+/-4.5
Lean
Democrat
-----84%
13%
*
2%
*
+/-4.5
Liberal
----83%
12%
*
4%
*
+/-7.0
Moderate
----59%
39%
1%
2%
*
+/-5.5
West
----47%
46%
1%
5%
1%
+/-7.0
Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
55 and
Older
-----48%
48%
1%
3%
*
+/-4.0
Lean
Republican
-----15%
83%
*
1%
*
+/-5.0
Conservative
------20%
78%
*
2%
*
+/-5.5
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
POLL 3
3
-67-
January 21-24, 2016

Question 23A
We'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say
if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of these people -- or if you have never heard of
them.
A. Jeb Bush
Base = Total Sample
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
Men
Women
White
----------------35%
37%
34%
39%
51%
52%
50%
47%
8%
7%
9%
8%
6%
4%
7%
5%
*
*
*
*
+/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----35%
51%
8%
6%
*
+/-3.0
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Under
Total
$50K
--------35%
30%
51%
53%
8%
9%
6%
8%
*
*
+/-3.0 +/-5.0
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----35%
51%
8%
6%
*
+/-3.0
Democrat
----29%
58%
7%
6%
*
+/-5.5
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----35%
51%
8%
6%
*
+/-3.0
North
east
----29%
58%
8%
4%
*
+/-6.5
Midwest
----32%
48%
9%
10%
*
+/-6.5
South
----37%
52%
7%
4%
*
+/-5.5
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----35%
51%
8%
6%
*
+/-3.0
Tea Pty
Support
------34%
54%
5%
7%
*
+/-7.5
Tea Pty
Neutral
------37%
45%
10%
8%
*
+/-4.5
Tea Pty White

All
Gun Owner
No
------- ----- ------ ----- ----35%
42%
34%
N/A
N/A
59%
44%
53%
N/A
N/A
5%
11%
7%
N/A
N/A
*
3%
6%
N/A
N/A
*
*
*
N/A
N/A
+/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-3.5
1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3549
----32%
52%
12%
4%
*
+/-7.0
Non-White
--------28%
57%
7%
8%
*
+/-6.5
5064
----38%
54%
6%
2%
*
+/-5.5
$50K
or more
------42%
50%
6%
2%
*
+/-4.5
65+
----49%
45%
5%
1%
*
+/-5.0
College
Grad
------43%
47%
8%
2%
*
+/-4.5
Independent
-----33%
52%
10%
5%
*
+/-5.0
Republican
-----47%
40%
6%
7%
*
+/-6.0
Under
55
----30%
51%
10%
8%
*
+/-5.0
Non
College
Grad
-------32%
53%
8%
7%
*
+/-4.0
Lean
Democrat
-----29%
57%
10%
4%
*
+/-4.5
Liberal
----30%
53%
10%
7%
*
+/-6.5
Moderate
----37%
53%
6%
4%
*
+/-5.0
West
----40%
45%
9%
5%
*
+/-6.5
Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
55 and
Older
-----45%
50%
4%
1%
*
+/-4.0
Lean
Republican
-----44%
45%
5%
7%
*
+/-4.5
Conservative
------40%
48%
9%
3%
*
+/-5.0
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
POLL 3
3
-68-
January 21-24, 2016

Question 23A
them.
A. Jeb Bush
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
Men
Women
White
----------------39%
40%
37%
44%
52%
52%
53%
48%
7%
7%
7%
6%
2%
1%
3%
2%
*
*
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----39%
52%
7%
2%
*
+/-3.5
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Under
Total
$50K
--------39%
35%
52%
55%
7%
7%
2%
3%
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-5.5
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----39%
52%
7%
2%
*
+/-3.5
Democrat
----31%
58%
7%
4%
*
+/-5.5
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----39%
52%
7%
2%
*
+/-3.5
North
east
----34%
59%
6%
1%
*
+/-7.0
Midwest
----37%
51%
7%
6%
*
+/-7.0
South
----40%
53%
5%
1%
*
+/-5.5
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----39%
52%
7%
2%
*
+/-3.5
Tea Pty
Support
------38%
55%
5%
2%
*
+/-7.5
Tea Pty
Neutral
------41%
47%
9%
3%
*
+/-5.0
Tea Pty White

All
Gun Owner
No
------- ----- ------ ----- ----39%
45%
37%
N/A
N/A
59%
46%
54%
N/A
N/A
2%
6%
7%
N/A
N/A
*
2%
2%
N/A
N/A
*
*
*
N/A
N/A
+/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-3.5
1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3549
----34%
55%
9%
3%
*
+/-7.5
Non-White
--------27%
61%
9%
2%
*
+/-7.0
5064
----38%
56%
6%
1%
*
+/-5.5
$50K
or more
------43%
52%
5%
*
*
+/-4.5
65+
----51%
44%
5%
1%
*
+/-5.5
College
Grad
------45%
46%
7%
1%
*
+/-5.0
Independent
-----38%
54%
9%
*
*
+/-5.0
Republican
-----50%
43%
4%
3%
*
+/-6.0
Under
55
----34%
54%
9%
3%
*
+/-5.5
Non
College
Grad
-------35%
55%
7%
2%
*
+/-4.5
Lean
Democrat
-----31%
59%
8%
3%
*
+/-4.5
Liberal
----30%
58%
10%
2%
*
+/-7.0
Moderate
----41%
53%
4%
3%
*
+/-5.5
West
----43%
46%
11%
*
*
+/-7.0
Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
55 and
Older
-----46%
49%
4%
1%
*
+/-4.0
Lean
Republican
-----48%
46%
4%
2%
*
+/-5.0
Conservative
------44%
49%
7%
*
*
+/-5.5
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
POLL 3
3
-69-
January 21-24, 2016

Question 23B
them.
B. Ben Carson
Base = Total Sample
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
Men
Women
White
----------------43%
46%
39%
50%
34%
33%
34%
31%
10%
11%
9%
7%
14%
10%
18%
13%
*
*
*
*
+/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----43%
34%
10%
14%
*
+/-3.0
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Under
Total
$50K
--------43%
38%
34%
31%
10%
11%
14%
20%
*
*
+/-3.0 +/-5.0
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----43%
34%
10%
14%
*
+/-3.0
Democrat
----24%
54%
9%
13%
*
+/-5.5
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----43%
34%
10%
14%
*
+/-3.0
North
east
----41%
43%
7%
8%
*
+/-6.5
Midwest
----43%
33%
8%
15%
*
+/-6.5
South
----47%
31%
10%
12%
*
+/-5.5
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----43%
34%
10%
14%
*
+/-3.0
Tea Pty
Support
------70%
17%
5%
8%
*
+/-7.5
Tea Pty
Neutral
------45%
26%
10%
19%
*
+/-4.5
Tea Pty White

All
Gun Owner
No
------- ----- ------ ----- ----22%
63%
37%
N/A
N/A
60%
16%
38%
N/A
N/A
10%
8%
11%
N/A
N/A
8%
13%
14%
N/A
N/A
*
*
*
N/A
N/A
+/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-3.5
1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3549
----43%
33%
11%
13%
*
+/-7.0
Non-White
--------28%
39%
15%
18%
*
+/-6.5
5064
----43%
37%
11%
10%
*
+/-5.5
$50K
or more
------45%
38%
8%
9%
*
+/-4.5
65+
----52%
31%
8%
9%
*
+/-5.0
College
Grad
------45%
43%
7%
6%
*
+/-4.5
Independent
-----40%
31%
12%
16%
*
+/-5.0
Republican
-----69%
14%
6%
11%
*
+/-6.0
Under
55
----39%
33%
10%
17%
*
+/-5.0
Non
College
Grad
-------41%
30%
11%
18%
*
+/-4.0
Lean
Democrat
-----25%
50%
12%
14%
*
+/-4.5
Liberal
----22%
47%
10%
20%
*
+/-6.5
Moderate
----37%
39%
12%
12%
*
+/-5.0
West
----36%
29%
14%
20%
*
+/-6.5
Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
55 and
Older
-----48%
34%
9%
8%
*
+/-4.0
Lean
Republican
-----67%
17%
5%
11%
*
+/-4.5
Conservative
------66%
19%
8%
7%
*
+/-5.0
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
POLL 3
3
-70-
January 21-24, 2016

Question 23B
them.
B. Ben Carson
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
Men
Women
White
----------------46%
51%
42%
52%
35%
33%
38%
33%
9%
8%
10%
7%
9%
8%
10%
9%
*
*
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----46%
35%
9%
9%
*
+/-3.5
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Under
Total
$50K
--------46%
44%
35%
32%
9%
11%
9%
13%
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-5.5
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----46%
35%
9%
9%
*
+/-3.5
Democrat
----26%
54%
10%
10%
*
+/-5.5
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----46%
35%
9%
9%
*
+/-3.5
North
east
----44%
44%
7%
5%
*
+/-7.0
Midwest
----49%
37%
8%
6%
*
+/-7.0
South
----50%
32%
8%
10%
*
+/-5.5
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----46%
35%
9%
9%
*
+/-3.5
Tea Pty
Support
------74%
19%
5%
2%
*
+/-7.5
Tea Pty
Neutral
------49%
28%
9%
14%
*
+/-5.0
Tea Pty White

All
Gun Owner
No
------- ----- ------ ----- ----25%
65%
41%
N/A
N/A
60%
17%
41%
N/A
N/A
9%
7%
10%
N/A
N/A
6%
11%
9%
N/A
N/A
*
*
*
N/A
N/A
+/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-3.5
1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3549
----43%
36%
10%
11%
*
+/-7.5
Non-White
--------34%
41%
14%
11%
*
+/-7.0
5064
----45%
40%
10%
5%
*
+/-5.5
$50K
or more
------47%
40%
6%
7%
*
+/-4.5
65+
----52%
32%
8%
8%
*
+/-5.5
College
Grad
------49%
41%
6%
4%
*
+/-5.0
Independent
-----44%
34%
12%
9%
*
+/-5.0
Republican
-----73%
16%
4%
7%
*
+/-6.0
Under
55
----44%
36%
10%
10%
*
+/-5.5
Non
College
Grad
-------45%
33%
11%
12%
*
+/-4.5
Lean
Democrat
-----27%
51%
12%
10%
*
+/-4.5
Liberal
----23%
51%
12%
13%
*
+/-7.0
Moderate
----42%
41%
9%
8%
*
+/-5.5
West
----41%
32%
13%
13%
*
+/-7.0
Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
55 and
Older
-----50%
35%
8%
7%
*
+/-4.0
Lean
Republican
-----71%
19%
4%
6%
*
+/-5.0
Conservative
------70%
18%
7%
5%
*
+/-5.5
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
POLL 3
3
-71-
January 21-24, 2016

Question 23C
them.
C. Chris Christie
Base = Total Sample
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
Men
Women
White
----------------36%
38%
34%
42%
40%
43%
37%
38%
9%
8%
11%
9%
15%
11%
18%
11%
*
*
*
*
+/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----36%
40%
9%
15%
*
+/-3.0
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Under
Total
$50K
--------36%
31%
40%
40%
9%
10%
15%
19%
*
*
+/-3.0 +/-5.0
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----36%
40%
9%
15%
*
+/-3.0
Democrat
----28%
45%
10%
16%
*
+/-5.5
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----36%
40%
9%
15%
*
+/-3.0
North
east
----37%
46%
9%
8%
*
+/-6.5
Midwest
----35%
38%
11%
17%
*
+/-6.5
South
----35%
40%
10%
16%
*
+/-5.5
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----36%
40%
9%
15%
*
+/-3.0
Tea Pty
Support
------50%
29%
8%
13%
*
+/-7.5
Tea Pty
Neutral
------34%
36%
10%
20%
*
+/-4.5
Tea Pty White

All
Gun Owner
No
------- ----- ------ ----- ----31%
48%
32%
N/A
N/A
55%
28%
43%
N/A
N/A
7%
13%
9%
N/A
N/A
7%
11%
16%
N/A
N/A
*
*
*
N/A
N/A
+/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-3.5
1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3549
----36%
35%
13%
16%
*
+/-7.0
Non-White
--------22%
43%
11%
24%
*
+/-6.5
5064
----39%
42%
11%
8%
*
+/-5.5
$50K
or more
------38%
43%
8%
11%
*
+/-4.5
65+
----49%
36%
9%
6%
*
+/-5.0
College
Grad
------40%
47%
9%
4%
*
+/-4.5
Independent
-----32%
44%
8%
15%
*
+/-5.0
Republican
-----52%
24%
11%
13%
*
+/-6.0
Under
55
----30%
41%
9%
20%
*
+/-5.0
Non
College
Grad
-------34%
37%
10%
20%
*
+/-4.0
Lean
Democrat
-----25%
49%
9%
17%
*
+/-4.5
Liberal
----22%
49%
8%
21%
*
+/-6.5
Moderate
----32%
44%
9%
15%
*
+/-5.0
West
----37%
36%
8%
19%
*
+/-6.5
Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
55 and
Older
-----47%
38%
9%
5%
*
+/-4.0
Lean
Republican
-----51%
30%
7%
11%
*
+/-4.5
Conservative
------54%
28%
11%
7%
*
+/-5.0
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
POLL 3
3
-72-
January 21-24, 2016

Question 23C
them.
C. Chris Christie
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
Men
Women
White
----------------41%
44%
38%
46%
40%
41%
38%
38%
9%
7%
11%
8%
11%
8%
14%
7%
*
*
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----41%
40%
9%
11%
*
+/-3.5
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Under
Total
$50K
--------41%
37%
40%
38%
9%
10%
11%
14%
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-5.5
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----41%
40%
9%
11%
*
+/-3.5
Democrat
----31%
45%
10%
14%
*
+/-5.5
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----41%
40%
9%
11%
*
+/-3.5
North
east
----42%
45%
10%
3%
*
+/-7.0
Midwest
----39%
42%
11%
9%
*
+/-7.0
South
----40%
38%
8%
14%
*
+/-5.5
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----41%
40%
9%
11%
*
+/-3.5
Tea Pty
Support
------55%
29%
8%
8%
*
+/-7.5
Tea Pty
Neutral
------39%
36%
9%
15%
*
+/-5.0
Tea Pty White

All
Gun Owner
No
------- ----- ------ ----- ----35%
52%
37%
N/A
N/A
53%
26%
44%
N/A
N/A
7%
13%
8%
N/A
N/A
5%
10%
11%
N/A
N/A
*
*
*
N/A
N/A
+/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-3.5
1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3549
----40%
37%
11%
13%
*
+/-7.5
Non-White
--------26%
42%
12%
19%
*
+/-7.0
5064
----42%
44%
10%
3%
*
+/-5.5
$50K
or more
------42%
44%
7%
7%
*
+/-4.5
65+
----50%
36%
8%
5%
*
+/-5.5
College
Grad
------42%
46%
9%
3%
*
+/-5.0
Independent
-----38%
45%
8%
9%
*
+/-5.0
Republican
-----56%
25%
9%
10%
*
+/-6.0
Under
55
----36%
39%
10%
15%
*
+/-5.5
Non
College
Grad
-------40%
36%
9%
15%
*
+/-4.5
Lean
Democrat
-----29%
49%
9%
13%
*
+/-4.5
Liberal
----26%
52%
9%
12%
*
+/-7.0
Moderate
----36%
43%
9%
12%
*
+/-5.5
West
----42%
35%
9%
14%
*
+/-7.0
Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
55 and
Older
-----48%
39%
8%
4%
*
+/-4.0
Lean
Republican
-----57%
30%
6%
8%
*
+/-5.0
Conservative
------58%
27%
10%
5%
*
+/-5.5
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
POLL 3
3
-73-
January 21-24, 2016

Question 23E
them.
E. Ted Cruz
Base = Total Sample
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
Men
Women
White
----------------45%
46%
44%
50%
37%
41%
33%
35%
8%
5%
12%
8%
9%
8%
11%
7%
*
*
*
*
+/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----45%
37%
8%
9%
*
+/-3.0
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Under
Total
$50K
--------45%
43%
37%
34%
8%
11%
9%
12%
*
*
+/-3.0 +/-5.0
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----45%
37%
8%
9%
*
+/-3.0
Democrat
----23%
55%
10%
12%
*
+/-5.5
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----45%
37%
8%
9%
*
+/-3.0
North
east
----40%
43%
9%
7%
*
+/-6.5
Midwest
----36%
41%
9%
13%
*
+/-6.5
South
----51%
34%
6%
9%
*
+/-5.5
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----45%
37%
8%
9%
*
+/-3.0
Tea Pty
Support
------72%
15%
5%
8%
*
+/-7.5
Tea Pty
Neutral
------47%
29%
10%
14%
*
+/-4.5
Tea Pty White

All
Gun Owner
No
------- ----- ------ ----- ----25%
66%
39%
N/A
N/A
69%
20%
42%
N/A
N/A
5%
8%
8%
N/A
N/A
1%
6%
10%
N/A
N/A
*
*
*
N/A
N/A
+/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-3.5
1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3549
----50%
32%
6%
12%
*
+/-7.0
Non-White
--------35%
41%
10%
14%
*
+/-6.5
5064
----44%
41%
10%
5%
*
+/-5.5
$50K
or more
------47%
42%
6%
5%
*
+/-4.5
65+
----53%
35%
8%
4%
*
+/-5.0
College
Grad
------42%
48%
7%
3%
*
+/-4.5
Independent
-----43%
37%
10%
9%
*
+/-5.0
Republican
-----73%
17%
3%
7%
*
+/-6.0
Under
55
----42%
37%
8%
13%
*
+/-5.0
Non
College
Grad
-------46%
33%
9%
12%
*
+/-4.0
Lean
Democrat
-----24%
54%
11%
10%
*
+/-4.5
Liberal
----26%
51%
10%
13%
*
+/-6.5
Moderate
----36%
44%
12%
8%
*
+/-5.0
West
----48%
33%
10%
9%
*
+/-6.5
Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
55 and
Older
-----48%
37%
10%
4%
*
+/-4.0
Lean
Republican
-----69%
21%
2%
8%
*
+/-4.5
Conservative
------71%
20%
2%
6%
*
+/-5.0
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
POLL 3
3
-74-
January 21-24, 2016

Question 23E
them.
E. Ted Cruz
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
Men
Women
White
----------------50%
52%
49%
55%
38%
40%
36%
37%
6%
5%
8%
5%
5%
3%
6%
4%
*
*
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----50%
38%
6%
5%
*
+/-3.5
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Under
Total
$50K
--------50%
51%
38%
34%
6%
7%
5%
8%
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-5.5
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----50%
38%
6%
5%
*
+/-3.5
Democrat
----23%
57%
11%
8%
*
+/-5.5
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----50%
38%
6%
5%
*
+/-3.5
North
east
----47%
43%
8%
2%
*
+/-7.0
Midwest
----42%
46%
5%
6%
*
+/-7.0
South
----55%
34%
5%
6%
*
+/-5.5
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----50%
38%
6%
5%
*
+/-3.5
Tea Pty
Support
------79%
13%
3%
5%
*
+/-7.5
Tea Pty
Neutral
------54%
30%
8%
8%
*
+/-5.0
Tea Pty White

All
Gun Owner
No
------- ----- ------ ----- ----26%
72%
44%
N/A
N/A
71%
21%
44%
N/A
N/A
3%
3%
7%
N/A
N/A
*
4%
5%
N/A
N/A
*
*
*
N/A
N/A
+/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-3.5
1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3549
----54%
34%
5%
7%
1%
+/-7.5
Non-White
--------39%
42%
10%
8%
*
+/-7.0
5064
----47%
43%
8%
2%
*
+/-5.5
$50K
or more
------50%
43%
4%
2%
*
+/-4.5
65+
----55%
35%
7%
2%
*
+/-5.5
College
Grad
------45%
47%
6%
1%
*
+/-5.0
Independent
-----53%
37%
6%
3%
*
+/-5.0
Republican
-----77%
18%
1%
3%
*
+/-6.0
Under
55
----49%
39%
5%
6%
*
+/-5.5
Non
College
Grad
-------53%
34%
7%
7%
*
+/-4.5
Lean
Democrat
-----24%
58%
10%
7%
*
+/-4.5
Liberal
----27%
56%
9%
7%
*
+/-7.0
Moderate
----40%
47%
8%
5%
*
+/-5.5
West
----54%
33%
8%
4%
*
+/-7.0
Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
55 and
Older
-----51%
38%
8%
2%
*
+/-4.0
Lean
Republican
-----77%
20%
1%
2%
*
+/-5.0
Conservative
------77%
19%
2%
2%
*
+/-5.5
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
POLL 3
3
-75-
January 21-24, 2016

Question 23F
them.
F. John Kasich
Base = Total Sample
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
Men
Women
White
----------------24%
28%
19%
30%
26%
30%
21%
26%
15%
13%
16%
12%
36%
28%
44%
32%
*
*
*
*
+/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----24%
26%
15%
36%
*
+/-3.0
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Under
Total
$50K
--------24%
16%
26%
26%
15%
13%
36%
45%
*
*
+/-3.0 +/-5.0
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----24%
26%
15%
36%
*
+/-3.0
Democrat
----22%
28%
15%
35%
*
+/-5.5
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----24%
26%
15%
36%
*
+/-3.0
North
east
----29%
27%
14%
30%
*
+/-6.5
Midwest
----30%
33%
12%
26%
*
+/-6.5
South
----21%
23%
13%
43%
*
+/-5.5
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----24%
26%
15%
36%
*
+/-3.0
Tea Pty
Support
------35%
25%
12%
28%
*
+/-7.5
Tea Pty
Neutral
------17%
25%
14%
44%
*
+/-4.5
Tea Pty White

All
Gun Owner
No
------- ----- ------ ----- ----32%
24%
24%
N/A
N/A
26%
27%
25%
N/A
N/A
16%
11%
16%
N/A
N/A
26%
38%
35%
N/A
N/A
*
*
*
N/A
N/A
+/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-3.5
1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3549
----17%
26%
11%
45%
*
+/-7.0
Non-White
--------11%
24%
18%
47%
*
+/-6.5
5064
----32%
22%
15%
31%
*
+/-5.5
$50K
or more
------31%
26%
13%
29%
*
+/-4.5
65+
----38%
24%
15%
23%
*
+/-5.0
College
Grad
------35%
26%
15%
23%
*
+/-4.5
Independent
-----24%
22%
14%
39%
*
+/-5.0
Republican
-----25%
29%
15%
31%
*
+/-6.0
Under
55
----17%
27%
14%
42%
*
+/-5.0
Non
College
Grad
-------19%
25%
14%
42%
*
+/-4.0
Lean
Democrat
-----20%
28%
15%
37%
*
+/-4.5
Liberal
----17%
25%
15%
43%
*
+/-6.5
Moderate
----28%
23%
16%
34%
*
+/-5.0
West
----19%
21%
20%
40%
*
+/-6.5
Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
55 and
Older
-----37%
23%
14%
26%
*
+/-4.0
Lean
Republican
-----30%
25%
14%
31%
*
+/-4.5
Conservative
------27%
30%
11%
31%
*
+/-5.0
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
POLL 3
3
-76-
January 21-24, 2016

Question 23F
them.
F. John Kasich
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
Men
Women
White
----------------27%
33%
21%
33%
27%
31%
24%
27%
14%
11%
17%
13%
31%
25%
38%
27%
*
*
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----27%
27%
14%
31%
*
+/-3.5
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Under
Total
$50K
--------27%
19%
27%
28%
14%
11%
31%
42%
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-5.5
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----27%
27%
14%
31%
*
+/-3.5
Democrat
----23%
28%
16%
33%
*
+/-5.5
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----27%
27%
14%
31%
*
+/-3.5
North
east
----34%
28%
13%
24%
*
+/-7.0
Midwest
----30%
38%
13%
20%
*
+/-7.0
South
----25%
23%
13%
39%
*
+/-5.5
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----27%
27%
14%
31%
*
+/-3.5
Tea Pty
Support
------38%
28%
11%
23%
*
+/-7.5
Tea Pty
Neutral
------19%
28%
14%
39%
*
+/-5.0
Tea Pty White

All
Gun Owner
No
------- ----- ------ ----- ----37%
26%
28%
N/A
N/A
26%
28%
27%
N/A
N/A
12%
11%
15%
N/A
N/A
25%
35%
30%
N/A
N/A
*
*
*
N/A
N/A
+/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-3.5
1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3549
----20%
28%
11%
42%
*
+/-7.5
Non-White
--------13%
26%
16%
44%
*
+/-7.0
5064
----36%
24%
14%
27%
*
+/-5.5
$50K
or more
------34%
28%
14%
24%
*
+/-4.5
65+
----39%
25%
15%
20%
*
+/-5.5
College
Grad
------38%
25%
15%
21%
*
+/-5.0
Independent
-----29%
24%
12%
35%
*
+/-5.0
Republican
-----28%
32%
16%
24%
*
+/-6.0
Under
55
----20%
29%
14%
37%
*
+/-5.5
Non
College
Grad
-------22%
28%
13%
37%
*
+/-4.5
Lean
Democrat
-----23%
28%
14%
34%
*
+/-4.5
Liberal
----20%
30%
13%
38%
*
+/-7.0
Moderate
----32%
22%
15%
32%
*
+/-5.5
West
----23%
23%
18%
37%
*
+/-7.0
Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
55 and
Older
-----38%
25%
14%
24%
*
+/-4.0
Lean
Republican
-----34%
28%
14%
25%
*
+/-5.0
Conservative
------30%
32%
12%
27%
*
+/-5.5
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
POLL 3
3
-77-
January 21-24, 2016

Question 23G
them.
G. Marco Rubio
Base = Total Sample
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
Men
Women
White
----------------44%
47%
41%
51%
33%
38%
28%
30%
11%
7%
16%
10%
12%
8%
15%
9%
*
*
*
*
+/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----44%
33%
11%
12%
*
+/-3.0
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Under
Total
$50K
--------44%
38%
33%
35%
11%
10%
12%
17%
*
*
+/-3.0 +/-5.0
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----44%
33%
11%
12%
*
+/-3.0
Democrat
----28%
46%
12%
13%
*
+/-5.5
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----44%
33%
11%
12%
*
+/-3.0
North
east
----42%
42%
9%
8%
*
+/-6.5
Midwest
----41%
33%
11%
16%
*
+/-6.5
South
----45%
33%
11%
11%
*
+/-5.5
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----44%
33%
11%
12%
*
+/-3.0
Tea Pty
Support
------66%
12%
9%
13%
*
+/-7.5
Tea Pty
Neutral
------43%
29%
13%
15%
*
+/-4.5
Tea Pty White

All
Gun Owner
No
------- ----- ------ ----- ----36%
57%
41%
N/A
N/A
53%
24%
36%
N/A
N/A
8%
9%
12%
N/A
N/A
4%
10%
12%
N/A
N/A
*
*
*
N/A
N/A
+/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-3.5
1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3549
----45%
29%
16%
11%
*
+/-7.0
Non-White
--------30%
39%
14%
17%
*
+/-6.5
5064
----52%
31%
11%
5%
*
+/-5.5
$50K
or more
------51%
32%
12%
6%
*
+/-4.5
65+
----55%
31%
10%
4%
*
+/-5.0
College
Grad
------51%
36%
10%
3%
*
+/-4.5
Independent
-----43%
35%
10%
12%
*
+/-5.0
Republican
-----64%
14%
12%
9%
*
+/-6.0
Under
55
----39%
33%
12%
16%
*
+/-5.0
Non
College
Grad
-------41%
32%
12%
15%
*
+/-4.0
Lean
Democrat
-----29%
47%
11%
12%
*
+/-4.5
Liberal
----27%
43%
11%
18%
*
+/-6.5
Moderate
----41%
38%
11%
10%
*
+/-5.0
West
----47%
26%
14%
12%
*
+/-6.5
Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
55 and
Older
-----53%
32%
11%
4%
*
+/-4.0
Lean
Republican
-----62%
21%
7%
9%
*
+/-4.5
Conservative
------64%
19%
12%
6%
*
+/-5.0
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
POLL 3
3
-78-
January 21-24, 2016

Question 23G
them.
G. Marco Rubio
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
Men
Women
White
----------------50%
53%
47%
56%
33%
37%
30%
30%
11%
6%
16%
9%
6%
5%
7%
4%
*
*
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----50%
33%
11%
6%
*
+/-3.5
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Under
Total
$50K
--------50%
47%
33%
36%
11%
9%
6%
8%
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-5.5
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----50%
33%
11%
6%
*
+/-3.5
Democrat
----30%
48%
14%
8%
*
+/-5.5
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----50%
33%
11%
6%
*
+/-3.5
North
east
----50%
38%
9%
3%
*
+/-7.0
Midwest
----47%
37%
9%
7%
*
+/-7.0
South
----51%
33%
10%
6%
*
+/-5.5
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----50%
33%
11%
6%
*
+/-3.5
Tea Pty
Support
------72%
14%
10%
4%
*
+/-7.5
Tea Pty
Neutral
------50%
28%
12%
10%
*
+/-5.0
Tea Pty White

All
Gun Owner
No
------- ----- ------ ----- ----37%
62%
46%
N/A
N/A
54%
22%
37%
N/A
N/A
8%
9%
11%
N/A
N/A
1%
7%
5%
N/A
N/A
*
*
*
N/A
N/A
+/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-3.5
1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3549
----48%
31%
15%
6%
*
+/-7.5
Non-White
--------36%
40%
15%
10%
*
+/-7.0
5064
----57%
31%
10%
2%
*
+/-5.5
$50K
or more
------53%
33%
11%
3%
*
+/-4.5
65+
----57%
32%
8%
2%
*
+/-5.5
College
Grad
------55%
34%
10%
1%
*
+/-5.0
Independent
-----52%
35%
9%
4%
*
+/-5.0
Republican
-----70%
14%
11%
6%
*
+/-6.0
Under
55
----46%
34%
12%
8%
*
+/-5.5
Non
College
Grad
-------48%
33%
11%
8%
*
+/-4.5
Lean
Democrat
-----31%
49%
13%
7%
*
+/-4.5
Liberal
----31%
47%
14%
7%
*
+/-7.0
Moderate
----47%
38%
9%
6%
*
+/-5.5
West
----50%
26%
16%
7%
*
+/-7.0
Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
55 and
Older
-----57%
32%
9%
2%
*
+/-4.0
Lean
Republican
-----69%
19%
6%
5%
*
+/-5.0
Conservative
------69%
17%
10%
4%
*
+/-5.5
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
POLL 3
3
-79-
January 21-24, 2016

Question 23I
them.
I. Donald Trump
Base = Total Sample
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
Men
Women
White
----------------40%
49%
32%
46%
55%
47%
64%
49%
3%
3%
3%
4%
1%
1%
1%
1%
*
*
*
*
+/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----40%
55%
3%
1%
*
+/-3.0
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Under
Total
$50K
--------40%
41%
55%
56%
3%
3%
1%
1%
*
*
+/-3.0 +/-5.0
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----40%
55%
3%
1%
*
+/-3.0
Democrat
----14%
83%
2%
1%
*
+/-5.5
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----40%
55%
3%
1%
*
+/-3.0
North
east
----39%
57%
*
3%
*
+/-6.5
Midwest
----34%
59%
6%
*
*
+/-6.5
South
----42%
54%
4%
1%
*
+/-5.5
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----40%
55%
3%
1%
*
+/-3.0
Tea Pty
Support
------63%
30%
5%
2%
*
+/-7.5
Tea Pty
Neutral
------44%
50%
4%
1%
*
+/-4.5
Tea Pty White

All
Gun Owner
No
------- ----- ------ ----- ----14%
57%
36%
N/A
N/A
85%
33%
62%
N/A
N/A
*
9%
2%
N/A
N/A
*
*
1%
N/A
N/A
*
*
*
N/A
N/A
+/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-3.5
1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3549
----43%
53%
3%
*
*
+/-7.0
Non-White
--------28%
69%
2%
1%
*
+/-6.5
5064
----45%
52%
3%
*
*
+/-5.5
$50K
or more
------41%
56%
2%
1%
*
+/-4.5
65+
----50%
46%
2%
1%
*
+/-5.0
College
Grad
------27%
70%
3%
*
*
+/-4.5
Independent
-----40%
57%
2%
1%
*
+/-5.0
Republican
-----72%
20%
8%
*
*
+/-6.0
Under
55
----35%
60%
4%
1%
*
+/-5.0
Non
College
Grad
-------46%
50%
4%
1%
*
+/-4.0
Lean
Democrat
-----16%
83%
1%
1%
*
+/-4.5
Liberal
----20%
78%
1%
1%
*
+/-6.5
Moderate
----36%
62%
1%
1%
*
+/-5.0
West
----45%
52%
3%
*
*
+/-6.5
Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
55 and
Older
-----49%
48%
2%
1%
*
+/-4.0
Lean
Republican
-----68%
26%
5%
*
*
+/-4.5
Conservative
------58%
34%
8%
*
*
+/-5.0
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
POLL 3
3
-80-
January 21-24, 2016

Question 23I
them.
I. Donald Trump
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
Men
Women
White
----------------41%
52%
31%
47%
55%
44%
65%
49%
3%
4%
3%
4%
1%
*
1%
1%
*
*
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----41%
55%
3%
1%
*
+/-3.5
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Under
Total
$50K
--------41%
43%
55%
54%
3%
2%
1%
1%
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-5.5
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----41%
55%
3%
1%
*
+/-3.5
Democrat
----14%
84%
2%
*
*
+/-5.5
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----41%
55%
3%
1%
*
+/-3.5
North
east
----42%
55%
*
2%
*
+/-7.0
Midwest
----37%
57%
5%
*
*
+/-7.0
South
----40%
55%
4%
*
*
+/-5.5
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----41%
55%
3%
1%
*
+/-3.5
Tea Pty
Support
------66%
28%
6%
1%
*
+/-7.5
Tea Pty
Neutral
------45%
51%
4%
1%
*
+/-5.0
Tea Pty White

All
Gun Owner
No
------- ----- ------ ----- ----15%
58%
36%
N/A
N/A
84%
32%
62%
N/A
N/A
*
10%
1%
N/A
N/A
*
*
1%
N/A
N/A
*
*
*
N/A
N/A
+/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-3.5
1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3549
----41%
55%
4%
*
*
+/-7.5
Non-White
--------26%
71%
2%
*
*
+/-7.0
5064
----43%
54%
3%
*
*
+/-5.5
$50K
or more
------40%
57%
2%
*
*
+/-4.5
65+
----48%
48%
2%
1%
*
+/-5.5
College
Grad
------28%
70%
3%
*
*
+/-5.0
Independent
-----41%
55%
3%
1%
*
+/-5.0
Republican
-----71%
22%
6%
*
*
+/-6.0
Under
55
----36%
59%
4%
1%
*
+/-5.5
Non
College
Grad
-------47%
48%
4%
1%
*
+/-4.5
Lean
Democrat
-----15%
83%
1%
*
*
+/-4.5
Liberal
----18%
81%
1%
*
*
+/-7.0
Moderate
----37%
61%
1%
1%
*
+/-5.5
West
----44%
53%
3%
*
*
+/-7.0
Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
55 and
Older
-----47%
50%
3%
*
*
+/-4.0
Lean
Republican
-----69%
26%
4%
*
*
+/-5.0
Conservative
------59%
33%
7%
*
*
+/-5.5
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
POLL 3
3
-81-
January 21-24, 2016

Question 23K
them.
K. The Republican Party
Base = Total Sample
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
Men
Women
White
----------------40%
41%
39%
45%
50%
50%
51%
45%
9%
8%
9%
9%
1%
*
1%
*
*
*
*
*
+/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----40%
50%
9%
1%
*
+/-3.0
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Under
Total
$50K
--------40%
40%
50%
49%
9%
11%
1%
1%
*
*
+/-3.0 +/-5.0
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----40%
50%
9%
1%
*
+/-3.0
Democrat
----13%
80%
6%
1%
*
+/-5.5
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----40%
50%
9%
1%
*
+/-3.0
North
east
----32%
62%
6%
*
*
+/-6.5
Midwest
----42%
49%
7%
2%
*
+/-6.5
South
----46%
45%
9%
*
*
+/-5.5
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----40%
50%
9%
1%
*
+/-3.0
Tea Pty
Support
------65%
25%
7%
2%
*
+/-7.5
Tea Pty
Neutral
------45%
42%
12%
1%
*
+/-4.5
Tea Pty White

All
Gun Owner
No
------- ----- ------ ----- ----14%
59%
35%
N/A
N/A
83%
36%
55%
N/A
N/A
2%
5%
10%
N/A
N/A
*
*
1%
N/A
N/A
*
*
*
N/A
N/A
+/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-3.5
1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3549
----38%
52%
8%
1%
*
+/-7.0
Non-White
--------30%
59%
8%
2%
*
+/-6.5
5064
----39%
52%
9%
*
*
+/-5.5
$50K
or more
------39%
55%
6%
*
*
+/-4.5
65+
----49%
44%
6%
*
*
+/-5.0
College
Grad
------35%
61%
4%
*
*
+/-4.5
Independent
-----36%
51%
12%
1%
*
+/-5.0
Republican
-----80%
14%
5%
*
*
+/-6.0
Under
55
----37%
52%
10%
1%
*
+/-5.0
Non
College
Grad
-------42%
46%
11%
1%
*
+/-4.0
Lean
Democrat
-----15%
79%
5%
1%
*
+/-4.5
Liberal
----24%
69%
7%
*
*
+/-6.5
Moderate
----33%
56%
10%
1%
*
+/-5.0
West
----36%
51%
12%
1%
*
+/-6.5
Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
55 and
Older
-----45%
47%
8%
*
*
+/-4.0
Lean
Republican
-----73%
23%
4%
*
*
+/-4.5
Conservative
------61%
33%
5%
1%
*
+/-5.0
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
POLL 3
3
-82-
January 21-24, 2016

Question 23K
them.
K. The Republican Party
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
Men
Women
White
----------------42%
45%
38%
47%
52%
49%
54%
46%
6%
5%
7%
7%
*
*
1%
*
*
*
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----42%
52%
6%
*
*
+/-3.5
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Under
Total
$50K
--------42%
43%
52%
49%
6%
7%
*
*
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-5.5
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----42%
52%
6%
*
*
+/-3.5
Democrat
----12%
82%
4%
1%
*
+/-5.5
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----42%
52%
6%
*
*
+/-3.5
North
east
----34%
61%
5%
*
*
+/-7.0
Midwest
----44%
50%
4%
2%
*
+/-7.0
South
----49%
46%
5%
*
*
+/-5.5
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----42%
52%
6%
*
*
+/-3.5
Tea Pty
Support
------66%
28%
3%
2%
*
+/-7.5
Tea Pty
Neutral
------48%
43%
9%
*
*
+/-5.0
Tea Pty White

All
Gun Owner
No
------- ----- ------ ----- ----15%
60%
36%
N/A
N/A
83%
34%
57%
N/A
N/A
2%
6%
6%
N/A
N/A
*
*
1%
N/A
N/A
*
*
*
N/A
N/A
+/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-3.5
1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3549
----38%
54%
7%
2%
*
+/-7.5
Non-White
--------30%
64%
4%
2%
*
+/-7.0
5064
----38%
57%
5%
*
*
+/-5.5
$50K
or more
------39%
57%
4%
*
*
+/-4.5
65+
----49%
45%
6%
*
*
+/-5.5
College
Grad
------36%
60%
4%
*
*
+/-5.0
Independent
-----38%
54%
8%
*
*
+/-5.0
Republican
-----82%
14%
4%
*
*
+/-6.0
Under
55
----39%
54%
6%
1%
*
+/-5.5
Non
College
Grad
-------44%
48%
7%
1%
*
+/-4.5
Lean
Democrat
-----14%
80%
4%
1%
*
+/-4.5
Liberal
----19%
75%
6%
*
*
+/-7.0
Moderate
----35%
58%
6%
1%
*
+/-5.5
West
----36%
54%
10%
*
*
+/-7.0
Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
55 and
Older
-----46%
48%
6%
*
*
+/-4.0
Lean
Republican
-----73%
24%
3%
*
*
+/-5.0
Conservative
------65%
30%
5%
*
*
+/-5.5
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
POLL 3
3
-83-
January 21-24, 2016

CNN Orc Poll 1-26-16

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CNN Orc Poll 1-26-16

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Interviews with 1,002 adult Americans conducted by telephone by ORC

International on January 21-24, 2016. The margin of sampling error for

EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE:

January 21-24, 2016

BASED ON 893 REGISTERED VOTERS AND 14 INDIVIDUALS WHO PLAN TO REGISTER TO

The income gap

January 21-24, 2016

BASED ON 253 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS REPUBLICANS AND

The income gap

January 21-24, 2016

BASED ON 304 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS DEMOCRATS AND

The income gap

January 21-24, 2016

BASED ON 893 REGISTERED VOTERS AND 14 INDIVIDUALS WHO PLAN TO REGISTER TO

(RV) = Registered voter

January 21-24, 2016

BASED ON 893 REGISTERED VOTERS AND 14 INDIVIDUALS WHO PLAN TO REGISTER TO

(RV) = Registered voter

January 21-24, 2016

BASED ON 893 REGISTERED VOTERS AND 14 INDIVIDUALS WHO PLAN TO REGISTER TO

(RV) = Registered voter

January 21-24, 2016

BASED ON 893 REGISTERED VOTERS AND 14 INDIVIDUALS WHO PLAN TO REGISTER TO

The income gap between rich and

January 21-24, 2016

BASED ON 893 REGISTERED VOTERS AND 14 INDIVIDUALS WHO PLAN TO REGISTER TO

Sept. 17-19, 2015

January 21-24, 2016

BASED ON 304 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS DEMOCRATS AND

Sept. 17-19, 2015

January 21-24, 2016

BASED ON 253 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS REPUBLICANS AND

Sept. 17-19, 2015

January 21-24, 2016

BASED ON 253 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS REPUBLICANS AND

(QUESTION 6 CONTINUED ON THE NEXT PAGE)

January 21-24, 2016

BASED ON 253 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS REPUBLICANS AND

January 21-24, 2016

BASED ON 253 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS REPUBLICANS AND

January 21-24, 2016

BASED ON 253 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS REPUBLICANS AND

January 21-24, 2016

BASED ON 253 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS REPUBLICANS AND

Social issues, such as abortion and same-sex marriage

January 21-24, 2016

BASED ON 253 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS REPUBLICANS AND

Has the best chance of winning in

Best represents the values of Republicans

January 21-24, 2016

BASED ON 893 REGISTERED VOTERS AND 14 INDIVIDUALS WHO PLAN TO REGISTER TO

Sept. 4-8 July 22-25

January 21-24, 2016

BASED ON 893 REGISTERED VOTERS AND 14 INDIVIDUALS WHO PLAN TO REGISTER TO

Jan. 21-24, 2016

January 21-24, 2016

BASED ON 893 REGISTERED VOTERS AND 14 INDIVIDUALS WHO PLAN TO REGISTER TO

Jan. 21-24, 2016

Jan. 21-24, 2016

January 21-24, 2016

BASED ON 893 REGISTERED VOTERS AND 14 INDIVIDUALS WHO PLAN TO REGISTER TO

Jan. 21-24, 2016

Jan. 21-24, 2016

Asked of a half sample. Based on likely voters. Based on registered voters.