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Trends to watch

for in 2016

Table of Contents
Infographics

2015 Actual & 2016 Forecast

India - Office market performance 2015 & trends to watch for


in 2016
Most cities in sweet spot in terms of office supply and demand fundamentals, indicating
strong outlook

Mumbai - Shows strong demand


Office absorption doubles in 2015, over 6.5 million sq ft recorded

Delhi - Office market takes a step back in 2015


Absorption plunged down by 25% YoY to 0.89 million sq ft

Gurgaon - 2015, the best for office market in last 5 years


With 5.59 million sq ft, office absorption reached to the levels of 2011

NOIDA - Office market recovered

Chennai - Office market rebounds


Technology sector drives the demand; absorption up by 25%YoY

Bengaluru - Continues to top in office market


Kolkata - Occupiers remained cautious


Office absorption down by 60% YoY in 2015, but 2016 looks positive

Pune - Upholds office absorption, crosses 5 million sq ft


IT/ITeS remained as the prime driver with 74% of the total absorption

8
10
12
14

City recorded, 45% YoY increase in demand

Office market outperform with absorption over 13 million sq ft

16
18
20
22

Research & Forecast Report | January 2016 | <<India>> | Colliers International

India
Oce

Mumbai, Delhi-NCR, Bengaluru,


Chennai, Kolkata & Pune

ABSORPTION
13.4

9.1

2015

12.0

2016 Forecast (In mn sq ft)

8.1
6.6

6.0

5.0

5.0

5.1

5.0

1.0

New Delhi
/NCR

Bengaluru

Mumbai

Pune

Chennai

Kolkata

- 40.2 million sq ft was absorbed in 2015 in major metros


- Bengaluru tops the chart with 33% share followed by Delhi NCR with 23%
- 58% of the total absorption was contributed by IT/ITeS Sector followed by BFSI 19%

2016 Forecast (in million sq ft)

2015

PUNE

KOLKATA

2016 Forecast

20.5%
19.5%

24.0%
24.5%

BENGALURU
12.0%
12.0%

14.00
12.5%

21.0%
21.0%

CHENNAI

MUMBAI
13.0%
13.0%

2.18
1.74

2.51
3.05

8.75
7.87

3.36
5.48

2015

DELHI NCR

PUNE
3.50
3.50

KOLKATA

BENGALURU

VACANCY LEVELS

12.85
11.74

CHENNAI

DELHI NCR

MUMBAI

NEW SUPPLY - 2015 & PIPELINE 2016

1.1

2015 actual | 2016 forecast

MAJOR OFFICE SALE TRANSACTIONS *

TOP 10 LEASE TRANSACTIONS


IN 2015
Area
(In sq ft)

Building Name

Client

City

Wells Fargo Embassy Tech Village

860,000 Bengaluru

Shell

RMZ Eco World

788,000

Snapdeal

ASF Tower and Center

500,000 Gurgaon

Amazon

Constellation Business Park

500,000 Bengaluru

IBM

Bhartiya City

500,000 Bengaluru

Abbott

Godrej BKC

400,000 Mumbai

Yes Bank

One Indiabulls Park

400,000

Chennai

Accenture

Shriram Gateway SEZ

393,000

Chennai

Siemens

Panchshil Business Park

342,080

Pune

Accenture

Divyashree Point

325,000

Chennai

Bengaluru

247 Park, Mumbai


Buyer: Blackstone
Seller: HCC Real Estate

~ ` 1,060 Cr
SP Infocity,
Chennai
Buyer: CPPIBShapoorji Pallonji
Seller: Faery
Estates

~ ` 1,340 Cr

Godrej BKC, Mumbai


Buyer: Abbott India
Seller: Godrej Properties

~ ` 1,479 Cr

The Ruby,
Mumbai
Buyer: Axis Bank
Seller: Ruby Group

~ ` 320 Cr

BPTP Crest, Gurgaon


Buyer: RMZ Corp
Seller: BPTP

~ ` 850 Cr

-4.7%

4.7%
6.2%

PUNE

KOLKATA

BENGALURU
6.9%
2.5%

CHENNAI
3.2%
1.9%

DELHI NCR
5.9%
2.6%

1.0%
0.9%

MUMBAI

GRADE - A AVERAGE RENTAL GROWTH

INDIA OFFICE TRENDS


TO WATCH IN 2016

Occupiers across all sectors will continue


to become more space ecient, doing
more with less space as their leases come
up for renewal.

Grade A oce space, rents are expected to


strengthen for quality oce space in
almost all the micro markets.

Government support with major policy


level changes, such as Real Estate
Regulation Bill, Land Bill, GST Bill are
expected to favour real estate sector.

* Secondary sources like media publications

2015

2016 Forecast

Research & Forecast Report | January 2016 | <<India>> | Colliers International

Research &
Forecast Report

India | Office
January 2016

India office market


performance 2015 &
trends to watch for in
2016
Most cities in sweet spot in terms of office
supply and demand fundamentals, indicating
strong outlook
2015 was another solid year for the Indian office market, with
improvements in both demand and supply. The office market
got its much needed support at macro economy level. The
economy expanded to 7.40% in 2015 underpinned by low
inflation, low interest rates and growth in investments. We
have recorded about 40.21 million sq ft office space lease
transactions excluding pre-commitment of another 3 million
sq ft in Indias eight major cities. This was about 15% more
than the absorption in 2014. New construction continued
to trend upwards, reaching nearly 32 million sq ft in 2015,
up from 24 million sq ft in 2014. The ratio of absorption
to new supply, one of the key metrics we use to gauge the
supply-demand balance of the Commercial Real Estate (CRE)
markets, indicates that office users absorbed more amount of
space, than what was added to new supply indicating dropping
vacancy rates.
Bengaluru, with about 13.43 million sq ft of office absorption
and 12.85 million sq ft of new construction continued to hold
its number one position across cities. The city shared about
33% and 41% respectively, in total absorption and new supply
among eight major cities in India this year. Mumbai and NCR
office transaction volume reached a post-recession high of
6.57 and 9.10 million sq ft in 2015 witnessing an increase of
111% and 18% from last year, respectively. Pune and Kolkata
shared 12% and 2% in the total office absorption.
The occupier group made their long-pending decisions and
India saw some big ticket office deals in 2015, such as Wells

Economic Barometer
Indicators

2014

2015

Gross Domestic
Product

6.60%

7.40%

Business
Confidence Index

49.90%

56.40%

Repo Rate

8.00%

6.75%

Reverse Repo Rate

7.00%

5.75%

Cash Reserve Ratio

4.00%

4.00%

2
Inflation (WPI)

0.00%

-2.15%

10.00% - 10.25%

9.70% - 10.00%

8.00% - 9.00%

7.75% - 8.00%

Exchange Rates

2014

2015

INR - USD

61.85

66.37

INR - EURO

77.41

72.84

Prime Lending Rate


Deposit Rate

Return on Alternative Investments


2014

2015

YoY
CHANGE

Gold

26,507

25,206

-4.91%

Silver

35,999

33,215

-7.73%

Equity
(BSE Sensex)

27,506

26,079

-5.19%

1,502

1,327

-11.68%

Parameters

Realty Index

Note:
1 Estimates as per International Monetary Fund
2 Wholesale Price Index (WPI) Till Nov 2015
3 SBI interest rate < INR 1 crore Term Deposits for 1 Year
Source: Government of India, Colliers International India Research

Gross Domestic Product at Factor Cost

Fargo took 0.8million sq ft in Bengaluru, Snapdeal took


0.5 million sq ft in Gurgaon, Abbott took 0.4 million sq ft
in Mumbai, Yes Bank took 0.4 million sq ft in Chennai and
Siemens took 0.3 million sq ft in Pune. The demand was
primarily driven by technology sector while e-commerce
emerged as a significant contributor of this demand within
this sector. Across cities, Grade A office space in suburban
markets remained in preference for technology occupiers who
were the top contributors to the office demand.

12%
10%
8%
6%
4%

The real estate sentiments further boosted due to some of the


key announcements such as rationalisation of the capital gains
tax for REITs and InvITs, subject to payment of Securities
Transaction Tax (STT), relaxation in FDI norms for real estate
sector, inclusion of CRE in the ambit of Real Estate Regulatory
Authority (RERA) bill etc.

2%

Oct-Dec 15

Apr-Jun 15

Oct-Dec 14

Apr-Jun 14

Oct-Dec 13

Apr-Jun 13

Oct-Dec 12

Apr-Jun 12

100
90
80
70
Index

60
50
40
30
20

Oct 15

Apr 15

Oct 14

Apr 14

Oct 13

Apr 13

Oct 12

Apr 12

Oct 11

Apr 11

Oct 10

Apr 10

10

Source: Government of India, Colliers International India Research

Occupiers across all sectors will continue to become more


space efficient, doing more with less space as their leases
come up for renewal. But as hiring activity is expected
to increase further, firms will need more space to house
additional workers.

FDI in Real Estate


30,000

20,000
15,000
10,000
5,000

Apr-Sep 15

2014-15

2013-14

2012-13

0
2011-12

INR Crore

25,000

2010-11

We expect that private enterprise will play a major role in the


industrial and warehousing sector, given the governments
push for Make in India and the rise of e-tailing. Also, if REITs
take off this year, the office market will see more overseas
investment in 2016 with big capital chasing limited premium
office developments.

Oct-Dec 11

Business Confidence Index

Outlook for office market looks strong, as currently, most


of the Indian markets are in the sweet spot in terms of
supply-and-demand fundamentals. In 2015, most of the cities
witnessed low vacancy, a steady increase in development
activity and less speculative development. The combination of
positive economy, stronger job growth prospect and limited
and targeted construction activity bodes well for the market in
2016.

Looking at the RFPs floating in the market, the office real


estate market in 2016 is expected to be at par with 2015 in
terms of office absorption though capital and rental values are
likely to remain stable. Nevertheless, for Grade A office space,
rents are expected to strengthen for quality office space in
almost all the micro markets.

Apr-Jun 11

Source: Government of India, Colliers International India Research

Private equity activity in the commercial sector continued


to gain momentum. Institutional investors, both domestic
and overseas, are demonstrating an increased appetite and
willingness to engage. The commercial market witnessed
several asset sales such as Abbott India Ltd bought
Godrej BKC, Mumbai for INR 1,479 crore, CPPIB-Shapoorji
Pallonji bought S P Infocity, Chennai for INR 1,340 crore,
Blackstone invested INR 1,060 crore to buy 247 Park from
HCC Real Estate Ltd. in Mumbai.

Trends to watch for in 2016

Oct-Dec 10

Apr-Jun 10

0%

Source: Government of India, Colliers International India Research

Research & Forecast Report | January 2016 | <<India>> | Colliers International

Research &
Forecast Report

Mumbai | Office
January 2016

Mumbai shows strong


demand

City Office Barometer


INDICATORS

Absorption

2015 was a solid year for the Mumbai office market with
absorption totaling 6.57 million sq ft; this was more than
double of last years absorption of 3.12 million sq ft. Apart
from this, IT/ITeS giant TCS has pre-committed 2 million sq ft
in Hiranandani Estate, Thane, which is expected to materalise
by 3Q 2018. Sector wise, BFSI commanded the absorption
with about 34% share, followed by IT/ITeS 28% and Pharma
15%. Western Suburbs micro market including, Andheri (E),
Malad, Goregaon (E), Jogeshwari (E) outperformed with more
than 32% of the total absorption, followed by BKC (BandraKurla-Complex) 22%, Navi Mumbai 16%, Central Suburbs &
Central Mumbai 12% each, Thane 5% and CBD 2%.

Rental Value

Equivalent to our last years forecast, more than 3.36


million sq ft of new supply was added in 2015. Till 4Q 2015,
approximately 7.6 million sq ft of vacant Grade A office space
was available for lease or sale in the Mumbai office market.
Most of this supply was situated in Andheri (E) and Thane/
LBS Marg 19% each, Worli/ Prabhadevi 13%, Navi Mumbai
12%, BKC & Powai 9% each, Malad 7%, Goregaon 5%,
Lower Parel 3% and CBD & Kalina 2% each. Due to robust
absorption and limited new supply, the overall vacancy levels
fell in 2015 from 14% in 2014 to 13% in 2015.
Office rents witnessed an average increase of about 1% YoY
across the micro-markets. A few locations, such as CBD,
Andheri (E), Navi Mumbai and Powai recorded an increase in

2015

2016F

2017F

Vacancy

Office absorption doubles in 2015, over 6.5 million


sq ft recorded

This year, we recorded a number of outright transactions


in office market including, purchase of about 400,000 sq ft
office space in, Godrej BKC, by Abbott India; 200,000 sq ft by
Axis Bank in The Ruby, developed by Ruby Group at Dadar;
and 100,000 sq ft each by SBI and Edelweiss in L&T Sea
Woods and Kohinoor City located at Navi Mumbai and Kurla,
respectively.

2014

Construction

Capital Value
Source: Colliers International India Research

Rental Values
% CHANGE

RENTAL
VALUE*

QoQ

YoY

CBD**

200 - 250

0%

5%

Worli/Prabhadevi

180 - 210

0%

-5%

Lower Parel

145 - 190

0%

0%

BKC

225 - 320

0%

0%

Kalina

150 - 200

0%

0%

Goregaon / JVLR

100 - 110

0%

0%

Andheri East

90 - 130

0%

5%

Malad

80 100

0%

0%

Powai

120 - 130

0%

4%

Navi Mumbai

70 - 100

0%

6%

Thane / LBS

60 - 75

0%

0%

MICRO MARKETS

*Indicative Grade A rents in INR per sq ft per month


**Nariman Point, Ballard Estate & Fort
Source: Colliers International India Research

New Supply, Absorption and Vacancy Trends


12

This year, the state Government has given nod to new


Information Technology (IT) and Information Technology
Enabled Services (ITES) policy. The policy aims at making
state an IT, animation and gaming industry hub by attracting
INR 50,000 crore of investment and creating 1 million jobs by
2020.

Trends to watch for in 2016

10

25%

20%

15%

10%

5%

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

New Supply (In Mln sq ft)

2015

2016F

0%

2017F

Absorption(In Mln sq ft)

Vacancy(In %)

Source: Colliers International India Research

Average Rental and Capital Value Trend


Forecast

30,000

250

25,000

200

20,000

150

15,000

100

10,000

50

5,000

2017F

2016F

2015

2014

2013

2012

2011

0
2010

Capital Values INR Per sq ft

300

2008

Rental Values INR Per sq ft Per Month

The office market of Mumbai has started showing strong


fundamentals, which is evident from the revived occupier
demand. With the new state government in place and positive
vibes from the centre in terms of favourable policies for the
citys real estate and major infrastructure projects, the city
is likely to augur well in 2016. Over the next six months, we
anticipate a rise in commercial demand in this market with
tenants seeking quality office space. Given the lack of supply
and increasing demand, we also expect a positive outlook for
landlords, while in the second half of 2016, approximately 11
million sq ft office supply is expected to hit the market, which
will help to keep rents stable during the year.

30%

Forecast

2009

the range of 4 to 6%, while Worli/ Prabhadevi witnessed an


annual decrease of about 5%.

Source: Colliers International India Research

Top 5 Transactions of 2015


CLIENT

BUILDING NAME

Abbott India

Godrej BKC

E-Clerx

AREA (sq ft)

LOCATION

LEASE / SALE

400,000

BKC

Sale

Mindspace SEZ

200,000

Navi Mumbai

Lease

Axis Bank

The Ruby

200,000

Dadar

Sale

Home Credit Pvt Ltd

Reliable Tech Space

160,000

Navi Mumbai

Lease

Lupin

Kalpataru Inspire

150,000

Santacruz

Lease

AREA (sq ft)

LOCATION

POSSESSION

Seawood Grand Central Tower I & II L & T Infrastructure

1,350,000

Navi Mumbai

2016

Godrej BKC

Godrej Group

1,200,000

BKC

2016

Kohinoor Square

Kohinoor Group

Dadar

2016

Key under construction projects


BUILDING NAME

DEVELOPER

800,000

Source: Colliers International India Research


Notes:
1. Office Market: The major business locations in Mumbai are the CBD (Nariman Point, Fort and Ballard Estate), Central Mumbai (Worli, Lower Parel and Parel), Bandra Kurla
Complex (BKC) and Andheri Kurla stretch. Powai, Malad and Vashi are the preferred IT/ ITES destinations, while Airoli at Navi Mumbai and Lal Bahadur Shastri Marg are
emerging as new office and IT/ITES submakets.
2. Rents/Capital Value: Market average of indicative asking price for Grade A office space.
3. Available Supply: Total Grade A office space being marketed for sale or lease in surveyed quarter.
4. City Barometer: Represents increase, decrease or stable scenario; as compared to previous quarter.
5. All the figures in the report is based on market information as on 25th December 2015.

Research & Forecast Report | January 2016 | <<India>> | Colliers International

Research &
Forecast Report

Delhi | Office
January 2016

Delhi office market takes


a step back in 2015

City Office Barometer


INDICATORS

Absorption

Delhi witnessed over 0.89 million sq ft of office absorption


during this year, which was about 25% less than the 2014
absorption of 1.18 million sq ft. CBD with 34% share in the
total absorption remained the most preferred location among
occupiers. Newly developed office micro market Aerocity also
grabbed about 26% share in this demand while Saket and
Jasola shared only 12% and 8%, respectively. This year, the
average deal size has gone down to 9,500 sq ft as compared
to last years 16,500 sq ft which may be the primary reason
for fall in absorption.

Rental Value

In 2015, about 0.91 million sq ft of new supply was added to


the citys Grade A commercial office space. This new supply
was primarily concentrated in Okhla, Mohan Cooperative,
Aerocity and Pusa Road. Currently, the city has about 1.8
million sq ft of vacant stock available for lease/sale. Limited
new supply addition resulted in marginal decrease in the city
vacancy levels.
Despite low absorption, average rents in Delhi increased by
2% YoY, while Connaught Place and Jasola, recorded a 2%
YoY decline in rents. Capital values on an average increased
by 4% YoY across the micro markets, except Saket where
capital values declined by 10% YoY.
During the year, Delhi Development Authority (DDA) has

2015

2016F

2017F

Vacancy

Absorption plunged down by 25% YoY to 0.89


million sq ft

Sector wise, BFSI, with a 32% share in absorption, holds the


top position, followed by IT/ITeS 30%, Manufacturing 12%,
Pharma 10% and others 16%. In notable office transactions,
Hike took 60,000 sq ft in Bharti Worldmark at Aerocity, VFS
Global & HP took 50,000 sq ft each in R Cube Centre and
Red Fort Capital Tower, both located at Connaught Place and
Amarchand Mangaldas took 44,000 sq ft in Religare House
located at Saket.

2014

Construction

Capital Value
Source: Colliers International India Research

Rental Values
% CHANGE

MICRO MARKETS

RENTAL
VALUE*

QoQ

YoY

CBD**

180 - 450

0%

-1%

Nehru Place

180 - 250

2%

8%

Saket

130 - 225

1%

8%

Jasola

90 - 130

0%

-2%

NSP***

70 - 120

0%

0%

*Indicative Grade A rentals in INR per sq ft per month


**Connaught Place
***Netaji Subhash Place

Source: Colliers International India Research

approved a commercial project on 51 hectare land named


Dwarka Centre near metro corridor in Dwarka. The project
will include a 14-hectare Dwarka Business Centre, which will
act as a financial hub for banks and financial institutions.

New Supply, Absorption and Vacancy Trends


2.0

25%

Forecast

20%

1.5

Trends to watch for in 2016

10%
0.5

5%

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

New Supply (In Mln sq ft)

2015

2016F

0%

2017F

Absorption(In Mln sq ft)

Vacancy(In %)

Source: Colliers International India Research

Average Rental and Capital Value Trend


40,000

Forecast

35,000

250

30,000
200

25,000
20,000

150

15,000

100

10,000
50

5,000
2017F

2016F

2015

2014

2013

2012

2011

2010

0
2009

Capital Values INR Per sq ft

300

2008

The city has a number of under construction projects such as


Skipper House at Barakhamba Road, Parsvnath 27 at KG
Marg, RPS Infinia alongside Mathura Road and NBCC Plaza
at Kidwai Nagar which are likely to add more than 4 million sq
ft of commercial office space. However, we are not expecting
much new supply in 2016 as all these projects will take atleast
2-3 years for completion. Thus in the next 12 months, there
will be a marginal upward pressure on rents. Besides this, the
premium Grade A buildings will continue to demand premium
due to limited availability.

15%
1.0

Rental Values INR Per sq ft Per Month

We expect an increase in absorption in 2016, especially from


BFSI, IT/ITeS, Media & Entertainment and Government sector.
Micro markets like Connaught Place, Aero City, Saket and
Okhla will continue to see maximum traction.

Source: Colliers International India Research

Top 5 Transactions of 2015


CLIENT

BUILDING NAME

VFS Global

R Cube Centre

HP

AREA (sq ft)

LOCATION

LEASE / SALE

50,000

Connaught Place

Lease

Red Fort capital Tower

50,000

Connaught Place

Lease

Amarchand Mangaldas

Reliagare House

44,000

Saket

Lease

BBC

Bharti Worldmark

40,000

Aero City

Lease

BTMU

Bharti Worldmark

40,000

Aero City

Lease

AREA (sq ft)

LOCATION

POSSESSION

Key under construction projects


BUILDING NAME

DEVELOPER

NBCC Plaza

NBCC

1,300,000

Kidwai Nagar

2016

RPS Infinia

RPS Developer

1,200,000

Mathura Road

2016

Skipper House

Govt. Trust

Barakhamba Road

2016

160,000

Source: Colliers International India Research

Notes:
1. Office Market: The commercial areas in New Delhi can be broadly classified into the CBD (Connaught Place), SBD Nehru Place, Bhikaji Cama Place, Netaji Subhash Place,
Jasola and Saket .
2. Rents/Capital Value: Market average of indicative asking price for Grade A office space.
3. Available Supply: Total Grade A office space being marketed for sale or lease in surveyed quarter.
4. City Barometer: Represents increase, decrease or stable scenario; as compared to previous quarter.
5. All the figures in the report is based on market information as on 25th December 2015.

11

Research & Forecast Report | January 2016 | <<India>> | Colliers International

Research &
Forecast Report

Gurgaon | Office
January 2016

Gurgaon 2015, the best


for office market in last 5
years
With 5.59 million sq ft, office absorption reached
to the levels of 2011
2015 was the best year for office market in the last 5 years.
The city recorded 5.59 million sq ft of office leasing, which
was about 18% more than the last years absorption of 4.73
million sq ft. Growth was predominantly driven by IT/ITeS and
BFSI sectors, sharing about 64% and 20%, respectively. The
average deal size increased from 27,700 sq ft to 31,300 sq ft
this year and approximately 40% of the transactions fell in the
range of 50,000 to 150,000 sq ft. Micro-market wise, Udyog
Vihar shares about 23% of the total absorption, followed by
Golf Course road 17%, Golf Course Road Extension/Sohna
Road 17%, DLF Cyber City and National Highway 8 (NH 8)
12% each, Institutional Sectors 10%, and others like MG
Road, Gwal Pahari etc shared 9%. Golf Course road and
its extension remained the most preferred market among
occupiers; the market is expected to improve connectivity with
Delhi tremendously once the metro becomes operational.
The strong demand was complemented by robust new
construction. The year witnessed approximately 4.77 million
sq ft of new construction, about 49% more than the previous
years new supply of 3.20 million sq ft. Major projects
completed during the year include, Two Horizon Centre (1.2
million sq ft) at Golf Course Road, DLF Corporate Greens
(0.69 million sq ft) at Sector 74A and JMD Empire (0.45
million sq ft) at Sector 62. Beside this, more than 10.2 million
sq ft of office space is available for lease in the Gurgaon
market; about 32% of this vacant stock was located in Udyog
Vihar and Industrial Sectors, followed by NH 8 19%, Golf
Course Road Extension and Sohna Road 15%, Manesar 11%,
Golf Course Road 9%, M G Road 5% and Institutional Sectors
4%. The city witnessed decrease in vacancy levels this year.
Rents showed a mixed pattern this year, a few micro markets,

City Office Barometer


INDICATORS

2014

2015

2016F

2017F

Vacancy
Absorption
Construction
Rental Value
Capital Value
Source: Colliers International India Research

Rental Values
% CHANGE

MICRO MARKETS

RENTAL
VALUE*

QoQ

YoY

MG Road

110 - 140

-2%

2%

DLF Cyber City (IT)

100 - 110

6%

11%

Golf Course Road

100 - 180

4%

14%

Institutional Sectors
(Sec 44, 32, 18)

60 - 90

-3%

0%

Golf Course Road Ext./


Sohna Road

60 - 75

0%

0%

National Highway 8

50 - 130

0%

-10%

Udyog Vihar & Industrial


Sectors

30 - 40

3%

-7%

Manesar

38 - 45

0%

-2%

*Indicative Grade A rentals in INR per sq ft per month


Source: Colliers International India Research

such as DLF Cyber City, Golf Course Road and MG Road


recorded an increase in the range of 2 to 14% YoY due
to limited supply, while NH 8, Udyog Vihar and Manesar
witnessed an annual decrease of about 6%. This resulted in a
marginal increase of 1% yoy in average Grade A office rents.
On the infrastructure front, the State Government has infused
fresh funds of INR 1,200 crores for Kundli-Manesar-Palwal
(KMP) Expressway project. The completion of the expressway
would not only provide high speed link to northern Haryana
with its southern districts like Gurgaon, Faridabad and Palwal,
but also de-congest National Capital Territory of Delhi.
Also, construction work of Rapid metro rail extension from
Sikanderpur metro station to Sector 56 is in its advance
stages and the entire stretch is likely to be ready by end of
2016.

New Supply, Absorption and Vacancy Trends


6.0

60%

Forecast

5.0

50%

4.0

40%

3.0

30%

2.0

20%

1.0

10%

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

New Supply (In Mln sq ft)

2015

2016F

0%

2017F

Absorption(In Mln sq ft)

Vacancy(In %)

Source: Colliers International India Research

Forecast

14,000

120

12,000

100

10,000

80

8000

60

6,000

40

4,000

20

2,000

Capital Values INR Per sq ft

140

2017F

2016F

2015

2014

2013

2012

2011

2010

2009

0
2008

We forecast robust occupier demand in 2016 due to a number


of large RFPs already floating in the market. However, market
may see some consolidation among e-commerce occupiers
which took large spaces in 2015. Among premium occupiers
NH-8, Golf Course Road, its extension and Cyber City will
continue to remain the preferred choice while occupiers
looking for affordability will focus on micro markets such as
Udyog Vihar, Institutional sectors, Sohna Road and Manesar.
Rents are expected to increase marginally in select micro
markets.

Rental Values INR Per sq ft Per Month

Average Rental and Capital Value Trend

Trends to watch for in 2016

Source: Colliers International India Research

Top 5 Transactions of 2015


CLIENT

BUILDING NAME

AREA (sq ft)

LOCATION

LEASE / SALE

Snapdeal

ASF Tower and Center

500,000

Udyog Vihar

Lease

Google India

Signature Tower 2A & 3

403,000

Sector 15

Lease

NTT Data

Spelndor Trade Tower

250,000

Golf Course Road


Extension

Lease

Samsung

Two Horizon Centre

200,000

Golf Course Road

Lease

Zomato Media

One Horizon Center

126,000

Golf Course Road

Lease

AREA (sq ft)

LOCATION

POSSESSION

Key under construction projects


BUILDING NAME

DEVELOPER

ASF Insignia Phase II

ASF Infrastructure

1,400,000

Gwal Pahari

2016

Reach Commercia

Reach Promoters

550,000

Sohna Road

2016

Unitech Infospace-Tower V

Unitech Ltd.

500,000

NH 8

2016

Source: Colliers International India Research


Notes:
1. Office Market: The prime business locations in Gurgaon are MG Road, Golf Course Road, Cyber City and Udyog Vihar. Manesar on the outskirts of Gurgaon is also
emerging as the citys new office destination.
2. Rents/Capital Value: Market average of indicative asking price for Grade A office space.
3. Available Supply: Total Grade A office space being marketed for sale or lease in surveyed quarter.
4. City Barometer: Represents increase, decrease or stable scenario; as compared to previous quarter.
5. All the figures in the report is based on market information as on 25th December 2015.

13

Research & Forecast Report | January 2016 | <<India>> | Colliers International

Research &
Forecast Report

Noida | Office
January 2016

NOIDA office market


recovered
City recorded, 45% YoY increase in demand
The office market of NOIDA witnessed resurgence with 45%
increase in office absorption on YOY basis. The city recorded
about 2.62 million sq ft of office absorption as compared
to the last years figures of 1.80 million sq ft. More than
80% of this demand was from IT/ITeS sectors, followed
by Manufacturing 6%, BFSI 5%, and others 8%. NOIDA
Expressway remained the most preferred micro market among
Grade A occupiers and about 46% of the office transactions
were concluded in sectors such as 125, 127, 132 and 135
located along NOIDA Expressway. Beside this, Institutional
Sectors shared 20%, Greater NOIDA 14%, Industrial Sector
(IT) 13% and Commercial Sectors 6% in overall office demand.
In 2015, more than 3 million sq ft of new office supply entered
into the market. Most of this new supply was located along
NOIDA Expressway, Sector 16, Sector 16A and Sector 32.
Major projects completed during the year include NPX Tower
(Nehru Place Extension) 1 million sq ft by Urbtech India
Developers located at Sector 153, World Trade Tower 0.8
million sq ft by ET Infra Developers Pvt. Ltd at Sector 16 and
Assotech Business Cresterra 0.5 million sq ft by Assotech at
Sector 135.
More than 11.7million sq ft of office space is available for
lease in the NOIDA market, of which about 85% is located
in Industrial Sectors (Sector 1 9, 57 60 and 63 - 65),
followed by Institutional Sectors 14% (Sector 16A, 62, 125
142) and Commercial Sector 1% (Sector 18).
NOIDA market witnessed 3% YoY average increase in rental
values for Grade A office space across all the micro markets,
except Commercial Sector where rents declined by 7% YoY
and Institutional Sector (IT) where rents remained stable.
Capital values also increased by 8% YoY, indicating market
recovery.

City Office Barometer


INDICATORS

2014

2015

2016F

2017F

Vacancy
Absorption
Construction
Rental Value
Capital Value
Source: Colliers International India Research

Rental Values
% CHANGE

MICRO MARKETS

RENTAL
VALUE*

QoQ

YoY

Commercial Sectors*

80 - 110

-5%

-7%

Institutional Sectors
(Non IT)**

70 - 110

6%

13%

Institutional Sectors
(IT)**

45 - 60

-5%

0%

Industrial Sector (IT)***

35 - 55

0%

5%

Indicative Grade A rentals in INR per sq ft per month


*Sector 18
**Sector 16A, 62, 125-142
***Sector 124, 57-60, 63-75

Source: Colliers International India Research

6.0
5.0

50%

4.0

40%

3.0

30%

2.0

20%

1.0

10%

Trends to watch for in 2016

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

New Supply (In Mln sq ft)

2015

2016F

0%

2017F

Absorption(In Mln sq ft)

Vacancy(In %)

Source: Colliers International India Research

Average Rental and Capital Value Trend


14,000

Forecast

12,000

70

10,000

60
50

8,000

40

6,000

30

4,000

20

2,000

10

Capital Values INR Per sq ft

90
80

0
2017F

2016F

2015

2014

2013

2012

2011

0
2008

Rental Values INR Per sq ft Per Month

The market will continue to garner the interest of cost


sensitive occupiers and is expected to witness increase in
absorption. Despite huge vacancy, developers who have sold
their office projects on strata sale basis will to add speculative
supply in the market. This will keep rental levels low and
vacancy levels high in the market. NOIDA expressway, sector
16 and sector 62 markets will continue to get occupiers favor
because of their strategic location and availability of talent
pool.

60%

Forecast

2010

On the infrastructure front, NOIDA plans to construct a sixlane elevated flyover between NOIDA Sector 41 to NOIDA
Special Economic Zone of Phase-II industrial area.

New Supply, Absorption and Vacancy Trends

2009

This year, Noida witnessed a few en-bloc commercial asset


sales, such as Kotak Mahindra Group and New Vernon
Capital have jointly bought Green Boulevard, an Information
Technology (IT) park located in sector 62. This was 3Cs
second large transaction during this year in terms of divesting
its assets. Earlier this year, it sold Oxygen, a Special Economic
Zone located in NOIDA to Blackstone Group.

Source: Colliers International India Research

Top 5 Transactions of 2015


CLIENT

BUILDING NAME

Cognizant

Infospace II

Genpact

AREA (sq ft)

LOCATION

LEASE / SALE

250,000

Sector 135

Lease

Stellar IT Park

100,000

Sector 135

Lease

Oracle

Express Trade Towers 2

100,000

Sector 132

Lease

Reliance Jio

Logix Cyberpark

100,000

Sector 62

Lease

SafeNet

Unitech Infospace

90,000

Sector 135

Lease

LOCATION

POSSESSION

Key under construction projects


BUILDING NAME

DEVELOPER

AREA (sq ft)

Wave One

Wave Infratech

1,000,000

Sector 18

2016

I Thum

Beaver International

500,000

Sector 62

2016

Cosmic Corporate Park III

Cosmic Group

500,000

Sector 154

2016

Source: Colliers International India Research

Notes:
1. Office Market: NOIDA market is comprised of sectors broadly classified as institutional, industrial and commercial sectors. Institutional sectors include sec 16A, 62
and125-142, industrial sectors include Sec 1-9, 57-60 and 63- 65 while sector 18 is the most developed commercial sector.
2. Rents/Capital Value: Market average of indicative asking price for Grade A office space.
3. Available Supply: Total Grade A office space being marketed for sale or lease in surveyed quarter.
4. City Barometer: Represents increase, decrease or stable scenario; as compared to previous quarter.
5. All the figures in the report is based on market information as on 25th December 2015.

15

Research & Forecast Report | January 2016 | <<India>> | Colliers International

Research &
Forecast Report

Chennai | Office
January 2016

Chennai Office market


rebounds

City Office Barometer


INDICATORS

Absorption

Chennai office absorption remained in line with Colliers last


years forecast of about 5 million sq ft; this was 25% more
than the previous years absorption of 4.11 million sq ft. This
year, a number large size lease transactions were concluded
by technology and BFSI sectors and companies such as
Accenture, took over 718,000 sq ft in Shriram Gateway
SEZ and Divyashree located along GST Road and OMR,
respectively; Yes Bank leased 400,000 sq ft in India Bulls;
Ericsson and BNP Paribas both leased more than 200,000 sq
ft in SP Infocity and Center Point 2.

Rental Value

In 2015, Chennai witnessed about 3.16 million sq ft of new


office supply. Most of this new supply was concentrated in
Rajiv Gandhi Salai (IT Corridor). Major project completed
during the year was Chennai One SEZ- North Block (1.2
million sq ft) by IG3 infra Ltd., which alone contributes 38% of
this new supply.
Till December 2015, the total available supply for lease /
fit-out stood at 5.8 million sq ft. By micro-market, OMR (IT
corridor-pre & post toll) accounted for about 56% of this
total available supply, followed by Ambattur 18%, CBD 18%,
Off CBD 5%, GST Road and MPR together 3%. Limited new
construction completions and increased absorption has led
to decrease in vacancy levels to 14% in 2015 from last year
vacancy levels of 19.5%.

2015

2016F

2017F

Vacancy

Technology sector drives the demand; absorption


up by 25%YoY

About 71% of the total absorption was contributed by IT/ITeS


firms, followed by BFSI 9%, Pharma 7%, Manufacturing 5%,
Engineering 4% and others 3%. Micro market wise OMR (Old
Mahabalipuram Road) with 45% share in overall demand,
remained the most preferred micro market, followed by CBD,
off CBD, GST Road and MPR (Mount Poonamallee Road)
which together accounts for 42% absorption and 12% by
Ambattur and Manapakkam.

2014

Construction

Capital Value
Source: Colliers International India Research

Rental Values
% CHANGE

MICRO MARKETS

RENTAL
VALUE*

QoQ

YoY

CBD

65 - 80

0%

4%

Off CBD

50 - 60

0%

0%

Ambattur

30 - 38

17%

17%

OMR (Pre Toll)**

50 - 60

0%

4%

OMR (Post Toll)***

25 - 40

0%

-7%

Mount-Poonamallee
Road

50 - 60

0%

0%

GST road

35 - 45

0%

7%

*Indicative Grade A rentals in INR per sq ft per month


** OMR I (Madhya Kailash Perungudi- Toll gate I)
***OMR II (Thoraipakkam to Sholinganallur) & OMR III (Semmencherry to Siruseri)
Source: Colliers International India Research

30%

8.0

25%
6.0

20%

4.0

15%
10%

2.0

5%

0.0

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

New Supply (In Mln sq ft)

2015

2016F

0%

2017F

Absorption(In Mln sq ft)

Vacancy(In %)

Source: Colliers International India Research

Average Rental and Capital Value Trend


10,500

Forecast

90

9,000

75

7,500

60

6,000

45

4,500

30

3,000

15

1,500

Capital Values INR Per sq ft

105

2017F

2016F

2015

2014

2013

2012

2011

0
2008

Chennai office market is expected to continue momentum led


by IT/ITeS and BFSI sectors. OMR and CBD, being preferred
locations will see more demand and thus can witness an
upward pressure in rents. In last 2-3 years, Chennai does
not witness substantial new launches. This was primarily
due to high vacancy levels. This year also we are forecasting
limited new construction as market will be recovering with
recent flood massacre. Moreover we may see delay in various
approval process due to upcoming elections. This will result in
further decline in vacancy levels.

35%

Forecast

2010

Trends to watch for in 2016

10.0

2009

In a private equity investment, Brookfield Asset Management


has picked up 80% stake in an upcoming 200 acres industrial
park in Sriperumbudur which is apparently being developed by
Bengaluru-based realty developer Embassy Group.

New Supply, Absorption and Vacancy Trends

Rental Values INR Per sq ft Per Month

A few micro markets such as CBD, OMR (Pre Toll) and GST
Road witnessed an increase in rents in the range of 4 to 7%
while OMR (Post Toll) recorded 7% decrease this year. The
asking rents in Ambattur increased significantly from INR 26 32 to INR 30 - 38 per sq ft. This is due to the significant drop
in vacancy levels after few large transactions concluded in this
market.

Source: Colliers International India Research

Top 5 Transactions of 2015


CLIENT

BUILDING NAME

Accenture

Shriram - The Gateway

Yes Bank

AREA (sq ft)

LOCATION

LEASE / SALE

393,000

GST Road

Lease

One Indiabulls Park

400,000

Ambattur

Lease

Accenture

Divyashree Point

325,000

OMR

Lease

Ericsson

SP Infocity

216,000

OMR

Lease

Income Tax Department

BSNL Building

197,000

CBD

Lease

LOCATION

POSSESSION

Pallavaram Thoraipakkam
Road

2016

Key under construction projects


BUILDING NAME

DEVELOPER

AREA (sq ft)

Chennai One SEZ South Block

IG3 infra Ltd

Ramanujan IT Park (Cambridge


Tower)

TRIL

800,000

Rajiv Gandhi Salai

2016

Ramanujan IT Park (Infinity Tower)

TRIL

450,000

Rajiv Gandhi Salai

2016

1,200,000

Source: Colliers International India Research


Notes:
1. Office Market: Prime office properties in Chennai are located in seven principal sub markets: CBD, Off CBD, Ambattur, OMR I, II & III, Mount - Poonamallee Road, GST
Road.
2. Rents/Capital Value: Market average of indicative asking price for Grade A office space.
3. Available Supply: Total Grade A office space being marketed for sale or lease in surveyed quarter.
4. City Barometer: Represents increase, decrease or stable scenario; as compared to previous quarter.
5. All the figures in the report is based on market information as on 25th December 2015.

17

Research & Forecast Report | January 2016 | <<India>> | Colliers International

Research &
Forecast Report

Bengaluru | Office
January 2016

Bengaluru continues to
top in office market
Office market outperforms with absorption over
13 million sq ft
The Bengaluru office market continued its momentum in 2015
and city remained on the top with about 33% share in total
absorption across eight major cities. Through out 2015, the
Bengaluru market recorded total absorption of about 13.43
million sq ft, slightly below last years 13.77 million sq ft. This
year, the pre-commitment for under construction office space
has been reduced to about 1 million sq ft from the previous
years number of more than 4 million sq ft.
The citys traditional primary office demand driver IT/ITeS
shared about 57% (7.69 million sq ft) of the total absorption,
followed by BFSI 20%, Manufacturing 13% and others
9%. Grade A office space remained in preference among
occupiers. Micro market wise, Outer Ring Road was the
most preferred micro market which shared 63% of the total
absorption, followed by Whitefield and Electronic City 30% and
CBD 7%.
The robust absorption was accompanied with affirmative new
construction of approximately 12.8 million sq ft which is about
60% more than the last year. Beside this, about 6.47 million
sq ft of Grade A office space was available for fit-outs till 4Q
2015; 59% of this available supply was located in EPIP Zone/
Whitefield and Electronic City, 17% in Outer Ring Road, 9%
in CBD and rest 15% in Bannerghatta Road and Hosur Road
micro markets. Despite, large new supply addition the vacancy
levels for Grade A office market declined marginally as
demand superseded the supply. Bengaluru has ample of new
supply in the pipeline of approximately 21 million sq ft in next
3 years, which will further keep the vacancy levels the same in
the coming years, due to high occupier demand.
During the year, average rental values registered an increase
of 11% YoY, which was contributed by micro markets such as
Electronic City, Bannerghatta Road, Outer Ring Road (Marthalli

City Office Barometer


INDICATORS

2014

2015

2016F

2017F

Vacancy
Absorption
Construction
Rental Value
Capital Value
Source: Colliers International India Research

Rental Values
% CHANGE

MICRO MARKETS

RENTAL
VALUE*

QoQ

YoY

CBD

90 - 130

0%

0%

Outer Ring Road


(Marathalli - Sarjapur)

65 - 68

6%

13%

Bannerghatta Road

60 - 68

5%

13%

Outer Ring Road


(North)**

55 - 65

0%

9%

Hosur Road

25 - 40

0%

0%

EPIP Zone/ Whitefield

28 - 36

0%

0%

Electronic City

28 - 36

0%

8%

*Indicative Grade A rentals in INR per sq ft per month


**Northern part of ORR - KR Puram till Hebbal
Source: Colliers International India Research

10.0

15%

8.0
10%

6.0
4.0

5%

2.0
0

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

New Supply (In Mln sq ft)

2015

2016F

0%

2017F

Absorption(In Mln sq ft)

Vacancy(In %)

Source: Colliers International India Research

Average Rental and Capital Value Trend


12,000

Forecast

60

10,000

50

8,000

40

6,000

30

4,000

20

2,000

10
0

Capital Values INR Per sq ft

70

2017F

2016F

2015

2014

2013

2012

0
2008

Over the next 12 months, the outlook for office market looks
positive with a number of companies such as HCL, Thomas
Reuters, Mercedes, Netmagic, GE, are on an expansion spree
within the city. Vacancy rates are expected to remain flat,
as new supply is likely to supplement the demand. However
rents are likely to rise marginally in select micro markets such
as ORR Marthalli Sarjapur and North Bengaluru due to
limited Grade A vacant stock.

20%

12.0

2011

Trends to watch for in 2016

25%

Forecast

14.0

2010

In a major land transaction this year, Embassy Group has


acquired 100 acre land for INR 500 crore to develop the
business park from Cornerstone Group in Varthur near
Whitefield.

16.0

2009

To support the rapid real estate growth in the city, Bangalore


Development Authority (BDA) has levied 5% Metro Rail cess
on the guidance value of the total land area of new layouts
and high-rise buildings. Also for the Metro Phase II Bangalore
Metro Rail Corporation (BMRCL) had signed a sovereign loan
agreement for 200 million (INR 1,500 crore) with Agence
Francaise Development (AFD).

New Supply, Absorption and Vacancy Trends

Rental Values INR Per sq ft Per Month

- Sarjapur) and Outer Ring Road (North). Other micromarkets


witnessed a stable rent scenario during the year. Capital
values also increased on an average by 7% YoY across all the
micro markets.

Source: Colliers International India Research

Top 5 Transactions of 2015


CLIENT

BUILDING NAME

Wells Fargo

Embassy Tech Village

Shell

AREA (sq ft)

LOCATION

LEASE / SALE

860,000

Outer Ring Road

BTS - Lease

RMZ Eco World

788,000

Outer Ring Road

Lease

Amazon

Constellation Business Park

500,000

Outer Ring Road

Lease

ANZ

RMZ Eco World

298,930

Outer Ring Road

Lease

LinkedIn India

Global Technology Park


(Maple tree)

246,000

Outer Ring Road

Lease

LOCATION

POSSESSION

Key under construction projects


BUILDING NAME

DEVELOPER

AREA (sq ft)

Embassy Tech Village - 7B Block

Embassy Group

800,000

Outer Ring Road

2016

Mantri Cornerstone A&C

Mantri Developer

700,000

Indiranagar

2016

MTB SEZ 3

Ascendas

620,000

Whitefield

2016

Source: Colliers International India Research


Notes:
1. Office Market: Prime office properties in Bengaluru can be divided into three principal sub-market CBD/Off CBD (MG Road, Millers Road, Vittal Mallya Road etc.) the
SBD (Banerghatta Road & Outer Ring Road (ORR)) and PBD (Hosur Road, EPIP Zone, Electronic City and Whitefield).
2. Rents/Capital Value: Market average of indicative asking price for Grade A office space.
3. Available Supply: Total Grade A office space being marketed for sale or lease in surveyed quarter.
4. City Barometer: Represents increase, decrease or stable scenario; as compared to previous quarter.
5. All the figures in the report is based on market information as on 25th December 2015.

19

Research & Forecast Report | January 2016 | <<India>> | Colliers International

Research &
Forecast Report

Kolkata | Office
January 2016

Kolkata occupiers
remained cautious
Office absorption down by 60% YoY in 2015, but
2016 looks positive
Office absorption in Kolkata declined to 1 million sq ft in 2015;
down by about 60% from previous year of 1.66 million sq
ft. IT /ITeS remained as the key occupiers with 46% share
in the total absorption, followed by Pharma 11%, BFSI 10%
and Engineering, Manufacturing and Logistics at 8% each
and remaining 9% by FMCG , Media & Entertainment sector.
Location wise Sector V/ New Town saw maximum traction
with 89% share in absorption, followed by CBD & New CBD
10% and SBD 1%. Among the renowned deals this year,
British Telecom took 0.10 million sq ft in DLF SEZ at New
Town, Cerner Corporation took 70,000 sq ft in Martin Burn
Business Park at Sector V and Reliance Jio took 50,000 sq ft
in Globsyn Crystal at Sector V.
Despite weak demand, in line with our last years forecast, the
city saw about 2.17 million sq ft of new construction in 2015;
this is almost double than one year earlier. Major completions
this year includeGodrej Genesis measuring 1.3 million sq ft
by Godrej Properties located at Sector V, Unitech Infospace
Phase 3A & 3B 0.50 million sq ft by Unitech Ltd. at Rajarhat
and Arch Waterfront 0.27 million sq ft by Arch Group located
at Sector V.
In 2015, both capital values and rents declined in the range
of 2 4% YoY, except in CBD and PBD micro markets which
saw stable rents this year. Decline in absorption and increase
in new supply pushed the vacancy upward.
In a significant private equity transaction, Milestone Capital
Advisors exited from Millennium Tower-I, located in Rajarhat
New Town. The building is occupied by IBM. According to
VCCircle market reports, the company exited its investment
of INR 57 crore made in March 2008 for over INR 91 crores,
which includes rental income of around INR 34 crores earned
over a period of 7 years.

City Office Barometer


INDICATORS

2014

2015

2016F

2017F

Vacancy
Absorption
Construction
Rental Value
Capital Value
Source: Colliers International India Research

Rental Values
% CHANGE

MICRO MARKETS

RENTAL
VALUE*

QoQ

YoY

CBD**

85 - 115

0%

0%

SBD***

80 - 100

0%

0%

Sector V

40 - 48

0%

-4%

PBD ****

34 - 35

0%

0%

*Indicative Grade A rentals in INR per sq ft per month


**Park Street, Camac Street, Chowranghee Road, AJC Bose Road
*EM Bypass, Topsia, Ruby
****Rajarhat
Source: Colliers International India Research

New Supply, Absorption and Vacancy Trends

Trends to watch for in 2016


Although absorption remained on lower side in 2015, but in
the last quarter few technology giants such as IBM and PWC
have shown interest to consider Kolkata market again for their
office requirements. If this materialises, the city is likely to see
increase in absorption in next 12 months.
We anticipate rents to remain on the same levels in CBD and
SBD locations, but select micro markets like Salt Lake and
New Town may witness a decline on account of piled up
inventory and huge supply pipeline.

3.5

30%

Forecast

3.0

25%

2.5

20%

2.0

15%

1.5
10%

1.0

5%

0.5
0

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

New Supply (In Mln sq ft)

2015

2016F

0%

2017F

Absorption(In Mln sq ft)

Vacancy(In %)

Source: Colliers International India Research

12,000

Forecast

100

10,000

80

8,000

60

6,000

40

4,000

20

2,000

2017F

2016F

2015

2014

2013

2012

2011

2010

0
2009

Capital Values INR Per sq ft

120

2008

Rental Values INR Per sq ft Per Month

Average Rental and Capital Value Trend

Source: Colliers International India Research

Top 5 Transactions of 2015


CLIENT

BUILDING NAME

British Telecom

DLF SEZ

Cerner Corporation

AREA (sq ft)

LOCATION

LEASE / SALE

108,000

Sector V

Lease

Martin Burn Business Park

70,000

Sector V

Lease

Reliance Jio

Globsyn Crystal

55,000

Sector V

Sale

Siemens VAI

Godrej Water Side

46,770

Sector V

Lease

Oversees Packaging

EN 34

32,800

Sector V

Lease

LOCATION

POSSESSION

Key under construction projects


BUILDING NAME

DEVELOPER

AREA (sq ft)

Technopolis 2

Forum Projects

1,200,000

Bantala

2016

PS Srijan Tech Park II

PS Group & Srijan

925,000

Sector V

2016

Primac Tower

Primac Group

47,000

Sector V

2016

Source: Colliers International India Research

Notes:
1. Office Market: The major business locations in Kolkata are CBD (Park Street, Camac Street, Chowranghee Rd, AJC Bose Rd), East Kolkata (EM Bypass, Topsia, Ruby), Salt
Lake/ Sector V and New Town / Rajarhat.
2. Rents/Capital Value: Market average of indicative asking price for Grade A office space.
3. Available Supply: Total Grade A office space being marketed for sale or lease in surveyed quarter.
4. City Barometer: Represents increase, decrease or stable scenario; as compared to previous quarter.
5. All the figures in the report is based on market information as on 25th December2015.

21

Research & Forecast Report | January 2016 | <<India>> | Colliers International

Research &
Forecast Report

Pune| Office
January 2016

Pune upholds office


absorption, crosses 5
million sq ft
IT/ITeS remained as the prime driver with 74% of
the total absorption

City Office Barometer


INDICATORS

2014

2015

2016F

2017F

Vacancy
Absorption
Construction
Rental Value
Capital Value

Riding on the back of robust leasing from IT/ITeS sector, the


city recorded highest office absorption of 5.03 million sq ft in
2015; this is about 2.4% more than the last years number of
4.91 million sq ft. Locations in the east, such as Viman Nagar,
Yerwada, Station Road and Hinjewadi outshined other micro
markets with more than 40% of the total absorption, followed
by Bavdhan, Hadapsar/ Phursungi 17% and CBD 14%. Some
notable transactions this year include, Siemens India taking
0.34 million sq ft in Panchshil Business Park - Tower C
located at Balewadi, Amazon, Vodafone India, L&T, BNY
Mellon, UBS, Concentrix Corporation and Seagate Technology
taking over 0.1 million sq ft each in various Grade A buildings
located in Nagar Road, Hinjewadi, Airport Road and Kharadi
micro markets.
Contradictory to our last years predication of 5.12 million
sq ft new supply, only 3.5 million sq ft of new construction
was completed in 2015. This is because, a few projects were
deferred for completion in 2016. Robust absorption and less
new construction has resulted in drop in vacancy levels, to
about 20.5%. Major projects completed during the year were,
Marvel Edge (0.3 million sq ft) by Marvel Group at Viman
Nagar, Cello Platina (0.16 million sq ft) by Cello at F C Road
and Supreme HQ (0.1 million sq ft) by Supreme Landmarks
at Baner. The total vacant stock as of 4Q 2015 was about
3.9 million sq ft. Most of this supply was located in Hinjewadi
23%, Airport Road/Station Road 15%, Nagar Road 14%, Bund
Garden 13%, Kharadi 10%, Senapati Bapat Marg 8%, Kalyani
Nagar 6%, and rest 11% was shared by Baner, Hadapsar and
Bavdhan micro markets
During the year, average rents registered an increase of 7%

Source: Colliers International India Research

Rental Values
% CHANGE

MICRO MARKETS

RENTAL
VALUE*

QoQ

YoY

Baner

48 - 57

2%

5%

Bund Garden

50 - 65

0%

0%

Airport road/
Pune station

55 - 85

4%

7%

Aundh

45 - 60

0%

0%

Senapati Bapat Road

60 - 95

3%

11%

Bavdhan

35 - 45

0%

0%

Kalyani Nagar

45 - 62

0%

2%

Nagar Road

45 - 60

0%

5%

Hinjewadi

38 - 50

0%

14%

Hadapsar/Fursungi

42 - 65

2%

4%

Kharadi

42 - 80

6%

15%

*Indicative Grade A rentals in INR per sq ft per month


Source: Colliers International India Research

6.0
5.0

25%

4.0

20%

3.0

15%

2.0

10%

1.0

5%

Trends to watch for in 2016

0.0

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

New Supply (In Mln sq ft)

2015

2016F

0%

2017F

Absorption(In Mln sq ft)

Vacancy(In %)

Source: Colliers International India Research

Average Rental and Capital Value Trend


Forecast

70

8,000
7,000

60

5,000

50

4,000

40

3,000

30

2,000

20

1,000

10
0

Capital Values INR Per sq ft

80

2017F

2016F

2015

2014

2013

2012

2011

0
2008

Rental Values INR Per sq ft Per Month

Pune will continue to garner interest of technology firms due


to its affordable rents and availability of large talent pool.
In the last two years Pune market has not witnessed many
new launches as developers remained cautious in adding
more speculative supply. Thus, we are not expecting much
new supply addition this year and predict that vacancy will
decline further. Rents and capital values are expected to
inch-up marginally across micro markets for Grade A premium
buildings.

30%

Forecast

2010

This year HDFC PMS has exited its investment in a


commercial & six residential projects of Marvel Realtors for
over INR 152 crore.

New Supply, Absorption and Vacancy Trends

2009

YoY, which was contributed by micro markets like Airport


Road/ Station Road, Hinjewadi, Hadpsar/ Fursungi, Senapati
Bapat Road, Baner, Kalyani Nagar & Nagar Road. Capital
values were also marginally up by 2% YoY in select micro
markets.

Source: Colliers International India Research

Top 5 Transactions of 2015


CLIENT

BUILDING NAME

Siemens India

Panchshil Business Park

Amazon

AREA (sq ft)

LOCATION

LEASE / SALE

342,080

Balewadi

Lease

Inorbit IT

195,500

Nagar Road

Lease

Vodafone India Services

Business @ Mantri

133,380

Nagar Road

Lease

UBS

Commerzone B8

110,000

Yerwada

Lease

Seagate Technology HDD

EON Free Zone SEZ

107,640

Kharadi

Lease

LOCATION

POSSESSION

Key under construction projects


BUILDING NAME

DEVELOPER

AREA (sq ft)

Acendas Phase II

Acendas

615,000

Hinjewadi

2016

World Trade Centre - B

Panchshil Realty

555,000

Kharadi

2016

World Trade Centre - C

Panchshil Realty

555,000

Kharadi

2016

Source: Colliers International India Research


Notes:
1. Office Market: The prime office sub-markets of Pune include CBD (Deccan Gymkhana, Bund Garden Road, Senapati Bapat Road & Camp), Off CBD (Aundh, Airport Road
and Kalyani Nagar) and the eastern corridor, along with Nagar Road and Kharadi, which have emerged as a preferred location for financial and IT/ITES companies.
2. Rents/Capital Value: Market average of indicative asking price for Grade A office space.
3. Available Supply: Total Grade A office space being marketed for sale or lease in surveyed quarter.
4. City Barometer: Represents increase, decrease or stable scenario; as compared to previous quarter.
5. All the figures in the report is based on market information as on 25th December 2015.

23

Research & Forecast Report | January 2016 | <<India>> | Colliers International

Primary Authors:

502
67 countries on
6 continents
United States: 140
Canada: 31
Latin America: 24
199
EMEA: 108

$2.3

billion in
annual revenue

Surabhi Arora
Associate Director | Research
+91 124 456 7500
surabhi.arora@colliers.com
Sachin Sharma
Manager | Research
sachin.sharma@colliers.com
Amit Oberoi I National Director
Valuation & Advisory Services & Research
amit.oberoi@colliers.com
For Oce Services:
Mumbai: George Mckay I South Asia Director
george.mckay@colliers.com
Delhi / NCR: Vikas Kalia | National Director
vikas.kalia@colliers.com
Bengaluru: Goutam Chakraborty I Director
goutam.chakraborty@colliers.com
Pune: Rishav Vij I Senior Associate Director
rishav.vij@colliers.com

1.7

billion square feet


under management

16,300

professionals

About Colliers International

colliers.com

2015

Chennai: Shaju Thomas | Senior Associate Director


shaju.thomas@colliers.com
Kolkata: Swapan Dutta I Senior Associate Director
swapan.dutta@colliers.com
Colliers International
Technopolis Building, 1st Floor,
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Sector 54, Gurgaon - 122 002
TEL +91 124 456 7500

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