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for in 2016
Table of Contents
Infographics
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
22
India
Oce
ABSORPTION
13.4
9.1
2015
12.0
8.1
6.6
6.0
5.0
5.0
5.1
5.0
1.0
New Delhi
/NCR
Bengaluru
Mumbai
Pune
Chennai
Kolkata
2015
PUNE
KOLKATA
2016 Forecast
20.5%
19.5%
24.0%
24.5%
BENGALURU
12.0%
12.0%
14.00
12.5%
21.0%
21.0%
CHENNAI
MUMBAI
13.0%
13.0%
2.18
1.74
2.51
3.05
8.75
7.87
3.36
5.48
2015
DELHI NCR
PUNE
3.50
3.50
KOLKATA
BENGALURU
VACANCY LEVELS
12.85
11.74
CHENNAI
DELHI NCR
MUMBAI
1.1
Building Name
Client
City
860,000 Bengaluru
Shell
788,000
Snapdeal
500,000 Gurgaon
Amazon
500,000 Bengaluru
IBM
Bhartiya City
500,000 Bengaluru
Abbott
Godrej BKC
400,000 Mumbai
Yes Bank
400,000
Chennai
Accenture
393,000
Chennai
Siemens
342,080
Pune
Accenture
Divyashree Point
325,000
Chennai
Bengaluru
~ ` 1,060 Cr
SP Infocity,
Chennai
Buyer: CPPIBShapoorji Pallonji
Seller: Faery
Estates
~ ` 1,340 Cr
~ ` 1,479 Cr
The Ruby,
Mumbai
Buyer: Axis Bank
Seller: Ruby Group
~ ` 320 Cr
~ ` 850 Cr
-4.7%
4.7%
6.2%
PUNE
KOLKATA
BENGALURU
6.9%
2.5%
CHENNAI
3.2%
1.9%
DELHI NCR
5.9%
2.6%
1.0%
0.9%
MUMBAI
2015
2016 Forecast
Research &
Forecast Report
India | Office
January 2016
Economic Barometer
Indicators
2014
2015
Gross Domestic
Product
6.60%
7.40%
Business
Confidence Index
49.90%
56.40%
Repo Rate
8.00%
6.75%
7.00%
5.75%
4.00%
4.00%
2
Inflation (WPI)
0.00%
-2.15%
10.00% - 10.25%
9.70% - 10.00%
8.00% - 9.00%
7.75% - 8.00%
Exchange Rates
2014
2015
INR - USD
61.85
66.37
INR - EURO
77.41
72.84
2015
YoY
CHANGE
Gold
26,507
25,206
-4.91%
Silver
35,999
33,215
-7.73%
Equity
(BSE Sensex)
27,506
26,079
-5.19%
1,502
1,327
-11.68%
Parameters
Realty Index
Note:
1 Estimates as per International Monetary Fund
2 Wholesale Price Index (WPI) Till Nov 2015
3 SBI interest rate < INR 1 crore Term Deposits for 1 Year
Source: Government of India, Colliers International India Research
12%
10%
8%
6%
4%
2%
Oct-Dec 15
Apr-Jun 15
Oct-Dec 14
Apr-Jun 14
Oct-Dec 13
Apr-Jun 13
Oct-Dec 12
Apr-Jun 12
100
90
80
70
Index
60
50
40
30
20
Oct 15
Apr 15
Oct 14
Apr 14
Oct 13
Apr 13
Oct 12
Apr 12
Oct 11
Apr 11
Oct 10
Apr 10
10
20,000
15,000
10,000
5,000
Apr-Sep 15
2014-15
2013-14
2012-13
0
2011-12
INR Crore
25,000
2010-11
Oct-Dec 11
Apr-Jun 11
Oct-Dec 10
Apr-Jun 10
0%
Research &
Forecast Report
Mumbai | Office
January 2016
Absorption
2015 was a solid year for the Mumbai office market with
absorption totaling 6.57 million sq ft; this was more than
double of last years absorption of 3.12 million sq ft. Apart
from this, IT/ITeS giant TCS has pre-committed 2 million sq ft
in Hiranandani Estate, Thane, which is expected to materalise
by 3Q 2018. Sector wise, BFSI commanded the absorption
with about 34% share, followed by IT/ITeS 28% and Pharma
15%. Western Suburbs micro market including, Andheri (E),
Malad, Goregaon (E), Jogeshwari (E) outperformed with more
than 32% of the total absorption, followed by BKC (BandraKurla-Complex) 22%, Navi Mumbai 16%, Central Suburbs &
Central Mumbai 12% each, Thane 5% and CBD 2%.
Rental Value
2015
2016F
2017F
Vacancy
2014
Construction
Capital Value
Source: Colliers International India Research
Rental Values
% CHANGE
RENTAL
VALUE*
QoQ
YoY
CBD**
200 - 250
0%
5%
Worli/Prabhadevi
180 - 210
0%
-5%
Lower Parel
145 - 190
0%
0%
BKC
225 - 320
0%
0%
Kalina
150 - 200
0%
0%
Goregaon / JVLR
100 - 110
0%
0%
Andheri East
90 - 130
0%
5%
Malad
80 100
0%
0%
Powai
120 - 130
0%
4%
Navi Mumbai
70 - 100
0%
6%
Thane / LBS
60 - 75
0%
0%
MICRO MARKETS
10
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016F
0%
2017F
Vacancy(In %)
30,000
250
25,000
200
20,000
150
15,000
100
10,000
50
5,000
2017F
2016F
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
0
2010
300
2008
30%
Forecast
2009
BUILDING NAME
Abbott India
Godrej BKC
E-Clerx
LOCATION
LEASE / SALE
400,000
BKC
Sale
Mindspace SEZ
200,000
Navi Mumbai
Lease
Axis Bank
The Ruby
200,000
Dadar
Sale
160,000
Navi Mumbai
Lease
Lupin
Kalpataru Inspire
150,000
Santacruz
Lease
LOCATION
POSSESSION
1,350,000
Navi Mumbai
2016
Godrej BKC
Godrej Group
1,200,000
BKC
2016
Kohinoor Square
Kohinoor Group
Dadar
2016
DEVELOPER
800,000
Research &
Forecast Report
Delhi | Office
January 2016
Absorption
Rental Value
2015
2016F
2017F
Vacancy
2014
Construction
Capital Value
Source: Colliers International India Research
Rental Values
% CHANGE
MICRO MARKETS
RENTAL
VALUE*
QoQ
YoY
CBD**
180 - 450
0%
-1%
Nehru Place
180 - 250
2%
8%
Saket
130 - 225
1%
8%
Jasola
90 - 130
0%
-2%
NSP***
70 - 120
0%
0%
25%
Forecast
20%
1.5
10%
0.5
5%
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016F
0%
2017F
Vacancy(In %)
Forecast
35,000
250
30,000
200
25,000
20,000
150
15,000
100
10,000
50
5,000
2017F
2016F
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
0
2009
300
2008
15%
1.0
BUILDING NAME
VFS Global
R Cube Centre
HP
LOCATION
LEASE / SALE
50,000
Connaught Place
Lease
50,000
Connaught Place
Lease
Amarchand Mangaldas
Reliagare House
44,000
Saket
Lease
BBC
Bharti Worldmark
40,000
Aero City
Lease
BTMU
Bharti Worldmark
40,000
Aero City
Lease
LOCATION
POSSESSION
DEVELOPER
NBCC Plaza
NBCC
1,300,000
Kidwai Nagar
2016
RPS Infinia
RPS Developer
1,200,000
Mathura Road
2016
Skipper House
Govt. Trust
Barakhamba Road
2016
160,000
Notes:
1. Office Market: The commercial areas in New Delhi can be broadly classified into the CBD (Connaught Place), SBD Nehru Place, Bhikaji Cama Place, Netaji Subhash Place,
Jasola and Saket .
2. Rents/Capital Value: Market average of indicative asking price for Grade A office space.
3. Available Supply: Total Grade A office space being marketed for sale or lease in surveyed quarter.
4. City Barometer: Represents increase, decrease or stable scenario; as compared to previous quarter.
5. All the figures in the report is based on market information as on 25th December 2015.
11
Research &
Forecast Report
Gurgaon | Office
January 2016
2014
2015
2016F
2017F
Vacancy
Absorption
Construction
Rental Value
Capital Value
Source: Colliers International India Research
Rental Values
% CHANGE
MICRO MARKETS
RENTAL
VALUE*
QoQ
YoY
MG Road
110 - 140
-2%
2%
100 - 110
6%
11%
100 - 180
4%
14%
Institutional Sectors
(Sec 44, 32, 18)
60 - 90
-3%
0%
60 - 75
0%
0%
National Highway 8
50 - 130
0%
-10%
30 - 40
3%
-7%
Manesar
38 - 45
0%
-2%
60%
Forecast
5.0
50%
4.0
40%
3.0
30%
2.0
20%
1.0
10%
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016F
0%
2017F
Vacancy(In %)
Forecast
14,000
120
12,000
100
10,000
80
8000
60
6,000
40
4,000
20
2,000
140
2017F
2016F
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
0
2008
BUILDING NAME
LOCATION
LEASE / SALE
Snapdeal
500,000
Udyog Vihar
Lease
Google India
403,000
Sector 15
Lease
NTT Data
250,000
Lease
Samsung
200,000
Lease
Zomato Media
126,000
Lease
LOCATION
POSSESSION
DEVELOPER
ASF Infrastructure
1,400,000
Gwal Pahari
2016
Reach Commercia
Reach Promoters
550,000
Sohna Road
2016
Unitech Infospace-Tower V
Unitech Ltd.
500,000
NH 8
2016
13
Research &
Forecast Report
Noida | Office
January 2016
2014
2015
2016F
2017F
Vacancy
Absorption
Construction
Rental Value
Capital Value
Source: Colliers International India Research
Rental Values
% CHANGE
MICRO MARKETS
RENTAL
VALUE*
QoQ
YoY
Commercial Sectors*
80 - 110
-5%
-7%
Institutional Sectors
(Non IT)**
70 - 110
6%
13%
Institutional Sectors
(IT)**
45 - 60
-5%
0%
35 - 55
0%
5%
6.0
5.0
50%
4.0
40%
3.0
30%
2.0
20%
1.0
10%
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016F
0%
2017F
Vacancy(In %)
Forecast
12,000
70
10,000
60
50
8,000
40
6,000
30
4,000
20
2,000
10
90
80
0
2017F
2016F
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
0
2008
60%
Forecast
2010
On the infrastructure front, NOIDA plans to construct a sixlane elevated flyover between NOIDA Sector 41 to NOIDA
Special Economic Zone of Phase-II industrial area.
2009
BUILDING NAME
Cognizant
Infospace II
Genpact
LOCATION
LEASE / SALE
250,000
Sector 135
Lease
Stellar IT Park
100,000
Sector 135
Lease
Oracle
100,000
Sector 132
Lease
Reliance Jio
Logix Cyberpark
100,000
Sector 62
Lease
SafeNet
Unitech Infospace
90,000
Sector 135
Lease
LOCATION
POSSESSION
DEVELOPER
Wave One
Wave Infratech
1,000,000
Sector 18
2016
I Thum
Beaver International
500,000
Sector 62
2016
Cosmic Group
500,000
Sector 154
2016
Notes:
1. Office Market: NOIDA market is comprised of sectors broadly classified as institutional, industrial and commercial sectors. Institutional sectors include sec 16A, 62
and125-142, industrial sectors include Sec 1-9, 57-60 and 63- 65 while sector 18 is the most developed commercial sector.
2. Rents/Capital Value: Market average of indicative asking price for Grade A office space.
3. Available Supply: Total Grade A office space being marketed for sale or lease in surveyed quarter.
4. City Barometer: Represents increase, decrease or stable scenario; as compared to previous quarter.
5. All the figures in the report is based on market information as on 25th December 2015.
15
Research &
Forecast Report
Chennai | Office
January 2016
Absorption
Rental Value
2015
2016F
2017F
Vacancy
2014
Construction
Capital Value
Source: Colliers International India Research
Rental Values
% CHANGE
MICRO MARKETS
RENTAL
VALUE*
QoQ
YoY
CBD
65 - 80
0%
4%
Off CBD
50 - 60
0%
0%
Ambattur
30 - 38
17%
17%
50 - 60
0%
4%
25 - 40
0%
-7%
Mount-Poonamallee
Road
50 - 60
0%
0%
GST road
35 - 45
0%
7%
30%
8.0
25%
6.0
20%
4.0
15%
10%
2.0
5%
0.0
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016F
0%
2017F
Vacancy(In %)
Forecast
90
9,000
75
7,500
60
6,000
45
4,500
30
3,000
15
1,500
105
2017F
2016F
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
0
2008
35%
Forecast
2010
10.0
2009
A few micro markets such as CBD, OMR (Pre Toll) and GST
Road witnessed an increase in rents in the range of 4 to 7%
while OMR (Post Toll) recorded 7% decrease this year. The
asking rents in Ambattur increased significantly from INR 26 32 to INR 30 - 38 per sq ft. This is due to the significant drop
in vacancy levels after few large transactions concluded in this
market.
BUILDING NAME
Accenture
Yes Bank
LOCATION
LEASE / SALE
393,000
GST Road
Lease
400,000
Ambattur
Lease
Accenture
Divyashree Point
325,000
OMR
Lease
Ericsson
SP Infocity
216,000
OMR
Lease
BSNL Building
197,000
CBD
Lease
LOCATION
POSSESSION
Pallavaram Thoraipakkam
Road
2016
DEVELOPER
TRIL
800,000
2016
TRIL
450,000
2016
1,200,000
17
Research &
Forecast Report
Bengaluru | Office
January 2016
Bengaluru continues to
top in office market
Office market outperforms with absorption over
13 million sq ft
The Bengaluru office market continued its momentum in 2015
and city remained on the top with about 33% share in total
absorption across eight major cities. Through out 2015, the
Bengaluru market recorded total absorption of about 13.43
million sq ft, slightly below last years 13.77 million sq ft. This
year, the pre-commitment for under construction office space
has been reduced to about 1 million sq ft from the previous
years number of more than 4 million sq ft.
The citys traditional primary office demand driver IT/ITeS
shared about 57% (7.69 million sq ft) of the total absorption,
followed by BFSI 20%, Manufacturing 13% and others
9%. Grade A office space remained in preference among
occupiers. Micro market wise, Outer Ring Road was the
most preferred micro market which shared 63% of the total
absorption, followed by Whitefield and Electronic City 30% and
CBD 7%.
The robust absorption was accompanied with affirmative new
construction of approximately 12.8 million sq ft which is about
60% more than the last year. Beside this, about 6.47 million
sq ft of Grade A office space was available for fit-outs till 4Q
2015; 59% of this available supply was located in EPIP Zone/
Whitefield and Electronic City, 17% in Outer Ring Road, 9%
in CBD and rest 15% in Bannerghatta Road and Hosur Road
micro markets. Despite, large new supply addition the vacancy
levels for Grade A office market declined marginally as
demand superseded the supply. Bengaluru has ample of new
supply in the pipeline of approximately 21 million sq ft in next
3 years, which will further keep the vacancy levels the same in
the coming years, due to high occupier demand.
During the year, average rental values registered an increase
of 11% YoY, which was contributed by micro markets such as
Electronic City, Bannerghatta Road, Outer Ring Road (Marthalli
2014
2015
2016F
2017F
Vacancy
Absorption
Construction
Rental Value
Capital Value
Source: Colliers International India Research
Rental Values
% CHANGE
MICRO MARKETS
RENTAL
VALUE*
QoQ
YoY
CBD
90 - 130
0%
0%
65 - 68
6%
13%
Bannerghatta Road
60 - 68
5%
13%
55 - 65
0%
9%
Hosur Road
25 - 40
0%
0%
28 - 36
0%
0%
Electronic City
28 - 36
0%
8%
10.0
15%
8.0
10%
6.0
4.0
5%
2.0
0
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016F
0%
2017F
Vacancy(In %)
Forecast
60
10,000
50
8,000
40
6,000
30
4,000
20
2,000
10
0
70
2017F
2016F
2015
2014
2013
2012
0
2008
Over the next 12 months, the outlook for office market looks
positive with a number of companies such as HCL, Thomas
Reuters, Mercedes, Netmagic, GE, are on an expansion spree
within the city. Vacancy rates are expected to remain flat,
as new supply is likely to supplement the demand. However
rents are likely to rise marginally in select micro markets such
as ORR Marthalli Sarjapur and North Bengaluru due to
limited Grade A vacant stock.
20%
12.0
2011
25%
Forecast
14.0
2010
16.0
2009
BUILDING NAME
Wells Fargo
Shell
LOCATION
LEASE / SALE
860,000
BTS - Lease
788,000
Lease
Amazon
500,000
Lease
ANZ
298,930
Lease
LinkedIn India
246,000
Lease
LOCATION
POSSESSION
DEVELOPER
Embassy Group
800,000
2016
Mantri Developer
700,000
Indiranagar
2016
MTB SEZ 3
Ascendas
620,000
Whitefield
2016
19
Research &
Forecast Report
Kolkata | Office
January 2016
Kolkata occupiers
remained cautious
Office absorption down by 60% YoY in 2015, but
2016 looks positive
Office absorption in Kolkata declined to 1 million sq ft in 2015;
down by about 60% from previous year of 1.66 million sq
ft. IT /ITeS remained as the key occupiers with 46% share
in the total absorption, followed by Pharma 11%, BFSI 10%
and Engineering, Manufacturing and Logistics at 8% each
and remaining 9% by FMCG , Media & Entertainment sector.
Location wise Sector V/ New Town saw maximum traction
with 89% share in absorption, followed by CBD & New CBD
10% and SBD 1%. Among the renowned deals this year,
British Telecom took 0.10 million sq ft in DLF SEZ at New
Town, Cerner Corporation took 70,000 sq ft in Martin Burn
Business Park at Sector V and Reliance Jio took 50,000 sq ft
in Globsyn Crystal at Sector V.
Despite weak demand, in line with our last years forecast, the
city saw about 2.17 million sq ft of new construction in 2015;
this is almost double than one year earlier. Major completions
this year includeGodrej Genesis measuring 1.3 million sq ft
by Godrej Properties located at Sector V, Unitech Infospace
Phase 3A & 3B 0.50 million sq ft by Unitech Ltd. at Rajarhat
and Arch Waterfront 0.27 million sq ft by Arch Group located
at Sector V.
In 2015, both capital values and rents declined in the range
of 2 4% YoY, except in CBD and PBD micro markets which
saw stable rents this year. Decline in absorption and increase
in new supply pushed the vacancy upward.
In a significant private equity transaction, Milestone Capital
Advisors exited from Millennium Tower-I, located in Rajarhat
New Town. The building is occupied by IBM. According to
VCCircle market reports, the company exited its investment
of INR 57 crore made in March 2008 for over INR 91 crores,
which includes rental income of around INR 34 crores earned
over a period of 7 years.
2014
2015
2016F
2017F
Vacancy
Absorption
Construction
Rental Value
Capital Value
Source: Colliers International India Research
Rental Values
% CHANGE
MICRO MARKETS
RENTAL
VALUE*
QoQ
YoY
CBD**
85 - 115
0%
0%
SBD***
80 - 100
0%
0%
Sector V
40 - 48
0%
-4%
PBD ****
34 - 35
0%
0%
3.5
30%
Forecast
3.0
25%
2.5
20%
2.0
15%
1.5
10%
1.0
5%
0.5
0
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016F
0%
2017F
Vacancy(In %)
12,000
Forecast
100
10,000
80
8,000
60
6,000
40
4,000
20
2,000
2017F
2016F
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
0
2009
120
2008
BUILDING NAME
British Telecom
DLF SEZ
Cerner Corporation
LOCATION
LEASE / SALE
108,000
Sector V
Lease
70,000
Sector V
Lease
Reliance Jio
Globsyn Crystal
55,000
Sector V
Sale
Siemens VAI
46,770
Sector V
Lease
Oversees Packaging
EN 34
32,800
Sector V
Lease
LOCATION
POSSESSION
DEVELOPER
Technopolis 2
Forum Projects
1,200,000
Bantala
2016
925,000
Sector V
2016
Primac Tower
Primac Group
47,000
Sector V
2016
Notes:
1. Office Market: The major business locations in Kolkata are CBD (Park Street, Camac Street, Chowranghee Rd, AJC Bose Rd), East Kolkata (EM Bypass, Topsia, Ruby), Salt
Lake/ Sector V and New Town / Rajarhat.
2. Rents/Capital Value: Market average of indicative asking price for Grade A office space.
3. Available Supply: Total Grade A office space being marketed for sale or lease in surveyed quarter.
4. City Barometer: Represents increase, decrease or stable scenario; as compared to previous quarter.
5. All the figures in the report is based on market information as on 25th December2015.
21
Research &
Forecast Report
Pune| Office
January 2016
2014
2015
2016F
2017F
Vacancy
Absorption
Construction
Rental Value
Capital Value
Rental Values
% CHANGE
MICRO MARKETS
RENTAL
VALUE*
QoQ
YoY
Baner
48 - 57
2%
5%
Bund Garden
50 - 65
0%
0%
Airport road/
Pune station
55 - 85
4%
7%
Aundh
45 - 60
0%
0%
60 - 95
3%
11%
Bavdhan
35 - 45
0%
0%
Kalyani Nagar
45 - 62
0%
2%
Nagar Road
45 - 60
0%
5%
Hinjewadi
38 - 50
0%
14%
Hadapsar/Fursungi
42 - 65
2%
4%
Kharadi
42 - 80
6%
15%
6.0
5.0
25%
4.0
20%
3.0
15%
2.0
10%
1.0
5%
0.0
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016F
0%
2017F
Vacancy(In %)
70
8,000
7,000
60
5,000
50
4,000
40
3,000
30
2,000
20
1,000
10
0
80
2017F
2016F
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
0
2008
30%
Forecast
2010
2009
BUILDING NAME
Siemens India
Amazon
LOCATION
LEASE / SALE
342,080
Balewadi
Lease
Inorbit IT
195,500
Nagar Road
Lease
Business @ Mantri
133,380
Nagar Road
Lease
UBS
Commerzone B8
110,000
Yerwada
Lease
107,640
Kharadi
Lease
LOCATION
POSSESSION
DEVELOPER
Acendas Phase II
Acendas
615,000
Hinjewadi
2016
Panchshil Realty
555,000
Kharadi
2016
Panchshil Realty
555,000
Kharadi
2016
23
Primary Authors:
502
67 countries on
6 continents
United States: 140
Canada: 31
Latin America: 24
199
EMEA: 108
$2.3
billion in
annual revenue
Surabhi Arora
Associate Director | Research
+91 124 456 7500
surabhi.arora@colliers.com
Sachin Sharma
Manager | Research
sachin.sharma@colliers.com
Amit Oberoi I National Director
Valuation & Advisory Services & Research
amit.oberoi@colliers.com
For Oce Services:
Mumbai: George Mckay I South Asia Director
george.mckay@colliers.com
Delhi / NCR: Vikas Kalia | National Director
vikas.kalia@colliers.com
Bengaluru: Goutam Chakraborty I Director
goutam.chakraborty@colliers.com
Pune: Rishav Vij I Senior Associate Director
rishav.vij@colliers.com
1.7
16,300
professionals
colliers.com
2015