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Febuary 23,2016
Vol 7,Issue II
www.ricepluss.com
www.riceplusmagazine.blogspot.com
China imported around 287,200 tons of rice in January 2016, about 2.3 times from around
122,400 tons imported during the same period last year, according to data from China Customs
General Administration.
Month-on-month, China's rice imports in January 2016 declined about 27% m/m from around
395,500 tons in December 2015.
In January 2016, China exported around 22,200 tons of rice, down about 20% from around
27,900 tons exported in December 2015 and up about 15% from around 19,300 tons exported in
January 2015.
China imported about 3.35 million tons of rice in 2015, up about 31% from around 2.56 million
tons imported in 2014. China exported about 285,800 tons of rice in 2015, down about 32% from
around 419,069 tons in 2014.
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Extending dry conditions due to the El Nio phenomenon have damaged about 94,934 tons of
rice worth P1.62 billion (around $24 million) as of February 18, 2016 in the Philippines,
Business Mirror quoted a report by the Department of Agriculture (DA).
The report showed that about 59,463 hectares of paddy are affected, but about 40,221 hectares
have a chance of recovery. Based on the latest projections by the Philippine Statistics Authority
(PSA),the DA Field Operation Service Officer in Charge told reporters that the effects of El Nio
to rice production in the first half of 2016 would be minimal.
The PSA estimates the Philippines 2016 first half paddy rice production at around 8.2 million
tons, down about 1.5% from around 8.32 million tons in 2015. The Philippines paddy production
in 2015 declined about 4.31% to around 18.15 million tons, down from around 18.97 million
tons in 2014 due to the El Nio phenomenon.
Around 304,104 tons of total crops worth P4.002 billion (around $84 million) from around
194,056 hectares are affected by the El Nino, according to the report.
Meanwhile, the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration is
expecting the El Nio to gradually weaken from March to May this year, while El Nio-Southern
Oscillation (Enso)-neutral is likely between May to July 2016. Enso-neutral refers to a period when
neither El Nio nor La Nia is present
The U.S. cash market was seen softer today after offers on the latest Iraqi tender were revealed,
leading some market participants to believe Iraq will scrap the tender for U.S. origin only.
It was reported that 30,000 tons of U.S. origin was offered at $597 PMT CIF free out while
another 90,000 tons were offered at $597.86 PMT CIF free out.
Although the tender only called for U.S. origin, one company offered 60,000 tons from Uruguay
at $511 PMT CIF free out and 60,000 tons from Argentina at $501.50 PMT CIF free out.
Analysts note that no purchase decision has been made as of yet and that the offers remain valid
until February 25th, however the Iraqi Grain Board regularly extends tender deadlines.
The UN's Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) forecasts Malaysia's MY 2015-16 (JulyJune) rice imports to increase despite an estimated record rice production in 2015 due to a strong
Domestic Demand. The FAO estimates Malaysia's 2015-16 total cereal imports, including rice,
to increase about 2% y/y to around 6.5 million tons.
The FAO forecasts Malaysia's 2015 paddy rice production at a record 2.7 million tons, up about
2% from around 2.645 million tons in 2014 despite a slight contraction in paddy area due to
favourable weather conditions, increased yields and continued government support to the rice
sector.
Planting of the 2016 paddy crop is nearing completion. However, concerns of El Nino induced
dry conditions during the northeast monsoon period (December-March) are likely to impact the
potential of the 2016 paddy crop.
Oryza CBOT Rough Rice Futures Recap Chicago Rough Rice Futures Tumble as
Offers on Iraqi Tender Revealed
Feb 23, 2016
Chicago rough rice futures for Mar delivery settled 31.5 cents per cwt (about $7 per ton) lower at
$10.705 per cwt (about $236 per ton). The other grains finished the day with mixed results;
Soybeans closed about 0.4% higher at $8.8425 per bushel; wheat finished about 0.6% lower at
$4.6400 per bushel, and corn finished the day about 0.8% higher at $3.7225 per bushel.
U.S. stocks traded more than 1% higher Monday, trying to build on their best weekly gain of
2016, as oil prices climbed. WTI futures for March delivery, which expire after the settle
Monday, traded about 7% higher near $31.70 a barrel after the International Energy Agency said
in its medium-term outlook Monday that U.S. shale oil production was expected to fall by
600,000 barrels per day (bpd) this year and another 200,000 bpd in 2017. U.S. crude briefly
climbed above $32 a barrel at session highs. The forecast added to last week's drop in U.S. oil rig
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Iraq has passed on tenders to purchase around 90,000 tons of U.S. non-glutinous rice in tenders,
which closed on February 21, 2016 with the offers having to remain valid till February 25,2016,
Reuters quoted the European traders.
The Iraqi Grain Board (IGB) reportedly received the lowest offer to supply 30,000 tons of U.S.
rice at $597 per ton (c&f). Though, the tender had sought only the U.S. rice, the same company
that offered lowest bid for 30,000 tons of U.S. rice also offered to supply 60,000 tons of Uruguay
rice at $511 per ton (c&f) and 60,000 tons of Argentina rice at $501.50 per ton (c&f).
Other offers for the U.S. rice were reportedly made at $597.86 per ton, $612 per ton and $635
per ton (all c&f).
The UN's Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) forecasts South Korea to import 440,000
tons of rice in 2016. The FAO forecasts South Korea's total cereal imports in MY 2015-16
(October-September) to increase slightly over the previous year due to an increase in wheat
imports.
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Pakistan exported around 2.445 million tons of rice (including 223,634 tons of basmati and 2.22
million tons of non-basmati) in the first seven months of FY 2015-16 (July 2015 - January 2016),
up about 11% from around 2.196 million tons (290,013 tons of basmati and 1.91 million tons of
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Vietnam rice sellers increased their quotes for 5% broken rice, 25% broken rice and 100%
broken rice by about $5 per ton each to around $350-$360 per ton, $340-$350 per ton and $325$335 per ton respectively today. India and Pakistan rice sellers kept their quotes unchanged
today. Thailand rice sellers are out today due to national holiday.
5% Broken Rice
Thailand 5% rice is indicated at around $355 - $365 per ton, about $5 per ton premium on
Vietnam 5% rice shown at around $350 - $360 per ton. India 5% rice is indicated at around $360
- $370 per ton, about $20 per ton premium on Pakistan 5% rice shown at around $340 - $350 per
ton.
25% Broken Rice
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Thailand's Commerce Ministry has confirmed that there was no loss of rice stocks under the
previous government's rice pledging scheme as testified by an auditor to the court, according to
Bangkok Post.
The Ministry noted that the difference in figures had occurred due to incorrect bookkeeping
method used. The weight of the rice sacks had not been accounted for by the auditor, it said.
Separately, a rice-pledging scheme investigation panel seeking financial compensation from expremier Yingluck Shinawatra has submitted its findings to the government. The panel found that
the former Premier had committed dereliction of duty in overseeing the implementation of the
scheme. But it stated that the scheme itself did not cause any damage to the state.
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Vietnam exported around 589,646 tons of rice in January 1 - February 18, 2016, up about 40%
from around 421,202 tons of rice exported in first two months of 2015, according to data from
the Vietnam Food Association (VFA). The average rice export price so far in this year stands at
around $400 per ton (FOB), down about 11% per ton from around $452 per ton recorded during
same last year.
During February 1-18, 2016, Vietnam exported around172,875 tons of rice, down about 14%
from around 200,814 tons rice exported in full month of February 2015, and down about 59%
from around 416,770 tons rice exported in full month of January 2016. The average export price
so far in February stands at around $382 per ton, down about 16% per ton from a year ago and
down about 6% per ton from a month ago.
Vietnam 5% broken
350-360
India 5% broken
360-370
Pakistan 5% broken
340-350
Uruguay 5% broken
440-450
Vietnam Jasmine
415-425
Brokens
Thailand A1 Super
325-335
Cambodia A1 Super
335-345
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