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27January2015
Week 04
Major interest
Despite the fall in prices, oil majors have flocked to Mexicos data rooms to
study blocks as the historic Round One tender proceeds.
Production reduction
Oil companies in Colombia have warned the oil price slump could cause
production in the country to fall by 220,000 barrels per day by 2018.
Crisis (mis)management
Wintershall is coming
COMMENTARY
INVESTMENT
PERFORMANCE
POLICY
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10
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11
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SPECIAL BRIEFING
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LatAmOil
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COMMENTARY
2022
2027
2032
2037
LatAmOil
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COMMENTARY
Zepeda said several shale blocks
overlapped with other types of
hydrocarbons prospects at different
depths, meaning some may still be
economic. But others including
unconventional prospects in the
challenging Chicontepec formation
may now have to be dropped from Round
One and included in subsequent tenders.
The impact of the lower price on other
areas is less clear. For example,
Chicontepec, which contains both light
and heavy crude, comprises some
prospects that would cost US$120 per
barrel to produce and others below
US$40. Some areas, [which] we will be
seeing as part of this tender, are viable
and competitive even at low prices,
Zepeda said. Other tenders were being
reassessed, he added.
Blocks in the south of Chicontepec,
which are more productive, have more
chance of being viable, while other
LatAmOil
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COMMENTARY
LatAmOil
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COMMENTARY
Obstacles
Venezuelas complex forex system is
widely regarded as being one of the chief
obstacles to doing business in the
country. Corruption is rampant, delays
are common and the paperwork is
daunting.
The bolivar, at least in the official and
SICAD I rates, is significantly
overvalued. PDVSA has been selling its
revenue from foreign oil sales to the
government at the 6.3 rate, which has
exacerbated the companys financial
crisis.
The government is looking for overcomplicated solutions to a simple
problem: it has not made enough dollars
available to meet demand. This forces
companies and individuals to turn to the
black market, where the rate is soaring
and which in turn stokes inflation.
Venezuelan inflation closed 2014 at a
rate of 64%, creating shortages of
foodstuffs, medicines and spare parts.
The situation is unlikely to improve
while oil prices remain depressed. Oil
revenues account for 95% of the
countrys hard currency income. But the
price of Venezuelas market basket of oil
and petroleum products has fallen by
more than 60% in the last year to US$38
per barrel on January 21. It was US$96
per barrel at the same time last year.
LatAmOil
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INVESTMENT
LatAmOil
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INVESTMENT
Oceanografia, which was taken into
receivership by the government at the
start of last year, lost 25 of the 27
contracts it had held with the state-run
company. Oceanografia collapsed
suddenly after fraud was discovered in its
loan guarantees. The government stepped
PERFORMANCE
LatAmOil
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PERFORMANCE
Colombias producers also expect to
draw in their seismic exploration to
14,000 square km in 2015 from 32,000
square km last year. State-run Ecopetrol
has shaved a third off this years
exploration budget in comparison to
2014. Exploration spending this year has
been slated at US$503 million.
"To the extent you explore less,
unfortunately this is going to adversely
affect the incorporation of oil reserves,
which is essential for the country," said
Lloreda. Colombia had estimated
POLICY
LatAmOil
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POLICY
Announcing the new incentives,
Kicillof said the state was doing what
must be done so the oil industry doesnt
shrink.
The government already has set prices
LatAmOil
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POLICY
Both the El Palito and Puerto La Cruz
plants are often shut down as well,
especially during the rainy season when
thunderstorms can result in lightning
strikes.
PDVSA also needs upgraders to strip
coke and minerals out of its extra heavy
crude. These units are necessary for the
company to boost output from heavy oil
belt, or Faja. The upgraders prepare the
oil, which has the viscosity of tar, for
traditional refining.
Each upgrader carries a price tag of
several billion US dollars, depending on
LatAmOil
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LatAmOil
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NEWS IN BRIEF
POLICY
Price risk for T&T
There are no guarantees major projects in
the energy sector will continue given
fluctuating oil prices, chairman of the
Energy Chamber and president of BHP
Billiton T&T Vincent Pereira said. He
said major global oil and gas companies
were cutting their capital investment
budgets and cancelling major projects.
So far, the major projects in T&T have
not been impacted but with expenditure
constantly under review there is no
guarantee that this will remain the case,
Pereira said. Only sustained investment
in upstream gas delivery every year, will
allow us to deliver the 4 bcf of gas per
day that is required, he said.
GUARDIAN T&T, January 27,
2015
COMPANIES
Gran Tierra reports
output of 25,000
boepd
Gran Tierra Energy, a company focused
on oil exploration and production in
South America, provided an operations
update. Oil and natural gas production
from continuing operations averaged
approximately 25,200 boepd gross
working interest in 2014, or
approximately 19,300 boepd net after
royalties before adjustment for inventory
changes and losses, or approximately
18,500 boepd net after royalties adjusted
for inventory changes and losses.
Approximately 99% of the 2014
production is oil, with the balance
consisting of natural gas.
INSIDE TRADE, January 26, 2015
LatAmOil
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NEWS IN BRIEF
YPFB head dies amid
corruption scandal
The CEO of Bolivian state oil company
YPFB has died from cardio-respiratory
arrest at a clinic in Santiago, President
Evo Morales said. Carlos Villegas died
nearly three weeks after undergoing
surgery for cancer of the oesophagus.
Its a huge loss. An honest man, hard to
replace, Morales said.
Villegas was in an induced coma for
several days after the operation in Chile,
where he travelled on January 1 amid
allegations of corruption involving him
and former official Selva Camacho.
Camacho, who is under arrest, worked as
Villegass top communications and
public affairs assistant.
LATINO FOX NEWS, January 25,
2015
PetroRio buys
Bijupira and Salema
field stakes
PetroRio, the new brand of HRT
Participacoes em Petroleo has purchased
80% of the rights and obligations of the
concession contracts for the Bijupira and
Salema Fields with Shell Brasil Petroleo
and Petrobras holding the remaining
20%. The transaction also involved the
acquisition of, among other assets, the
ship FPSO Fluminense, used in the
production process of both fields, with
storage capacity for 1.3 million barrels of
oil. Only upon approval from the
regulatory agencies, the company will
become the operator of the fields.
With this transaction, PetroRio will
become one of the largest independent
producers in the country, operating an
average of more than 30,000 bpd of oil.
This represents a three-fold increase in
current production and positions
PetroRio as one of the most important
emerging companies in Brazils oil
industry.
PETRORIO, January 21, 2015
Rex completes
drilling in Colombia
Rex International has announced its
98.4%-owned licence-holding company
Caribbean Rex has completed the drilling
of three wells in the South Erin Block in
Trinidad & Tobago. The wells were
drilled as part of a three-well drilling
programme that Caribbean Rex started in
the South Erin licence in May 2014.
Oil-bearing sands were encountered in all
wells, two of which are deemed to be
commercial with substantial net pay
sands. Caribbean Rex will consider
putting the wells on production as soon
as testing has been completed and
approvals have been granted.
RIGZONE, January 20, 2015
Ivanhoe trims
Ecuador activities as
partnership stalls
Canadas Ivanhoe Energy is to scale back
its activities in Ecuador. Lower oil prices
and a delay in discussions with its partner
on moving ahead with plans at the Block
20 heavy-oil project are behind the
companys decision. Block 20, located
201 km southeast of Quito, contains the
Pungarayacu oilfield, which holds an
estimated 4.5-7 billion barrels of oil in
place. Ecuadors state-run oil company
Petroproduccion drilled 26 wells in the
field during the 1980s.
LatAmOil
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NEWS IN BRIEF
Since 2008 Ivanhoe has operated the
field, however it has experienced
technical difficulties caused by the heavy
nature of the oil.
Ivanhoe previously enlisted an unnamed
national oil company to review Ivanhoes
investment in Block 20, the Canadian
firm said. This resulted in an agreement
in principle, which was still subject to the
approval of the Ecuadorian government,
for the national oil company to farm in to
the project as the majority partner and
operator of Block 20.
Ivanhoe and the national company
presented a joint proposal to the
Ecuadorian government in March of last
year. In mid-May, the Ecuadorian
government said it was ready to move
forward with final project negotiations.
However the NOC, which had initially
expected to complete its internal review
by the end of the third quarter of last
year, has since told Ivanhoe that the
sharp decline in oil prices and other
factors have delayed its review, making a
final decision to proceed with Block 20
not possible at this time, Ivanhoe said.
IVANHOE, January 26, 2015
Moodys assigns A3
rating to Pemexs
US$6-billion notes
Moodys Investors Service has assigned
an A3 global local currency rating to
Mexicos Pemex upcoming issuances
US$1.5 billion 3.5% senior unsecured
notes due 2020, US$1.5 billion 4.5%
senior unsecured notes due 2026, and
US$3 billion 5.625% senior unsecured
notes due 2046. Proceeds will be used to
finance capital investments. The rating
outlook is stable.
The ratings are based on Moodys view
that despite the significant changes
arising from the new energy law, Pemex
will remain closely linked to the
government of Mexico, which will
continue to provide strong support, given
the companys importance to the
governments budget, to the oil sector
and to the countrys exports. In the short
to medium term, Moodys does not
expect any material reduction in Pemexs
tax burden and its debt amount is likely
Pemex sustains
profits despite price
plunge
Despite a plunge in oil prices, Mexicos
Pemex is holding out as one of the
worlds most profitable oil companies
thanks to low production costs, Excelsior
newspaper reported. The state oil
company is continuing to pull a profit at
mature, onshore and shallow water
projects even though Mexican oil prices
have dropped 63% to US$38 per barrel
from US$102 in June 2014, Pemex data
shows.
This is largely because Pemex is
producing at US$9.25 per barrel at its
mature fields, leaving a healthy profit
margin. Onshore costs are running at
US$10.67 per barrel, and in shallow
waters US$13.39. Pemex has not altered
its investment plan for this year, even as
many companies around the world make
cuts. Pemex plans to invest US$27.3
billion this year.
EXCELSIOR, January 26, 2015
OIL
IMF says Bolivia can
weather weak oil
According to the International Monetary
Fund, Bolivia can weather the impact of
the fall in international oil prices
although it will affect economic growth
this year. According to the document, the
decline in crude oil prices will also affect
the growth perspectives in Bolivia,
Colombia and Ecuador, La Razon
reported, citing AFP.
LatAmOil
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NEWS IN BRIEF
According to the IMF the fiscal
balances will suffer due the reduction in
oil income ... But the initial positions are
sufficiently solid to weather the impact.
LA RAZON, January 22, 2015
Mexican oil
production declines
for tenth year
Mexicos state oil company Pemex said
its oil production fell in 2014 compared
with 2013, stretching the decline to a
10th consecutive year, El Universal
newspaper reported. The company
extracted an average of 2.43 million bpd
in 2014, down 28% from a record 3.38
million in 2004.
In 2014, output dropped 3.7% from 2.52
million in 2013, according to company
data. The production last year was the
lowest since 1986, when it averaged 2.41
million bpd.
EL UNIVERSAL, January 20,
2015
Optimism that
Petrotrin will recover
with oil price
Petrotrin chairman Lindsay Gillette is
optimistic the company will turn around
within the next 12 months since global
projections show oil prices will rally
between US$65 to US$75 this year.
Gillette said he hopes oil regains its
US$60 per barrel US$70 per barrel
(price) on international markets. If that
occurs then we could start coming back
to some sort of normalcy, he said.
Gillette admitted that even if prices rally
Petrotrin still faces other challenges,
including the impact of shale oil and
shale gas in the United States and other
geo-political issues affecting energy.
T&T GUARDIAN, January 22,
2015
Venezuelas oil
exports fall
Venezuelas oil exports fell to 2.33
million bpd in 2014, from 2.43 million
the previous year, Oil Minister Asdrubal
Chavez said. Production averaged 2.9
million bpd last year, he added. OPEC
member Venezuela, which is reeling
from the plunge in global crude prices
since mid-2014, is counting on joint
ventures in the heavy-crude Orinoco
region to boost output in future years.
Production from the Orinoco Belt should
rise to 1.37 million bpd by the end of
2015 from an average of 1.25 million last
year, Chavez said. Right now were at
1.3 million a day.
REUTERS, January 20, 2015
GAS
Petrobras TPO start
up gas plants to
prevent blackouts
Despite denying that there is a lack of
energy in the country, Minister of Mines
and Energy Eduardo Braga has said that
Petrobras will restart some of its thermal
power plants by February 18 to
complement energy supply for the
southeast. The plants were closed for
preventive maintenance and will return to
the system earlier than planned. Energy
from these plants is more expensive and
their use is likely to add to electricity
bills, which already account for a total of
US$8.8 billion.
Measures will also be taken to increase
energy transfer from the Itaipu dam. In
total, the southeast will receive another
1,500 MW. According to Braga, the aim
is to guarantee supply until the problem
in the North/South line, one of the causes
of recent power cuts in 11 states as well
as Brasilia, is completely resolved. Of
Petrobras 22 power stations, 16 are
reportedly suffering problems.
FOLHA, ESTADO, January 21,
2015
Work to expand
Camisea pipeline to
begin in early 2016
Work to expand the Camisea pipeline,
which is operated by Transportador de
Gas del Peru, will begin in the first
quarter of 2016. The expansion will
make it possible to increase the amount
of natural gas sent to Lima from 314
mcfd to 450 mcfd, according to Energy
and Mines Minister Eledoro Mayorga.
ANDINA, January 19, 2015
LatAmOil
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