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3 Burlington, Vermont.
6 Entergy Nuclear Vermont Yankee, LLC and Entergy Nuclear Operation, Inc.,
9 carbon offset.
10 I will also respond to the Direct Testimony of Entergy witnesses Thayer, Yasi,
11 and Dodson where Entergy responses to New England Coalition’s First Set of
12 Information Requests (April 23, 2003) were provided following both the Technical
13 Hearings (June 16, 17, and 19, 2003) and the filing of Entergy rebuttal testimony on July
14 2, 2003.
16 apparent defiance of the Vermont Public Service Board (“Board”) Orders of June 13,
17 2003 and July 10, 2003, to provide timely and complete answers to New England
20 that will be likely to have an adverse effect on reliability under extended power
21 uprate conditions?
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Prefiled Surrebuttal Testimony of Arnold Gundersen
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2 that will be likely to have an adverse effect on reliability under extended power uprate
3 conditions.
4 Although my review component wearing and aging has been severely hampered
8 Q.4 Can you cite an example of a worn or deteriorated component likely to have an
10 Response: Yes, there are many. One example is feedwater pipe wear which is
12 inspection report, issued in February 2000. In this report, Vermont Yankee expresses
13 serious uncertainties with respect to their ability to predict the wear and thinning of
14 essential reactor system piping, "The wear rate calculations and projected times to code
15 minimum are assumed to be linear. In fact they may not be… " (Page 5).
16 Page 8 continues, “Feedwater piping from the feed pumps past the feed regulator
17 valves...this section of the feedwater system has the highest … operating pressure...there
18 may be a small margin for wall loss due to flow accelerated corrosion. In addition to the
19 limited margin, areas at counter bores for specific welds were originally fabricated with
20 thicknesses close to code minimum wall thickness. Increased FAC wear rates are
21 expected in the feedwater system and portions of the Heater Drain system."
22 On page 9 it is stated" the main area of concern is the feedwater system piping
23 from the feed pumps past the feed regulator valves. Due to the design pressures and the
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1 installed wall thickness, this portion of the feedwater system has a relatively low margin
2 for wall loss due to flow accelerated corrosion." NOTE: This is at present power not
3 upgrade power.
6 On page 9 it is stated, "Also, provision for procuring piping and fittings for
8 indicates that the authors acknowledge how likely the is that a failure in this piping could
9 occur. Page 10 expands on this argument by stating "The potential for finding significant
10 wear in any piping component exists. Contingency planning as required for either repair
15 it is stated that "… with future operation under GE hydrogen water chemistry, wear rates
16 in the feedwater system and heater drain system are expected to increase. The feedwater
17 system piping from the feed pumps past the regulator valves has a relatively low margin
19
20 On page 10, it is acknowledged that things will get worse with the proposed
21 upgrade. "The planned power upgrade project underway at VY will require a complete
22 review of program evaluations, piping modeling, and procedures to account for changes
23 in equipment and flow regimes in plant piping systems. The review should be performed
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1 prior to the next refueling outage..."This recommendation was made in January of 2003,
4 In an Entergy provided email from Enrico Betti to Craig Nelson 4/16/03, Betti
5 states “What this says to me is that the feedwater system has little or no reserve
6 margin… ”
7 Despite all these indications that the system is marginal even at VY’s current
8 power level, VY has apparently chosen not to improve the system in any way.
9 Specifically, in Jay Thayer’s Prefiled Rebuttal Testimony, dated July 2, 2003, page 2, Mr.
10 Thayer states that “...plant modifications that are necessary to achieve the power upgrade
11 have been firmly established for months.” And in attachment EN-JKT-10 to the same
13 ofcomponents planned to be changed is provided. There are no listings for the feedwater
19 withstand the stresses of extended power uprate through end of license in 2012 is the
20 steam condenser. According to page 1 of the Vermont Yankee Nuclear Plant Condenser
21 Evaluation, dated November 1999, but signed by Carl Kuester on March 9, 2000, VY
22 planned that the condenser would last 12 more years, but only if power increased by a 5%
23 or less and modifications (beyond the presently planned, tube staking) were made. The
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1 Kuester study concluded that if all his recommendations were implemented (including
2 upgraded inspections of tubes each refueling outage, epoxy coating of tube inlets and
3 outlets for $ 285,000, and tube staking). On page 26, Kuester concludes “If programs are
4 formulated and acted upon, this condenser should be in satisfactory service in 2012
8 Had Kuester’s recommended for epoxy coating of the tube inlet been
9 implemented, this would reduce erosion. However, two years later in a 11/28/01 report
10 to Marstaller from Zalewski, section 1.1 notes that “Inlet end erosion is also
11 present… .While wall losses are not so severe to present an immediate hazard, the
12 corrosion continues to grow.” According to section 2.9 of this report, “The random stress
13 cracking may be limiting factor in the remaining useful life of the brass condenser tubes.”
14 It also states that “The corrodent necessary to propagate these cracks has not been
15 identified. Identifying and removing the corrodent is likely to be the only way to
18 Long Term Plan, Betti states “VY has been fortunate to have our condenser tubes last 30
19 years.” He also states “The current erosion inspection sample is too small.” (This was
21 Both Betti and Kuester identify that it is important to note that any inspection
22 program is only a statistical sampling which means that problems can still exits
23 elsewhere. Also three years after Kuester recommended epoxy coating, Betti states,
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1 “One preemptive measure to prevent continued tube end and tube sheet erosion would be
2 epoxy coating… .” He goes on to state “The coating… (is) better done soon before leaks
3 occur.”
4 Betti then states, “It is unlikely even with preemptive repairs the current tubes
5 could be maintained long beyond 2012. Retubing as early as possible would reduce the
7 Also, if Figures 3 and 4 in Betti’s Condenser Long Term Plan are any indication,
8 VY has not accounted for power uprate. The projections of wear rates are linear, even
11 recommendation from 1999. Specifically, the Record of the Nineteenth Eddy Current
12 Inspection, signed by Zalewski, recommends epoxy coating the tube sheets and inlet
14 ENVY provided nothing during discovery that indicated that that any of these
15 important recommendations, which they have known about for four years, have been
16 acted upon.
17 Despite all these indications that the system was marginal even at VY’s current
18 power level, VY only plans to improve the system by staking the tubes as a result of the
19 power upgrade. Specifically Project Definition Document VMY 2003-012 dated April
20 15, 2003 (Attachment to DPS-1-15-b) states’ “The SWEC EPU Feasibility Study
21 concludes that the main condenser tubes require staking to eliminate the susceptibility to
22 vibration wear… ” In fact the evidence is clear that ENVY has known for four year that it
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1 has needed to stake the tubes in order to have the condenser last until 2012 under existing
2 conditions.
3 Staking was required in 1999 and is still required because the tubes are thinning
4 from both the waterside and the steam side from erosion. As tubes get much thinner than
5 their original condition, because they are no longer rigid, they begin to flutter in the
6 stream of condenser flow; much like a blade of grass held between fingers as you blow
7 across it. Metal fatigue, cracking, and failure result. Staking was required to eliminate
8 only this one part of the condenser’s problems in 1999 and ENVY is just recognizing it
10 Because the cooling towers are under sized for 120% power, the condenser
11 backpressure will fluctuate, as it has not in the past. This will be especially true in
12 summer months when no heat can be dumped to the Connecticut River and all Cooling
13 Tower cells are operating. This fluctuating pressure will increase the high cycle fatigue
16 that ”The original Westinghouse condenser bracing system had deficiencies that
18 condenser...Additional large cracks were found and repaired in the following refuel
20 The report goes on to say, “It should be noted that the original condenser welds
21 were very poor” and “These welds from the standpoint of ultimate strength under primary
22 load standpoint can… support gravity and pressure loads from service
23 conditions… secondary loads are important from the standpoint of fatigue failure.
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1 Fortunately VY is a base load plant, and the pressurization cycles for the condenser will
2 not likely exceed 200 cycles through the end of license.” When this report was written,
3 this may have been true, but the 120% upgrade introduces fatigue cycles, which the
5 Despite all these indications that the system is marginal even at VY’s current
6 power level, VY has chosen not to improve the system in any way. Specifically, in Jay
7 Thayer’s Prefiled Rebuttal Testimony, dated July 2, 2003, page 2, Mr. Thayer states that
8 “… plant modifications that are necessary to achieve the power upgrade have been firmly
9 established for months.” And in attachment EN-JKT-10 to the same testimony entitled
11 planning to replace or modify is provided. There are no listings for the condenser tube
12 sheet. Based on this description, VY has no intention of making any improvements to the
15 on reliability under extended power uprate conditions that you would like to bring
17 Response: There are many examples of components at Vermont Yankee that are
18 showing signs of age and wear; all of which result in reduced safety margins and reduced
19 reliability. Reactor components are embrittled, the reactor vessel pressure head has
20 indications of surface cracking, and the reactor core shroud has cracked and is held
22 The progress of these phenomena under normal conditions that is, original license
23 power or even minor uprate conditions, can largely be anticipated from the experience of
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1 other reactors. I would like to point out however that the program for extended power
2 uprates is very new with only eight reactors uprated 17 percent or more and just three
3 reactors having received 20 percent uprates; all during 2002. The record so far is not
4 good. The Quad Cities- Unit 2 nuclear reactor, uprated by 17.8 percent in 2001, had a
6 As early as 9/26/02, VY was aware that increasing the reactor flow would cause
7 problems with the Steam Dryer. Rather than completely analyze the problem, in an
9 Hobbs was told “ … add a statement justifying why expansion of the operating domain
10 will not result in dryer component failures.” (The only available reference to the identity
11 of this document provided by Entergy is 128/t0305, but I do not know what that means.)
12 I testified before the Board on June 19, and was unaware that the same dryer had
13 failed a second time on June 11, 2003. In my oral testimony, I related problems that I
14 had encountered on early BWR’s wherein we had thought we had solved the problem,
15 only to have it erupt again within a year. This is exactly what happened at Quad Cities,
16 and what ENVY had denied could happen at Vermont Yankee. In fact, the second failure
19 2003, “Inspection of the dryer revealed (10 through wall cracks (about 90 inches long) in
20 the vertical and horizontal portions of the blank hood, 90 degree side, (2) one vertical and
21 two diagonal braces detached… (3) one severed internal brace… and (4) three cracked tie
22 bars. … The licensee believes that the most probable cause of the failure is low
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1 frequency, high cycle fatigue driven by flow induced vibrations associated with higher
3 The Board is urged to remember that in 2002, Quad Cities told the NRC that the
4 repairs would successful solve the first failure. In the “Preliminary OE Report”,
5 OE16403, the NRC states that after the first failure, “Several teams of Excelon Nuclear,
6 General Electric and industry experts are assembled to … determine the … corrective
7 actions.”
8 Despite this expert review, the dryer failed again and the failure was much worse,
9 less than a year later. The key statement from the latest NRC information notice is
10 exactly what I had been trying to tell the Board in my oral testimony. “GE Nuclear
11 Energy and the licensee did not foresee this phenomenon.” As Shakespeare would say,
12 “There are more things in heaven and earth, Horatio, then are dreamt of in your
13 philosophy.” When you push an old plant beyond what it was designed to perform, there
14 will always be situations where Entergy “… did not foresee this phenomenon.”
16 the significance of the two events at Quad Cities. It is an Inside NRC trade publication
17 article from June 30, 2003 that states, “… fatigue relating to the age of the plant may have
18 contributed to the crack.” By providing this exhibit, Mr. Burns apparently supports the
19 point I made in my oral testimony, when I stated that plants built when Lawrence Welk
21 Despite all indications that the steam dryer is marginal even at VY’s current
22 power level, Entergy has chosen not to improve the system in any major way.
23 Specifically, in Jay Thayer’s Prefiled Rebuttal Testimony, dated July 2, 2003, attachment
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2 this description, VY has no intention of making any improvements to the steam dryer
3 system in response to the second Quad Cities event. In response to the first Quad Cities
4 event, Entergy had committed only to provide a heavier top plate and round over the
5 plate’s edges in hopes of avoiding eddy currents. Thus Entergy’s approach to design
6 analysis remains reactive and may well lead to Entergy conducting post-analysis on its
9 The number 215 Dryer support bracket has had cracks since 1983 according to a
11 In 1999 a report titled, Vermont Yankee RFO 21, identified three new cracks in
12 three of the Steam Dryer Jacking Bolts (144,215, and 324). (Despite our discovery
13 request, ENVY failed to provide section 2.4 of this report, which discusses the magnitude
14 of these cracks.
15 In the 2002 RFO 23 In-vessel Services Final Report, new debris was located on
16 the 180 degree end of the Dryer Cover Plate. Despite our discovery request, ENVY
17 failed to provide tab 9 of this report, which discusses the magnitude of this debris.
19 conclude that the trend is that failures in this area are continuing to grow.
20 Q 6 Is there any single, common extended power uprate phenomenon that appears
21 in the three examples that you cited above, feedwater piping, condensers, and steam
22 dryer?
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1 Response: Yes, the GE extended power uprate requires increased flow of steam and
2 feedwater. The affected equipment was not designed to withstand increased flow induced
4 uprate conditions. Many components including reactor control elements and fuel pins
6 Among the historical issues at Vermont Yankee and throughout the industry is the
8 generally a heavy-walled pipe designed to distribute fluid uniformly within the vessel.
9 Failure of feed water spargers has been observed at a number of boiling water reactors in
14 Sparger failure can lead to damage of other reactor components and core
15 reactivity issues. At its most benign, sparger failure may require redesign and
16 replacement. In the past this has resulted in significant personnel radiation exposure and
17 outage time.
21 under uprate conditions is not an issue based on two years experience at plants uprated.
22 20 percent. In my experience sparger damage was typically found after four to five years
23 of operation.
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1 Q7 How can Entergy and the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission or any other
4 Response: One irreducible requirement is that Entergy and NRC must be certain that
5 they have a clear and accurate basis on which to support their various analyses, designs,
6 calculations, and projections. The design basis documents for a nuclear power plant
7 must, by law, contain such fundamental information. Design basis documents for a
8 nuclear power plant are analogous to DNA in biota. They are the message that sets out
9 and justifies materials, design, and construction; that forms, that permits modification,
11 Although Vermont Yankee expended considerable time and money to round up design
12 basis issues during the mid 1990’s, there remain obvious weaknesses in Vermont
14 familiar with, and to heed accurate and comprehensive design basis documents.
15 VY apparently did not know their plant had a 40-year life, as they asked why I
16 stated it had a 40-year life in their information requests on my direct testimony. They
17 initially refused to provide us documents that could prove our assertion, then provided the
19 It was only after a detailed page count that we were able to identify the pages
20 which would support the 40 year design life statement. The document, VYC-378
21 supposedly contains 155 pages...even after we requested a full copy we only got 131
22 pages plus a 6 pages cover memo. Page 1 of 6 of VYC- 378 states, "This document
23 contains 155 pages" but only 131 (plus 6), or 137 pages followed. Where are the missing
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1 18 pages? Are VY’s files in such awful shape that they have lost this key and
2 fundamental documentation? I conclude that pieces of this key design basis document
3 are missing, which shows a clear weakness in the design basis for the plant.
4 In a 131 page appendix to document VYC 378, dated December 14, 1987 and
5 signed by Jay Thayer, on page 23 of 131, E. J. Betti states “..the reactor vessel was
6 designed for the major transients that could occur during the plant 40 year life.” NOTE,
7 the text say PLANT lifetime, not reactor lifetime. Page 32 of 131 appears to be from the
8 VY Final Safety Analysis Report (“FSAR”), and it states “”The reactor vessel is designed
9 for a 40 year life… ” Page 43 of 131 also states “”The reactor vessel is designed for a 40
10 year life… ” Page 69 of 131 also states “”… extrapolate to a 40 year life.” This same page
11 also states “They values shown for VY are projected annual frequency averaged over a
12 40 year plant lifetime.” Please note again, the text says PLANT lifetime, not reactor
13 lifetime. It is also important to note that this document makes clear that the consideration
14 is not for licensed life, but for design life. This would be the life limit for which the plant
15 and all of its components were designed to last at its original intended power and flow. It
16 is clear that VY had no knowledge of a fundamental criterion in the FSAR or their design
17 basis. This gouache failure implies the need for a vertical slice assessment (typical of
18 NRC’s Diagnostic Evaluation Program) of the plant's systems and a cross cutting
20 VY promised to inspect piping hanger RR-44 in their August 2001 ISI Summary
21 Report to the NRC (BVY 01-66) Page 19 states that problems with hanger RR-44 will be
22 “revisited” during the next refueling outage… However, in the January 9 2003 ISI
23 Summary Report to the NRC for the next refueling outage (BVY 03-02), there is no
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1 reference that this hanger was ever re-inspected. This is an indication that the
2 commitment follow-up system, which is used to maintain design basis does not work.
4 It has become increasingly clear that Vermont Yankee has lost its design basis or
5 perhaps never had an accurate design basis for its electrical wiring; in particular for the
7 Two years ago the reactor was inadvertently scrammed when workers caused a
8 short or an electrical signal when simply changing an indicator light bulb on the control
10 Earlier this year, NRC inspectors noted an “A” cable in the “B” cable tray. But
11 because Entergy was eager to remedy the situation, NRC decided not to list a violation.
12 On July 30, 2003, NRC issued an Integrated Inspection Report in which a Non-
13 cited Violation was identified for “failure to take effective corrective actions… to address
15 AS NRC explains, “The cable vault contains both safety and non safety related
16 control, instrumentation, and power cables routed in cable trays and conduit.
18 documents (design basis) that is used to provide physical separation and electrical
19 isolation of circuits and components so that safety functions required during and
21 Also, “ Since May 2000, the licensee has documented several separate instances
22 of cable separations in the cable vault… In each of the above examples, the licensee took
1 taken by the licensee to date have been insufficient to ensure the extent-of-condition of
4 deficiencies… despite corrective actions having been taken by the licensee to address
6 The above narrative on cable separation spells out a glaring and classic example
7 of a design basis deficiency indicator. It is evident that Vermont Yankee does not know
8 nor can it document the layout of the plant’s wiring. Therefore no predictions can be
10 and recovery systems under accidents conditions. Probabilistic risk assessment, such as
11 that so favored by witness Burns, is effectively voided when plant design cannot be
12 ascertained or verified.
13 There are also indications that were plant design is documented, plant personnel
14 may remain unfamiliar with design features. Mr. Thayer’s ignorance of the overall 40
17 when Vermont Yankee declared an accident mitigation system, the Reactor Core
19 The Event Notification (39250) stated, “ Following reactor core isolation cooling
20 system check valve surveillance, the check valve apparently did not fully close. This
21 resulted in high pump suction trip which would have prevented further system
1 On October 11, 2002, Entergy retracted the notification stating, The RCIC pump
4 responsible plant personnel be familiar in detail with the design of their plant. This was
5 driven home in the 1979 TMI power plant accident when operators trying to recover safe
8 uprates will shorten response time required of reactor operators and make accident
9 mitigation more difficult. Thus reliable design information, well understood, is essential
11 Vermont Yankee has not shown that it can meet this test.
12 Q 8 Are there other indicators of safety culture issues at Vermont Yankee that
13 could have an adverse impact on safety and reliability under extended uprate
14 conditions?
15 Response: Yes. Having examined numerous documents related to uprate and to systems
16 maintenance, I find a general lack of attention to detail and a lack of questioning attitude.
17 There also seems to surface from time to time what I perceive as failure to take
19 exemplifies this.
20 In a telecom from Jim Metcalf to Pedro Perez, dated 11/23/02, Metcalf states,
21 “... making sure VY gets the 24-hour reduction credit... is imperative. I'm trying to
22 figure out why the main condenser approach bothers me as much as it does. I think (in
1 accident (very comparable to the one at TMI-2), one would commit to opening up
2 isolated systems and to intentionally spread radioactive contamination further into the
3 plant.
4 And this would be done to avoid a "paper" problem. It just doesn't seem right to
5 me. The "right" answer (in my view) would be to effect pH control, spray the
6 containment to control pressure and to remove everything that can be removed, allow
7 some time for noble gas decay (at least 24 hours), and wait for the right meteorological
8 conditions (wind blowing towards Canada, for example?) to vent the containment from
9 the torus gas space up the stack (which is basically done for combustible gas control
10 anyway).”
11 This Memo shows a gross lack of adequate regard for the licensing concepts
12 underlying the safety analysis… . Venting the containment is only allowed to reduce the
13 pressure immediately after an accident when the chance of failing fuel has not yet
14 occurred.
15 To suggest that venting should occur 24 hours later when the winds are blowing
16 toward Canada is to completely destroy the concepts that are used to develop the
19 problem” is to show utter disregard for human life. The writer is concerned about not
20 spreading radiation around the plant, which presumably is designed to hold it, but would
21 rather wait only 24 hours to dump it on Canada. Furthermore, Metcalf places a premium
22 on the cost of safety improvements, before considering public health and safety. I
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1 conclude that the management of ENVY fosters a culture where getting the plant running
4 extension, the Vermont Public Service Board should rely on General Electric studies
5 to confirm the feasibility and reliability of the proposed extended power uprate.
7 Response: No, I would not. GE is a vendor whose primary interest appears to be selling
8 a prepackaged extended uprate program. Although NRC does not appear to have the
9 heart to buck the nuclear industry, even NRC questions the worth of GE’s program. One
10 example lies in notes of a private Entergy phone call to NRC (Telecon 1/8/03 9-10 AM).
11 In this call the NRC told Entergy that the GE Constant Power Upgrade Licensing Topical
12 Report (CLTR), upon which the extended power uprate is based, was “ambiguous”
13 because GE had provided “a piece-meal safety analysis” and that there was “insufficient
15 complained that with GE, “Every time we talk, the ambiguity gets larger”. The NRC
16 also told Entergy that GE “… assumes the staff can reach conclusions on public safety
17 without having adequate analysis on how the plant will operate in the future.” The NRC
18 also told Entergy that GE had not “… integrated fuel, accidents, and transient analysis… ”,
19 and that nothing was analyzed in the CLRT unless the fuel was provided by GE. The
20 NRC also told Entergy that “GE wants to carve everything into little pieces that are not
21 analyzed in an integrated fashion.” The NRC told Entergy that GE was trying to get
1 In a "Private and Confidential" memo dated 12/18/02 Entergy's Don Leach told Entergy
2 staffers that he had spoken to Jim Klaproth of GE. The memo says that Klaproth of GE
3 was meeting with the NRC Chairman and commissioners on 1/22/03, and that if the NRC
4 had not approved the GE report, Klaproth was "… going for the jugular.” I conclude that
6 Q 9 Entergy and Entergy witnesses have frequently stated that Vermont may have
7 confidence in the proposed extended power uprate because the process has had
9 Response: No, I do not agree that GE’s experience elsewhere can give Vermont
10 confidence that the uprate will yield reliability or safety. I have already recounted GE
11 uprate failures elsewhere. I have explained that based on industry experience some
12 components will be expected to fail after four or five years while the 20 percent uprates
14 During the era of Vermont Yankee’s construction, very few identical plants were
15 built; each plant retaining unique features. Therefore it cannot be said that experience
17 There are significant differences between VY and other plants GE has licensed. In
18 an internal memo from Robert Vita to VY staff on 12/19/02, Vita states, “Again, it
19 appears that VY is not a “normal” plant when trying to bound us generically with other
20 BWR-4s.” There is no suggestion why Vita stated “AGAIN”, but there must be many
21 instances where VY does not fit the analysis that GE is trying to get the NRC to approve.
22 In this memo, VY has discovered that its nuclear reactor has exceeded its ultimate
23 design pressure under certain accidents at the 120% power level. Vita states that
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1 compared to other BWR-4, VY has low steam capacity and a different safety relief valve
2 arrangement.
4 analysis previously performed by GE.I am not sure that the statements, engineering
6 Q 10 Entergy witness Thayer now says that direct radiation as a result of uprate
7 will not exceed 16 millirem at site boundary thus remaining well below the state
9 Response: It should be noted that the Board was notified of the “shine” dose, which was
10 first provided to the board on April 25, 2003. This April 25 submittal was identified as a
11 “… conservative preliminary estimate..”, and it raised the total exposure from the plant to
13 In the July 31, 2003 transmittal, witness George Thomas states that calculation
14 CYC -2298 was the basis for the turbine “shine” dose. These calculations were
16 It is surprising that this “accurate” data was calculated two months after ENVY
18 April 25, and it is more surprising that the “accurate” analysis is exactly the same dose
20 I have reviewed CYC-2298 and conclude that the “accurate” dose numbers
21 identified by Thomas on July 31 are indeed wrong and that Stone and Webster has made
22 non-conservative assumptions in developing the transit time for the steam from the
2 to Strum 4/9/85). In the earlier calculations, a steam transit time of 3.6 seconds was
3 determined, and there was considerable uncertainty even in that value. In 1985, Hansen
4 stated “As can be seen from the above, there are not enough hard cold facts to base a
5 calculation on.” Despite the fact that Hansen calculated 3.6 seconds, on page 16 of the
6 recent S&W report, S&W arbitrarily INCREASES the pre-EPU transit time to 4 seconds.
7 This 11% increase in transit time is not conservative for two reasons. First, the
8 longer the transit time the more N 16 will decay before reaching relatively unshielded
10 Second, the 1985 value was not based on “… hard, cold facts.” This mistake by
11 S&W means that the predicted shine dose is approximately 16% lower than it should be,
12 and in fact total exposure at the fence line exceeds state limits. (The 16% is not linear
14 I conclude from this error that there is a gross breakdown in the ENVY quality
15 assurance system and also that the dose to the public is not conservatively calculated. On
16 numerous occasions, Entergy has claimed that the power upgrade would produce an
17 exposure of 18.6 mrem at the fence line. This nonconservative error by Stone and
18 Webster is the reason the fence line exposure appears to stay below the Vermont
19 standard.
20 I conclude that the Vermont standard of 20 mrem will be exceeded when the plant
21 reaches 120% power. I also note that Witness Thayer, in his Prefiled Rebuttal Testimony
22 incorrectly states, ”This is a conservative estimate… This exposure level is within the 20
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1 millirem limit set by the State.” Clearly witness Thayer has not reached the correct
2 conclusion, as the dose is neither “conservative” nor “with the state limit”.
3 What is more, though Entergy annually reported calculated fence line dose
5 documentation, it is only with the excess radiation of extended power uprate in sight that
6 the base fence line radiation dose is recalibrated to 12 millirem. In some instances, it
7 appears that the dose was back calculated from a desired outcome.
8 In any case, the measurements and calculated results appear disturbingly elastic.
9 Q 11 During the Technical Hearings, Entergy announced that it had modified its
10 cooling tower plans so as to retain 125 horsepower for fan motor rating but to
11 replace the motors and fans with more efficient models. Entergy rebuttal witnesses
12 have reiterated this position. In your opinion, how will plant operation be affected
14 Response: The modest proposal of only upgrading the efficiency of the motors and fans
15 to the cooling towers is sub- minimal compared to the impact of 300 megawatts of
17 Since there are already days when the plant output is limited by river temperature
18 and cooling tower performance at existing power level, the obvious conclusions are:
19 1. that there will be many more days when plume visibility will be dramatically
20 increased,
21 2. many more days when the plume will be denser and larger and more visible than on
1 3. that there will be many more days when cooling tower drift will be dramatically
2 increased, and
3 4. that there will be many more days when the makeup for drift and evaporative losses
4 will increase.
5 I note that ENVY has failed to provide the board with estimates of increased drift,
6 estimates of the number of additional days when the plume will be visible, and accurate
7 estimates of the additional size of the plume. In an effort to assist the Board in one of
8 these areas, I have determined the drift ramifications as a result of the modification.
9 From the Stone & Webster Evaporation Loss Study, Exhibit DEY-3, drift of 183
10 gallons per minute is stated twice on pages 4 & 7, at 120% power. Assuming that Stone
11 & Webster numbers are accurate and using elementary Algebra, this converts to 263,520
16 This means that the surrounding community will be converted into swamp-like
17 conditions, as almost Five Thousand 55 gallon drums of water will be dropped on them
18 each day.
19 In addition to all this drift water, it is important to identify that the drift carries
20 with it all the biocides and other chemicals used to prevent the towers from being clogged
22 There is a conflict between ENVY documents on this mater. In witness Lesser 's
4 In any event, based on a drift rate of 183 gallons per minute, hundreds of pounds
5 of Bulab or Nalco will be released from the plant, each day that these corrosive toxins are
6 employed, to fall on the surrounding trees, plants, and people. ENVY fails to identify the
7 adverse consequences of the chemicals in the drift on the surrounding human and natural
8 environment.
9 In addition to these environmental impacts, there will be many more days when
10 the plant's output and reliability will be reduced. (See discussion on reliability for impact
13 the appropriate thing to do when making a 300 megawatt change in the heat output, given
14 the fact that the cooling towers already limit performance, would be to build additional
15 dry cooling towers to augment the existing 22 wet units already in place. Dry units
16 would produce no additional plume visibility concerns, would limit draw down from the
17 river for makeup, and would eliminate the issue of additional drift, which wet towers
18 produce. A positive impact of dry towers is that under certain circumstances, the dry hot
19 air would mix with the dry moist air from the existing towers to REDUCE the visibility
22 I make two conclusions as to why ENVY has not chosen to increase the heat removal
23 capacity by adding dry towers. First, given the profit goals espoused in their 2003
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1 Business Plan Strategic Goals, ENVY simply would prefer to enrich their stockholders
2 rather than protect the environment by adding dry towers. Second, given that new
3 nuclear construction in Vermont requires legislative approval and altering the plant
4 footprint may require additional permitting, it appears that ENVY does not wish to face
7 Yankee will be a reliable plant. Do you agree that no reliability will be lost as a
8 effect of uprate and that Vermonters will suffer no economic loss as a result?
9 Response: No, based on all the evidence before us, I conclude that Vermont Yankee
12 expert states that as a result of the Power Upgrade, he would anticipate that the loss of
15 hours the reactor was critical divided by the number of hours in the period. If the
16 availability is reduced by 2%, it means the reactor is not critical for a longer period of
17 time, and hence not producing as much power. If the reactor is available 90% of the
18 time, it is critical 328.5 days out of a 365 day period. If the reactor is available 2% less
20 In any event, 2% of 365 days is 7.3 additional days when VY will not be
22 Assuming for a moment that this 2% is correct, Witness William Sherman has
23 calculated that a day of lost generation costs the ratepayers of Vermont $88,000 based on
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1 $50 per megawatt on the spot market. As I write this, the August spot market price is
2 $160. Multiplying 7.3 lost days times $88,000 yields a loss to the Vermont ratepayers of
3 $642,000. If the plant breaks down for 7 days in August when the spot market is high,
5 A summer breakdown is more likely, as that is the time of the year that cooling
8 When the unit is running, Entergy collects significant revenues and pays the State
9 approximately $400,000. But because the unit will be less reliable, the ratepayers will in
10 fact be loosing at least $220,000 each year (and quite possibly $1,768,000) while VY
12 Entergy rebuttal witness Connie Wells appears to agree with this lack of shared
13 risk, with benefits accruing to ENVY. According to page 4 of the Prefiled Rebuttal
15 when the VY station is producing power, and if for any reason the Station is not
19 Cosgrove, states in a memo on Public Relations Strategy, dated April 28, 2003, “Vermont
20 ratepayers will have no economic risk” (August 1, 2003, Entergy Response to New
21 England Coalition’s First Set of Information Requests). Clearly, VY does not what the
22 public to know how big a tab they are being asked to pick up.
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4 does not anticipate any lost energy generation as a result of the upgrade, there will be no
7 Burns is correct. I believe this value, drawn from the operating history of all plants with
10 the two events at Quad Cities. It is an Inside NRC trade journal article from June 30,
11 2003 that states, “… fatigue relating to the age of the plant may have contributed to the
12 crack.” By providing this exhibit, Mr. Burns apparently supports the point I made in my
13 oral testimony, when I stated that aging plants, plants built when Lawrence Welk was on
17 Third, Mr. Burns’analysis fails to include the seriously degraded condition of the
20 the condenser tube sheet at VY compared to the other plants in the sample.
21 Fifth, Mr. Burns’analysis relies on the assumption that Vermont Yankee’s design
1 Sixth, Mr. Burns analysis pays little heed to human performance factors at
3 Early in his presentation, Mr. Burns introduces the “Bath tub curve” as a scientific
4 fact, which I agree that it is. I find it incredible though, that at the end of his analysis he
5 dismisses the bathtub curve and, with no scientific basis, claims that VY’s reliability,
6 now exempt from his calculations on upgraded plant fleet performance, will be the same
7 in 2010 as it was in 2000. There is absolutely no scientific reason to dismiss the fact that
8 VY’s age will become more of a factor as it approaches the end of its design life at
9 normal power, and even a greater factor if it is allowed to run at 120% power. Even if a
10 major malfunction or accident is averted, the bathtub curve implies that VY’s availability
11 will decrease to the 60 to 70% range as it approaches the end of its 40-year life. To deny
12 the bath tub curve is to not understand the aging phenomena at work at VY.
16 Response: Yes, and concurrence is found in a February 7, 1997 letter from Carol
18 Commission, an August 22, 1997 EPA Memorandum, OSWER No. 9200.4-18, and an
19 EPA August 20, 1997 attachment thereto, “ Analysis of What Radiation Dose Limit is
20 Protective of Human Health at CERCLA Sires (Including Review of Dose Limits in NRC
21 Decommissioning Rule).
22 This analysis states, “… The NRC rule sets an allowable cleanup level of 25
23 millirem per year effective dose equivalent (EDE) (equivalent to approximately 5X10 –4
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1 lifetime cancer risk) … These limits are beyond the upper bound of risk range generally
4 acceptable by EPA.. Guidance that provides for cleanup levels exceeding 15 millirem per
6 protective under CERCLA and should not be used to establish cleanup levels.”
7 Entergy rebuttal witness Auxier disputes the validity of the Linear No Threshold
8 (LNT) dose model. However, in assessing radiation risk, most regulatory bodies adhere
9 to the LNT. The latest publicly available report of the International Commission on
10 Radiation Protection, the 2001 Annual Report, recounts the activities of its working
11 group on Cancer Risk at Low Doses on Page 9, “ The dose threshold issue is also being
13 DNA damage repair- as yet the TG (task Group) have not identified convincing scientific
15 Witness Auxier suggests that there are no known ill health effects from radiation
16 at levels below background at an average 360 millirem. Most industry and government
17 literature now attributes 180 to 200 millirem of that background to radon exposure.
19 cancer each year. Thus radon a component of background radiation is a cause of induced
1 and issues quite different from the situation at Vermont Yankee. Do you agree with
2 this characterization?
3 Response: No, I do not. Maine Yankee received a regimen of routine and special
5 Yankee, Maine Yankee received the very highest performance and safety ratings. Were it
6 not for the chance of whistleblower allegations that Yankee Atomic Electric Company
7 had knowingly performed inadequate analyses to support an uprate, the ISA would likely
8 never have happened. The 1997 NRC ISA report has it that this single “ issue raised a
9 question of whether similar problems existed in other areas. In order to address this
10 question, as well as to respond to concerns by the Governor of Maine about the safety
11 and effectiveness of regulatory oversight of Maine Yankee, the NRC Chairman initiated
14 and procedures detailed in my testimony far outweigh the reasons for the Maine Yankee
15 ISA. In fact, they more resemble the conclusions of the Maine Yankee ISA than the
17 Moreover, the New England Coalition is calling for an ISA at Vermont Yankee
18 because it is deemed the best tool for rooting out the problems that would lead to
19 decreased reliability and decreased safety under uprate conditions. NRC standard review
20 of EPU applications does not to our knowledge include a thorough review of design
21 basis, for example. But, at least for selected safety related systems, the ISA does.
22 Finally, it should be said that the ISA found Maine Yankee safe to operate though not at
23 uprated power.
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1 Q 15 Is there anything else of which you think the Board should take note?
2 Response: Yes, apropos to the question of potential adverse effects on the electric grid
3 and on reliability resulting from the uprate, I think that the Board should take notice of
4 the recent European nuclear power cooling constraints due to the unprecedented heat
5 wave as well as the recent interstate blackout. A July 23, 2003 letter from the North
6 American Electric Reliability Council warns that loss of reactive capability under nuclear
7 plant uprate conditions could adversely affect grid reliability. Specifically, the letter
8 warns, “ Another point in your report that deserves mention is the identified loss of 4,340
9 Mvar of generator reactive capability that accompanied the 1,200 MW increase in electric
10 output. In some cases, this loss of reactive capability could have significant effect on the
11 ability of the grid operator to maintain adequate voltages on the grid. An increase in real
12 power output at NPPs is certainly desirable, but not if it comes at the expense of
14 Also I would like to share with the Board my conclusion that much of the
16 stem from Entergy’s single-mindedness about its bottom line. Vermonters certainly
18 shareholders.
19 Entergy policy is clearly spelled out in the Entergy Nuclear Vermont Yankee
20 Business Plan 2003 (April 2003, rev 1, “Lower costs translate into higher profits. With
22 concentrated focus on lowering costs is required. Nuclear plants must have a low-cost
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2 electricity.”