Академический Документы
Профессиональный Документы
Культура Документы
11 Mar 2016
HOLD
Company report
(Maintained)
Rachel Huang
huang-teng-siang@ambankgroup.com
Rationale for report: Company result
03-2036 2293
Price
Fair Value
52-week High/Low
RM13.20
RM11.70
RM14.32/RM11.89
Investment Highlights
Key Changes
Fair value
EPS
YE to Jun
FY15
FY16F
FY17F
FY18F
4,066.9
2,233.2
118.8
6.2
41.0
8.93
11.1
3.1
1.5
14.3
4,371.4
2,142.0
98.8
(16.8)
2,023.0
41.0
9.13
13.4
3.1
1.4
11.7
4,691.3
2,379.0
109.7
11.1
2,382.1
41.0
9.84
12.0
3.1
1.3
11.6
5,027.9
2,756.7
127.2
15.9
2,593.4
41.0
10.71
10.4
3.1
1.2
12.4
1,879.9
24,814.7
8.93
1.5
14.3
Major Shareholders
Free Float
Avg Daily Value (RMmil)
50.0
12.1
Price performance
3mth
6mth
12mth
Absolute (%)
Relative (%)
(2.5)
1.9
(2.7)
(3.7)
1.9
16.0
2,000
14.0
1,800
1,600
12.0
1,400
10.0
1,200
8.0
1,000
6.0
800
600
4.0
400
2.0
200
0.0
Mar-11
Mar-12
Mar-13
HLBK MK
Mar-14
Mar-15
FBMKLCI Index
11 Mar 2016
2QFY15
3QFY15
4QFY15
1QFY16
2QFY16
QoQ
% chg
YoY
% chg
0.7
0.6
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.0
(67.0)
233.8
214.1
184.1
183.5
170.1
(7.3)
(27.3)
205.5
229.7
207.2
242.1
250.2
3.4
21.7
40.9
36.6
46.2
53.6
51.5
(3.9)
25.8
Personal use
32.3
32.7
34.7
35.9
40.9
13.9
26.8
Credit card
45.6
41.7
42.9
46.2
55.2
19.6
21.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
19.7
5.5
4.1
4.0
6.8
68.9
(65.6)
404.1
359.8
365.4
345.9
386.6
11.8
(4.3)
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
33.1
31.5
28.9
26.4
24.6
(6.7)
(25.5)
1,051.6
987.7
948.0
967.1
1,013.4
4.8
(3.6)
2QFY15
3QFY15
4QFY15
1QFY16
2QFY16
Purchase of securities
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
1.3%
1.2%
1.0%
1.0%
0.9%
0.5%
0.5%
0.5%
0.5%
0.5%
0.3%
0.3%
0.3%
0.4%
0.3%
Personal use
0.9%
0.9%
1.0%
1.0%
1.1%
Credit card
1.1%
1.0%
1.1%
1.2%
1.4%
0.9%
0.9%
1.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Construction
1.9%
1.6%
1.6%
1.4%
1.6%
Working capital
1.9%
1.6%
1.6%
1.4%
1.6%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Other purpose
1.3%
1.2%
1.2%
1.1%
1.1%
1.0%
0.9%
0.8%
0.8%
0.9%
These two major accounts are not related to the oil and gas
segment although the company is not able to share which
segment these accounts are related to.
HLBB assured that these loans were secured, and it has
made sufficient loan loss provisioning in accordance with
regulations.
AmInvestment Bank Bhd
11 Mar 2016
(%)
800.0
1.4
1.3
1.2
1.2
1,013
1.5
1.0
1.1
1.0
600.0
967
1,232
1,262
1,341
1,334
1.4
948
1.4
988
1,000.0
1.5
1,052
1.6
2.0
1,195
1.7
1,200.0
1,359
1,481
2.0
1,329
2.0
1,385
1,400.0
2.1
2.5
1,532
1,600.0
1,721
1,800.0
1,753
2,000.0
1,781
(RMmil)
0.9
0.8
0.8
0.9
400.0
0.5
200.0
-
1QFY12 2QFY12 3QFY12 4QFY12 1QFY13 2QFY13 3QFY13 4QFY13 1QFY14 2QFY14 3QFY14 4QFY14 1QFY15 2QFY15 3QFY15 4QFY15 1QFY16 2QFY16
11 Mar 2016
125.5
131.0
136.3
127.7
129.7
128.7
128.9
129.3
127.5
130.0
130.4
131.3
135.0
134.3
133.4
140.0
137.8
145.0
139.2
141.9
150.0
141.1
149.0
155.0
125.0
120.0
115.0
110.0
1QFY12 2QFY12 3QFY12 4QFY12 1QFY13 2QFY13 3QFY13 4QFY13 1QFY14 2QFY14 3QFY14 4QFY14 1QFY15 2QFY15 3QFY15 4QFY15 1QFY16 2QFY16
Source: Company, AmInvestment Bank Bhd estimates.
MAINTAIN HOLD
While we are reassured by the clarity provided, we think
the latest asset quality trend in terms of the overall uptick in
impaired loans, is not as excellent, or as strong as we had
hoped for, although this was influenced partly by HLBBs
excellent historical track record.
Nevertheless, we are positive that the company had been
unexpectedly more transparent in its latest disclosure of its
oil and gas exposure, which was only RM502mil, as
informed during its briefing. This is compared to previous
indication of less than 1% (less than RM1,178.8mil) of total
gross loans.
We maintain HOLD.
11 Mar 2016
FY14
FY15
FY16F
FY17F
FY18F
2,662.2
942.5
434.4
4,039.1
(1,792.2)
2,246.8
(52.1)
39.8
378.6
2,613.2
(511.0)
2,102.3
2,102.3
2,741.2
906.0
419.8
4,066.9
(1,813.9)
2,253.1
51.9
23.5
417.7
2,746.2
(513.0)
2,233.2
2,233.2
2,850.3
1,067.7
453.3
4,371.4
(1,780.3)
2,591.1
(280.7)
357.7
2,668.1
(526.1)
2,142.0
2,142.0
3,065.1
1,136.6
489.6
4,691.3
(1,717.3)
2,974.1
(299.3)
389.0
3,063.7
(684.7)
2,379.0
2,379.0
3,287.6
1,211.5
528.8
5,027.9
(1,770.3)
3,257.6
(202.2)
511.5
3,567.0
(810.3)
2,756.7
2,756.7
FY14
FY15
FY16F
FY17F
FY18F
14,712.8
44,353.0
59,065.8
102,579.1
nm
3,150.6
725.6
2,179.1
2,650.6
111,285.0
170,350.8
130,252.3
7,111.3
6,820.4
3,085.4
8,551.3
155,820.6
14,530.2
-
6,230.3
54,959.2
61,189.5
112,124.1
nm
3,476.2
678.6
2,149.4
4,402.0
122,830.3
184,019.7
140,276.1
7,096.2
6,560.9
5,475.1
7,821.8
167,230.1
16,789.6
-
10,100.2
50,500.7
60,600.8
121,543.5
nm
5,434.5
692.2
2,149.4
4,517.3
134,336.9
194,937.7
148,733.2
7,096.2
5,860.9
5,583.0
7,865.7
175,139.0
19,798.7
-
13,297.0
49,219.1
62,516.1
130,902.3
nm
5,773.8
706.0
2,149.4
4,638.3
144,169.7
206,685.8
157,871.3
7,947.8
5,860.9
5,695.8
7,987.8
185,363.6
21,322.2
-
16,571.6
49,606.5
66,178.1
141,471.2
nm
6,201.9
720.1
2,149.4
4,765.4
155,307.9
221,486.0
169,497.9
8,901.5
5,860.9
5,813.7
8,188.6
198,262.7
23,223.4
-
FY14
FY15
FY16F
FY17F
FY18F
2.2
4.0
13.3
2.0
44.4
19.6
35.1
8.0
0.3
6.2
1.9
44.6
18.7
33.0
5.8
15.0
(4.1)
1.9
40.7
19.7
39.0
5.7
14.8
11.1
1.9
36.6
22.3
36.0
6.4
9.5
15.9
1.9
35.2
22.7
31.0
FY14
FY15
FY16F
FY17F
FY18F
7.2
5.4
79.3
1.2
0.7
0.1
128.9
14.6
11.9
8.0
7.7
80.4
0.8
0.6
136.3
14.3
11.9
8.7
6.0
81.8
0.9
0.7
0.2
137.6
19.0
16.1
8.2
6.1
83.5
0.9
0.6
0.2
151.2
18.9
16.2
8.0
7.4
84.4
0.9
0.5
0.1
168.2
19.0
16.3
Published by
AmInvestment Bank Bhd (23742-V)
(A member of the Am Bank Group)
15th Floor Bangunan AmBank Group
55 Jalan Raja Chulan
50200 Kuala Lumpur
Tel: ( 0 3 ) 2 0 7 0 - 2 4 4 4 ( r e s e a r c h )
Fax: (03)2078-3162
11 Mar 2016
The information and opinions in this report were prepared by AmInvestment Bank Bhd. The investments discussed or recommended in this
report may not be suitable for all investors. This report has been prepared for information purposes only and is not an offer to sell or a
solicitation to buy any securities. The directors and employees of AmInvestment Bank Bhd may from time to time have a position in or with
the securities mentioned herein. Members of the AmBank Group and their affiliates may provide services to any company and affiliates of
such companies whose securities are mentioned herein. The information herein was obtained or derived from sources that we believe are
reliable, but while all reasonable care has been taken to ensure that stated facts are accurate and opinions fair and reasonable, we do not
represent that it is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. No liability can be accepted for any loss that may arise
from the use of this report. All opinions and estimates included in this report constitute our judgement as of this date and are subject to
change without notice.
Printed by
AmInvestment Bank Bhd (23742-V)
(A member of the AmBank Group)
15th Floor Bangunan AmBank Group
55 Jalan Raja Chulan
50200 Kuala Lumpur
Tel: ( 0 3 ) 2 0 7 0 - 2 4 4 4 ( r e s e a r c h )
Fax: (03)2078-3162
Benny Chew
SR VP Equity Research