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page 1
Index
page 1
page 2
page 3
page 4
page 6
page 8
- Introduction
- Weather pressure Systems
- Baric wind Law
- The 'southern' hemisphere
Cyclone
- The 'northern' hemisphere
Cyclone
- Cyclone categories
barometer
page 11 - Big seas images
The purpose of this document is to bring a little understanding to those who are not
'hardened' seamen with years of exposure to violent storm situations or cyclonic weather. It
is written as a simple introduction to some weather processes that could affect offshore
voyagers, and it is given here to assist you with a little mental preparation that could help
you when offshore and bad weather is experienced.
I have spent many years fishing at sea in the equatorial regions between the equator and 5
degrees South on the East coast of Africa, and thus have never been exposed to cyclonic
conditions that mainly occur in higher latitudes than 5 degrees. (5 to 30 degrees north or
south of the equator)
The information that follows is purely my own deduction as I sit in seclusion far from the sea
drawing upon my 67 years of various experiences. It varies in some aspects of what has
been written by others, and thus it is necessary for you to look deeply at what is said so
that you understand the situation clearly, for there could be terrifying and disastrous
consequences for the unwary.
My intent is to give a clear and concise 'pre-meditated' course of action for any sea voyager
to take if they find themselves unfortunate enough to encounter a cyclone that 'catches'
them unawares. It is very easy to make decisions when one is on secure ground, but once
the sea becomes rough and decisions need to be made quickly it can become quite
confusing to some who become 'mentally' disturbed by indecisive thoughts that lead to
irrational decisions being made.
Much is written on cyclones that gives readers the 'impression' that certain 'sectors' or
semicircles are navigable, and I believe that this is false teaching, as in my opinion one
needs to understand that whatever 'sector' one may 'enter' into is very dangerous, and the
nearer one is driven by wind and waves towards the centre, the greater the windy 'tempest'
and wave heights and greater the danger of injury, drowning and loss of vessel.
The only 'reason' why one 'quadrant' becomes more dangerous than others is when the
cyclone is moving over the sea surface, thus any vessel that is 'ahead' of the Cyclone is one
that is on a 'quicker' collision course with the 'eye,' and the time for avoidance is lessened
and all the dangers increase dramatically.
In the foreknowledge that a cyclone can change direction at any time and even halt and
'reverse' backwards, one will also then realise that a 'quadrant' or 'semicircle' with an
apparent less danger may suddenly become a very dangerous one. Intensifying wind speed
and lowering barometric pressure may be an indication of this.
I trust that the information and images provided will give the reader a little 'comfort' in the
knowledge that they will be more prepared for an eventuality that may never arise. For
those of you that are 'beginner' ocean voyagers it would be practical to obtain a copy of the
"Times Atlas and encyclopaedia of the sea" published by 'Times books of London,' that gives
a lot of pertinent information on waves and ocean currents and danger zones at the
different times of the year.
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barometric 1013 mb. It goes 'high' when it rises above the standard pressure and may rise
to 1030 or more mb.
The air mass of a High pressure system South of the Equator revolves in an anti-clockwise
direction, and in the northern hemisphere it revolves in a clockwise direction.
Between the High and the Low systems there is a 'ridge' of faster moving air formed as one
system pushes up against the other, and this has the effect of accelerating the wind speed
of the air mass between the High and Low systems.
This 'frontal' ridge of air can be the cause of very rough weather but it is not 'cyclonic' in
that it is not moving in a circular motion as is the cyclone characteristic.
Some vessels use this fast moving wind in order to make good speed in their journey,
however if it is blowing from the direction in which one seeks to travel then it is a very
uncomfortable hindrance, and it may be safer to not try and 'bash' ones way through it but
to simply make use of the Para-anchor that will hold you steady as the front passes by and
you do not 'lose ground.'
In a Low pressure system that air is flowing inwards towards its centre, and as it moves
closer to its 'vortex' the wind speed accelerates. Prior to becoming a tropical Cyclone there
are three indicators as to the category of a Low.
1 - Low pressure area
2 - Depression
3 - Deep depression
Once the wind speed increases above 35 kts then the revolving mass begins to form into a
Category 1 Cyclone with winds in the order of 35 to 50 kts. As time passes the barometric
pressure drops lower and the winds increase their speed. It may take up to 3 days or more
for a ''Depression' to deepen and become a Cyclone.
In a large Cyclone there may be a barometric drop to 920 mb or less, and the lower it drops
is an indication of the pressure difference between the High and the Low, and the lower the
mb reading the greater the pressure difference and faster the wind speed becomes.
The air mass is rising upwards from the centre of the vortex like an invisible tornado, and
the circular wave movement drives floating objects towards its centre, and the nearer the
centre the higher the wind speed and more dangerous the waves.
Even though a 'calm' of negligible wind is experienced by those on land as the centre of the
'eye' of the cyclone passes overhead, on the ocean this calm 'core' is a deadly mass of very
confused and breaking waves that are approaching the vessel from any direction and thus
are extremely dangerous.
In severe cyclonic storms, wind speeds of 30 kts can occur even at a distance of 400 nm from the storm centre. The
gales give rise to a confused sea with surface waves as high as 60' and swells that travel a thousand miles. This is
accompanied by torrential rains, and the cyclone can move as much as 200 to 300 nm a day.
South of the Equator the cyclone air mass revolves in a clockwise direction.
North of the Equator the cyclone air mass revolves in an anti-clockwise direction.
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The tropical revolving storm is a very Low pressure system (L) known as a "Cyclone" and by
other names.
In the southern hemisphere (South of the equator) it usually occurs during the months of
November to May. In this hemisphere it revolves in a clockwise direction.
It forms over the sea between 5 to 20 degrees south of the equatorial belt and may
commence as a stationary revolving Low pressure system before it becomes a category 1
Cyclone or greater and begins to move over the water.
Once it begins to move, the direction is generally West or WSW approximate headings of
250 to 270 degree - after some days it may ' tend' to alter direction more to the South in a
SW to South direction.
The equator is to the North - here
South of the Equator when a vessel is facing into the wind the cyclone lies to the 'left' (Port side) abaft the
beam at approx 135 degree to the vessel direction.
E-C vessel position means : Cyclone to the East, head 315 degrees
S-C vessel position means : Cyclone to the South, head 025 degrees
W-C vessel position means : Cyclone to the West, head 135 degrees
N-C vessel position means : Cyclone to the North (Two options see below)
Important note: If your vessel is somewhere in the above image within the Cyclonic wind
zone influence on any vector from the centre and you face a compass into the wind and
waves and take a 'reading' of the compass bearing and, - - - then an hour or more later you
do the same thing then, - - You will know whether you are being drawn closer to its centre or whether you are moving
further away because, - - - the wind and waves are curving inwards towards the Cyclone
centre and the wind and waves are altering their magnetic heading.
This is because the closer you get to the 'eye' of the Cyclone the greater becomes the
magnetic bearing and, - - - the further away from the centre you travel the less becomes
the magnetic bearing. This 'fact' is taking place all the way from the outer fringes and up to
the eye itself.
Example - If you enter the outer edge of the mass at N-C with the cyclone to the north of
you the wind direction would be from the ESE at approx 120 degrees. If you were 'running'
with the waves or being dragged around by them for a few hours you would be situated
somewhere between N-C and E-C, and if you took a bearing into the wind and waves it
could be 140 degrees, an increase in the magnetic bearing that shows you are in greater
danger. This only applies to vessels in the southern hemisphere.
It also follows that if you were running with wind and waves towards the 'eye' that your
compass heading would be increasing all the way. In fact if you were drawn into its eye your
vessel would have travelled a complete circle or more and gone through the entire 360
degrees of the compass before reaching the centre of the cyclone. (Veering to 'Starboard'
all the way with a lowering barometric pressure.)
It also follows that if any any stage you find that the wind direction is from a 'lesser'
magnetic compass bearing, then you are moving away from the eye or, the cyclone is
moving away from you. This paragraph only applies to vessels in the southern hemisphere.
page 5
Factors to consider especially if there is no radio contact to ascertain position of
Cyclone.
This page pertains only to Cyclones in the southern hemisphere.
Cyclone to the West of you W-C
If you are in the southern hemisphere and you notice the cloud to the West of you and the
wind and waves coming from the North, then you would be wise to begin to move East
(Compass heading 090 degrees until you are certain that the cyclone 'threat' or danger has
abated.)
Cyclone to the East of you E-C
If you are in the southern hemisphere and you notice the cloud to the East of you and the
wind and waves coming from the South, then you would be wise to begin to move
Northwest. (Compass heading 315 degrees until you are certain that the cyclone 'threat' or
danger has abated and you keep monitoring its direction.)
Cyclone to the South of you S-C
If you are in the southern hemisphere and you notice the cloud to the South of you and the
wind and waves coming from the Southwest, then if you are between the equator and
Latitude 5 degrees South you may continue in any direction between 270 and 090 degrees,
only move South of that line once the cyclone has moved away and the barometric pressure
is rising.
If you are between Latitude 5 degrees South to 20 degrees South and you notice the cloud
to the South of you and the wind and waves coming from the West to Southwest, then you
should move in a North to Northeast direction until the barometer is either not falling or is
rising steadily. (Compass heading 025 degrees until you are certain that the cyclone 'threat'
or danger has abated.)
Cyclone to the North of you N-C
If you are in the southern hemisphere and you notice the cloud to the North of you and the
wind and waves coming from the Northeast to East, then you would be wise to begin to
move SE. (Compass heading 135 degrees until you are certain that the cyclone 'threat' or
danger has abated. Refer to the 'Note - 1' at page end)
The extreme danger of this quadrant is that not only is the wind and wave action driving
you in its direction, but the eye is also moving towards you over the sea and the combined
speed of these two 'activities' lessens the time for evasion and the danger is quadrupled for
slow moving vessels.
If you are in the southern hemisphere halfway between N-C and E-C and you notice the
cloud to the Northeast of you (Most dangerous position) and the wind and waves coming
from the East to Southeast, then you would be wise to consider moving West northwest as
you run with the wind on your 'Port' bow crossing the path of the Cyclone and swing around
to the North of the Cyclone path. (Compass heading 280 degrees or more and increasing as
you swing around to the North until you are certain that the cyclone 'threat' or danger has
abated.)
In the southern hemisphere swinging across the path of the Cyclone as you are driven
northwards may also be beneficial if it is 'tending' to change direction to the South.
Note - 1 : The Compass heading 090 to 110 degrees given above is the 'ideal' general one
for when wind and waves permit, but depending on your position reference to your distance
from the Cyclone centre and your vessel 'power,' the existing wind and wave influence may
prohibit the direction given. In this case you have 2 options.
1 - To bear off to the Starboard (right) keeping the wind and waves on your Port bow as
close as possible as you head away from the Cyclone centre that will be behind you on your
Starboard (right) rear quarter. If your vessel is slow you may find that you are still losing
ground and forced towards the eye. (And it is moving in your general direction) This you will
know if the barometric pressure keeps dropping and the situation worsens. In this case you
have option 2 left.
2 - In this case you need to hold your ground and halt your movement towards the eye. This
you do by deploying your 'Para' anchor. * As long as you are not directly in the path of the
Cyclone you will be held steady facing wind and waves and after a time the wind and waves
will abate.
Note: Para anchor * - The Para anchor can be deployed at any time that you feel the vessel
is in danger of being overwhelmed by rough seas or being driven relentlessly towards the
eye and also, it can be deployed if you believe that you are outside the path of the Cyclone
and you wish to sit safely at anchor until its fury depletes.
This decision is yours and must be considered with the understanding that once deployed, it
will become irretrievable until the winds have dropped and that you will be a 'sitting duck' if
the Cyclone changes course towards you. (Sea conditions may also be a prime factor)
Vessels situated to the rear of the moving 'eye' are equally 'battered' by wind and wave
action but the mass of the Cyclone is moving away from their position when using a Para
and, - - - one needs to understand that there is never any 'guarantee' that a slow moving
vessel will escape if it is 'trapped' by high winds and dangerous seas as many an 'ancestral'
spirit would testify.
page 6
The tropical revolving storm is a very Low pressure system (L) known as a : "cyclone or
hurricane or typhoon" and by other names.
In the northern hemisphere (North of the equator) it usually occurs during the months of
May to November. In this hemisphere it revolves in an anti-clockwise direction.
It forms over the sea between 5 to 20 degrees north of the equatorial belt and may
commence as a stationary revolving Low pressure system before it becomes a category 1
Cyclone or greater and begins to move over the water.
Once it begins to move, the direction is generally West or WNW approximate headings of
270 to 290 degree - after some days it may ' tend' to alter direction more to the North in a
NW to North direction.
Important note: If your vessel is somewhere in the above image within the Cyclonic wind
zone influence on any vector from the centre and you face a compass into the wind and
waves and take a 'reading' of the compass bearing and, - - - then an hour or more later you
do the same thing then, - - You will know whether you are being drawn closer to its centre or whether you are moving
further away because, - - the wind and waves are curving inwards towards the Cyclone
centre and the wind and waves are altering their magnetic heading.
This is because the closer you get to the 'eye' of the Cyclone the lesser becomes the
magnetic bearing and, - - - the further away from the centre you travel the greater becomes
the magnetic bearing. This 'fact' is taking place all the way from the outer fringes and up to
the eye itself.
Example - If you enter the outer edge of the mass at N-C with the cyclone to the north of
you the wind direction would be from the SW at approx 240 degrees. If you were 'running'
with the waves or being dragged around by them for a few hours you would be situated
somewhere between N-C and W-C, and if you took a bearing into the wind and waves it
could be 220 degrees, an decrease in the magnetic bearing that shows you are in greater
danger. This only applies to vessels in the northern hemisphere.
It also follows that if you were running with wind and waves towards the 'eye' that your
compass heading would be decreasing all the way. In fact if you were drawn into its eye
your vessel would have travelled a complete circle or more and gone through the entire 360
degrees of the compass before reaching the centre of the cyclone. (Backing to 'Port' all the
way with a lowering barometric pressure.)
It also follows that if at any stage you find that the wind direction is from a 'greater'
magnetic compass bearing, then you are moving away from the eye or, the cyclone is
moving away from you. This paragraph only applies to vessels in the northern hemisphere.
page 7
Factors to consider especially if there is no radio contact to ascertain position of
Cyclone.
This page pertains only to Cyclones in the northern hemisphere.
Cyclone to the West of you W-C
If you are in the northern hemisphere and you notice the cloud to the West of you and the
wind and waves coming from the South, then you would be wise to begin to move East.
(Compass heading 090 degrees until you are certain that the cyclone 'threat' or danger has
abated.)
Cyclone to the East of you E-C
If you are in the northern hemisphere and you notice the cloud to the East of you and the
wind and waves coming from the North, then you would be wise to begin to move
Southwest. (Compass heading 225 degrees until you are certain that the cyclone 'threat' or
danger has abated and you keep monitoring its direction.)
Cyclone to the North of you N-C
If you are in the northern hemisphere and you notice the cloud to the North of you and the
wind and waves coming from the Northwest, then if you are between the equator and
Latitude 5 degrees North you may continue in any direction between 090 to 270 degrees,
only move North of that line once the cyclone has moved away and the barometric pressure
is rising.
If you are between Latitude 5 degrees North to 20 degrees North and you notice the cloud
to the North of you and the wind and waves coming from the North to Northwest, then you
should move in a South to Southeast direction until the barometer is either not falling or is
rising steadily. (Compass heading 155 degrees until you are certain that the cyclone 'threat'
or danger has abated.)
Vessels situated to the rear of the moving 'eye' are equally 'battered' by wind and wave
action but the mass of the Cyclone is moving away from their position when using a Para
and, - - - one needs to understand that there is never any 'guarantee' that a slow moving
vessel or ANY vessel will escape if it is 'trapped' by high winds and dangerous seas as many
an 'ancestral' spirit would testify.
The power and fury of the wind and sea in a big Cyclone will overpower 'all comers' that
venture into its 'fold,' and thrust them towards its vortex more easily than the current near
the 'rim' of the 'Victoria' falls would drag a canoeist inexorably over the brink and into the
'abyss' of destruction if they venture too near.
Note: Vessels that travel at less than 10 kts are at far greater 'risk' than those with speed range of 12 to 20
kts that can more easily 'outrun' a Cyclone.
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~ Cyclone categories ~
Cyclone categories and approximate related wind speeds to be encountered
Category 1 Cyclone - strongest winds are GALES with gusts to 125 km/h.
These winds correspond to Beaufort 8 and 9 (Gales and strong gales 40 - 50
kts).
Category 4 Cyclone - winds over 75 kts (150 km/h) with gusts of 225 280 km/h.
Category 5 Cyclone - winds over 90 kts (180 km/h) with gusts to 350
km/h.
The Central pacific hurricane centre gives tables with higher wind speeds listed in each category. The classifications
are intended primarily for use in gauging the likely damage and flooding a hurricane will cause upon landfall.
Either way you can expect high seas with a water table surge of up to 5 metres or more.
Saffir-Simpson Cyclone Scale
Note: Cyclones generally tend to travel in a westerly direction but are known to alter
course in any direction. The speed over the ground of the entire 'system' is usually in the
order of 3 to 12 kts. Thus it has the capacity to 'outrun' and destroy slow vessels that have
entered into dangerous wind and sea conditions and are unfortunate enough to be in its
path or forced around towards and into its 'eye' vortex.
Irrespective of which ' quarter' or sector of the cyclone you find yourself you are in extreme
danger, for the wind tends to 'drive' your vessel towards the 'eye' and as you get nearer, - The fury of the wind and waves become terrifying and wave heights can exceed a height of
60 feet, and the winds increase their speed and waves become more destructive and, - - Note: On land the 'eye' of the cyclone is still and there is no 'turbulence' and this factor
misleads many into thinking that the same applies in the ocean, it does NOT. The power of
the energy stored by the moving waves continues to drive the waves towards the cyclone
centre even though there is zero wind, and as the energy driving the waves meets itself
within the 'eye' there is a mass of confusion and over falls and total 'chaos.'
In the center of the revolving storm there is a mass of very confused waves that erupt from
every side and they will probably overwhelm your vessel if you or your vessel have been
'lucky' enough to have survived that far. You cannot 'run' with the wind and waves and be
safe in the 'eye' of a Cyclone, as the wind and waves all lead to its destructive centre.
The mass of the cyclone may extend to an approximate diameter of 100 to 600 nm across,
and its circular eye may be anything from 5 to 40 nm wide. The eye is characterised by light
winds and clear skies and very turbulent 'chaotic' waves.
The barometric pressure at the 'edge' may be 1010 mb, and in the eye it may be as low as
890 mb or less. Thus if the total cyclone width is 250 nm with an approximate distance of
120 nm from outer edge to 'eye,' the drop in barometric pressure of approximately 60 mb
that is graded faster at the eye is still an 'average' decrease of 1 mb every 2 nm closer to
the eye you get.
Halving this barometric 'drop' when on the outer edge to 1 mb every 4 nm still gives one a
drop in pressure of 2 mb in 8 nm. Any amount of drop in pressure or increase in pressure is
a good indicator as to whether you are losing ground, gaining ground, or stationary in
relation to the cyclone.
Remember, even if you and it are both stationary in relation to each other and the cyclone
starts increasing its size, its central pressure is dropping and so is the pressure around you.
This would be more 'common' when it is newly forming and you are already in the middle of
it the 'Low.'
In this case where there is no wind and no swell yet formed but a 'fast' lowering of pressure
then, - - - if you are North of the equator head towards the Southeast. If you are South of
the Equator head Northeast so as to move away from the developing 'core' of the 'Low.'
If you do not have a radio and weather report, then you are reliant of your barometer and
other 'signs' to warn you of the 'arrival' of a Low pressure system. Not every 'Low' pressure
system develops into a Cyclone, however in the summer months one needs to be alert.
In the winter months the high latitudes of 35 to 60 degrees can develop very large Low
pressure systems that are accompanied by gale force conditions of 40 kts and higher, if you
are at the leading edge of one of these in the southern ocean then you can be forced
southwards, and by using a Para anchor you can stay stationary until its central Low has
passed your position of Longitude and the trailing edge helps you East or North. The
opposite effect takes place in the northern hemisphere.
page 9
page 10
in a strong vessel, - - - if it is thrown around or knocked down then you could suffer severe
injury that would hasten your demise.
If you are in a small vessel it is important to ensure that you deploy a Para anchor prior to
yourself or your vessel becoming endangered. Its deployment is not a guarantee of survival,
but it is so if the conditions permit survival. In the past ten years 200 tankers and super
tankers have been 'lost' due to wave action as have a multitude of smaller craft.
The major 'factor' that kills air pilots is instability in their mind, for their thoughts drive them
into attempting to fly to a destination when the weather is less than their capacity to fly.
Once airborne and conditions worsen, instead of turning back their thoughts keep 'driving'
them on into situations where they become lost or disorientated and they fly into mountains
or they enter a 'spiral' dive into oblivion.
The danger on the sea is far greater, because one is travelling much slower and full evasive
action may take many hours of weariness and danger. Be aware of the fact that every
person has a different capacity to handle difficult situations.
The the first thing you need to do is to educate yourself fully on all aspects of your intended
journey on the sea in the foreknowledge that your life is in your own hands, (and God's) so
once you have done your best then leave the rest to God and calmly accept any adverse
eventuality.
Go to Para anchors