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UNIVERSITI TUN HUSSEIN ONN MALAYSIA

Faculty of Mechanical & Manufacturing Engineering

BDA 24103- ENGINEERING STATISTICS

TEST 1, Semester 1, Session 2015/2016
Name
:.....................................................................................................................
..
Matrix

No.
:.....................................................................................................................

.
Lecturer

:...........................................................................................................

...........
Section

:.................................................................................................

...............................
Instructions: Answer all questions in this exam sheet. (Time: 1 hour
only)

Q1

(a)

Calculate the following probabilities.

(i)
(ii)
(iii)
(iv)

P(X = 3) when X B(5, 0.2)

P(X 2) when X B(10, 0.6)
P(X 5) when X B(9, 0.5)
P(3 X 4) when X B(8, 0.8)
( 10 marks )

(a) P(X=3) =

0.2

P( X =3)=

(b)

5!

3! ( 53 ) !

P ( X 2 )=P ( X =0 ) + P ( X =1 )+ P ( X =2 )
=
10!
10!
10 !
0
100
1
101
2
102
(0.6) (10.6) +
( 0.6) (10.6) +
(0.6) (10.6)
0! ( 100 ) !
1! ( 101 ) !
2 ! ( 102 ) !
= 0.0123
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(c)
P ( X 5 ) =P ( x=5 )+ P ( X =6 ) + P ( X =7 ) + P ( X=8 )+ P ( X=9 )=

9!
9!
( 0.5 )5 ( 10.5 )95+
(0
5 ! ( 95 ) !
6 ! ( 96 ) !

0.5000

(d)

P (3 X 4 )=P ( X=3 )+ P (X=4)

8!
8!

( 0.8 )3 ( 10.8 )83+

( 0.8 )4 ( 10.8 )84
3 ! ( 83 ) !
4 ! ( 84 ) !
0.0551

Q2 The concentration of a reactant is a random variable with probability

density
function

2
f ( x)= 1.2 ( x+ x ) x ,0< x< 1
0 ,otherwise

(a)
(b)
(c)
(d)
(e)
(f)

What is the probability that the concentration is greater than

0.5?
Find the mean concentration.
Find the probability that the concentration is within 0.1 of
the mean.
Find the standard deviation of the concentrations.
Find the probability that the concentration is within 2 of the
mean.
Find the cumulative distribution function of the concentration.
(15 marks)
Simplify ,

1.2 ( x +x 2) x=1.2 x2 +0.2 x

(a)

P ( X >0. 5 )= 1.2 x 2+ 0.2 x dx

0.5

1.2 x 0.2 x
+
3
2

1.2 (1 )3 0.2 x 2
1.2 ( 0.5 )3 0.2 ( 0.5 )2
+

+
3
2
3
2
[ 0.4+0.1 ] [ 0.05+ 0.025 ]
0.425

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(b)
1

mean , =E ( X )= x f ( x ) dx= 1.2 x 3 +0.2 x2 dx=

0

(c)

|[

1,2(1)4 0.2(1)3
1.2 x 4 0.2 x 3
+
=
+
[ 0 ] =0.3+ 0.0667
4
3
4
3

x is within 0.1of the mean

( 0.33670.1 ) < X< ( 0.3667+1 )=0.2662< X <0.4667
0.4667

P ( 0.2662< X <0.4667 ) =

1.2 x + 0.2 x dx=

0.2662

|[

][

3
2
1.2 ( 0.4667 ) 0.2 ( 0.4667 )
1.2 ( 0.2662 )
1.2 x 0.2 x
+
=
+

3
2
3
2
3

(d) The variance

1

= x f ( x ) dx 2= x 2 ( 1.2 x 2+ 0.2 x ) dx2=

2

| [[

] ]

1.2 ( 1 )5 0.2 ( 1 )4
1.2 x 5 0.2 x 4
2
+
=
+
[ 0 ] 0.36
5
4
5
4

= 0.15553=0.3944
(e)
X is within 2 of the meanif ( 0.36672(0.3944) ) < X < ( 0.3667+2 ( 0.3944 ) )=0.4221< X <1.155
since P ( 0< X< 1 ) , X is within 2 of the meanif 0< X <1.0
1
2

P ( 0< X <0.8378 )= 1.2 x +0.2 x dx=

0

|[

3
2
1.2 ( 1 ) 0.2 ( 1 )
1.2 x 0.2 x
+
=
+
[ 0 ] =0.4 +0.1=0. 5
3
2
3
2

(f)

F ( x )= f ( t ) dt

If x 0, F ( x ) = 0 dt=0

If 0< x <1, F ( x ) = 1.2t 2+ 0.2t=

0

1.2 x 3 0.2 x 2
+
=0.4 x 3+ 0.1 x 2
3
2

Ifx>1, F ( x )= 1.2 t 2 +0.2 t dt=0.4 x 3 +0.1 x2|=0.5 1

0

Suppose answer to be 1.. tapi x

dapat Tlg check klu ade step yg
salah Kalau x bagi bonus mark..
3M

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LUCK

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Q3 The number of hits on a certain website follows a Poisson

distribution with a
mean rate of 8 per minute.
(a)

What is the probability that 5 messages are received in a

given minute?

(b)

What is the probability that 9 messages are received in 1.5

minutes?

(c)

What is the probability that fewer than 3 messages are

received in a
period of 30 seconds?
( 10 marks )

(a) Let X be the number of messages received in one minute.

Since the mean rate is 8 message per minute, X ~ Poisson(8)
5
8 8
(
)
P X=5 =e
=0.0916
5!
(b) Let X be the number of messages received in 1.5 minute.
Since the mean rate is 8 message per minute, X ~ Poisson(12)
9
12
P ( X=9 )=e12
=0.0874
9!
(c) Let X be the number of messages received in one half minute.
Since the mean rate is 8 message per minute, X ~ Poisson(4)
P ( X <3 )=P ( X =0 ) + P ( X=1 )+ P ( X =2 )
40
41
42
e4 +e4 +e4
0!
1!
2!
0.01831+0.07326+0.14653
0.2381

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- End of Question

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