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Daily Global Rice E-Newsletter 2016

Vol 7,Issue IV
April 12 ,2016

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Today Rice News Headlines...

ETHICAL CONCERNS REGARDING GMOS IN PAKISTAN


Vegetables: Sri Lanka to facilitate imports from Pakistan
Pakistan seeks to be Iran's top rice exporter
Basmati prices likely to firm up in near term despite tepid demand
China to release more water to alleviate SE Asia drought
Vietnam could disrupt plans to bolster NFAs rice buffers
Manila urged to drop rice import quotas
Satellite technology takes root in Philippine farms
APEDA AgriExchange Newsletter - Volume 1452
Drought could hit rice stocks at exporters, fuel price crisis, analyst
says
Rice basmati strengthens on rising demand
AMAICA: Rice price going up by 10 to 15 per cent
India's monsoon rains seen above average in 2016: weather office
At 106% rainfall, IMD predicts above-normal monsoon in 2016
04/12/2016 Farm Bureau Market Report
U.S. House's Cuba Working Group Hears Ag Trade Benefits
WASDE Report Released
Commodity Report-April 12
The paradox of rice imports
Basmati rice industry may see revival from H2 of 2016-17: Icra

Editorial Board
Chief Editor

Hamlik

Managing Editor

Abdul Sattar Shah


Rahmat Ullah
Rozeen Shaukat

English Editor

Maryam Editor
Legal Advisor
Advocate Zaheer Minhas

Editorial Associates

Admiral (R) Hamid Khalid


Javed Islam Agha
Ch.Hamid Malhi
Dr.Akhtar Hussain
Dr.Fayyaz Ahmad Siddiqui
Dr.Abdul Rasheed (UAF)
Islam Akhtar Khan

Editorial Advisory Board

Dr.Malik Mohammad Hashim

Assistant Professor, Gomal


University DIK

Dr.Hasina Gul

Assistant Director, Agriculture KPK

News Detail...

Dr.Hidayat Ullah
Assistant Professor, University of

ETHICAL CONCERNS REGARDING


GMOS IN PAKISTAN

Swabi

JAZIB

Swabi

ALIAPRIL 11,

2016

TECH-TONIC3 COMMENTS196 VIEWS

Genetically Modified Organisms (GMOs) are one of the marvels of science and their
existence in the natural world cannot be denied. In fact almost all the African
countries have been taken over by the swarms of GMOs in the form of GM crops,
GM products, etc. These GMOs are produced by insertion of genetic portions of
different traits from different organisms into the genome of one organism.These
GMOs have many useful aspects, but besides those useful aspects they also are
capable of many negative effects on the ecosystem and these negative effects are far
more noticeable than beneficial ones.
2

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Dr.Abdul Basir
Assistant Professor, University of

Zahid Mehmood
PSO,NIFA Peshawar

Falak Naz Shah

Head Food Science & Technology


ART, Peshawar

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First ever genetically engineered DNA was made in 1973 and after that the process got started
and adopted by many scientists, and the result is in the form of todays world where new diseases
keep on originating from nowhere, old ones got worse with only some vaccines as a preventive
measure but where does it lead those people of our society who die just because they cannot
afford such expensive medication?
In Pakistan, trend of GMOs is still in. This country has been inoculated with the virus of GMOs
in the form of BT-cotton being grown all over Pakistan. BT-rice, more than 60% of which is
being used all over the country and people are unaware of it, GM tomato, potato are among
many others.Whenever someone dies at the young age (25-45 years approx) due to any disease,
people say its the will of God; but why dont we ask ourselves what if we try to make this planet
as God ordered us to make it? Why is the natural world so limited? Why dont we see cancer as
the genetic disorder when someone young dies of it? What if the inserted genes in GMOs are
causing this? What if the insect resistant toxin produced by BT-cotton causes cancer or other
fatal diseases? Why our animals dont eat seed cake made from GM crop seeds? Why
international seed companies and food departments are taking over the control of what we eat in
this country? These entire questions have answers waiting before us. The only thing that we need
to do is to expand our point of view. We must try to take things seriously and more
deeply.Always keep it in mind to think before you eat, no matter what you eat and how
3

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expensive it is or how much hygienic it is because its your life that is on the line and not that
scientists life who is sitting in the lab and making GMOs like that to get rich.
http://blogs.dunyanews.tv/12815/ethical-concerns-gmos-pakistan/

Vegetables: Sri Lanka to facilitate imports from Pakistan


April 12, 2016 RECORDER REPORT
Sri Lanka will facilitate the import of vegetables including potato and onion from Pakistan. The issue of
exempting imported consignments of vegetables from regularity duties will be taken up in the next
cabinet meeting as the duties are imposed to save local production. These views were expressed by Sri
Lankan Minister of Trade and Industry Rishad Bathiudeen while addressing a lunch arranged by PakistanSri Lanka Business Forum in his honour.
He said Pakistan's cement and pharmaceutical industries had better opportunities of investment in Sri
Lanka. He said that enjoying the free trade agreement between Sri Lanka and India, Pakistan, by
establishing industries in Sri Lanka and with value addition of its products, can had indirect market access
to India. Education, he said, was another sector where both countries might develop cooperation as a large
number of students from Sri Lanka went to India and United Kingdom for modern education. They could
be invited to professional universities especially those in medical and engineering fields in Pakistan.
The minister said Pakistan's rice had great demand in Sri Lanka whereas Sri Lankan tea could get shares
in Pakistani markets. On the occasion, Aslam Pakhali, President of Pakistan-Sri Lanka Business Forum
appreciated the efforts made by the minister for enhancement of bilateral trade. He said the minister had
great contribution in making the single country exhibition of Pakistan held in Sri Lanka a successful
show.
Pakhali said imposition of regularity duties was right of Sri Lankan to save its local production. However,
the foreign country was requested to exempt the already shipped consignments of potato and onion from
Pakistan, which was the largest exporter of the same item to Sri Lanka, he added.
He further informed the visiting minister that the forum was doing all its best to enhance trade between
the two countries. He said the forum had advertised Sri Lankan pineapple in Pakistan recently. "There is a
demand for Sri Lankan herbal and Islamic products in Pakistan. The mega project of CPEC may also
provide access to Sri Lankan products in Middle Eastern countries, Europe and Central Asia." The dinner
programme was also attended by Sri Lankan Consul General in Karachi Heerath, Vice President of the
forum Abdul Wahhab and others.-PR
http://www.brecorder.com/agriculture-a-allied/183/34876/

Pakistan seeks to be Iran's top rice exporter


20160410T000000Z
Global English (Middle East and North Africa Financial Network)
Pakistani traders seek an increase of at least 30pct in export of aromatic Basmati rice to Iran, as the latter
is one of the world's biggest rice importers, based on reports.Iran ships in more than USD2bn of the
commodity yearly and Pakistan on the other hand has a modicum share in the neighboring market, so it
4

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emerges as a top candidate to be a top exporter.Moreover, Pakistan expects outbound shipments to grow
20-30 percent in the near future; however its biggest challenge now is to break a long-standing monopoly
of Indian aromatic rice in Iran.We are eager to regain our lost share of basmati rice to India, as in the past
few years, India has flooded the Iranian market with its basmati rice at knockdown prices," said a top
Pakistani official
http://www.world-grain.com/news/news%20home/LexisNexisArticle.aspx?articleid=2567580631

Basmati prices likely to firm up in near term despite


tepid demand
By Sutanuka Ghosal, ET Bureau | 12 Apr, 2016, 11.39AM IST
The industry is expected to witness weak sales
growth or degrowth and decline in profitability
in 2015-16, Majumdar said.KOLKATA: The
Basmati price have gone up 11.7% in the past
one month, promising some respite to traders
even as excess supply and weak demand are
expected to continue in the near term,
according to credit rating agency ICRA and
some experts.Most of the companies are
expected to report a decline in profitability in
2015-16, which will weaken the leverage
profile of these companies. Listed companies
such as KRBL, LT Foods and Kohinoor Foods with established brands such as India Gate,
Dawat and Kohinoor armed with strong distribution networks are likely to be better placed to
deal with the situation, the agency said. "The scenario of excess supply and weak international
demand is expected to linger in the near term, impacting the financial profile of basmati rice
players," Sabyasachi Majumdar, co-head of corporate rating at ICRA, said.

The industry is expected to witness weak sales growth or degrowth and decline in profitability in
2015-16, Majumdar said. "Inability to liquidate stocks and recover funds from debtors are likely
to increase the funding requirements and hence leverage. Nevertheless, players with established
brands and strong distribution network are likely to be better placed to cope with the challenges,"
he said. Majumdar said that the situation is likely to improve only from the next basmati paddy
harvest season in the second half of FY17. Prerana Desai, vice president, Edelweiss Agri
Research, said that the prices of basmati paddy had bottomed out in February 2016 when it
touched Rs 4,600 per quintal. "Though it has gone up to Rs 5,250 per quintal, the prices will
keep on languishing for some time," she said.

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While basmati price is consumed across the globe, West Asian countries account for most of the
imports. Within West Asia, Iran and Saudi Arabia are the two largest buyers, together accounting
for over 50% of basmati rice exports from India. However, even as Iran emerged as one of the
largest importers of basmati rice in recent years, the country imposed a ban on basmati rice
imports from India in 2014-15, citing its own healthy rice crop and large basmati inventory. The
ban led to a decline in Iran's proportion of total exports from India from 37% in 2013-14 to 24%
in 2014-15.
economictimes.indiatimes.com

China to release more water to alleviate SE Asia


drought
Cambodia fears drought due to insufficient water from upper Mekong

12 Apr 2016 at 17:00 4,981 viewed4 comments


WRITER: AGENCIES

In this March 28 photo, workers repair a dried up irrigation canal at Chai Nat province. Much of
Southeast Asia is suffering its worst drought in 20 or more years. Tens of millions of people in
the region are affected by the low level of the Mekong, a rice bowl-sustaining river system that
flows into Laos, Thailand, Cambodia and Vietnam.(AP photo)
BEIJING -- China will release more water from a dam in its southwestern province of Yunnan to
help alleviate a drought in parts of Southeast Asia, China's Foreign Ministry said on Tuesday,
following an initial release begun last month.The water already began being released on Monday
from the Jinghong dam, and will continue to be released until the "low-water period" is over,
ministry spokesman Lu Kang told a daily news briefing.The actual amount of water released will
be decided upon by how much water there is to release upstream and the demands of
downstream users, Mr Lu added.China's releases of water show the effectiveness of "water
facilities" in helping control floods and address droughts, he said.
China has said that the water released will benefit Thailand, Cambodia, Laos, Myanmar, and
Vietnam.
Thailand is facing its worst water shortage in two decades, with 14 out of 76 provinces hit and
large swathes of agricultural land at risk.Cambodian Prime Minister Hun Sen expressed concern
on Monday that if low water levels in the Mekong River persist, Cambodia could be "seriously
affected" by drought and the encroachment of sea water.
Speaking at a Buddhist ceremony in Prey Veng province, Hun Sen said that the river's low level
has already resulted in sea water flowing about 100 kilometres into the Mekong delta in
Vietnam, and that it could reach Cambodia as well in the absence of sufficient freshwater.The
premier added that during his recent visit to China, he requested the upper Mekong country allow
a larger volume of water to flow down the river.He said he also asked Thailand, Myanmar and
Laos not to block any more water than is essential for their own usage, so as not to trigger
drought conditions in the lower Mekong countries.
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In Vietnam, some 1.8 million people are facing water shortages and the government says
230,000 hectares of rice has been destroyed in the central and southern regions this year.
While China and Vietnam are involved in an increasingly bitter territorial dispute in the South
China Sea, the two communist-led countries have traditionally had close ties.
Beijing and Hanoi have also been trying to repair ties severely harmed in 2014 when Beijing
parked an oil rig in waters off the Vietnamese coast, leading to anti-China riots.
Bangkok Post

Vietnam could disrupt plans to bolster NFAs rice buffers


THE strong drought hitting, some of the Philippine's key source of rice imports, could disrupt
the governments plan to build up reserves of the staple held by the National Food Authority
(NFA), an industry official said.
Workers unload sacks of rice at a warehouse of the National Food Authority. AFP
"There are many countries, not only us, hit by drought. And then everybody will be trying to get
rice from these rice-producing areas but they themselves are also hit by drought . That's where
price will be critical," said Philippine Confederation of Grains Associations (Philcongrains)
7

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President Herculano Co adding that funds for procurement will be crucial for the country's
imports.Earlier, the National Food Authority expressed plans to import additional 500,000 metric
tons (MT) of rice on top of its current government-to-government contract to bolster the
country's buffer stock amid the El Nino.

When asked if the country may be able to count on drought-stricken rice-producing countries for
500,000 MT considering the possibility of higher rice prices, Mr. Co answered in the negative.In
2015, some 511,250 MT of rice was approved for importation via contracts with various
countries, with specific quotas governed by the minimum access volume scheme, which allows
produce to enter into the country at reduced tariff rates. Of the total, 51.50% was bagged by
Vietnam. Thailand and India received allocations of 42.08% and 1%, respectively.
According to Vietnam Consolidated Report on Drought and Saltwater Intrusion collated
between October and March by the United Nations Disaster Risk Management Team
(UNDRMT), provinces in the Mekong Delta, Southern Central and Central Highlands regions
have been feeling the impact of the El Nio-induced dry spell since the end of 2015.The Mekong
Delta is Vietnams source of about half the countrys rice and fruit, with 159,000 hectares (ha) of
the staple grain reported damaged by the drought as well as by saltwater intrusion as of March 9.

Since the end of 2015, water levels in the lower Mekong River have been at their lowest level
since records began nearly 100 years ago. It is estimated that levels of water shortage in the
rivers of the Mekong Delta range from 30-50%, reported the UNDRMT, adding that further
500,000 ha of paddy rice is likely to be damaged by mid-2016.
8

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In January, Thai Prime Minister Prayuth Chan-ocha encouraged farmers to shift from solely
planting rice crops to help sustain water reserves across the country, which have dipped below
2015 levels. The Commerce Ministry, in addition, forecast output of 25 million MT for crop year
2016, down from 27.06 million MT a year earlier.According to a report by the Food and
Agriculture Organization of the United Nations dated Feb. 8, rice stocks this year may need "to
be drawn down to bridge the expected gap between world production and consumption, with
much of the release likely to concern India and Thailand, the two leading rice exporters."

NFA spokesperson Angel G. Imperial said that the Philippine plan to import about 500,000 MT
more rice is not yet a definite plan... Its just a possibility being considered to boost buffer
stocks as a precaution against the dry spell, which has been hurting farms here since February
2015.Earlier, the NFA announced that buffers may be sufficient to rule out imports in the first
half of the year.This will be an interesting few months for the global market, which faces a tight
supply situation for the first time since 2007-08, according to a post by Dr. Sam Mohanty, head
of the Social Sciences Division of the International Rice Research Institute (IRRI) dated Feb. 22
on the official IRRI Web site.
The rice stocks of five major exporters -- India, Thailand, Vietnam, Pakistan and the United
States have declined since reaching a peak of nearly 41 million tons in 2013, according to
IRRI, citing United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) data.The USDA was quoted as
saying that the biggest drawdown of stocks in the exporting countries is under way this year,
with a 40% drop from a year earlier to reach 19 million tons by late 2016.Mr. Co said that with
great crop damage resulting from the dry spell, a potential crisis looms that reminded him of the
rice crisis of 2008, when prices exceeded $1,000 per MT.If we rely on imports, what happens if
the countries have problems [supplying] their own like what is happening now? We will be
hostage to the rise in prices, said Estrella F. Catarata, executive director of the Philippine
Network of Food Security Programmes, a convenor of the Green Action PH, civil society group.
Ms. Catarata also noted similarities to 2008.If possible this may be even worse than 2007-2008
crisis when there were no weather disturbances to spur the crisis, Ms. Catarata said, noting that
the violence in Kidapawan City may be a sign of the worsening situation.
If the government is serious in eradicating poverty and boosting agriculture, they should invest
in irrigation, said Ms. Catarata. She estimated that nongovernment organizations can establish
irrigation systems for P300,000-P400,000 adequate to the needs of a community of some 200
households.UNIDRMT reported that Vietnam has allocated $23.3 million in emergency funds to
compensate farmers suffering from El Nio as well as providing them with water tanks and other
provisions.

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Manila urged to drop rice import quotas

12 Apr 2016 at 04:00


NEWSPAPER SECTION: BUSINESS | WRITER: REUTERS

MANILA The Philippines should scrap rice import quotas and instead charge tariffs on
shipments of the grain, the World Bank said on Monday, as it urged the Southeast Asian country
to open up its economy to more competition.The country is the one of the world's top rice
buyers, but its import controls aimed at protecting farmers have previously caused shortages and
in 2014 local prices hit a record high and increased the number of Filipinos living in
poverty.World Bank lead economist Rogier van den Brink said the government should replace
import caps with an initial 30% tariff, compared with 35% currently imposed."Simulations show
that these policy changes will reduce poverty and hunger significantly," he told a news briefing,
citing the private sector's capacity to meet supply shortages efficiently.
Easing restrictions on rice imports has been a hot issue in the Philippines, with the government
retaining tariffs and quotas to protect farmers, despite its commitment to removing global trade
barriers.The state grains procurement agency, the National Food Authority (NFA), is the only
body allowed to import rice tariff free."Liberalising rice trading and easing restrictions on local
and foreign capital, and investments in sectors like telecommunications, shipping and
construction, should generate more jobs, increase income and lower prices,'' van den Brink said.
In its latest outlook, the World Bank kept its 6.4% and 6.2% growth forecasts for the Philippines
for this year and next, making it among the fastest growing economies in the region. The
economy grew 5.8% in 2015.But Karl Kendrick Chua, senior country economist at the World
Bank, said the economy faced a range of risks including an uneven recovery of richer economies,
financial market volatility, slower remittance growth from oil exporting countries, the El Nio
weather pattern, and uncertainty around the May 9 Philippine elections.

Satellite technology takes root in Philippine farms


Diwata-1, which is one of the cargoes of Cygnus cargo ship that arrived at the International
Space Station yesterday (NASA via AP)
The Department of Agriculture (DA) is fully embracing satellite technology, with data generated
from hundreds of kilometers up, to help address matters that affect food production down on the
ground.The DA is doing so as the first Philippine-assembled micro-satellite which was launched
last March awaits deployment from the International Space Station.Called Diwata-1, the microsatellite is expected to help the countrys efforts to enhance and promote agricultural
productivity, among other applications.Through a partnership with the International Rice
Research Institute, the DA has been harnessing the latest technology such as remote sensing,
crop modeling, cloud computing, and smartphone-based surveys to boost whatfor most
Filipinosis seen as a decidedly low-tech agriculture sector.

10

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The team-up with IRRI initially provides for the development and implementation of the PRISM
Philippine Rice Information System (Prism) until 2017.Earlier this year, the DA announced it
would continue beyond 2017 the Prism program, which is considered a pioneering achievement
as the Philippines is the first country in Southeast Asia to have such an operational system.Alice
Laborte, IRRIs project leader for Prism, says the DA will own, operate and sustain the rice
information system starting 2018.This will complement existing systems in the DA that guide
strategy and interventions for food security at national and regional levels, Laborte
says.Infrastructure, including resources and personnel, have been mobilized and PhilRice
(Philippine Rice Research Institute, a DA-attached agency) will be able to set up the Prism unit,
she adds.
This will be the center for all Prism operations, processes and maintenance.PhilRice executive
director Calixto Protacio says Prism has been helping the Philippines monitor rice production as
well as prepare for and mitigate the effects of disasters to rice areas such as typhoons and El
Nio.The PhilRice chief said this monitoring and information system had been generating timely
seasonal data on rice areas and yield, and assessment of crop health and damage in the event of
typhoons, flood or drought.Advancing information technology can lead to timely and crucial
information on which farmers and other stakeholders can base their decisions, surely leading to
competitiveness in the rice supply chain, Protacio says.Prism is one of several projects under
the Food Staples Sufficiency Program.
The DAs National Rice Program provides funding for Prisms development and
implementation, which the Bureau of Agricultural Research monitors.Jimmy Quilang, Prism
project leader at PhilRice, says the system enables a better, faster and accurate assessment of rice
areas, yield estimates, and forecast through the power of remote sensingall despite the various
locations, planting dates and effects of extreme weather events.Quilang adds that Prismgenerated information can help decision-makers to act immediately and implement adjustments
11

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and improvement on food security plans.According to IRRIs Laborte, the system particularly
uses high-resolution Synthetic Aperture Radar imagery acquired throughout the rice growing
season.For the 2014 and 2015 cropping seasons, Prism used 443 satellite images acquired from
third-party providers and used in rice area mapping and damage assessment.
According to IRRI, some of these images were used to map flood-affected parts of Nueva Ecija
that were ravaged by Typhoon Lando, as well as to assess drought-affected areas in Mindanao
due to the El Nio.PhilRices Protacio says Prism will be a valuable tool for food self-sufficiency
because agriculture planners can now pinpoint areas where development is needed.For example,
we can see which communities have very low yields, map these out, and then target them or
provide support to these communities, he says.We have an average yield of four tons per
hectare, but the others are just averaging maybe one ton, he adds. So if we know where these
are, then we can better target these communities and give them the support needed.
http://technology.inquirer.net/47637/satellite-technology-takes-root-in-philippine-farms#ixzz45hmImHQa

APEDA AgriExchange Newsletter - Volume 1452


International Benchmark Price
Price on: 11-04-2016

Product

Benchmark Indicators Name

Price

Argentine 85mm, CIF NW Europe (USD/t)

2125

Argentine 50mm, CIF NW Europe (USD/t)

2180

Argentine 34mm, CIF NW Europe (USD/t)

2205

South Africa, HPS 70/80 peanuts CFR main European ports (USD/t)

1875

South African, HPS 40/50 peanuts CFR main European ports (USD/t)

1000

Argentinean 40/50 runners, CFR NW Europe (USD/t)

1210

CZCE White Sugar Futures (USD/t)

840

Kenya Mumias white sugar, EXW (USD/t)

691

Pakistani refined sugar, EXW Akbari Mandi (USD/t)

Honey

Peanuts

White Sugar

581

Source:agra-net

For more info

Market Watch
Commodity-wise, Market-wise Daily Price on 09-04-2016
Domestic Prices
Product

Unit Price : Rs per Qty

Market Center

Variety

Min Price

Max Price

Jajpur (Orissa)

Other

1800

2400

Rice
1

12

Dibrugarh (Assam)

Other

2000

2900

Sainthia (West Bengal)

Common

1750

1770

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Wheat
1

Dehgam (Gujarat)

Other

1550

1855

Satna (Madhya Pradesh)

Other

1375

1450

Umared (Maharashtra)

Other

1500

2250

Thirurrangadi(Kerala)

Other

3500

3700

Ganaur (Haryana)

Other

2600

3000

Solan (Himachal Pradesh)

Other

4500

5000

Palayam (Kerala)

Other

900

1100

Nabha (Punjab)

Other

600

1000

Surat (Gujarat)

Other

700

1400

Mousambi

Brinjal

Source:agmarknet.nic.in

For more info

Egg

Rs per 100 No
Price on 11-04-2016
Product

Market Center

Price

Pune

320

Chittoor

348

Hyderabad

300

Source: e2necc.com

Other International Prices

Unit Price : US$ per package


Price on 11-04-2016

Product

Market Center

Origin

Variety

Low

High

Atlanta

Mexico

Yellow

21

22.25

Chicago

Peru

Yellow

24

24

Detroit

Texas

Yellow

22

Onions Dry

Package: 40 lb cartons

Cauliflower

25.50
Package: cartons film wrapped

Atlanta

California

White

21.25

24.50

2
3

Chicago

Mexico

White

18.50

18.50

Dallas

California

White

16

18

Grapes

Package: 18 lb containers bagged

Atlanta

Peru

Red Globe

22

24.50

Chicago

Chile

Red Globe

20

22

Miami

Peru

Red Globe

17

20

Source:USDA

Drought could hit rice stocks at exporters, fuel price crisis,


analyst says
MANILA | BY MANOLO SERAPIO JR

A puddle of water is surrounded by cracked soil at a dried up swamp in Ayutthaya, Thailand,


April 9, 2016.
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REUTERS/ATHIT PERAWONGMETHA/FILES

Crippling drought brought on by the El Nino weather pattern could cut rice stocks among the
world's top exporters to levels not seen since 2008, potentially fueling a price crisis similar to
one seen that year, an industry expert warned.Total stocks in top shippers of the grain India,
Thailand, Vietnam, Pakistan and the United States are likely to fall to 19 million tonnes by the
second half of the year, from a peak of nearly 41 million tonnes in 2013, said Samarendu
Mohanty, head of the social sciences division at the Philippines-based International Rice
Research Institute."If we have a bad monsoon, with drought still persisting in many parts of
Asia, the risk significantly increases in terms of price response," Mohanty told Reuters in a
telephone interview.
Dwindling stockpiles could crimp volumes exporters are willing to ship abroad.Although a
severe El Nino is now fading, it has brought drought to swathes of Asia, drying irrigation
channels and destroying crops. It has also stoked concerns on the strength of the South Asian
monsoon due to start around June.Export restrictions by major rice producers including India fed
panic in the market in 2008, forcing big purchases by countries such as the Philippines that
caused Asian benchmark prices to nearly triple to around $1,000 a tonne.
After that, consumers and exporters, mainly in Asia, rebuilt rice inventories to avoid another
crisis, but Mohanty said stocks have been declining since 2013."Last year, nobody was
panicking because they were sure that there's plenty of rice in the market if there's any shortfall. I
think we don't have that luxury anymore this year," he said.The price of Thai 5-percent broken
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rice touched an eight-month high of $378.50 a tonne in March, while Vietnam's own 5-percent
broken rice last month rose to a 2-1/2-month peak of $385 a tonne.
Mohanty said India and Thailand, the world's top two exporters, would have combined stocks of
around 16 million tonnes by the third quarter, around 70-percent lower than levels in 2013.That
buffer will be much smaller than recent stock levels of 16.2 million tonnes for India and about 12
million tonnes for Thailand.India will be "very cautious in exporting" if its rice output is hit by a
weak monsoon, said Mohanty.That could push big buyers such as the Philippines and Indonesia
to accumulate the grain, a staple food for nearly half of the world's population, similar to what
happened in 2008."We might see the same thing as we move forward and countries get scared
about the weather situation around them," Mohanty said.The Philippines is considering
importing another 500,000 tonnes of rice this year to boost state reserve stocks.
(Reporting by Manolo Serapio Jr.; Editing by Joseph Radford)
http://in.reuters.com/article/rice-asia-drought-weather-monsoon-el-nin-idINKCN0X90GM

Rice basmati strengthens on rising demand


PTI | Apr 12, 2016, 03.15 PM IST
New Delhi, Apr 12 () Rice basmati prices firmed up by Rs 200 per quintal at the wholesale
grains market today on rising demand from retailers against tight supplies from producing
regions.
Traders said rising demand from retailers amid restricted supplies from producing regions mainly
led to the rise in rice basmati prices.In the national capital, rice basmati common and Pusa-1121
variety were up by Rs 200 each to Rs 5,800-5,900 and Rs 4,500-5,500 per quintal,
respectively.Non-basmati rice permal raw, wand and IR-8 were also up by Rs 25 each to Rs
1,900-1,950, Rs 2,075-2,125 and Rs 1,725-1,745 per quintal, respectively. Sela too ended higher
by Rs 100 to Rs 2,400-2,500 per quintal.
Following are today's quotations (in Rs per quintal):
Wheat MP (desi) Rs 1,850-2,100, Wheat dara (for mills) Rs 1,600-1,605, Chakki atta (delivery)
Rs 1,605-1,610, Atta Rajdhani (10 kg) Rs 230, Shakti Bhog (10 kg) Rs 230, Roller flour mill Rs
850-860 (50 kg), Maida Rs 930-940 (50 kg) and Sooji Rs 1,010-1,025 (50 kg).
Basmati rice (Lal Quila) Rs 10,700, Shri Lal Mahal Rs 11,300, Super Basmati Rice Rs 9,700,
Basmati common new Rs 5,800-5,900, Rice Pusa (1121) Rs 4,500-5,500, Permal raw Rs 1,9001,950, Permal wand Rs 2,075-2,125, Sela Rs 2,400-2,500 and Rice IR-8 Rs 1,725-1,745, Bajra
Rs 1,615-1,620, Jowar yellow Rs 1,800-1,900, white Rs 3,400-3,500, Maize Rs 1,470-1,480,
Barley Rs 1,435-1,440. SUN KPS SRK MR
http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/city/delhi/Rice-basmati-strengthens-on-risingdemand/articleshow/51793109.cms

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AMAICA: Rice price going up by 10 to 15 per cent


Noticias Relacionadas: Rice, Guyana, Nembhard, Rice, Says,

Jamaica Gleaner / Jamaicans are being warned to brace for a 10 to 15 per cent increase in the price of rice
from Guyana following a hike in the cost to import gain. Managing Director of Jamaica Rice Mills
Derrick Nembhard says in mid-March, the Guyana Rice Development Board introduced a pricing
schedule which requires Jamaican importers to pay US$400 per tonne if they are importing 1,500 tonnes
or more. However, if the Jamaican importers want less than the 1,500 tonnes they will have to pay more
than US$400 per tonne .
Nembhard says as a result of the increase in the price of rice imported from the region, the cost is being
passed on to consumers. Recently, the Jamaica Rice Milling Company signed agreements with the
Guyana Rice Development Board to import a total of 80,000 tonnes of rice from Guyana during 2016.
However, Nembhard says the Guyana Rice Development Board independently arrived at the pricing
schedule. Managing Director of Jamaica Rice Mills Derrick Nembhard JAMAICA: Rice price going up
by 10 to 15 per cent Con Informacin de Jamaica Gleaner
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http://entornointeligente.com/articulo/8232120/JAMAICA-Rice-price-going-up-by-10-to-15-per-cent11042016

India's monsoon rains seen above average in 2016: weather


office
NEW DELHI | BY MAYANK BHARDWAJ AND SANKALP PHARTIYAL

India's crucial monsoon rains are expected to be above average in 2016, the weather office said
on Tuesday, easing fears over farm and economic growth after two straight droughts hit rural
incomes and agricultural output.Rains in 2016 would be 106 percent of the long-term average,
Laxman Singh Rathore, chief of the India Meteorological Department, told a news
conference.Rathore said the monsoon rains could be above average as El Nino - a warming of
the eastern Pacific Ocean that can lead to dry spells in South Asia - is fading and giving way to
La Nina in which the same waters cool.
The July-to-September monsoon delivers 70 percent of India's annual rainfall. It is critical for the
country's 263 million farmers and their rice, cane, corn, cotton and soybean crops, as nearly half
of its farmland lacks irrigation.Bumper rains can spur farm and economic growth and boost rural
demand for gold, cars, motorcycles, refrigerators and fertilizer. Two-thirds of India's population
depends on farming for its livelihood.Plentiful rains could also encourage the Reserve Bank of
India to cut interest rates after the central bank this month eased its repo rate by 25 basis points
to its lowest in more than five years.
"If indeed we end up having a better-than-normal monsoon, and spatial distribution of monsoon
and production indicators point to a normal year, then the RBI's comfort for another rate cut will
increase," said Gaurav Kapur, senior economist at Royal Bank of Scotland in Mumbai.A normal
or average monsoon means rainfall between 96 percent and 104 percent of a 50-year average of
89 cm during the four-month season from June, the weather office says.
Two straight years of drought in India - for only the fourth time in over a century - have sparked
anger among farmers against Prime Minister Narendra Modi.They blame his government for
being slow in reaching out to them after drought ravaged their crops in 2014 and 2015, making a
mockery of his election promise that they would make a 50 percent profit on their cost of
cultivation.The farm vote will be critical in determining the fortunes of Modi's nationalist
Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) when the big rural states of Uttar Pradesh and Punjab go to the
polls in the first half of next year.(Reporting by Mayank Bhardwaj and Sankalp Phartiyal;
Editing by Rajendra Jadhav and Douglas Busvine)

At 106% rainfall, IMD predicts above-normal monsoon in


2016
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Next forecast in June; eases fears over farm and and economic growth after two straight droughts
BS Reporter | New Delhi April 13, 2016 Last Updated at 00:59 IST
After two years of drought, rains may break El Nino jinxEl Nio may be neutral when monsoon hitsMet
dept predicts hotter summerHeat wave to intensify over north, central and south IndiaDrought no longer
part of IMD terminology

This year's best news so far has just arrived. After two consecutive droughts, the India Meteorological
Department (IMD) on Tuesday said the monsoon this year is expected to be above normal. It forecast
monsoon at 106 per cent of the Long Period Average (LPA). This is the first time since 1999 that
department has made an above normal prediction.
In its first seasonal forecast for 2016, IMD said
rains, a lifeline for millions of farmers across the
country, would also be distributed fairly, a factor
which is as critical as total rainfall.In fact, director
general of IMD, L S Rathore said there could be a
possibility of excess rainfall in some parts, but its
prediction is difficult as of now. Advance
preparation is being planned to tackle such a
situation. Monsoon is considered normal if rain
during the June to September season is 96-104 per
cent of the LPA. LPA is average seasonal rainfall
over the country in the past 50 years, starting
1951, and it is estimated to be 89 centimetres. The
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forecast is with model error of five per cent.
The good news has come mainly because the dreaded El Nino weather phenomenon that caused the backto-back droughts of 2014 and 2015 is showing signs of waning by the time Indias southwest monsoon
gathers steam around July and August.We expect rainfall in all four months from June to September to
be more than normal, with it gathering steam during the second half of the season, Rathore told
reporters. He said there is a chance of rainfall in the northeast and parts of Tamil Nadu and Rayalaseema
being below normal, but given the quantum of rainfall in these parts is more than other areas, the impact
would not be much.
Overall, there is 94 per cent chance of 2016 southwest monsoon being above normal to excess. The
parched lands of Vidarbha and Marathwada along with others areas in western and central India might get
good rain this year, the met department said.Rathore said the latest forecast of monsoon mission coupled
with climate model indicates that El Nino conditions would weaken to moderate to weak levels during the
first half of the monsoon season, that is in the months of June and July and thereafter neutral conditions
would prevail.
The Indian Ocean Diapole (IOD) another critical factor that impacts the monsoon is also expected to turn
positive during the second half of the 2016 season. The third factor that is in favour of the monsoon is that
snow formation in the Himalayas has also been encouraging.The climate is also hotter than usual, which
bodes well for a good southwest monsoon, said D S pai, deputy director general, climatology, IMD.On
Monday, private weather forecasting agency Skymet had predicted that monsoon would be "above
normal" in 2016 at 105 per cent of LPA.
The Pune-based Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, in a forecast based on February data, had said
there was a 54 per cent chance of the June-September precipitation being 10 mm per day, which is above
normal. Skymet predicted the 2009 drought correctly, but its 2015 southwest monsoon forecast was off
the mark.
Agriculture and allied activities are expected to grow 1.1 per cent in 2015-16 against a contraction by 0.2
per cent in the previous year. Higher farm sector growth would push up India's economic growth,
officially pegged at 7-7.75 per cent in the current financial year against 7.6 per cent expected for 201516.Agriculture Minister Radha Mohan Singh welcomed the forecast. He said, "According to IMD
forecast, definitely agriculture production will be better in 2016-17." He was speaking on the sidelines of
a national kharif conference here.
"We had deficient monsoon last two years. There was 12 per cent deficient rains in 2014-15. And the
following year, there was 14 per cent deficiency. But we were well prepared."Meanwhile, Aditi Nayar,
senior economist, ICRA, said: "The forecast comes as a relief, with two consecutive sub-par monsoons
having parched groundwater and drained reservoirs. However, concerns regarding temporal distribution
persist. If precipitation is skewed to the later half of the monsoon season, it may be somewhat counterproductive for standing crops, unless sowing is delayed."Confederation of Indian Industry's director
general, Chandrajit Banerjee, said a good monsoon could take economic growth to eight per cent. "The
prediction would be a great mood changer for industry, as revival of rural demand leads to a turn in
investment cycle," he said
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http://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/at-106-rainfall-imd-predicts-above-normalmonsoon-in-2016-116041200533_1.html

04/12/2016 Farm Bureau Market Report


Rice
High Low
Long Grain Cash Bids - - - - - Long Grain New Crop - - - - - -

Futures:

ROUGH RICE
High Low

Last Change

May '16 1000.0 975.0 978.5 -6.0


Jul '16 1025.0 1001.5 1005.5 -6.0
Sep '16 1031.5 1020.0 1024.0 -6.0
Nov '16 1052.0 1051.5 1039.5 -7.0
1057.5 -7.0
Jan '17
1080.5 -3.0
Mar '17
1081.5 -3.0
May '17

Rice Comment
Rice futures were lower across the board. It looks like futures are attempting to consolidate
above the recent spike low. Technically, the first level of support for May is the recent low of
$9.42 1/2, while overhead trendline resistance is currently near $10.09. The supply/demand
report released today wasn't changed much from last month's report. World ending stocks were
decreased to 90.17 million metric tons. However, the U.S. on-farm expected price was lowered
to $12.30-$12.70.

U.S. House's Cuba Working Group Hears Ag Trade Benefits


By Peter Bachmann
WASHINGTON, DC -- Yesterday, the Cuba Working Group, a bipartisan group of U.S. House Members
supporting efforts to end the Cuban trade and travel ban hosted a briefing for Congressional staff to
highlight opportunities for U.S. agriculture that would result from bilateral trade between the U.S. and
Cuba. The bipartisan Working Group has representation from all regions of the country and Members

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with diverse backgrounds. Rice-state congressmen Rep. Rick Crawford (R-AR) and Rep. Ted Poe (R-TX)
are among the ten working group members.
Panelists from the agriculture industry presented on what this important market could mean for U.S.
farmers and U.S. jobs. They also explored how U.S.-Cuba trading partnerships have the potential to build
a foundation of goodwill and cooperation that will open the door to long-sought economic reforms in
Cuba.

Ben Mosely, USA Rice vice president of government affairs, was one of the six panelists tapped by the
Cuba Working Group for perspective, and said, "USA Rice is part of the broader group of coalitions
advocating for change and we have established relationships within the Cuban government. The U.S. rice
industry stands to reap substantial gains when the embargo is eventually lifted. We're looking at possibly
20-30 percent of the market share in just the first two years, with increases every year after."
Mosely expressed the need for action, saying, "The current Administration has taken steps in the right
direction and, for the most part, exhausted all the tools available under the President's authority. We now
look to Congress to take action to remove remaining financing barriers."In addition to Mosely, panelists
included: Luis Ribera, Ag Economics Department at Texas A&M University; Jamie Castaneda, National
Milk Producers Federation; Anne Thompson, Bunge North America; Bill Westman, North American
Meat Institute; and Devry Boughner Vorwerk, U.S. Agriculture Coalition for Cuba.

WASDE Report Released


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WASHINGTON, DC -- U.S. 2015/16 rice supplies are lowered 500,000 cwt on lower long-grain imports.
Long-grain ending stocks are lowered 500,000 cwt to 22.5 million. All rice ending stocks are now 43.4
million cwt. The all rice and long-grain season-average prices are each lowered $0.30 per cwt at the
midpoint to $12.30 to $12.70 and $10.80 to $11.20, respectively. Medium- and short-grain prices are also
down with the California price lowered $0.50 per cwt at the midpoint and the Other States price lowered
$0.20 per cwt at the midpoint.
Global rice supplies for 2015/16 are lowered 500,000 tons, primarily on reduced production. Brazil and
Pakistan production are lowered 300,000 tons and 200,000 tons, respectively, both on updated
government statistics. Global trade and domestic use projections are both lowered fractionally. Global
ending stocks are lowered 300,000 tons to 90.2 million

Read the entire report here

Commodity Report-April 12
Published April 12, 2016

Todays commodity report: Weekly Rice Summary, California


Shell Eggs: Daily Egg Report, Shell Eggs: Daily National Egg
Market and other commodity end of the day market numbers.
Weekly Rice Summary
In California, medium grain milled rice prices steady to weak.
Second heads and Brewers steady to weak. Rice by-products:
Rice Bran prices steady. Rice hulls spot trade not well tested.
Federal officials say farmers in Northern California can expect
to receive all of their requested water deliveries this year.
CME Rough Rice settlements for Friday 8th, May 16 closed .10
higher at 9.95; Jul 16 closed .105 higher at 10.22. US dollar
index on Thursday settled at 94.19.
USDA National Weekly Rice Summary (.pdf)
California Shell Eggs: Daily Egg Report
Prices are steady. Trade sentiment is steady to higher. Offerings are mostly moderate although
held with slightly more confidence. Retail demand is fairly good to good as operators refill from
a busy feature heavy weekend. Food service sales are mostly moderate. Supplies are light to
moderate. Market activity is moderate. Mondays shell egg inventories declined 2.7% in the
Southwest and 4.9% in the Northwest.
Shell egg marketers benchmark price for negotiated egg sales of USDA Grade AA and Grade
AA in cartons, cents per dozen. This price does not reflect discounts or other contract terms.
RANGE
JUMBO
130
EXTRA LARGE
121
LARGE
115
MEDIUM
99
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Shell Eggs: Daily National Egg Market
New York prices are unchanged. Regional and California prices are steady. The undertone is
steady in the regions, while steady to higher in California. Offerings are mostly moderate to
instances heavy. Retail and food service demand is in a full range, generally moderate to fairly
good. Supplies are moderate to heavy in the Midwest and South Central regions, mostly
moderate in the Northeast, light to moderate elsewhere for current needs. The total shell egg
inventory is 3.8 percent lower when compared to the previous week. Market activity is slow to
usually moderate. Supplies of breaking stock are moderate to at times heavy; breaking schedules
are normal to over-time. Light type fowl offerings are sufficient for the light demand.
Check the April USDA Commodity Report Calendar for todays commodity reports released
by USDA.
Tuesdays Commodity Market ending market numbers:
Corn
May Corn ended at $3.62 3/4 increasing 6 cents, July ended at $3.65 1/2 gaining 5 3/4 cents.
Soybeans
May Soybeans ended at 9.36 1/4 up 8 cents, July ended at 9.44 3/4 increasing 8 cents.
Wheat
May Wheat ended at $4.52 1/2, gaining 5 1/4 cents, July Wheat ended at $4.58 3/4 up 4 1/2
cents.
Rough Rice
May Rough Rice ended at 9.785 down 0.06, July ended at 10.055 decreasing 0.06.
Live Cattle
April Live Cattle ended at $133.525 decreasing $0.55 and June ended at $122.85 down $0.375
and August ended at $118.47
April Feeder Cattle ended at $155.275 dropping $0.275 and May ended at $151.05 losing $0.975
and August ended at $151.95 down $0.85.
Lean Hogs
April Lean Hogs ended at $66.625 increasing $0.275, May ended at $75.075 down $0.325
Class III Milk
April Class III Milk ended at $13.81 up $0.05, May ended at $13.76 increasing $0.06 and June
ended at $14.01 gaining $0.13.
#2 Cotton
May #2 Cotton ending at 61.51 gaining 0.80, July ended at 60.91 up 0.67.
Sugar #11
May sugar #11 ended at 14.07 down 0.08 and July ended at 14.34 decreasing $0.05.
Orange Juice
May Orange Juice ended at 135.95 losing $1.10, July ending at 136.50 down $1.15
http://agnetwest.com/2016/04/12/commodity-report-april-12/

The paradox of rice imports


There is apparently a mystery about the country's food situation, particularly in respect of the staple, rice.
The government's claim of self-sufficiency in rice, aided partly by exports in small volumes, is strongly in
conflict with growing imports.The volume of rice the country has imported in recent times presents a
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situation more paradoxical than mysterious. One obvious question that puzzles observers is that if there is
more than enough to feed the whole population, where do the huge volumes of imported rice go?

For sometime now, this question is being raised, but absence of a convincing answer gives rise to
a more riddling quiz: Is Bangladesh a rice importing or exporting country or both? According to
the food ministry data, last year the country exported 50,000 tonnes of rice to Sri Lanka while
during the same period (FY) it imported 1.49 million tones from India.According to a report
published in a local daily, this year the country has already imported well over 0.2 million tonnes
from India in spite of high import duty at 20 per cent, and another 0.3 million tonnes are in the
pipeline with letters of credit (LCs) having been opened.The situation is confusing not only for
those working on food security but more for farmers across the country who are now waiting
with their fingers crossed ahead of the Boro harvest beginning in less than a month.
The government, reportedly, will procure around 1.2 million tonnes of rice by the end of next
month. But in a situation that does not offer a clear picture of country-wide demand, made
complex by increasing imports, it is going to be really uncertain whether farmers are going to get
fair price for their produce.There is more to the issue that further creates confusion about the
actual storage capacity of the country's food godowns. According to food ministry sources, it is
1.8 million tonnes. Rough estimate says presently there is spare capacity of barely 0.6 million
tonnes.This poses the all important question-- will the authorities be able to procure the target
volume in the absence of necessary storage facilities? All these are going to adversely affect the
price of rice in the ensuing harvesting season. One option for the authorities could be to release
large volumes of rice under the government's social security net programmes in order to increase
storage capacity.
What appears as the key barrier to removing these confusions is the absence of an assessment of
the country-wide demand for rice. Whatever figures the authorities may have calculated needs to
be revisited, because unless there is clear knowledge on consumption, all other calculations are
bound to be flawed. The cost of such flawed estimate is high.While it gives a misleading picture
of the overall food situation creating anomalies in government policies on export or import,
setting procurement targets.On the other hand, it is farmers who bear the brunt more than any
one else. Given the situation, it is for the authorities to work out corrective measures, if possible,
before it becomes too late.
http://www.thefinancialexpress-bd.com/2016/04/12/25903/The-paradox-of-rice-imports

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AIREA All India Rice Exporters Association :


Basmati rice industry may see revival from H2 of
2016-17: Icra
04/12/2016 | 03:22am EDT
MUMBAI: The domestic basmati rice industry, which is witnessing excess supply and weak
demand, may revive in the next harvest season in the second half of 2016-17, a report said
here.'The basmati rice industry faced headwinds - weak demand and oversupply in 'Any
improvement in the situation is likely only from the next basmati paddy harvest season in the
second half of 2016-17 due to improvement in demand,' rating agency Icra said in its report
here.The supply of basmati paddy is expected to witness some moderation as farmers are likely
to shift away from basmati, given the non-remunerative prices in the last two crop cycles.
Moreover, since Iran has removed the ban on import of rice, demand is also expected to witness
some improvement, it said.
Rice is one of the most crucial food crops in the world and a staple diet for nearly half the global
population. Over 90 per cent of the global rice output and consumption is centred in Asia,
wherein the world's largest rice producers, China and India, are also the world's largest rice
consumers. India accounts for over 70 per cent of the world's basmati rice production. Basmati
rice constitutes a small portion of the total rice produced in India. By volume, the share of
basmati rice is around 6 per cent in 2014-15, even as by value, basmati rice exports account for
57 per cent in 2014-15, of India's total rice exports. Basmati rice exports have increased at a
compounded annual growth rate ( CAGR) of 27 per cent from Rs 28.24 billion in 2004-05 to Rs
275.98 billion in 2014-15.The proportion of basmati rice exports in India's total exports has
increased from around 0.6 per cent to around 1.3 per cent during the last one decade.
While basmati rice is consumed across the globe, West Asian countries account for 75 per cent
of Indian basmati rice exports in 2014-15.Within West Asia, Iran and Saudi Arabia are the two
largest buyers, together accounting for over 50 per cent of basmati rice exports from
India.However, even as Iran emerged as one of the largest importers of basmati rice in recent
years, the country imposed a ban on basmati rice imports from India in 2014-15, citing its own
healthy rice crop and large basmati inventory.Commenting on pricing scenario, Icra said basmati
paddy is also vulnerable to cyclical price fluctuations. Higher prices in the market encourage
higher basmati paddy cultivation, which increases supply in the next season.This depresses the
price, thereby erasing gains and shifting farmers away from basmati paddy cultivation.During the
procurement season of 2012-13 and 2013-14, there was a steep rise in paddy prices from around
Rs 18,000 per tonne (MT) in 2011-12 to around Rs 37,000 MT in 2013-14, due to strong demand
in the international market.
source by - http://bit.ly/1S2sL7F
AIREA - All India Rice Exporters Association issued this content on 12 April 2016 and is solely responsible for the
information contained herein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 12 April 2016 07:21:39 UTC
http://www.airea.net/article-detail/340/breaking-news/Basmati-rice-industry-may-see-revival-from-H2-of-2016-17Icra
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