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QUESTION ONE
YEAR
1 New Machine Cost
(22.00)
2 Annual Revenue
5.00
5.00
5.00
5.00
5.00
1.10
1.10
1.10
1.10
1.10
(3.17)
(1.90)
(1.14)
2.93
4.20
4.96
(0.59)
(0.84)
(0.99)
2.34
3.36
3.97
4 Depreciation (W1)
(8.80)
(2.70)
6 Tax 20%
0.54
10
Initial Investment(1)
(2.16)
6.00
(5.28)
0.82
(0.16)
0.66
6.00
(22.00)
6.64
6.00
5.94
5.51
5.26
5.11
6.00
(22.00)
1.00
12.64
0.855
5.94 5.51
5.26
11.11
0.731
0.624
0.534
0.456
15 Present Value
16 Net Present value
(22.00)
10.81
4.46
4.34
3.44
2.81
5.07
Precision Engineering Ltd should replace the old machine with the new machine. The positive
net present value shows that the new machine will add value to the firm.
Note 1
Year
0 Investment
1 Depreciation @40%
Writing Down Value (WDV)
2 Depreciation @40%
Writing Down Value (WDV)
3 Depreciation @40%
Writing Down Value (WDV)
4 Depreciation @40%
Writing Down Value (WDV)
5 Depreciation @40%
Writing Down Value (WDV)
22.00
(8.80)
13.20
(5.28)
7.92
(3.17)
4.75
(1.90)
2.85
(1.14)
1.71
QUESTION TWO
Part a
The cash flows for investment proposal from the long term funds point of view are cash
flow streams which reflect the contributions made and benefits receivable by equity
shareholders for the use of funds from long term lenders. They are divided into 3
components:
Initial Investment: Long Term funds committed to the Project; Fixed Assets + Working
Capital Margin
Operating Cash Flows: Profit after Tax (PAT) + Depreciation + Other Non-Cash charges
+ Interest on Term Loans (1-TR)
Terminal Cash Flow: Net Salvage Value of Fixed Assets + Net Recovery of Working
capital Margin
Part b
YEAR
1,000.00
1,200.00
3 Cost of Production
4 Depreciation(W1) (i) Buildings
(700.00)
(4.00)
(840.00)
(4.00)
1,500.00
(1,050.00
)
(4.00)
1,500.00
(1,050.00
)
(4.00)
1,500.00
(1,050.00
)
(4.00)
(165.00)
(33.00)
(48.00)
(61.20)
(11.20)
3.36
(7.84)
(7.84)
(110.55)
(22.11)
(48.00)
(61.20)
114.14
(34.24)
79.90
(30.00)
49.90
(74.07)
(14.81)
(48.00)
(61.20)
247.92
(74.38)
173.54
(30.00)
143.54
(49.63)
(9.93)
(48.00)
(61.20)
277.24
(83.17)
194.07
(30.00)
164.07
(0.76)
(20.15)
(48.00)
(61.20)
315.89
(94.77)
221.12
(30.00)
191.12
100.00
80.00
100.00
450.00
(300.00)
(340.00)
259.72
309.59
300.79
289.20
15 Initial Investment(1)
16 Operating Cash In-flows [10+4+5(1T)]
17 Terminal Cash Flows
[11+12+13+14]
0
(1,390.00
)
(1,390.00
)
0 267.32
90.00
(1,390.00
)
1.000
267.32
0.833
259.72
0.694
309.59
0.579
300.79
0.482
379.20
0.402
20 Present Value
(1,390.00
)
222.68
180.25
179.25
144.98
152.44
(510.40)
WORKINGS
Depreciation: i) Plant and Machinery
YEAR Investment
1 Depreciation @33%
Writing Down Value (WDV)
2 Depreciation @33%
Writing Down Value (WDV)
3 Depreciation @33%
Writing Down Value (WDV)
4 Depreciation @33%
Writing Down Value (WDV)
5 Balancing Charge
Writing Down Value (WDV)
500.00
(165.00)
335.00
(110.55)
224.45
(74.07)
150.38
(49.63)
100.76
(0.76)
100.00
100.00
(33.00)
67.00
(22.11)
44.89
(14.81)
30.08
(9.93)
20.15
(20.15)
0.00
a. To calculate the Internal Rate of Return (IRR)we estimate the second value of the NPV at
a lower discount rate say 10% and use the interpolation formula to calculate the IRR
4
IRR=L+[
309.59
300.79
309.59
0.751
232.50
300.79
0.683
205.44
NPV L
](HL)
NPV L NPV H
IRR=10 +[
243.47
](20 10 )
243.47(510.40 )
IRR=10 +[
243.47
](10 )
243.47+ 510.40
IRR=10 +[
243.47
](10 )
266.93
5
289.20
90.00
379.20
0.621
251.07
IRR=10 +(0.91 10 )
IRR=10 9.1
IRR=0.9
b. With the discount factor of 20% the project gives a negative net present value. Matrix
Pharma Ltd should not go ahead with the proposed investment.
If additional cash flow of Rs. 5 Crores arises by disposing off the project then the
terminal cash flows would go up by Rs. 5 Crores. The new NPV would therefore be as
follows
15 Initial Investment
(1,390.00)
267.32
259.72
309.59
300.79
(1,390.00) 267.32
259.72
309.59
300.79
1.00
0.694
0.579
0.483
879.20
0.40
2
180.25
179.25
145.28
353.44
289.2
0
590.0
0
0.833
(1,390.00) 222.68
(309.10
)
Extracted from 2(b) above with addition of 500 to terminal cash flows
The project would still not be worthwhile because the project NPV is still negative. Matrix
Pharma Ltd should still not go ahead with the investment
QUESTION THREE
a.
Year 1
CF
800
600
400
200
P
0.1
0.2
0.4
0.3
Mean
Year 2
CF P
80
120
160
60
420
CF
800
700
600
500
Year 3
CF P
P
0.1
0.3
0.4
0.2
CF
1200
900
600
300
Total Present
Value
399.84
571.41
725.76
1,697.01
(1,500.00)
197.01
YEAR 1
(CFCF)
CF P
80
240
210
450
240
120
100
30
630
840
CF P=Cash flow multiplied by Probability
b.
P
0.2
0.5
0.2
0.1
2
(CFCF)
2 P
(CFCF)
(800420)
3802=144,400
(630420)
2102=44,100
(400420)
20 2=400
400 0.4=160
(200420)
2202=48, 400
)2 P
(CFCF
37,940.00
37,940.00=194.78
YEAR 2
(CFCF)
)2
(CF CF
2 P
(CFCF)
(800630)
1702=144,400
(700630)
702=44,100
(600630)
30 2=400
900 0.4=360
(500630)
)2 P
(CFCF
2
8100.00=90
YEAR 3
)
(CF CF
2
(CF CF)
)2 P
(CF CF
(1200840)
3602=129,600
(900840)
602=3, 600
(600840)
240 2=57,600
(300840)
5402=291, 600
2P
(CFCF)
68, 400.00
68400.00=261.53
12
22
32
NPV =
+
+
( 1+i)2 (1+i)2 (1+i)2
NPV =
37940
8100
68400
+
+
2
2
(1+ 0.05) (1+0.05) (1+0.05)2
NPV =
NPV =103800.4535
NPV =322.18
Z=
291,600 0.1=29,160
0197.01
322.18
Z =0.61
From the Z table
P ( Z 0.61 )=0.270927.09
9
QUESTION FOUR
Domestic Prices
Rs.
Rs.
Tradable Inputs
700
150
Consumables
Total
Non Tradable Inputs
Other overheads
Repairs and Maintenance
Adminstrative overheads
Selling Overheads
Total
Total Inputs
Sales realization
World Prices
Rs.
Rs.
750
200
850
100
44
110
60
Value Added
950
100
44
110
60
314
1164
1500
314
1264
1500
336
236
ERP=
ERP=
336236
100
236
ERP=
100
100
236
ERP=0.42 100
ERP=42
Domestic resource Cost (DRC)
10
The effective rate of protection (ERP) of 42% means that the value added at domestic prices to
manufacture spices would have been higher by 42% if the price of imported inputs were not
distorted through policy intervention of 25% tariff. The Domestic resource cost of Rs.63.90 is the
spending required by M/S Global Spices to generate a saving of $1. The ERP assumes that the
domestic prices and the world prices are not equal
QUESTION FIVE
A preliminary appraisal involves an initial specification of the nature and objectives of the
project and of relevant background circumstances economic, social and legal). Format of
Preliminary Appraisal
In terms of format a preliminary appraisal should include a clear statement of the needs which a
project is designed to meet and the degree to which it would aim to meet them. It should identify
all realistic options, including the option of doing nothing and, where possible, quantify the key
elements of all options. It should contain a preliminary assessment of the costs and gains of all
options choose the preferred one and make a judgement on whether its gains (the net present
value) are sufficient to warrant incurring its costs.
11
On the basis of the preliminary appraisal, the Sponsoring company or government agency should
decide whether formulating and assessing a detailed appraisal would be worthwhile or whether
to drop the project. A recommendation to undertake a detailed appraisal should state the terms of
reference of that appraisal
12