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UCSI UNIVERSITY

FACULTY OF BUSINESS AND INFORMATION SCIENCE (FoBIS)


Course Outline cum Teaching Plan
1.
2.

Course Code &


Title:
Programme:

AS104 APPLIED PROBABILITY


Bachelor of Science (Hons) Actuarial Science &
Bachelor of Science (Hons) Actuarial Science and Finance
May-Aug 2016

3.

Semester and
Year:

4.

Credit Hour &


Contact Hours:

5.

Lecturer:

4 credit hours
Lecture: 42 hours
Tutorial: 21 hours
Jeff Lai Wan Fei (jefflai@ucsiuniversity.edu.my)

6.

Tutor:

Jeff Lai Wan Fei

7.

Mode of
Delivery:

Lectures and Tutorials

8.

Objective:

This subject is aimed at giving students a solid foundation for probability theory and
making statistical inferences.

9.

Learning
Outcome:

After completing this module, students should be able to:


1) Find probability distribution of function of random variables by methods of
distribution functions, transformations and moment-generating functions;
2) Apply probabilistic distribution theory to solve problems in industries;
3) Perform point estimation and hypothesis testing including two-sample t-test;
4) Perform chi-square tests for independence and homogeneity.

10. Reading List:

Main Text:
1. Robert V.Hogg, Elliot Tanis (2014) Probability and Statistical Inference, 9th Ed,
Prentice Hall. ISBN: 9780321584755
Additional Text :
1. Wackerly, D.D., Mendenhall III, W., & Scheaffer, R. L. (2007). Mathematical
Statistics with Applications. (7th ed.). Duxbury Press
ISBN: 9780495110811

Teaching Plan

11. Method of
Assessment:

No.
1.

Method of Assessment
Coursework
a) Midterm (20%)
b) Online quiz (5%)
c) Group assignment (15%)

2.
Final Examination
GRAND TOTAL
12. Remark:

Total
40%

60%
100%

1. Students are strongly encouraged to attend all lectures and tutorials for the efficient
learning of the course.
LECTURES: There will be 1.5-hour face-to-face lectures per week.
TUTORIALS: Every week students should attend a one and the half hour tutorial
which is a problem-solving session, where your tutor will assist you with any
problems you may had trouble completing.
2. Students are expected to bring the textbook and a (non-programmable) scientific
calculator for both the lecture and tutorial sessions.
3. Students are required to sit for the test on the scheduled dates. If a student cannot
attend the test due to an emergency or illness, then every effort must be made to
contact the lecturer before the test , or, if this is not possible, within 2 days of the
test date. Upon returning to the school, proper documentation (Medical certificate
must be either from UCSI clinic or government hospitals. Others will not be
entertained) must be presented. Failure to do so will result in a grade of zero for
the missed test.
4. Only stationery and (non-programmable) calculator are allowed during tests, NO
other aids are allowed, this includes cell phones and electronic dictionaries.
Students are required to arrived on time for the test. At the discretion of the lecturer,
students arriving more than 30 minutes after the commencement of a test may be
declined the opportunity of writing it and be given a mark of zero.
5. Assignments MUST be submitted on time (before 5pm on the due date). Failure to
do so will result a grade of zero or part thereof or as determined by your lecturer.
6. Attendance is very important even tough it is not an explicit component of grading.
Do not miss any class if at all possible; missing a class requires a lot of make up
effort from you. As a reminder, 80% attendance is compulsory requirement to
eligible to sit for final exam. Students will be barred from final examination due to
not fulfilling the attendance requirement.
7. Please be on time for class and do not leave until the class ends, unless you
obtained prior permission.
Please avoid disruptive or inappropriate behaviour in class. During exam, use your
own stationery and calculator.

Teaching Plan

Lecture, Tutorial and Assignment Plan


Week
Lecture Topic
1
Chapter 1A: Multivariate
Distributions

Tutorial Topic
No Mon tutorial class
(Replacement Labour
Day)

Assignment

Reference
Main Text
Chapter 4

Chapter 1B: Multivariate


Distributions

Tutorial 1

Main Text
Chapter 4

Chapter 1C: Multivariate


Distributions

Tutorial 1

Main Text
Chapter 4

Chapter 1D: Multivariate


Distributions

Tutorial 1

Main Text
Chapter 4

Chapter 2A: Functions of


Random Variables

Tutorial 1

Online quiz
(4/6/2016 Sat)

Main Text
Chapter 5

Chapter 2B: Functions of


Random Variables
6

Chapter 2C: Functions of


Random Variables

Tutorial 2

Tutorial 2
7

Tutorial 2

Tutorial 2

Main Text
Chapter 5

Midterm - 15/6/2016 (Wed)


12:30pm 2pm
8

Chapter 4A: Estimation and


Hypothesis Testing

Tutorial 2

Main Text
Chapter 5

Chapter 4B: Estimation and


Hypothesis Testing

Tutorial 4

Additional Text
Chapter 8 & 10

10

Chapter 4C: Estimation and


Hypothesis Testing

Tutorial 4

Additional Text
Chapter 8 & 10

11

Hari Raya (Day 1) 6/7/2016


(No Wed class)
Chapter 3: Sampling
Distribution

Tutorial 4

Chapter 5: Chi-Square test


12

Chapter 5: Chi-Square test

Tutorial 3

Assignment due
date: 15/7/2016
(online
submission)

Additional Text
Chapter 8 & 10

Additional Text
Chapter 7

Tutorial 5

Teaching Plan

Lecture, Tutorial and Assignment Plan


Week
Lecture Topic
13
Revision
14

Teaching Plan

Study Week

Tutorial Topic
Learning SPSS

Assignment

Reference