Intensidades de lluvia a partir de Pd, segn Duracin de precipitacin y Frecuencia de la misma

Tiempo de duracin
Hr
min

2 aos

Intensidad de la lluvia (mm /hr) segn e

5 aos
10 aos

24 hr
18 hr
12 hr
8 hr
6 hr
5 hr
4 hr
3 hr
2 hr
1 hr

1.3530
1.6416
2.1648
2.7601
3.3013
3.7018
4.2213
4.9790
6.3320
9.7415

1.7530
2.1269
2.8047
3.5760
4.2772
4.7961
5.4692
6.4509
8.2039
12.6213

1440
1080
720
480
360
300
240
180
120
60

2.0178
2.4482
3.2285
4.1163
4.9234
5.5207
6.2955
7.4254
9.4432
14.5280

n y Frecuencia de la misma

e la lluvia (mm /hr) segn el Periodo de Retorno

25 aos
50 aos
100 aos
2.3524
2.5092
3.7638
4.7989
5.7398
6.4361
7.3394
8.6568
11.0092
16.9372

2.6006
3.1554
4.1610
5.3052
6.3455
7.1153
8.1139
9.5702
12.1709
18.7244

2.8470
3.4544
4.5552
5.8079
6.9467
7.7894
8.8826
10.4770
13.3240
20.4984

500 aos
3.4164
4.1452
5.4662
6.9694
8.3360
9.3472
10.6591
12.5723
15.9887
24.5979

Representacin matemtica de las curvas Intensidad - Duracin - Perodo de retorno:

d= KT

Realizando un cambio de variable:

I=

Con lo que de la anterior expresin se obtiene:

d
I =dt
n
t

Periodo de retorno para T = 2 aos

N
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
10

Ln (d) =

ln x

ln y

1440
1080
720
480
360
300
240
180
120
60
4980

1.3530
1.6416
2.1648
2.7601
3.3013
3.7018
4.2213
4.9790
6.3320
9.7415
40.1962

7.2724
6.9847
6.5793
6.1738
5.8861
5.7038
5.4806
5.1930
4.7875
4.0943
58.1555

0.3023
0.4957
0.7723
1.0153
1.1943
1.3088
1.4401
1.6052
1.8456
2.2764
12.2561

4.8102

d=

122.7597

n=

Periodo de retorno para T = 5 aos

N
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
10

Ln (d) =

ln x

ln y

1440
1080
720
480
360
300
240
180
120
60
4980

1.7530
2.1269
2.8047
3.5760
4.2772
4.7961
5.4692
6.4509
8.2039
12.6213
52.0793

7.2724
6.9847
6.5793
6.1738
5.8861
5.7038
5.4806
5.1930
4.7875
4.0943
58.1555

0.5613
0.7547
1.0313
1.2743
1.4533
1.5678
1.6991
1.8642
2.1046
2.5354
14.8460

5.0692

d=

159.0507

n=

Periodo de retorno para T = 10 aos

N
1
2

ln x

ln y

1440
1080

2.0178
2.4482

7.2724
6.9847

0.7020
0.8954

3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
10

Ln (d) =

720
480
360
300
240
180
120
60
4980

3.2285
4.1163
4.9234
5.5207
6.2955
7.4254
9.4432
14.5280
59.9469

5.2099

6.5793
6.1738
5.8861
5.7038
5.4806
5.1930
4.7875
4.0943
58.1555

d=

1.1720
1.4149
1.5940
1.7085
1.8398
2.0049
2.2453
2.6761
16.2529

183.0786

n=

Periodo de retorno para T = 25 aos

N
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
10

Ln (d) =

ln x

ln y

1440
1080
720
480
360
300
240
180
120
60
4980

2.3524
2.5092
3.7638
4.7989
5.7398
6.4361
7.3394
8.6568
11.0092
16.9372
69.5427

7.2724
6.9847
6.5793
6.1738
5.8861
5.7038
5.4806
5.1930
4.7875
4.0943
58.1555

0.8554
0.9200
1.3254
1.5684
1.7474
1.8619
1.9933
2.1583
2.3987
2.8295
17.6584

5.4507

d=

232.9249

n=

Periodo de retorno para T = 50 aos

N
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
10

Ln (d) =

ln x

ln y

1440
1080
720
480
360
300
240
180
120
60
4980

2.6006
3.1554
4.1610
5.3052
6.3455
7.1153
8.1139
9.5702
12.1709
18.7244
77.2624

7.2724
6.9847
6.5793
6.1738
5.8861
5.7038
5.4806
5.1930
4.7875
4.0943
58.1555

0.9557
1.1491
1.4257
1.6687
1.8477
1.9622
2.0936
2.2587
2.4990
2.9298
18.7904

5.4637

d=

235.9601

n=

Periodo de retorno para T = 100 aos

N
1
2
3
4
5
6

ln x

ln y

1440
1080
720
480
360
300

2.8470
3.4544
4.5552
5.8079
6.9467
7.7894

7.2724
6.9847
6.5793
6.1738
5.8861
5.7038

1.0463
1.2396
1.5163
1.7592
1.9383
2.0528

7
8
9
10
10

Ln (d) =

240
180
120
60
4980

8.8826
10.4770
13.3240
20.4984
84.5826

5.5542

5.4806
5.1930
4.7875
4.0943
58.1555

d=

2.1841
2.3492
2.5896
3.0203
19.6956

258.3160

n=

Periodo de retorno para T = 500 aos

N
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
10

Ln (d) =

ln x

ln y

1440
1080
720
480
360
300
240
180
120
60
4980

3.4164
4.1452
5.4662
6.9694
8.3360
9.3472
10.6591
12.5723
15.9887
24.5979
101.4984

7.2724
6.9847
6.5793
6.1738
5.8861
5.7038
5.4806
5.1930
4.7875
4.0943
58.1555

1.2286
1.4220
1.6986
1.9415
2.1206
2.2351
2.3664
2.5315
2.7719
3.2027
21.5188

5.7365

d=

309.9771

n=

KT m
I=
tn

e retorno:

en la cual:
I=
t=
T=
K, m, n =

d
I =dt n
n
t

aos
ln x*ln y

(lnx)^2

2.1985
3.4622
5.0813
6.2680
7.0298
7.4652
7.8929
8.3359
8.8358
9.3203
65.8899

52.8878
48.7863
43.2865
38.1156
34.6462
32.5331
30.0374
26.9668
22.9201
16.7637
346.9435

In te n s id ad (m m /h r )

Regresin T= 2 aos
12.0000
10.0000

f(x) = 122.7597 x^-0.6164

R = 0.9994

8.0000
6.0000
4.0000
2.0000
0.0000
0

200

400

600

800

1000

Duracin (m in)
I Vs. t

Power (I Vs. t)

aos
ln x*ln y

(lnx)^2

4.0820
5.2712
6.7852
7.8670
8.5543
8.9424
9.3124
9.6808
10.0758
10.3807
80.9519

52.8878
48.7863
43.2865
38.1156
34.6462
32.5331
30.0374
26.9668
22.9201
16.7637
346.9435

In te n s id ad (m m /h r )

-0.6164

Regresin T= 5 aos
16.0000
12.0000

f(x) = 159.0507 x^-0.6164

R = 0.9994

8.0000
4.0000
0.0000
0

200

400

600

800

Duracin (m in)
I vs T

0 aos
ln x*ln y

(lnx)^2

5.1052
6.2539

52.8878
48.7863

In te n s id ad (m m /h r )

-0.6164

Regresin T= 10 aos
16.0000
12.0000
8.0000

f(x) = 183.0786 x^-0.6164

R = 0.9994

Power (I vs T)

1000

43.2865
38.1156
34.6462
32.5331
30.0374
26.9668
22.9201
16.7637
346.9435

In te n s id ad (m m

7.7109
8.7356
9.3824
9.7449
10.0835
10.4114
10.7493
10.9568
89.1339

Regresin T= 10 aos
16.0000

f(x) = 183.0786 x^-0.6164

R = 0.9994

12.0000
8.0000
4.0000
0.0000
0

200

400

600

800

1000

Dur acin (m in)

I vs T

Power (I vs T)

5 aos
ln x*ln y

(lnx)^2

6.2210
6.4257
8.7204
9.6828
10.2855
10.6200
10.9243
11.2082
11.4839
11.5850
97.1569

52.8878
48.7863
43.2865
38.1156
34.6462
32.5331
30.0374
26.9668
22.9201
16.7637
346.9435

In te n s id ad (m m /h r )

-0.6164

Regresin T= 25 aos
20.0000
16.0000

f(x) = 232.9249 x^-0.6336

R = 0.9953

12.0000
8.0000
4.0000
0.0000
0

200

400

600

800

1000

Dur acin (m in)

I vs T

Power (I vs T)

0 aos
ln x*ln y

(lnx)^2

6.9506
8.0263
9.3804
10.3022
10.8760
11.1922
11.4741
11.7291
11.9642
11.9957
103.8907

52.8878
48.7863
43.2865
38.1156
34.6462
32.5331
30.0374
26.9668
22.9201
16.7637
346.9435

In te n s id ad (m m /h r )

-0.6336

Regresin T= 50 aos
20.0000

f(x) = 235.9601 x^-0.6164

R = 0.9994

15.0000
10.0000
5.0000
0.0000
0

200

400

600

800

1000

Dur acin (m in)

I vs T

Power (I vs T)

0 aos
ln x*ln y

(lnx)^2

7.6089
8.6585
9.9759
10.8610
11.4088
11.7085

52.8878
48.7863
43.2865
38.1156
34.6462
32.5331

In te n s id ad (m m /h r )

-0.6164

Regresin T= 100 aos

f(x) = 258.3160 x^-0.6164

R = 0.9994
0

200

400

600

800

Duracin (m in)

1000

In

11.9703
12.1992
12.3975
12.3663
109.1550

f(x) = 258.3160 x^-0.6164

R = 0.9994

30.0374
26.9668
22.9201
16.7637
346.9435

200

400

600

800

1000

Duracin (m in)
I vs T

Power (I vs T)

0 aos
ln x*ln y

(lnx)^2

8.9347
9.9319
11.1754
11.9866
12.4820
12.7484
12.9695
13.1459
13.2704
13.1128
119.7576

52.8878
48.7863
43.2865
38.1156
34.6462
32.5331
30.0374
26.9668
22.9201
16.7637
346.9435

-0.6164

In te n s id ad (m m /h r )

-0.6164

Regresin T= 500 aos

f(x) = 309.9771 x^-0.6164

R = 0.9994

200

400

600

800

1000

Dur acin (m in)

Column D

Power (Column D)

Intensidad (mm/hr)
Duracin de la lluvia (min)
Perodo de retorno (aos)
Parmetros de ajuste

Serie T= 2 aos
x

esin T= 2 aos

x^-0.6164

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

Duracin (m in)
I Vs. t

1440

1.3530

1080

1.6416

720

2.1648

480

2.7601

360

3.3013

300

3.7018

240

4.2213

180

4.9790

120

6.3320

60

9.7415

Power (I Vs. t)

Serie T= 5 aos

esin T= 5 aos

-0.6164

600

800

Dur acin (m in)

I vs T

sin T= 10 aos

0.6164

1000

1200

1400

1600

x
1440
1080
720
480
360
300
240
180
120
60

y
1.7530
2.1269
2.8047
3.5760
4.2772
4.7961
5.4692
6.4509
8.2039
12.6213

Power (I vs T)

Serie T= 10 aos

y
1440

2.0178

1080

2.4482

sin T= 10 aos

0.6164

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

Dur acin (m in)

I vs T

720

3.2285

480

4.1163

360

4.9234

300

5.5207

240

6.2955

180

7.4254

120

9.4432

60

14.5280

Power (I vs T)

Serie T= 25 aos

esin T= 25 aos

-0.6336

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

Dur acin (m in)

I vs T

y
1440

2.3524

1080

2.5092

720

3.7638

480

4.7989

360

5.7398

300

6.4361

240

7.3394

180

8.6568

120

11.0092

60

16.9372

Power (I vs T)

Serie T= 50 aos

esin T= 50 aos

0.6164

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

Duracin (m in)
I vs T

y
1440

2.6006

1080

3.1554

720

4.1610

480

5.3052

360

6.3455

300

7.1153

240

8.1139

180

9.5702

120

12.1709

60

18.7244

Power (I vs T)

Serie T= 100 aos

sin T= 100 aos

0.6164

600

800

Duracin (m in)

1000

1200

1400

1600

y
1440

2.8470

1080

3.4544

720

4.5552

480

5.8079

360

6.9467

300

7.7894

0.6164

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

Duracin (m in)
I vs T

240

8.8826

180

10.4770

120

13.3240

60

20.4984

Power (I vs T)

Serie T= 500 aos

esin T= 500 aos

0.6164

600

800

1000

Dur acin (m in)

Column D

Power (C olumn D)

1200

1400

1600

y
1440

3.4164

1080

4.1452

720

5.4662

480

6.9694

360

8.3360

300

9.3472

240

10.6591

180

12.5723

120

15.9887

60

24.5979

Resumen de aplicacin de regresin potencial

Periodo de
Retorno (aos)

Trmino ctte. de
regresin (d)

2
5
10
25
50
100
500
Promedio =

122.75965673596
159.05073108713
183.07858009818
232.92489066010
235.96005764930
258.31598369228
309.97711597140
214.58100227062

En funcin del cambio de variable realizado, se realiza otra regresin de potencia entre las columnas del
para obtener valores de la ecuacin:

d= KT m

Regresin potenci
N
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
7

Ln (K) =

2
5
10
25
50
100
500
692

122.7597
159.0507
183.0786
232.9249
235.9601
258.3160
309.9771
1502.0670

4.8009

Termino constante de regresin (K) =

Coef. de regresin (m) =

K=

121.6258
0.163496

egresin potencial
Coef. de
regresin [n]
-0.61638608809
-0.61638608809
-0.61638608809
-0.63362500463
-0.61638608809
-0.61638608809
-0.61638608809
-0.61884879045

d= KT m
Regresin potencial
ln x

ln y

ln x*ln y

(lnx)^2

0.6931
1.6094
2.3026
3.2189
3.9120
4.6052
6.2146
22.5558

4.8102
5.0692
5.2099
5.4507
5.4637
5.5542
5.7365
37.2944

3.3342
8.1586
11.9963
17.5452
21.3740
25.5780
35.6501
123.6363

0.4805
2.5903
5.3019
10.3612
15.3039
21.2076
38.6214
93.8667

121.6258

m=

0.1635

C o n s t a n t e d e R e g r e s i n d

otencia entre las columnas del periodo de retorno (T) y el trmino constante de regresin (d),

350.0000

f(
R

300.0000
250.0000
200.0000
150.0000
100.0000
0

C o n s t a n t e d e R e g r e s i n d

350.0000

f(x) = 121.6258 x^0.1635

R = 0.9431

300.0000
250.0000
200.0000
150.0000
100.0000
0

50

100

150

200

250

300

Pe r odo de Re tor no (aos )

d Vs. T

Power (d Vs. T)

350

400

450

500

y
2

122.7597

159.0507

10

183.0786

25

232.9249

50

235.9601

100

258.3160

500

309.9771

La ecuacin de intensidad vlida para la cuenca resulta:

121.6258

I=

Tabla de intensi
5
50.31
58.45
65.46
76.04
85.16
95.38
124.09

10
32.76
38.06
42.63
49.51
55.46
62.11
80.81

15
25.49
29.61
33.17
38.53
43.15
48.33
62.87

20
21.34
24.78
27.76
32.24
36.11
40.45
52.62

Curva
INTENSIDAD (mm/h)

Frecuencia
aos
2
5
10
25
50
100
500

150.00

125.00

100.00

75.00

50.00

25.00

0.00
0

10

15

20

TIE

TIE

Donde:

0.163496

I = intensidad de precipitacin (mm/hr)

T = Periodo de Retorno (aos)
t = Tiempo de duracin de precipitacin (min)

* T
0.61885
t

Tabla de intensidades - Tiempo de duracin

Duracin en minutos
25
18.58
21.59
24.18
28.08
31.45
35.23
45.83

30
16.60
19.28
21.60
25.09
28.10
31.47
40.94

35
15.09
17.53
19.63
22.81
25.54
28.61
37.22

40
13.89
16.14
18.08
21.00
23.52
26.34
34.27

45
12.92
15.00
16.80
19.52
21.86
24.49
31.86

50
12.10
14.06
15.74
18.29
20.48
22.94
29.85

Curvas IDF de la Cuenca

15

20

25

TIEMPO DE DURACION (min)

30

35

40

45

50

55

TIEMPO DE DURACION (min)

pitacin (mm/hr)

n de precipitacin (min)

55
11.41
13.25
14.84
17.24
19.31
21.63
28.14

50

60
10.81
12.56
14.06
16.34
18.30
20.49
26.66

55

60