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"...in its 2014 report on a $10.10 minimum wage, the Congressional Budget Office estimated
that the higher minimum wage would, across all programs, have little net effect on the
federal budget...
"In this study, Dr. Joseph Sabia of San Diego State University, working with graduate student
Thanh Tam Nguyen, examines 35 years of government data across a number of different
datasets including the Current Population Survey, the Survey of Income and Program
Participation, welfare caseload data, and National Income and Product Accounts. Their
results suggest that, on net, minimum wage increases have little to no ameliorating effect on
participation in (or spending on) a range of means-tested programs.
"For instance, the authors find that federal and state minimum wage increases have had no
measurable impact on the use by working-age adults of SNAP, Medicaid, Temporary
Assistance for Needy Families (TANF) and the Women, Infants, and Children (WIC)
program. In some specifications, they find evidence of an increase in the use of free and
reduced-price lunches (FRPL) and housing subsidies following minimum wage increases.
The authors also examine net welfare caseloads and taxpayers expenditures on those
programs. They find no statistically significant evidence that a higher minimum wage has
reduced participation in or spending on public programs...
"among those who would be affected by a $15 minimum wage, just 12 percent are SNAP
recipients and just 10 percent are Medicaid recipients."
Source; Employment Policies Institute
https://www.epionline.org/?p=5182
The increased earnings for low-wage workers resulting from the higher minimum wage
would total $31 billion, by CBOs estimate.2 However, those earnings would not go only to
low-income families, because many low-wage workers are not members of low-income
families. Just 19 percent of the $31 billion would accrue to families with earnings below the
poverty threshold, whereas 2. All effects on income are reported for the second half of 2016;
annualized (that is, multiplied by two); and presented in 2013 dollars.
29 percent would accrue to families earning more than three times the poverty threshold,
CBO estimates...
Families whose income would have been between one and three times the poverty threshold
would receive, on net, $3 billion in additional real income. About $1 billion, on net, would go
to families whose income would have been between three and six times the poverty
threshold.
By CBOs estimate, about 1 12 per- cent of the 33 million workers who otherwise would have
earned less than $11.50 per hour would be jobless [if the minimum ware were raised to
$10.10] either because they lost a job or because they could not find a job as a result of
the increase in the minimum wage.
Source: Congressional Budget Office, 2014.
http://goo.gl/1XuP9p
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