Академический Документы
Профессиональный Документы
Культура Документы
Equity
Research
LT IN; LART.BO
Market data
Mkt capitalisation
Average daily vol
52-week H/L
Shares O/S
Free float
Promoter holding
Foreign holding
Face value
BUY
Rs
Rs
%
1,292
1,547
20
Revised
Rs bn
'000
Rs
mn
mn
%
%
Rs
1346.6
2757.1
1888 / 1016
931.8
931.8
0.0
15.2
2.0
1m
0.7
12.8
12.1
3m
14.1
30.1
16.0
Performance
2000
(Rs)
1800
6m
1.7
8.4
6.7
(%)
1yr
(3.8)
(10.7)
(6.9)
8
4
1600
1400
(4)
1200
(8)
1000
May-15 Aug-15
(12)
Nov-15 Feb-16 May-16
L&T (LHS)
Execution on track
Abhineet Anand
+91 22 4227 3310
abhineet.anand@sbicapsec.com
F15
F16
F17e
F18e
851,281
14.3
920,037
8.1
1,026,317
11.6
1,138,031
10.9
1,272,371
11.8
12.6
12.3
12.0
12.3
12.3
46,263
45,046
48,453
53,291
62,505
EPS (Rs)
growth (%)
49.8
781.0
48.5
(2.6)
52.1
7.6
57.3
10.0
67.2
17.3
P/E (x)
25.9
26.6
24.7
22.5
19.2
EV/EBITDA (x)
18.3
18.4
18.1
17.3
16.7
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
12.9
11.4
11.3
11.5
12.3
6.0
5.0
4.7
4.5
4.5
Aakash Fadia
+91 22 4227 3460
aakash.fadia@sbicapsec.com
F14
RoCE (%)
Source: Company, SSLe
4QF16
210,610
189,679
Cost of goods
162,133
148,036
118,192
169,151
10,370
10,192
11,997
11,153
6,178
6,549
7,532
31,929
24,902
Other Expenses
EBITDA
EBITDAM (%)
Depreciation and amort.
EBIT
EBITM (%)
Other income
147,739
28.2
10,018
42.6
4QF16e
Net sales
11.0
212,440
26,560
15.2
13.1
6.8
12.5
2,458
2,444
2,450
29,384
22,444
14.0
11.8
5.1
11.3
7,367
5,701
6,170
6,000
3,973
3,340
3,812
4,000
7,574
(0.9)
5,576
218.7
2,545
30.9
Var (%)
288.0
24,110
20.2
21.9
Forex (Loss)/Gain
Interest expenses
Extraordinary/Exceptional
Profit before tax
(773)
1,857
917
32,005
26,662
6,616
6,052
2,022
7,310
20.7
22.7
18.6
28.0
25,389
20,610
23.2
8,827
187.6
18,800
35.1
26,003
19,174
35.6
8,081
221.8
18,800
38.3
NPM (%)
12.3
10.1
5.5
8.8
EPS (Rs)
27.9
20.6
8.7
20.2
Tax expense
Effective tax rate (%)
PAT
20.0
10,849
195.0
26,110
22.6
Minority Interest
Adj. net profit
38.3
Segment Analysis
Standalone
(Rs mn)
4QF16
4QF15
YoY (%)
3QF16
QoQ (%)
Segment Revenue
Infrastructure
Power
Metallurgical and Material handling
Heavy Engineering
Electrical & Automation
Others
Total
159,488
142,779
11.7
97,846
19,005
14,252
33.3
21,075
63.0
(9.8)
9,047
9,250
(2.2)
6,780
33.4
9,462
9,388
0.8
8,256
14.6
12,360
13,157
(6.1)
10,853
13.9
7,789
7,421
5.0
7,909
217,151
196,246
10.7
152,717
42.2
40.9
8,332
230.9
(1.5)
27,567
19,569
Power
494
519
(4.7)
794
(37.7)
820
608
34.9
(241)
(440.3)
(170)
(41.8)
Heavy Engineering
1,106
(108.9)
1,789
1,963
(8.9)
1,216
47.2
Others
1,032
998
3.4
1,358
(24.0)
31,604
24,764
27.6
11,289
180.0
17.3
13.7
357.9
8.5
877.0
2.6
3.6
(104.0)
3.8
(116.7)
249.1
(3.6)
1,262.1
(2.1)
101.1
Total
(99)
9.1
6.6
Heavy Engineering
(1.0)
11.8
(1,282.8)
14.5
14.9
(44.9)
11.2
327.2
Others
13.2
13.4
(19.8)
17.2
(392.3)
Total
14.6
12.6
193.5
7.4
716.2
abhineet.anand@sbicapsec.com I aakash.fadia@sbicapsec.com
4QF16
4QF15
Net Sales
328,123
280,226
Expenditure
282,978
244,125
YoY (%)
17.1
3QF16
253,871
5,387
42,557
32,720
41,665
Sub-contracting charges
65,983
61,660
52,153
Construction materials
74,296
68,985
48,558
(700)
(1,387)
3,750
4,460
3,395
52,381
40,830
46,109
Staff
38,624
36,170
41,300
EBITDA
45,144
36,101
2,182
2,808
4,517
47,326
38,909
26,595
8,203
5,875
6,198
Interest expense
7,737
4,739
7,446
PBT
31,386
28,295
12,951
Tax
9,537
7,960
5,555
24,197
20,021
13.8
12.9
other income
PBDIT
Adjusted PAT
EBITDA margin (%)
29.2
231,793
(Increase)/Dec in stock&WIP
QoQ (%)
25.1
20.9
22,078
7,349
104.5
229.3
8.7
abhineet.anand@sbicapsec.com I aakash.fadia@sbicapsec.com
4QF16
4QF15
YoY (%)
3QF16
QoQ (%)
Segment Revenue
Infrastructure
186,549
156,849
18.9
121,124
21,850
14,480
50.9
22,956
(4.8)
9,239
9,528
(3.0)
6,942
33.1
Heavy Engineering
10,721
10,214
5.0
9,487
13.0
15,992
17,450
(8.4)
13,752
16.3
Hydrocarbon
24,875
22,350
11.3
21,839
13.9
23,631
20,420
15.7
23,199
1.9
Financial Services
19,964
16,760
19.1
18,979
5.2
Developmental Projects
12,996
8,780
48.0
12,880
0.9
Power
Metallurgical and Material handling
Others
Total
54.0
20,282
16,350
24.0
17,093
18.7
346,098
293,181
18.0
268,250
29.0
29,147
19,449
49.9
8,776
232.1
1,947
1,442
35.0
1,815
7.3
814
599
36.0
(234)
2,083
Hydrocarbon
(920)
816
(128.7)
2,345
(11.2)
(2,092)
(56.0)
4,292
3,830
12.1
Financial Services
2,114
2,114
Developmental Projects
(246)
(431.1)
(238)
(1.6)
1,142
82.4
393
(334.0)
4,594
(6.6)
2,720
(22.3)
622
1,246
(50.1)
1,078
(42.3)
2,668
2,910
(8.3)
3,530
(24.4)
42,534
32,659
30.2
23,564
80.5
15.6
12.4
Power
8.9
10.0
7.9
8.8
6.3
(3.5)
Others
Total
PBIT margin (%)
PBIT margin (%)
Infrastructure
7.2
Heavy Engineering
(2.2)
8.0
(2.5)
13.0
13.4
8.3
Hydrocarbon
(3.7)
(9.4)
1.8
18.2
18.8
19.8
Financial Services
10.6
12.6
14.3
4.8
14.2
8.4
13.2
17.8
20.7
Developmental Projects
Others
Source: Company, SSLe
Estimate Revision
(Rs mn)
Sales
EBITDA
EBITDA margin (%)
Adj PAT
EPS (Rs/Share)
Revised
F17e
Old
F18e
F17e
Change (%)
F18e
1,138,031
1,272,371
1,149,499
1,292,498
140,136
157,109
130,042
150,986
12.3
53,291
57.3
12.3
62,505
67.2
11.3
48,216
51.9
11.7
60,063
64.6
F17e
F18e
(1.0)
(1.6)
7.8
4.1
100 bps
67 bps
10.5
4.1
10.5
4.1
Source: SSLe
abhineet.anand@sbicapsec.com I aakash.fadia@sbicapsec.com
(x)
36
27
Feb-16
May-16
Aug-15
Nov-15
Feb-15
May-15
Nov-14
Aug-14
Feb-14
May-14
Nov-13
Aug-13
May-13
Feb-13
Nov-12
Aug-12
May-12
Feb-12
Nov-11
May-11
Aug-11
18
Valuation
SOTP (Rs)
L&T Standalone - Core
Methodology
F18e
24x P/E
1,067
12x P/E
198
1.5x P/B
101
Subsidiaries
L&T Infotech and Other IT business
L&T Finance and other finance Business
L&T IDPL
1.25x Investments
64
86
31
Price Target
1,547
CMP
1,290
Upside (%)
19.9
abhineet.anand@sbicapsec.com I aakash.fadia@sbicapsec.com
Consolidated Financials
Income Statement
Y/E Mar (Rs mn)
Net sales
growth (%)
Operating expenses
EBITDA
growth (%)
Depreciation &amortisation
EBIT
Balance Sheet
F14
851,281
14.3
744,330
106,951
8.5
F15
F16
F17e
F18e
11.6
902,889
123,428
10.9
11.8
997,894 1,115,262
140,136
157,109
9.1
13.5
12.1
14,458
92,493
26,225
86,912
27,560
95,868
30,116
110,020
31,622
125,487
Other income
9,816
10,066
11,830
10,780
11,319
Interest paid
31,380
28,500
30,412
33,453
35,126
3,340
3,477
3,580
PBT
74,268
71,955
80,866
87,347
101,680
Tax
Effective tax rate (%)
26,106
35.2
22,532
31.3
25,487
31.5
28,824
33.0
33,554
33.0
Extraordinary/Exceptional items
Net profit
48,163
49,423
55,379
58,522
68,126
Minority interest
Reported Net profit
(266.5)
48,429
1988.6
47,434
4474.6
50,904
5231.5
53,291
5620.7
62,505
Non-recurring items
Adjusted Net profit
2,166
46,263
2,388
45,046
2,452
48,453
0
53,291
0
62,505
growth (%)
781.0
10.0
17.3
(2.6)
7.6
339
521
573
672
F15
F16
F17e
F18e
F14
F15
F16
F17e
40,968
34,054
37,465
46,829
753,442
871,584
1,010,276
1,178,261
81,088
81,088
81,088
81,088
250,292
255,552
257,992
252,876
215,450
215,450
215,450
215,450
358,580
1,699,821
418,931
1,876,660
491,129
2,093,400
578,067
2,352,571
Current liabilities
445,131
465,922
487,753
510,675
Borrowings
799,477
920,615
1,077,264
1,273,076
46,302
1,290,910
46,299
1,432,836
46,300
1,611,317
46,298
1,830,049
1,859
1,859
1,859
1,859
375,261
377,120
408,080
409,940
443,600
445,459
483,258
485,117
31,792
33,884
36,624
37,406
1,699,821
1,876,660
2,093,400
2,352,571
F15
66,259
F16
72,811
F17e
82,115
EBITDAM
12.6
12.3
12.0
12.3
12.3
14,458
26,225
27,560
30,116
EBITM
10.9
9.4
9.3
9.7
9.9
(87,501)
(92,550)
(114,135)
(145,838)
(29,471)
(22,532)
(25,487)
(28,824)
(38,607)
(40,699)
(48,964)
(57,607)
Operating CF
(69,631)
(63,297)
(88,215)
(120,038)
Capital expenditure
(66,787)
(36,485)
(35,000)
(30,000)
Chg in investments
7,787
3,631
(55,369)
(36,485)
(35,000)
(30,000)
(125,000)
(99,782)
(123,215)
(150,038)
NPM
5.4
4.9
4.7
4.7
4.9
RoE
12.9
11.4
11.3
11.5
12.3
RoCE
6.0
5.0
4.7
4.5
4.5
RoIC
4.3
3.6
3.4
3.2
3.3
Depreciation
F14
71,490
929.6
929.6
929.6
929.6
929.6
EPS
49.8
48.5
52.1
57.3
67.2
FDEPS
49.8
48.5
52.1
57.3
67.2
FCF
CEPS
65.3
76.7
81.8
89.7
101.3
405.7
441.0
479.2
521.9
571.9
1.0
1.0
1.1
1.2
1.4
BV
DPS
Valuation ratios (x)
P/E
P/BV
EV/EBITDA
EV/Sales
25.9
26.6
24.7
22.5
19.2
3.2
2.9
2.7
2.5
2.3
18.3
18.4
18.1
17.3
16.7
2.3
2.3
2.2
2.1
2.1
Equity raised/(repaid)
1,441
Debt raised/(repaid)
172,450
121,138
156,649
195,812
(14,184)
(10,907)
(11,804)
(13,634)
(29,455)
130,252
(17,363)
92,868
(18,220)
126,625
(22,776)
159,402
5,252
(6,913)
3,410
9,364
40,968
34,054
37,465
46,829
2.1
2.2
2.4
2.6
2.8
DSO (days)
106
110
108
108
106
NPM (%)
5.4
4.9
4.7
4.7
4.9
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
Equity multiplier(x)
4.4
4.5
4.6
4.8
4.9
12.9
11.4
11.3
11.5
12.3
RoE (%)
Source: Company, SSLe
abhineet.anand@sbicapsec.com I aakash.fadia@sbicapsec.com
Recommendation History
Date
BUY
HOLD
Stock Price
1800
SELL
Target Price
Stock Price
TP
Rec.
01-Apr-16
1,228
1,474
BUY
25-May-16
1,292
1,547
BUY
1600
(Rs)
1400
1200
1000
May-16
Mar-16
Jan-16
Nov-15
Sep-15
Jul-15
May-15
Mar-15
Jan-15
Nov-14
Sep-14
Jul-14
May-14
Mar-14
600
Jan-14
800
Qualification
Designation
Abhineet Anand
Analyst
Aakash Fadia
Associate
abhineet.anand@sbicapsec.com I aakash.fadia@sbicapsec.com
Other Disclosures
SBICAP Securities Limited (SSL), a full service Stock Broking company, is engaged in diversified financial services business, including equity broking, DP services, distribution
of Mutual Fund, insurance products and other financial products.SSL is a member of National Stock Exchange of India Limited and BSE Limited. SSL is also a Depository
Participant registered with NSDL & CDSL. SSL is a large broking house catering toretail, HNI and institutional clients. It operates through its branches and authorized persons
spread across the country and the clients are provided online trading through internet and offline trading through branches and call & trade facility. SSL is a wholly owned
subsidiary of SBI Capital Markets Limited (SBICAP), which is engaged into investment banking, project advisory and financial services activities and is registered with the
Securities and Exchange Board of India as a Category I Merchant Banker. SBICAP is a wholly owned subsidiary of State Bank of India. Hence, State Bank of India and all its
subsidiaries, including SBICAP and banking subsidiaries are treated and referred to as Associates of SSL.
We hereby declare that our activities were neither suspended nor we have materially defaulted with any stock exchange authority with whom we are registered in last five years.
However SEBI, Exchanges and Depositories have conducted the routine inspection and based on their observations have issued advice letters or levied minor penalty for certain
procedural lapses. We have not been debarred from doing business by any Stock Exchange/SEBI or any other authorities; nor has our certificate of registration been cancelled by
SEBI at any point of time.
SSL or its Associates may: (a) from time to time, have long or short position in, and buy or sell the securities of the company mentioned in the Report or (b) be engaged in any
other in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company discussed
herein or act as an advisor or lender/borrower to such company or may have any other potential conflict of interests with respect to any recommendation and other related
information and opinions.
SSL does not have actual/beneficial ownership of one per cent or more securities of the subject company at the end of the month immediately preceding the date of publication of
the Report. However, since Associates of SSL are engaged in the financial services business, they might have in their normal course of business financial interests or actual /
beneficial ownership of one per cent or more in various companies including the subject company mentioned herein this Report.
SSL or its Associates might have managed or co-managed public offering of securities for the subject company in the past twelve months and might have received compensation
from the companies mentioned in the Report during the period preceding twelve months from the date of this Report for services in respect of managing or co-managing public
offerings/corporate finance, investment banking or merchant banking, brokerage services or other advisory services in a merger or specific transaction.
Compensation paid to Analysts of SSL is not based on any specific merchant banking, investment banking or brokerage service transaction.
SSL or its Associate did not receive any compensation or any benefit from the subject company or third party in connection with preparation of this Report.
This Report is for the personal information of the authorized recipient(s) and is not for public distribution and should not be reproduced, transmitted or redistributed to any other
person or in any form without SSLs prior permission. The information provided in the Report is from publicly available data, which we believe, are reliable. While reasonable
endeavors have been made to present reliable data in the Report so far as it relates to current and historical information, but SSL does not guarantee the accuracy or
completeness of the data in the Report. Accordingly, SSL or any of its Associates including directors and employees thereof shall not be in any way responsible or liable for any
loss or damage that may arise to any person from any inadvertent error in the information contained, views and opinions expressed in this Report or in connection with the use of
this Report.
Please ensure that you have read Risk Disclosure Document for Capital Market and Derivatives Segments as prescribed by Securities and Exchange Board of India before
investing in Indian securities market.
The projections and forecasts described in this Report should be carefully evaluated as these :
1.
2.
3.
4.
Are based upon a number of estimates and assumptions and are inherently subject to significant uncertainties and contingencies.
Can be expected that some of the estimates on which these were based, will not materialize or will vary significantly from actual results, and such variances may increase
over time.
Are not prepared with a view towards compliance with published guidelines or generally accepted accounting principles. No independent accountants have expressed an
opinion or any other form of assurance on these.
Should not be regarded, by mere inclusion in this report, as a representation or warranty by or on behalf of SSL the authors of this report, or any other person, that these or
their underlying assumptions will be achieved.
This Report is for information purposes only and SSL or its Associates accept no liabilities for any loss or damage of any kind arising out of the use of this report. Though
disseminated to recipients simultaneously, not all recipients may receive this report at the same time. SSL will not treat recipients as clients by virtue of their receiving this report. It
should not be construed as an offer to sell or solicitation of an offer to buy, purchase or subscribe to any securities this report shall not form the basis of or be relied upon in
connection with any contract or commitment, whatsoever. This report does not solicit any action based on the material contained herein.
It does not constitute a personal recommendation and does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation/circumstances and the particular needs of
any specific person who may receive this document. The securities discussed in this Report may not be suitable for all the investors. SSL does not provide legal, accounting or tax
advice to its clients and you should independently evaluate the suitability of this Report and all investors are strongly advised to seek professional consultation regarding any
potential investment.
Certain transactions, including those involving futures, options, and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities, give rise to substantial risk and are not suitable
for all investors. Foreign currency denominated securities are subject to fluctuations in exchange rates that could have an adverse effect on the value or price of or income derived
from the investment.
The price, value and income of the investments referred to in this Report may fluctuate and investors may realize losses on any investments. Past performance is not a guide for
future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those set forth in projections. SSL has reviewed the Report and, the current or historical information included here is
believed to be reliable, the accuracy and completeness of which is not guaranteed. SSL does not have any obligationto update the information discussed in this Report.
The opinions expressed in this report are subject to change without notice and SSL or its Associates have no obligation to tell the clients when opinions or information in this
report change. This Report has not been approved and will not or may not be reviewed or approved by any statutory or regulatory authority in India, United Kingdom or Singapore
or by any Stock Exchange in India, United Kingdom or Singapore. This report may not be all inclusive and may not contain all the information that the recipient may consider
material.
The securities described herein may not be eligible for sale in all jurisdictions or to all categories of investors. The countries in which the companies mentioned in this Report are
organized may have restrictions on investments, voting rights or dealings in securities by nationals of other countries. Distributing /taking/sending/dispatching/transmitting this
document in certain foreign jurisdictions may be restricted by law, and persons into whose possession this document comes should inform themselves about, and observe, any
such restrictions. Failure to comply with this restriction may constitute a violation of laws in that jurisdiction.
abhineet.anand@sbicapsec.com I aakash.fadia@sbicapsec.com