Академический Документы
Профессиональный Документы
Культура Документы
Quantity of Liquidity
(YOY%)
USA
Total System Liquidity
(Quantity + Velocity, %YOY)
Velocity of Liquidity
(YOY%)
US 10yr
Bond Yield
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www.prerequisite.com.au/research
Copyright 2016 Prerequisite Capital Management Pty Ltd, Australia. All rights reserved. Past performance is not indicative of future results. The views expressed are the views of Prerequisite Capital Management Pty Ltd through the period ending at the date of
publication and are subject to change at any time based on market and other conditions. References to specific securities and issuers are for illustrative purposes only and are not intended to be, and should not be interpreted as, recommendations to purchase or sell such securities.
CNY/USD
China
Quantity of Liquidity
(YOY%)
Velocity of Liquidity
(YOY%)
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www.prerequisite.com.au/research
Copyright 2016 Prerequisite Capital Management Pty Ltd, Australia. All rights reserved. Past performance is not indicative of future results. The views expressed are the views of Prerequisite Capital Management Pty Ltd through the period ending at the date of
publication and are subject to change at any time based on market and other conditions. References to specific securities and issuers are for illustrative purposes only and are not intended to be, and should not be interpreted as, recommendations to purchase or sell such securities.
Quantity of Liquidity
(YOY%)
China + USA
(combined liquidity)
Velocity of Liquidity
(YOY%)
www.prerequisite.com.au/research
www.prerequisite.com.au/research
Copyright 2016 Prerequisite Capital Management Pty Ltd, Australia. All rights reserved. Past performance is not indicative of future results. The views expressed are the views of Prerequisite Capital Management Pty Ltd through the period ending at the date of
publication and are subject to change at any time based on market and other conditions. References to specific securities and issuers are for illustrative purposes only and are not intended to be, and should not be interpreted as, recommendations to purchase or sell such securities.
www.prerequisite.com.au/research
Copyright 2016 Prerequisite Capital Management Pty Ltd, Australia. All rights reserved. Past performance is not indicative of future results. The views expressed are the views of Prerequisite Capital Management Pty Ltd through the period ending at the date of
publication and are subject to change at any time based on market and other conditions. References to specific securities and issuers are for illustrative purposes only and are not intended to be, and should not be interpreted as, recommendations to purchase or sell such securities.
www.prerequisite.com.au/research
www.prerequisite.com.au/research
www.prerequisite.com.au/research
Copyright 2016 Prerequisite Capital Management Pty Ltd, Australia. All rights reserved. Past performance is not indicative of future results. The views expressed are the views of Prerequisite Capital Management Pty Ltd through the period ending at the date of
publication and are subject to change at any time based on market and other conditions. References to specific securities and issuers are for illustrative purposes only and are not intended to be, and should not be interpreted as, recommendations to purchase or sell such securities.
US Dollar Index
(DXY)
www.prerequisite.com.au/research
Copyright 2016 Prerequisite Capital Management Pty Ltd, Australia. All rights reserved. Past performance is not indicative of future results. The views expressed are the views of Prerequisite Capital Management Pty Ltd through the period ending at the date of
publication and are subject to change at any time based on market and other conditions. References to specific securities and issuers are for illustrative purposes only and are not intended to be, and should not be interpreted as, recommendations to purchase or sell such securities.
US Dollar Index
www.prerequisite.com.au/research
www.prerequisite.com.au/research
Copyright 2016 Prerequisite Capital Management Pty Ltd, Australia. All rights reserved. Past performance is not indicative of future results. The views expressed are the views of Prerequisite Capital Management Pty Ltd through the period ending at the date of
publication and are subject to change at any time based on market and other conditions. References to specific securities and issuers are for illustrative purposes only and are not intended to be, and should not be interpreted as, recommendations to purchase or sell such securities.
Simplistically:
USD = +Real Rates - US Liquidity (Qty + Velocity)
Gold = -Real Rates + US Liquidity (Qty + Velocity)
www.prerequisite.com.au/research
www.prerequisite.com.au/research
Copyright 2016 Prerequisite Capital Management Pty Ltd, Australia. All rights reserved. Past performance is not indicative of future results. The views expressed are the views of Prerequisite Capital Management Pty Ltd through the period ending at the date of
publication and are subject to change at any time based on market and other conditions. References to specific securities and issuers are for illustrative purposes only and are not intended to be, and should not be interpreted as, recommendations to purchase or sell such securities.
US Dollar Index
Gold (USD)
10yr inflation indexed
Bond yield
www.prerequisite.com.au/research
www.prerequisite.com.au/research
Copyright 2016 Prerequisite Capital Management Pty Ltd, Australia. All rights reserved. Past performance is not indicative of future results. The views expressed are the views of Prerequisite Capital Management Pty Ltd through the period ending at the date of
publication and are subject to change at any time based on market and other conditions. References to specific securities and issuers are for illustrative purposes only and are not intended to be, and should not be interpreted as, recommendations to purchase or sell such securities.
-Real Yields
Liquidity
Stable to falling
Rising
Effect on Gold
Resilient Gold
Price
Falling
Growing (with velocity wobble)
Rising
Falling
Velocity > Qty
= Liquidity collapse
Transition to growth
(but problematic velocity)
Stalled
Falling
Stable/sideways
Slowing growth into negative
(due to persistently falling velocity)
Weakening bias
USA
Quantity of Liquidity
(YOY%)
Velocity of Liquidity
(YOY%)
www.prerequisite.com.au/research
www.prerequisite
.com.au/research
www.prerequisite
.com.au/research
Copyright
2016 Prerequisite
Management
Ltd,
Australia.
All rights reserved.
Past performance
not indicative
of future
results.
are the
views
of Prerequisite
Management
Pty
Ltd through
the period
ending at the date of
Copyright 2016 Prerequisite
Capital
ManagementCapital
Pty Ltd,
Australia. AllPty
rights
reserved.
Past performance
is not indicative
of future is
results.
The views
expressed
areThe
the views expressed
of Prerequisite
Capital
Management
Pty Capital
Ltd through
the period
ending
at the date
of
11
GDP / M2
(Conventional velocity measure)
www.prerequisite.com.au/research
Copyright 2016 Prerequisite Capital Management Pty Ltd, Australia. All rights reserved. Past performance is not indicative of future results. The views expressed are the views of Prerequisite Capital Management Pty Ltd through the period ending at the date of
publication and are subject to change at any time based on market and other conditions. References to specific securities and issuers are for illustrative purposes only and are not intended to be, and should not be interpreted as, recommendations to purchase or sell such securities.
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Velocity of Liquidity
(YOY%)
Quantity of Liquidity
(YOY%)
www.prerequisite.com.au/research
www.prerequisite.com.au/research
Copyright 2016 Prerequisite Capital Management Pty Ltd, Australia. All rights reserved. Past performance is not indicative of future results. The views expressed are the views of Prerequisite Capital Management Pty Ltd through the period ending at the date of
publication and are subject to change at any time based on market and other conditions. References to specific securities and issuers are for illustrative purposes only and are not intended to be, and should not be interpreted as, recommendations to purchase or sell such securities.
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www.prerequisite.com.au/research
www.prerequisite.com.au/research
Copyright 2016 Prerequisite Capital Management Pty Ltd, Australia. All rights reserved. Past performance is not indicative of future results. The views expressed are the views of Prerequisite Capital Management Pty Ltd through the period ending at the date of
publication and are subject to change at any time based on market and other conditions. References to specific securities and issuers are for illustrative purposes only and are not intended to be, and should not be interpreted as, recommendations to purchase or sell such securities.
13
www.prerequisite.com.au/research
Copyright 2016 Prerequisite Capital Management Pty Ltd, Australia. All rights reserved. Past performance is not indicative of future results. The views expressed are the views of Prerequisite Capital Management Pty Ltd through the period ending at the date of
publication and are subject to change at any time based on market and other conditions. References to specific securities and issuers are for illustrative purposes only and are not intended to be, and should not be interpreted as, recommendations to purchase or sell such securities.
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