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Towards Sustainable Food Chain

Concept and Challenges


(Case study the dairy food chain in Poland)

Professor Micha Sznajder


Department of Agrifood Economics
Agricultural University of Pozna
Poland
Brussels 7.12.2006

Presentation outline

1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.

Definition of the food chain


Classical economy and sustainability
Sustainable food chain
The goals of the sustainable food chain
Macroeconomic and microeconomic approach to sustainable food
chain
Econometric models for developing sustainability in the food chain
Lifestyle as the keystone combining all available paths of subbranch food chains
The Polish national dairy food chain

Definition of the food chain

Scientists approach to the food chain: Energy flows from one organism to
another - when eaten - to sustain particular organisms life.

Economists approach to the food chain: They dont ignore the above
approach, but obviously they relate it to the human, conscious activity of food
production and consumption.

Links of the food chain: The food chain may consist of several links:

food
production

assembling
(collection)

processing

storage

trading

purchase of
food

Raw agricultural products while moving through the food chain are processed,
packed, merchandised and finally consumed.

Classical economy and sustainability

Classical, liberal economists toward sustainability

Economists expect that the food chain has to provide maximum return
on the capital invested in the chain.
Environmental and social issues are considered as limiting factors or
constraints.
The dispute over the way to include ecological, environmental and
social aspects in economic models, calculations and considerations has
always been very important.

Conclusion:
The concept of sustainability may enrich classical economy with
environmental and social aspects.

Classical economy and sustainability


Sustainability and political games
Some people believe that the concept of sustainability is the UE selfdefence theory, necessary in WTO negotiations to protect the
European Model of Agriculture.

They even forecast the theory should collapse under the free market
regime.

Conclusions:
Sustainability is not necessary a tool for the political games.
Economists have discussed environmental issues for a very long time.
Maybe the concept of sustainability is the right one economists have
been looking for.

Communists doctrine of harmonious development

Communists tried to practice a kind of sustainability, hidden behind


such key words as equality and harmonious development. Neither
equality nor harmonious development has ever been achieved.

Strong backward and independent of human will processes always


created a new big inequality and disharmony.

The final result of centrally planed economy was disastrous.

We have to be aware that sustainability may trigger strong backward


processes.

Sustainable food chain

Sustainability may be linked to:


- institutions,
- economy,
- ecology.

The following three elements play a key role here:


- sustainability,
- durability,
- balance.

All these above involved in the food chain result in it sustained development.

Goals of the sustainable food chain

Food chain directed toward sustainability or considered as sustainable


must achieve environmental, nutritional, economic and social goals.
Four clusters of objectives:
A. Environmental objectives
B. Nutritional objectives
C. Economic objectives
D. Social objectives

The goals of the sustainable food chain

A. Environmental objectives
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.

air pollution control


water pollution control
soil pollution control
noise pollution control
protection against radiation

The goals of the sustainable food chain

B.

Nutritional objectives
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.

providing enough food for mankind


providing nutritious food (macro- and microelements)
providing safe food
providing stable food delivery
providing food in time and place required by the consumers

The goals of the sustainable food chain

C.

Economic objectives
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.

achievement of equality point between supply and demand


ensuring moderate food prices
maintenance of job posts
maximization of added value
maximization of return on investment

The goals of the sustainable food chain

D. Social objectives
1. ensuring a good standard of life for families of farmers, processors,
traders and all involved in the food chain
2. promotion of good interpersonal relations between people involved
in the food chain
3. promotion of good health of all food consumers
4. promotion of prolonged lifespan of all food consumers

Macroeconomic approach to sustainable food chain

Global, regional or national food chains may be considered.

The macroeconomic approach leads to the aggregate matrix of ratios


related to a state or a region.

Outcomes of the simulation on such a matrix may be useful for policymakers and academics.

Microeconomic approach to sustainable food chain

The food chain consists of several branch food chains. A particular


branch food chain may consist of several sub-branch chains.

The general Polish food chain may be split into at least in 8 major
branch food chains.
Branchfood
foodchains
chains
branch

dairy

meat

grain

sugar

potatoes

vegetable
oil

There exist dozens of individual food sub-chains; for example for


pasteurised milk, UHT milk, cheese, cottage cheese, yoghurt, and so
on.

fruit

Econometric models for developing sustainability


in the food chain
Two methods may be useful in the consideration of the sustainable food chain:
The expertise method,
The linear programming method.

In the expert method all variables, as their importance varies, might be ranked
and classified to group of stimulants, nominates and destimulants. Upper and
lower limits of each variable must be set.
The simplex method may be used to find the optimal sustainable solution for
the food chain. Modelling must be link to expert knowledge (expert method)
as it contains numerous ratios which must be proved by high quality specialists.

Econometric model leading to sustainable dairy food chain


Relations
balances
and links

Production
subscript p

Environmental
subscript e

Social
subscript s

Macroeconomic
subscript ma

Microeconomic
subscript mi

Technical ratios
subscript t

Sustain goals
for dairy food
chain
subscript g

Xp1...............Xpn
aep1..aepn

....
aepk..aepnk
asp1..aspn

....
aspk..aspnk
amap1..amapn

....
amapk..amapnk
amip1..amipn

....
amipk..amipnk
atp1..atpn

....
atpk..atpnk
agp1..agpn

....
agpk..agpnk

Assembling
subscript a

Xa1................Xan
aea1..aean

....
aeak..aeank
asa1..asan

....
asak..asank
amaa1..amaan

....
amaak..amaank
amia1..amian

....
amiak..amiank
ata1..atan

....
atak..atank
aga1..agan

....
agak..agank

Source: The authors study

Processing
subscript pr

Xpr1............Xprn
aepr1..aeprn

....
aeprk..aeprnk
aspr1..asprn

....
asprk..asprnk
amapr1..amaprn

....
amaprk..amaprnk
amipr1..amiprn

....
amiprk..amiprnk
atpr1..atprn

....
atprk..atprnk
agpr1..agprn

....
agprk..agprnk

Food chain variables


Packaging
Selling
and Storage
subscript pa

Xpa1.Xpan
aes1..aepn

....
aesk..aepnk
asp1..aspn

....
aspk..aspnk
amap1..amapn

....
amapk..amapnk
amip1..amipn

....
amipk..amipnk
atp1..atpn

....
atpk..atpnk
agp1..agpn

....
agpk..agpnk

subscript se

Xse1..Xsen
aese1..aesen

....
aesek..aesenk
asse1..assen

....
assek..assenk
amase1..amasen

....
amasek..amasenk
amise1..amisen

....
amisek..amisenk
atse1..atsen

....
atsek..atsenk
agse1..agsen

....
agsek..agsenk

Consumption

Lifestyle

Constrains
Nominats

subscript c

Xc1Xcn
aec1..aecn

....
aeck..aecnk
asc1..ascn

....
asck..ascnk
amac1..amacn

....
amack..amacnk
amic1..amicn

....
amick..amicnk
atc1..atcn

....
atck..atcnk
agc1..agcn

....
agck..agcnk

subscript l

Xl1.Xln
ael1..aeln

....
aelk..aelnk
asl1..asln

....
aslk..aslnk
amal1..amaln

....
amalk..amalnk
amil1..amiln

....
amilk..amilnk
atl1..atln

....
atlk..atlnk
agl1..agln

....
aglk..aglnk

Stimulates
Destimulates

E1
.
.
Ek
S1
.
.
Sk
Ma1
.
.
Mak
Mi1
.
.
Mik
T1
.
.
Tk
G1
.
.
Gk

Lifestyle as the keystone combining all available


paths of sub- branch food chains

For ages what mankind consumed was the result of outcomes of the food
chain.

The food chain for a major part of human history was very simple. It had
a few links:

food production in
ones own farm

preparing food from


the raw materials

consumption
at home

The second half of the 20th century gave us huge development in the food
chain. The food chain became more complicated. Several new links were
formed in the chain. Home food processing slowly disappears.

Home food processing in Poland


Vegetable products
jared peas

8,8

jared bean

16,5
33,5

jared pepper

39,9

sour cabbage
mushroom pickled in vinegar

44,5
48,9

dried mushroom

58,6

jared cucumber

Fruit products

67,1

pickled cucumber
0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

11,4

fruit wine

percent of households
preserve

Source: Sznajder M., Moskalik B. (2004): Food


processing in households, Wyd. Roczniki naukowe
SERiA, Pulawy, Poland

32,1

juice

36,8

plum jam

36,9

jam

44,6

compote

61,3
0

10

20

30

40

percent of households

50

60

70

Home food processing in Poland


Dairy products
4,4

melted cheese
kefir

5,4

yoghurt

5,8

butter

6,6
15,5

cottage cheese

Flour products

sour milk

23,6
0

10

15

20

25

bread, roll 4,8

percent of households

pasta

27,5

64,6

cakes

Source: Sznajder M., Moskalik B. (2004): Food


processing in households, Wyd. Roczniki naukowe
SERiA, Pulawy, Poland

10

20

30

40

percent of households

50

60

70

Lifestyle as the keystone combining all available


paths of sub-branch food chains

New lifestyles impose on farmers and processors a new direction of


development. The new lifestyles do not necessary initiate sustaining
response of the food sector.

Lifestyles at the moment become the keystone combining all available


paths of sub-branches of the food chains and the main driving force for
the chain development.

A big task is to promote new lifestyles promoting sustainable


development of the food chain.

The Polish national dairy food chain

The Polish national dairy sector started its activity at the turn of the 19th and
20th century.

During the communist time the Polish national dairy sector was
characterised by:
1. huge milk production - over 16 billions tons
2. huge numbers of dairy farmers - over 1.8 million
3. a big number of milking cows 6 million
4. low milk quality
5. low herd size farms
6. underdevelopment of processing plants
7. a poor assortment of dairy products available on the market
8. cooperatives dependency on communist party officials
9. unsustainable economy of dairy firms (huge subvention to dairy products)
10.unsustainable impact on the environment.

The Polish national dairy food chain

The transition of the economy from centrally planned to market one has
turned out to the sustainable model for the national dairy sector.

Poland has achieved astonishing results in the dairy sector after the collapse
of the communist system. New challenges for sustainability have appeared.

a change of system

Examples of the main economic developments


(evolutions) in the last decade in the food chain and their
impact on development toward sustainability of the chain
based on the dairy sector in Poland

No

Link of the
food chain

1 Production on
farm

Name of the
development
Yields,
productivity
maximization

Example for
dairy sector
Milk yield

Towards sustainability

Moderate milk yield 4500-5000 kg

Backwards sustainability

Maximization of very high milk


yield over 10000 kg.

Maximum extension of grazing period on Maximization of the share of


grasslands. Minimization of feeding on concentrates and other
supplements. Supplement here means all supplements in daily feed ration
kind of feeds obtained from arable lands
Milk yield increase by BSE
injections
GMO manipulations
EU milk quality standards
Animal welfare improvements
Optimization of the Heard size
Moderate number of cows on a farm -up Huge scale heard over 1000
scale of production maximization to 50- 60 cows which will ensure good cows. Reduced number of
standard of life for dairy farmer
work stands.
Quality increase

Administrative
regulation for
farms

Source: The authors study

Milk quality

Cattle density Up to 2 head per ha. Quality of


environment still under farmers control

Over 2 heads per cow. Creates


big environmental problems.

Milk quota

Maximization of milk yield and


reduction of the number of
cows

Elimination of competition between


farmers

MILK YIELD
Level of feeding

Towards sustainability

Moderate milk yield 45005000 kg

Backwards sustainability

Maximization of very high


milk yield over 10000 kg

MILK YIELD
Injections

Towards sustainability

Backwards sustainability

Milk yield increase by bST


(or rBST) injections

MILK YIELD
Genetics

Towards sustainability

Traditional methods of
animal breeding

Backwards sustainability

GMO manipulations

CATTLE DENSITY PER HA

Towards sustainability

Up to 2 head per ha. Quality


of environment still under
farmers control

Backwards sustainability

Over 2 heads per cow.


Creates big environmental
problems

MILK QUOTA

Towards sustainability

Elimination of competition
between farmers

Backwards sustainability

Maximization of milk yield


and reduction of the number
of cows

No

Link of the
food chain

2 Assembling
(collection)

Name of the
development
Minimization of
assembling costs

Example for
dairy sector

Towards sustainability

Minimization elimination of farms in remote areas


of cost of milk
collection

Better standard of life of farmers


Diminishing
Number of
number of delivers dairy farm has remaining in business.
been
drastically
reduced

Source: The authors study

Backwards sustainability

More people seeking for new


job opportunities. In case of
Poland from 1.8 million to 0.3
million. Further reduction to
0.1 million is expected

NUMBER OF DAIRY FARM HAS BEEN


DRASTICALLY REDUCED

Towards sustainability

Better standard of life of


farmers remaining in business

Backwards sustainability

More people seeking for new


job opportunities. In case of
Poland from 1.8 million to
0.3 million. Further
reduction to 0.1 million is
expected

No

Link of the
food chain

3 Processing

Name of the
development
Changing in types
of ownership

Example for
dairy sector

Towards sustainability

Product
diversification

Transformatio Better opportunity for farmers to find a


n from
new opportunity by selling their shares.
cooperatives
to limited
liability
companies
Increase of
Cheaper waste utilization
daily
throughput of
processing
plants
new generation Better response to consumer demands
products

Efficient of
productivity

Lower costs of
production

Packaging
Advertisements

Plastic
Milk
consumption
promotion

Enlargement of
processing scale

Source: The authors study

Backwards sustainability

Non producers may benefit


form milk production

Increase of waste

Over consumption

Product safety increases


Environmental problems
Milk consumption is too low. Increase of too high consumption leads to
consumption promotes human health and health problems
life

TRANSFORMATION FROM COOPERATIVES TO


LIMITED LIABILITY COMPANIES
Towards sustainability

Better opportunity for


farmers to find a new
opportunity by selling their
shares.

Backwards sustainability

Nonproducers may benefit


form milk production

NEW GENERATION PRODUCTS


Towards sustainability

Better response to consumer


demands

Backwards sustainability

Over consumption

ADVERTS
Milk consumption promotion

Towards sustainability

Milk consumption is too low.


Increase of consumption
promotes human health and
life

Backwards sustainability

Too high consumption


leads to health problems

No

Link of the
food chain

4 Retailing

Name of the
development

Example for
dairy sector

Extending product UHT


shelf life
Entrance barriers

Source: The authors study

Tax taken by
supermarkets
to introduce
new products
or to allow
products in.

Towards sustainability

For some countries a solution may be


considered the sustainable model (in
tropics)

Backwards sustainability

For well-developed countries


solution - unsustainable
Absolutely unsustained. It limits
consumer choice to that
available on shelf products

UHT

Towards sustainability

For some countries in


tropics a solution may be
considered the sustainable
model

Backwards sustainability

For well-developed countries


solution - unsustainable

TAX TAKEN BY SUPERMARKETS TO INTRODUCE


NEW PRODUCTS OR TO ALLOW PRODUCTS IN

Towards sustainability

Backwards sustainability

Absolutely unsustained. It
limits consumer choice to that
available on shelf products

No

Link of the
food chain

5 Consumption

Name of the
development

Example for
dairy sector

Changing patterns Reduction of


of consumption
liquid milk
consumption
Increase of
cheese
consumption
Increase in health Probiotics
concerns

Source: The authors study

Towards sustainability

Backwards sustainability

Osteoporosis

Too much fat

PROBIOTICS

Towards sustainability

Backwards sustainability

No

Link of the
food chain

6 Lifestyles

Name of the
development

Example for
dairy sector

New fashions

Dairy products
are not
considered
fashionable
anymore

New lifestyles

Lifestyles
promoting
sustainable
development

Source: The authors study

Towards sustainability

Backwards sustainability

Unsustainable fashion

Sustainable lifestyles

Unsustainable lifestyles.

LIFESTYLES

Towards sustainability
Sustainable
lifestyles

Backwards sustainability
Unsustainable
lifestyles

Towards Sustainable Food Chain


Concept and Challenges
(Case study the dairy food chain in Poland)

Professor Micha Sznajder


Department of Agrifood Economics
Agricultural University of Pozna
Poland
Brussels 7.12.2006

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