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Abstract
New Models with three different techniques have been developed to predict the dew-point pressure for gas condensate reservoirs.
Traditional correlations, non-parametric approaches and artificial neural networks have been utilized in this study. The new models
are function of easily obtained parameters (reservoir temperature, gas specific gravity, condensate specific gravity and gas-oil
ratio). A total number of 113 data sets obtained from Constant Mass Expansion experiment (CME) were collected from Middle
East fields; has been used in developing the models. The data used for developing the models covers a reservoir temperature from
100 to 309 oF, gas oil ratios from 3,321 to 103,536 SCF/STB, gas specific gravity from 0.64 to 0.82 and condensate specific
gravity from 0.73 to 0.81. The artificial neural network developed in this study has the best results among all other models with an
average absolute error of 6.5%. Graphical and statistical tools have been utilized for the sake of comparing the performance of the
new models and empirical models available in literature.
Introduction
In reservoir engineering a variety of data is needed to accurately estimate reserves and forecast production. Field characterization
consists of reservoir rock analysis and fluid analysis. The determination of gas condensate dew-point pressure is essential for fluid
characterization, gas reservoir performance calculations, and for the design of production systems.
The phase diagram of a condensate gas is somewhat smaller than that for oils, and critical point is further down the left side of the
envelope. These changes are a result of condensate gases containing fewer of the heavy hydrocarbons than do the oils. The phase
diagram of a gas condensate has a critical temperature less than the reservoir temperature and a cricondentherm greater than the
reservoir temperature (Figure-1). Initially, the gas condensate is totally gas in the reservoir, point 1. As reservoir pressure
decreases, the gas condensate exhibits a dew-point, point 2. The dew-point of a gas condensate fluid occurs when a gas mixture
containing heavy hydrocarbons is depressurized until liquid is formed, that is, a substantial amount of gas phase exists in
equilibrium with an infinitesimal amount of liquid phase. As pressure is reduced, liquid condenses from the gas to form a free
liquid in the reservoir. Normally, there is no effective permeability to the liquid phase and it is not produced.
Traditionally, the dew-point pressure of gas condensate is experimentally determined in a laboratory in a process called constant
mass expansion (CME) test using a visual window-type PVT cell. Another study is constant volume depletion test (CVD) which
verifies the thermodynamic equilibrium at each pressure depletion level, and describes the change of composition of the reservoir
gas with every decreasing pressure step. The present study focuses on prediction of the dew-point pressure for gas condensate
reservoir. Three different approaches will be used to predict the dew-point pressure; traditional correlations, non-parametric
approach and artificial neural networks.
Literature Review
In 1947, Sage and Olds studied experimentally the behavior of five paired samples of oil and gas obtained from wells in San
Joacuin fields in California. Their investigations resulted in developing a rough correlation relating the retrograde dew-point
pressure to the gas-oil ratio, temperature and stocktank API oil gravity. The results of this correlation were presented in tabulated
and graphical forms. This correlation is applicable only for gas-oil ratio of 15,000-40,000 SCF/STB, for temperature of 100-
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One of the objectives of this work is to evaluate the most commonly used models to estimate the dew-point pressure of condensate
gas. Another objective is to develop new models utilizing the three approaches; traditional correlation, non-parametric approach
and artificial neural networks to predict the dew-point pressure as a function of easily obtained parameters such as gas-oil ratio,
reservoir temperature, gas specific gravity and condensate specific gravity. The ranges if these data are listed in Table-1.Two
types of analysis will be carried out to achieve the objectives: Error analysis and Graphical analysis.
Correlation and Regression Theory
Correlation refers to the degree of association between one variable and another or several others. Regression deals with the nature
of the relation between these variables. In evaluating the degree of regression, all the error or imprecision is assumed to be in the
measurement of one variable called the dependent, while the other variables are assumed to be precisely known. These precise
variables are called the independent variables.
Regression Theory
The basic concept of regression analysis is to produce a linear or nonlinear combination of independent variables that will correlate
as closely as possible with dependent variable.
1. Linear Multiple Regression
Consider a set of observation of size nd on which the properties y,x1,x2,x3,x4.xn are measured. The xs and y are the
independent and dependent variables, respectively. The linear regression equation will then be written as follows:
y = a0 + a1x1 +a2x2 + + anxn (1)
which represents a hyper plane in ( n + 1) dimensional space. Equation (1) can be written for any observation point i as:
y = a0 + a1xi1 +a2xi2 + + anxin ; i = 1, nd..(2)
The nd equations for the nd experimental measurements can be expressed in matrix form as:
Xa = y . (3)
Where
X=n
n 1 matrix
a = n 1 vector
y= nd vector
n = total number of independent variables
Therefore, the objective is to solve for the vector a for which Xa is as close as possible to vector y since the exact solution cannot
be found. Such a vector is that least-squares solution. The unique least-square solution to this system presented in equation (4) is:
a
X T X X T y .. (4)
where a is the least-square solution to the system Xa = y and X T is the transpose of the matrix X.
2. Nonlinear Multiple Regression
Although most of the dewpoint pressure correlations are nonlinear equations; however, they can be modified slightly to give a
form of multiple linear equation. The equation is as follows:
S
a q
and therefore,
log S
log a
(5)
a log q
a log p
a log . (6)
and therefore,
y = a0 + a1x1 +a2x2 + + anxn .. (7)
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where:
y=
a0 =
x1 =
x2 =
x3 =
Equation (7) can be solved by the method of multiple-linear regression, as outlined earlier.
3. Nonparametric Regression Model (ACE Technique)
The ACE (Alternating Conditional Expectations) algorithm, originally proposed by Breiman and Freiman et al. (1985), provides a
methods for estimating optimal transformation for multiple regression that results in a maximum correlation between a dependent
variable y and multiple independent variables x1, x2,.., xm.
A model predicting the value of y from the values of x1, x2,.., xm is written in genetic form
z and z
f x ..(8)
y f z where z
The functions f . , f . ,, f . are called variable transformations yielding the transformed independent variables z1, z2,..,
zm. The function f . is the transformation for the dependent variable. In fact the main interest is its inverse: f . , yielding the
dependent variable y from the transformed dependent variable z. Given N observation points can help to find the transformation
functions f . , f . ,, f . . The method of ACE constructs and modifies the individual transformations to achieve maximum
correlation in the transformed space.
N w x
....(9)
Where;
w is the weight of the connection from the i th input unit, and
is the bias term
h is a subscript refer to the quantities on the hidden layer.
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Finally, when a neuron updates it passes the sum of the incoming signals through an activation function, or transfer function (linear
or nonlinear). A particular transfer function is chosen to satisfy some specification of the problem that the neuron is attempting to
solve (Figure-4).
Development of the New Models
A total of 113 data sets were used in development the new models to estimate the dew-point pressure as a function of gas-oil ratio,
reservoir temperature, gas specific gravity and condensate specific gravity. The first model was developed using the traditional
correlation techniques. The ACE algorithm was applied to develop the second model. Finally, an artificial neural network model
was constructed to estimate the dew-point pressure.
1. Traditional Correlation Model
Non-linear multiple least square regression analysis was used to develop this correlation. Several models were tested to reach to
the final form of the correlation:
ln P
a ln
GOR
a ln TR
Where:
a1 = 18.6012
a3 =-0.1674
a5 = -5.8982
a7 = 8.4960
a e
GOR
..(10)
a2 = -0.1520
a4 =0.0685
a6 =-0.0559
a8 =-0.7466
T P
T P
T P
....(11)
Where
T P
ln T TR
T GOR
10 ..(12)
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The artificial neural network method has been converted into Matrix form. Putting the model in this form will help in
programming the model without using sophisticated software. The following steps summarize how to estimate the dew-point
pressure using matrices.
Step#1: Normalize the input data
TR
N TR
0.8 0.2
GOR
N GOR
N
N
.
.
0.8
0.8
.
0.8
0.2....(18)
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.2....(19)
0.2.(20)
0.2....(21)
.(22)
Step#3: Calculate Tansig(L1) as follow
Tansig L1
Where
Tansig x
Tansig
Tansig
Tansig
Tansig
Tansig
l
l
l
l
l
....(23)
1....(24)
....(25)
Step#5: Calculate Tansig(L2) as follow
Tansig N
Tansig N
Tansig N
Tansig N
Tansig L2
....(26)
Tansig N
Tansig N
Tansig N
Tansig N
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....(27)
Step#7: Calculate the dew-point pressure (Pd)
P
N P
.
.
.
7450
2562
2562....(28)
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The artificial neural network has the best results among all other models.
In general, the correlations that depend on the gas composition perform better than the correlation that depends on fluid
properties only.
All conventional correlations that depend on the fluid properties have failed in predicting the dew-point pressure below
4000 psia.
The dew-point pressure with ANN model is increasing function with respect to the reservoir temperature until the
cricondenbar and then pressure decreases with temperature until cricondentherm point.
Nemth&Kennedy correlation is the best for correlations with compositions while this study (ANN) is the best for
predicting the dew-poin pressure with as function of the physical properties.
Nomenclature
%C
c7+
cond.
API
GOR
Pd
Ppr
pseudoreduced pressure
Psp
Rsp
Tpr
pseudoreduced temperature
Tsp
TR
Tf
References
Akbari, M. and Farahani, F. Dewpoint Pressure Estimation of Gas Condensate Reservoir Using Artificial Neural Network. Paper SPE 107032,
presented at the 2007 SPE Europe/EAGE Annual Conference and Exhibition held in London, 1114 June 2007.
Breiman, L. and Friedman, J.H.: Estimating Optimal Transformations for Multiple Regression and Correlation, Journal of American Statistical
Association, September 1985, 580-619.
Elsharkawy, A.M., Characterization of the Plus Fraction and Prediction of the Dewpoint Pressure for Gas Condensate Reservoirs Paper SPE 68776,
presented at the 2001 SPE Western Regional Meeting held in Bakersfield, California, USA, 26-30, March 2001.
Gonzalez A., Barrufet M. and Startzaman R, Improved Neural Network Models Predicts Dewpoint Pressure of Retrograde Gas. Journal of Petroleum
Science and Engineering 37 (2003),183-194
Humod, A.A. and Al-Marhoun, M.A., A New Correlation for Gas-condensate Dewpoint Pressure Prediction Paper SPE 68230, presented at the 2001
SPE Middle East Oil Show held in Bahrain, 1720 March 2001.
ILsis Marruffo, PDVSA, Jose Maita, Jesus Him, Gonzal Rojas Correlation To Determine Retrograde Dew Pressure and C7+ Percentage of Gas
Condensate reservoirs on Basis of Production test Data of Eastern Venezuelan Fields Paper SPE 75686, presented at the SPE Gas
Technology Symposium held in Calgary, Alberta, Canada, 30 April 2002.
Kramer, A. H. and Sangiovanni, V. A.: "Efficient Parallel Learning Algorithms for Neural Networks," in Advances in Neural Information Processing
Systems 1 (D.S. Touretzky, Edition), San Mateo, CA, Morgan Kaufmann. (1989) 40-78.
Nemeth, L.K. and Kennedy, H.T.: A Correlation of Dewpoint Pressure with Fluid Composition and Temperature, paper SPE 1477 presented at SPE
41st Annual Fall Meeting held in Dallas, Texas, 1966.
"MATLAB," Mathwork, Neural Network Toolbox Tutorial,
(http://www.mathtools.net/MATLAB/Neural_Networks/index.html).
Potsch, K.T. and Braeuer, L., A Novel Graphical Method for Determining Dewpoint Pressures of Gas Condensates, Paper SPE 36919, presented at
the 1996 SPE European Conference held in Italy, October 22-24,1996.
Min
Max
Methane
57.71
84.95
Ethane
4.19
10.71
Propane
1.31
5.99
Butane
0.59
3.45
Pentane
0.22
1.85
Hexane
0.15
2.03
Heptane plus
0.53
13.03
Carbon dioxide
0.4
18.29
Nitrogen
0.12
5.71
9.32
100
309
3321
103536
0.6475
0.8199
0.7303
0.8121
2726
8800
Hydrogen Sulfide
10
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Emax
Emin
Ea
RMSE
STD
skewness
Nemth&Kennedy
-4.3
22.6
0.2
6.7
9.3
0.80
6.6
-0.5
Elsharkawy
-0.6
53.7
0.4
10.7
14.9
0.42
10.7
-2.0
Humoud
-0.3
33.5
1.2
9.7
12.1
0.69
8.0
-1.1
Marruffo&Rojas
-4.1
63.5
0.2
9.8
16.4
0.62
13.4
-2.3
New Correlation
-3.5
50.2
0.2
9.6
13.9
0.69
11.0
-1.9
ACE Model
-0.8
39.2
0.3
9.5
12.7
0.58
8.4
-0.5
-1.7
23.8
0.9
6.5
8.6
0.82
5.8
-0.5
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11
12
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13
Figure-5:
Optimal
0
Temperature
Transform
of
2.5
Reservoir
1.5
T(GOR)
T(TR)
0.5
1.5
0.5
2.5
0
0
100
200
300
400
TR (oF)
Figure-8:
1.5 Optimal Transform of Condensate Specific
Gravity
2
T(cond)
T(g)
2.3
2.1
2.5
3
1.9
1.7
3.5
1.5
4
0.6
0.65
0.7
0.75
g
0.8
0.85
0.74
0.76
0.78
cond.
0.8
0.82
14
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15
8000
8000
7000
7000
6000
6000
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5000
4000
3000
2000
4000
3000
2000
1000
1000
0
5000
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
Measured dewpoint pressure
7000
8000
1000
8000
7000
7000
6000
6000
5000
5000
Calculated
8000
4000
3000
2000
2000
1000
1000
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
Measured Dewpoint Pressure
7000
8000
8000
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
Measured
6000
7000
8000
7000
7000
6000
6000
8000
5000
Calculated
8000
4000
3000
2000
5000
4000
3000
2000
1000
1000
0
7000
4000
3000
3000
4000
5000
6000
Measured Dewpoint Pressure
2000
1000
2000
3000
4000
Measured
5000
6000
7000
8000
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
Measured Dewpoint Pressure
7000
8000
16
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10
8000
7000
5000
6
Frequency
6000
4000
3000
5
4
3
2000
1000
0
Training
Validation
Testing
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
Measured Dewpoint Pressure
7000
1
0
-0.4
8000
-0.2
-0.1
0.1
0.2
0.3
Error
16
14
12
7
6
Frequency
10
8
5
4
6
3
0
-0.8
-0.6
-0.4
-0.2
0.2
0.4
0
-0.4
0.6
-0.3
-0.2
-0.1
0
Error
Error
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
15
12
10
Frequency
10
Frequency
Frequency
-0.3
0
-0.8
-0.6
-0.4
-0.2
0.2
0.4
0.6
Error
0
-0.6
-0.5
-0.4
-0.3
-0.2
-0.1
Error
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
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17
30
8
7
25
6
20
Frequency
15
4
3
10
2
5
1
0
-0.4
-0.3
-0.2
-0.1
0
Error
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0
-0.4
-0.3
-0.2
-0.1
0.1
0.2
Error
70
60
50
AverageAbsoluteError(%)
Frequency
40
30
20
10
0
2000
3000
4000
5000
DewpointPressure(psia)
Elsharkawy
Homud
NewANNModel
6000
7000
Nemth&Kennedy
Marruffo,Maita,HimandRojas
NewCorrelation
8000
0.3
18
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DewPointPressure(psi)
6500
6000
5500
5000
4500
4000
100
150
200
TR(oF)
250
NewCorrelation
300
NewANN
8000
DewPointPressure(psi)
7000
6000
5000
4000
3000
2000
1000
0
100
150
200
TR(oF)
250
ACE
300