Manpower Employment Outlook Survey: United States - Q3, 2005

3rd Quarter 2005
Manpower Employment Outlook Survey

United States
Manpower Inc., 5301 N. Ironwood Rd., Milwaukee, WI 53217

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Contents
United States Employment Outlook 2
Regional Comparisons
Sector Comparisons
Global Employment Outlook 14

International Comparisons – Americas
International Comparisons – Asia Pacific
International Comparisons – Europe
About the Survey 20
About Manpower 21
1
Manpower Employment Outlook Survey USA
The United States Employment Outlook

Nearly 16,000 interviews have been conducted with Seasonally adjusted data tells a familiar story. The Net
employers across the United States to measure Employment Outlook for the third quarter of 2005 is
anticipated employment trends between July and identical to the April to June forecast, and very similar
September 2005. All participants were asked, “How to a year ago. U.S. employers have reported healthy
do you anticipate total employment at your location to hiring expectations since second quarter of 2004. This
change in the three months to the end of September pattern mirrors a period in the late 1990s when
2005 as compared to the current quarter?” employers were consistently optimistic about hiring for
more than two years.
Of the U.S. employers that were surveyed, 31% expect
an increase in hiring activity for the third quarter, while Throughout this report, we use the term “Net Employment
6% expect a decrease in employment opportunities. Outlook.” This figure is derived by taking the percentage
Fifty-seven percent of companies polled foresee no of employers anticipating an increase in hiring activity
change in workforce levels, and 6% are unsure of their and subtracting from this the percentage of employers
staffing plans. that expect to see a decrease in employment at their
location in the next quarter.
Net Employment Seasonally

Increase Decrease No Change Don’t Know
Outlook Adjusted
% % % % % %
3rd Quarter 2005 31 6 57 6 25 21
2nd Quarter 2005 30 7 58 5 23 21
1st Quarter 2005 24 10 59 7 14 21
4th Quarter 2004 28 7 60 5 21 20
3rd Quarter 2004 30 6 59 5 24 20
35
30
25
20
15
10
0
Net Employment Outlook Seasonally Adjusted
-5
’89 ’90 ’91 ’92 ’93 ’94 ’95 ’96 ’97 ’98 ’99 ’00 ’01 ’02 ’03 ’04 ’05
The results of the Manpower Employment Outlook Survey in the United States include Puerto Rico.
2
On a seasonally adjusted basis, employers in half of Most of the employers surveyed expect little change
the 10 industry sectors surveyed expect that the third in job prospects compared to last year at this time.
quarter hiring pace will be on par with second quarter Six sectors fall into that category, including Mining,
projections. These sectors include Durable and Non- Durable Goods Manufacturing, Wholesale/Retail Trade,
Durable Goods Manufacturing, Wholesale/Retail Trade, Finance/Insurance/Real Estate, Education and Services.
Services and Public Administration. Transportation/Public Utilities, Construction and Public
Administration employers plan to pick up the hiring
The employment outlook is slightly stronger for the
pace during the third quarter. Non-Durable Goods
coming quarter in Construction, Transportation/Public
Manufacturers are the only group to express waning
Utilities and Education, while a more sluggish hiring pace
confidence compared with a year ago.
is expected in Mining and Finance/Insurance/Real Estate.

Outlook Adjusted
% % % % % %
Construction 43 3 49 5 40 27
Education 24 11 61 4 13 17
Finance, Insurance & Real Estate 23 4 66 7 19 19
Manufacturing – Durables 31 8 56 5 23 20
Manufacturing – Non-Durables 28 7 60 5 21 18
Mining 31 6 57 6 25 20
Public Administration 26 8 60 6 18 15
Services 30 6 57 7 24 20
Transportation & Public Utilities 27 5 61 7 22 21
Wholesale & Retail Trade 34 5 56 5 29 22
At the overall national level, the margin of error on the data is +/– 0.8%.
According to seasonally adjusted survey results, third Midwest, who report the weakest employment outlook,
quarter hiring estimates are similar to those reported foresee less hiring activity for the coming quarter.
last quarter in two out of the four U.S. regions surveyed This marks the first time in more than a year that the
– the Northeast and the West. Employers in the South Northeast does not lag the other regions in hiring
are somewhat more optimistic about hiring than they expectations. Year-over-year comparisons mirror the
were last quarter. The South is also the region with the quarter-over-quarter analysis.
most promising job prospects. Employers in the

Outlook Adjusted
% % % % % %
Midwest 28 7 60 5 21 16
Northeast 29 7 58 6 22 17
South 32 5 58 5 27 24
West 35 8 49 8 27 23
3
Regional Comparisons
Midwest
In the Midwest, 28% of employers surveyed foresee an Education, Services and Public Administration. A more
increase in hiring for the third quarter of 2005, while 7% noticeable slowdown in hiring is predicted for Non-
plan to reduce staff levels. The result is a Net Employment Durable Goods Manufacturing and Finance/Insurance/Real
Outlook of 21%. When seasonal factors are removed Estate, while Mining employers report a significant
from the data, the survey shows that employers foresee decrease in hiring intentions.
a slight decline in the hiring pace compared to last
Public Administration is the only Midwest sector to report
quarter and a year ago. Among the four regions
increased confidence about hiring compared with a year
surveyed, employers in the Midwest reveal the weakest
ago. The job market is expected to remain relatively
hiring intentions.
unchanged in Construction, Transportation/Public Utilities,
Employers in two of the 10 sectors surveyed express Wholesale/Retail Trade and Finance/Insurance/Real
somewhat more positive hiring plans compared with Estate. A slower hiring pace is expected in Durable and
last quarter – Construction and Transportation/Public Non-Durable Goods Manufacturing, Education,
Utilities. A slight decline in the hiring pace is expected in Services and especially Mining.
Durable Goods Manufacturing, Wholesale/Retail Trade,
Outlook Adjusted
% % % % % %
All Industries 28 7 60 5 21 16
Education 17 15 65 3 2 5
Mining 20 0 80 0 20 8
Services 27 6 62 5 21 16
35
30
25
20
15
10
0
-5
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The Midwest Region comprises the following states: Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Minnesota, Missouri, Nebraska, North Dakota, Ohio,
South Dakota, Wisconsin.
4
Northeast
Among employers surveyed in the Northeast, 29% intend Utilities. Job seekers in the Northeast are likely to have
to staff up, while 7% plan to decrease headcount during trouble locating work in Finance/Insurance/Real Estate,
the July – September period. Thus, the Net Employment Education and especially Mining where employers
Outlook is 22%. When seasonal variations are removed foresee notable declines in hiring.
from the data, the employment forecast for the
Compared with last year at this time, Construction
Northeast is identical to the first two quarters of 2005
employers are considerably more upbeat about hiring.
and similar to a year ago. However, for the first time in
Transportation/Public Utilities and Public Administration
more than a year, the Northeast did not report the
employers also report a more positive employment
weakest employment outlook of the regions.
outlook. A notable decline in the hiring pace is
The hiring pace is expected to strengthen in Wholesale/ projected for Mining and Education. Hiring is also
Retail Trade, Construction, Services and Public expected to be slower in Finance/Insurance/Real Estate
Administration compared with last quarter. Employer and Durable and Non-Durable Goods Manufacturing.
confidence remains steady in Durable and Non-Durable Hiring plans are consistent in Wholesale/Retail Trade
Goods Manufacturing, and Transportation/Public and Services.
Increase Decrease No Change Don’t Know Net Employment Seasonally

Outlook Adjusted
% % % % % %
Education 17 13 66 4 4 10
Mining 0 50 50 0 -50 -26
Services 31 6 55 8 25 18
30
25
20
15
10
-5
-10
’89 ’90 ’91 ’92 ’93 ’94 ’95 ’96 ’97 ’98 ’99 ’00 ’01 ’02 ’03 ’04 ’05
The Northeast Region comprises the following states: Connecticut, Maine, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New York, Pennsylvania,
Rhode Island, Vermont.
5
South
In the South, 32% of employers surveyed anticipate an Trade, while employer confidence is down slightly in
increase in payrolls for the third quarter of 2005, while Mining and Finance/Insurance/Real Estate. Hiring plans
5% expect to reduce employment levels, yielding a Net are similar to those reported for the second quarter in
Employment Outlook of 27%. The seasonally adjusted Durable Goods Manufacturing, Services and Public
data suggests a slight improvement in the hiring pace Administration.
for the coming quarter when compared with second
Positive trends emerge in the year-over-year comparisons.
quarter and a year ago at this time. In fact, the
Employers are more confident about hiring plans in nine
employment outlook for the South is the strongest
out of 10 sectors. They include Transportation/Public
of the four U.S. regions.
Utilities, Education, Public Administration, Mining,
Among the sectors, quarter-over-quarter comparisons Construction, Durable and Non-Durable Goods
are varied. The hiring pace is likely to pick up in Manufacturing, Wholesale/Retail Trade and
Transportation/Public Utilities, Education, Construction, Finance/Insurance/Real Estate. Job prospects in the
Non-Durable Goods Manufacturing and Wholesale/Retail Services sector are likely to remain unchanged.

Outlook Adjusted
% % % % % %
Education 33 5 57 5 28 29
Mining 31 2 61 6 29 26
Services 31 6 57 6 25 23
30
25
20
15
10
0
’89 ’90 ’91 ’92 ’93 ’94 ’95 ’96 ’97 ’98 ’99 ’00 ’01 ’02 ’03 ’04 ’05
The South Region comprises the following states: Alabama, Arkansas, Delaware, District of Columbia, Florida, Georgia, Kentucky, Louisiana,
Maryland, Mississippi, North Carolina, Oklahoma, South Carolina, Tennessee, Texas, Virginia, West Virginia.
6
West
Thirty-five percent of employers surveyed in the West are Year-over-year comparisons reveal a wide range of
likely to increase staff levels, while 8% expect to trim results. The job market in Construction and Public
payrolls during the third quarter. This creates a Net Administration is likely to improve significantly.
Employment Outlook of 27%. Seasonally adjusted data Job seekers in Education and Services are also expected
reveals that employers in the West have remained to fare better during the third quarter than they would
consistent in their hiring plans since the third quarter have a year ago. On the other hand, Wholesale/Retail
of 2004. Trade, Finance/Insurance/Real Estate, Durable Goods
Manufacturing, Transportation/Public Utilities and
Compared with last quarter, employer confidence
Mining all report a slower hiring pace. No change is
increased slightly in Construction, Non-Durable Goods
expected in Non-Durable Goods Manufacturing.
Manufacturing, Education and Services. Hiring plans are
expected to remain stable in Durable Goods Manufacturing
and Wholesale/Retail Trade. The hiring pace is likely to
slow in Transportation/Public Utilities, Finance/Insurance/
Real Estate, Mining and Public Administration.

Outlook Adjusted
% % % % % %
Education 28 15 51 6 13 16
Mining 41 12 35 12 29 17
Services 36 6 49 9 30 26
35
30
25
20
15
10
0
-5
’89 ’90 ’91 ’92 ’93 ’94 ’95 ’96 ’97 ’98 ’99 ’00 ’01 ’02 ’03 ’04 ’05
The West Region comprises the following states: Alaska, Arizona, California, Colorado, Hawaii, Idaho, Montana, Nevada, New Mexico, Oregon,
Utah, Washington, Wyoming.
7
Sector Comparisons
Among the 10 industry sectors analyzed, Construction Although employment prospects are healthy, the hiring
employers are the most confident about employment pace is projected to be more moderate in Finance/
prospects for the third quarter of 2005, according to the Insurance/Real Estate, Non-Durable Goods Manufacturing
seasonally adjusted data. A strong hiring pace is expected and Education, as compared with the other sectors.
in Wholesale/Retail Trade, Transportation/Public Utilities, Public Administration employers are most conservative
Services, Mining and Durable Goods Manufacturing. in their staffing plans for the third quarter.
Construction 40
27
Education 13
17
19
Finance, Insurance & Real Estate
19
23
Manufacturing – Durables
20
21
Manufacturing – Non-Durables
18
25
Mining 20
18
Public Administration 15
24
Services 20
22
Transportation & Public Utilities 21
29
Wholesale & Retail Trade 22
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45
8
Construction
Robust hiring in the Construction sector is likely to Employers in the West are most likely to welcome job
continue during the third quarter, according to seasonally seekers, while those in the Midwest report decidedly
adjusted data. Among the sectors, Construction has less optimistic hiring plans.
the strongest employment outlook. Employers are
slightly more confident about adding staff than they
were last quarter, and the employment outlook shows
solid improvement from a year ago.
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
-5
-10
-15 Net Employment Outlook Seasonally Adjusted
-20
’89 ’90 ’91 ’92 ’93 ’94 ’95 ’96 ’97 ’98 ’99 ’00 ’01 ’02 ’03 ’04 ’05
Education
When seasonal variations are removed from the data, Employers in the South, where the strongest hiring
Education employers show a measured increase in pace is expected, are considerably more upbeat than
confidence regarding employment prospects. The hiring those in the Midwest, the least confident of the regions.
pace is expected to be up slightly from last quarter and
consistent with hiring plans reported last year at this time.
25
20
15
10
5
0
-10
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9
Finance, Insurance & Real Estate

After a year and a half of steady job market growth, Among the regions, employers in the South reveal
employers in Finance/Insurance/Real Estate express the most optimism in their hiring plans. Employers in
diminished confidence about hiring for the third quarter the Midwest and Northeast expect a much more
of 2005, according to seasonally adjusted data. temperate job market.
Compared with last quarter, a moderate decline in the
hiring pace is expected, but the employment outlook is
in line with expectations from last year at this time.
25
20
15
10
0
’89 ’90 ’91 ’92 ’93 ’94 ’95 ’96 ’97 ’98 ’99 ’00 ’01 ’02 ’03 ’04 ’05
Manufacturing – Durable Goods

Durable Goods Manufacturers plan to keep third quarter Job seekers in search of manufacturing opportunities
hiring relatively consistent with the April – June period may want to head South, where job prospects are
and with a year ago, according to seasonally adjusted strongest. Hiring plans in the Northeast and Midwest
data. Although there has been little variation in the are more conservative.
employment forecast since the second quarter of 2004,
hiring plans in this sector have dipped slightly since the
beginning of the year.
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
-10
’89 ’90 ’91 ’92 ’93 ’94 ’95 ’96 ’97 ’98 ’99 ’00 ’01 ’02 ’03 ’04 ’05
10
Manufacturing – Non-Durable Goods

For the coming quarter, seasonally adjusted hiring plans A rapid hiring pace is likely in the South, while employers
in the Non-Durable Goods Manufacturing sector are in the Midwest are considerably more reserved.
relatively consistent with the April – June period, but job
prospects have slowly declined since the final months
of 2004.
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
’89 ’90 ’91 ’92 ’93 ’94 ’95 ’96 ’97 ’98 ’99 ’00 ’01 ’02 ’03 ’04 ’05
Mining
When seasonal variations are removed from the data, Employers in the South have the strongest hiring plans.
the Mining employment outlook for the coming quarter Those looking for work are likely to find a bleak jobs
suggests a decline in the hiring pace. Employer picture in the Northeast, where employers planning to
confidence levels show a moderate drop compared decrease staff levels outweigh those planning to hire.
with last quarter but remain consistent with projections
from a year ago.
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
-5
-10
’89 ’90 ’91 ’92 ’93 ’94 ’95 ’96 ’97 ’98 ’99 ’00 ’01 ’02 ’03 ’04 ’05
11
Public Administration
The third quarter employment outlook suggests that a steady Employers in the West are most confident about adding
hiring pace will continue in the Public Administration sector. staff, while those in the Midwest anticipate slower hiring
According to seasonally adjusted data, government employers than in the other three regions.
report hiring plans that mirror second quarter. Employers
foresee a moderate increase in hiring over last year.
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
-10
’89 ’90 ’91 ’92 ’93 ’94 ’95 ’96 ’97 ’98 ’99 ’00 ’01 ’02 ’03 ’04 ’05
Services
Services employers remain consistent in their hiring Job seekers in the West are most likely to find employers
plans for the July – September period, according to in a hiring mode. Those seeking work in the Midwest
seasonally adjusted data. Since the second quarter of can expect to encounter the fewest employers looking
2004, employers have reported very similar hiring plans, to increase staff levels.
and the trend continues for the coming quarter.
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
’89 ’90 ’91 ’92 ’93 ’94 ’95 ’96 ’97 ’98 ’99 ’00 ’01 ’02 ’03 ’04 ’05
12
Transportation & Public Utilities

When seasonal variations are removed from the data, For the last year and a half, the West has been the
Transportation/Public Utilities employers expect the bright spot for Transportation/Public Utilities jobs, but
hiring pace to pick up in the coming quarter. Compared for the third quarter, employment projections are most
with last quarter and last year, moderately stronger job promising in the South and weakest in the Northeast.
prospects are likely.
25
20
15
10
5
0
-5
’89 ’90 ’91 ’92 ’93 ’94 ’95 ’96 ’97 ’98 ’99 ’00 ’01 ’02 ’03 ’04 ’05
Wholesale & Retail Trade

According to seasonally adjusted data, Wholesale/Retail For the July – September period, hiring intentions are
Trade employers expect more of the same steady hiring strongest in the South and weakest in the Midwest.
pace. The job landscape is expected to remain
unchanged from last quarter and a year ago, as there
has been little variation in the employment outlook
since the second quarter of 2004.
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
-5
-15
’89 ’90 ’91 ’92 ’93 ’94 ’95 ’96 ’97 ’98 ’99 ’00 ’01 ’02 ’03 ’04 ’05
13
Global Employment Outlook

Over 45,000 employers have been interviewed across conditions from last year at this time. India, Taiwan,
23 countries and territories to measure anticipated New Zealand and Hong Kong employers reported the
employment trends between July and September strongest hiring expectations, while those in
2005. Employers in India and Switzerland were Switzerland, Italy and the Netherlands anticipated the
surveyed for the first time this quarter. weakest hiring activity. Notably, German employers
reported positive employment expectations for the first
Employers in 22 of the countries say they expect
time this quarter.
positive hiring activity in the next three months. Based
on seasonally adjusted data, employers in just eight In the U.S., Canada and the UK, seasonally adjusted
countries – mainly European – reported stronger hiring results reveal continuing employer optimism and solid
intentions compared to last quarter and nine hiring activity.
countries’ employers indicated improved hiring
Net Employment Outlook Qtr on Qtr Change

Americas Quarter 2 2005 Quarter 3 2005 Q2 2005 to Q3 2005
% %
Canada 26 (18)1 29 (18)1 3 (0)1
Mexico 22 18 -4
United States 23 (21)1 25 (21)1 2 (0)1

Asia Pacific Quarter 2 2005 Quarter 3 2005 Q2 2005 to Q3 2005
% %
Australia 21 20 -1
China 28 13 -15
Hong Kong 19 22 3
India – 34 N/A
Japan 35 14 -21
New Zealand 30 23 -7
Singapore 12 11 -1
Taiwan 35 24 -11

Europe Quarter 2 2005 Quarter 3 2005 Q2 2005 to Q3 2005
% %
Austria 2 5 3
Belgium 7 8 1
France 2 4 2
Germany -1 4 5
Ireland 15 20 5
Italy 3 3 0
Netherlands -2 3 5
Norway 19 17 -2
Spain 10 10 0
Sweden 9 11 2
Switzerland – 0 N/A
UK 15 (12)1 12 (12)1 -3 (0)1
1. Number in parentheses is Net Employment Outlook when adjusted to remove the impact of seasonal variations in hiring activity for Canada, the UK
and the United States.
14
International Comparisons – Americas

Over 21,000 interviews have been conducted across Employers in the U.S. and Mexico reported their most
the United States, Canada and Mexico to measure optimistic third-quarter hiring outlooks in recent years,
anticipated employment trends between July and and hiring in the U.S. is expected to continue at the
September 2005. The overall regional outlook is same solid pace seen over the last six quarters.
positive, with employers in all three countries In Canada, employment prospects are expected to
anticipating positive hiring activity for the quarter ahead. be stable compared to the second quarter; however,
employers expect to take on more staff compared to
last year at this time.
Canada Mexico
50 50
40 40
30 30
20 20
10 10
0 0
-10 -10
-20 -20
2003 2004 2005 2003 2004 2005
Line shows seasonally adjusted data.
USA
50
40
30
20
10
-10
-20
2003 2004 2005
Line shows seasonally adjusted data.
15
International Comparisons – Asia Pacific

Nearly 13,000 interviews have been conducted across Employers in India, who were surveyed for the first time
Asia Pacific to measure anticipated employment trends by Manpower this quarter, reported the most optimistic
between July and September 2005. hiring expectations in Asia Pacific and among the other
22 countries and territories surveyed internationally.
Overall, hiring activity in Asia Pacific is expected to
Employers in Hong Kong, Japan and Singapore
soften for the third quarter of the year with employers
reported notable third-quarter employment prospects
throughout the region, except those in Hong Kong,
compared to those negative or zero Net Employment
reporting quarter-over-quarter decreases in hiring
Outlooks recorded in quarter three of 2003. Employers
activity. Only employers in Australia and Japan
in New Zealand reported both quarter-over-quarter and
indicated year-over-year improvements in hiring.
year-over-year decreases in hiring activity.
Australia China
50 50
40 40
30 30
20 20
10 10
0 0
-10 -10
-20 -20
2003 2004 2005 2003 2004 2005
This country joined the survey in Q2 2005.
Hong Kong India

50 50
40 40
30 30
20 20
10 10
0 0
-10 -10
-20 -20
2003 2004 2005 2003 2004 2005
16
Japan New Zealand

50 50
40 40
30 30
20 20
10 10
0 0
-10 -10
-20 -20
2003 2004 2005 2003 2004 2005
Singapore Taiwan
50 50
40 40
30 30
20 20
10 10
0 0
-10 -10
-20 -20
2003 2004 2005 2003 2004 2005
No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero. This country joined the survey in Q2 2005.
17
International Comparisons – Europe

Over 11,000 interviews have been conducted across employers reported their first positive employment
12 European nations to measure anticipated employment expectations since the survey began in the country,
trends between July and September 2005. Within the indicative of an improved labor market for the quarter
majority of the European labor markets surveyed, ahead. Similarly, employers in the Netherlands reversed
employers reported improved hiring expectations the second quarter’s negative outlook with positive
compared to the previous quarter. However, compared hiring intentions. Irish and Norwegian employers once
to last year, hiring intentions were weaker in five countries. again anticipated the most buoyant hiring activity for
the quarter ahead in Europe. In Spain, Italy and the UK,
Employers in Switzerland were surveyed for the first time
employment prospects are expected to be stable from
by Manpower this quarter and expect stable employment
the outlooks reported in the previous quarter.
prospects for the third quarter of 2005. German
Austria Belgium
50 50
40 40
30 30
20 20
10 10
0 0
-10 -10
-20 -20
2003 2004 2005 2003 2004 2005
No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero.
France Germany
50 50
40 40
30 30
20 20
10 10
0 0
-10 -10
-20 -20
2003 2004 2005 2003 2004 2005
18
Ireland Italy
50 50
40 40
30 30
20 20
10 10
0 0
-10 -10
-20 -20
2003 2004 2005 2003 2004 2005
Netherlands Norway
50 50
40 40
30 30
20 20
10 10
0 0
-10 -10
-20 -20
2003 2004 2005 2003 2004 2005
Spain Sweden
50 50
40 40
30 30
20 20
10 10
0 0
-10 -10
-20 -20
2003 2004 2005 2003 2004 2005
Switzerland UK
50 50
40 40
30 30
20 20
10 10
0
0 0
-10 -10
-20 -20
2003 2004 2005 2003 2004 2005
This country joined the survey in Q3 2005. Line shows seasonally adjusted data.
19
About the Survey

The Manpower Employment Outlook Survey is conducted Net Employment Outlook
quarterly to measure employers’ intentions to increase or Throughout this report, we use the term “Net Employment
decrease the number of employees in their workforce during Outlook”. This figure is derived by taking the percentage of
the next quarter. The survey has been running for more than employers anticipating an increase in hiring activity and
40 years and is one of the most trusted surveys of employment subtracting from this the percentage of employers that expect to
activity in the world. Various factors underpin the success of the see a decrease in employment at their location in the next quarter.
Manpower Employment Outlook Survey: The result of this calculation is the Net Employment Outlook.
Unique: It is unparalleled in its size, scope, longevity and area
of focus. Seasonal Adjustment
Seasonal adjustments have been applied to the data for
Projective: The Manpower Employment Outlook Survey is the
Canada, United Kingdom and the United States to provide
most extensive, forward-looking employment survey in the
additional insight into the survey data. These adjustments make
world, asking employers to forecast employment over the next
it possible to review the data without the employment
quarter. In contrast, other surveys and studies focus on
fluctuations that normally occur at the same time each year, thus
retrospective data to report on what occurred in the past.
providing a clearer picture of the data over time. Manpower
Focused: For more than four decades, the survey has derived intends to add seasonal adjustments to the data for other
all of its information from a single question. countries in the future, as more historical data is compiled.
Independent: The survey is conducted with a representative
sample of employers from throughout the countries in which it History of the Survey
is conducted. The survey participants are not derived from 1962 1st generation of the Manpower Employment Outlook
Manpower’s customer base. Survey launched in the United States and Canada.
Robust: The survey is based on interviews with more than 1966 Manpower’s UK operation launches the equivalent of the
45,000 public and private employers across 23 countries and United States survey, naming the report the Quarterly
territories to measure anticipated employment trends each Survey of Employment Prospects. The survey adopts the
quarter. This sample allows for analysis to be performed across same forward-looking research format as the United States
specific sectors and regions to provide more detailed information. survey and is the first of its kind in Europe.
1976 2nd generation of Manpower’s Employment Outlook
Survey launched in the United States and Canada.
Methodology
Research methodology is updated to evolve with
The Manpower Employment Outlook Survey is conducted using
advancements in the field of market research.
a validated methodology, in accordance with the highest
2002 Manpower UK’s Quarterly Survey of Employment
standards in market research. The research team for the 23
Prospects is updated to adopt an enhanced research
countries and territories where the survey is currently conducted
methodology. Manpower’s operations in Mexico and
includes Manpower’s Market Intelligence team; the Organization
Ireland launch the survey in their respective countries.
Research and Analysis Division of Right Management
Consultants – an independent operating division of Manpower 2003 3rd generation of the Manpower Employment Outlook
Inc.; NOP World and Grupo IDM. The survey has been Survey is launched, expanding the program to a total 18
structured to be representative of each national economy. The countries and territories worldwide: Australia, Austria,
margin of error for all national, regional and global data is not Belgium, Canada, France, Germany, Hong Kong, Ireland,
greater than +/- 4.0%. Italy, Japan, Mexico, Netherlands, Norway, Singapore,
Spain, Sweden, United Kingdom and United States.
In the United States, the national survey is conducted by
Manpower’s North American Market Intelligence Team and 2004 Manpower operations in New Zealand launch the
includes 16,000 employers. With this number of interviews, the Manpower Employment Outlook Survey.
margin of error for the United States survey is +/- 0.8%. 2005 Manpower operations in China, India, Switzerland and
Taiwan launch the Manpower Employment Outlook Survey.
Survey Question
All employers participating in the survey worldwide are asked the
same question, “How do you anticipate total employment at your
location to change in the three months to the end of September
2005 as compared to the current quarter?”
20
About Manpower Inc. About Manpower USA

Manpower Inc. (NYSE: MAN) is a world leader in the employment In the United States, Manpower offers businesses a range of
services industry, offering customers a continuum of services to HR services, in addition to providing administrative, industrial
meet their needs throughout the employment and business cycle. and contact center personnel. Under the Manpower
The company specializes in permanent, temporary and contract Professional brand, the company places contract professionals
recruitment; employee assessment; training; career transition; on assignment in areas such as information technology,
organizational consulting services and professional financial scientific, finance, engineering and telecommunications. More
services. Manpower’s worldwide network of 4,300 offices in information about Manpower’s US operation can be found at
68 countries and territories enables the company to meet the www.us.manpower.com.
needs of its 400,000 customers per year, including small and
medium size enterprises in all industry sectors, as well as the
world’s largest multinational corporations. The focus of
Manpower’s work is on raising productivity through improved
quality, efficiency and cost-reduction, enabling customers to
concentrate on their core business activities. In addition to the
Manpower brand, the company operates under the brand names
of Right Management Consultants, Jefferson Wells, Elan and
Brook Street. More information on Manpower Inc. is available at
www.manpower.com.
21
3rd Quarter 2005
Manpower Employment Outlook Survey

United States
Manpower Inc., 5301 N. Ironwood Rd., Milwaukee, WI 53217

Tel: 414 961 1000
www.us.manpower.com
© 2005, Manpower Inc. All rights reserved.
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Manpower Employment Outlook Survey: United States - Q3, 2005

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3rd Quarter 2005

Manpower Employment Outlook Survey

Manpower Inc., 5301 N. Ironwood Rd., Milwaukee, WI 53217

© 2005, Manpower Inc. All rights reserved.

E & O E. THESE PROOFS HAVE BEEN READ AND CHECKED,

Global Employment Outlook 14

About the Survey 20

Manpower Employment Outlook Survey USA

The United States Employment Outlook

Net Employment Seasonally

Net Employment Seasonally

Net Employment Seasonally

Manpower Employment Outlook Survey USA

Increase Decrease No Change Don’t Know Net Employment Seasonally

Manpower Employment Outlook Survey USA

Net Employment Seasonally

Net Employment Seasonally

Manpower Employment Outlook Survey USA

Net Employment Outlook Seasonally Adjusted

Manpower Employment Outlook Survey USA

Finance, Insurance & Real Estate

Manufacturing – Durable Goods

Manufacturing – Non-Durable Goods

Manpower Employment Outlook Survey USA

Transportation & Public Utilities

Wholesale & Retail Trade

Manpower Employment Outlook Survey USA

Global Employment Outlook

Net Employment Outlook Qtr on Qtr Change

Net Employment Outlook Qtr on Qtr Change

Net Employment Outlook Qtr on Qtr Change

International Comparisons – Americas

Line shows seasonally adjusted data.

Line shows seasonally adjusted data.

Manpower Employment Outlook Survey USA

International Comparisons – Asia Pacific

This country joined the survey in Q2 2005.

Hong Kong India

This country joined the survey in Q3 2005.

Japan New Zealand

This country joined the survey in Q2 2004.

Manpower Employment Outlook Survey USA

International Comparisons – Europe

No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero.

No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero.

Manpower Employment Outlook Survey USA

About the Survey

About Manpower Inc. About Manpower USA

Manpower Employment Outlook Survey

Manpower Inc., 5301 N. Ironwood Rd., Milwaukee, WI 53217

© 2005, Manpower Inc. All rights reserved.

E & O E. THESE PROOFS HAVE BEEN READ AND CHECKED,

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