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Chapter 1
Labor Economics
Goals:
Goal:
Goal:
Taxes on earnings
Training subsidies
Payroll taxes
Affirmative action laws
Minimum wages
Worker condition regulations
Immigration laws
7
Appendix: Econometrics
y mx b
Regression analysis:
y=
x=
m=
interpretation:
GPA if hours 0
Regression analysis attempts to fit the data with a
line by minimizing the sum of squared errors
GPA Hours
Standard Error:
Margin of error = 2 x SE
Needed because of errors in the data, etc.
T-statistic =
Measures significance of the independent variable in
explaining variation in the dependent variable
Coefficient is significantly different from zero if tstat > 1.96
10
Multiple Regression
GPA is influenced by more than the number
of hours someone studies
GPA Hours Office Visits
Labor Supply
Why has the LFPR of men declined?
Why has the LFPR of women increased?
Why has the length of the workweek
decreased?
How will changes in the welfare system affect
job mobility and/or unemployment spells?
Does a change in family structure affect LFP
decisions?
13
Employed:
Unemployed:
Hidden Unemployed
Note that employment is not different for
full- and part-time workers, so part time
workers who want full-time employment are
not differentiated.
People who give up searching are considered
out of the labor force.
Using the employment-population ratio
would have flaws as well, since unemployed
and out of the labor force would be grouped
together.
May
understate UR
16
Worker Preferences
Workers choose:
Goal:
U = f (C , L)
18
Indifference Curves
Do not intersect
Unique
All points along an
indifference curve
represent the same utility
level
Higher indifference curves
represent higher levels of
utility
19
20
rise
run
and MUC
Differences in Tastes
Budget Constraint
Assumptions:
No saving
where
V = non-labor income
(endowment)
w = wage
H = hours worked
23
C = V + wH
=
=
=
where T = total time available for work and leisure
rise
slope =
run
Interpretation:
24
Consumption bundles
below the budget line are
Consumption bundles
outside the budget line are
Consumption bundles
along the budget line
25
L
L
MU L
w
MU C
MU L
MU C
27
Comparative Statics
Comparative Statics: How does individual
behavior change when a parameter of the
model changes?
Suppose V increases, holding w constant
Suppose w increases, holding V constant
28
V w
when V , H ,
0
holding w constant
29
Substitution effect:
H
Since the wage rate is the OC of leisure, an
0
increase in w increases the OC of leisure, and
w V
workers substitute ______ for __________ (L* & H* )
Income effect:
31
32
Case 1: L* __creases,
so the ____________
effect dominates
33
Case 2: L* __creases, so
the __________ effect
dominates
34
Income Effect: _ to _
Substitution Effect: _ to _
H* when w
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Income Effect: _ to _
Substitution Effect: _ to _
H* when w
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Decision to Work
*
(H >0
or
*
H =0)
If w = wlow, U* _ U0
(cannot reach a higher
IC) H* _ 0
If w = whigh, UH _ U0
(higher IC) H* _ 0
37
Reservation Wage
Individuals with high wage offers choose to
work (H*>0); individuals with low wage
offers do not work (H*=0)
There exists a wage ~
w at which the
individual is indifferent between H*=0 and
H*>0, the reservation wage
38
40
%w
Interpretation:
H1 = 2000
W1 = $15
H2 = 2200
W2 = $17.50
Interpretation:
43
-0.1
(1% increase due to substitution effect, and 2% decrease
due to income effect)
May explain decline in the length of the workweek (men
now earn more in real terms, so more leisure is demanded)
Elasticity estimate not significantly different from zero
(most prime-age men work full-time, full-week jobs)
Different estimate for younger and older men, as well as
women
Much variation in empirical estimates
44
Hours of work
Wages
annual income
For salaried workers, wage definition " wage"
annual hours
Wages, cont.
Non-labor income
Theory: The increase in real wages over time (between 2.1% per year
and 6.2% per year) has ___________ the probability of working (wages
more likely to exceed reservation wage)
The increase in LFPR may be due to _________________________
_____________________________________ (Because of fertility?
Or has the number of children because women now work more?)
48
Why?:
49
Note:
50
51
52
53
54
55
58
59
H* and w
61
~
w changes over the lifecycle (# children, etc),
so LFP varies over the lifecycle
62
Empirical Evidence
Should show LFPR and H* when wages are high
LFP
Hours worked
63
Fertility
Evidence: as per capital
income rose, fertility rates
have declined
Model:
At tangency,
64
Comparative Statics
Suppose I, ceteris
paribus
Comparative Statics
Suppose pN, ceteris
paribus
Income Effect: _ to _
Substitution Effect: _ to _
Income and substitution
effects ____________
66
Empirical Evidence
Theory suggests the demand for children will
__crease with wages [corr(income , N*) _ 0] or
with a __crease in the cost of raising children
[corr(pN , N*) _ 0]
Strong negative correlation between mothers wage
and the number of children (10% in wages decreases
N* by 3%)
Weak negative correlation between N* and income
(10% increase in wages decreases N* by 0.4%)
Why?:
67
Household Production
Model
Evidence
OC of $1 of HH goods =
OC of $1 of HH goods =
slope =
= $ of
slope =
= $ of
market good production
market good production
Tim has a comparative advantage in
__________________, and Jane has a comparative
70
advantage in _____________________
Total: $
Tim: $252
Total: $
Case 3: Specialize
Jane: $210 in labor mkt
72
Comparative Statics
Suppose Janes wage
increases
Comparative Statics
Suppose Tims home
productivity increases
74
75
Retirement
Model
Assume H = 0 after retirement (no PT work)
After retirement, individuals spend previous savings
and employer-provided and/or government-provided
pension benefits
More can be consumed by those who work longer
since incomes usually exceed pensions
76
Retirement Decision
Assume someone who
lives to age 80 decides to
retire sometime between
age 60 and age 80
Vt =
77
Comparative Statics
Suppose w, benefits constant
Comparative Statics
Suppose benefits, wage
constant
If years of retirement = 0,
Income effect:
Substitution effect:
79
Shortcomings of Model
Model does not
H* will
Equivalent to an increase
in non-labor income (V)
Non-workers
83
Workers
84
85
Provision of SS system
which discourages
recipients (aged 65-69)
from working
86
Worker A:
Worker B:
Worker C:
87
88
Labor Demand
Chapter 4
Production Function
Describes the technology used to produce goods
and services
q = f(E,K) where
q = output
E = number of employee hours hired
= number of workers x average hours per worker
K = capital land, machines, other physical inputs
Assume homogenous workers (ignore education, etc)
MPE =
MPK =
Interpretation:
92
q
0
10
22
33
41
48
53
56
MPE
APE
VMPE
q
MPE
E
q
APE
E
VMPE P
MPE
let P 3
93
Example, cont.
E
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
94
MP, AP relationship
AP increases when MP AP
AP decreases when MP AP
MP = AP at
95
where
taken as given
for PC firms
Short run:
E*: Choose E* such that
VMPE=PMPE
96
98
0
-
1 2
30 36
3
33
4
24
5
21
6
15
7
9
Roughly
Caveat:
101
102
MC
and MR
and TC
Objections to MP Theory
Note:
SR
__________ (by definition): When wages increase, firms
demand ______ workers
Interpretation:
Isoquants:
Characteristics of Isoquants
Do not intersect
Downward-sloping
Higher isoquants represent
_______ levels of output
Convex to the origin
Gain:
Loss:
To remain on the same isoquant, MPEE
+ MPKK = 0
Interpretation:
Isocosts (Constraint)
Isocosts:
K
K
Slope
109
MPK
r
MPE MPK
w
r
110
and P
111
Production effect of w
When w, MC of production
likely ________ (additional
cost of producing one more
unit )
With _MC, MR _ MC at q0, so
firm responds by _q
Scale Effect: __ to __
Substitution Effect: __ to __
%E LR E LR w 1
LR
%w
w
E1
118
LR -1
119
Elasticity of Substitution
Perfect Substitutes
Here, 2K = 1E
Recall: Convexity of a normal
isoquant implied
If E = 5, K = 5, can produce
just as much output as E = 5
and K = 25
To increase output, must add
Always use ____________
for q0, regardless of w and r
_____ substitution effect
(___ substitutability) between
K and E
121
_0
Measure of
122
123
127
128
129
q = f(x1,x2,,xi,xm) where
xi = quantity of input i
0 if inputsare
0 if inputsare
Empirical Evidence
Skilled and unskilled labor
132
competition drives w_
to w*
If w < w*, QS _ QD
competition for
workers drives w_ to w*
133
Established in 1938
Created a minimum wage,
established overtime laws, child
labor laws, etc.
Unemployed =
134
136
E(wU) = wU
When wages equate, E(wC) = E(wU)
In 1987,
Many teenagers affected by the law are themselves poor, but may not come
from families in need
140
Monopsonies
Monopolies:
Applications:
Taxes
Subsidies
Immigration
142
Equilibrium in a Single
Competitive Labor Market
Equilibrium:
Each firm hires up to the point
where
No unemployment
Competitive Equilibrium
Across Labor Markets
Labor markets may be differentiated by:
Region (north, south, etc)
Industry (2 different production industries)
Assume:
Markets in two regions (north, south)
Workers in the two regions have similar skills and
can substitute for one another
Initially, ws < wn
144
Competitive Equilibrium
Across Labor Markets, cont.
In the end,
145
146
Empirical Evidence
Do wages equate over time?
Roughly 30% of the wage gap between states disappeared over a 30-year
period (states with lowest wages had highest growth rate)
Does not apply to the wage gap between the rich and poor
countries because countries with lower human capital levels
do not grow as rapidly
147
Firms:
Employees:
149
Firms:
Employees:
150
Payroll Tax:
Empirical Example
Note: Evidence suggests firms pass approximately 90%
of tax burden onto employees
Suppose annual income = $30,000
153
Firm:
Worker:
154
Empirical Example
Assume:
Increase wage by 4%
Increase employment by 2%
Noncompetitive Labor
Markets: Monopsony
So far, competitive firms took p and w as given regardless of E*
Recall that perfectly competitive firms face a horizontal demand
curve given by the market price
Analogously, an individual firm faces a horizontal labor supply
curve, given w
Monopsony:
Non-discriminating Monopsonist
Monopsonist pays all workers the same wage,
regardless of their reservation wages
Supply MC, but MC __creases as E increases
S _ MC
158
Similar to how
monopolists choose P
from the demand curve,
not MR
EM _ EC and wM _ wC
159
160
Professional Athletes
Free agency
If not,
No free agency
162
Noncompetitive Labor
Markets: Monopoly
Monopoly:
Monopoly, cont.
When output increases,
monopolist must ______ price
on that unit and all previous
units
MR _ P, where P is represented
by ______ since the firm chooses
P* from demand curve after Q*
is chosen (MR=MC)
Monopoly, cont.
Since PMR, revenue generated
by last worker hired is not equal
to MPEP = VMPE
Instead, marginal revenue
product = MRPE =
Empirical Evidence
Monopolists and oligopolists (few firms
produce all of the output for an entire
market) pay higher wages than competitive
firms (approximately 10% more)
Monopolists can pass high production costs
onto consumers, so with little incentive to
keep costs down, monopolists must pay high
wages for the most desirable workers
167