Академический Документы
Профессиональный Документы
Культура Документы
AOS
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
FERREAFE
CHICLAYO
8.40
4.40
6.10
6.80
4.40
1.60
11.90
31.60
41.80
7.60
4.70
3.50
3.00
1.90
1.80
1.40
3.90
1.20
63.60
4.20
10.15
18.75
3.80
3.10
3.40
3.20
6.90
14.20
6.80
16.10
6.50
3.00
40.50
31.90
20.10
8.50
40.80
16.00
3.00
6.00
2.00
9.00
3.20
21.70
65.00
16.60
2.00
9.00
6.00
10.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
32.00
5.00
NP
6.00
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
3.00
13.00
2.00
9.90
180.80
12.40
1.60
36.60
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
43.50
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
MAXIMA
16.20
14.70
3.40
15.80
12.70
3.60
11.70
5.70
17.10
7.10
63.60
48.90
5.30
3.60
2.20
8.40
6.50
21.00
18.50
12.58
19.70
180.80
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
43.50
PROMEDIO N 01
ESTACIONES
LAMBAYEQUE
FERREAFE
8.40
4.40
6.10
6.80
4.40
1.60
11.90
31.60
41.80
7.60
4.70
3.50
3.00
1.90
1.80
1.40
3.90
1.20
63.60
4.20
10.15
18.75
3.80
3.10
3.40
3.20
6.90
14.20
6.80
16.10
6.50
3.00
40.50
31.90
20.10
8.50
40.80
16.20
14.70
3.40
16.00
3.00
6.00
2.00
9.00
3.20
21.70
65.00
16.60
2.00
9.00
6.00
10.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
32.00
5.00
NP
6.00
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
3.00
13.00
2.00
9.90
180.80
12.40
1.60
36.60
48.90
5.30
3.60
Xn FERREAFE
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
_
_
_
15.80
12.70
3.60
11.70
5.70
17.10
7.10
2.20
8.40
6.50
21.00
18.50
12.58
19.70
11.90
16.96
_
_
_
: es la media aritmtica.
: es la precipitacin de cada estacin.
47
PROMEDIO N 02
ESTACIONES
LAMBAYEQUE
CHICLAYO
8.40
4.40
6.10
6.80
4.40
1.60
11.90
31.60
41.80
7.60
4.70
3.50
3.00
1.90
1.80
1.40
3.90
1.20
63.60
4.20
10.15
18.75
3.80
3.10
3.40
3.20
6.90
14.20
6.80
16.10
6.50
3.00
40.50
31.90
20.10
8.50
40.80
16.20
14.70
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
43.50
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
Xn CHICLAYO
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
_
_
_
3.40
15.80
12.70
3.60
11.70
5.70
17.10
7.10
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
11.90
43.50
_
_
_
: es la media aritmtica.
: es la precipitacin de cada estacin.
47
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1984
1985
PROMEDIO N 03
ESTACIONES
LAMBAYEQUE
PUCALA
8.40
4.40
6.10
6.80
4.40
1.60
11.90
31.60
41.80
7.60
4.70
3.50
3.00
1.90
1.80
1.40
3.90
1.20
63.60
4.20
10.15
18.75
3.80
3.10
3.40
3.20
6.90
14.20
6.80
16.10
6.50
3.00
40.50
31.90
20.10
8.50
40.80
16.20
14.70
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
2.70
19.80
12.30
14.50
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
Xn PUCALA
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
_
_
_
3.40
15.80
12.70
3.60
11.70
5.70
17.10
7.10
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
11.90
12.33
_
_
_
: es la media aritmtica.
: es la precipitacin de cada estacin.
47
1968
1969
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
PROMEDIO N 04
ESTACIONES
LAMBAYEQUE
PIMENTEL
8.40
4.40
6.10
6.80
4.40
1.60
11.90
31.60
41.80
7.60
4.70
3.50
3.00
1.90
1.80
1.40
3.90
1.20
63.60
4.20
10.15
18.75
3.80
3.10
3.40
3.20
6.90
14.20
6.80
16.10
6.50
3.00
40.50
31.90
20.10
8.50
40.80
16.20
14.70
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
56.20
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
Xn PIMENTEL
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
_
_
_
3.40
15.80
12.70
3.60
11.70
5.70
17.10
7.10
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
11.90
56.20
_
_
_
: es la media aritmtica.
: es la precipitacin de cada estacin.
47
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1984
1985
PROMEDIO N 05
ESTACIONES
LAMBAYEQUE
REQUE
8.40
4.40
6.10
6.80
4.40
1.60
11.90
31.60
41.80
7.60
4.70
3.50
3.00
1.90
1.80
1.40
3.90
1.20
63.60
4.20
10.15
18.75
3.80
3.10
3.40
3.20
6.90
14.20
6.80
16.10
6.50
3.00
40.50
31.90
20.10
8.50
40.80
16.20
14.70
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
17.50
60.40
10.20
9.20
6.00
7.30
3.00
Xn REQUE
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
_
_
_
3.40
15.80
12.70
3.60
11.70
5.70
17.10
7.10
7.00
2.50
4.30
7.50
11.00
NP
NP
NP
11.90
12.16
_
_
_
: es la media aritmtica.
: es la precipitacin de cada estacin.
47
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
PROMEDIO N 06
ESTACIONES
LAMBAYEQUE
TINAJONES
8.40
4.40
6.10
6.80
4.40
1.60
11.90
31.60
41.80
7.60
4.70
3.50
3.00
1.90
1.80
1.40
3.90
1.20
63.60
4.20
10.15
18.75
3.80
3.10
3.40
3.20
6.90
14.20
6.80
16.10
6.50
3.00
40.50
31.90
20.10
8.50
40.80
16.20
14.70
44.20
19.80
2.60
47.30
9.10
93.20
22.50
34.50
5.00
2.10
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
1.40
9.40
17.40
116.30
26.35
11.32
21.41
12.39
24.00
Xn TINAJONES
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
_
_
_
3.40
15.80
12.70
3.60
11.70
5.70
17.10
7.10
13.56
21.12
14.85
25.47
34.89
17.25
22.21
18.50
11.90
25.49
_
_
_
: es la media aritmtica.
: es la precipitacin de cada estacin.
47
LOS PROMEDIOS
TINAJONES
REQUE
PIMENTEL
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
2.70
19.80
12.30
14.50
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
44.20
19.80
2.60
47.30
9.10
93.20
22.50
34.50
5.00
2.10
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
1.40
9.40
17.40
116.30
26.35
11.32
21.41
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
17.50
60.40
10.20
9.20
6.00
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
56.20
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
19.80
12.39
24.00
13.56
21.12
14.85
25.47
34.89
17.25
22.21
18.50
116.30
7.30
3.00
7.00
2.50
4.30
7.50
11.00
NP
NP
NP
60.40
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
56.20
MEDIO N 01
BAYEQUE :
rmula :
___
ERREAFE
X LAMBAYEQUE * X
FERREAFE
___
LAMBAYEQUE
Xn
90.61
14.46
26.71
5.41
4.42
4.84
4.56
9.83
20.23
9.69
UNIDAD
mm
mm
mm
mm
mm
mm
mm
mm
mm
mm
DATOS FALTANTES
90.61
14.46
26.71
5.41
4.42
4.84
4.56
9.83
20.23
9.69
UNIDAD
mm
mm
mm
mm
mm
mm
mm
mm
mm
mm
MEDIO N 02
LA ESTACION PLUVIOMETRICA (EP) LAMBAYEQUE
YEQUE :
rmula :
HICLAYO
X LAMBAYEQUE
___
*X
CHICLAYO
___
LAMBAYEQUE
VARIABLE
X25 =
X26 =
X27 =
X28 =
X29 =
X30 =
X31 =
X32 =
X33 =
X34 =
X35 =
X36 =
X37 =
X38 =
X39 =
X40 =
X41 =
X42 =
X43 =
X44 =
X45 =
X46 =
Xn
11.69
25.21
51.89
24.85
58.83
23.75
10.96
147.99
116.57
73.45
31.06
149.09
59.20
53.72
12.42
57.74
46.41
13.15
42.75
20.83
62.49
25.94
AOS
1986
1987
1988
DATO FALT.
68.52
13.89
11.33
AOS
2006
2007
2008
DATO FALT.
46.41
13.15
42.75
24.85
16.08
5.85
43.48
115.47
152.74
27.77
17.17
12.79
10.96
6.94
6.58
5.12
14.25
4.38
15.35
37.09
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
12.42
11.69
25.21
51.89
24.85
58.83
23.75
10.96
147.99
116.57
73.45
31.06
149.09
59.20
53.72
12.42
57.74
2009
2010
2011
20.83
62.49
25.94
MEDIO N 03
EQUE :
rmula :
Xn PUCALA
X LAMBAYEQUE
___
* X
PUCALA
___
LAMBAYEQUE
VARIABLE
X25 =
X26 =
X27 =
X28 =
X29 =
X30 =
X31 =
X32 =
X33 =
X34 =
X35 =
X36 =
X37 =
X38 =
X39 =
X40 =
X41 =
X42 =
X43 =
Xn
7.04
16.67
6.73
3.11
41.93
33.03
20.81
8.80
42.24
16.77
15.22
3.52
16.36
13.15
3.73
12.11
5.90
17.70
7.35
AOS
1989
1990
1991
DATO FALT.
3.52
3.31
7.14
AOS
2009
2010
2011
DATO FALT.
5.90
17.70
7.35
7.04
4.56
7.87
4.87
3.62
3.11
1.97
1.86
1.45
4.04
1.24
65.85
4.35
10.51
19.41
3.93
3.21
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
14.70
7.04
16.67
6.73
3.11
41.93
33.03
20.81
8.80
42.24
16.77
15.22
3.52
16.36
13.15
3.73
12.11
MEDIO N 04
LA ESTACION PLUVIOMETRICA (EP) LAMBAYEQUE
YEQUE :
rmula :
n PIMENTEL
X LAMBAYEQUE
___
*X
PIMENTEL
___
LAMBAYEQUE
VARIABLE
X25 =
X26 =
X27 =
X28 =
X29 =
X30 =
X31 =
X32 =
X33 =
X34 =
X35 =
X36 =
X37 =
X38 =
X39 =
X40 =
X41 =
X42 =
X43 =
X44 =
X45 =
X46 =
Xn
15.11
32.57
67.04
32.10
76.01
30.69
14.16
191.20
150.60
94.89
40.13
192.62
76.48
69.40
16.05
74.59
59.96
17.00
55.24
26.91
80.73
33.52
AOS
1986
1987
1988
DATO FALT.
88.52
17.94
14.64
AOS
2006
2007
2008
DATO FALT.
59.96
17.00
55.24
32.10
20.77
7.55
56.18
149.18
197.34
35.88
22.19
16.52
14.16
8.97
8.50
6.61
18.41
5.67
19.83
47.92
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
16.05
15.11
32.57
67.04
32.10
76.01
30.69
14.16
191.20
150.60
94.89
40.13
192.62
76.48
69.40
16.05
74.59
2009
2010
2011
26.91
80.73
33.52
MEDIO N 05
QUE :
rmula :
Xn REQUE
X LAMBAYEQUE
___
* X
REQUE
___
LAMBAYEQUE
VARIABLE
X25 =
X26 =
X27 =
X28 =
X29 =
X30 =
X31 =
X32 =
X33 =
X34 =
X35 =
Xn
3.47
3.27
7.05
14.50
6.95
16.44
6.64
3.06
5.82
17.46
7.25
AOS
1985
1986
1987
DATO FALT.
10.37
19.15
3.88
6.95
4.49
1.63
12.15
32.27
42.69
7.76
4.80
3.57
3.06
1.94
1.84
1.43
3.98
1.23
64.96
4.29
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
2009
2010
2011
3.17
3.47
3.27
7.05
14.50
6.95
16.44
6.64
3.06
5.82
17.46
7.25
MEDIO N 06
AYEQUE :
___
rmula :
n TINAJONES
X LAMBAYEQUE * X
TINAJONES
___
LAMBAYEQUE
Xn (en mm)
10.06
7.49
6.42
4.07
3.85
3.00
8.35
2.57
136.16
8.99
21.73
40.14
8.14
6.64
7.28
6.85
14.77
30.40
14.56
34.47
DATO FALT.
10.06
7.49
6.42
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
4.07
3.85
3.00
8.35
2.57
136.16
8.99
21.73
40.14
8.14
6.64
7.28
6.85
14.77
30.40
14.56
34.47
AOS
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
TOCMOCHE
LLAMA
HUAMBOS
SANTA CRUZ
40.00
24.30
31.50
8.80
95.40
14.30
59.00
147.00
58.70
27.50
60.30
62.70
60.00
101.50
40.10
11.10
20.30
23.20
150.00
30.20
6.10
8.20
60.20
9.70
51.50
8.50
4.20
12.90
60.90
96.20
65.30
30.30
30.00
150.50
20.54
30.55
42.57
70.30
6.55
124.40
20.32
40.30
20.80
54.40
56.30
55.00
12.00
94.00
4.50
48.00
25.00
45.00
60.00
35.00
20.00
70.00
35.00
100.40
40.00
55.00
20.00
30.00
60.00
76.00
36.00
25.00
20.00
40.00
28.00
45.00
15.00
5.20
61.00
47.00
12.00
7.00
32.00
85.00
106.00
52.20
116.20
74.40
64.00
83.60
118.00
36.90
44.00
33.00
108.60
53.90
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
19.50
67.80
38.20
47.30
48.00
39.20
49.50
57.60
45.80
77.00
57.00
58.00
88.50
56.70
41.00
53.00
78.60
46.80
53.40
59.60
47.50
46.00
50.80
35.60
28.60
29.00
45.00
33.40
28.80
20.60
15.00
48.50
60.70
77.80
65.10
69.10
45.60
76.80
79.30
55.00
49.60
20.30
68.30
42.70
55.40
28.30
67.30
58.80
45.80
29.80
26.90
NP
NP
24.10
45.80
29.90
40.30
18.90
56.30
54.40
NP
70.30
40.60
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
32.30
29.80
NP
48.60
24.80
27.80
69.80
58.60
23.80
60.90
NP
NP
NP
56.80
29.20
20.50
49.80
26.80
56.10
28.90
37.30
40.20
2010
2011
MAXIMA
47.50
35.20
150.50
45.80
64.50
118.00
74.20
46.50
74.20
49.80
45.90
88.50
NP
NP
70.30
NOTA :
PROMEDIO N 07
___
ESTACIONES
HUAMBOS
LLAMA
47.30
48.00
39.20
49.50
57.60
45.80
77.00
57.00
58.00
88.50
56.70
41.00
53.00
78.60
46.80
53.40
59.60
47.50
46.00
50.80
35.60
28.60
29.00
45.00
33.40
28.80
20.60
15.00
48.50
60.70
77.80
65.10
69.10
45.60
76.80
79.30
55.00
49.60
20.30
68.30
42.70
55.40
28.30
67.30
58.80
49.80
45.90
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
19.50
67.80
38.20
74.20
46.50
Xn
LLAMA
Xn (en mm)
45.58
46.25
37.77
47.70
55.51
44.13
74.20
54.93
55.89
85.28
54.64
39.51
51.07
75.74
45.10
51.46
57.43
45.77
44.33
48.95
34.31
27.56
27.95
43.36
DATO FALT.
45.58
46.25
37.77
47.70
55.51
44.13
74.20
54.93
55.89
85.28
54.64
___
51.10
49.24
_
_
_
: es la media aritmtica.
: es la precipitacin de cada estacin.
47
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
39.51
51.07
75.74
45.10
51.46
57.43
45.77
44.33
48.95
PROMEDIO N 8
___
ESTACIONES
HUAMBOS
COCHABAMBA
47.30
48.00
39.20
49.50
57.60
45.80
77.00
57.00
58.00
88.50
56.70
41.00
53.00
78.60
46.80
53.40
59.60
47.50
46.00
50.80
35.60
28.60
29.00
45.00
33.40
28.80
20.60
15.00
48.50
60.70
77.80
65.10
69.10
45.60
76.80
79.30
55.00
49.60
20.30
68.30
42.70
55.40
28.30
67.30
58.80
49.80
45.90
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
60.60
83.20
55.80
57.50
49.20
Xn COCHABAMBA
Xn (en mm)
56.71
57.55
47.00
59.34
69.06
54.91
92.31
68.34
69.53
106.10
67.98
49.15
63.54
94.23
56.11
64.02
71.45
56.95
55.15
60.90
42.68
34.29
34.77
53.95
DATO FALT.
56.71
57.55
47.00
59.34
69.06
54.91
92.31
68.34
69.53
106.10
67.98
___
51.10
61.26
_
_
_
: es la media aritmtica.
: es la precipitacin de cada estacin.
47
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
49.15
63.54
94.23
56.11
64.02
71.45
56.95
55.15
60.90
PROMEDIO N 9
ESTACION PLUVIOMETRICA (EP) CHANCAY BAOS Y LA ESTACION
1.- Clculo de las precipitaciones faltantes de la EP CHANCAY BAOS con la EP CHUGUR :
AOS
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
___
ESTACIONES
CHUGUR
CHANCAY B.
45.30
55.40
35.60
40.80
33.70
47.30
60.50
54.20
61.80
66.30
46.30
57.70
76.70
35.80
35.80
30.30
35.30
35.70
32.80
37.90
45.20
19.50
19.80
45.60
40.80
37.80
50.20
49.80
44.80
36.80
44.90
60.80
58.80
60.90
66.50
42.80
45.70
35.40
34.40
65.50
56.10
50.20
44.30
47.30
42.90
31.90
49.70
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
36.70
65.50
36.30
42.50
25.30
45.20
46.80
42.40
64.20
NP
60.20
67.90
NP
66.30
45.70
57.80
67.50
36.80
64.50
55.80
42.20
41.90
NP
NP
X n C H AN C AY
BA O S
Xn (en mm)
50.00
61.15
39.29
45.03
37.20
52.21
66.78
59.82
68.21
73.18
51.10
63.69
84.66
39.51
39.51
33.44
38.96
39.40
36.20
41.83
49.89
21.52
21.85
64.90
DATO FALT.
50.00
61.15
39.29
45.03
37.20
52.21
66.78
59.82
68.21
73.18
51.10
___
45.82
50.58
_
_
_
: es la media aritmtica.
: es la precipitacin de cada estacin.
47
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
63.69
84.66
39.51
39.51
33.44
PROMEDIO N 10
___
ESTACIONES
CHUGUR
QUILCATE
45.30
55.40
35.60
40.80
33.70
47.30
60.50
54.20
61.80
66.30
46.30
57.70
76.70
35.80
35.80
30.30
35.30
35.70
32.80
37.90
45.20
19.50
19.80
45.60
40.80
37.80
50.20
49.80
44.80
36.80
44.90
60.80
58.80
60.90
66.50
42.80
45.70
35.40
34.40
65.50
56.10
50.20
44.30
47.30
42.90
31.90
49.70
NP
46.90
NP
34.50
30.90
NP
NP
NP
37.60
NP
NP
NP
48.00
14.40
16.50
13.80
13.20
43.70
18.90
11.90
17.60
11.80
14.10
18.90
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
Xn QUILCATE
VARIABLE
X1 =
X2 =
X3 =
X4 =
X5 =
X6 =
X7 =
X8 =
X9 =
X10 =
X11 =
X12 =
X13 =
X14 =
X15 =
X16 =
X17 =
Xn (en mm)
24.26
19.07
25.34
32.41
29.03
35.51
24.80
30.91
21.85
20.25
26.89
26.67
24.00
19.71
24.05
32.57
31.50
DATO FALT.
24.26
19.07
25.34
32.41
29.03
35.51
24.80
30.91
21.85
20.25
26.89
26.67
24.00
___
45.82
24.54
_
_
_
: es la media aritmtica.
: es la precipitacin de cada estacin.
47
1994
1995
1996
1997
19.71
24.05
32.57
31.50
PROMEDIO N 11
___
ESTACIONES
CHUGUR
SANTA CRUZ
45.30
55.40
35.60
40.80
33.70
47.30
60.50
54.20
61.80
66.30
46.30
57.70
76.70
35.80
35.80
30.30
35.30
35.70
32.80
37.90
45.20
19.50
19.80
45.60
40.80
37.80
50.20
49.80
44.80
36.80
44.90
60.80
58.80
60.90
66.50
42.80
45.70
35.40
34.40
65.50
56.10
50.20
44.30
47.30
42.90
31.90
49.70
45.80
29.80
26.90
NP
NP
24.10
45.80
29.90
40.30
18.90
56.30
54.40
NP
70.30
40.60
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
32.30
29.80
NP
48.60
24.80
27.80
69.80
58.60
23.80
60.90
NP
NP
NP
56.80
29.20
20.50
49.80
26.80
56.10
28.90
37.30
40.20
NP
NP
Xn SANTA
CRUZ
___
45.82
40.17
_
_
_
: es la media aritmtica.
: es la precipitacin de cada estacin.
47
2010
2011
E LOS PROMEDIOS
CHUGUR
QUILCATE
COCHABAMBA
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
36.70
65.50
36.30
42.50
25.30
45.20
46.80
42.40
64.20
NP
60.20
67.90
NP
66.30
45.70
57.80
67.50
36.80
64.50
55.80
42.20
41.90
45.30
55.40
35.60
40.80
33.70
47.30
60.50
54.20
61.80
66.30
46.30
57.70
76.70
35.80
35.80
30.30
35.30
35.70
32.80
37.90
45.20
19.50
19.80
45.60
40.80
37.80
50.20
49.80
44.80
36.80
44.90
60.80
58.80
60.90
66.50
42.80
45.70
35.40
34.40
65.50
56.10
50.20
44.30
47.30
42.90
NP
46.90
NP
34.50
30.90
NP
NP
NP
37.60
NP
NP
NP
48.00
14.40
16.50
13.80
13.20
43.70
18.90
11.90
17.60
11.80
14.10
18.90
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
NP
60.60
83.20
55.80
as
o.
NP
NP
67.90
31.90
49.70
76.70
NP
NP
48.00
57.50
49.20
83.20
OMEDIO N 07
LLAMA
X HUAMBOS
___
* X
LLAMA
___
HUAMBOS
Xn
40.04
34.53
24.70
17.98
58.15
72.77
93.27
78.05
82.84
54.67
92.07
95.07
65.94
59.46
24.34
81.88
51.19
66.42
DATO FALT.
34.31
27.56
27.95
43.36
40.04
34.53
24.70
17.98
58.15
72.77
93.27
AOS
2005
2006
DATO FALT.
51.19
66.42
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
78.05
82.84
54.67
92.07
95.07
65.94
59.46
24.34
81.88
OMEDIO N 8
___
OCHABAMBA
X HUAMBOS * X
COCHABAMBA
___
HUAMBOS
Xn
40.04
34.53
24.70
17.98
58.15
72.77
93.27
78.05
82.84
54.67
92.07
95.07
65.94
59.46
24.34
81.88
51.19
66.42
DATO FALT.
42.68
34.29
34.77
53.95
40.04
34.53
24.70
17.98
58.15
72.77
93.27
AOS
2005
2006
DATO FALT.
51.19
66.42
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
78.05
82.84
54.67
92.07
95.07
65.94
59.46
24.34
81.88
OMEDIO N 9
R:
:
AN C AY
___
BA O S
X C H U G U R* X C H AN C AY
BA O S
___
X CH U G U R
Xn
47.24
35.21
54.86
DATO FALT.
38.96
39.40
36.20
41.83
49.89
21.52
21.85
64.90
47.24
35.21
54.86
OMEDIO N 10
___
UILCATE
X CHUGUR * X
QUILCATE
___
CHUGUR
VARIABLE
X1 =
X2 =
X3 =
X4 =
X5 =
X6 =
X7 =
X8 =
X9 =
X10 =
X11 =
X12 =
X13 =
X14 =
Xn (en mm)
32.62
35.62
22.93
24.48
18.96
18.43
35.08
30.05
26.89
23.73
25.34
22.98
17.09
26.62
DATO FALT.
32.62
35.62
22.93
24.48
18.96
18.43
35.08
30.05
26.89
23.73
25.34
22.98
17.09
2011
26.62
OMEDIO N 11
___
n SANTA
CRUZ
X CHUGUR * X
SANTA CRUZ
___
CHUGUR
UNIDAD
mm
mm
mm
mm
mm
mm
mm
mm
mm
mm
mm
mm
mm
mm
mm
mm
mm
precipitaciones faltantes :
DATOS FALTANTES
35.77
29.54
67.24
26.56
30.95
31.30
28.75
33.23
39.63
17.10
17.36
33.14
53.39
58.30
37.52
UNIDAD
mm
mm
mm
mm
mm
mm
mm
mm
mm
mm
mm
mm
mm
mm
mm
27.97
43.57
mm
mm
LAMBAYEQUE
FERREAFE
CHICLAYO
PUCALA
TINAJONES
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
8.40
4.40
6.10
6.80
4.40
1.60
11.90
31.60
41.80
7.60
4.70
3.50
3.00
1.90
1.80
1.40
3.90
1.20
63.60
4.20
10.15
18.75
3.80
3.10
3.40
3.20
6.90
14.20
6.80
16.10
6.50
3.00
40.50
31.90
20.10
8.50
40.80
16.20
14.70
3.40
15.80
12.70
3.60
11.70
5.70
17.10
16.00
3.00
6.00
2.00
9.00
3.20
21.70
65.00
16.60
2.00
9.00
6.00
10.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
32.00
5.00
90.61
6.00
14.46
26.71
5.41
4.42
4.84
4.56
9.83
20.23
9.69
3.00
13.00
2.00
9.90
180.80
12.40
1.60
36.60
48.90
5.30
3.60
2.20
8.40
6.50
21.00
18.50
12.58
30.69
16.08
22.29
24.85
16.08
5.85
43.48
115.47
152.74
27.77
17.17
12.79
10.96
6.94
6.58
5.12
14.25
4.38
43.50
15.35
37.09
68.52
13.89
11.33
12.42
11.69
25.21
51.89
24.85
58.83
23.75
10.96
147.99
116.57
73.45
31.06
149.09
59.20
53.72
12.42
57.74
46.41
13.15
42.75
20.83
62.49
8.70
4.56
6.32
7.04
4.56
2.70
19.80
12.30
14.50
7.87
4.87
3.62
3.11
1.97
1.86
1.45
4.04
1.24
65.85
4.35
10.51
19.41
3.93
3.21
3.52
3.31
7.14
14.70
7.04
16.67
6.73
3.11
41.93
33.03
20.81
8.80
42.24
16.77
15.22
3.52
16.36
13.15
3.73
12.11
5.90
17.70
44.20
19.80
2.60
47.30
9.10
93.20
22.50
34.50
5.00
2.10
10.06
7.49
6.42
4.07
3.85
3.00
8.35
2.57
136.16
8.99
21.73
40.14
8.14
6.64
7.28
6.85
14.77
30.40
14.56
34.47
1.40
9.40
17.40
116.30
26.35
11.32
21.41
12.39
24.00
13.56
21.12
14.85
25.47
34.89
17.25
22.21
2011
MAX.
7.10
63.60
19.70
180.80
25.94
152.74
7.35
65.85
18.50
136.16
PUCHACA
40.00
24.30
31.50
8.80
95.40
14.30
59.00
147.00
58.70
27.50
60.30
62.70
60.00
101.50
40.10
11.10
20.30
23.20
150.00
30.20
6.10
8.20
60.20
9.70
51.50
8.50
4.20
12.90
60.90
96.20
65.30
30.30
30.00
150.50
20.54
30.55
42.57
70.30
6.55
124.40
20.32
40.30
20.80
54.40
56.30
47.50
TOCMOCHE
55.00
12.00
94.00
4.50
48.00
25.00
45.00
60.00
35.00
20.00
70.00
35.00
100.40
40.00
55.00
20.00
30.00
60.00
76.00
36.00
25.00
20.00
40.00
28.00
45.00
15.00
5.20
61.00
47.00
12.00
7.00
32.00
85.00
106.00
52.20
116.20
74.40
64.00
83.60
118.00
36.90
44.00
33.00
108.60
53.90
45.80
LLAMA
45.58
46.25
37.77
47.70
55.51
44.13
74.20
54.93
55.89
85.28
54.64
39.51
51.07
75.74
45.10
51.46
57.43
45.77
44.33
48.95
34.31
27.56
27.95
43.36
40.04
34.53
24.70
17.98
58.15
72.77
93.27
78.05
82.84
54.67
92.07
95.07
65.94
59.46
24.34
81.88
51.19
66.42
19.50
67.80
38.20
74.20
HUAMBOS
47.30
48.00
39.20
49.50
57.60
45.80
77.00
57.00
58.00
88.50
56.70
41.00
53.00
78.60
46.80
53.40
59.60
47.50
46.00
50.80
35.60
28.60
29.00
45.00
33.40
28.80
20.60
15.00
48.50
60.70
77.80
65.10
69.10
45.60
76.80
79.30
55.00
49.60
20.30
68.30
42.70
55.40
28.30
67.30
58.80
49.80
SANTA CRUZ
45.80
29.80
26.90
35.77
29.54
24.10
45.80
29.90
40.30
18.90
56.30
54.40
67.24
70.30
40.60
26.56
30.95
31.30
28.75
33.23
39.63
17.10
17.36
32.30
29.80
33.14
48.60
24.80
27.80
69.80
58.60
23.80
60.90
53.39
58.30
37.52
56.80
29.20
20.50
49.80
26.80
56.10
28.90
37.30
40.20
27.97
CHANCAY B.
50.00
61.15
39.29
45.03
37.20
52.21
66.78
59.82
68.21
73.18
51.10
63.69
84.66
39.51
39.51
33.44
38.96
39.40
36.20
41.83
49.89
21.52
21.85
36.70
65.50
36.30
42.50
25.30
45.20
46.80
42.40
64.20
64.90
60.20
67.90
47.24
66.30
45.70
57.80
67.50
36.80
64.50
55.80
42.20
41.90
35.21
2011
MAX.
35.20
150.50
64.50
118.00
46.50
95.07
45.90
88.50
43.57
70.30
54.86
84.66
PIMENTEL
8.58
4.49
6.23
6.95
4.49
1.63
12.15
32.27
42.69
7.76
4.80
3.57
3.06
1.94
1.84
1.43
3.98
1.23
64.96
4.29
10.37
19.15
3.88
3.17
3.47
3.27
7.05
14.50
6.95
16.44
6.64
3.06
17.50
60.40
10.20
9.20
6.00
7.30
3.00
7.00
2.50
4.30
7.50
11.00
5.82
17.46
39.66
20.77
28.80
32.10
20.77
7.55
56.18
149.18
197.34
35.88
22.19
16.52
14.16
8.97
8.50
6.61
18.41
5.67
56.20
19.83
47.92
88.52
17.94
14.64
16.05
15.11
32.57
67.04
32.10
76.01
30.69
14.16
191.20
150.60
94.89
40.13
192.62
76.48
69.40
16.05
74.59
59.96
17.00
55.24
26.91
80.73
7.25
64.96
33.52
197.34
QUILCATE
24.26
46.90
19.07
34.50
30.90
25.34
32.41
29.03
37.60
35.51
24.80
30.91
48.00
14.40
16.50
13.80
13.20
43.70
18.90
11.90
17.60
11.80
14.10
18.90
21.85
20.25
26.89
26.67
24.00
19.71
24.05
32.57
31.50
32.62
35.62
22.93
24.48
18.96
18.43
35.08
30.05
26.89
23.73
25.34
22.98
17.09
COCHABAMBA
56.71
57.55
47.00
59.34
69.06
54.91
92.31
68.34
69.53
106.10
67.98
49.15
63.54
94.23
56.11
64.02
71.45
56.95
55.15
60.90
42.68
34.29
34.77
53.95
40.04
34.53
24.70
17.98
58.15
72.77
93.27
78.05
82.84
54.67
92.07
95.07
65.94
59.46
24.34
81.88
51.19
66.42
60.60
83.20
55.80
57.50
49.70
76.70
26.62
48.00
49.20
106.10
Xx
X (mm)
63.60
41.80
40.80
40.50
31.90
31.60
20.10
18.75
17.10
16.20
16.10
15.80
14.70
14.20
12.70
11.90
11.70
10.15
8.50
8.40
7.60
7.10
6.90
6.80
6.80
6.50
6.10
5.70
4.70
4.40
4.40
4.20
3.90
3.80
3.60
3.50
3.40
3.40
3.20
3.10
3.00
3.00
1.90
1.80
1.60
1.40
1.20
559.50
11.90
13.14
Y = Log X
1.803
1.621
1.611
1.607
1.504
1.500
1.303
1.273
1.233
1.210
1.207
1.199
1.167
1.152
1.104
1.076
1.068
1.006
0.929
0.924
0.881
0.851
0.839
0.833
0.833
0.813
0.785
0.756
0.672
0.643
0.643
0.623
0.591
0.580
0.556
0.544
0.531
0.531
0.505
0.491
0.477
0.477
0.279
0.255
0.204
0.146
0.079
Y -Yy
0.933
0.751
0.740
0.737
0.633
0.629
0.433
0.402
0.362
0.339
0.336
0.328
0.297
0.282
0.233
0.205
0.198
0.136
0.059
0.054
0.010
-0.019
-0.032
-0.038
-0.038
-0.058
-0.085
-0.115
-0.199
-0.227
-0.227
-0.247
-0.280
-0.291
-0.314
-0.327
-0.339
-0.339
-0.365
-0.379
-0.393
-0.393
-0.592
-0.615
-0.666
-0.724
-0.791
Y
Y
y
(Y -Yy)^3
0.812
0.423
0.405
0.400
0.254
0.249
0.081
0.065
0.048
0.039
0.038
0.035
0.026
0.022
0.013
0.009
0.008
0.003
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
-0.001
-0.002
-0.008
-0.012
-0.012
-0.015
-0.022
-0.025
-0.031
-0.035
-0.039
-0.039
-0.049
-0.055
-0.061
-0.061
-0.207
-0.233
-0.296
-0.380
-0.496
0.852
40.92
0.87
0.422
Tr (en aos)
48.000
24.000
16.000
12.000
9.600
8.000
6.857
6.000
5.333
4.800
4.364
4.000
3.692
3.429
3.200
3.000
2.824
2.667
2.526
2.400
2.286
2.182
2.087
2.000
1.920
1.846
1.778
1.714
1.655
1.600
1.548
1.500
1.455
1.412
1.371
1.333
1.297
1.263
1.231
1.200
1.171
1.143
1.116
1.091
1.067
1.043
1.021
N=
47.00
559.50
Xx
11.90
13.14
1.- De la Tabla N 01, determinamos las variable reducida Yn y la desviacin estndar esperada en funcin del
nemro de registros :
Entonces :
Yn =
0.5473
1.1557
=
2.- Luego se calcula el parmetro de dispersin:
1/ =
3.- Se calcula la moda :
u Xx YN
u =
Luego: y =
x
y
31.11
-5.12
y u
*w
-5.12
31.11
*w
Tr
2
5
10
25
50
100
200
500
1000
1/Tr
50.00
20.00
10.00
4.00
2.00
1.00
0.50
0.20
0.10
P (%)
50.00
80.00
90.00
96.00
98.00
99.00
99.50
99.80
99.90
F (y)
0.5000
0.8000
0.9000
0.9600
0.9800
0.9900
0.9950
0.9980
0.9990
w
0.370
1.500
2.250
3.200
3.900
4.600
5.315
6.210
6.910
Y = Precip.
6.39
41.54
64.88
94.43
116.21
137.99
160.24
188.08
209.86
Y
Yy
40.92
0.87
0.422
CSy
N x Y Yy
( N 1) x ( N 2) x y
Luego :
2.- Se calcula el coeficiente de variacin : Cv =
Por lo tanto :
CSy =
0.2569
Cv =
0.4851
y / Yy
L o g Y Y y y *K
Entonces :
Log Y =
0.87
0.422
*K
1/Tr
50.00
20.00
10.00
4.00
2.00
1.00
0.50
0.20
0.10
P (%)
50.00
80.00
90.00
96.00
98.00
99.00
99.50
99.80
99.90
K (Csy = 0.256)
-0.042
0.827
1.305
1.834
2.185
2.508
2.815
3.000
3.500
Log Y
0.853
1.220
1.422
1.645
1.793
1.930
2.059
2.138
2.349
Y = Precip.
7.13
16.59
26.41
44.16
62.15
85.09
114.64
137.30
223.29
100
PRECIPITACIN (en mm)
10
1
1
10
100
10
100
PRECIPITACIN (en mm)
10
1
1
10
100
10
1
1
10
100
Pmedia
Orden
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
Estacin
LAMBAYEQUE
FERREAFE
CHICLAYO
PUCALA
TINAJONES
REQUE
PIMENTEL
PUCHACA
TOCMOCHE
LLAMA
HUAMBOS
SANTA CRUZ
CHANCAY B.
CHUGUR
QUILCATE
COCHABAMBA
TOTAL
AT
Ai * Pi
i 1
Area (km2)
700.64
518.97
144.91
500.76
648.49
150.30
62.71
39.92
190.24
472.88
227.06
523.51
176.36
480.79
510.20
56.43
5404.17
Precip. (mm)
63.60
180.80
152.74
65.85
136.16
64.96
197.34
150.50
118.00
95.07
88.50
70.30
84.66
76.70
48.00
106.10
95.58
PROMEDIO ARITMETICO
Pmedia
ORDEN
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Pi
Estacin
LAMBAYEQUE
FERREAFE
CHICLAYO
PUCALA
TINAJONES
REQUE
PIMENTEL
PUCHACA
i 1
Precip. (mm)
63.60
180.80
152.74
65.85
136.16
64.96
197.34
150.50
Ai * Precip.
44560.70
93829.78
22134.09
32973.99
88299.57
9763.10
12375.06
6007.96
22448.32
44957.10
20094.81
36802.75
14930.15
36876.59
24489.60
5987.25
516530.82
mm
10
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
TOCMOCHE
LLAMA
HUAMBOS
SANTA CRUZ
CHANCAY B.
CHUGUR
QUILCATE
COCHABAMBA
TOTAL
118.00
95.07
88.50
70.30
84.66
76.70
48.00
106.10
1699.28
106.20
mm
ESTACION LAMBAYEQUE
Tr = (N+1 ) / m
2
5
10
25
50
100
200
500
1000
METODO GUMBEL
6.39
41.54
64.88
94.43
116.21
137.99
160.24
188.08
209.86
ESTACION FERREAFE
Tr = (N+1 ) / m
2
5
10
25
50
100
200
500
1000
METODO GUMBEL
6.16
77.86
125.45
185.73
230.14
274.56
319.93
376.71
421.13
ESTACION CHICLAYO
Tr = (N+1 ) / m
2
5
10
25
50
100
200
500
1000
METODO GUMBEL
22.25
132.09
205.00
297.36
365.40
433.45
502.96
589.96
658.01
Tr = (N+1 ) / m
2
5
10
25
50
100
200
500
1000
METODO GUMBEL
5.89
41.37
64.92
94.74
116.72
138.69
161.14
189.24
211.22
ESTACION PUCALA
METODO LOG PEARSON III
7.22
15.99
24.74
40.13
55.41
74.44
98.65
107.20
109.38
ESTACION TINAJONES
Tr = (N+1 ) / m
2
5
10
25
50
100
200
500
1000
METODO GUMBEL
11.63
81.77
128.33
187.30
230.75
274.19
318.58
374.13
417.58
Tr = (N+1 ) / m
2
5
10
25
50
100
200
500
1000
METODO GUMBEL
4.40
43.19
68.94
101.55
125.58
149.61
174.16
204.88
228.92
ESTACION REQUE
METODO LOG PEARSON III
5.98
13.56
21.91
38.19
55.96
80.22
113.03
137.94
181.70
ESTACION PIMENTEL
Tr = (N+1 ) / m
2
5
10
25
50
100
200
500
1000
METODO GUMBEL
28.74
170.66
264.86
384.17
472.09
560.00
649.80
762.21
850.12
ESTACION PUCHACA
Tr = (N+1 ) / m
2
5
10
25
50
100
200
METODO GUMBEL
30.08
140.77
214.24
307.30
375.87
444.45
514.49
500
1000
602.16
670.73
306.85
324.21
ESTACION TOCMOCHE
Tr = (N+1 ) / m
2
5
10
25
50
100
200
500
1000
METODO GUMBEL
34.03
135.01
202.03
286.93
349.48
412.03
475.93
555.91
618.46
Tr = (N+1 ) / m
2
5
10
25
50
100
200
500
1000
METODO GUMBEL
33.78
162.12
247.30
355.20
434.71
514.21
595.42
697.07
776.57
ESTACION LLAMA
METODO LOG PEARSON III
52.15
70.71
81.16
92.58
100.01
106.64
112.63
132.68
146.76
ESTACION HUAMBOS
Tr = (N+1 ) / m
2
5
10
25
50
100
200
500
1000
METODO GUMBEL
33.05
148.10
224.46
321.19
392.46
463.73
536.53
627.66
698.93
METODO GUMBEL
22.84
123.57
190.43
275.11
50
100
200
500
1000
337.51
399.91
463.64
543.43
605.82
77.89
93.50
94.83
105.50
115.76
METODO GUMBEL
30.57
151.44
231.66
333.28
408.15
483.02
559.50
655.24
730.11
ESTACION CHUGUR
Tr = (N+1 ) / m
2
5
10
25
50
100
200
500
1000
METODO GUMBEL
28.28
140.08
214.29
308.28
377.54
446.80
517.54
606.09
675.35
ESTACION QUILCATE
Tr = (N+1 ) / m
2
5
10
25
50
100
200
500
1000
METODO GUMBEL
15.33
80.67
124.04
178.98
219.46
259.93
301.28
353.03
393.51
1
24.39
32.47
37.49
43.51
47.79
51.92
55.93
62.14
70.23
ESTACION COCHABAMBA
Tr = (N+1 ) / m
2
METODO GUMBEL
39.64
5
10
25
50
100
200
500
1000
178.33
270.38
386.98
472.89
558.81
646.56
756.41
842.32
79.15
87.15
94.59
98.69
101.83
104.34
111.38
115.14
probabilidad de excedencia:
10
100
1000
10
100
1000
10
100
A PRECIPITACION MEDIA
1000
RESULTADOS DE LAS DISTRIBUCIONES CON MEJOR AJUSTE EN LAS SERIES PLUVIOMETRICAS (mm)
ESTACION
LAMBAYEQUE
FERREAFE
CHICLAYO
PUCALA
TINAJONES
REQUE
PIMENTEL
PUCHACA
TOCMOCHE
LLAMA
HUAMBOS
SANTA CRUZ
CHANCAY BAOS
CHUGUR
QUILCATE
COCHABAMBA
DISTRIBUCION DE
MAYOR AJUSTE
Log Pearson Tipo III
Log Pearson Tipo III
Log Pearson Tipo III
Gumbel Tipo I
Gumbel Tipo I
Log Pearson Tipo III
Log Pearson Tipo III
Log Pearson Tipo III
Log Pearson Tipo III
Log Pearson Tipo III
Log Pearson Tipo III
Log Pearson Tipo III
Log Pearson Tipo III
Log Pearson Tipo III
Log Pearson Tipo III
Log Pearson Tipo III
2
7.13
7.96
21.16
5.89
11.63
5.98
33.11
35.66
44.94
52.15
51.10
35.90
48.79
45.56
24.39
61.82
5
16.59
21.00
56.45
41.37
81.77
13.56
72.93
72.65
76.54
70.71
66.23
49.43
61.66
56.36
32.47
79.15
10
26.41
37.23
86.32
64.92
128.33
21.91
111.53
101.99
94.77
81.16
73.49
58.28
68.63
61.93
37.49
87.15
PERIODOS DE RETORNO
25
50
100
44.16
62.15
85.09
71.95
113.18
173.47
137.09
185.81
244.98
94.74
116.72
138.69
187.30
230.75
274.19
38.19
55.96
80.22
177.28
240.06
316.80
143.05
175.72
209.51
113.94
125.99
135.29
92.58
100.01
106.64
80.39
84.42
87.40
69.21
77.89
93.50
76.09
80.87
83.92
67.08
71.22
74.28
43.51
47.79
51.92
94.59
98.69
101.83
200
114.64
260.50
316.50
161.14
318.58
113.03
409.29
244.68
143.49
112.63
89.94
94.83
88.95
76.95
55.93
104.34
500
137.30
280.02
362.08
189.24
374.13
137.94
492.56
306.85
159.54
132.68
94.70
105.50
97.84
83.67
62.14
111.38
1000
223.29
347.42
386.20
211.22
417.58
181.70
509.18
324.21
171.58
146.76
98.12
115.76
104.65
88.94
70.23
115.14
Xx
X (mm)
180.80
90.61
65.00
48.90
36.60
32.00
26.71
21.70
21.00
20.23
19.70
18.50
16.60
16.00
14.46
13.00
12.58
12.40
10.00
9.90
9.83
9.69
9.00
9.00
8.40
6.50
6.00
6.00
6.00
5.41
5.30
5.00
4.84
4.56
4.42
4.00
3.60
3.20
3.00
3.00
3.00
2.20
2.00
2.00
2.00
2.00
1.60
818.24
17.41
29.72
Y = Log X
2.257
1.957
1.813
1.689
1.563
1.505
1.427
1.336
1.322
1.306
1.294
1.267
1.220
1.204
1.160
1.114
1.100
1.093
1.000
0.996
0.993
0.986
0.954
0.954
0.924
0.813
0.778
0.778
0.778
0.733
0.724
0.699
0.685
0.659
0.645
0.602
0.556
0.505
0.477
0.477
0.477
0.342
0.301
0.301
0.301
0.301
0.204
Y -Yy
1.309
1.009
0.864
0.741
0.615
0.557
0.478
0.388
0.374
0.358
0.346
0.319
0.272
0.256
0.212
0.166
0.151
0.145
0.052
0.047
0.044
0.038
0.006
0.006
-0.024
-0.136
-0.170
-0.170
-0.170
-0.215
-0.224
-0.249
-0.263
-0.290
-0.303
-0.346
-0.392
-0.443
-0.471
-0.471
-0.471
-0.606
-0.647
-0.647
-0.647
-0.647
-0.744
Y
Y
y
(Y -Yy)^3
2.242
1.026
0.646
0.407
0.233
0.173
0.109
0.058
0.052
0.046
0.041
0.032
0.020
0.017
0.009
0.005
0.003
0.003
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
-0.002
-0.005
-0.005
-0.005
-0.010
-0.011
-0.016
-0.018
-0.024
-0.028
-0.042
-0.060
-0.087
-0.105
-0.105
-0.105
-0.223
-0.271
-0.271
-0.271
-0.271
-0.412
2.776
44.58
0.95
0.468
N=
47.00
818.24
Xx
17.41
29.72
1.- De la Tabla N 01, determinamos las variable reducida Yn y la desviacin estndar esperada en funcin del
nemro de registros :
Entonces :
Yn =
0.5473
1.1557
=
2.- Luego se calcula el parmetro de dispersin:
x
y
1/ =
3.- Se calcula la moda :
u Xx YN
u =
Luego: y =
63.45
-17.32
y u
*w
-17.32
63.45
*w
Tr
2
5
10
25
50
100
200
500
1000
1/Tr
50.00
20.00
10.00
4.00
2.00
1.00
0.50
0.20
0.10
P (%)
50.00
80.00
90.00
96.00
98.00
99.00
99.50
99.80
99.90
F (y)
0.5000
0.8000
0.9000
0.9600
0.9800
0.9900
0.9950
0.9980
0.9990
w
0.370
1.500
2.250
3.200
3.900
4.600
5.315
6.210
6.910
Y
Y
y
44.58
0.95
0.468
CSy
( N 1) x ( N 2) x y
Luego :
2.- Se calcula el coeficiente de variacin : Cv =
N x Y Yy
CSy =
0.6135
Cv =
0.4938
y / Yy
Por lo tanto :
3.- Luego la ecuacin de prediccin ser :
L o g Y Y y y *K
Entonces :
Log Y =
0.95
0.468
1/Tr
50.00
20.00
10.00
4.00
2.00
1.00
0.50
0.20
0.10
P (%)
50.00
80.00
90.00
96.00
98.00
99.00
99.50
99.80
99.90
K (Csy = 0.613)
-0.101
0.798
1.329
1.940
2.360
2.756
3.133
3.200
3.400
Log Y
0.901
1.322
1.571
1.857
2.054
2.239
2.416
2.447
2.541
100
PRECIPITACIN (en mm)
10
1
1
10
100
100
PRECIPITACIN (en mm)
10
1
1
10
100
10
100
DO GUMBEL TIPO I
bilidad de excedencia:
Y = Precip.
6.16
77.86
125.45
185.73
230.14
274.56
319.93
376.71
421.13
*K
bilidad de excedencia:
Y = Precip.
7.96
21.00
37.23
71.95
113.18
173.47
260.50
280.02
347.42
10
100
1000
10
100
1000
10
100
1000
Xx
X (mm)
152.74
149.09
147.99
116.57
115.47
73.45
68.52
62.49
59.20
58.83
57.74
53.72
51.89
46.41
43.50
43.48
42.75
37.09
31.06
30.69
27.77
25.94
25.21
24.85
24.85
23.75
22.29
20.83
17.17
16.08
16.08
15.35
14.25
13.89
13.15
12.79
12.42
12.42
11.69
11.33
10.96
10.96
6.94
6.58
5.85
5.12
4.38
1855.60
39.48
38.90
Y = Log X
2.184
2.173
2.170
2.067
2.062
1.866
1.836
1.796
1.772
1.770
1.761
1.730
1.715
1.667
1.638
1.638
1.631
1.569
1.492
1.487
1.444
1.414
1.402
1.395
1.395
1.376
1.348
1.319
1.235
1.206
1.206
1.186
1.154
1.143
1.119
1.107
1.094
1.094
1.068
1.054
1.040
1.040
0.842
0.818
0.767
0.709
0.642
Y -Yy
0.766
0.756
0.752
0.649
0.645
0.448
0.418
0.378
0.354
0.352
0.344
0.312
0.297
0.249
0.221
0.220
0.213
0.151
0.074
0.069
0.026
-0.004
-0.016
-0.023
-0.023
-0.042
-0.070
-0.099
-0.183
-0.212
-0.212
-0.232
-0.264
-0.275
-0.299
-0.311
-0.324
-0.324
-0.350
-0.364
-0.378
-0.378
-0.576
-0.600
-0.651
-0.709
-0.776
Y
Y
y
(Y -Yy)^3
0.450
0.431
0.426
0.273
0.268
0.090
0.073
0.054
0.045
0.044
0.041
0.030
0.026
0.015
0.011
0.011
0.010
0.003
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
-0.001
-0.006
-0.009
-0.009
-0.012
-0.018
-0.021
-0.027
-0.030
-0.034
-0.034
-0.043
-0.048
-0.054
-0.054
-0.191
-0.216
-0.276
-0.356
-0.467
0.392
66.64
1.42
0.400
N=
47.00
1855.60
Xx
39.48
38.90
1.- De la Tabla N 01, determinamos las variable reducida Yn y la desviacin estndar esperada en funcin del
nemro de registros :
Entonces :
Yn =
0.5473
1.1557
=
2.- Luego se calcula el parmetro de dispersin:
x
y
1/ =
3.- Se calcula la moda :
u Xx YN
u =
Luego: y =
97.21
-13.72
y u
*w
-13.72
97.21
*w
Tr
2
5
10
25
50
100
200
500
1000
1/Tr
50.00
20.00
10.00
4.00
2.00
1.00
0.50
0.20
0.10
P (%)
50.00
80.00
90.00
96.00
98.00
99.00
99.50
99.80
99.90
F (y)
0.5000
0.8000
0.9000
0.9600
0.9800
0.9900
0.9950
0.9980
0.9990
w
0.370
1.500
2.250
3.200
3.900
4.600
5.315
6.210
6.910
Y
Y
y
66.64
1.42
0.400
CSy
( N 1) x ( N 2) x y
Luego :
2.- Se calcula el coeficiente de variacin : Cv =
N x Y Yy
CSy =
0.1388
Cv =
0.2822
y / Yy
Por lo tanto :
3.- Luego la ecuacin de prediccin ser :
L o g Y Y y y *K
Entonces :
Log Y =
1.42
0.400
1/Tr
50.00
20.00
10.00
4.00
2.00
1.00
0.50
0.20
0.10
P (%)
50.00
80.00
90.00
96.00
98.00
99.00
99.50
99.80
99.90
K (Csy = 0.138)
-0.231
0.834
1.295
1.797
2.127
2.427
2.705
2.851
2.921
Log Y
1.325
1.752
1.936
2.137
2.269
2.389
2.500
2.559
2.587
100
PRECIPITACIN (en mm)
10
1
1
10
100
100
PRECIPITACIN (en mm)
10
1
1
10
100
10
100
DO GUMBEL TIPO I
bilidad de excedencia:
Y = Precip.
22.25
132.09
205.00
297.36
365.40
433.45
502.96
589.96
658.01
*K
bilidad de excedencia:
Y = Precip.
21.16
56.45
86.32
137.09
185.81
244.98
316.50
362.08
386.20
10
100
1000
10
100
1000
10
100
1000
Xx
X (mm)
65.85
42.24
41.93
33.03
20.81
19.80
19.41
17.70
16.77
16.67
16.36
15.22
14.70
14.50
13.15
12.30
12.11
10.51
8.80
8.70
7.87
7.35
7.14
7.04
7.04
6.73
6.32
5.90
4.87
4.56
4.56
4.35
4.04
3.93
3.73
3.62
3.52
3.52
3.31
3.21
3.11
3.11
2.70
1.97
1.86
1.45
1.24
538.60
11.46
12.46
Y = Log X
1.819
1.626
1.623
1.519
1.318
1.297
1.288
1.248
1.225
1.222
1.214
1.182
1.167
1.161
1.119
1.090
1.083
1.022
0.945
0.939
0.896
0.866
0.854
0.848
0.848
0.828
0.800
0.771
0.687
0.659
0.659
0.638
0.606
0.595
0.571
0.559
0.547
0.547
0.520
0.506
0.492
0.492
0.431
0.294
0.270
0.161
0.094
Y -Yy
0.943
0.750
0.747
0.643
0.443
0.421
0.413
0.373
0.349
0.346
0.338
0.307
0.292
0.286
0.243
0.214
0.208
0.146
0.069
0.064
0.020
-0.009
-0.022
-0.028
-0.028
-0.047
-0.075
-0.104
-0.188
-0.217
-0.217
-0.237
-0.269
-0.281
-0.304
-0.316
-0.329
-0.329
-0.355
-0.369
-0.383
-0.383
-0.444
-0.582
-0.605
-0.714
-0.781
Y
Y
y
(Y -Yy)^3
0.839
0.422
0.417
0.266
0.087
0.075
0.070
0.052
0.043
0.042
0.039
0.029
0.025
0.023
0.014
0.010
0.009
0.003
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
-0.001
-0.007
-0.010
-0.010
-0.013
-0.020
-0.022
-0.028
-0.032
-0.036
-0.036
-0.045
-0.050
-0.056
-0.056
-0.088
-0.197
-0.222
-0.364
-0.477
0.696
41.15
0.88
0.397
N=
47.00
538.60
Xx
11.46
12.46
1.- De la Tabla N 01, determinamos las variable reducida Yn y la desviacin estndar esperada en funcin del
nemro de registros :
Entonces :
Yn =
0.5473
1.1557
=
2.- Luego se calcula el parmetro de dispersin:
x
y
1/ =
3.- Se calcula la moda :
u Xx YN
u =
Luego: y =
-5.72
31.39
y u
*w
-5.72
31.39
*w
Tr
2
5
10
25
50
100
200
500
1000
1/Tr
50.00
20.00
10.00
4.00
2.00
1.00
0.50
0.20
0.10
P (%)
50.00
80.00
90.00
96.00
98.00
99.00
99.50
99.80
99.90
F (y)
0.5000
0.8000
0.9000
0.9600
0.9800
0.9900
0.9950
0.9980
0.9990
w
0.370
1.500
2.250
3.200
3.900
4.600
5.315
6.210
6.910
Y
Y
y
41.15
0.88
0.397
CSy
( N 1) x ( N 2) x y
Luego :
2.- Se calcula el coeficiente de variacin : Cv =
N x Y Yy
CSy =
0.2526
Cv =
0.4534
y / Yy
Por lo tanto :
3.- Luego la ecuacin de prediccin ser :
L o g Y Y y y *K
Entonces :
Log Y =
0.88
0.397
1/Tr
50.00
20.00
10.00
4.00
2.00
1.00
0.50
0.20
0.10
P (%)
50.00
80.00
90.00
96.00
98.00
99.00
99.50
99.80
99.90
K (Csy = 0.253)
-0.042
0.827
1.305
1.834
2.187
2.510
2.818
2.909
2.931
Log Y
0.859
1.204
1.393
1.603
1.744
1.872
1.994
2.030
2.039
100
PRECIPITACIN (en mm)
10
1
1
10
100
100
PRECIPITACIN (en mm)
10
1
1
10
100
10
100
DO GUMBEL TIPO I
bilidad de excedencia:
Y = Precip.
5.89
41.37
64.92
94.74
116.72
138.69
161.14
189.24
211.22
*K
bilidad de excedencia:
Y = Precip.
7.22
15.99
24.74
40.13
55.41
74.44
98.65
107.20
109.38
10
100
1000
10
100
1000
10
100
1000
Xx
X (mm)
136.16
116.30
93.20
47.30
44.20
40.14
34.89
34.50
34.47
30.40
26.35
25.47
24.00
22.50
22.21
21.73
21.41
21.12
19.80
18.50
17.40
17.25
14.85
14.77
14.56
13.56
12.39
11.32
10.06
9.40
9.10
8.99
8.35
8.14
7.49
7.28
6.85
6.64
6.42
5.00
4.07
3.85
3.00
2.60
2.57
2.10
1.40
1064.06
22.64
27.40
Y = Log X
2.134
2.066
1.969
1.675
1.645
1.604
1.543
1.538
1.537
1.483
1.421
1.406
1.380
1.352
1.347
1.337
1.331
1.325
1.297
1.267
1.241
1.237
1.172
1.169
1.163
1.132
1.093
1.054
1.003
0.973
0.959
0.954
0.922
0.910
0.875
0.862
0.836
0.822
0.808
0.699
0.609
0.586
0.477
0.415
0.410
0.322
0.146
Y -Yy
0.996
0.927
0.831
0.536
0.507
0.465
0.404
0.399
0.399
0.345
0.282
0.268
0.242
0.214
0.208
0.199
0.192
0.186
0.158
0.129
0.102
0.098
0.033
0.031
0.025
-0.006
-0.045
-0.085
-0.136
-0.165
-0.179
-0.185
-0.217
-0.228
-0.264
-0.276
-0.303
-0.316
-0.331
-0.439
-0.529
-0.553
-0.662
-0.723
-0.729
-0.816
-0.992
Y
Y
y
(Y -Yy)^3
0.987
0.797
0.574
0.154
0.130
0.101
0.066
0.064
0.064
0.041
0.023
0.019
0.014
0.010
0.009
0.008
0.007
0.006
0.004
0.002
0.001
0.001
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
-0.001
-0.002
-0.005
-0.006
-0.006
-0.010
-0.012
-0.018
-0.021
-0.028
-0.032
-0.036
-0.085
-0.148
-0.169
-0.290
-0.379
-0.387
-0.544
-0.977
-0.072
53.50
1.14
0.441
N=
47.00
1064.06
Xx
22.64
27.40
1.- De la Tabla N 01, determinamos las variable reducida Yn y la desviacin estndar esperada en funcin del
nemro de registros :
Entonces :
Yn =
0.5473
1.1557
=
2.- Luego se calcula el parmetro de dispersin:
x
y
1/ =
3.- Se calcula la moda :
u Xx YN
u =
Luego: y =
62.07
-11.33
y u
*w
-11.33
62.07
*w
Tr
2
5
10
25
50
100
200
500
1000
1/Tr
50.00
20.00
10.00
4.00
2.00
1.00
0.50
0.20
0.10
P (%)
50.00
80.00
90.00
96.00
98.00
99.00
99.50
99.80
99.90
F (y)
0.5000
0.8000
0.9000
0.9600
0.9800
0.9900
0.9950
0.9980
0.9990
w
0.370
1.500
2.250
3.200
3.900
4.600
5.315
6.210
6.910
Y
Y
y
53.50
1.14
0.441
CSy
( N 1) x ( N 2) x y
Luego :
2.- Se calcula el coeficiente de variacin : Cv =
N x Y Yy
CSy =
-0.0189
Cv =
0.3878
y / Yy
Por lo tanto :
3.- Luego la ecuacin de prediccin ser :
L o g Y Y y y *K
Entonces :
Log Y =
1.14
0.441
1/Tr
50.00
20.00
10.00
4.00
2.00
1.00
0.50
0.20
0.10
P (%)
50.00
80.00
90.00
96.00
98.00
99.00
99.50
99.80
99.90
K (Csy = -0.819)
0.135
0.856
1.162
1.440
1.595
1.719
1.820
1.841
1.863
Log Y
1.198
1.516
1.651
1.774
1.843
1.897
1.942
1.951
1.961
100
PRECIPITACIN (en mm)
10
1
1
10
100
100
PRECIPITACIN (en mm)
10
1
1
10
100
10
100
DO GUMBEL TIPO I
bilidad de excedencia:
Y = Precip.
11.63
81.77
128.33
187.30
230.75
274.19
318.58
374.13
417.58
*K
bilidad de excedencia:
Y = Precip.
15.78
32.83
44.81
59.45
69.59
78.94
87.48
89.37
91.39
10
100
1000
10
100
1000
10
100
1000
Xx
X (mm)
64.96
60.40
42.69
32.27
19.15
17.50
17.46
16.44
14.50
12.15
11.00
10.37
10.20
9.20
8.58
7.76
7.50
7.30
7.25
7.05
7.00
6.95
6.95
6.64
6.23
6.00
5.82
4.80
4.49
4.49
4.30
4.29
3.98
3.88
3.57
3.47
3.27
3.17
3.06
3.06
3.00
2.50
1.94
1.84
1.63
1.43
1.23
492.75
10.48
13.56
Y = Log X
1.813
1.781
1.630
1.509
1.282
1.243
1.242
1.216
1.161
1.085
1.041
1.016
1.009
0.964
0.933
0.890
0.875
0.863
0.860
0.848
0.845
0.842
0.842
0.822
0.795
0.778
0.765
0.681
0.653
0.653
0.633
0.632
0.600
0.589
0.553
0.541
0.514
0.501
0.486
0.486
0.477
0.398
0.288
0.264
0.213
0.155
0.088
Y -Yy
0.997
0.965
0.814
0.693
0.466
0.427
0.426
0.400
0.345
0.269
0.225
0.200
0.192
0.148
0.117
0.074
0.059
0.047
0.044
0.032
0.029
0.026
0.026
0.006
-0.022
-0.038
-0.051
-0.135
-0.163
-0.163
-0.183
-0.184
-0.216
-0.227
-0.263
-0.275
-0.302
-0.316
-0.330
-0.330
-0.339
-0.418
-0.528
-0.552
-0.603
-0.661
-0.728
Y
Y
y
(Y -Yy)^3
0.990
0.898
0.540
0.332
0.101
0.078
0.077
0.064
0.041
0.019
0.011
0.008
0.007
0.003
0.002
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
-0.002
-0.004
-0.004
-0.006
-0.006
-0.010
-0.012
-0.018
-0.021
-0.027
-0.031
-0.036
-0.036
-0.039
-0.073
-0.147
-0.168
-0.219
-0.289
-0.385
1.638
38.36
0.82
0.395
N=
47.00
492.75
Xx
10.48
13.56
1.- De la Tabla N 01, determinamos las variable reducida Yn y la desviacin estndar esperada en funcin del
nemro de registros :
Entonces :
Yn =
0.5473
1.1557
=
2.- Luego se calcula el parmetro de dispersin:
x
y
1/ =
3.- Se calcula la moda :
u Xx YN
u =
Luego: y =
-8.30
34.33
y u
*w
-8.30
34.33
*w
Tr
2
5
10
25
50
100
200
500
1000
1/Tr
50.00
20.00
10.00
4.00
2.00
1.00
0.50
0.20
0.10
P (%)
50.00
80.00
90.00
96.00
98.00
99.00
99.50
99.80
99.90
F (y)
0.5000
0.8000
0.9000
0.9600
0.9800
0.9900
0.9950
0.9980
0.9990
w
0.370
1.500
2.250
3.200
3.900
4.600
5.315
6.210
6.910
Y
Y
y
38.36
0.82
0.395
CSy
( N 1) x ( N 2) x y
Luego :
2.- Se calcula el coeficiente de variacin : Cv =
N x Y Yy
CSy =
0.6034
Cv =
0.4840
y / Yy
Por lo tanto :
3.- Luego la ecuacin de prediccin ser :
L o g Y Y y y *K
Entonces :
Log Y =
0.82
0.395
1/Tr
50.00
20.00
10.00
4.00
2.00
1.00
0.50
0.20
0.10
P (%)
50.00
80.00
90.00
96.00
98.00
99.00
99.50
99.80
99.90
K (Csy = 0.603)
-0.099
0.800
1.328
1.939
2.359
2.755
3.132
3.351
3.654
Log Y
0.777
1.132
1.341
1.582
1.748
1.904
2.053
2.140
2.259
100
PRECIPITACIN (en mm)
10
1
1
10
100
100
PRECIPITACIN (en mm)
10
1
1
10
100
10
100
DO GUMBEL TIPO I
bilidad de excedencia:
Y = Precip.
4.40
43.19
68.94
101.55
125.58
149.61
174.16
204.88
228.92
*K
bilidad de excedencia:
Y = Precip.
5.98
13.56
21.91
38.19
55.96
80.22
113.03
137.94
181.70
10
100
1000
10
100
1000
10
100
1000
Xx
X (mm)
197.34
192.62
191.20
150.60
149.18
94.89
88.52
80.73
76.48
76.01
74.59
69.40
67.04
59.96
56.20
56.18
55.24
47.92
40.13
39.66
35.88
33.52
32.57
32.10
32.10
30.69
28.80
26.91
22.19
20.77
20.77
19.83
18.41
17.94
17.00
16.52
16.05
16.05
15.11
14.64
14.16
14.16
8.97
8.50
7.55
6.61
5.67
2397.34
51.01
50.26
Y = Log X
2.295
2.285
2.281
2.178
2.174
1.977
1.947
1.907
1.884
1.881
1.873
1.841
1.826
1.778
1.750
1.750
1.742
1.681
1.603
1.598
1.555
1.525
1.513
1.507
1.507
1.487
1.459
1.430
1.346
1.317
1.317
1.297
1.265
1.254
1.230
1.218
1.206
1.206
1.179
1.165
1.151
1.151
0.953
0.929
0.878
0.820
0.753
Y -Yy
0.766
0.756
0.752
0.649
0.645
0.448
0.418
0.378
0.354
0.352
0.344
0.312
0.297
0.249
0.221
0.220
0.213
0.151
0.074
0.069
0.026
-0.004
-0.016
-0.023
-0.023
-0.042
-0.070
-0.099
-0.183
-0.212
-0.212
-0.232
-0.264
-0.275
-0.299
-0.311
-0.324
-0.324
-0.350
-0.364
-0.378
-0.378
-0.576
-0.600
-0.651
-0.709
-0.776
Y
Y
y
(Y -Yy)^3
0.450
0.431
0.426
0.273
0.268
0.090
0.073
0.054
0.045
0.044
0.041
0.030
0.026
0.015
0.011
0.011
0.010
0.003
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
-0.001
-0.006
-0.009
-0.009
-0.012
-0.018
-0.021
-0.027
-0.030
-0.034
-0.034
-0.043
-0.048
-0.054
-0.054
-0.191
-0.216
-0.276
-0.356
-0.467
0.392
71.87
1.53
0.400
N=
47.00
2397.34
Xx
51.01
50.26
1.- De la Tabla N 01, determinamos las variable reducida Yn y la desviacin estndar esperada en funcin del
nemro de registros :
Entonces :
Yn =
0.5473
1.1557
=
2.- Luego se calcula el parmetro de dispersin:
x
y
1/ =
3.- Se calcula la moda :
u Xx YN
u =
Luego: y =
125.59
-17.73
y u
*w
-17.73
125.59
*w
Tr
2
5
10
25
50
100
200
500
1000
1/Tr
50.00
20.00
10.00
4.00
2.00
1.00
0.50
0.20
0.10
P (%)
50.00
80.00
90.00
96.00
98.00
99.00
99.50
99.80
99.90
F (y)
0.5000
0.8000
0.9000
0.9600
0.9800
0.9900
0.9950
0.9980
0.9990
w
0.370
1.500
2.250
3.200
3.900
4.600
5.315
6.210
6.910
Y
Y
y
71.87
1.53
0.400
CSy
( N 1) x ( N 2) x y
Luego :
2.- Se calcula el coeficiente de variacin : Cv =
N x Y Yy
CSy =
0.1388
Cv =
0.2617
y / Yy
Por lo tanto :
3.- Luego la ecuacin de prediccin ser :
L o g Y Y y y *K
Entonces :
Log Y =
1.53
0.400
1/Tr
50.00
20.00
10.00
4.00
2.00
1.00
0.50
0.20
0.10
P (%)
50.00
80.00
90.00
96.00
98.00
99.00
99.50
99.80
99.90
K (Csy = 0.139)
-0.023
0.834
1.295
1.798
2.127
2.428
2.706
2.907
2.943
Log Y
1.520
1.863
2.047
2.249
2.380
2.501
2.612
2.692
2.707
100
PRECIPITACIN (en mm)
10
1
1
10
100
100
PRECIPITACIN (en mm)
10
1
1
10
100
10
100
DO GUMBEL TIPO I
bilidad de excedencia:
Y = Precip.
28.74
170.66
264.86
384.17
472.09
560.00
649.80
762.21
850.12
*K
bilidad de excedencia:
Y = Precip.
33.11
72.93
111.53
177.28
240.06
316.80
409.29
492.56
509.18
10
100
1000
10
100
1000
10
100
1000
Xx
X (mm)
150.50
150.00
147.00
124.40
101.50
96.20
95.40
70.30
65.30
62.70
60.90
60.30
60.20
60.00
59.00
58.70
56.30
54.40
51.50
47.50
42.57
40.30
40.10
40.00
35.20
31.50
30.55
30.30
30.20
30.00
27.50
24.30
23.20
20.80
20.54
20.32
20.30
14.30
12.90
11.10
9.70
8.80
8.50
8.20
6.55
6.10
4.20
2230.13
47.45
38.38
Y = Log X
2.178
2.176
2.167
2.095
2.006
1.983
1.980
1.847
1.815
1.797
1.785
1.780
1.780
1.778
1.771
1.769
1.751
1.736
1.712
1.677
1.629
1.605
1.603
1.602
1.547
1.498
1.485
1.481
1.480
1.477
1.439
1.386
1.365
1.318
1.313
1.308
1.307
1.155
1.111
1.045
0.987
0.944
0.929
0.914
0.816
0.785
0.623
Y -Yy
0.651
0.650
0.641
0.569
0.480
0.457
0.453
0.321
0.289
0.271
0.258
0.254
0.253
0.252
0.245
0.242
0.224
0.209
0.186
0.150
0.103
0.079
0.077
0.076
0.020
-0.028
-0.041
-0.045
-0.046
-0.049
-0.087
-0.141
-0.161
-0.208
-0.214
-0.218
-0.219
-0.371
-0.416
-0.481
-0.540
-0.582
-0.597
-0.612
-0.710
-0.741
-0.903
Y
Y
y
(Y -Yy)^3
0.276
0.274
0.263
0.184
0.111
0.095
0.093
0.033
0.024
0.020
0.017
0.016
0.016
0.016
0.015
0.014
0.011
0.009
0.006
0.003
0.001
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
-0.001
-0.003
-0.004
-0.009
-0.010
-0.010
-0.010
-0.051
-0.072
-0.111
-0.157
-0.197
-0.213
-0.230
-0.358
-0.407
-0.736
-1.078
71.74
1.53
0.392
N=
47.00
2230.13
Xx
47.45
38.38
1.- De la Tabla N 01, determinamos las variable reducida Yn y la desviacin estndar esperada en funcin del
nemro de registros :
Entonces :
Yn =
0.5473
1.1557
=
2.- Luego se calcula el parmetro de dispersin:
x
y
1/ =
3.- Se calcula la moda :
u Xx YN
u =
Luego: y =
-6.16
97.96
y u
*w
-6.16
97.96
*w
Tr
2
5
10
25
50
100
200
500
1000
1/Tr
50.00
20.00
10.00
4.00
2.00
1.00
0.50
0.20
0.10
P (%)
50.00
80.00
90.00
96.00
98.00
99.00
99.50
99.80
99.90
F (y)
0.5000
0.8000
0.9000
0.9600
0.9800
0.9900
0.9950
0.9980
0.9990
w
0.370
1.500
2.250
3.200
3.900
4.600
5.315
6.210
6.910
Y
Y
y
71.74
1.53
0.392
CSy
( N 1) x ( N 2) x y
Luego :
2.- Se calcula el coeficiente de variacin : Cv =
N x Y Yy
CSy =
-0.4071
Cv =
0.2567
y / Yy
Por lo tanto :
3.- Luego la ecuacin de prediccin ser :
L o g Y Y y y *K
Entonces :
Log Y =
1.53
0.392
1/Tr
50.00
20.00
10.00
4.00
2.00
1.00
0.50
0.20
0.10
P (%)
50.00
80.00
90.00
96.00
98.00
99.00
99.50
99.80
99.90
K (Csy = -0.407)
0.066
0.855
1.231
1.606
1.834
2.029
2.201
2.452
2.513
Log Y
1.552
1.861
2.009
2.155
2.245
2.321
2.389
2.487
2.511
100
PRECIPITACIN (en mm)
10
1
1
10
100
100
PRECIPITACIN (en mm)
10
1
1
10
100
10
100
DO GUMBEL TIPO I
ilidad de excedencia:
Y = Precip.
30.08
140.77
214.24
307.30
375.87
444.45
514.49
602.16
670.73
*K
ilidad de excedencia:
Y = Precip.
35.66
72.65
101.99
143.05
175.72
209.51
244.68
306.85
324.21
10
100
1000
10
100
1000
10
100
1000
Xx
X (mm)
118.00
116.20
108.60
106.00
100.40
94.00
85.00
83.60
76.00
74.40
70.00
64.50
64.00
61.00
60.00
60.00
55.00
55.00
53.90
52.20
48.00
47.00
45.80
45.00
45.00
44.00
40.00
40.00
36.90
36.00
35.00
35.00
33.00
32.00
30.00
28.00
25.00
25.00
20.00
20.00
20.00
15.00
12.00
12.00
7.00
5.20
4.50
2344.20
49.88
30.03
Y = Log X
2.072
2.065
2.036
2.025
2.002
1.973
1.929
1.922
1.881
1.872
1.845
1.810
1.806
1.785
1.778
1.778
1.740
1.740
1.732
1.718
1.681
1.672
1.661
1.653
1.653
1.643
1.602
1.602
1.567
1.556
1.544
1.544
1.519
1.505
1.477
1.447
1.398
1.398
1.301
1.301
1.301
1.176
1.079
1.079
0.845
0.716
0.653
Y -Yy
0.474
0.468
0.438
0.428
0.404
0.376
0.332
0.325
0.283
0.274
0.248
0.212
0.209
0.188
0.181
0.181
0.143
0.143
0.134
0.120
0.084
0.075
0.063
0.056
0.056
0.046
0.005
0.005
-0.031
-0.041
-0.053
-0.053
-0.079
-0.092
-0.120
-0.150
-0.200
-0.200
-0.297
-0.297
-0.297
-0.421
-0.518
-0.518
-0.752
-0.882
-0.944
Y
Y
y
(Y -Yy)^3
0.107
0.102
0.084
0.078
0.066
0.053
0.037
0.034
0.023
0.021
0.015
0.010
0.009
0.007
0.006
0.006
0.003
0.003
0.002
0.002
0.001
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
-0.001
-0.002
-0.003
-0.008
-0.008
-0.026
-0.026
-0.026
-0.075
-0.139
-0.139
-0.426
-0.685
-0.842
-1.739
75.08
1.60
0.336
N=
47.00
2344.20
Xx
49.88
30.03
1.- De la Tabla N 01, determinamos las variable reducida Yn y la desviacin estndar esperada en funcin del
nemro de registros :
Entonces :
Yn =
0.5473
1.1557
=
2.- Luego se calcula el parmetro de dispersin:
x
y
1/ =
3.- Se calcula la moda :
u Xx YN
u =
Luego: y =
0.97
89.36
y u
*w
0.97
89.36
*w
Tr
2
5
10
25
50
100
200
500
1000
1/Tr
50.00
20.00
10.00
4.00
2.00
1.00
0.50
0.20
0.10
P (%)
50.00
80.00
90.00
96.00
98.00
99.00
99.50
99.80
99.90
F (y)
0.5000
0.8000
0.9000
0.9600
0.9800
0.9900
0.9950
0.9980
0.9990
w
0.370
1.500
2.250
3.200
3.900
4.600
5.315
6.210
6.910
Y
Y
y
75.08
1.60
0.336
CSy
( N 1) x ( N 2) x y
Luego :
2.- Se calcula el coeficiente de variacin : Cv =
N x Y Yy
CSy =
-1.0401
Cv =
0.2104
y / Yy
Por lo tanto :
3.- Luego la ecuacin de prediccin ser :
L o g Y Y y y *K
Entonces :
Log Y =
1.60
0.336
1/Tr
50.00
20.00
10.00
4.00
2.00
1.00
0.50
0.20
0.10
P (%)
50.00
80.00
90.00
96.00
98.00
99.00
99.50
99.80
99.90
K (Csy = -1.040)
0.164
0.852
1.128
1.366
1.496
1.588
1.664
1.801
1.895
Log Y
1.653
1.884
1.977
2.057
2.100
2.131
2.157
2.203
2.234
100
PRECIPITACIN (en mm)
10
1
1
10
100
100
PRECIPITACIN (en mm)
10
1
1
10
100
10
100
DO GUMBEL TIPO I
ilidad de excedencia:
Y = Precip.
34.03
135.01
202.03
286.93
349.48
412.03
475.93
555.91
618.46
*K
ilidad de excedencia:
Y = Precip.
44.94
76.54
94.77
113.94
125.99
135.29
143.49
159.54
171.58
10
100
1000
10
100
1000
10
100
1000
Xx
X (mm)
95.07
93.27
92.07
85.28
82.84
81.88
78.05
75.74
74.20
74.20
72.77
67.80
66.42
65.94
59.46
58.15
57.43
55.89
55.51
54.93
54.67
54.64
51.46
51.19
51.07
48.95
47.70
46.50
46.25
45.77
45.58
45.10
44.33
44.13
43.36
40.04
39.51
38.20
37.77
34.53
34.31
27.95
27.56
24.70
24.34
19.50
17.98
2534.01
53.92
19.81
Y = Log X
1.978
1.970
1.964
1.931
1.918
1.913
1.892
1.879
1.870
1.870
1.862
1.831
1.822
1.819
1.774
1.765
1.759
1.747
1.744
1.740
1.738
1.737
1.711
1.709
1.708
1.690
1.679
1.667
1.665
1.661
1.659
1.654
1.647
1.645
1.637
1.603
1.597
1.582
1.577
1.538
1.535
1.446
1.440
1.393
1.386
1.290
1.255
Y -Yy
0.278
0.270
0.264
0.231
0.218
0.213
0.192
0.179
0.170
0.170
0.162
0.131
0.122
0.119
0.074
0.065
0.059
0.047
0.044
0.040
0.038
0.037
0.011
0.009
0.008
-0.010
-0.021
-0.033
-0.035
-0.039
-0.041
-0.046
-0.053
-0.055
-0.063
-0.097
-0.103
-0.118
-0.123
-0.162
-0.165
-0.254
-0.260
-0.307
-0.314
-0.410
-0.445
Y
Y
y
(Y -Yy)^3
0.021
0.020
0.018
0.012
0.010
0.010
0.007
0.006
0.005
0.005
0.004
0.002
0.002
0.002
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
-0.001
-0.001
-0.002
-0.002
-0.004
-0.004
-0.016
-0.018
-0.029
-0.031
-0.069
-0.088
-0.140
79.90
1.70
0.174
N=
47.00
2534.01
Xx
53.92
19.81
1.- De la Tabla N 01, determinamos las variable reducida Yn y la desviacin estndar esperada en funcin del
nemro de registros :
Entonces :
Yn =
0.5473
1.1557
=
2.- Luego se calcula el parmetro de dispersin:
x
y
1/ =
3.- Se calcula la moda :
u Xx YN
u =
Luego: y =
-8.25
113.58
y u
*w
-8.25
113.58
*w
Tr
2
5
10
25
50
100
200
500
1000
1/Tr
50.00
20.00
10.00
4.00
2.00
1.00
0.50
0.20
0.10
P (%)
50.00
80.00
90.00
96.00
98.00
99.00
99.50
99.80
99.90
F (y)
0.5000
0.8000
0.9000
0.9600
0.9800
0.9900
0.9950
0.9980
0.9990
w
0.370
1.500
2.250
3.200
3.900
4.600
5.315
6.210
6.910
Y
Y
y
79.90
1.70
0.174
CSy
( N 1) x ( N 2) x y
Luego :
2.- Se calcula el coeficiente de variacin : Cv =
N x Y Yy
CSy =
-0.599
Cv =
0.1026
y / Yy
Por lo tanto :
3.- Luego la ecuacin de prediccin ser :
L o g Y Y y y *K
Entonces :
Log Y =
1.70
0.174
1/Tr
50.00
20.00
10.00
4.00
2.00
1.00
0.50
0.20
0.10
P (%)
50.00
80.00
90.00
96.00
98.00
99.00
99.50
99.80
99.90
K (Csy = -0.599)
0.099
0.857
1.200
1.528
1.720
1.880
2.016
2.424
2.675
Log Y
1.717
1.849
1.909
1.967
2.000
2.028
2.052
2.123
2.167
100
PRECIPITACIN (en mm)
10
1
1
10
100
100
PRECIPITACIN (en mm)
10
1
1
10
100
10
100
DO GUMBEL TIPO I
ilidad de excedencia:
Y = Precip.
33.78
162.12
247.30
355.20
434.71
514.21
595.42
697.07
776.57
*K
ilidad de excedencia:
Y = Precip.
52.15
70.71
81.16
92.58
100.01
106.64
112.63
132.68
146.76
10
100
1000
10
100
1000
10
100
1000
Xx
X (mm)
88.50
79.30
78.60
77.80
77.00
76.80
69.10
68.30
67.30
65.10
60.70
59.60
58.80
58.00
57.60
57.00
56.70
55.40
55.00
53.40
53.00
50.80
49.80
49.60
49.50
48.50
48.00
47.50
47.30
46.80
46.00
45.90
45.80
45.60
45.00
42.70
41.00
39.20
35.60
33.40
29.00
28.80
28.60
28.30
20.60
20.30
15.00
2401.60
51.10
16.66
Y = Log X
1.947
1.899
1.895
1.891
1.886
1.885
1.839
1.834
1.828
1.814
1.783
1.775
1.769
1.763
1.760
1.756
1.754
1.744
1.740
1.728
1.724
1.706
1.697
1.695
1.695
1.686
1.681
1.677
1.675
1.670
1.663
1.662
1.661
1.659
1.653
1.630
1.613
1.593
1.551
1.524
1.462
1.459
1.456
1.452
1.314
1.307
1.176
Y -Yy
0.265
0.218
0.214
0.209
0.205
0.204
0.158
0.153
0.146
0.132
0.102
0.094
0.088
0.082
0.079
0.074
0.072
0.062
0.059
0.046
0.043
0.024
0.016
0.014
0.013
0.004
0.000
-0.005
-0.007
-0.011
-0.019
-0.020
-0.021
-0.023
-0.028
-0.051
-0.069
-0.088
-0.130
-0.158
-0.219
-0.222
-0.225
-0.230
-0.368
-0.374
-0.506
Y
Y
y
(Y -Yy)^3
0.019
0.010
0.010
0.009
0.009
0.008
0.004
0.004
0.003
0.002
0.001
0.001
0.001
0.001
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
-0.001
-0.002
-0.004
-0.011
-0.011
-0.011
-0.012
-0.050
-0.052
-0.129
-0.201
79.04
1.68
0.164
N=
47.00
2401.60
Xx
51.10
16.66
1.- De la Tabla N 01, determinamos las variable reducida Yn y la desviacin estndar esperada en funcin del
nemro de registros :
Entonces :
Yn =
0.5473
1.1557
=
2.- Luego se calcula el parmetro de dispersin:
x
y
1/ =
3.- Se calcula la moda :
u Xx YN
u =
Luego: y =
-4.63
101.82
y u
*w
-4.63
101.82
*w
Tr
2
5
10
25
50
100
200
500
1000
1/Tr
50.00
20.00
10.00
4.00
2.00
1.00
0.50
0.20
0.10
P (%)
50.00
80.00
90.00
96.00
98.00
99.00
99.50
99.80
99.90
F (y)
0.5000
0.8000
0.9000
0.9600
0.9800
0.9900
0.9950
0.9980
0.9990
w
0.370
1.500
2.250
3.200
3.900
4.600
5.315
6.210
6.910
Y
Y
y
79.04
1.68
0.164
CSy
( N 1) x ( N 2) x y
Luego :
2.- Se calcula el coeficiente de variacin : Cv =
N x Y Yy
CSy =
-1.040
Cv =
0.0973
y / Yy
Por lo tanto :
3.- Luego la ecuacin de prediccin ser :
L o g Y Y y y *K
Entonces :
Log Y =
1.68
0.164
1/Tr
50.00
20.00
10.00
4.00
2.00
1.00
0.50
0.20
0.10
P (%)
50.00
80.00
90.00
96.00
98.00
99.00
99.50
99.80
99.90
K (Csy = -1.04)
0.164
0.852
1.128
1.366
1.496
1.588
1.664
1.801
1.895
Log Y
1.708
1.821
1.866
1.905
1.926
1.942
1.954
1.976
1.992
100
PRECIPITACIN (en mm)
10
1
1
10
100
100
PRECIPITACIN (en mm)
10
1
1
10
100
10
100
DO GUMBEL TIPO I
ilidad de excedencia:
Y = Precip.
33.05
148.10
224.46
321.19
392.46
463.73
536.53
627.66
698.93
*K
ilidad de excedencia:
Y = Precip.
51.10
66.23
73.49
80.39
84.42
87.40
89.94
94.70
98.12
10
100
1000
10
100
1000
10
100
1000
Xx
X (mm)
70.30
69.80
67.24
60.90
58.60
58.30
56.80
56.30
56.10
54.40
53.39
49.80
48.60
45.80
45.80
43.57
40.60
40.30
40.20
39.63
37.52
37.30
35.77
33.23
33.14
32.30
31.30
30.95
29.90
29.80
29.80
29.54
29.20
28.90
28.75
27.97
27.80
26.90
26.80
26.56
24.80
24.10
23.80
20.50
18.90
17.36
17.10
1816.40
38.65
14.43
Y = Log X
1.847
1.844
1.828
1.785
1.768
1.766
1.754
1.751
1.749
1.736
1.727
1.697
1.687
1.661
1.661
1.639
1.609
1.605
1.604
1.598
1.574
1.572
1.553
1.521
1.520
1.509
1.496
1.491
1.476
1.474
1.474
1.470
1.465
1.461
1.459
1.447
1.444
1.430
1.428
1.424
1.394
1.382
1.377
1.312
1.276
1.239
1.233
Y -Yy
0.289
0.286
0.270
0.227
0.210
0.208
0.197
0.193
0.191
0.178
0.170
0.139
0.129
0.103
0.103
0.081
0.051
0.047
0.046
0.040
0.016
0.014
-0.004
-0.036
-0.037
-0.049
-0.062
-0.067
-0.082
-0.084
-0.084
-0.087
-0.092
-0.097
-0.099
-0.111
-0.114
-0.128
-0.130
-0.134
-0.163
-0.176
-0.181
-0.246
-0.281
-0.318
-0.325
Y
Y
y
(Y -Yy)^3
0.024
0.023
0.020
0.012
0.009
0.009
0.008
0.007
0.007
0.006
0.005
0.003
0.002
0.001
0.001
0.001
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
-0.001
-0.001
-0.001
-0.001
-0.001
-0.001
-0.001
-0.001
-0.001
-0.002
-0.002
-0.002
-0.004
-0.005
-0.006
-0.015
-0.022
-0.032
-0.034
0.003
73.22
1.56
0.162
N=
47.00
1816.40
Xx
38.65
14.43
1.- De la Tabla N 01, determinamos las variable reducida Yn y la desviacin estndar esperada en funcin del
nemro de registros :
Entonces :
Yn =
0.5473
1.1557
=
2.- Luego se calcula el parmetro de dispersin:
x
y
1/ =
3.- Se calcula la moda :
u Xx YN
u =
Luego: y =
89.14
-10.14
y u
*w
-10.14
89.14
*w
Tr
2
5
10
25
50
100
200
500
1000
1/Tr
50.00
20.00
10.00
4.00
2.00
1.00
0.50
0.20
0.10
P (%)
50.00
80.00
90.00
96.00
98.00
99.00
99.50
99.80
99.90
F (y)
0.5000
0.8000
0.9000
0.9600
0.9800
0.9900
0.9950
0.9980
0.9990
w
0.370
1.500
2.250
3.200
3.900
4.600
5.315
6.210
6.910
Y
Y
y
73.22
1.56
0.162
CSy
( N 1) x ( N 2) x y
Luego :
2.- Se calcula el coeficiente de variacin : Cv =
N x Y Yy
CSy =
0.014
Cv =
0.1039
y / Yy
Por lo tanto :
3.- Luego la ecuacin de prediccin ser :
L o g Y Y y y *K
Entonces :
Log Y =
1.56
0.162
1/Tr
50.00
20.00
10.00
4.00
2.00
1.00
0.50
0.20
0.10
P (%)
50.00
80.00
90.00
96.00
98.00
99.00
99.50
99.80
99.90
K (Csy = 0.014)
-0.017
0.841
1.283
1.744
2.061
2.551
2.589
2.875
3.124
Log Y
1.555
1.694
1.766
1.840
1.891
1.971
1.977
2.023
2.064
100
PRECIPITACIN (en mm)
10
1
1
10
100
100
PRECIPITACIN (en mm)
10
1
1
10
100
10
100
DO GUMBEL TIPO I
ilidad de excedencia:
Y = Precip.
22.84
123.57
190.43
275.11
337.51
399.91
463.64
543.43
605.82
*K
ilidad de excedencia:
Y = Precip.
35.90
49.43
58.28
69.21
77.89
93.50
94.83
105.50
115.76
10
100
1000
10
100
1000
10
100
1000
Xx
X (mm)
84.66
73.18
68.21
67.90
67.50
66.78
66.30
65.50
64.90
64.50
64.20
63.69
61.15
60.20
59.82
57.80
55.80
54.86
52.21
51.10
50.00
49.89
47.24
46.80
45.70
45.20
45.03
42.50
42.40
42.20
41.90
41.83
39.51
39.51
39.40
39.29
38.96
37.20
36.80
36.70
36.30
36.20
35.21
33.44
25.30
21.85
21.52
2328.16
49.54
14.22
Y = Log X
1.928
1.864
1.834
1.832
1.829
1.825
1.822
1.816
1.812
1.810
1.808
1.804
1.786
1.780
1.777
1.762
1.747
1.739
1.718
1.708
1.699
1.698
1.674
1.670
1.660
1.655
1.654
1.628
1.627
1.625
1.622
1.622
1.597
1.597
1.596
1.594
1.591
1.570
1.566
1.565
1.560
1.559
1.547
1.524
1.403
1.340
1.333
Y -Yy
0.252
0.188
0.158
0.156
0.153
0.149
0.145
0.140
0.136
0.134
0.131
0.128
0.110
0.104
0.101
0.086
0.071
0.063
0.042
0.032
0.023
0.022
-0.002
-0.006
-0.016
-0.021
-0.023
-0.048
-0.049
-0.051
-0.054
-0.055
-0.079
-0.079
-0.081
-0.082
-0.085
-0.106
-0.110
-0.111
-0.116
-0.117
-0.129
-0.152
-0.273
-0.337
-0.343
Y
Y
y
(Y -Yy)^3
0.016
0.007
0.004
0.004
0.004
0.003
0.003
0.003
0.003
0.002
0.002
0.002
0.001
0.001
0.001
0.001
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
-0.001
-0.001
-0.001
-0.001
-0.001
-0.001
-0.002
-0.002
-0.002
-0.003
-0.020
-0.038
-0.040
-0.058
78.77
1.68
0.133
N=
47.00
2328.16
Xx
49.54
14.22
1.- De la Tabla N 01, determinamos las variable reducida Yn y la desviacin estndar esperada en funcin del
nemro de registros :
Entonces :
Yn =
0.5473
1.1557
=
2.- Luego se calcula el parmetro de dispersin:
x
y
1/ =
3.- Se calcula la moda :
u Xx YN
u =
Luego: y =
-9.01
106.96
y u
*w
-9.01
106.96
*w
Tr
2
5
10
25
50
100
200
500
1000
1/Tr
50.00
20.00
10.00
4.00
2.00
1.00
0.50
0.20
0.10
P (%)
50.00
80.00
90.00
96.00
98.00
99.00
99.50
99.80
99.90
F (y)
0.5000
0.8000
0.9000
0.9600
0.9800
0.9900
0.9950
0.9980
0.9990
w
0.370
1.500
2.250
3.200
3.900
4.600
5.315
6.210
6.910
Y
Y
y
78.77
1.68
0.133
CSy
( N 1) x ( N 2) x y
Luego :
2.- Se calcula el coeficiente de variacin : Cv =
N x Y Yy
CSy =
-0.5587
Cv =
0.0793
y / Yy
Por lo tanto :
3.- Luego la ecuacin de prediccin ser :
L o g Y Y y y *K
Entonces :
Log Y =
1.68
0.133
1/Tr
50.00
20.00
10.00
4.00
2.00
1.00
0.50
0.20
0.10
P (%)
50.00
80.00
90.00
96.00
98.00
99.00
99.50
99.80
99.90
K (Csy = -0.559)
0.092
0.857
1.207
1.544
1.743
1.864
2.054
2.365
2.585
Log Y
1.688
1.790
1.837
1.881
1.908
1.924
1.949
1.990
2.020
100
PRECIPITACIN (en mm)
10
1
1
10
100
100
PRECIPITACIN (en mm)
10
1
1
10
100
10
100
DO GUMBEL TIPO I
ilidad de excedencia:
Y = Precip.
30.57
151.44
231.66
333.28
408.15
483.02
559.50
655.24
730.11
*K
ilidad de excedencia:
Y = Precip.
48.79
61.66
68.63
76.09
80.87
83.92
88.95
97.84
104.65
10
100
1000
10
100
1000
10
100
1000
Xx
X (mm)
76.70
66.50
66.30
65.50
61.80
60.90
60.80
60.50
58.80
57.70
56.10
55.40
54.20
50.20
50.20
49.80
49.70
47.30
47.30
46.30
45.70
45.60
45.30
45.20
44.90
44.80
44.30
42.90
42.80
40.80
40.80
37.90
37.80
36.80
35.80
35.80
35.70
35.60
35.40
35.30
34.40
33.70
32.80
31.90
30.30
19.80
19.50
2153.60
45.82
12.27
Y = Log X
1.885
1.823
1.822
1.816
1.791
1.785
1.784
1.782
1.769
1.761
1.749
1.744
1.734
1.701
1.701
1.697
1.696
1.675
1.675
1.666
1.660
1.659
1.656
1.655
1.652
1.651
1.646
1.632
1.631
1.611
1.611
1.579
1.577
1.566
1.554
1.554
1.553
1.551
1.549
1.548
1.537
1.528
1.516
1.504
1.481
1.297
1.290
Y -Yy
0.240
0.178
0.177
0.172
0.146
0.140
0.139
0.137
0.125
0.116
0.104
0.099
0.089
0.056
0.056
0.053
0.052
0.030
0.030
0.021
0.015
0.014
0.011
0.010
0.008
0.007
0.002
-0.012
-0.013
-0.034
-0.034
-0.066
-0.067
-0.079
-0.091
-0.091
-0.092
-0.093
-0.096
-0.097
-0.108
-0.117
-0.129
-0.141
-0.163
-0.348
-0.355
Y
Y
y
(Y -Yy)^3
0.014
0.006
0.006
0.005
0.003
0.003
0.003
0.003
0.002
0.002
0.001
0.001
0.001
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
-0.001
-0.001
-0.001
-0.001
-0.001
-0.001
-0.001
-0.002
-0.002
-0.003
-0.004
-0.042
-0.045
-0.057
77.30
1.64
0.124
N=
47.00
2153.60
Xx
45.82
12.27
1.- De la Tabla N 01, determinamos las variable reducida Yn y la desviacin estndar esperada en funcin del
nemro de registros :
Entonces :
Yn =
0.5473
1.1557
=
2.- Luego se calcula el parmetro de dispersin:
x
y
1/ =
3.- Se calcula la moda :
u Xx YN
u =
Luego: y =
-8.33
98.94
y u
*w
-8.33
98.94
*w
Tr
2
5
10
25
50
100
200
500
1000
1/Tr
50.00
20.00
10.00
4.00
2.00
1.00
0.50
0.20
0.10
P (%)
50.00
80.00
90.00
96.00
98.00
99.00
99.50
99.80
99.90
F (y)
0.5000
0.8000
0.9000
0.9600
0.9800
0.9900
0.9950
0.9980
0.9990
w
0.370
1.500
2.250
3.200
3.900
4.600
5.315
6.210
6.910
Y
Y
y
77.30
1.64
0.124
CSy
( N 1) x ( N 2) x y
Luego :
2.- Se calcula el coeficiente de variacin : Cv =
N x Y Yy
CSy =
-0.6764
Cv =
0.0754
y / Yy
Por lo tanto :
3.- Luego la ecuacin de prediccin ser :
L o g Y Y y y *K
Entonces :
Log Y =
1.64
0.124
1/Tr
50.00
20.00
10.00
4.00
2.00
1.00
0.50
0.20
0.10
P (%)
50.00
80.00
90.00
96.00
98.00
99.00
99.50
99.80
99.90
K (Csy = -0.676)
0.112
0.857
1.187
1.467
1.677
1.824
1.948
2.241
2.455
Log Y
1.659
1.751
1.792
1.827
1.853
1.871
1.886
1.923
1.949
100
PRECIPITACIN (en mm)
10
1
1
10
100
100
PRECIPITACIN (en mm)
10
1
1
10
100
10
100
DO GUMBEL TIPO I
ilidad de excedencia:
Y = Precip.
28.28
140.08
214.29
308.28
377.54
446.80
517.54
606.09
675.35
*K
ilidad de excedencia:
Y = Precip.
45.56
56.36
61.93
67.08
71.22
74.28
76.95
83.67
88.94
10
100
1000
10
100
1000
10
100
1000
Xx
X (mm)
48.00
46.90
43.70
37.60
35.62
35.51
35.08
34.50
32.62
32.57
32.41
31.50
30.91
30.90
30.05
29.03
26.89
26.89
26.67
26.62
25.34
25.34
24.80
24.48
24.26
24.05
24.00
23.73
22.98
22.93
21.85
20.25
19.71
19.07
18.96
18.90
18.90
18.43
17.60
17.09
16.50
14.40
14.10
13.80
13.20
11.90
11.80
1202.32
25.58
8.78
Y = Log X
1.681
1.671
1.640
1.575
1.552
1.550
1.545
1.538
1.513
1.513
1.511
1.498
1.490
1.490
1.478
1.463
1.430
1.430
1.426
1.425
1.404
1.404
1.394
1.389
1.385
1.381
1.380
1.375
1.361
1.360
1.340
1.306
1.295
1.280
1.278
1.276
1.276
1.265
1.246
1.233
1.217
1.158
1.149
1.140
1.121
1.076
1.072
Y -Yy
0.299
0.289
0.258
0.193
0.169
0.168
0.163
0.155
0.131
0.130
0.128
0.116
0.107
0.107
0.095
0.080
0.047
0.047
0.044
0.043
0.021
0.021
0.012
0.006
0.002
-0.001
-0.002
-0.007
-0.021
-0.022
-0.043
-0.076
-0.088
-0.102
-0.105
-0.106
-0.106
-0.117
-0.137
-0.150
-0.165
-0.224
-0.233
-0.243
-0.262
-0.307
-0.311
Y
Y
y
(Y -Yy)^3
0.027
0.024
0.017
0.007
0.005
0.005
0.004
0.004
0.002
0.002
0.002
0.002
0.001
0.001
0.001
0.001
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
-0.001
-0.001
-0.001
-0.001
-0.001
-0.002
-0.003
-0.003
-0.005
-0.011
-0.013
-0.014
-0.018
-0.029
-0.030
-0.028
64.98
1.38
0.152
N=
47.00
1202.32
Xx
25.58
8.78
1.- De la Tabla N 01, determinamos las variable reducida Yn y la desviacin estndar esperada en funcin del
nemro de registros :
Entonces :
Yn =
0.5473
1.1557
=
2.- Luego se calcula el parmetro de dispersin:
x
y
1/ =
3.- Se calcula la moda :
u Xx YN
u =
Luego: y =
-6.07
57.83
y u
*w
-6.07
57.83
*w
Tr
2
5
10
25
50
100
200
500
1000
1/Tr
50.00
20.00
10.00
4.00
2.00
1.00
0.50
0.20
0.10
P (%)
50.00
80.00
90.00
96.00
98.00
99.00
99.50
99.80
99.90
F (y)
0.5000
0.8000
0.9000
0.9600
0.9800
0.9900
0.9950
0.9980
0.9990
w
0.370
1.500
2.250
3.200
3.900
4.600
5.315
6.210
6.910
Y
Y
y
64.98
1.38
0.152
CSy
( N 1) x ( N 2) x y
Luego :
2.- Se calcula el coeficiente de variacin : Cv =
N x Y Yy
CSy =
-0.1828
Cv =
0.1098
y / Yy
Por lo tanto :
3.- Luego la ecuacin de prediccin ser :
L o g Y Y y y *K
Entonces :
Log Y =
1.38
0.152
1/Tr
50.00
20.00
10.00
4.00
2.00
1.00
0.50
0.20
0.10
P (%)
50.00
80.00
90.00
96.00
98.00
99.00
99.50
99.80
99.90
K (Csy = -0.183)
0.030
0.849
1.260
1.686
1.954
2.191
2.404
2.705
3.055
Log Y
1.387
1.512
1.574
1.639
1.679
1.715
1.748
1.793
1.846
100
PRECIPITACIN (en mm)
10
1
1
10
100
100
PRECIPITACIN (en mm)
10
1
1
10
100
10
100
DO GUMBEL TIPO I
ilidad de excedencia:
Y = Precip.
15.33
80.67
124.04
178.98
219.46
259.93
301.28
353.03
393.51
*K
ilidad de excedencia:
Y = Precip.
24.39
32.47
37.49
43.51
47.79
51.92
55.93
62.14
70.23
10
100
1000
10
100
1000
10
100
1000
Xx
X (mm)
106.10
95.07
94.23
93.27
92.31
92.07
83.20
82.84
81.88
78.05
72.77
71.45
69.53
69.06
68.34
67.98
66.42
65.94
64.02
63.54
60.90
60.60
59.46
59.34
58.15
57.55
57.50
56.95
56.71
56.11
55.80
55.15
54.91
54.67
53.95
51.19
49.20
49.15
47.00
42.68
40.04
34.77
34.53
34.29
24.70
24.34
17.98
2885.68
61.40
19.66
Y = Log X
2.026
1.978
1.974
1.970
1.965
1.964
1.920
1.918
1.913
1.892
1.862
1.854
1.842
1.839
1.835
1.832
1.822
1.819
1.806
1.803
1.785
1.782
1.774
1.773
1.765
1.760
1.760
1.755
1.754
1.749
1.747
1.742
1.740
1.738
1.732
1.709
1.692
1.692
1.672
1.630
1.603
1.541
1.538
1.535
1.393
1.386
1.255
Y -Yy
0.263
0.216
0.212
0.207
0.203
0.202
0.158
0.156
0.151
0.130
0.099
0.092
0.080
0.077
0.072
0.070
0.060
0.057
0.044
0.041
0.022
0.020
0.012
0.011
0.002
-0.002
-0.003
-0.007
-0.009
-0.013
-0.016
-0.021
-0.023
-0.025
-0.030
-0.053
-0.071
-0.071
-0.090
-0.132
-0.160
-0.221
-0.224
-0.227
-0.370
-0.376
-0.508
Y
Y
y
(Y -Yy)^3
0.018
0.010
0.009
0.009
0.008
0.008
0.004
0.004
0.003
0.002
0.001
0.001
0.001
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
-0.001
-0.002
-0.004
-0.011
-0.011
-0.012
-0.051
-0.053
-0.131
-0.196
82.84
1.76
0.160
N=
47.00
2885.68
Xx
61.40
19.66
1.- De la Tabla N 01, determinamos las variable reducida Yn y la desviacin estndar esperada en funcin del
nemro de registros :
Entonces :
Yn =
0.5473
1.1557
=
2.- Luego se calcula el parmetro de dispersin:
x
y
1/ =
3.- Se calcula la moda :
u Xx YN
u =
Luego: y =
-5.78
122.74
y u
*w
-5.78
122.74
*w
Tr
2
5
10
25
50
100
200
500
1000
1/Tr
50.00
20.00
10.00
4.00
2.00
1.00
0.50
0.20
0.10
P (%)
50.00
80.00
90.00
96.00
98.00
99.00
99.50
99.80
99.90
F (y)
0.5000
0.8000
0.9000
0.9600
0.9800
0.9900
0.9950
0.9980
0.9990
w
0.370
1.500
2.250
3.200
3.900
4.600
5.315
6.210
6.910
Y
Y
y
82.84
1.76
0.160
CSy
( N 1) x ( N 2) x y
Luego :
2.- Se calcula el coeficiente de variacin : Cv =
N x Y Yy
CSy =
-1.0833
Cv =
0.0909
y / Yy
Por lo tanto :
3.- Luego la ecuacin de prediccin ser :
L o g Y Y y y *K
Entonces :
Log Y =
1.76
0.160
1/Tr
50.00
20.00
10.00
4.00
2.00
1.00
0.50
0.20
0.10
P (%)
50.00
80.00
90.00
96.00
98.00
99.00
99.50
99.80
99.90
K (Csy = -1.083)
0.179
0.849
1.110
1.332
1.447
1.532
1.598
1.775
1.865
Log Y
1.791
1.898
1.940
1.976
1.994
2.008
2.018
2.047
2.061
100
PRECIPITACIN (en mm)
10
1
1
10
100
100
PRECIPITACIN (en mm)
10
1
1
10
100
10
100
DO GUMBEL TIPO I
ilidad de excedencia:
Y = Precip.
39.64
178.33
270.38
386.98
472.89
558.81
646.56
756.41
842.32
*K
ilidad de excedencia:
Y = Precip.
61.82
79.15
87.15
94.59
98.69
101.83
104.34
111.38
115.14
10
100
1000
10
100
1000
10
100
1000
N
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
Fuente :
Yn
0.5236
0.5252
0.5268
0.5282
0.5296
0.5309
0.5309
0.5320
0.5332
0.5353
0.5362
0.5371
0.5380
0.5388
0.5396
0.5403
0.5410
0.5418
0.5424
0.5430
0.5436
0.5442
0.5448
0.5453
0.5458
0.5463
0.5468
0.5473
0.5477
0.5481
Sn
1.0628
1.0695
1.0755
1.0812
1.0865
1.0915
1.0961
1.1004
1.1047
1.1086
1.1124
1.1159
1.1193
1.2260
1.2550
1.1285
1.1313
1.1339
1.1363
1.1388
1.1413
1.1436
1.1458
1.1480
1.1499
1.1519
1.1538
1.1557
1.1574
1.1590
N
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
62
64
66
68
70
72
74
76
78
80
82
84
86
88
90
92
94
96
98
Yn
0.5485
0.5489
0.5493
0.5497
0.5501
0.5504
0.5508
0.5510
0.5552
0.5552
0.5521
0.5527
0.5333
0.5538
0.5543
0.5548
0.5552
0.5557
0.5561
0.5565
0.5569
0.5572
0.5576
0.5580
0.5583
0.5586
0.5589
0.5592
0.5595
0.5598
NOMENOS EN HIDROLOGIA"
a"
Sn
1.1607
1.1623
1.1638
1.1653
1.1667
1.1681
1.1696
1.1708
1.1721
1.1734
1.1747
1.1770
1.1793
1.1814
1.1834
1.1854
1.1873
1.1890
1.1906
1.1923
1.1938
1.1953
1.1967
1.1980
1.1994
1.2007
1.2020
1.2032
1.2044
1.2055
0.500
0.200
0.100
RESULTADO : 1.905
----------->
----------->
----------->
1.98
X
1.880
N ORDEN
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
ESTACION
PLUVIOMETRICA
LAMBAYEQUE
FERREAFE
CHICLAYO
PUCALA
TINAJONES
REQUE
PIMENTEL
PUCHACA
TOCMOCHE
LLAMA
HUAMBOS
SANTA CRUZ
CHANCAY BAOS
CHUGUR
QUILCATE
COCHABAMBA
LATITUD
LONGITUD
642 S
638 S
646 S
645 S
640 S
653 S
650 S
621 S
625 S
630 S
627 S
637 S
634 S
640 S
649 S
628 S
7955 W
7947 W
7950 W
7936 W
7929 W
7951 W
79 56 W
7928 W
7922 W
79 07 W
7858 W
7857 W
7852 W
7840 W
7844 W
7853 W
ALTITUD
(m.s.n.m.)
18
67
27
85
240
21
4
500
1250
2090
2200
2000
1600
2744
3100
1800
CUENCA
CHANCAY
CHANCAY
CHANCAY
CHANCAY
CHANCAY
CHANCAY
CHANCAY
LA LECHE
LE LECHE
CHANCAY
CHANCAY
CHANCAY
CHANCAY
CHANCAY
CHANCAY
CHANCAY