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CenterforPublicPolicy:Polls

Wherepolicymatters.

Surveyof805LikelyVotersVirginiaStatewideSurveyPresidentialPoll2016July2016
Respondent'sGender

Female: 45.8 %

Male: 54.2 %

Male

Female

Q3.IftheelectionforPresidentoftheUnitedStateswereheldtoday,whatarethechancesofyourvotingintheElection?Areyou:
You probably would vote: 14.5 %

Almost certain to vote: 85.5 %

Almost certain to vote

You probably would vote

Q4.Iftheelectionwereheldtoday,forwhomwouldyouvote:
Don't know/Refused: 22.0 %

Democrat Hillary Clinton: 38.8 %

Republican Donald Trump: 39.2 %

Democrat Hillary Clinton

Republican Donald Trump

Don't know/Refused

Q5.PleasetellmewhichoneissueonthislistshouldbethetoppriorityofthenextPresidentoftheUnitedStates,nomatterwhoitis:
Don't Know /Refused: 5.7 %
Size of government: 9.0 %

Healthcare: 9.8 %

Working to improve the Economy and create jobs: 42.1 %

Terrorism: 23.9 %

Immigration: 9.5 %

Working to improve the Economy and create jobs

Immigration

Terrorism

Healthcare

Size of government

Don't Know /Refused

Q6.Doyouhaveaveryfavorable,favorable,unfavorable,orveryunfavorableopinionofDonaldTrump?
Dont know/Refused: 3.6 %
Heard of but no opinion: 2.5 %

Very favorable: 12.1 %

Very unfavorable: 30.3 %

Favorable: 28.5 %

Unfavorable: 23.1 %

Very favorable

Favorable

Unfavorable

Very unfavorable

Heard of but no opinion

Dont know/Refused

Q7.Doyouhaveaveryfavorable,favorable,unfavorable,orveryunfavorableopinionofHillaryClinton?
Dont know/Refused: 2.8 %

Very favorable: 10.7 %

Heard of but no opinion: 1.2 %

Very unfavorable: 35.8 %


Favorable: 27.1 %

Unfavorable: 22.4 %

Very favorable

Favorable

Unfavorable

Very unfavorable

Heard of but no opinion

Dont know/Refused

Q8.LetsbeginwithHillaryClinton.DoyoubelieveHillaryClintonistrustworthyornot?
Dont know/Refused: 3.5 %

Trustworthy: 32.1 %

Not: 64.4 %

Trustworthy

Not

Dont know/Refused

Q9.AndnowDonaldTrump.DoyoubelieveDonaldTrumpistrustworthyornot?
Dont know/Refused: 5.2 %

Trustworthy: 36.7 %

Not: 58.1 %

Trustworthy

Not

Dont know/Refused

Q10.Now,letsturntoadifferenttopic.Overall,doyouapproveordoyoudisapproveofthejobBarackObamaisdoingasthe
PresidentoftheUnitedStates?
Don't know/Refused: 3.8 %

Approve: 49.8 %
Disapprove: 46.4 %

Approve

Disapprove

Don't know/Refused

Q11.Overall,doyouapproveordoyoudisapproveofjobTerryMcAuliffeisdoingastheGovernorofVirginia?
Don't know/Refused: 17.0 %

Approve: 56.8 %
Disapprove: 26.2 %

Approve

Disapprove

Don't know/Refused

Q12.Letsstartwiththeeconomy.Whichpresidentialcandidatedoyouthinkhasabetterplanforourcountryseconomy:
Don't know/Refused: 11.8 %

Donald Trump: 46.9 %

Hillary Clinton: 41.3 %

Donald Trump

Hillary Clinton

Don't know/Refused

Q13.Doyouthinkthereshouldbeafederalbanonautomaticrifles?
Don't know/Refused: 4.6 %

No: 42.7 %

Yes: 52.7 %

Yes

No

Don't know/Refused

Q14.Howaboutsemiautomaticrifles?Shouldtherebeafederalbanonsemiautomaticrifles?
Don't know/Refused: 7.1 %

No: 27.1 %

Yes: 65.8 %

Yes

No

Don't know/Refused

Q15.Doyouthinkthereshouldbeincreasedregulationsofanykindplacedongunpurchases?
Don't know/Refused: 4.6 %

No: 34.6 %

Yes: 60.8 %

Yes

No

Don't know/Refused

Q16.DoyouthinktheU.S.shouldleadagroundforcecoalitionagainstISIS(IslamicStateinIraq&Syria)?
Don't know/Refused: 12.8 %

Yes: 54.6 %
No: 32.6 %

Yes

No

Don't know/Refused

Q17.DoyouthinktheU.S.shouldparticipateatallinamultinationgroundforcecoalitionagainstISIS(IslamicStateinIraq&Syria)?
Don't know/Refused: 14.9 %

No: 26.8 %

Yes: 58.3 %

Yes

No

Don't know/Refused

Q19.Currently,manyregulationsareinplaceregardinghowtoimmigratelegallytotheUnitedStates.Doyoufavororoppose
enforcingthoseregulationstopreventillegalimmigrationintotheU.S?
Don't know/Refused: 6.9 %

Oppose: 12.9 %

Favor: 80.2 %

Favor

Oppose

Don't know/Refused

Q20.WouldyoupreferthattherebedecreasedorincreasedregulationsregardinglegalimmigrationintotoU.S.?
Don't know/Refused: 18.0 %
Decreased: 24.3 %

Increased: 57.7 %

Decreased

Increased

Don't know/Refused

Demographics
Pleasetellmewhichofthefollowinggeneralcategoriesbestdescribesyourage:
Refused: 0.5 %

18 to 24: 7.1 %

75 or older: 8.9 %
25 to 34: 14.7 %

65 to 74: 11.3 %

35 to 44: 15.5 %

55 to 64: 19.6 %

45 to 54: 22.3 %

18 to 24

25 to 34

35 to 44

45 to 54

55 to 64

65 to 74

75 or older

Refused

Q22.Whatisthelastgradeinschoolyoucompleted?
Don't know/Refused: 0.2 %

Grade school: 1.8 %

Technical school: 1.3 %

Some high school: 5.2 %

Graduate degree: 17.6 %

Some graduate school: 2.1 %

High school graduate: 27.0 %

4-Year college degree: 20.8 %

Some college: 24.0 %

Grade school

Graduate degree

Some high school

Technical school

High school graduate

Don't know/Refused

Some college

4-Year college degree

Some graduate school

Q23.Whatisyourcurrentmaritalstatus?Areyoucurrentlymarried,widowed,divorced,separatedorhaveyouneverbeenmarried?
Don't know/Refused: 0.5 %
Never been married: 18.9 %

Separated: 1.7 %

Divorced: 13.1 %
Married: 59.3 %

Widowed: 6.5 %

Married

Widowed

Divorced

Separated

Never been married

Don't know/Refused

Q24.Whatisyourcurrentemploymentstatus?Areyoucurrently:
Don't know/Refused: 0.3 %
Something else: 5.2 %
Unemployed: 3.7 %

Retired: 21.2 %

Employed: 62.3 %

A student: 2.7 %
A homemaker: 4.6 %

Employed

A homemaker

A student

Retired

Unemployed

Something else

Don't know/Refused

Q25.Whichofthefollowingcategoriesbestdescribesyourcurrentemployment?Wouldyousayyouarecurrently:
Don't know/Refused: 0.6 %

A laborer: 5.5 %

Something else: 15.9 %


A skilled laborer or tradesman: 15.4 %

A high level professional: 6.4 %

A white collar worker: 10.9 %

A middle level professional: 22.5 %


In sales or a business owner/proprietor: 13.0 %
An Executive or Manager: 9.8 %

A laborer

A skilled laborer or tradesman

A middle level professional

A white collar worker

A high level professional

In sales or a business owner/proprietor

Something else

Don't know/Refused

An Executive or Manager

Q26.Pleaseestimateyourtotalhouseholdincomefor2015.Whichofthefollowinggeneralcategoriesbestrepresentsyourtotalfamily
incomefrom2015:
Don't know/Refused: 11.6 %

Less than $20,000: 8.5 %


$20,000 to less than $30,000: 6.6 %

$30,000 to less than $40,000: 9.3 %


More than $100,000: 24.6 %

$40,000 to less than $50,000: 8.2 %

$75,000 to $100,000: 13.9 %

Less than $20,000

$20,000 to less than $30,000

$50,000 to less than $75,000

$75,000 to $100,000

$50,000 to less than $75,000: 17.2 %

$30,000 to less than $40,000


More than $100,000

$40,000 to less than $50,000

Don't know/Refused

Q27.DoyouconsideryourselfaDemocrat,aRepublican,anIndependent,orsomethingelse?Wouldyousayyougenerallyleanmore
towardDemocratormoretowardRepublican?
Don't know/Refused: 4.7 %
Something else: 0.4 %
Independent: 8.5 %

Democrat: 43.4 %

Republican: 42.9 %

Democrat

Republican

Independent

Something else

Don't know/Refused

Q28.Pleasetellmewithwhichofthefollowingracesdoyoumostcloselyidentify:
Don't know/Refused: 2.8 %
Other: 2.7 %

African-American/Black: 18.8 %

Hispanic/Latino: 4.7 %

Caucasian/White: 71.0 %

African-American/Black

Caucasian/White

Hispanic/Latino

Other

Don't know/Refused

SSRSfieldedasurveyoflikelyvotersinVirginia(personslivingintheStatewhoareregisteredtovoteandsaidtheyarealmostcertainorverylikely
tovoteinthenextelection).SamplewasattainedfromtheregisteredvoterlistforVirginia.Thesedatawereweightedtoreflectthevoterregistration
populationofVirginiaages18yearsofageandolder.Theweightingprocesstakesintoaccountthedisproportionateprobabilitiesofhouseholdand
respondentselectionduetothenumberoflandlinesorcellphonesansweredbyrespondentsandtheirhouseholds.Followingapplicationofthe
aboveweights,thesampleispoststratifiedandbalancedbykeydemographicssuchasage,race,sex,education,maritalstatus,andparty
affiliation.ThesampleisalsoweightedtoreflectthedistributionofphoneusageforregisteredvotersofVirginia,meaningtheproportionofthose
whoarecellphoneonly,landlineonly,andmixedusers.ThistoplineisprovidedbySSRS.
Themarginoferrorforthesurveyis+/4.6%forthefullsample.

Q29.InwhatcountyinthestateofVirginiadoyoulive?
TotalParticipants:805
Accomack

Dickenson

KingWilliam

PrinceGeorge

11

Albemarle

14

Dinwiddie

Lancaster

PrinceWilliam

29

AlexandriaCity

12

EmporiaCity

Lee

Pulaski

Alleghany

Essex

LexingtonCity

RadfordCity

Amelia

Fairfax

76

Loudoun

35

Rappahannock

Amherst

FairfaxCity

Louisa

Richmond

Appomattox

FallsChurchCity

Lunenburg

RichmondCity

22

Arlington

18

Fauquier

LynchburgCity

Roanoke

16

Augusta

17

Floyd

Madison

RoanokeCity

11

Bath

Fluvanna

ManassasCity

Rockbridge

BedfordCity

Franklin

ManassasParkCity

Rockingham

14

Bland

FranklinCity

MartinsvilleCity

Russell

Botecourt

Frederick

Mathews

SalemCity

BristolCity

FredericksburgCity

Mecklenburg

Scott

Brunswick

GalaxCity

Middlesex

Shenandoah

Buchanan

Giles

Montgomery

Smyth

Buckingham

Gloucester

Nelson

Southampton

BuenaVistaCity

Goochland

NewKent

Spotsylvania

Campbell

Grayson

NewportNewsCity

16

Stafford

19

Caroline

Greene

NorfolkCity

21

StauntonCity

Carroll

Greensville

Northampton

SuffolkCity

CharlesCity

Halifax

10

Northumberland

Surrey

Charlotte

HamptonCity

21

NortonCity

Sussex

CharlottesvilleCity

Hanover

14

Nottoway

Tazewell

ChesapeakeCity

36

HarrisonburgCity

Orange

VirginiaBeachCity

37

Chesterfield

33

Henrico

23

Page

Warren

Clarke

Henry

Patrick

Washington

ColonialHeightsCity

Highland

PetersburgCity

WaynesboroCity

CovingtonCity

HopewellCity

Pittsylvania

11

Westmoreland

Craig

IsleofWight

PoquosonCity

WilliamsburgCity

Culpeper

JamesCity

PortsmouthCity

10

WinchesterCity

Cumberland

KingandQueen

Powhatan

Wise

DanvilleCity

KingGeorge

PrinceEdward

Wythe

York

Don'tknow/Refused

18

Landlinevs.Cell

Landline: 39.2 %

Cell: 60.8 %

Landline

Cell

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