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PERSONNEL SELECTION
ROBERT M. GUION
Findlay CoUege
135
136
PERSONNEL PSYCHOLOGY
137
138
PERSONNEL PSYCHOLOGY
139
140
PERSONNEL PSYCHOLOGY
141
tion for suggesting that one sort of measure has a better batting
average than another. The writers do in fact accept the idea
that the custom-built devices of the last two tables have shown
a better predictive validity on the average than have the
inventories, but the conviction is based on more than these
tables. The data in the various tables, and within them as well,
simply are not comparable data. Table 1, for example, contains
many examples of broadside research-studies in which
every available measure seems to have been correlated with
available criteria; in such studies, investigators do not seriously expect all variables to be related to their criteria. Greater
deliberation seems to have been involved in the studies of the
other tables. Too, there may well have been more selectivity
in the reports. Among the inventories, some of the forcedchoice formats, such as in the Study of Values, may operate
so that validity of one scale serves to inhibit validity in another.
Certainly the reports on personal history are not all alike, some
reporting on individual items and others on final scales.
What can be said of these percentage statements is that they
demonstrate that personality measures have had predictive
validity more often than can be accounted for simply by chance.
It should be clear that no blanket indictment is justified or
sensible. Since all predictive reports (combining data from all
tables) yielded only 12 per cent significantly different from
zero, or included 88 per cent where the null hypothesis could
not be rejected, it is equally clear that no case has been established for any generalized predictive validity of such instruments-or
even any good odds for predictive validity in
specific situations.
It would, therefore, be instructive to examine the tables
carefully for any hints they may yield about the kinds of
criteria or the kinds of jobs or the specific tests where the
odds might be improved. Unfortunately, such comparisons
are even more tenuous than those between tables. The type
of criterion information given in most reports defies reliable
classification much beyond that already given here; most studies report ratings but give so little information that one often
is not entirely sure even what the investigators hoped for, let
alone what the raters actually gave them. Job descriptions
ule (15 s c a b )
Edwards Personal
Freferenca Bched-
(14 scales)
B e m u t e r Personality Inventory
Teat
56
foremen
70
50
industrial ealesmen
retail saleamen
603
managers &supervisors
332
37
33
psychiatric aidea
engineers
production supervisors
100-538
21
petroleum salesmen
salea manaBers
06
foremen
Job
ratings
ratings
ratings
ratings
ings
ratings
admin. action
tenlUT
criterion
-
corr.
cow.
con.
con.
group comp.
cow.
group comp. (4 or
6 scales?)
corr. (5 seta of rs
for 6 scalea)
cow. (3 scales)
Method
(b) N.S.
Nur, -.32;
End, 27. (3 of 15 rs
signif. at 5%)
~ U C ,-.32;
dom: .32
[a) N.S.,
3elf?euff.,BOC. signid.
a t 5% level
5 of 30 rs signif. a t
5% level
Results*
P
No
No
No
No
Yea
No
No
No
C
No
--
--
--
--
--
--
1960
Reference
~~~~
1980
1963
~~
1966
&:Aylwsrd,
Dunnette.
Harrell, 1960
--
TABLE 1
Summary of Validation Studies for Personality and Interest Inventoriee
.
I
Guilford-Martin2 ,F
Pers. Inv. (3 s c d e
No
N.S.
corr.
30
aaaemblers
No
N.S.
group comp.
ratings
typist
No
.
Mrr
ratings
typist
No
No
co, .22
corr.
21
ratings
foremen
N.S.
No
N.S.
wrr.
ratings
18
~~
foremen
No
N.S.
corr.
ratings
28
budget clerks
Co, .30
corr.
51
budget clerks
ratings
33
production supervi.
uors
Westberg, Pitzpatrick,
L McCarty, 1954b
Westberg, Fitrpatrick
& McC&y, l9Ma
McCarty, Westberg,
& Fitzpatrick, 1954
McCarty, 1954
Grant, 19541,
Grant, 1954s
No
Wright, Sisler, L
Chylinski, 1963
No
No
N.S.
No
group comp.
group wmp.
wrr.
ratiis
(i) 208
(ii) 143
(i) executives
(E) supervisors
197
50
93
electronic tacbnicians
sales
varied (non-sales)
Guilford-Zimmerman
Temp. Survey
Inventories GAMIN
and STDCR
Inventory of GAMIN
51
244
100
69
72
varied
engineers
secretaries
secretaries
109
67
(i) 208
(ii) 143
(i) executives
(ii) supervisora
assemblers
21
maint. mechanics
rankings
salary grade
ratings
ratings (5 kinda)
(a)
ratings
ratings
Method
wrr.
corr.
corr.
corr.
corr.
corr.
group comp.
corr.
66
tenure
wrr.
ratings
Criterion
50
33
Job
product. supvrs.
Test
TABLE 1-(Continued)
2 8 ; (b) N.S.
G, .24;E, .34
N.S.
N.S.
14 of 50 signif. a t 5%
level
N.S.
N.S.
(a) Co,
N.S.
Results"
No
No
Yes
No
No
No
No
No
No
No
Yes
c v=
McCarty, 1957b
McCarty, 1957a
Kirkpatrick, 1956
Reference
Kuder, Vocational
Kuder, Personal (6
scales)
50
93
salesmen
varied (non-sales)
104
487
truck drivers
150
executives
44
49
policemen
aupervisore
125
150
executives
4 group8
34-76
66
salesmen
foremen
05Ce
tenure
group wmp. (9
Scales?)
corr. (9 scales)
wrr.
ratings
peer ratings
wrr.
ratings
signif. at 1% level
artistic, .42
N.S.
N.S.
corr.
wrr.
A, - 2 7 on social
skills ratings. (1 of
20 signif. a t 5%
level)
corr.
% of sales in district
N.S.
wrr.
corr.
ratings
1
No
No
No
No
No
No
No
No
--
--
No
--
--
--
--
--
~~
~~
~~
Parker, 1953
Carter, 1952
Wagner, 1960
Sterne, 1960
1954
~~~
Wagner, 1960
Wilaon, 1959
cn
aZ
t0
Test
26
11
4
draftamen
foremen
draftamen trainees
~~
20
draftamen
ratings
ratings
grades
ratings
30
rating8
assemblers
PO
typists
ratings
ratings
a2
foremen
227
18
foremen
ratings
aircraft production
supervisors
28
budget clerks
ratings
ratings
61
budget clerks
Criterion
ratings
~~
typists
11
N.S.
N.S.
N.S.
Resultsm
N.S.
N.S.
meoh, 4 4
art,
Scaled)
wrr. (9 scales)
wrr. (9 scales)
Method
TABLE 1-(Continued)
No
No
No
No
No
No
No
No
No
~~
Weatberg, Fitspatrick,
& McCarty, 1964b
Weatberg, Fitrpatrick,
& McCarty, 19%
McCarty, W e a t k g , &
Fitzpatrick, 1964
McCarty, 1954
Grant, 1964b
Grant, l9Ma
Bruce,1954
Reference
No
Perrine, 19.56
C
No
Perrine, 196.5
P
No
Perrine, 1955
-
--
C
-
CVC
Gordon Personal
Profile
Gordon Personal
Inventory
c _
No
37
22
A: IM
B: 161
insurance salesmen
41
41
71
computer programmers
0 5 c s workers
managere
ratings
ratings
corr. (4scorea)
(a)
orig, .43
ierv, -.188
con. (4 scores)
corr. (5 scorea)
No
10 of 45 rs signif. a t
5% level or better
admin. action
87
typewriter aaleamen
100-538
N.S.
ratings
sales managers
No
800
corr. (Qscalea)
ratings
160
No
No
No
No
Yea
No
--
--
--
--
--
--
-P
No
--
--
executives
-.lo
No
420
--
managera
.40
corr. (10 s d w )
rat*:
(a) perf.; (b)
potential
420
61
managers
farmers
Bass, Karstendiek,
McCullough, &
Fhitt, 1964
Dugan, 1961
Aah, 19130
Wagner,
Miner, 1980
Miner, 1980
MMPI
41
130
office workers
data promsing
equipment salesmen
ratings
newspaper writers
psychiatric aiden
156
tenure
N.S.
N.S.
(a) L, .37;K, 3 5 ; D,
ings
A, 3 3
A. 3 4
81
larmers
scales)
corr. (4 scales)
wrr. (4 scales)
@) instructor rat-
(a) high v8. Iow accident rate; (b) accidents vs. no accidents
104
truck drivers
45
rankmg
41
E, 3 3 , 3 2 , C 3 9 (3 of
25 8 s signif.)
wrr. (5 scores)
ratings (5 scales)
N.S.
E signif. a t 5% level
in 2 samples; 2 of
24 rs signif.
WIT.
(5 swres)
wrr. (4 scales, 6
samples)
Resultsa
ratings
ratings
Method
TABLE l-(Coontinued)
Criterion
computer programmers
87
typewriter salesmer
28-66
Gordon Personal
ProfileAeontinucd
foodstuffs salesmen
Test
No
cvc
No
No
No
No
Reference
Parker, 1653
Maher, 1963a
1961
1961
Ash, 1960
Bass. 1957
1967
--
--
--
-C
No
--
vb
--
Strong Vocational
Interest Blank
survival
358
220
data processing
equipment salesmen
electric trpewriter
salesmen
37
engineers
61
72
varied
retail salesmen
129
policemen
ratings
survival
ratings
33
7
1
tenure
197
production supervisors
psycbiatrie aides
electronic technicians
corr.
eorr. (3 scales)
group comp. (4
scales only)
8 of 48 scales signif. at
5% level
signif. at 2% level
signif. at 1% level
Two of 96 ~ signif.
8
at 5% level
Aviator, Mf at 5%
level (2 of 42 tests
signif. at 5% level)
No
No
No
No
No
I I
Yes
Yes
C
No
--
--
--
-_-
--
--
--
--
1960
1958
1958
1956
Dunnette & A y l w s d ,
1963
Butterfield &Warren,
pol, .35
rel, -.33
.
mrr
wrr.
ratings
ratings
45
44
newpaper writers
advertiiing space
salesmen
N.S. = Not significant, or, if more than one, none significant at the 5% level.
dollarsales
corr,
(a) aesth, 2 5 ; @)
N.S.
118
group m a p .
ratings
4 scales signif; 2 s d e a
N.S.
6 of 48 s d w signif.
at 6% level
con.
ratings on: (a) sociability; (b) org. ability; (c) drive; (d)
job success; (e) POtential
37
steel production
supervisors
I turnover
mrr.
Method
Criterion
79
70
engineers
Varies
43-06
21
foremen
petroleum saleamen
industrial saleamen
Job
scales)
Study of V a l ~ w(6
(continued)
strong Vocational
Intereat Blank
-~
Tat
TABLE l - ( C ~ t i n ~ d )
Yea
No
No
Boyd, 1961
Harrell, 1960
No
No
IClNo
--
Maher, 1963b
Maher, 1963s
--
l l
--
--
Reference
151
have usually been very sketchy. And, except for the Kuder
Vocational, no single test was used in enough independent
studies to provide reliable percentages.
Any conclusions reached, therefore, are necessarily quite
subjective; readers are urged to examine these tables in the
light of what familiarity they may have with individual
studies.
Conclusions and Implications
Sentence Completion
deputy sheriffs
dept. store
floor mgrs.
policemen
Rosenzweig P-F
(6 scales)
/11
53
129
76
supervisors
peer ratings
.58
- .60
N.S.
corr.
11 of 60 rs signif. a t 5% level
N.S.
T =
~ ~ ~ i t s 5
corr.
corr. (6 scales
(2);
(b) ach. test;
conformity
(c) marksmanrating; 35 rs)
ship; (d) ratings
(4 m d e s
corr.
ratings
244
corr. (total
score)
Method
engineers
sales data
Criterion
65
dealer salesmen
Job
Rorschach (S-0)
(10 measures)
~~
Test
TABLE 2
Summary of Validities of Projective Measures
No
No
C
Sinaiko, 1954
No
No
No
--
--
Kirkpatrick, 1956
No
Miner, 1962
Reference
--
VJ cvc
--
P
0
P
T
v)
~~
53
inside salesmen
factory workers
66
(0)
(b)
production
corr. (weighted
wording key)
corr. (2 categories on PH
vs. criterion)
(c)
.61
.a
(a) .66
(b) .65
Ip
Ic
No
No
Peck t Parsons,
1956
(a) promotion;
(b) ratings
No
(a) .34
@) .31
sales
129
salesmen
No
corr.
accidents
N.S. = Not significant, or, if more than one, none significant a t the 5% level.
b Validity; P = predictive validity and C = concurrent validity.
* Cross-validation or replication, yes or no.
34
industrial
workers
Test
45
foremen
auto salesmen
100
foremen
Personal Inventory
358
office workers
749
358
97
IBM operators
office workers
67
54
taxicab drivers
taxicab drivers
Job
Job Preference
Inventory
Interest Inventory
gross earnings
turnover: (a)
3 mos.; (b)
12 mos.
ranked
job level
turnover: (a)
3 mos.; (b)
12 mos.
accidents
sales
% of total
Criterion
corr.
corr.
con.
corr.
corr.
corr.
scales)
corr. (4
con.
Method
.44
.26
(a) .19
(b) .19
(b) N.S.
(4
N.S.
N.S.
.31
ResultP
TABLE 3
Ghiselli &Brown,
1952
No
3n
ifP
_
.
No
-_
Reference
CVC
cn
cera
(a) ratings;
(b) creativity checklist
(c) patent
disclosures
49
I (a). 60
corr.
I1 (a) .38
(b)
I11 (a) N.S.
'3) 3 6
(b) -49
(a) .613
(b) .521
(c) .517
corr.
I. 89 (a) ratings;
11.58
(b) tenure
100
N.S. = Not significant, or, if more than one, none significant at the 5% level.
Validity; P = predictive validity and C = concurrent validity.
Cross-validation or replication, yes or no.
gineers
I scientists Q: en-
%Q
signif. a t 1% level;
maintained significance in second
cross-validation and
in generalization to
3 other plants
group comp.
turnover
significant, both
groups
.21 or .26, depending
on how weighted
.47
chi square
corr.
corr.
salary increase
ratings
Various
Service station
dealers
.83
corr.
turnover
No
Soar, 1956
No
.35
corr.
ratings
244
Mfg. employees
(a) .37
(b) .29
corr.
Office workers
Turnover: (a) 3
mos.; (b) 12mos.
Reference
358
100
Cannery workers,
seasonal
cP
_
.
Results"
CR = 5.69 (1%)
Method
group comp.
Criterion
selling cost
Sales clerks
Job
TABLE 4
Summary of Validities Using Personal History Data
turnover
2 of 26 r's signif. a t
5% level
corr., 13 items
treated separately
corr.
1 .32
I .51
corr.
1 corr.
= not significant.
Validity; P = predictive validity and C = concurrent validity.
8 Cross-validation or replication, yes or no.
* N.S.
188
50-208 turnover
Office workers
Office workers
Furnace operators
absenteeism
220
110
turnover
116
Managers
Office workers
-
Office workers
ratings
30
con.
N.S.
corr.
5 of 19 items signif. a t
5% level
corr.
ratings
ratings
(a) signif. a t 1%
(b) .42
corr.
turnover
Secretaries
59
Salesmen
85
Office workers
No
McCarty, 1957c
No
Lewis, MacKinney,
& Wolins, 1960
--
1959
_
.
-
~~
--
158
PERSONNEL PSYCHOLOGY
159
160
PERSONNEL PSYCHOLOGY
161
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