Вы находитесь на странице: 1из 34

Year

Y
2005
81605760
2006
259073479
2007
266775008
2008
339458428
2009
584607442
2010
504684256
2011
656809247
2012
710033448
2013
687767630
2014
521287589
TOTAL
STANDARD DEVIATION

A
439681829
439681829
439681829
439681829
439681829
439681829
439681829
439681829
439681829
439681829

IMPORT
X
48853537
48853537
48853537
48853537
48853537
48853537
48853537
48853537
48853537

Yc
130459297
307927016
315628545
388311965
633460979
553537793
705662784
758886985
736621167

116631439

PROJECTION VALUES
Year
Demand, kg
2015
570141126
2016
618994662
2017
667848199
2018
716701735
2019
765555272
2020
814408808
2021
863262345
2022
912115881
2023
960969418
2024
1009822955

Year
Y
2005
130639735
2006
274710019
2007
294406917
2008
506504645
2009
301409332
2010
428932669
2011
291284493
2012
46673737
2013
98388851
2014
321152159
TOTAL
STANDARD DEVIATION

A
190512424
190512424
190512424
190512424
190512424
190512424
190512424
190512424
190512424
190512424
158588323

EXPORT
X
21168047
21168047
21168047
21168047
21168047
21168047
21168047
21168047
21168047

Yc
151807782
295878066
315574964
527672692
322577379
450100716
312452540
67841784
119556898

PROJECTION VALUES
Year
Supply, kg
2015
342320206
2016
363488253
2017
384656300
2018
405824347
2019
426992395
2020
448160442
2021
469328489
2022
490496536
2023
511664583
2024
532832630

Y-Yc

(Y-Yc)^2

128614182
-41152008
23829883
196295477
-128776723
103271454
4370664
-71119355
-215333578

1.654E+16
1.693E+15
5.679E+14
3.853E+16
1.658E+16
1.066E+16
1.910E+13
5.058E+15
4.637E+16
1.360E+17

Historical Demand o
800000000
700000000
600000000
500000000
Net Weight, kg

400000000
300000000
200000000
100000000
0

2005 2006 2007

Historical Sup
Y-Yc

(Y-Yc)^2

122902237
-1471149
190929681
-226263360
106355290
-158816223
-265778803
30547067
201595261

1.510E+16
2.164E+12
3.645E+16
5.120E+16
1.131E+16
2.522E+16
7.064E+16
9.331E+14
4.064E+16
2.515E+17

600000000
500000000
400000000
Net Weight, kg

300000000
200000000
100000000
0

2005 20

storical Demand of Sulfuric Acid

800000000

700000000

600000000

500000000

400000000

300000000

200000000

100000000
0
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Year

Historical Supply of Sulfuric Acid

ht, kg

600000000
500000000
400000000
300000000
200000000
100000000
0
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Year

Year
Y
2005
152238531
2006
105589559
2007
118850188
2008
72626230
2009
113585077
2010
95837520
2011
103531387
2012
100298191
2013
115620650
2014
1330268
TOTAL
STANDARD DEVIATION

IMPORT
A
X
-150908263
-150908263
-16767585
-150908263
-16767585
-150908263
-16767585
-150908263
-16767585
-150908263
-16767585
-150908263
-16767585
-150908263
-16767585
-150908263
-16767585
-150908263
-16767585

Yc
135470946
88821974
102082603
55858645
96817492
79069935
86763802
83530606
98853065

41614396

PROJECTION VALUES
Year
Demand, kg
2015
-15437317
2016
-32204902
2017
-48972486
2018
-65740071
2019
-82507656
2020
-99275241
2021
-116042825
2022
-132810410
2023
-149577995
2024
-166345580

EXPORT
Year
Y
2005
113224516
2006
74513028
2007
57127616
2008
62509398
2009
9354146
2010
22693280
2011
1216763
2012
1018471
2013
18601383
2014
1330268
TOTAL
STANDARD DEVIATION

A
-111894248
-111894248
-111894248
-111894248
-111894248
-111894248
-111894248
-111894248
-111894248
-111894248
21238625

Yc

-12432694
-12432694
-12432694
-12432694
-12432694
-12432694
-12432694
-12432694
-12432694

100791822
62080334
44694922
50076704
-3078548
10260586
-11215931
-11414223
6168689

PROJECTION VALUES
Year
Supply, kg
2015
-11102426
2016
-23535120
2017
-35967815
2018
-48400509
2019
-60833203
2020
-73265897
2021
-85698592
2022
-98131286
2023
-110563980
2024
-122996674

Y-Yc

(Y-Yc)^2

-29881387
30028214
-29456373
57726432
-979972
24461452
13534389
32090044
-97522797

8.929E+14
9.017E+14
8.677E+14
3.332E+15
9.603E+11
5.984E+14
1.832E+14
1.030E+15
9.511E+15
1.732E+16

Historical Supply of Anhydrous Ammo


160000000
140000000
120000000
100000000
Net Weight, kg

80000000
60000000
40000000
20000000
0

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 201


Year

Historical Demand of Anhydrous Amm


Y-Yc

120000000

(Y-Yc)^2

100000000

-26278794
-4952718
17814476
-40722558
25771828
-9043823
12234402
30015606
-4838421

6.906E+14
2.453E+13
3.174E+14
1.658E+15
6.642E+14
8.179E+13
1.497E+14
9.009E+14
2.341E+13
4.511E+15

80000000
Net Weight, kg

60000000
40000000
20000000
0

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011


Year

Anhydrous Ammonia

007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014


Year

of Anhydrous Ammonia

6 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014


Year

IMPORT
Year
Y
2005
165913975
2006
100201729
2007
63111820
2008
230816841
2009
60223520
2010
95711660
2011
103585812
2012
169999846
2013
220750425
2014
514528647
TOTAL
STANDARD DEVIATION

A
348614672
348614672
348614672
348614672
348614672
348614672
348614672
348614672
348614672
348614672

X
38734964
38734964
38734964
38734964
38734964
38734964
38734964
38734964
38734964

120012807

PROJECTION VALUES
Year
Demand, kg
2015
553263611
2016
591998574
2017
630733538
2018
669468501
2019
708203465
2020
746938428
2021
785673392
2022
824408355
2023
863143319
2024
901878283

EXPORT
Year
Y
2005
211200380
2006
122144408
2007
215253240
2008
315970285
2009
64393329
2010
299647090
2011
283719898
2012
24711134
192353298
2013
95238454
2014
TOTAL
STANDARD DEVIATION

A
-115961926
-115961926
-115961926
-115961926
-115961926
-115961926
-115961926
-115961926
-115961926
-115961926
157721183

X
-12884658
-12884658
-12884658
-12884658
-12884658
-12884658
-12884658
-12884658
-12884658

PROJECTION
Year
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024

VALUES
Supply, kg
82353796
69469137
56584479
43699820
30815162
17930503
5045845
-7838814
-20723472
-33608130

Yc

Y-Yc

(Y-Yc)^2

204648939
138936693
101846784
269551805
98958484
134446624
142320776
208734810
259485389

-104447210
-75824873
128970057
-209328285
-3246824
-30860812
27679070
12015615
255043258

1.091E+16
5.749E+15
1.663E+16
4.382E+16
1.054E+13
9.524E+14
7.661E+14
1.444E+14
6.505E+16
1.440E+17

Historical Supply of G
600000000
500000000
400000000
300000000

Net Weight, kg

200000000
100000000
0

2005 2006 2007 2008 20

Year

Yc

Y-Yc

(Y-Yc)^2

198315722
109259750
202368582
303085627
51508671
286762432
270835240
11826476
179468640

-76171314
105993490
113601703
-238692298
248138419
-3042534
-246124106
180526822
-84230186

5.802E+15
1.123E+16
1.291E+16
5.697E+16
6.157E+16
9.257E+12
6.058E+16
3.259E+16
7.095E+15
2.488E+17

Historical Demand o
350000000
300000000
250000000
200000000
Net Weight, kg

150000000
100000000
50000000
0
2005 2006 2007 2008

Ye

ical Supply of Gypsum

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Year

cal Demand of Gypsum

0
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Year

IMPORT
Year
Y
2005
5618
2006
68119
2007
62765
2008
79052
2009
3411392
2010
7568311
2011
10940985
2012
5244998
2013
8431391
2014
7107855
TOTAL
STANDARD DEVIATION

A
7102237
7102237
7102237
7102237
7102237
7102237
7102237
7102237
7102237
7102237

Yc

789137
789137
789137
789137
789137
789137
789137
789137
789137

794755
857256
851902
868189
4200529
8357448
11730122
6034135
9220528

2801929

PROJECTION VALUES
Year
Supply, kg
2015
7896992
2016
8686130
2017
9475267
2018
10264405
2019
11053542
2020
11842680
2021
12631817
2022
13420955
2023
14210092
2024
14999229

EXPORT
Year
Y
2005
1888
2006
21708
2007
65849
2008
1158037
2009
340235
2010
1775722
2011
3975098
2012
43800
2013
636894
2014
1224603
TOTAL
STANDARD DEVIATION

A
1222715
1222715
1222715
1222715
1222715
1222715
1222715
1222715
1222715
1222715
1573151

Yc

135857
135857
135857
135857
135857
135857
135857
135857
135857

137745
157565
201706
1293894
476092
1911579
4110955
179657
772751

PROJECTION VALUES
Year
Demand, kg
2015
1360460
2016
1496317
2017
1632175
2018
1768032
2019
1903889
2020
2039746
2021
2175604
2022
2311461
2023
2447318
2024
2583175

Y-Yc

(Y-Yc)^2

-726636
-794491
-772850
2543203
3367782
2583537
-6485124
2397256
-2112673

5.280E+11
6.312E+11
5.973E+11
6.468E+12
1.134E+13
6.675E+12
4.206E+13
5.747E+12
4.463E+12
7.851E+13

Historical Supply of Ca
12000000
10000000
8000000
Net Weight, kg

6000000
4000000
2000000
0
1

Historical Demand of Ca
Y-Yc

(Y-Yc)^2

-116037
-91716
956331
-953659
1299630
2063519
-4067155
457237
451852

1.346E+10
8.412E+09
9.146E+11
9.095E+11
1.689E+12
4.258E+12
1.654E+13
2.091E+11
2.042E+11
2.475E+13

5000000
4000000
3000000
Net Weight, kg

2000000
1000000
0
2005 2006 2007 2008

Ye

cal Supply of Carbon Dioxide

000000

000000

000000

000000

000000

000000
0
1

10

Year

al Demand of Carbon Dioxide

0000

0000

0000

0000

0000
0
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Year

Year
Y
2005
21695
2006
33108
2007
7366
2008
87445
2009
83205
2010
74291
2011
557
2012
4822
2013
23795
2014
49885
TOTAL
STANDARD DEVIATION

PROJECTION VALUES
Year
Supply, kg
2015
53017
2016
56149
2017
59282
2018
62414
2019
65546
2020
68678
2021
71811
2022
74943
2023
78075
2024
81207

Year
Y
2005
6785
2006
2506
2007
25330
2008
773
2009
8465
2010
9688
2011
50910
2012
2663
2013
20166
2014
40536
TOTAL
STANDARD DEVIATION

A
28190
28190
28190
28190
28190
28190
28190
28190
28190
28190

IMPORT
X
3132
3132
3132
3132
3132
3132
3132
3132
3132

37027

ASLM
100000
80000
60000
Net Weight (kg)

f(x) = 3132.2222222221x - 62584


R = 1

40000
20000
0
2014

2016

2018

2020
Year

A
33751
33751
33751
33751
33751
33751
33751
33751
33751
33751

EXPORT
X
3750
3750
3750
3750
3750
3750
3750
3750
3750

24134

ASLM
100000

20

PROJECTION VALUES
Year
Demand, kg
2015
44286
2016
48036
2017
51786
2018
55536
2019
59287
2020
63037
2021
66787
2022
70537
2023
74287
2024
78037

ASLM
100000
80000
60000
Net Weight (kg)

f(x) = 3750.1111111109x - 751


R = 1

40000
20000
0
2014

2016

2018

2020
Year

IMPORT
Yc

Y-Yc

(Y-Yc)^2

24827
36240
10498
90577
86337
77423
3689
7954
26927

8281
-28874
76947
-7372
-12046
-76866
1133
15841
22958

6.857E+07
8.337E+08
5.921E+09
5.435E+07
1.451E+08
5.908E+09
1.283E+06
2.509E+08
5.271E+08
1.371E+10

His

10000

8000

6000
Net Weight, kg

4000

2000

ASLM

00

00

00

f(x) = 3132.2222222221x - 6258410.55555526


R = 1

00

00
0
2014

2016

2018

2020

2022

2024

Histori

2026

Year

60000
50000

EXPORT

00000

40000

Yc

Y-Yc

(Y-Yc)^2

10535
6256
29080
4523
12215
13438
54660
6413
23916

-8029
19074
-28307
3942
-2527
37472
-51997
13753
16620

6.447E+07
3.638E+08
8.013E+08
1.554E+07
6.386E+06
1.404E+09
2.704E+09
1.891E+08
2.762E+08
5.825E+09

ASLM

Net Weight, kg

30000
20000
10000
0

200

ASLM

00000

80000

60000

f(x) = 3750.1111111109x - 7512187.77777743


R = 1

40000

20000
0
2014

2016

2018

2020
Year

2022

2024

2026

Historical Supply of Oxygen


100000
80000
60000
Net Weight, kg

t Weight, kg

40000
20000
0
1

10

Histo

Year

Net Weight, kg

Historical Demand of Oxygen


60000
50000
40000
30000
20000
10000
0
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Year

Projected

5
Net Weight, kg

5
Net Weight, kg

Historical Comparison of Supply and Demand

Net Weight, kg

100000
90000
80000
70000
60000
50000
40000
30000
20000
10000
0

Column A
Supply
Demand

Year

Projected Demand and Supply for the next ten years


90000
80000
70000
60000
50000
Net Weight, kg

Column A
Supply

70000
60000
50000
Net Weight, kg

Column A
Supply
Demand

40000
30000
20000
10000
0
2015

2016

2017

2018

2019
Year

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

years

Column A
Supply

Column A
Supply
Demand