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Submitted by:
Himanshu Patel (151419)
MBA FT (2015-17)
Institute of Management, Nirma University
DECLARATION
I hereby declare that this project titled Risk Analysis of various Mutual Fund schemes is an
original work done by me under the guidance of M/s. Hina Nayar. This project is being submitted
to Institute of Management, Nirma University, Ahmedabad, after completion of Summer
Internship at the organisation in partial fulfilment of academic requirement for the award of degree
of Master of Business Administration (MBA). I also declare that this project has neither been
submitted to any other universities nor done by any other student earlier for the award of degree,
diploma, associate ship or any other similar title.
DATE:
PLACE:
Signature:
Himanshu Patel
Roll No: 151419
MBA (FT): 2015-17
Institute of Management,
Nirma University
Contents
Acknowledgement ........................................................................................................................................ 5
Executive Summary:...................................................................................................................................... 6
Joining details................................................................................................................................................ 8
Company Profile............................................................................................................................................ 9
Porters Five Force Model: .......................................................................................................................... 10
Overview of Financial services in India ....................................................................................................... 15
Segments of the financial services sector: .................................................................................................. 16
Overview of Capital market ........................................................................................................................ 17
Asset management ................................................................................................................................. 17
Broking .................................................................................................................................................... 18
Wealth management .............................................................................................................................. 19
Overview of Insurance ............................................................................................................................ 20
Life Insurance .......................................................................................................................................... 20
Non-life insurance ............................................................................................................................... 20
Overview of NBFCs .................................................................................................................................. 21
Indian Mutual Fund Industry ...................................................................................................................... 23
Mutual fund ............................................................................................................................................ 23
Classification of mutual fund .................................................................................................................. 23
By Structure ........................................................................................................................................ 23
By Investment Objective ..................................................................................................................... 24
Other Equity Related Schemes ............................................................................................................... 25
Different Mutual Fund plans ................................................................................................................... 25
Mutual Fund Advantages ........................................................................................................................ 26
Drawbacks of Mutual Funds ................................................................................................................... 28
Types of risk involved with mutual funds ................................................................................................... 29
Various Parameters to Measure Risk .......................................................................................................... 30
Details of Mutual Funds and their constitution. ......................................................................................... 36
Equity Market in Comparison with Mutual fund ........................................................................................ 40
Analysis ....................................................................................................................................................... 42
Equity stock selection approaches.......................................................................................................... 42
Factors to be considered while selecting a Stock ....................................................................................... 43
Acknowledgement
It has been an immensely educating and overwhelming experience working at Anand Rathi. My
internship at Anand Rathi has not only given a thrust to my Career but also helped me enhance my
skills at a personal level.
I extend my heartfelt gratitude to M/s. Hina Nayar, Cluster Head, Anand Rathi, Vadodara,who has
guided me in selecting the project for study and has been an immense source of support and
inspiration throughout the internship period.
My special thanks to Mr Nirav, Equity Team Head, Vadodara, for helping me throughout my
study. I am indebted to them for sharing their knowledge and crucial information on key.
I also sincerely thank my Mentor Prof. Amola Bhatt, Institute of Management, Nirma University
for helping me throughout my study. Last but not the least; I owe my gratitude to all the faculty
members of Institute of Management, Nirma University for making me capable of undertaking the
toughest of task at Anand Rathi delivering a quality output.
The internship at Anand Rathi was a great value-addition and it would thrust me to greater heights
in my career.
Executive Summary:
The mutual fund industry has become very dynamic in terms of number of competitors entering
the industry as well as services offered by the industry. Anand Rathi has focused on transparency
and customer centric approach. This strategy has helped them maintain top position amongst the
brokerage houses.
Various mutual fund schemes are the part of clients portfolio of the brokerage firms. The project
is of study of risk analysis of different mutual fund schemes. During the tenure of my internship I
learned about how different mutual fund schemes are exposed to market risk as well as different
portfolio risk measures such as Trainors alpha, Beta, Sharpe Ratio etc. In the field of equity, I
learned about how by applying certain risk measures we can compare different mutual fund
schemes. I also gain some knowledge about derivative market and its products as well as equity
research techniques though it is not a part of my summer internship project.
This project measures risk only through technical analysis and certain portfolio risk measures.
However, it does not include macroeconomic analysis or fundamental analysis and its effect on
the portfolio. This could be the limitation of the project while analyzing risk as systematic risk
plays important role while analyzing mutual fund schemes.
Joining details
Date of joining
Working days
: Monday-Saturday
Working hours
: 10:00 AM 5:00 PM
Profile
: Intern-Finance
Project Title
Contact
: +91-95740 05646
Deliverables
1. Detailed study of Mutual fund portfolio will help in identifying the risk or the volatility
attached with portfolio
2. It helps in determining the risk of portfolio and so constructing a better one with lesser risk
by choosing different securities
Company Profile
Specialties
Website
http://www.rathionline.com
Industry
Financial Services
Type
Privately Held
Headquarters
India
Company Size
1001-5000 employees
Branch size
10-15 employees
About the company:
AnandRathi is a leading, growth focused full service investment bank. The firm prides itself on
providing bulge-bracket style investment banking services to small and mid-sized enterprises in
India through research - driven ideas backed by experienced, sector - focused investment bankers;
with ready access to global capital pools.
Service Offerings:
Equity Research AnandRathis highly rated 25-member equity research team covers nearly 200
companies across 15 sub-sectors, providing a unique understanding of sectors and companies,
resulting in profitable investment opportunities.
Investment Banking AnandRathis sector focused 30 member investments banking team works
exclusively with small and mid-sized companies, providing them with high quality advice on
capital raising, mergers and acquisitions and restructuring.
Equity trading and distribution AnandRathis rich, 16-year history in equity trading and
distribution to global investor pools makes it uniquely positioned to offer the entire spectrum of
capital market services to small and mid-size companies.
AnandRathi works in industry of financial services.
Prizm Payment
Services,
Gharpay,
ItzCash,
Vortex
Engineering
- Payment
solutions/services
Platinum Power Wealth Advisors, Probe Equity Research - Advisory and research
respectively
access. While their Advisor is stuck with being able to only supply the firms individual-investordigestible research.
4. Threat of substitution:
Wealth management industry provides Wealth transfer, wealth preservation and wealth creation.
Wealth Transfer can be handled by insurance companies. Wealth Preservation is done by banks,
trust companies, life insurance companies. Wealth Creation in India has always been through the
creation of businesses; long, slow disciplined investing; luck with corporate stock options; real
estate and other non-financial markets; all of these not the domain of diversified financial services
companies. Financial Services firms are not the place where investors go to become wealthier. It
is the place wealthy people go in hopes of maintaining their wealth.
5. Intensity of rivalry
These companies raid each others local shops offering checks ranging from 200% to 300% of the
financial advisor are trailing 12-month production. One company I worked for had about 6500
Advisors in the 90s. Recruiting wars were heating up then. Fast forward 13 years, they still have
about 6500 Advisors despite 3 acquisitions and 13 years of recruiting. The industry has been
completely neutered in the equity research departments since 2003; there was a time when the
quality of research was a differentiator and the competition to offer the best advice was furious.
There is no competition to be the lowest cost provider, competition on prices is left up the advisor
sitting in front of the client for the most part. At the firm level, there is almost no way to distinguish
the client experience from one to the other on the mass-market side, other than brand. Following
are the competitors of AnandRathi.
Angel Broking
HDFC securities
IDBI Capital
India Infoline
Indiabulls
Kotak Securities
LKP Securities
Muthoot
Muthoot Finance
Reliance Capital
Reliance Securities
Religare
RKSV
Value Research
Vision
To be a shining example as a leader in innovation and the first choice for clients and employees
Philosophy
The firm's philosophy is entirely client centric, with a clear focus on providing long term value
addition to clients, while maintaining the highest standards of excellence, ethics and
professionalism. The entire firm activities are divided across distinct client groups: Individuals,
Private Clients, Corporate and Institutions.
Core Strengths
Breadth of Services
In line with its client-centric philosophy, the firm offers to its clients the entire spectrum off
financial services ranging from brokerage services in equities and commodities, distribution of
mutual funds, IPOs and insurance products, real estate, investment banking, merger and
acquisitions, corporate finance and corporate advisory.
Clients deal with a relationship manager who leverages and brings together the product specialists
from across the firm to create an optimum solution to the client needs.
In-Depth Research
Our research expertise is at the core of the value proposition that we offer to our clients. Research
teams across the firm continuously track various markets and products. The aim is however
common - to go far deeper than others, to deliver incisive insights and ideas and be accountable
for results.
Management team
Financial
Services
Capital
Markets
Insurance
Asset management
Broking
Wealth management
Investment banking
Life
Non-life
NBFCs
Broking
Equity market turnover has increased
significantly in recent years. Steadily
rising turnover in financial markets has
led to rapid expansion of the brokerage
segment The annual turnover value in
NSE has witnessed a CAGR of 20.7
per cent between FY96 and FY15 to
reach USD718 billion The number of
companies listed on the NSE rose from
135 in 1995 to 1,769 in December
2015.
The number of listed companies on NSE and BSE increased to 7,024 in FY14 and 8,634 in January
2015 from 6,445 companies during FY10. Net investment (both equity and debt) by FIIs declined
to USD8.6 billion in FY14 versus USD31 billion in the previous year. However, FII investment in
equity markets picked up again during recent months of FY1415 on hopes of better
macroeconomic policies and reform measures by the new government. The brokerage market has
become more competitive with the entry of new players and increasing efforts of existing players
to gain market share.
Wealth management
The number of HNWIs in India has
seen a steady rise and has grown at a
CAGR of 16.6 per cent between 2011
and 2014 India has fourth largest ultrahigh net worth households in the world
according to BCG report entitled
Global Wealth 2015: Winning the
Growth
Game
High
net
worth
Overview of Insurance
Life Insurance
The life insurance market has grown from USD10 billion in FY02 to USD52 billion in FY14 Over
FY0214, life insurance premiums increased at a CAGR of 14.73 per cent Life insurance
penetration grew to 3.1 per cent in FY14 from 2.2 per cent in 2001. However, it is well below the
global average of 6.3, indicating ample scope for growth.
Non-life insurance
The non-life insurance market grew from
USD2.6 billion in FY02 to USD14.0 billion
in FY15 Non-life insurance penetration
rose to 0.80 per cent in 2013-14 from 0.5
per cent in FY02, standing at USD4.2
billion for FY16 (November15) Over
FY0216*, non-life insurance premiums
increased at a CAGR of 9.5 per cent.
Premiums generated by private players
surged at a CAGR of 37.5 per cent, while
public premiums increased 9.0 per cent over
FY0215 Insurers grew at a strong 8.5 per
cent in FY15, with private premiums rising at 10.5 per cent and public premiums at 6.9 per cent in
comparison to FY14.
Motor insurance accounted for 39.4 per cent
of the gross direct premiums earned in FY16*
(up from 41 per cent in FY06), at USD1.01
billion till May15 At USD0.71 billion( Till
September 15), the health segment seized
27.7 per cent share in gross direct premiums
Major private players are ICICI Lombard,
Bajaj Allianz, IFFCO Tokio, HDFC Ergo,
Tata-AIG, Reliance, Cholamandalam, Royal
Sundaram and other regional insurers.
Overview of NBFCs
NBFCs
are
rapidly
gaining
Mutual fund
The Assets under Management of UTI was Rs. 67bn. by the end of 1987. Let me concentrate about
the performance of mutual funds in India through figures. From Rs. 67bn. the Assets under
Management rose to Rs. 470 bn. in March 1993 and the figure had a three times higher
performance by April 2004. It rose as high as Rs. 1,540bn. The net asset value (NAV) of mutual
funds in India declined when stock prices started falling in the year 1992. Those days, the market
regulations did not allow portfolio shifts into alternative investments. There was rather no choice
apart from holding the cash or to further continue investing in shares. One more thing to be noted,
since only closed end funds were floated in the market the investors disinvested by selling at loss
in the secondary market.
specified period. Investors can invest in the scheme at the time of the initial public issue
and thereafter they can buy or sell the units of the scheme on the Stock Exchanges, if they
are listed. The market price at the stock exchange could vary from the scheme's NAV on
account of demand and supply situation, unit holders' expectations and other market
factors.
By Investment Objective
1) Growth Funds: The aim of growth funds is to provide capital appreciation over the
medium to long term. Such schemes normally invest a majority of their corpus in equities.
Growth schemes are ideal for investors who have a long-term outlook and are seeking
growth over a period of time.
2) Income Funds: The aim of Income Funds is to provide regular and steady income to
investors. Such schemes generally invest in fixed income securities such as bonds,
corporate debentures and Government securities. Income Funds are ideal for capital
stability and regular income. Capital appreciation in such funds may be limited, though
risks are typically lower than that in a growth fund.
3) Balanced Funds: The aim of Balanced Funds is to provide both growth and regular
income. Such schemes periodically distribute a part of their earning and invest both in
equities and fixed income securities in the proportion indicated in their offer documents.
This proportion affects the risks and the returns associated with the balanced fund - in case
equities are allocated a higher proportion, investors would be exposed to risks similar to
that of the equity market. Balanced funds with equal allocation to equities and fixed income
securities are ideal for investors looking for a combination of income and moderate growth.
4) Money Market Funds: The aim of Money Market Funds is to provide easy liquidity,
preservation of capital and moderate income. These schemes generally invest in safer shortterm instruments such as Treasury Bills, Certificates of Deposit, Commercial Paper and
Inter-Bank Call Money. Returns on these schemes may fluctuate depending upon the
interest rates prevailing in the market. These are ideal for corporate and individual investors
as a means to park their surplus funds for short periods.
6) Systematic Investment Plan (SIP): Here the investor is given the option of preparing a
pre-determined number of post-dated cheques in favor of the fund. The investor is allotted
units on a predetermined date specified in the offer document at the applicable NAV.
7) Systematic Encashment Plan (SEP): As opposed to the Systematic Investment Plan, the
Systematic Encashment Plan allows the investor the facility to withdraw a pre-determined
amount / units from his fund at a pre-determined interval. The investor's units will be
redeemed at the applicable NAV as on that day.
d) Potential of Returns: Returns in the mutual funds are generally better than any other
option in any other avenue over a reasonable period. People can pick their investment
horizon and stay put in the chosen fund for the duration.
e) Get Focused: Investing in individual stocks can be fun because each company has a unique
story. However, it is important for people to focus on making money. Investing is not a
game. Your financial future depends on where you put your hard-earned dollars and it
should not take lightly.
f) Efficiency: By pooling investors' monies together, mutual fund companies can take
advantage of economies of scale. With large sums of money to invest, they often trade
commission-free and have personal contacts at the brokerage firms.
g) Ease of Use: Can you imagine keeping track of a portfolio consisting of hundreds of
stocks? The bookkeeping duties involved with stocks are much more complicated than
owning a mutual fund. If you are doing your own taxes, or are short on time, this can be a
big deal. Wealthy stock investors get special treatment from brokers and wealthy bank
account holders get special treatment from the banks, but mutual funds are nondiscriminatory. It doesn't matter whether you have Rs 1000 or Rs 10,00,000, you are getting
the exact same manager, the same account access and the same investment.
h) Risk: In general, mutual funds carry much lower risk than stocks. This is primarily due to
diversification (as mentioned above). Certain mutual funds can be riskier than individual
stocks, but you have to go out of your way to find them.
i) Transparent & well regulated: The Mutual Fund industry is well regulated both by SEBI
and AMFI. They have, over the years, introduced regulations, which ensure smooth and
transparent functioning of the mutual funds industry. This makes it safer and convenient
for investors to invest through the mutual funds.
j) Market timing becomes irrelevant: One of the biggest difficulties in equity investing is
WHEN to invest, apart from the other big question WHERE to invest. While, investing in
a mutual fund solves the issue of where to invest, SIP helps us to overcome the problem
of when. SIP is a disciplined investing irrespective of the state of the market. It thus
makes the market timing totally irrelevant.
k) Does not strain our day-to-day finances: Mutual Funds allow us to invest very small
amounts (Rs 500 Rs 1000) in SIP, as against larger one-time investment required, if we
were to buy directly from the market. This makes investing easier as it does not strain our
monthly finances. It, therefore, becomes an ideal investment option for a small-time
investor, who would otherwise not be able to enjoy the benefits of investing in the equity
market.
l) Reduces the average cost: In SIP fixed amount regularly is invested. Therefore, you end
up buying more number of units when the markets are down and NAV is low and less
number of units when the markets are up and the NAV is high. This is called rupee-cost
averaging. Generally, we would stay away from buying when the markets are down. We
generally tend to invest when the markets are rising. SIP works as a good discipline as it
forces us to buy even when the markets are low, which actually is the best time to buy.
With stocks, one worry is that the company you are investing in goes bankrupt. With mutual
funds, that chance is next to nil. Since mutual funds, typically hold anywhere from 25-5000
companies, all of the companies that it holds would have to go bankrupt.
It cannot be argued on investing in individual stocks, but the advantages of using mutual funds
can help an investor earn good return with moderate risk.
If Beta is 1, then an issue has the same volatility as the general market. It is either
growing at the same rate or declining at the same rate.
If Beta is greater than 1, then an issue is more volatile. At 1.25 it will probably
move 25% more than the market. If the market is in an uptrend, then the security
will gain 25% more than the general market.
If Beta is less than 1, then an issue is less volatile. At 0.5 it probably will move
only 50% or a half of the market. If the market is in a downtrend, it will only lose
50% of what the general market loses.
If beta is less than 0, then the stock is moving in a reverse pattern to the index.
When the index moves up the stock declines and vice versa.
Where
ra measures the rate of return of an asset,
rp measures the rate of return of the portfolio of which the asset is a part
Cov(ra,rp) is the covariance between the rate of return.
2) STANDARD DEVIATION
It measures the risk of an asset from the mean/expected value of return. It represents the square
root of the average squared deviations of the individual returns from the expected returns.
3) CORRELATION
It is a statistical measure of the degree to which security returns move together. In order to
diversify risk to have an efficient portfolio, i.e. maximum return for a given level of risk or to
minimize risk for a given level of return, the correlation between returns on different securities
is significant.
Zero correlation shows that they show no tendency to vary together in either
positive or negative.
4) SHARPES MEASURE
Sharpes measure evaluates the performance of the portfolio based on the total risk of the
portfolio, that is, standard deviation as a measure of risk. The Sharpes measure of performance
evaluation is given by:
S(x) = ( rx - Rf ) / StdDev(x)
Where,
x = some investment
rx = average annual rate of return of x
Rf = best available rate of return of a "risk-free" security (i.e. cash)
StdDev(x) = standard deviation of rx
5) TREYNORS MEASURE
Treynors measure relates the rate of return earned over and above the risk-free rate to the
portfolio beta during the time period under consideration.
Where
T = Treynor Ratio ,
= Portfolio Return ,
= Portfolio Beta
6) SORTINOS MEASURE
The Sortino ratio measures the risk-adjusted return of an investment asset, portfolio or
strategy. The Sortino ratio is a financial ratio, similar to the Sharpe ratio that measures the riskadjusted return of investments or portfolios. Unlike the Sharpe ratio, the Sortino uses
downside-volatility (sometimes referred to as semi-volatility) as the denominator instead of
standard deviation. The use of downside-volatility allows the Sortino ratio to measure the
return of "negative" volatility.
The ratio is calculated as
Where,
R = asset or portfolio realized return;
T = target or required rate of return for the investment strategy under consideration
DR = downside risk
7) P/E RATIO
The P/E ratio (price-to-earnings ratio) of a stock is a measure of the price paid for a share
relative to the annual income or profit earned by the firm per share.
The price per share (numerator) is the market price of a single share of the stock. The earnings
per share(denominator) is the net income of the company for the most recent 12-month period,
divided by number of shares outstanding.
8) PORTFOLIO TURNOVER RATIO
The Portfolio Turnover ratio shows how actively a scheme has been managed in a particular
year. It is the aggregate value of purchases or sales of investments during the year, expressed
as a percentage of average weekly net assets.
9) EXPENSE RATIO
The Expense ratio helps to shed light on a funds efficiency and cost effectiveness. It is the
ratio of total recurring expenses to the average net assets.
10) DIVIDEND YIELD
The gross yield is a significant indicator of mutual fund investment characteristics.
11) TOTAL REURNS
The most common way to tell how well a fund performed is to check its total return, which
includes the impact of appreciation of its value and dividends, if any.
TR= Distributions + Change in NAV
NAV at the beginning of the period
Owners
Forei
Domes
hip
gn-
tic -
Private
25%
75%,
Private
0%,
Sponsor
ABN
AMRO
Asset
100%
Foreign
JV
50%
50%,
Public
0%,
100%
Bank of Baroda
Public
0%,
100%
Canara Bank
Private
62.52%
Cholamandalam
37.48
DBS
Finance Ltd.
%,
Deutsche Mutual Fund
Private
Foreign
Fund
JV
0%
Deutsche
Asset
100
Management
(Asia)
%,
Limited
60%
40%,
Private
Private
0%,
100%
0%
Fidelity
100
Internal
Investment Advisors
%,
Franklin
Foreign
25%
JV
75%,
Private
0%,
100%
Private
--
100%
HSBC
Securities
and
Foreign
JV
14.32%
National
Nederlanden
85.68
%,
Private
0%,
100%
J.M
Consultancy
Financial
Services
Private
0%,
100%
Public
0%,
100%
Life
Corporation of
India
Insurance
Foreign
JV
25%
75%,
Private
65%,
Prudential
ICICI
Mutual
Foreign
JV
55%,
Private
0%,
Principal
Financial
Services Inc.
45%
Fund
Prudential
plc,
ICICI
Bank
100%
Quantum
Advisors
Private Limited
Reliance Mutual Fund
Private
0%,
100%
Private
0%
100%
Sahara
Ind
Fin.
Corporation Ltd
SBI Mutual Fund
Public
63%
37%,
Stan Chartered MF
Foreign
25%
JV
75%,
Private
0%,
100%
Foreign
0%,
100%
Tata
JV
InvestCorp
Ltd,
Private
0%,
100%
HB Portfolio Ltd
UTI
Public
100
0%
UTI
100%
%
UTI Mutual Fund
Public
0%,
Baroda
(Source: website mutualfundsindia.com)
Recommendations regarding the fund selection depending upon the risk of the investor:
Debt Funds and bond funds are preferred in low risk, low return scenario:
However, the bond funds faces interest rate risk. Income risk is the possibility that a
fixed Income funds dividends will decline as a result of falling overall interest rates.
There have been instances of investors locking in debt or income fund. They on
seeing how returns pay up huge exit loads and get out of such schemes. Hence, it is
very important that investors first measure their risk appetite. Once they understand
their risk tolerance level they can choose the appropriate investment vehicle.
For those willing to take high risks, equity and sector funds are the picks: Sector
funds limit their stock selection to the specific sectors and are not amply diversified.
Since all the stocks are restricted to a particular sector like FMCG, pharma, or civil,
if the sector takes a beating, the returns will be directly impacted. Equity Funds invest
wholly in the stock markets. They have the same volatility as the investments in the
stock market.
Balance Funds are a good alternative for those who seek something between high
risk sector funds and low risk bond funds: balanced funds invest 80 to 90 percent
of their money in equity instruments and generate decent returns. The remaining
money is locked in safe debt instruments. Investors should build a well-diversified
portfolio.
Its market infrastructure has advanced while corporate governance has progressed faster than in
many other emerging market economies. But still we can say there is plenty of room for
improvement and further reforms are needed to make India a world-class financial centre.
Analysis
Equity stock selection approaches
When the objective of the analysis is to determine what stock to buy and at what price, there are
two basic methodologies:
1. Fundamental Analysis
Fundamental Analysis is a technique that attempts to determine a securitys value by focusing on
underlying factors that affect a company's actual business and its future prospects. As with most
analysis, the goal is to derive a forecast and profit from future price movements. To forecast future
stock prices, fundamental analysis combines economic, industry, and company analysis to derive
a stock's current fair value and forecast future value. If fair value is not equal to the current stock
price, fundamental analysts believe that the stock is either over or under valued and the market
price will ultimately gravitate towards fair value.
2. Technical Analysis
Technical Analysis maintains that all information is reflected already in the stock price, so
fundamental analysis is a waste of time. Trends 'are your friend' and sentiment changes predate
and predict trend changes. Investors' emotional responses to price movements lead to recognizable
price chart patterns. Technical analysis does not care what the 'value' of a stock is. Their price
predictions are only extrapolations from historical price patterns.
In short, Fundamental Analysis tells us which stocks to buy, whereas the other Technical Analysis
gives us an indication as to when to buy the stocks. Investors use both these different but somewhat
complementary methods for stock picking. Many fundamental investors use technicals for
deciding entry and exit points. Many technical investors use fundamentals to limit their universe
of possible stock to 'good' companies. In my project I have decided to limit my study to only
Fundamental Analysis.
Company
Market Capitalization
Pantaloon Retail
US $ 1 billion
Titan
US $ 756 million
Shopper Stop
US $ 358 million
Trent
US $ 263 million
US $ 2.37 billion
US $ 300 billion
0.79%
Industry Leader: The top two or three stocks in a strong industry group can have incredible
growth, while others in the group may barely move. One should buy the best companies, the ones
that lead their sectors and are number one in their particular field. The number one market leader
is not the biggest one. It is the one with the highest annual growth, earning per share, and price
relative strength. Its a company that has competitive advantage over its competitors. A company
that is offering the best product
Management: Great management can make a difference between an average business and an
extraordinary one. Our goal as an investor is to find management teams that think like
shareholders; executives who treat the company as if they own a piece of it. One way to find out
about the management and how much they really care about shareholders is to check the top
executives compensation plans.
Competitive Advantage: Generally, there are different ways that a company can create
sustainable competitive advantage:
Research and Development: One should consider the following questions in this respect
Shareholding Pattern: One should carefully analyze the Shareholding Pattern of the Companies.
If the institutional holding is very high on can say that the stock is fully researched but at the same
time its upside is also limited. One should also track Promoter holding to see whether promoters
involve in Insider Trading or not.
Analyst Coverage: Analysts issue their recommendations on individual companies. Analyst
coverage is useful to gauge market consensus on a stock price movement. A stock with no analyst
coverage could be a hidden value stock.
B. Quantitative Factors
These factors include analyzing the financial statements of a company through Ratio Analysis.
Ratio analysis includes calculating the various ratios and interpreting them in the context of the
company. The ratios help as to examine the critical parameters of a company like Profitability,
Liquidity, Valuation, Leverage and Price of the shares. The important ratios used for the purpose
of stock selection are:
Price-Book Value (P/BV)
Enterprise Value (EV)
EV/EBITDA
Operating Profit Margin (OPM)
Price/ Earnings Ratio (P/E)
Beta
Market Capitalization (MC)
PEG Ratio
Dividend payout ratio
Dividend Yield
ROCE
ROE
DEBT EQUITY
0.07
Covariance
0.004566
Variance
0.005645
Beta
0.83
Standard deviation
0.1562
Market Return
0.1025
Fund Return
0.1356
0.1203
Sharp ratio
0.24
Here, from the covariance and beta of BSE 100 and UTI Equity its pretty clear that gold normally
will provide return even if other market based assets do not.
ANALYSIS: After Covariance of this mutual fund with respect to the market is positive. This
tells that the movement of the NAV of this scheme depends on the movement of the market. The
covariance clears the point that the moves in the same direction and in parallel with the stock
market either upwards or downwards.
Beta of this particular scheme is very close to 1 which says that this fund has a average well
diversified portfolio. This means that the portfolio of this scheme is moderately aggressive. This
funds return moves in the same direction with respect to the market and with the same intensity
as the market.
If we look at the return of this fund it is clearly outperformed the market. The return of BSE 100
has for the period of 1st February 2013 to 7th March 2014 has been 10.25 %. The expected return
of this fund as per CAPM should have been 12.03%. But the funds performed and have given a
return of 13.56%.
The Sharpe ratio of the fund is 0.24 which is good. This means that for every single unit of risk
there is a probability of earning an extra return of 0.24 units.
2) NIFTY V/S ICICI Prudential Dynamic Fund
Risk free return(assumed)
0.07
Covariance
0.000391
Variance
0.000417
Beta
0.83
Standard deviation
0.1609
Market Return
0.1116
Fund Return
0.2006
0.1022
Sharpe ratio
0.22
ANALYSIS: Covariance of this mutual fund with respect to the market is positive. This tells that
the movement of the NAV of this scheme depends on the movement of the market. The covariance
clears the point that the moves in the same direction and in parallel with the stock market either
upwards or downwards.
Beta of this particular scheme is very close to 1 which says that this fund has a average well
diversified portfolio. This means that the portfolio of this scheme is moderately aggressive. This
funds return moves in the same direction with respect to the market and with the same intensity
as the market.
If we look at the return of this fund it is clearly outperformed the market. The return of NIFTY has
for the period of 1st February 2013 to 7th March 2014 has been 11 %. The expected return of this
fund as per CAPM should have been 10.02%. But the funds outperformed and have given an
excellent return of 20.06%.
The Sharpe ratio of the fund is 0.22 which is good. This means that for every single unit of risk
there is a probability of earning an extra return of 0.22 units.
3) S&P BSE Sensex Vs Franklin India Bluechip
Covariance
0.000367
Market Variance
0.000523
Beta
0.86
ST. dev
0.1568
0.07
Market return
0.1246
Fund return
0.2237
0.188546
Sharpe ratio
ANALYSIS : Covariance of this mutual fund with respect to the market is positive . This tells that
the movement of the NAV of this scheme depends on the movement of the market. The covariance
clears the point that the moves in the same direction and in parallel with the stock market either
upwards or downwards.
Beta of this particular scheme is less than 1 which says that this fund has a below average volatility.
This means that the portfolio of this scheme is less aggressive. This funds return moves in the
same direction with respect to the market but not with the same intensity as the market.
If we look at the return of this fund it is clearly outperformed the market. The return of BSE Sensex
has for the period of 1st February 2013 to 7th March 2014 has been 12.46 %. The expected return
of this fund as per CAPM should have been 18.85%. But the fund outperformed and has given an
excellent return of 22.37%.
The Sharpe ratio of the fund is high i.e. 2 which is excellent. This means that for every single unit
of risk there is a probability of earning an extra return of 2 units. Thus the risk return trade off with
this stock is satisfactory.
4) BSE 200 V/S SBI Magnum Comma Growth Fund
Covariance
0.000313
Variance
0.000523
Beta
0.90
Stdev
0.1892
0.07
Market return
0.1008
Fund return
0.2012
0.1305
Sharpe ratio
-0.72
ANALYSIS : Covariance of this mutual fund with respect to the market is positive . This tells that
the movement of the NAV of this scheme depends on the movement of the market. The covariance
clears the point that the moves in the same direction and in parallel with the stock market either
upwards or downwards.
Beta of this particular scheme is less than 1 which says that this fund has a below average volatility.
This means that the portfolio of this scheme is less aggressive. This funds return moves in the
same direction with respect to the market but not with the same intensity as the market.
If we look at the return of this fund it is clearly outperformed the market. The return of SENSEX
has for the period of 1st February 2013 to 7th March 2014 has been 11 %. The expected return of
this fund as per CAPM should have been 13.05%. But the funds outperformed and have given an
excellent return of 20.12%.
The Sharpe ratio of the fund is high i.e. -0.72which is to be considered ok. This means that for
every single unit of risk there is a probability of earning an extra return of 0.72 units. Thus the risk
return trade off with this stock is satisfactory.
Findings
The key findings of the following study have been highlighted below:
1) Investments in equity diversified mutual funds are heavily depended on mutual and thus
the risk involved is very high.
2) The risk return trades off in mutual funds have been very satisfactory. Equity growth
schemes having high risk have generated a return in a range of 30% to 40%, whereas the
debt funds those have relatively low risk have given a moderate return of 6% to 8%.
3) Mutual Fund investments do not guarantee any fixed returns which might create fear in the
minds of risk free investors.
Suggestions
From the above study the following recommendations can be given to an investor.
1) For investors willing to take high risks, equity and sector funds are the picks:
2) Balance Funds are a good alternative for those who seek something between high risk
sector funds and low risk bond funds.
3) Debt Funds and bond funds are preferred in low risk, low return scenario.
4) Salaried persons earning a fixed salary can go for Systematic Investment Plan (SIP).
Learning:
Application Based Learning:
Analyzing the market trend based on supply and demand as studied in micro
economics. The international business has also affected the market e.g. Brexit, exit
of Raghuram Rajan etc.
Apart from all this I learned how to be a part of an organization, how to interact
with the members. Being an intern people didnt readily accept me, they considered
me an outsider who would eventually leave the organization in some time but
slowly and gradually I learned to one of them.
Experiential Learning:
The reporting procedure used at the firm helped me to deliver the required
information in very crisp and concrete manner. I learned to write less and
communicate more.
The analysis I did included closing figures of stock exchange and NAV of the
mutual fund schemes therefore we had to constantly play with the numbers. Along
with detailed study of market and brainstorming with my mentor I was able to
understand it better and its implications of the companys performance.
References
1) Tripathy Nalini Prava Mutual Funds in India. Emerging Issues Vol 1 ( 2007) ,123158
2) Riter,Jay,R1998, The buying and selling behavior of individual investors at the turn of the
year, journal of finance 43, 701-717.
3) Frazzini Andrea, Dumb Money: Mutual Fund flows as the cross-section of stock returns,
NCFMs AMFI Material on mutual funds(workbook)
4) Nalini Prabha Tripathy , Market Timing Abilities and Mutual Fund Performance- An
Empirical Investigation into Equity Linked Saving Schemes (2006) XIMB Journal of
management ,Vilakshan, April 200 ,pp 6-8
5) Fact Sheets Of different AMCs.
Bibliography
1) Jaidev M , Investment policy and performance of Mutual Fund
2) Sadak H. Mutual Funds in India
3) Pandey I.M , Financial Management
4) Damodaran Aswanth Corporate Finance
5) Tripathy Nalini Prava Mutual Funds in India. Emerging Issues
6) Panwar Sharad and Madhumathi R Characterstics and Performance of selected
mutual funds in India.
7) Frazzini Andrea, Dumb Money: Mutual Fund flows as the cross-section of stock
returns, NCFMs AMFI Material on mutual funds(workbook)
8) Sankaran Sundar, Mutual fund Handbook ,A guide for distributors and intelligent
investors
9) AMFI Module
10) Fund factsheet Of various Schemes
11) WEBSITES:
a. www.valueresearchonline.com
b. www.moneycontrol.com
c. www.amfiindia.com
d. www.bseindia.com
e. www.indiainfoline.com
f. www.capitalmarket.com
g. www.mutualfundindia.com
h. www.nseindia.com
i. www.capitaline.com