03/08/2016

AnExpertThatCorrectlyCalledTheLastTwoStockMarketCrashesIsNowPredictingAnotherOneAlexJones'Infowars:There'sawaronforyourmind!

AN EXPERT THAT CORRECTLY CALLED THE LAST TWO STOCK MARKET CRASHES IS NOW PREDICTING ANOTHER ONE

A well-respected financial expert that correctly predicted the last two stock market crashes is now warning
that we are right on the verge of the next one
|

Michaelnder conomicCollapse JULY29 2015

105Comments

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03/08/2016

AnExpertThatCorrectlyCalledTheLastTwoStockMarketCrashesIsNowPredictingAnotherOneAlexJones'Infowars:There'sawaronforyourmind!

WhatIamaouttosharewithouisquitestunning Awell respectedgnancialexpertthatcorrectlpredictedthe

lasttwostockmarketcrashesisnowwarningthatwearerightonthevergeofthenextone JohnHussmanisa

formerprofessorofeconomicsandinternationalgnanceattheUniversitofMichigan andtheinformationinhis

latestweeklmarketcommentisstaggering ince1970 therehaveonleenahandfuloftimeswhena

cominationofmarketsignalsthatHussmanuseshaveindicatedthatamajormarketpeakhaseenreached In

1972 2000and2007eachofthosepeakswasfollowedadramaticstockmarketcrash Now forthegrsttime

sincethelastgnancialcrisis allfourofthosesignalsappearedonceagainduringtheweekofJul17th If

Hussman sanalsisiscorrect thiscouldverwellmeanthatthenextgreatstockmarketcrashintheUnitedtates

isimminent ItwasanexcellentarticleJimQuinnoftheurningPlatformthatgrstalertedmetoHussman s

latestwarning Ifoudon tfollowQuinn sworkalread oushould ecauseitisexcellent Whensomeoneis

repeatedlcorrectaoutthegnancialmarkets weshouldallstartpaingattention ackinlate2007 Hussman

warnedusaoutwhatwascomingin2008 utmostpeopledidnotlisten Nowheissoundingthealarmagain

AccordingtoHussman whenthereisaconuenceoffourkemarketindicators thattellsusthatthemarkethas

peakedandisindangerofcrashing ThefollowingcomesfromNewsmax

He cited the metric among the indicators that foreshadowed declines after peaks in 1972, 2000 and 2007:*Less than 27 percent of investment advisers polled by
Investors Intelligence who say they are bearish.*Valuations measured by the Shiller price-to-earnings ratio are greater than 18 times.*Less than 60 percent of S&P
500 stocks above their 200-day moving averages.*Record high on a weekly closing basis.The most recent warning was the week ended July 17, 2015,
Hussman said. Its often said that they dont ring a bell at the top, and thats true in many cycles. But its interesting that the same ding has been heard at
the most extreme peaks among them.
Itisquiterareforthemarkettosetanewrecordhighonaweeklclosingasisandhavemorethan40percentof

stockselowtheir200 damovingaveragesatthesametime Thatiswhaconuenceofallthesefactorsis

fairluncommon Hussmanelaoratedonthisinhisrecentreport

The remaining signals (record high on a weekly closing basis, fewer than 27% bears, Shiller P/E greater than 18, fewer than 60% of S&P 500 stocks above their 200day average), are shown below. Whats interesting about these warnings is how closely they identified the precise market peak of each cycle. Internal divergences
have to be fairly extensive for the S&P 500 to register a fresh overvalued, overbullish new high with more than 40% of its component stocks already falling its
evidently a rare indication of a last hurrah. The 1972 warning occurred on November 17, 1972, only 7 weeks and less than 4% from the nal high
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AnExpertThatCorrectlyCalledTheLastTwoStockMarketCrashesIsNowPredictingAnotherOneAlexJones'Infowars:There'sawaronforyourmind!

evidently a rare indication of a last hurrah. The 1972 warning occurred on November 17, 1972, only 7 weeks and less than 4% from the nal high
before the market lost half its value. The 2000 warning occurred the week of March 24, 2000, marking the exact weekly high of that bull run.
The 2007 instance spanned two consecutive weekly closing highs: October 5 and October 12. The nal daily high of the S&P 500 was October 9
right in between. The most recent warning was the week ended July 17, 2015.

Thefollowingisthechartthatimmediatelfollowedtheparagraphinhisreportthatoujustread

WhenIgrsttookalookatthatchartIcouldhardlelieveit ItappearsthatHussman ssignalsarealetoindicate

majorstockmarketcrasheswithstunningprecision Andconsideringthefactthatwejusthitanew ding forthe

grsttimesincethelastgnancialcrisis whatHussmanissaingismorethanjustalittleitominous Accordingto

Hussmanthisisnotjustarecentphenomenoneither venthoughadvisorsentimentggureswerenotavailale

ackin1929 heelievesthathisindicatorswouldhavegivenasignalthatamarketcrashwasimminentinAugust

ofthatearaswell

Though advisory sentiment figures arent available prior to the mid-1960s, imputed data suggest that additional instances likely include the two consecutive weeks
of August 19, 1929 and August 26, 1929. We can infer unfavorable market internals in that instance because we know that cumulative NYSE breadth was
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AnExpertThatCorrectlyCalledTheLastTwoStockMarketCrashesIsNowPredictingAnotherOneAlexJones'Infowars:There'sawaronforyourmind!

of August 19, 1929 and August 26, 1929. We can infer unfavorable market internals in that instance because we know that cumulative NYSE breadth was
declining for months before the 1929 high. The week of the exact market peak would also be included except that stocks closed down that week after registering a
final high on September 3, 1929. Another likely instance, based on imputed sentiment data, is the week of November 10, 1961, which was immediately followed by a
market swoon into June 1962.

Ofcoursethepastisthepast andwhathashappenedinthepastwillnotnecessarilhappeninthefuture ois

Hussmanwrongthistime Withalloftheotherthingsthatarehappeninginthegnancialworldrightnow I

certainlwouldnotetagainsthim Othergnancialprofessionalsareconcernedthatamarketcrashcoulde

imminentaswell ThefollowingcomesfromapieceauthoredAndrewAdams

More than 13% of stocks on the New York Stock Exchange are at 52-week lows, which is about 6 standard deviations above the average over
the last three years (1.62%) and an extreme only seen one other time during said period (last October when the S&P 500 was percentage points away from a 10%
correction).This dichotomy has created what I believe to be the biggest question about the stock market right now have we already experienced a stealth correction
in the majority of stocks that will soon come to an end or will the market leaders finally succumb to the weight of the laggards and join in on the sell-off? The
answer to this could end up being worth at least $2.2 trillion, which is how much money would essentially be wiped out of the stock market if
we nally get the much-discussed 10% correction in the overall market(the total U.S. stock market capitalization was $22.5 trillion as of June 30,
according to the Center for Research in Security Prices).

ometimes apictureisworthmorethanathousandwords Icouldsharemanmorequotesfromthe experts

aoutwhtheareconcernedaoutapotentialstockmarketcollapse utinsteadIwanttosharewithoua

onuschartthatZeroHedgepostedonTuesda

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AnExpertThatCorrectlyCalledTheLastTwoStockMarketCrashesIsNowPredictingAnotherOneAlexJones'Infowars:There'sawaronforyourmind!

Doouunderstandwhatthatissaing In2007and2008 junkondsstartedcrashingwelleforestocks

did Now wearewitnessingasimilardivergence Ifasimilarpatternholdsupthistime stockshavealong long

watofall LikeHussmanandsomanothers Ielievethatastockmarketcrashandanewgnancialcrisisare

imminent ThemonthofAugustisusuallaslowmonthinthegnancialworld sohopefullwecangetthroughit

withouttoomuchchaos utoncewerollintothemonthsofeptemerandOctoerwewillociallein the

.KeepaneeonChina,keepaneeonurope,andkeeplisteningforserioustrouleattooigto
failanksallovertheplanet.Thenextseveralmonthsaregoingtoeextremelsignigcant,andweallneedtoe
gettingreadwhilewestillcan.
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