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Europe and the United States, to address the jobs crisis and prevent
sovereign debt distress and financial sector fragility from escalating, it
is feared, might send the global economy into another recession.
The dimensions in which the crisis manifested itself have made some
analysts to describe the situation as perhaps the worst economic
recession since the Great Depression of the 1930s. For the first time,
the world economy has witnessed stagnation or minimal growth since
more than seven decades.
This has resulted in high unemployment rate, which is a major
stumbling block on the path to recovery. Persistent high unemployment
remains the Achilles heel of economic recovery in most developed
countries. The unemployment rate averaged 8.6 per cent in developed
countries in 2011, well above the pre-crisis level of 5.8 per cent
registered in 2007. In the United States, for instance, labour
participation rates have been on a steady decline since the start of the
crisis.
One may ask: why all this story of the financial crisis in the US and
Europe? This should interest us because managing the macroeconomic
volatility induced by financial crisis poses a challenge for the emerging
markets and developing countries like Nigeria. Waves of capital inflows
that are in excess of an economys absorptive capacity, or highly
speculative in nature, may lead to exchange-rate overshooting,
inflation, credit booms and asset price bubbles. More importantly,
volatile capital flows carry the risks of financial and economic stability,
with the threat of sudden stops and withdrawals of international capital
owing to heightened risk aversion, potentially contributing to the
spreading of financial crises. Yet, the world financial crisis is just one in
a series of events that are responsible for environmental dynamism.
In the last few years, we have all witnessed a unique combination of
systemic change driven by globalisation, technology and increased
environmental awareness, combined with a number of seismic shocks
to the global economic system such as September 11 attack in the US,
Hurricanes Katrina and Rita, and the Asian Tsunami, Sarbanes Oxley,
Arab Springs, and at home here in Nigeria, insurgence in the northern
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part of the country. The combined effects of all these forces will forever
change the way managers do their job. We have also witnessed the
emergence of the Internet as the primary means of information sharing
and a powerful force in the conduct of global commerce, and the
emergence of China and India as economic powers. It is no surprise
that there has been a tremendous increase in volatility, uncertainty
and risk.
From the highlights above, you will agree with me that we cannot
afford to be spectators. Why? The world has been transformed from a
series of loosely connected economies with reasonably predictable
flows between them to a complex web of relationships where the
global impact of local events is felt almost instantaneously. Axson
(2009), therefore, asserts that managers must learn to succeed in a
world where:
Volatility will remain high due to the ever-increasing
interdependence of customers, suppliers, regulators and markets.
Events formerly viewed as extraordinary are now part of the
normal course of business. All organisations need to be able to
understand how they will respond to unexpected material events,
both positive and negative.
Opportunities for competitive advantage and differentiation will
increasingly depend upon an organisations ability to respond to
changes in the business environment.
No doubt, these unfolding events, drivers of volatility, have far
reaching implications for the insurance professionals. Now, let us focus
our attention on the various challenges posed by this environmental
dynamism.
2. Challenges Posed by Volatile Environment
In a recent report, entitled 2012 Global Insurance Outlook, Ernst and
Young acknowledges that the repercussions of the global economic
recession continue to reverberate across many parts of the world,
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the Middle East and North Africa, or the Arab Spring. Not only that all
these will bring in various dimensions of risk, they will also alter the
techniques used in computing the insurers solvency.
2.6 Compliance with Regulations
In many countries, regulatory standards are fairly vague and tend to
be less detailed and less sophisticated than in developed countries.
While a tight net of overly prescriptive regulations can impede the
efficient functioning of insurance markets, lack of a sound set of rules
can be even more detrimental. There is this fear that without proper
regulation, insurers relying on inadequate risk management systems
can enter the market with cheap products, resulting in under-pricing
and under-provisioning, pushing sound insurers out of the market.
Regulators continue to mull changes in line with more sophisticated
international standards, posing risk management, disclosure and other
challenges. In Nigeria, for example, regulatory compliance is a major
concern for the insurers, and the industry is anticipating potential
impacts of implementation of No premium, No cover rule and
preparation of returns to the NAICOM.
The implementation of Solvency II is expected to have far a reaching
impact on the insurance industry worldwide. It is also argued that the
implementation of the new solvency regime in Europe will stimulate
the growth of traditional insurance business models. In the capital
markets, balance sheet volatility is expected to increase the cost of
capital in the short term, and there will be an increase in mergers and
acquisitions activities driven by a number of factors including the need
to diversify product portfolio from life insurance products.
One regulatory change that has already been effected which may have
a long-term effect on the insurance industry is the unanimous
adoption, by the International Association of Insurance Supervisors
(IAIS), in October 2011, of the Insurance Core Principles (ICPs). The
ICPs, while not legally binding, essentially, are the best practices of
regulation and supervision, and form the basis of the evaluations of
national or other regulators by the International Monetary Fund (IMF).
Notably new in the revised ICPs is an emphasis on market conduct.
Understandably, compliance with the IAIS core principles speeds
developing countries integration into the global economy. Establishing
an effective supervisory body also drastically reduces the potential for
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fraud and financial crimes and signals foreign investors that the
country intends to meet its responsibilities in the global financial
system. To benefit fully, however, countries need various types of help
in understanding and implementing the core principles. Countries at
earlier stages of development tend to require more assistance with
fundamental reserving and financial analysis practices, while those at
later stages may need help with risk-based capital and asset-liability
risk modeling. At all levels, however, the principles relating to
supervisory independence, corporate governance, internal controls,
and investment regulation present the greatest challenges.
Thinking along this direction, the National Insurance Commission
(NAICOM) recently launched the Code of Corporate Governance for the
Insurance Industry in Nigeria as part of its strategic efforts to rebuild
and sustain the waning confidence of stakeholders in insurance.
Indeed, the insurance industry regulator expects that the hidden
potential of the sector will be unleashed for maximum impact that will
induce economic growth in Nigeria through compliance to the Code.
The guidelines, as issued by NAICOM, set out the business practice that
would be strictly adhered to by every insurance operator in Nigeria
with effect from January 1, 2010. This very comprehensive policy
handbook is, among othes things, meant to strengthen the operational
standards within the insurance industry. It is also aimed at improving
the quality of performance of insurers, re-insurers and insurance
intermediaries and, to ensure the institutionalisation of effective
corporate governance structure for all insurance institutions.
In addition, following the adoption of the Nigeria Road Map to IFRS by
the federal government, NAICOM expected insurance and reinsurance
companies to take appropriate steps to ensure a seamless transition to
the new financial reporting regime. To this end, the Commission
directed all insurance and reinsurance companies to submit their plan,
for conversion to IFRS, by 1st April, 2011. Thereafter, information on
the progress made in the implementation of the said plan should be
provided in the quarterly return to the Commission. In order to
facilitate this change, the Commission in collaboration with the
Nigerian Accounting Standard Board (NISB) has made arrangements to
embark on the awareness session for the relevant stakeholders in the
insurance industry. Compliance with these various sets of regulations
remains a big challenge to insurance top executives.
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Kunle Aduloju
References
Alpen Capital (2013, July) GCC Insurance Industry. Retrieved from :
http://www.alpencapital.com/downloads/GCC%20Insurance%20Industry
%20Report%202013_1%20July.pdf
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