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General remarks
Learning outcomes
At the end of this course and having completed the Essential reading and
Learning activities, you should be able to:
prepare for Marketing and Strategy courses by being able to analyse
and discuss consumer behaviour and markets in general
analyse business practices with respect to pricing and competition
define and apply key concepts in decision analysis and game theory.
Write down clearly what you are doing as the Examiners award marks for
correct logic and development even if there are numerical mistakes.
Question spotting
Many candidates are disappointed to find that their examination
performance is poorer than they expected. This can be due to a number
of different reasons and the Examiners commentaries suggest ways
of addressing common problems and improving your performance.
We want to draw your attention to one particular failing question
spotting, that is, confining your examination preparation to a few
question topics which have come up in past papers for the course. This
can have very serious consequences.
We recognise that candidates may not cover all topics in the syllabus in
the same depth, but you need to be aware that Examiners are free to
set questions on any aspect of the syllabus. This means that you need
to study enough of the syllabus to enable you to answer the required
number of examination questions.
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Section A
Answer all four questions from this section (12.5 marks each).
Question 1
N players simultaneously decide whether to enter a market or stay out. Market
demand is d (<N). If d or fewer players enter, entrants get 1; if more than d enter,
entrants get zero. Staying out yields a payoff of 0.5. Find all pure strategy Nash
equilibria.
Reading for this question
Subject guide, Chapter 2.
Approaching the question
Each player has two strategies: enter and not enter. At a Nash equilibrium
it shouldnt be possible for a player to improve their payoff if others stick
to their equilibrium strategy. Clearly, there cannot be an equilibrium where
fewer than d players enter because then a non-entrant could get more by
entering. Similarly, there cannot be an equilibrium where more than d
players enter because then an entrant could get more by not entering. So,
any set of d players entering is a Nash equilibrium.
Few candidates in 2013 were able to demonstrate that they fully grasp the
concept of Nash equilibrium. Some simplified the game to a game with
two players but this does not answer the question.
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Question 2
Firm A and Firm B are duopolists. Firm A has constant marginal cost of 5 and
annual fixed cost of 6. Firm B has constant marginal cost of 3 and annual fixed
cost of 6. Annual demand is given by Q = 15 p/2. Firm A is the leader and Firm
B is the follower. Find the Stackelberg equilibrium and the corresponding annual
profits.
Reading for this question
Subject guide, Chapter 11.
Approaching the question
We can rewrite the demand function as p = 30 2Q = 30 2(qA + qB).
Firm B is the follower and takes qA as given. So, firm B maximises
B = (30 2qA 2qB 3)qB 6
Which yields qB = (27 2qA)/4. (1)
Firm A is the leader and takes into account Bs response when setting its
output level, so Firm A maximises
27 2qA
A = 30 2qA
5 qA 6
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b. Verify that it is better to use both plants than to just use Plant 2.
Approaching the question
If the manufacturer only uses Plant 2, he would produce an output level q2
for which MR(q2) = MC2(q2) or 2 2q2/3 = q2 so that q2 = 6/5. Price
is then 2 2/5 = 8/5 and profit equals (8/5)(6/5) 1/4 (6/5)2/2 =
0.95 < 1.
Question 4
Consider the following infinitely repeated alternating offers bargaining game.
Player 1 offers the division of a cake of size 1 to Player 2. Player 2 can either
accept or reject. If he accepts, the proposed division is realised. If Player 2
rejects, he can then propose a division which Player 1 accepts or rejects. If Player
1 rejects, he again makes an offer and so on. Both players discount their payoffs
after each rejection by a factor (0 < < 1). Find the subgame perfect Nash
equilibrium.
Reading for this question
Subject guide, Chapter 3.
Approaching the question
Suppose Player 1 offers to keep a fraction x so that Player 2 receives 1 x.
If Player 2 rejects then he is in exactly the same position Player 1 was in at
the start of the game and if x is the optimal offer then Player 2 would offer
to keep x at this stage which, if accepted, would give him x. At a subgame
perfect equilibrium offers are made such that the other player is indifferent
between accepting and rejecting and therefore 1 x = x or x = 1/(1 + ).
Some candidates in 2013 did not know how to handle the infinite version
of the alternating bargaining game and did not realise one can exploit
the fact that the game is the same after one period. Many solved a finite
version assuming two or three rounds but of course that doesnt answer
the question.
Section B
Answer two questions from this section (25 marks each).
Question 5
Dingle Dongle is a profit maximising monopoly retailer of widgets in
Wonderland. Dingle Dongle has annual fixed costs of 100 and it pays the
wholesaler 1 for every widget it sells. The price charged by Dingle Dongle must
be a whole number of pounds. Annual demand for widgets in Wonderland, as a
function of the price, is given in the table below.
Price
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
a. What price should Dingle Dongle charge? What are the corresponding annual
profits?
Profit margin
Profit
100
<0
10
<0
60
<0
110
<0
140
<0
150
140
20
110
20
100
<0
c. Now suppose the Gizmo Heaven entry threat has disappeared but
Wonderland is considering imposing a tax on widget sales. What is the effect
of the following taxes on the price Dingle Dongle will charge?
i. A tax of 3 per widget sold.
Approaching the question
The profits corresponding to all possible prices under a 3 unit tax are
shown in the table in (a). DD would now set price equal to 7 or 8.
ii. An annual fixed tax of 100.
Approaching the question
This tax would not affect the price DD charges (i.e. p = 6).
iii. An annual fixed tax of 200.
Approaching the question
This tax would also not affect the price charged by DD. However, DD
cannot make a profit under this tax and therefore will go out of business.
This question was not popular and there were few correct answers.
Question 6
A seller has one object for sale. There are two bidders and their valuations are
independently and uniformly distributed on [0,1]. The seller holds an all-pay
auction: the bidders simultaneously submit a sealed bid each. The bidder with
the highest bid receives the object and each bidder has to pay his bid.
a. Show that it is not an equilibrium strategy for each bidder to bid half his
valuation.
Reading for this question
Subject guide, Chapter 5.
Approaching the question
Assume bidder 1 bids according to b1 = v1/2. The expected payoff for
bidder 2 then equals
2 = v2 Prob (b2 > b1) b2 = v2 Prob (b2 > v1/2) b2 = v2 (2b2) b2 = b2(2v2 1)
which is linear in b2. Clearly, the best response for bidder 2 is not to bid
half his valuation.
b. Assume that bidder 2 bids b2(v2) = fv22 (f > 0). Show that if bidder 1 bids b1,
his expected payoff is v1(b1/f)1/2 b1.
Approaching the question
The expected payoff to bidder 1 equals
1=v1 Prob(b1 > b2) b1 = v1 Prob(b1 > fv22) b1 = v1 Prob(v2 < (b1/f)1/2) b1.
c. Show that the best response of bidder 1 to b2(v2) is b1 = v12/(4f). What is the
equilibrium of the all-pay auction?
Approaching the question
Maximising 1 with respect to b1 immediately gives the result in the
question.
At equilibrium we have f = 1/(4f) or f = 1/2 (i.e. both bidders bid half of
the square of their valuation).
d. Would you advise a seller to use an all-pay auction rather than a first or
second price sealed bid auction?
Approaching the question
Under the all pay auction, the seller receives both bids. His expected
payoff is therefore ((2/3)2 + 1/3)2) = 5/18.
Under a first or second price sealed bid auction the sellers expected payoff
is the expected value of the second highest valuation (i.e. 1/3 > 5/18).
Not many candidates attempted this rather challenging question in 2013.
The most common mistake was to just restate from memory the expected
payoff formula for a first price auction whereas this question is about an
all-pay auction.
Question 7
A customer buys a car from a used car dealer. The car may be sold with or
without a warranty. With a warranty, the dealer will pay for all repair expenses
over the next year. Without a warranty, the customer must pay for all repair
expenses. The dealer may sell a good car or a mediocre car. The buyer may treat
the car well or badly. For a given level of care, a good car will incur less repair
expense than a mediocre car. A car will also incur less repair expense if it is
treated well rather than badly. The customer cannot tell the quality of the car
when he buys it and the dealer does not know whether the customer will treat
the car well. The cost of first year repairs is given in the table below.
Good car
Mediocre car
Treated well
100
900
Treated badly
800
1600
The customer incurs an additional cost of 100 if he treats the car well.
A good car costs the dealer 300 more than a mediocre car. Assume that the
customer can sell a good car for 300 more than a mediocre car after one year.
Both the customer and the dealer are risk neutral.
a. If the car is sold without warranty, which type of car will the dealer sell? Will
the customer treat it well or badly?
Reading for this question
Subject guide, Chapter 4.
Approaching the question
Without a warranty, the dealer does not bear any of the repair costs and
therefore will sell a mediocre car (since the good car is more expensive).
The customer bears all repair expenses and the difference in repair
expenses by treating the car well as opposed to treating it badly is larger
than 100. So, the customer will treat the car well.
b. If the car is sold with a warranty, which type of car will the dealer sell? Will
the customer treat it well or badly?
Approaching the question
With a warranty, the dealer bears all repair expenses and the difference in
expenses between a good and a mediocre car is more than 300. So, the
dealer will sell a good car. Since the customer does not bear any of the
repair expenses, he will treat the car badly.
c. What is the maximum additional amount the customer should be prepared to
pay for a warranty?
Approaching the question
With a warranty, the customer will get a good car and will treat it badly.
Without a warrantly the customer will get a mediocre car and will treat it
well. The difference in total cost is (300 + 800) (900 + 100) =
500. So, the customer should be prepared to pay 500 for the warranty.
d. What is the minimum amount the dealer would charge for a warranty?
Approaching the question
Without a warranty, the dealer sells a mediocre car and doesnt pay for
repairs. With a warranty, the dealer has an extra 300 cost to provide a
good car which the customer will treat badly so that the dealer incurs
800 repair costs. This means the dealer would need to charge at least
1,100.
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e. Now suppose that there is a partial warranty: the dealer will pay a fraction p
of the repair costs (and the customer pays a fraction 1 p). For which values
of p will the dealer sell a good car that is treated well by the customer?
Approaching the question
If the customer pays a fraction 1 p of the repair costs he will treat the car
well (assuming its a good car) if 100 + 100(1 p) < 800(1 p) or
p < 6/7.
If the dealer pays a fraction p of the repair costs then he will provide a
good car (assuming the customer will treat it well) if p 900 > 300 +
p 100 or p > 3/8.
There were few attempts at this question and not many candidates gave
a complete answer. Candidates should read the questions in their entirety
before deciding which questions to attempt.
Question 8
a. Explain the intertemporal choice model.
b. Show how an increase in interest rate affects period 1 consumption if
consumption is a normal good.
c. Show that the amount an individual saves can decrease if the interest rate
rises.
Reading for this question
Subject guide, Chapter 6.
Approaching the question
If consumption is a normal good then period 1 consumption will increase
with an increase in the interest rate. Although a rise in the interest rate
makes saving more attractive, saving can decrease when the income effect
is larger than the substitution effect.
Good answers in 2013 gave clear and full explanations and contained
clear diagrams.
Question 9
Explain what is meant by transfer pricing. Show how optimal transfer prices are
calculated. Give worked out examples.
Reading for this question
Subject guide, Chapter 10.
Approaching the question
Very good answers in 2013 gave a complete exposition.
Question 10
a. Explain what is meant by certainty equivalent and how we can use this
concept to indicate whether a decision maker is risk averse.
Reading for this question
Subject guide, Chapter 1.
Approaching the question
The certainty equivalent for a lottery is the amount of money, x, such that
the decision maker is indifferent between the lottery and x.
If x exceeds (is equal to, is less than) the lotterys expected value, the
decision maker is risk loving (neutral, averse).
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Section A
Answer all four questions from this section (12.5 marks each).
Question 1
Consider the following variation of the trust game: Player A decides whether to
choose IN (trust) or OUT (dont trust). If A chooses OUT, the game ends and each
player receives $5. If A chooses IN then Player B can decide whether to roll a
die or not (not rolling is defecting). If A chooses IN and B chooses DONT ROLL,
A receives $0 and B receives $14. If A chooses IN and B chooses ROLL, B receives
$10 and the payoff to A is decided by chance: with probability 5/6, A receives
$12, and with probability 1/6, A receives $0.
a. Draw the game tree.
Reading for this question
Subject guide, Chapter 2.
12
IN
(0,14)
5/6
(12,10)
A
Roll
OUT
(5,5)
1/16
(0,10)
b. Find the subgame perfect equilibrium assuming the players are risk neutral.
Approaching the question
We proceed by backward induction. Clearly, Player B will decide not to roll
the die (since 14 > 10) and therefore Player A chooses Out (since 5 > 0).
Hence the subgame perfect equilibrium is (OUT, dont roll).
This is an easy question and many candidates got full marks. To get full
marks it is essential that you dont just say that at the subgame perfect
equilibrium A chooses OUT. You must also say that B chooses dont roll.
Some candidates decided to write the game in normal form (why?) and
then stumbled on the wrong answer.
Question 2
Firm A and Firm B are duopolists. Firm A has constant marginal cost of 5 and
annual fixed cost of 6. Firm B has constant marginal cost of 3 and annual fixed
cost of 6. Annual demand is given by Q = 15 p/2. Find the Cournot-Nash
equilibrium and the corresponding annual profits.
Reading for this question
Subject guide, Chapter 11.
Approaching the question
The demand function can be rewritten as p = 30 2Q.
Firm As profits are given by
A = (30 2(qA + qB) 5)qA 6
Optimising with respect to qA gives
25 2qB
qA =
4
Firm Bs profits are given by
B = (30 2(qA + qB) 3)qB 6
Optimising with respect to qB gives
27 2qA
qB =
4
Solving for qA and qB gives the Cournot-Nash output levels of 3.83 and
4.83 respectively.
Price at equilibrium equals 30 2(3.83 + 4.83) = 12.67 and hence profits
are (12.67 5)3.83 6 = 23.38 and (12.67 3)4.83 6 = 40.71 for Firm
A and Firm B respectively.
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This question is rather easy and was answered well. There were however a
surprising number of calculation errors. Check your answers!
Many candidates wrongly applied the symmetry shortcut which you
cannot do here as the firms are not identical.
Question 3
Prey Ltd. is worth v to its current owners who will sell if they get an offer of at
least v. Predator Ltd. does not know v but it knows that v can be $2m, $3m, $4m
or $6m and considers these four outcomes equally likely. Whatever the value of
v, everyone knows that Prey Ltd. is worth v + $3m to Predator Ltd. What is the
expected profit maximising take-it-or-leave-it offer Predator Ltd. should make?
Reading for this question
Subject guide, Chapter 4.
Approaching the question
Predator Ltd. should make an offer of $2m or $3m or $4m or $6m. (For
any other offer, if the offer is accepted, a lower offer would also have been
accepted.) So, lets calculate the expected payoff to Predator Ltd. for each
of these possible offers:
Offer $2m: $3m(1/4) = $(3/4)m
Offer $3m: $2m(1/4) + $3m(1/4) = $(5/4)m
Offer $4m: $1m(1/4) + $2m(1/4) + $3m(1/4) = $1.5m
Offer $6m: $1m(1/4) + 0 + $1m(1/4) + $3m(1/4) = $(3/4)m
So, Predator Ltd. should offer $4m.
More than 90 per cent of candidates who attempted this question in 2013
got zero marks! Most just calculated the expected v and said that should
be the offer. The Examiners could only ask why?!
Question 4
A monopoly has constant marginal cost, c, and zero fixed cost. Demand is given
by Q = a p.
a. Find the optimal output level.
Reading for this question
Subject guide, Chapter 9.
Approaching the question
The demand function is p = a Q and therefore marginal revenue equals
MR = a 2Q. Setting MR equal to marginal cost gives the optimal output
level Q = (a c)/2. Price equals (a + c)/2 and optimal profit is [(a
c)/2]2.
b. Now suppose the marginal cost can be reduced to c d by making an
investment. What is the maximum the monopoly should be willing to pay for
this cost reduction?
Approaching the question
After the investment, the optimal output level is (a c + d)/2. Price equals
(a + c d)/2. Hence optimal profit is now [(a c + d)/2]2.
The monopoly should be willing to pay the difference in profit levels:
[(a c + d)/2]2 [(a c)/2]2 = d(2(a c) + d)/4.
A majority of candidates in 2013 answered part (a) correctly but very few
managed part (b) without calculation mistakes.
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Section B
Answer two questions from this section (25 marks each).
Question 5
Your utility of money function is given by U(x) = x1/2 for x 0 and U(x) = x for x < 0.
a. You roll a die and if you get a 6 you receive $100. Calculate your expected
utility.
Reading for this question
Subject guide, Chapter 1.
Approaching the question
EU = U(100)/6 = 10/6
b. If you pay $x, you can give up the opportunity in (a) and instead receive $100
if the die roll is 5 or 6. Show that the maximum x you are prepared to pay
is about $2.40.
Approaching the question
Now the possible outcomes are $100 $x (for a 5 or a 6) and $x (for a 1,
2, 3 or 4).
EU = U(100 x)/3 + U(x)(2/3) = (100 x)1/2 2x/3.
The maximum x you should be prepared to pay is therefore such that the
EU above equals the EU in (a), so the x we are looking for satisfies (1/3)
(100 x)1/2 2x/3 =10/6.
c. Now suppose that you roll a die and you get $100 as long as the die roll is
not 1. Calculate your expected utility.
Approaching the question
EU =(5/6)U(100) = 50/6
d. If you pay $y, you can give up the opportunity in (c) and instead receive $100
for sure. What is the maximum y you are prepared to pay?
Approaching the question
U(100 y) = 50/6 or (100 y)1/2 = 50/6 so that y = $30.56.
Most candidates in 2013 could calculate expected utility in (a) and (c) but
very few demonstrated they understood expected utility theory sufficiently
to answer the more challenging questions in (b) and (d) correctly.
Question 6
Dilnic, a labour managed monopoly, has production function Q = KL. Unit prices
of capital and labour are r and w respectively.
a. Find Dilnics conditional input demands.
Reading for this question
Subject guide, Chapter 7.
Approaching the question
To find the conditional input demands we want to equate the ratio of
marginal products to the input price ratio, that is L/K = r/w. Rewrite
this as L = K(r/w) (1) and substitute into the production function: Q =
K2(r/w). Then rewrite as K (Q) = [Q(w/r)]1/2 which is the conditional
demand for capital. Using (1) we find the conditional demand for labour:
L(Q) = [Q(r/w)]1/2.
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Setting the first order derivative with respect to Q equal to zero (and
checking the second order derivative is negative) gives the optimal output
level, Q = 100/3.
This question is rather straightforward and parts (a) and (b) were
anwered competently. For part (c), however, a vast majority of candidates
made calculation errors.
Question 7
Amos owns a very large hotel which has enough rooms to meet all potential
demand. He provides rooms for business travellers and candidates. The marginal
cost of providing a room is 10. Demand from business travellers is given by
qb = 210 p and demand from candidates is given by qs = 360 4p.
a. Suppose Amos can charge different room prices to business travellers and
candidates. What are the profit maximising prices?
Reading for this question
Subject guide, Chapter 10.
Approaching the question
Amos will want to set marginal revenue from both groups equal to
marginal cost, so
210 2qb = 90 qs/2 = 10
Hence, qb = 100 and qs = 160. The profit maximising prices are 110 for
business travellers and 50 for candidates.
b. Now suppose Amos has to charge the same price to both groups of
customers. What is the profit maximizing price?
Approaching the question
Assuming Amos will sell to both groups, the demand function is now
Q = qb + qs = 570 5p (for p 90).
Marginal revenue equals 114 2Q/5. Setting this equal to marginal cost
gives Q = 260. The profit maximising price is 62.
c. Amos decides that he wants to offer his guests breakfast. The room price
is pr and the price for breakfast is pm. Assume that the cost of breakfast is
zero. The proportion s of guests who buy breakfast is given by s = 1 0.1pm.
Guests do not take into account the price of breakfast when booking a room.
Assuming Amos has to charge the same prices to both groups of customers,
find the profit maximizing pm and pr.
Approaching the question
Amos profit function, given the demand in (b) and the fraction of guests
buying breakfast, is now
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