Ao

1982
1983
1984
1985
1986

INTNSIDADES DE PRECIPITACIONES
DURACIN EN MINUTOS
5
10
30
7.7
3.6
6.8
15.2
5.3
3.3
6.1
13.1
2.9
10.5
4.1
11.3
6.8
8.5
4.2

60
1.8
2.6
4.9
9.4
1.4

1) ORDENAR DE MAYOR A MENOR

5
15.2
10.5
7.7
6.8
6.1
N(Nmero
de datos)
2)DISTRIBUCIN DE GUMBEL

MEDIA
DESVSTANDA
ALFA
BETA

DURACIN EN MINUTOS(ORDENADO)
10
30
60
13.1
11.3
9.4
8.5
6.8
4.9
5.3
4.2
2.6
4.1
3.3
1.8
3.6
2.9
1.4

5
15.2
10.5
7.7
6.8
6.1
9.26
3.72
0.34
7.58

DURACIN EN MINUTOS(ORDENADO)
10
30
60
13.1
11.3
9.4
8.5
6.8
4.9
5.3
4.2
2.6
4.1
3.3
1.8
3.6
2.9
1.4
6.92
5.7
4.02
3.95
3.48
3.30
0.33
0.37
0.39
5.14
4.13
2.53

3) DESVIACIN MAXIMA(max) ENTRE LA PROBABILIDAD EMPIRICA Y LA TERICA:

P(X<Xm)
m
0.833
1
0.667
2
0.500
3
0.333
4
5
0.167

4) SEGN LA PRUEBA DE SMIRNOV-KOLMOGOROV:

Para un nivel de significancia =5% y N=5

5) max<o

o=0.56

por lo tanto el ajuste se acepta

6)DETERMINACIN DE INTENSIDADES:

T
5
10
15
20
25
50
100

1/T
0.200
0.100
0.067
0.050
0.040
0.020
0.010

5
X-5
11.933
14.108
15.336
16.195
16.857
18.896
20.920

DURACIN(min)
10
30
X-10
X-30
9.757
8.201
12.066
10.237
Intensidad(mm/hr)
13.369
11.386
14.281
12.190
14.983
12.809
17.148
14.718
19.296
16.612

PROBABILIDAD
EMPIRICA
m
1
2
3
4
5

5
0.930
0.694
0.383
0.270
0.188

LA TERICA:
ABS(PE-PT)
0.097
0.027
0.117
0.064
0.022

PERIODO DE
RETORNO
6.00
3.00
2.00
1.50
1.20

P(X>Xm)
0.17
0.33
0.50
0.67
0.83

Pt(X<XM)(PROBABILIDAD TERICA)
10
30
0.927
0.931
0.715
0.688
0.387
0.377
0.246
0.257
0.192
0.207

ABS(PE-PT)
0.094
0.048
0.113
0.087
0.025

P(X<Xm)

ABS(PE-PT)
0.098
0.021
0.123
0.076
0.040

0.83
0.67
0.50
0.33
0.17

60
0.933
0.671
0.377
0.264
0.211

ABS(PE-PT)
0.100
0.005
0.123
0.069
0.045

CURVAS-IDF.

min)
60
X-60
6.392
8.322
Intensidad(mm/hr)
9.411
10.173
10.761
12.570
14.366

25.000
T=5

20.000

T=10
15.000

T=15
T=20

10.000

T=25
T=50

5.000
0.000

T=100
0

10

20

30

minutos

40

50

60

70

REGISTROS CON PLUVIOGRAMAS

DISTRIBUCIN EMPRICA
AOS
PRECIPITACIN(mm)
1948
975.5
1949
640
1950
845
1951
800
1952
1190
1953
1030
1954
1450
1955
940
1956
1330
1957
1534
1958
1856
1959
1882
1960
1460
1961
950
1962
1136
1963
644
1964
995
1965
658
1966
1870
1967
820
1968
690
1969
1240
1970
1605
1971
1745
1972
990
25
N

DISTRIBUCIN TERICA(GUMBEL)

ORDENAR
1882
1870
1856
1745
1605
1534
1460
1450
1330
1240
1190
1136
1030
995
990
975.5
950
940
845
820
800
690
658
644
640

m
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25

Periodo T
26.000
13.000
8.667
6.500
5.200
4.333
3.714
3.250
2.889
2.600
2.364
2.167
2.000
1.857
1.733
1.625
1.529
1.444
1.368
1.300
1.238
1.182
1.130
1.083
1.040

AOS

PRECIPITACIN(mm)

ORDENAR

1948
1949
1950
1951
1952
1953
1954
1955
1956
1957
1958
1959
1960
1961
1962
1963
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972

975.5
640
845
800
1190
1030
1450
940
1330
1534
1856
1882
1460
950
1136
644
995
658
1870
820
690
1240
1605
1745
990
25

1882
1870
1856
1745
1605
1534
1460
1450
1330
1240
1190
1136
1030
995
990
975.5
950
940
845
820
800
690
658
644
640

N
MEDIA
DESVSTAN
ALFA
BETA

Pt(X<XM)
(PROBABILIDAD
TERICA)
0.942
0.940
0.938
0.913
0.867
0.837
0.798
0.793
0.712
0.637
0.590
0.534
0.416
0.376
0.370
0.353
0.324
0.312
0.208
0.182
0.163
0.077
0.058
0.051
0.050

P(x<xm)
0.962
0.923
0.885
0.846
0.808
0.769
0.731
0.692
0.654
0.615
0.577
0.538
0.500
0.462
0.423
0.385
0.346
0.308
0.269
0.231
0.192
0.154
0.115
0.077
0.038
max

1171.020
405.756
0.003
988.186

RESPUESTA
a)

delta mximo 0.27

es mayor que

b)
P(x>xm)=1/T

0.004

mx=0.10

1-P(xxm)=P(x>xm)
Desarrollando Xm=2736.35m3/seg

P(x>xm)
0.038
0.077
0.115
0.154
0.192
0.231
0.269
0.308
0.346
0.385
0.423
0.462
0.500
0.538
0.577
0.615
0.654
0.692
0.731
0.769
0.808
0.846
0.885
0.923
0.962

P(x<xm)
0.962
0.923
0.885
0.846
0.808
0.769
0.731
0.692
0.654
0.615
0.577
0.538
0.500
0.462
0.423
0.385
0.346
0.308
0.269
0.231
0.192
0.154
0.115
0.077
0.038

mx=|pe-pt|
0.019
0.017
0.053
0.066
0.060
0.068
0.068
0.100
0.058
0.022
0.013
0.004
0.084
0.086
0.053
0.031
0.023
0.004
0.062
0.048
0.029
0.077
0.057
0.026
0.011
0.100

mx=0.10

DETERMINACIN DE L

1) A PATIR DE LAS BANDS DE REGISTRO DE LOS PLUVIGRAFOS, SELECCIONAR PARA CADA

VALORES EXTREMOS DE PRECITACIN ASOCIADOS A DIFERENTES DURACIONES:

AO
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998

2
8.1
8.2
13.1
13.1
5.9
9.4
14.3
10
10.2
10.8
9.2
10.2
9.5
6.1
7.8
8.2
8.5

PRECIPITACIONES MXIMAS(mm)
DURACIN
4
6
14.2
23.8
35.3
8.7
13.7
15
21.4
30.8
39.2
7.7
11.1
13.3
13.7
26.6
32.9
25.7
40.6
49.1
14.7
29
30
16.6
18.1
25.6
20.8
34.2
39.5
14.7
20.8
23.7
13.4
21.6
25.3
12.8
15
18.3
7.8
11.4
13.3
9.9
13.8
18
9
13.1
14.8
12.2
19.4
24.3
15
20.9
25.4

8
37.2
19.3
52
16.2
42
51.3
29
23.5
44.3
25.6
30.4
22.3
13.3
18.4
19.5
26.8
26.3

2)TOMAR LOS VALORES DE CADA UNA DE LAS SERIES Y DIVIDIRLOS POR SU DURACIN(HR)
OBTENIENDOSE AS LAS INTENSIDADES EN mm/h.

AO
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994

1
8.100
8.200
13.100
13.100
5.900
9.400
14.300
10.000
10.200
10.800
9.200
10.200
9.500

INTENSIDADES MXIMAS DE PRECIPITACIONES(mm)

DURACIN(Hr)
2
4
6
8
7.100
5.950
5.883
4.650
4.350
3.425
2.500
2.413
10.700
7.700
6.533
6.500
3.850
2.775
2.217
2.025
6.850
6.650
5.483
5.250
12.850
10.150
8.183
6.413
7.350
7.250
5.000
3.625
8.300
4.525
4.267
2.938
10.400
8.550
6.583
5.538
7.350
5.200
3.950
3.200
6.700
5.400
4.217
3.800
6.400
3.750
3.050
2.788
3.900
2.850
2.217
1.663

1995
1996
1997
1998

6.100
7.800
8.200
8.500

4.950
4.500
6.100
7.500

3.450
3.275
4.850
5.225

3.000
2.467
4.050
4.233

2.300
2.438
3.350
3.288

3) ORDENAR DE MANERA DESCENDENTE

AO
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
N=

INTENSIDADES MXIMAS DE PRECIPITACIONES(mm)

DURACIN(Hr)
2
4
6
8
12.850
10.150
8.183
6.500
10.700
8.550
6.583
6.413
10.400
7.700
6.533
5.538
8.300
7.250
5.883
5.250
7.500
6.650
5.483
4.650
7.350
5.950
5.000
3.800
7.350
5.400
4.267
3.625
7.100
5.225
4.233
3.350
6.850
5.200
4.217
3.288
6.700
4.850
4.050
3.200
6.400
4.525
3.950
2.938
6.100
3.750
3.050
2.788
4.950
3.450
3.000
2.438
4.500
3.425
2.500
2.413
4.350
3.275
2.467
2.300
3.900
2.850
2.217
2.025
3.850
2.775
2.217
1.663

1
14.300
13.100
13.100
10.800
10.200
10.200
10.000
9.500
9.400
9.200
8.500
8.200
8.200
8.100
7.800
6.100
5.900
17

4) DISTRIBUCIN PROBABILISTICA DE GUMBEL

AO
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
MEDIA
DESVSTA
ALFA
BETA

1
14.300
13.100
13.100
10.800
10.200
10.200
10.000
9.500
9.400
9.200
8.500
8.200
8.200
8.100
7.800
6.100
5.900
9.565
2.314
0.554
8.522

INTENSIDADES MXIMAS DE PRECIPITACIONES(mm)

DURACIN(Hr)
2
4
6
8
12.850
10.150
8.183
6.500
10.700
8.550
6.583
6.413
10.400
7.700
6.533
5.538
8.300
7.250
5.883
5.250
7.500
6.650
5.483
4.650
7.350
5.950
5.000
3.800
7.350
5.400
4.267
3.625
7.100
5.225
4.233
3.350
6.850
5.200
4.217
3.288
6.700
4.850
4.050
3.200
6.400
4.525
3.950
2.938
6.100
3.750
3.050
2.788
4.950
3.450
3.000
2.438
4.500
3.425
2.500
2.413
4.350
3.275
2.467
2.300
3.900
2.850
2.217
2.025
3.850
2.775
2.217
1.663
7.009
5.351
4.343
3.657
2.499
2.129
1.739
1.500
0.513
0.603
0.738
0.855
5.883
4.392
3.560
2.982

5) DESVIACIN MAXIMA(max) ENTRE LA PROBABILIDAD EMPIRICA Y LA TERICA(PRUEBA

m
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14

ABS(PE-PT)
0.016
0.035
0.091
0.024
0.048
0.007
0.032
0.003
0.041
0.059
0.026
0.031
0.025
0.060

ABS(PE-PT)
0.028
0.030
0.073
0.029
0.076
0.042
0.013
0.030
0.044
0.074
0.076
0.076
0.079
0.091

ABS(PE-PT)
0.025
0.033
0.039
0.059
0.051
0.010
0.031
0.010
0.041
0.024
0.008
0.104
0.106
0.055

ABS(PE-PT)
0.023
0.009
0.061
0.057
0.063
0.041
0.059
0.011
0.040
0.054
0.084
0.100
0.057
0.110

15
16
17
Segn smirnov-k.

0.058
0.089
0.042

0.055
0.048
0.003

Para alfa=5%

0.026
0.032
0.015

0.060
0.043
0.012

N
20
17
15

0.05
0.29
X
0.34

6) INTENSIDADES PARA PERIODOS DE RETORNO.

T
2
5
10
25
50
100
200

INTENSIDADES MXIMAS DE PRECIPITACIONES(mm)(METODO1)

DURACIN(Hr)
1
2
4
6
8
9.18
6.60
5.00
4.06
3.41
11.23
8.81
6.88
5.59
4.74
12.58
10.27
8.13
6.61
5.61
14.29
12.12
9.70
7.90
6.72
15.56
13.49
10.87
8.85
7.54
16.82
14.85
12.03
9.80
8.36
18.08
16.20
13.18
10.74
9.17

20.00
18.00
16.00
14.00
12.00

Intensidades(mm/hr)

10.00
8.00
6.00
4.00
2.00
0.00

7) LAS DISTINTAS CURVAS IDF PUEDEN QUEDAR DESCRITAS ESTADISTICAMENTE MEDIANTE

=(^)
/^
Donde:
I= Intensidad mxima (mm/min)
K, m, n = factores caractersticos de la zona de estudio.
T = periodo retorno en aos
t = duracin de la precipitacin equivalente al tiempo de concentracin (min)
Si se toma logaritmos de la ecuacin anterior se obtiene:
o bien:

()=()+()()

...(1)

=_+_ _+_ _
...(2)

=() _=( )
_=() _=
_=() _=

Los factores de K, m, n, se obtienen a partir de los datos existentes mediante regresin mltiple.
T
2
5
10
25
50
100
200
2
5
10
25
50
100
200
2
5
10
25
50
100
200
2
5
10

t
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
6
6
6

intensidades
9.183
11.228
12.582
14.293
15.562
16.821
18.076
6.597
8.806
10.268
12.116
13.487
14.848
16.204
5.001
6.882
8.127
9.701
10.868
12.027
13.182
4.057
5.593
6.611

x1
0.301
0.699
1.000
1.398
1.699
2.000
2.301
0.301
0.699
1.000
1.398
1.699
2.000
2.301
0.301
0.699
1.000
1.398
1.699
2.000
2.301
0.301
0.699
1.000

25
50
100
200
2
5
10
25
50
100
200
2
5
10
25
50
100
200
2
5
10
25
50
100
200

6
6
6
6
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
24
24
24
24
24
24
24

7.896
8.850
9.797
10.740
3.410
4.736
5.613
6.722
7.545
8.361
9.175
2.662
3.774
4.510
5.441
6.131
6.817
7.499
1.620
2.403
2.921
3.576
4.062
4.544
5.024

1.398
1.699
2.000
2.301
0.301
0.699
1.000
1.398
1.699
2.000
2.301
0.301
0.699
1.000
1.398
1.699
2.000
2.301
0.301
0.699
1.000
1.398
1.699
2.000
2.301

DETERMINACIN DE LA CURVA IDF A PARTIR DE UN PLUVIOGRAMA

ECCIONAR PARA CADA AO LOS

RACIONES:

12

24
43.8
19.7
69.8
16.9
45.5
50.5
40.7
35
52.3
37.6
38.2
26.8
13.3
18.7
21.2
29
26.3

59.7
19.7
91.8
16.9
69.4
64.2
40.7
49.3
57.1
45
47.6
27.8
14.8
19.4
31.1
35.6
30.5

OR SU DURACIN(HR),

S(mm)
12
3.650
1.642
5.817
1.408
3.792
4.208
3.392
2.917
4.358
3.133
3.183
2.233
1.108

24
2.488
0.821
3.825
0.704
2.892
2.675
1.696
2.054
2.379
1.875
1.983
1.158
0.617

1.558
1.767
2.417
2.192

0.808
1.296
1.483
1.271

S(mm)
m
12
5.817
4.358
4.208
3.792
3.650
3.392
3.183
3.133
2.917
2.417
2.233
2.192
1.767
1.642
1.558
1.408
1.108

24
3.825
2.892
2.675
2.488
2.379
2.054
1.983
1.875
1.696
1.483
1.296
1.271
1.158
0.821
0.808
0.704
0.617

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17

P(x>xm)

P(x<xm)

18.000
9.000
6.000
4.500
3.600
3.000
2.571
2.250
2.000
1.800
1.636
1.500
1.385
1.286
1.200
1.125
1.059

0.056
0.111
0.167
0.222
0.278
0.333
0.389
0.444
0.500
0.556
0.611
0.667
0.722
0.778
0.833
0.889
0.944

0.944
0.889
0.833
0.778
0.722
0.667
0.611
0.556
0.500
0.444
0.389
0.333
0.278
0.222
0.167
0.111
0.056

NES(mm)
12
5.817
4.358
4.208
3.792
3.650
3.392
3.183
3.133
2.917
2.417
2.233
2.192
1.767
1.642
1.558
1.408
1.108
2.869
1.259
1.019
2.302

24
3.825
2.892
2.675
2.488
2.379
2.054
1.983
1.875
1.696
1.483
1.296
1.271
1.158
0.821
0.808
0.704
0.617
1.766
0.886
1.448
1.367

1
0.960
0.924
0.924
0.754
0.674
0.674
0.644
0.559
0.541
0.503
0.363
0.303
0.303
0.283
0.225
0.022
0.014

2
0.972
0.919
0.906
0.749
0.647
0.624
0.624
0.585
0.544
0.518
0.464
0.409
0.199
0.131
0.111
0.063
0.059

LA TERICA(PRUEBA DE BONDAD):
ABS(PE-PT)
0.007
0.059
0.060
0.088
0.064
0.058
0.049
0.074
0.037
0.008
0.035
0.026
0.074
0.026

ABS(PE-PT)
0.028
0.005
0.033
0.025
0.054
0.053
0.054
0.096
0.086
0.034
0.047
0.007
0.100
0.081

ABS(PE-PT)
0.027
0.007
0.027
0.043
0.072
0.024
0.053
0.064
0.037
0.015
0.059
0.017
0.019
0.112

0.028
0.059
0.091
0.088
0.076
0.058
0.059
0.096
0.086
0.074
0.084
0.104
0.106
0.112

Pt(X<XM)(PROBABILIDAD TERICA)
DURACIN(Hr)
4
6
0.969
0.968
0.922
0.898
0.873
0.894
0.836
0.835
0.774
0.785
0.676
0.708
0.580
0.552
0.546
0.544
0.541
0.540
0.468
0.498
0.397
0.472
0.229
0.233
0.171
0.221
0.167
0.113
0.141
0.107
0.079
0.068
0.071
0.068

0.000
0.007
0.010

0.048
0.028
0.021

0.32

0.061
0.038
0.004

0.32>0.112
LA DISTRIBUCIN ES ACEPTABLE

m)(METODO1)

des(mm/hr)

12
2.66
3.77
4.51
5.44
6.13
6.82
7.50

0.061
0.089
0.042

24
1.62
2.40
2.92
3.58
4.06
4.54
5.02

1
9.18
11.23
12.58
14.29
15.56
16.82
18.08

INTENSIDADES MXIMAS DE PRECIPITACIONES

DURACIN(Hr)
2
4
6
6.60
5.00
4.06
8.81
6.88
5.59
10.27
8.13
6.61
12.12
9.70
7.90
13.49
10.87
8.85
14.85
12.03
9.80
16.20
13.18
10.74

Pt Pm 0.45 0.7797 Ln LnT Ln (

CURVA IDF
20.00
18.00
16.00
T=2

14.00

T=5

12.00

T=10

10.00

T=25

8.00

T=50

6.00

T=100

T=200

4.00
2.00
0.00

10

15

Duracin(hr)

20

25

30

TICAMENTE MEDIANTE LA SIGUIENTE ECUACIN:

() _=( )
=() _=
=() _=

mltiple.
x2
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.301
0.301
0.301
0.301
0.301
0.301
0.301
0.602
0.602
0.602
0.602
0.602
0.602
0.602
0.778
0.778
0.778

Y
0.963
1.050
1.100
1.155
1.192
1.226
1.257
0.819
0.945
1.011
1.083
1.130
1.172
1.210
0.699
0.838
0.910
0.987
1.036
1.080
1.120
0.608
0.748
0.820

0.778
0.778
0.778
0.778
0.903
0.903
0.903
0.903
0.903
0.903
0.903
1.079
1.079
1.079
1.079
1.079
1.079
1.079
1.380
1.380
1.380
1.380
1.380
1.380
1.380

0.897
0.947
0.991
1.031
0.533
0.675
0.749
0.827
0.878
0.922
0.963
0.425
0.577
0.654
0.736
0.788
0.834
0.875
0.210
0.381
0.466
0.553
0.609
0.657
0.701

ABILIDAD TERICA)
ACIN(Hr)
8
0.952
0.948
0.894
0.866
0.787
0.609
0.562
0.482
0.463
0.436
0.354
0.307
0.203
0.197
0.167
0.104
0.046

12
0.973
0.884
0.866
0.803
0.776
0.719
0.665
0.651
0.586
0.411
0.342
0.327
0.178
0.141
0.118
0.083
0.034

24
0.972
0.896
0.860
0.821
0.794
0.691
0.664
0.619
0.537
0.430
0.330
0.317
0.258
0.110
0.106
0.073
0.052

S DE PRECIPITACIONES(mm)
ACIN(Hr)
8
12
3.41
2.66
4.74
3.77
5.61
4.51
6.72
5.44
7.55
6.13
8.36
6.82
9.18
7.50

.7797 Ln LnT Ln (T 1)

T=2
T=5
T=10
T=25
T=50
T=100
T=200

30

24
1.62
2.40
2.92
3.58
4.06
4.54
5.02

CLCULO PREVIO
a
n
Eg
Kg
b

10

Periodo de
retorno

20

30

intensidades en mm/hora
Duracin(min)
40
50
60

5 25.804 21.223 18.172 15.976 14.311 13.000

10 28.902 23.772 20.354 17.894 16.029 14.561
100
110
120
130
140
150
5 9.677 9.124
10 10.839 10.220

DURACIN(min)
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
110

PERIODO(aos)
5
10
25.804 28.902
21.223 23.772
18.172 20.354
15.976 17.894
14.311 16.029
13.000 14.561
11.938 13.371
11.057 12.385
10.314 11.552
9.677 10.839
9.124 10.220

8.640
9.677

8.211
9.197

7.829
8.769

7.485
8.384

70

80

11.938
13.371
160

11.057
12.385
170

7.175
8.036

6.893
7.720

Curva-IDF
35.000
30.000
25.000
20.000

intensidad(mm/hr)

15.000
10.000
5.000
0.000

20

40

60

80

100

120

Duracin(min)
T=5

T=10

140

0.000

20

40

60

80

100

120

Duracin(min)

120
130
140
150
160
170
180

8.640
8.211
7.829
7.485
7.175
6.893
6.635

9.677
9.197
8.769
8.384
8.036
7.720
7.432

T=5

T=10

140

LCULO PREVIO
12.1
0.242
23.3
0.553
0.4

90
10.314
11.552
180
6.635
7.432

100

120

cin(min)

140

160

180

200

100

120

cin(min)

140

160

180

200