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ClimateChangeAdaptationPlanforNaroda IndustrialEstate(Ahmedabad)
2.1OverView:FloodHazard&ClimateChange
Hazard,WaterCycleandFloodAssessment
2.1
2.2
23
2.3
2.4
2.5
2.6
Methodology
Topographic Characteristics & Drainage
Flood
Fl
d and
d Erosional
E i
l Hazards
H
d Zone
Z
Drainage Density
Water Logging spot
Flood Simulation Model
ClimateChangeAdaptationPlanforNaroda IndustrialEstate(Ahmedabad)
2.1HazardVulnerability:WaterCycleandFloodAssessment:Methodology
A) Topographic Survey
(60 GPS location)
Roads, Low Lying Area, open fields, Built area
B)PreparationofContourMap
GeneralDirectionofslope
Slope Gradient
SlopeGradient
Anomalies(Elevatedandlow)
BaselineScenarioHazard Naturalfloodareas(Lowlyingareas)
Prone
HumaninterventionScenariofloodHazard Encroachment
Areas & Roads Vulnerable
Areas&Roads
Vulnerable
ClimateChangeinducefuturefloodHazard ExcessScenarioto
Normalrainfallintensity(15&25returnyears)
TOPOGRAPHICALPROFILE
ClimateChangeAdaptationPlanforNaroda
IndustrialEstate(Ahmedabad)
2.2HazardVulnerability:(Topography)WaterCycleandFloodAssessment
Relativelylower
elevationis
Markedbelow
60AMSL
General
Elevationis
between6260m
AMSL
Relativelyhigher
elevationis
Markedabove
65AMSL
Groundwaterrechargeablezones
Surfacerunoffandvulnerableground
waterrechargezones
Watererosionzones
PorosityfactorOfsoil
Permeabilityfactorsoflandcover(treecover,open,built
Slopefactor
ClimateChangeAdaptationPlanforNaroda IndustrialEstate(Ahmedabad)
ClimateChangeAdaptationPlanforNaroda IndustrialEstate(Ahmedabad)
2.3HazardVulnerability:WaterCycleandFloodAssessment
2.2HazardVulnerability:WaterCycleandFloodAssessment:DrainagePattern
Major
Drain flows
towards
Phase
3
and 4
FloodandErosionalHazardZones
1 Flood Vulnerable
zone & 2 low lying
areas
are
predominantly along
Muthiya village in
Phase 4
ErosionVulnerable
zoneareinphase1
3.8Hectare
NaturalLowlying
area=1.08%NIE
62Hectare Flood
VulnerableZone=
20%ofNIE
21-12-2011
2.4ClimateChange(DrainageDensity)AdaptationPlanforNaroda IndustrialEstate
(Ahmedabad)
ClimateChangeAdaptationPlanforNaroda IndustrialEstate(Ahmedabad)
2.5HazardVulnerability:WaterCycleandFloodAssessment:WaterLogging
Intersecting
spotsofDrains
byroadinFlood
Vulnerable(
Pahse IV)
NaturalDrainageDisturbedbyRoadsandotherdevelopment
Intersectingspots
ofDrainsByroad
outsideFlood
Vulnerable
(PhaseIV)
ClimateChangeAdaptationPlanforNaroda IndustrialEstate(Ahmedabad)
2.6HazardVulnerability:FloodSimulationandEstimations
B)
RainFallAnalysis
ForRainfallIntensityfordifferentReturn
Periods
ReturnPeriodsofRainfall
EstimationofRunoffCoefficients
Basedonthecompositionofwatershed
andterraincharacteristics
45
Rainfall(mm)
A)
ClimateChangeAdaptationPlanforNaroda IndustrialEstate(Ahmedabad)
2.6FloodSimulationModel:ReturnPeriodsofRainfall
C)
CalculatingthevolumeofFloods
UsingRationalMethodforallwatersheds.
40
35
30
25
20
Series1
15
10
5
Linear(Series1)
0
1
10
100
1000
ReturnPeriod
Thereturnperiodshavebeencalculatedusing100yearrainfalldatausingGumbelmethod.
Sr.No.
1
2
3
4
D) EstimationofFloodedAreas
For25and15YearReturnFloods
E)
EstimationofFloodedAreas
For25and15YearReturnFloodswith10%
excessrainfall
Return Period
100
50
25
10
Rainfall(mm)
28.2
25.6
23.0
19.6
ClimateChangeAdaptationPlanforNaroda IndustrialEstate(Ahmedabad)
ClimateChangeAdaptationPlanforNaroda IndustrialEstate(Ahmedabad)
FloodSimulationModel:Runoffcoefficient
FloodSimulationModel:LanduseandPermeabilityfactor
RunoffCoefficients
Since watershed characteristics are different for all the eight watersheds, the watershed run
off coefficients have been calculated by taking weighted average of area under particular
terrain type and the corresponding runoff coefficient.
Watershed No.
Runoff Coefficient
Water Shed 1
0.335
40.9
3154.4
2685.7
Water Shed 2
0.437
202.3
20338.6
17316.3
Water Shed 3
0.410
69.4
6551.5
5577.9
Water Shed 4
0.444
216.2
22097.6
18813.8
Water Shed 5
0.305
199.9
14033.1
11947.8
Water Shed 6
0.520
225.3
26977.7
22968.8
Water Shed 7
0.309
280.2
19943.9
16980.2
Water Shed 8
0.529
324.0
39450.3
33587.9
152547.1
129878.4
Total
Area (ha)
Storm Water
(m/d)- 25 years
return period
Storm Water
(m/d)- 10 year
retun period
Agriculture40%
Builtup23%
Agriculture15%
Builtup70%
NoAgriculture
Builtup80%
Openspaces10%
21-12-2011
ClimateChangeAdaptationPlanforNaroda IndustrialEstate(Ahmedabad)
ClimateChangeAdaptationPlanforNaroda IndustrialEstate(Ahmedabad)
FloodSimulationModel:BaselineTrend(15&25ReturnYears)
FloodSimulationModel:ExcessScenario(15&25ReturnYears)
ClimateChangeAdaptationPlanforNaroda IndustrialEstate(Ahmedabad)
2.1HazardVulnerability:HeatandHighTemperaturesAssessment
Higher temperature
reaches upto 41oC
during summer .
Under the Climate
change
scenario
another 1.5oC is
expected
What would
response?
be
ClimateChangeAdaptationPlanforNaroda IndustrialEstate(Ahmedabad)
Hazard Coping Strategies
Erosion Hazards
Landscape in the erosion prone area.