Modelli MATISSE e MONET

Metodologie e strumenti a supporto della pianificazione energetica locale

Organizzato da Laboratorio di Analisi e Modelli Energetici (LAME) e E4SMA
Dipartimento Energia, Politecnico di Torino
Torino, 19 Aprile 2016

Rocco De Miglio - E4SMA S.r.l.

Alessandro Chiodi - E4SMA S.r.l.
Maurizio Gargiulo - E4SMA S.r.l.

Torino, 19 Aprile 2016 - Dipartimento Energia, Politecnico di Torino

Modelli MATISSE e MONET

Torino, 19 Aprile 2016 - Dipartimento Energia, Politecnico di Torino

Modelli MATISSE e MONET

Torino, 19 Aprile 2016 - Dipartimento Energia, Politecnico di Torino

Modelli MATISSE e MONET

Complexity / Integration

V4

V5

Today

V3
V2
V1
MATISSE

MATISSE/MONET

MONET
time

From MATISSE: MArkal-TImes Scenarios for the Electric System......

..to MONET: TIMES Energy Nazional MOdel

Torino, 19 Aprile 2016 - Dipartimento Energia, Politecnico di Torino

Modelli MATISSE e MONET

MATISSE/MONET
Oil

Gas

Coal

Hydro

Elc

Heat

Elc

Heat

OIL - PP

Distr. to RSD

GAS - PP
COAL - PP

HYDRO - PP

ELE - Losses

GAS - CHP

Distr. to COM

Distr. to AGR

COAL - CHP

to
RSD services

to
COM services

to
AGR services

HEAT - Losses
Distr. to TRA

OIL - DHP

to
TRA services

GAS - DHP
COAL - DHP
Distr. to IND
Trade in R1

Trade out R1

Trade in R2

Trade out R2

Trade in R3

Trade out R3

Trade in R4

Trade out R4

Import

Export

Torino, 19 Aprile 2016 - Dipartimento Energia, Politecnico di Torino

to
IND services

20
regional
(Regions)

Existic
PP
representation 1:1
MATISSE)

tools

stock
(from

MONET - MOdello Nazionale Energetico TIMES

MONET Structure

Secondary commodities
Existing production
technologies

Generic energy service (i)

Existing demand technology mix

DTi (1)

Exogenous

T(1)
T(2)

DTi (2)
T(n)
DTi (3)

New production
technologies

New demand technologies

DTNi (1)

TN(1)
TN(2)

DTNi (2)

Endogenous

TN(n)

Endogenous

Torino, 19 Aprile 2016 - Dipartimento Energia, Politecnico di Torino

Exogenous

MONET - MOdello Nazionale Energetico TIMES

End-use energy services

Residential sector
Space Heating
Domestic hot water
Cooking
Space cooling
Loghting
Food conservation
Cloth Washing
Drying
Dish washing
Appliances
Others (home)
Others (building)

Unit
Mm2
Gliters
Munit
Mm2
Glum
Gl (volume)
Gcycle
Gcycle
Gcycle
PJ
PJ
PJ

Transport sector
Passengers private car (urban)
Passengers private car (urban/not urban)
Passengers private car (long travels)
Passengers private car (short travels)
Passengers buses (long travels)
Passengers - motorbike
Freights street
Passengers - trains

Torino, 19 Aprile 2016 - Dipartimento Energia, Politecnico di Torino

Tertiary sector
Hotel Space Heating
Hotel Domestic hot water
Hospital Space Heating
Hospital Domestic hot water
Other publics Space Heating
Shopping Moles Space Heating
Other private Space Heating
Others Domestic hot water
Others Cooking
Terziario Food conservation
Terziario Appliances
Terziario Space cooling
Terziario Lighting
Terziario - Others
Unit
Mpass-km
Mpass-km
Mpass-km
Mpass-km
Mpass-km
Mpass-km
Mt-km
Mpass-km

Unit
Mvisitors
Mvisitors
Mhospital admissions
Mhospital admissions
Mm2
Mm2
Memployees
Memployees
Memployees
PJ
PJ
PJ
PJ
PJ

Modelli MATISSE e MONET

Why a multiregional model?

Torino, 19 Aprile 2016 - Dipartimento Energia, Politecnico di Torino

Modelli MATISSE e MONET

Regional indicators (1)

Total national stock:

94 GWe
Reference year: 2007

Torino, 19 Aprile 2016 - Dipartimento Energia, Politecnico di Torino

Modelli MATISSE e MONET

Regional indicators (2)

Total national deficit:

43.6 TWh
Reference year: 2007

Torino, 19 Aprile 2016 - Dipartimento Energia, Politecnico di Torino

Modelli MATISSE e MONET

Regional indicators (3)

Total
national
DH
penetration: 177.5 Mm3
Reference year: 2007

Torino, 19 Aprile 2016 - Dipartimento Energia, Politecnico di Torino

Modelli MATISSE e MONET

Energy Governance
One of the main complex tasks of modern nations is to
manage the decision process in the key sectors taking into
account local and national actors.

Torino, 19 Aprile 2016 - Dipartimento Energia, Politecnico di Torino

Modelli MATISSE e MONET

EU
Member
States

Regions

Regulatory framework
EU Direttives
National/Regional Lawsi
SAEPs
Voluntary

Smart city
Municipalities

Actions toward energy

sustainability

Key challenge: coordination among different levels

Torino, 19 Aprile 2016 - Dipartimento Energia, Politecnico di Torino

Modelli MATISSE e MONET

governance levels
EU Level: EU targets should be translated in single targets for the MS.
(EU Directive 2009/28/EC)
RES share in the gross final energy consumption: 17% (2020) [5.2% in 2005]

National Level
Burden Sharing

Legislazione concorrente
(production, transport, distribution )

Regional Level
NEW Riforma del titolo V: Statal exclusive legislation for energy
production, transport, distribution (currently concorrente)

Torino, 19 Aprile 2016 - Dipartimento Energia, Politecnico di Torino

MONET - MOdello Nazionale Energetico TIMES

National and Regional planning

1) National planning (NAP National Action Plan) and subsequent allocation of
resources at regional level
2-steps procedure
(Source: Gazzetta Ufficiale della Repubblica Italiana Il Decreto Burden Sharing, Marzo
2012, Annex 2)

VS
2) multiregional energy planning (by means of one tool).
1-step procedure
http://www.factor20.it/home
Factor20 defining a support tool

Torino, 19 Aprile 2016 - Dipartimento Energia, Politecnico di Torino

Modelli MATISSE e MONET

GRAZIE
Contatti
Rocco De Miglio, E4SMA s.r.l.
Email: rocco.demiglio@e4sma.com Website: www.e4sma.com
Alessandro Chiodi, Email: alessandro.chiodi@e4sma.com
Maurizio Gargiulo, Email: maurizio.gargiulo@e4sma.com

Torino, 19 Aprile 2016 - Dipartimento Energia, Politecnico di Torino

MONET - MOdello Nazionale Energetico TIMES

MONET National vs Regional Objectives

Cost comparisons and trade-off
ITA

LOM

MAR

SAR

1.025

1.020
1.015
1.010
1.005
1.000
0.995

0.990
0.985
0.980
0.975
Free allocation

Torino, 19 Aprile 2016 - Dipartimento Energia, Politecnico di Torino

Equal regional allocation

MONET - MOdello Nazionale Energetico TIMES

MONET Scenario 1

CO2 national target

Torino, 19 Aprile 2016 - Dipartimento Energia, Politecnico di Torino

MONET - MOdello Nazionale Energetico TIMES

MONET Emissions per region and sector Base Year

CO2 Emissions in the Base Year
Agriculture

Tertiary

ELC-HEAT Production

Industry

Residential

Transport

80000

70000
60000

kt

50000
40000
30000

20000
10000
0
ABR BAS CAL CAM EMR FVZ LAZ LIG LOM MAR MOL PIE PUG SAR SIC TOS TTA UMB VDA VEN

Torino, 19 Aprile 2016 - Dipartimento Energia, Politecnico di Torino

MONET - MOdello Nazionale Energetico TIMES

MONET Emission per Region and time periods

Total CO2 emissions [Mt]
ABR

BAS

CAL

CAM

EMR

FVZ

LAZ

LIG

LOM

MAR

MOL

PIE

PUG

SAR

SIC

TOS

TTA

UMB

VDA

VEN

500
450
400
350

300
250
200
150
100
50
0
2007

2010

Torino, 19 Aprile 2016 - Dipartimento Energia, Politecnico di Torino

2015

2020

2025

2030

MONET - MOdello Nazionale Energetico TIMES

MONET Electric production per type - Lombardia

Regional Electricity Production by type of plant - LOM
Gas-fired Pure ELC

Gas-fired CHP

Other Pure ELC

Other CHP

Hydro

Wind

80
70
60

TWh

50
40
30
20
10
0
2007

2010

Torino, 19 Aprile 2016 - Dipartimento Energia, Politecnico di Torino

2015

2020

2025

2030

MONET - MOdello Nazionale Energetico TIMES

MONET Electric Balance (Lombardia)

Regional Electricity Balance - LOM
Production

Consumption

Trade IN

Trade OUT

Import from Extra IT

150

100

TWh

50

0
2007

2010

-50

-100

-150

Torino, 19 Aprile 2016 - Dipartimento Energia, Politecnico di Torino

2015

2020

2025

2030