FL-19

REPUBLICAN PRIMARY
2016

Survey conducted August 14 through August 15, 2016. 1,606 likely voters participated in the survey.
Survey results weighted to reflect expected turnout demographics for the 2016 Republican Primary
Election. Margin of Error is +/-2.4% with a 95% level of confidence. Totals do not always equal 100% due
to rounding.

Q: What is your opinion of Francis Rooney?

Favorable: 51%
Unfavorable: 24%
No opinion: 25%
Q: What is your opinion of Dan Bongino?
Favorable: 28%
Unfavorable: 26%
No opinion: 46%
Q: What is your opinion of Chauncey Goss?
Favorable: 43%
Unfavorable: 25%
No opinion: 32%
Q: The candidates in the Republican primary election for United States Congress are Francis Rooney,
Dan Bongino and Chauncey Goss. If the election were held today, for whom would you vote?
Francis Rooney: 45%
Chauncey Goss: 29%
Dan Bongino: 15%
Undecided: 11%
Q: Each Republican candidate for Congress has said they would make water a top priority if elected.
Which candidate do you trust most on issues related to water quality and water quantity?
Francis Rooney: 39%
Chauncey Goss: 29%
Dan Bongino: 11%
Unsure: 21%

Q: What is your opinion of Francis Rooney?

BY COUNTY
Column %
Favorable
Unfavorable
No opinion

COLLIER
53%
24%
23%

BY GENDER
Column %
Favorable
Unfavorable
No opinion

Female
54%
21%
25%

BY AGE
Column %
Favorable
Unfavorable
No opinion

18-29
51%
21%
29%

BY IDEOLOGY
Column %
Favorable
Unfavorable
No opinion
ALREADY VOTED
Column %
Favorable
Unfavorable
No opinion

LEE
50%
25%
25%

Male
47%
28%
24%

30-39
45%
43%
12%

Very conservative
59%
15%
26%

Yes
54%
22%
24%

40-49
46%
27%
27%

Somewhat conservative
53%
20%
26%

No
51%
23%
26%

50-69
44%
28%
27%

Moderate
33%
47%
20%

70+
56%
21%
23%

Liberal
6%
76%
17%

Q: What is your opinion of Dan Bongino?

BY COUNTY
Column %
Favorable
Unfavorable
No opinion

COLLIER
29%
23%
48%

LEE
27%
27%
46%

BY GENDER
Column %
Favorable
Unfavorable
No opinion

Female
24%
24%
52%

Male
31%
29%
40%

BY AGE
Column %
Favorable
Unfavorable
No opinion

18-29
31%
17%
52%

30-39
19%
48%
33%

BY IDEOLOGY
Column %
Favorable
Unfavorable
No opinion
ALREADY VOTED
Column %
Favorable
Unfavorable
No opinion

Very conservative
33%
22%
45%

Yes
27%
29%
44%

40-49
36%
16%
48%

Somewhat conservative
26%
25%
49%

No
31%
23%
46%

50-69
34%
29%
36%

Moderate
18%
37%
46%

70+
23%
24%
53%

Liberal
20%
40%
40%

Q: What is your opinion of Chauncey Goss?

BY COUNTY
Column %
Favorable
Unfavorable
No opinion

COLLIER
35%
25%
40%

LEE
45%
25%
30%

BY GENDER
Column %
Favorable
Unfavorable
No opinion

Female
44%
21%
35%

Male
41%
29%
29%

BY AGE
Column %
Favorable
Unfavorable
No opinion

18-29
30%
23%
47%

30-39
32%
37%
31%

BY IDEOLOGY
Column %
Favorable
Unfavorable
No opinion

Very conservative
37%
27%
37%

ALREADY VOTED
Column %
Favorable
Unfavorable
No opinion

Yes
41%
25%
33%

40-49
47%
19%
34%

Somewhat conservative
45%
23%
31%

No
42%
25%
33%

50-69
40%
29%
32%

Moderate
54%
21%
25%

70+
45%
22%
33%

Liberal
44%
31%
25%

Q: The candidates in the Republican primary election for United States Congress are Francis Rooney,
Dan Bongino and Chauncey Goss. If the election were held today, for whom would you vote?
BY COUNTY
Column %
Francis Rooney
Chauncey Goss
Dan Bongino
Undecided

COLLIER
53%
20%
13%
14%

BY GENDER
Column %
Francis Rooney
Chauncey Goss
Dan Bongino
Undecided

Female
49%
28%
12%
11%

LEE
43%
32%
15%
10%

Male
41%
30%
18%
11%

BY AGE
Column %
18-29 30-39 40-49 50-69 70+
Francis Rooney 44%
30%
42%
40% 50%
Chauncey Goss 18%
29%
31%
28% 30%
Dan Bongino
18%
22%
15%
22% 10%
Undecided
20%
19%
13%
10% 11%
BY IDEOLOGY
Column %
Francis Rooney
Chauncey Goss
Dan Bongino
Undecided

Very conservative
52%
20%
18%
9%

ALREADY VOTED
Column %
Francis Rooney
Chauncey Goss
Dan Bongino
Undecided/Refused

Yes
49%
31%
12%
7%

Somewhat conservative
46%
32%
11%
10%

No
47%
27%
16%
11%

Moderate
31%
45%
10%
14%

Liberal
11%
41%
26%
22%

Q: Each Republican candidate for Congress has said they would make water a top priority if elected.
Which candidate do you trust most on issues related to water quality and water quantity?
BY COUNTY
Column %
Francis Rooney
Chauncey Goss
Dan Bongino
Unsure
BY GENDER
Column %
Francis Rooney
Chauncey Goss
Dan Bongino
Unsure

COLLIER

LEE
47%
20%
9%
24%

Female
42%
28%
9%
21%

37%
31%
11%
20%

Male
36%
30%
12%
22%

BY AGE
Column %
Francis Rooney
Chauncey Goss
Dan Bongino
Unsure

18-29
43%
15%
13%
29%

BY IDEOLOGY
Column %
Francis Rooney
Chauncey Goss
Dan Bongino
Unsure

Very conservative
47%
19%
14%
20%

ALREADY VOTED
Column %
Francis Rooney
Chauncey Goss
Dan Bongino
Unsure

Yes
45%
30%
11%
14%

30-39
30%
32%
19%
19%

No
40%
27%
10%
23%

40-49
34%
36%
9%
21%

Somewhat conservative
39%
33%
8%
20%

50-69
36%
29%
15%
20%

Moderate
24%
44%
6%
26%

70+
42%
28%
7%
22%

Liberal
7%
43%
20%
30%

DEMOGRAPHICS

COUNTY
COLLIER
LEE

%
25%
75%

GENDER
Female
Male

%
52%
48%

AGE
18-29
30-39
40-49
50-69
70+

%
2%
3%
5%
37%
54%

IDEOLOGY
%
47%
32%
18%
3%

Very conservative
Somewhat conservative
Moderate
Liberal
ALREADY VOTED
Yes
No

%
39%
61%