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CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker: Iowa, August 21, 2016

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CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Iowa
Sample
Conducted
Margin of Error

987 Likely Voters⇤
August 17-19, 2016

±4%

1. Which best describes your view about the American way of life, as you know it:
It’s changing for the better . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16%
It’s changing for the worse . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 65%
It’s about the same as it’s always been . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19%

2. Iowa gets a lot of attention in election years. Which of these would you most like to tell the
political campaigns about Iowa if you could?
Life in Iowa is better than you think right now . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 36%
Life in Iowa is worse than you think right now . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 30%
You seem to have a pretty good sense of how life is in Iowa right now . . . 34%

3. How likely is it that you will vote in the 2016 Presidential election in November?
Definitely will vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .91%
Probably will vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7%
Maybe will vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%
Probably will not vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%
Definitely will not vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%
Don’t know . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%

4. Compared to other recent elections, do you feel more or less motivated to vote this year
than in recent years?
More motivated . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 54%
Less motivated . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22%
About the same as before . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23%
Haven’t been able to vote before . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
⇤

1000 registered voters total were interviewed. 987 likely voters are included.

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa
5. If the 2016 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were Hillary
Clinton, the Democrat, and Donald Trump, the Republican, who would you vote for?
Voters selecting someone else in the initial question were given a choice of a selection of third party candidates

Hillary Clinton . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .40%
Donald Trump . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 40%
Gary Johnson . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7%
Jill Stein . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%
Someone else . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7%
Probably won’t vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%

6. Which best describes your support for [Candidate Choice] right now?
Asked of respondents voting for Clinton or Trump

Very strong – I’ve decided . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 60%
Strong – I probably won’t change . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27%
Somewhat strong – I might still change . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11%
Not too strong – I’ll probably change at some point . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%

7. Would you ever consider voting for Hillary Clinton in November?
Asked of respondents not voting for Clinton

Yes, I would . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4%
Maybe, there’s a long way to go until November . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13%
No, I never would . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 83%

8. Would you ever consider voting for Donald Trump in November?
Asked of respondents not voting for Trump

Yes, I would . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%
Maybe, there’s a long way to go until November . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15%
No, I never would . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 83%

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa
9. Would it make you reconsider Hillary Clinton if she...?
Asked of respondents not voting for Clinton

Convinces me she’s
telling the truth about
the emails and server
Shows me more of
who she really is as a
person
Stops fundraising
from large donors
Beats Donald Trump
in the fall debates
Reaches out to
conservatives
Explains her past
votes on military
action

Yes, I’d reconsider her

No, I still wouldn’t
consider her

21%

79%

14%

86%

13%

87%

11%

89%

14%

86%

17%

83%

10. Would it make you reconsider Donald Trump if he...?
Asked of respondents not voting for Trump

Apologies to people
he has offended
Convinces me he is
prepared to be
Commander in Chief
Stops saying
controversial things
Beats Hillary Clinton
in the fall debates
Reaches out to
minority groups
Explains his finances
and taxes

Yes, I’d reconsider him

No, I still wouldn’t
consider him

17%

83%

23%

77%

17%

83%

13%

87%

14%

86%

15%

85%

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa
11. How long would you stand in line to vote for [Candidate Choice]?
Less than an hour . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13%
An hour or two . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5%
As long as it takes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 61%
None, I’ll vote absentee or by mail . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21%

12. From what you have heard, do you think Hillary Clinton’s campaign is:
Connected to foreign donors and influence . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 51%
Not connected to foreign donors and influence . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23%
Haven’t heard enough to say . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26%

13. From what you have heard, do you think Donald Trump’s campaign is:
Connected to Russia and foreign influence . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 30%
Not connected to Russia and foreign influence . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 38%
Haven’t heard enough to say . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 32%

14. When you watch Hillary Clinton campaign, do you think it shows the way she really is, or
do you think she is playing a role just for this campaign?
It shows the way she really is . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 41%
She is playing a role just for this campaign . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 59%

15. When you watch Donald Trump campaign, do you think it shows the way he really is, or do
you think he is playing a role just for this campaign?
It shows the way he really is . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 72%
He is playing a role just for this campaign . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28%

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa
16. Which of these do you feel describe or do not describe Hillary Clinton?

Is prepared to be
Commander in Chief
Would bring change
to Washington
Will look out for
people like you
Treats all people
fairly
Tells the truth
Is a risky choice

Describes

Does not describe

51%

49%

33%

67%

42%

58%

43%
31%
57%

57%
69%
43%

17. Which of these do you feel describe or do not describe Donald Trump?

Is prepared to be
Commander in Chief
Would bring change
to Washington
Will look out for
people like you
Treats all people
fairly
Tells the truth
Is a risky choice

Describes

Does not describe

32%

68%

69%

31%

36%

64%

29%
38%
73%

71%
62%
27%

18. How much of the Presidential campaign do you expect to watch this fall?
A lot, I follow politics all the time . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 43%
Some, I’ll tune in here and there . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35%
A bit, but mainly if something big happens . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .13%
Not much, this race is pretty much settled for me . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9%

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa
19. In the U.S. Senate election in Iowa in November, would you vote for...
Chuck Grassley, the Republican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .45%
Patty Judge, the Democrat . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 38%
Not sure yet . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15%
Someone else . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%

20. Whether or not you would vote for him, do you feel Chuck Grassley is the same kind of
Republican as Donald Trump, or a different kind of Republican from Donald Trump?
Same . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24%
Different . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 76%

21. In general, how widespread do you think voter fraud is in US elections? Do you think this
happens a lot, sometimes, not much, or not at all?
A lot . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29%
Sometimes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 33%
Not much . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25%
Not at all . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13%

22. In general, how would you describe your own political viewpoint?
Very liberal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8%
Somewhat liberal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13%
Moderate . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35%
Somewhat conservative . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .20%
Very conservative . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa
23. Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as a...?
Strong Democrat . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22%
Not very strong Democrat . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15%
Lean Democrat . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10%
Independent . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9%
Lean Republican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9%
Not very strong Republican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10%
Strong Republican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%

24. How do you feel about the Tea Party movement?
Support . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .22%
Oppose . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 37%
Neutral . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 41%

25. Would you describe yourself as a born-again or evangelical Christian?
Yes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 37%
No . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 59%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4%

26. Are you male or female?
Male . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 47%
Female . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 53%

27. In what year were you born? [Age recoded from birth year]
18-29 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16%
30-44 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22%
45-64 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 37%
65+ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25%

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa
28. What racial or ethnic group best describes you?
White . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 95%
Black . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
Hispanic . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
Other . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3%

29. What is the highest level of education you have completed?
HS or less . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25%
Some college . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 30%
College grad . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 30%
Post grad . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14%

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa
1. American Way of Life
Which best describes your view about the American way of life, as you know it:
Gender
It’s changing for the better
It’s changing for the worse
It’s about the same as it’s always been
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

16%
65%
19%

18%
66%
15%

13%
64%
23%

27%
50%
23%

15%
68%
17%

12%
71%
17%

14%
64%
22%

16%
66%
19%

⇤
⇤
⇤

100%

(987)

(465)

(522)

(159)

(218)

(367)

(242)

(933)

Party ID
It’s changing for the better
It’s changing for the worse
It’s about the same as it’s always been
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

⇤

(13)

⇤

(12)

White Evangelical

(29)
Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

16%
65%
19%

33%
42%
25%

11%
67%
22%

2%
87%
11%

43%
35%
22%

14%
55%
31%

4%
89%
7%

9%
78%
13%

19%
58%
23%

7%
91%
2%

18%
58%
24%

100%

(987)

(363)

(274)

(334)

(202)

(375)

(410)

(351)

(635)

(218)

(768)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa

2. Campaign Attention on Battleground States
Iowa gets a lot of attention in election years. Which of these would you most like to tell the political campaigns about Iowa if you could?
Gender
Life in Iowa is better than you think
right now
Life in Iowa is worse than you think
right now
You seem to have a pretty good sense
of how life is in Iowa right now
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

36%

37%

35%

47%

35%

29%

39%

35%

⇤

30%

32%

27%

17%

28%

35%

31%

30%

⇤

34%

31%

38%

36%

30%

36%

⇤

100%

(972)

(457)

(516)

(159)

(215)

(361)

(237)

(919)

Party ID
Life in Iowa is better than you think
right now
Life in Iowa is worse than you think
right now
You seem to have a pretty good sense
of how life is in Iowa right now
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

⇤

(13)

⇤

(12)

White Evangelical

(29)
Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

36%

50%

35%

22%

45%

23%

29%

40%

24%

39%

30%

17%

36%

38%

22%

20%

43%

38%

25%

48%

24%

34%

33%

29%

39%

32%

35%

33%

35%

27%

37%

100%

(972)

(355)

(271)

(331)

(200)

(373)

(399)

(343)

(630)

(216)

(757)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa

3. Likelihood of Voting
How likely is it that you will vote in the 2016 Presidential election in November?
Gender
Definitely will vote
Probably will vote
Maybe will vote
Probably will not vote
Definitely will not vote
Don’t know
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

91%
7%
2%
0%
0%
0%

92%
6%
2%
0%
0%
0%

90%
8%
2%
0%
0%
0%

86%
10%
4%
0%
0%
0%

92%
7%
2%
0%
0%
0%

91%
8%
2%
0%
0%
0%

95%
5%
0%
0%
0%
0%

91%
7%
2%
0%
0%
0%

⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤

100%

(987)

(465)

(522)

(159)

(218)

(367)

(243)

(933)

Party ID
Definitely will vote
Probably will vote
Maybe will vote
Probably will not vote
Definitely will not vote
Don’t know
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

⇤

(13)

⇤

(12)

White Evangelical

(29)
Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

91%
7%
2%
0%
0%
0%

92%
7%
1%
0%
0%
0%

89%
7%
4%
0%
0%
0%

93%
6%
1%
0%
0%
0%

96%
3%
1%
0%
0%
0%

84%
12%
4%
0%
0%
0%

95%
5%
0%
0%
0%
0%

92%
6%
2%
0%
0%
0%

91%
8%
1%
0%
0%
0%

96%
3%
1%
0%
0%
0%

90%
8%
2%
0%
0%
0%

100%

(987)

(363)

(274)

(334)

(202)

(375)

(410)

(351)

(636)

(218)

(769)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa

4. Motivated to Vote this Year
Compared to other recent elections, do you feel more or less motivated to vote this year than in recent years?
Gender
More motivated
Less motivated
About the same as before
Haven’t been able to vote before
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

54%
22%
23%
1%

52%
22%
26%
1%

56%
23%
20%
1%

49%
33%
14%
4%

52%
23%
24%
0%

52%
23%
26%
0%

63%
14%
23%
1%

53%
23%
23%
1%

⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤

100%

(984)

(465)

(519)

(156)

(218)

(367)

(243)

(930)

Party ID
More motivated
Less motivated
About the same as before
Haven’t been able to vote before
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

⇤

(13)

⇤

(12)

White Evangelical

(29)
Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

54%
22%
23%
1%

55%
17%
26%
1%

54%
21%
25%
1%

55%
27%
17%
1%

56%
15%
28%
1%

54%
20%
25%
1%

54%
28%
18%
1%

50%
29%
21%
1%

57%
18%
24%
1%

67%
20%
12%
1%

51%
23%
26%
1%

100%

(984)

(360)

(274)

(334)

(202)

(375)

(407)

(351)

(633)

(218)

(766)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa

5. Presidential Vote 2016
If the 2016 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, and Donald Trump, the Republican, who would you
vote for?
Voters selecting someone else in the initial question were given a choice of a selection of third party candidates

Gender
Hillary Clinton
Donald Trump
Gary Johnson
Jill Stein
Someone else
Not sure
Probably won’t vote
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

40%
40%
7%
2%
4%
7%
0%

36%
43%
9%
2%
4%
7%
0%

44%
38%
5%
1%
4%
7%
0%

41%
22%
13%
1%
4%
18%
0%

41%
31%
13%
3%
7%
4%
0%

37%
49%
4%
2%
3%
5%
0%

42%
47%
2%
1%
2%
6%
0%

39%
41%
7%
1%
4%
7%
0%

⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤

100%

(983)

(465)

(517)

(159)

(218)

(367)

(238)

(929)

Party ID
Hillary Clinton
Donald Trump
Gary Johnson
Jill Stein
Someone else
Not sure
Probably won’t vote
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

⇤

(13)

⇤

(12)

White Evangelical

(29)
Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

40%
40%
7%
2%
4%
7%
0%

80%
9%
3%
1%
2%
4%
0%

31%
39%
10%
4%
8%
8%
0%

4%
76%
8%
0%
4%
8%
0%

82%
6%
2%
4%
1%
5%
0%

53%
25%
9%
2%
4%
8%
0%

8%
71%
7%
0%
6%
7%
0%

24%
55%
7%
1%
6%
6%
1%

49%
32%
7%
2%
3%
7%
0%

9%
75%
7%
0%
5%
4%
0%

49%
30%
7%
2%
4%
8%
0%

100%

(983)

(363)

(270)

(334)

(202)

(371)

(410)

(347)

(636)

(218)

(764)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa

6. Support for Candidate
Which best describes your support for [Candidate Choice] right now?
Asked of respondents voting for Clinton or Trump

Gender
Very strong – I’ve decided
Strong – I probably won’t change
Somewhat strong – I might still
change
Not too strong – I’ll probably change
at some point
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

60%
27%

60%
29%

61%
26%

49%
35%

62%
25%

59%
28%

67%
24%

61%
27%

⇤
⇤

11%

12%

13%

11%

10%

⇤

100%

(786)

(364)

(423)

(101)

(157)

(316)

(212)

(742)

Party ID
Very strong – I’ve decided
Strong – I probably won’t change
Somewhat strong – I might still
change
Not too strong – I’ll probably change
at some point
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

⇤

(11)

⇤

(10)

White Evangelical

(23)
Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

60%
27%

63%
25%

57%
29%

60%
30%

73%
19%

54%
29%

59%
31%

62%
24%

59%
29%

62%
32%

60%
26%

11%

12%

10%

14%

13%

10%

12%

100%

(786)

(321)

(187)

(268)

(176)

(288)

(323)

(274)

(512)

(182)

(604)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa

7. Consider Clinton
Would you ever consider voting for Hillary Clinton in November?
Asked of respondents not voting for Clinton

Gender
Yes, I would
Maybe, there’s a long way to go until
November
No, I never would
Totals
(Weighted N)

Total

Male

13%
83%

Age group

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

11%

10%
85%

15%
82%

36%
53%

11%
88%

9%
88%

100%

(593)

(299)

(294)

(93)

(128)

Party ID
Total
Yes, I would
Maybe, there’s a long way to go until
November
No, I never would
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Democrat

Independent

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

⇤

5%
91%

12%
84%

⇤
⇤

100%

(230)

(142)

(569)

Ideology
Republican

Liberal

Moderate

⇤

(1)

White Evangelical
Conservative

Yes

⇤

(7)

(16)
Tea Party

Yes

17%

⇤

13%
83%

26%
57%

14%
80%

8%
91%

⇤
⇤

19%
72%

8%
91%

10%
87%

14%
80%

5%
95%

17%
77%

100%

(72)

(190)

(320)

⇤

100%

(593)

(180)

(377)

(268)

(325)

(200)

(394)

(36)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa

8. Consider Trump
Would you ever consider voting for Donald Trump in November?
Asked of respondents not voting for Trump

Gender
Yes, I would
Maybe, there’s a long way to go until
November
No, I never would
Totals
(Weighted N)

Total

Male

15%
83%

Age group

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

19%
78%

12%
86%

21%
75%

16%
80%

13%
85%

100%

(591)

(266)

(325)

(123)

(149)

Party ID
Total
Yes, I would
Maybe, there’s a long way to go until
November
No, I never would
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Democrat

Independent

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

⇤

11%
89%

16%
82%

⇤
⇤

100%

(187)

(131)

(553)

Ideology
Republican

Liberal

Moderate

⇤

(13)

White Evangelical
Conservative

Yes

⇤

(7)

(18)
Tea Party

Yes

15%
83%

6%
92%

13%
84%

55%
40%

5%
94%

10%
88%

44%
49%

28%
70%

10%
87%

44%
49%

12%
86%

100%

(591)

(330)

(170)

(80)

(190)

(283)

(117)

(160)

(431)

(55)

(535)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa

9. Reconsider Hillary Clinton – Convinces me she’s telling the truth about the emails and server
Would it make you reconsider Hillary Clinton if she...?
Asked of respondents not voting for Clinton

Gender
Yes, I’d reconsider her
No, I still wouldn’t consider her
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

21%
79%

22%
78%

43%
57%

15%
85%

21%
79%

13%
87%

21%
79%

⇤
⇤

100%

(576)

(289)

(287)

(92)

(123)

(224)

(137)

(555)

Party ID
Yes, I’d reconsider her
No, I still wouldn’t consider her
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

⇤

(0)

⇤

(7)

White Evangelical

(14)
Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

21%
79%

51%
49%

29%
71%

11%
89%

⇤
⇤

34%
66%

12%
88%

15%
85%

26%
74%

7%
93%

29%
71%

100%

(66)

(181)

(319)

⇤

100%

(576)

(171)

(370)

(257)

(319)

(198)

(378)

(36)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa

10. Reconsider Hillary Clinton – Shows me more of who she really is as a person
Would it make you reconsider Hillary Clinton if she...?
Asked of respondents not voting for Clinton

Gender
Yes, I’d reconsider her
No, I still wouldn’t consider her
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

14%
86%

13%
87%

16%
84%

40%
60%

13%
87%

7%
93%

10%
90%

14%
86%

⇤
⇤

100%

(573)

(288)

(286)

(93)

(123)

(221)

(136)

(551)

Party ID
Yes, I’d reconsider her
No, I still wouldn’t consider her
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

⇤

(0)

⇤

(7)

White Evangelical

(15)
Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

14%
86%

39%
61%

23%
77%

4%
96%

⇤
⇤

29%
71%

4%
96%

8%
92%

20%
80%

3%
97%

20%
80%

100%

(63)

(180)

(318)

⇤

100%

(573)

(169)

(369)

(257)

(316)

(197)

(376)

(35)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa

11. Reconsider Hillary Clinton – Stops fundraising from large donors
Would it make you reconsider Hillary Clinton if she...?
Asked of respondents not voting for Clinton

Gender
Yes, I’d reconsider her
No, I still wouldn’t consider her
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

13%
87%

9%
91%

17%
83%

24%
76%

15%
85%

10%
90%

9%
91%

13%
87%

⇤
⇤

100%

(570)

(283)

(287)

(87)

(123)

(224)

(136)

(549)

Party ID
Yes, I’d reconsider her
No, I still wouldn’t consider her
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

⇤

(1)

⇤

(7)

White Evangelical

(14)
Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

13%
87%

29%
71%

21%
79%

5%
95%

⇤
⇤

22%
78%

6%
94%

9%
91%

16%
84%

3%
97%

19%
81%

100%

(61)

(181)

(318)

⇤

100%

(570)

(170)

(369)

(257)

(314)

(198)

(372)

(31)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa

12. Reconsider Hillary Clinton – Beats Donald Trump in the fall debates
Would it make you reconsider Hillary Clinton if she...?
Asked of respondents not voting for Clinton

Gender
Yes, I’d reconsider her
No, I still wouldn’t consider her
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

11%
89%

8%
92%

14%
86%

29%
71%

10%
90%

6%
94%

8%
92%

11%
89%

⇤
⇤

100%

(575)

(284)

(291)

(88)

(123)

(224)

(140)

(554)

Party ID
Yes, I’d reconsider her
No, I still wouldn’t consider her
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

⇤

(0)

⇤

(7)

White Evangelical

(14)
Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

11%
89%

32%
68%

14%
86%

4%
96%

⇤
⇤

20%
80%

5%
95%

8%
92%

14%
86%

2%
98%

16%
84%

100%

(62)

(184)

(318)

⇤

100%

(575)

(172)

(372)

(263)

(312)

(198)

(377)

(31)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa

13. Reconsider Hillary Clinton – Reaches out to conservatives
Would it make you reconsider Hillary Clinton if she...?
Asked of respondents not voting for Clinton

Gender
Yes, I’d reconsider her
No, I still wouldn’t consider her
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

14%
86%

12%
88%

15%
85%

36%
64%

11%
89%

9%
91%

10%
90%

13%
87%

⇤
⇤

100%

(571)

(283)

(287)

(87)

(123)

(224)

(137)

(549)

Party ID
Yes, I’d reconsider her
No, I still wouldn’t consider her
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

⇤

(0)

⇤

(7)

White Evangelical

(15)
Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

14%
86%

27%
73%

15%
85%

10%
90%

⇤
⇤

22%
78%

9%
91%

14%
86%

7%
93%

17%
83%

100%

(61)

(180)

(319)

⇤

100%

(571)

(170)

(369)

(256)

(314)

(198)

(373)

(31)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa

14. Reconsider Hillary Clinton – Explains her past votes on military action
Would it make you reconsider Hillary Clinton if she...?
Asked of respondents not voting for Clinton

Gender
Yes, I’d reconsider her
No, I still wouldn’t consider her
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

17%
83%

15%
85%

19%
81%

38%
62%

12%
88%

15%
85%

10%
90%

17%
83%

⇤
⇤

100%

(573)

(287)

(88)

(123)

(226)

(136)

(552)

Party ID
Yes, I’d reconsider her
No, I still wouldn’t consider her
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

⇤

(0)

⇤

(7)

White Evangelical

(14)
Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

17%
83%

50%
50%

23%
77%

6%
94%

⇤
⇤

31%
69%

7%
93%

12%
88%

21%
79%

3%
97%

24%
76%

100%

(64)

(180)

(319)

⇤

100%

(573)

(170)

(372)

(259)

(314)

(198)

(375)

(31)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa

15. Reconsider Donald Trump – Apologies to people he has offended
Would it make you reconsider Donald Trump if he...?
Asked of respondents not voting for Trump

Gender
Yes, I’d reconsider him
No, I still wouldn’t consider him
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

17%
83%

21%
79%

14%
86%

27%
73%

20%
80%

12%
88%

13%
87%

17%
83%

⇤
⇤

100%

(576)

(259)

(317)

(118)

(143)

(184)

(131)

(542)

Party ID
Yes, I’d reconsider him
No, I still wouldn’t consider him
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

⇤

(13)

⇤

(7)

White Evangelical

(14)
Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

17%
83%

9%
91%

19%
81%

49%
51%

10%
90%

12%
88%

42%
58%

25%
75%

14%
86%

46%
54%

14%
86%

100%

(576)

(319)

(166)

(80)

(186)

(274)

(116)

(157)

(419)

(54)

(522)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa

16. Reconsider Donald Trump – Convinces me he is prepared to be Commander in Chief
Would it make you reconsider Donald Trump if he...?
Asked of respondents not voting for Trump

Gender
Yes, I’d reconsider him
No, I still wouldn’t consider him
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

23%
77%

26%
74%

21%
79%

35%
65%

28%
72%

18%
82%

15%
85%

23%
77%

⇤
⇤

100%

(573)

(261)

(312)

(115)

(144)

(186)

(128)

(540)

Party ID
Yes, I’d reconsider him
No, I still wouldn’t consider him
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

⇤

(13)

⇤

(7)

White Evangelical

(14)
Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

23%
77%

10%
90%

24%
76%

71%
29%

11%
89%

17%
83%

57%
43%

36%
64%

18%
82%

60%
40%

19%
81%

100%

(573)

(316)

(167)

(79)

(185)

(273)

(115)

(158)

(415)

(55)

(518)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa

17. Reconsider Donald Trump – Stops saying controversial things
Would it make you reconsider Donald Trump if he...?
Asked of respondents not voting for Trump

Gender
Yes, I’d reconsider him
No, I still wouldn’t consider him
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

17%
83%

19%
81%

15%
85%

31%
69%

17%
83%

12%
88%

17%
83%

⇤
⇤

100%

(576)

(260)

(316)

(115)

(149)

(183)

(128)

(540)

Party ID
Yes, I’d reconsider him
No, I still wouldn’t consider him
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

⇤

(13)

⇤

(7)

White Evangelical

(17)
Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

17%
83%

8%
92%

18%
82%

53%
47%

7%
93%

13%
87%

44%
56%

25%
75%

14%
86%

37%
63%

15%
85%

100%

(576)

(319)

(167)

(79)

(187)

(276)

(114)

(158)

(418)

(55)

(521)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa

18. Reconsider Donald Trump – Beats Hillary Clinton in the fall debates
Would it make you reconsider Donald Trump if he...?
Asked of respondents not voting for Trump

Gender
Yes, I’d reconsider him
No, I still wouldn’t consider him
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

13%
87%

19%
81%

8%
92%

18%
82%

16%
84%

11%
89%

9%
91%

13%
87%

⇤
⇤

100%

(571)

(259)

(312)

(115)

(143)

(185)

(126)

(538)

Party ID
Yes, I’d reconsider him
No, I still wouldn’t consider him
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

⇤

(13)

⇤

(7)

White Evangelical

(14)
Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

13%
87%

6%
94%

13%
87%

40%
60%

6%
94%

8%
92%

35%
65%

20%
80%

10%
90%

38%
62%

10%
90%

100%

(571)

(315)

(167)

(79)

(185)

(272)

(114)

(157)

(414)

(55)

(516)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa

19. Reconsider Donald Trump – Reaches out to minority groups
Would it make you reconsider Donald Trump if he...?
Asked of respondents not voting for Trump

Gender
Yes, I’d reconsider him
No, I still wouldn’t consider him
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

14%
86%

15%
85%

13%
87%

20%
80%

17%
83%

9%
91%

11%
89%

14%
86%

⇤
⇤

100%

(573)

(260)

(313)

(115)

(144)

(184)

(129)

(539)

Party ID
Yes, I’d reconsider him
No, I still wouldn’t consider him
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

⇤

(13)

⇤

(7)

White Evangelical

(15)
Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

14%
86%

6%
94%

19%
81%

33%
67%

8%
92%

12%
88%

28%
72%

17%
83%

12%
88%

18%
82%

13%
87%

100%

(573)

(315)

(168)

(79)

(186)

(273)

(114)

(159)

(413)

(55)

(518)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa

20. Reconsider Donald Trump – Explains his finances and taxes
Would it make you reconsider Donald Trump if he...?
Asked of respondents not voting for Trump

Gender
Yes, I’d reconsider him
No, I still wouldn’t consider him
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

15%
85%

16%
84%

15%
85%

25%
75%

12%
88%

16%
84%

15%
85%

⇤
⇤

100%

(568)

(257)

(312)

(113)

(143)

(182)

(129)

(535)

Party ID
Yes, I’d reconsider him
No, I still wouldn’t consider him
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

⇤

(13)

⇤

(7)

White Evangelical

(14)
Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

15%
85%

9%
91%

15%
85%

41%
59%

8%
92%

13%
87%

33%
67%

21%
79%

13%
87%

30%
70%

14%
86%

100%

(568)

(312)

(167)

(79)

(183)

(272)

(113)

(158)

(411)

(55)

(513)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa

21. Wait in Line to Vote
How long would you stand in line to vote for [Candidate Choice]?
Gender
Less than an hour
An hour or two
As long as it takes
None, I’ll vote absentee or by mail
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

13%
5%
61%
21%

12%
5%
64%
20%

13%
6%
58%
23%

15%
8%
63%
14%

13%
6%
63%
18%

14%
5%
57%
24%

8%
3%
63%
25%

13%
5%
60%
22%

⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤

100%

(871)

(415)

(456)

(123)

(193)

(337)

(217)

(822)

Party ID
Less than an hour
An hour or two
As long as it takes
None, I’ll vote absentee or by mail
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

⇤

(13)

⇤

(11)

White Evangelical

(25)
Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

13%
5%
61%
21%

9%
6%
56%
28%

10%
6%
62%
23%

18%
4%
66%
12%

8%
8%
60%
24%

11%
5%
57%
27%

17%
4%
65%
15%

17%
4%
61%
18%

10%
6%
61%
23%

10%
4%
71%
15%

13%
5%
58%
23%

100%

(871)

(340)

(225)

(295)

(189)

(327)

(355)

(301)

(570)

(198)

(673)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa

22. Foreign Influence on Clinton Campaign
From what you have heard, do you think Hillary Clinton’s campaign is:
Gender
Connected to foreign donors and
influence
Not connected to foreign donors and
influence
Haven’t heard enough to say
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

51%

60%

44%

49%

46%

55%

53%

52%

⇤

23%
26%

24%
16%

21%
35%

24%
28%

20%
34%

23%
22%

24%
23%

22%
26%

⇤
⇤

100%

(985)

(465)

(520)

(159)

(218)

(367)

(241)

(932)

Party ID
Connected to foreign donors and
influence
Not connected to foreign donors and
influence
Haven’t heard enough to say
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

⇤

(13)

⇤

(12)

White Evangelical

(29)
Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

51%

23%

55%

79%

23%

35%

81%

67%

43%

90%

40%

23%
26%

42%
35%

20%
26%

5%
16%

44%
33%

29%
36%

6%
14%

11%
22%

29%
28%

3%
7%

28%
32%

100%

(985)

(362)

(273)

(334)

(202)

(374)

(410)

(351)

(634)

(218)

(767)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa

23. Foreign Influence on Trump Campaign
From what you have heard, do you think Donald Trump’s campaign is:
Gender
Connected to Russia and foreign
influence
Not connected to Russia and foreign
influence
Haven’t heard enough to say
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

30%

29%

37%

29%

27%

30%

29%

⇤

38%
32%

47%
22%

29%
41%

29%
34%

31%
40%

44%
29%

40%
30%

38%
33%

⇤
⇤

100%

(984)

(465)

(519)

(159)

(218)

(367)

(239)

(930)

Party ID
Connected to Russia and foreign
influence
Not connected to Russia and foreign
influence
Haven’t heard enough to say
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Democrat

Independent

30%

49%

29%

38%
32%

17%
34%

100%
(984)

Ideology
Republican

⇤

(13)

⇤

(12)

White Evangelical

(29)
Tea Party

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

57%

35%

11%

19%

36%

12%

35%

42%
29%

57%
34%

15%
28%

26%
39%

60%
29%

44%
37%

34%
30%

73%
15%

28%
37%

100%

(361)

(274)

(332)

(200)

(375)

(408)

(351)

(633)

(217)

(766)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa

24. Hillary Clinton Campaign
When you watch Hillary Clinton campaign, do you think it shows the way she really is, or do you think she is playing a role just for this campaign?
Gender
It shows the way she really is
She is playing a role just for this
campaign
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

41%

39%

44%

46%

39%

43%

40%

⇤

59%

61%

56%

54%

61%

57%

60%

⇤

100%

(984)

(463)

(520)

(159)

(218)

(366)

(240)

(930)

Party ID
It shows the way she really is
She is playing a role just for this
campaign
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

⇤

(13)

⇤

(12)

White Evangelical

(29)
Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

41%

75%

33%

12%

76%

52%

15%

30%

48%

15%

49%

59%

25%

67%

88%

24%

48%

85%

70%

52%

85%

51%

100%

(984)

(363)

(271)

(334)

(200)

(375)

(408)

(350)

(633)

(218)

(766)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa

25. Donald Trump Campaign
When you watch Donald Trump campaign, do you think it shows the way he really is, or do you think he is playing a role just for this campaign?
Gender
It shows the way he really is
He is playing a role just for this
campaign
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

72%

63%

65%

75%

79%

72%

⇤

28%

37%

35%

25%

21%

28%

⇤

100%

(983)

(462)

(520)

(159)

(218)

(366)

(240)

(929)

Party ID
It shows the way he really is
He is playing a role just for this
campaign
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

⇤

(13)

⇤

(12)

White Evangelical

(29)
Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

72%

68%

74%

75%

73%

70%

73%

72%

74%

71%

28%

32%

26%

25%

27%

30%

27%

28%

26%

29%

100%

(983)

(362)

(272)

(333)

(201)

(374)

(408)

(349)

(634)

(218)

(765)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa

26. Clinton Traits – Is prepared to be Commander in Chief
Which of these do you feel describe or do not describe Hillary Clinton?
Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

51%
49%

50%
50%

52%
48%

62%
38%

53%
47%

48%
52%

46%
54%

50%
50%

⇤
⇤

100%

(966)

(461)

(506)

(155)

(215)

(363)

(233)

(915)

Party ID
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

⇤

(13)

⇤

(12)

White Evangelical

(26)
Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

51%
49%

88%
12%

49%
51%

14%
86%

87%
13%

67%
33%

18%
82%

36%
64%

59%
41%

15%
85%

61%
39%

100%

(966)

(357)

(263)

(331)

(201)

(364)

(401)

(344)

(622)

(217)

(750)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa

27. Clinton Traits – Would bring change to Washington
Which of these do you feel describe or do not describe Hillary Clinton?
Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

33%
67%

23%
77%

42%
58%

47%
53%

30%
70%

26%
74%

38%
62%

32%
68%

⇤
⇤

100%

(962)

(460)

(501)

(155)

(212)

(362)

(232)

(913)

Party ID
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

⇤

(13)

⇤

(12)

White Evangelical

(23)
Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

33%
67%

60%
40%

26%
74%

9%
91%

56%
44%

41%
59%

14%
86%

29%
71%

35%
65%

14%
86%

39%
61%

100%

(962)

(351)

(263)

(332)

(200)

(361)

(401)

(345)

(617)

(217)

(745)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa

28. Clinton Traits – Will look out for people like you
Which of these do you feel describe or do not describe Hillary Clinton?
Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

42%
58%

37%
63%

46%
54%

50%
50%

41%
59%

38%
62%

43%
57%

41%
59%

⇤
⇤

100%

(960)

(459)

(501)

(155)

(212)

(360)

(233)

(912)

Party ID
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

⇤

(13)

⇤

(12)

White Evangelical

(23)
Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

42%
58%

80%
20%

36%
64%

6%
94%

79%
21%

57%
43%

9%
91%

27%
73%

50%
50%

10%
90%

51%
49%

100%

(960)

(350)

(263)

(332)

(200)

(359)

(401)

(345)

(616)

(217)

(744)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa

29. Clinton Traits – Treats all people fairly
Which of these do you feel describe or do not describe Hillary Clinton?
Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

43%
57%

37%
63%

48%
52%

52%
48%

41%
59%

42%
58%

⇤
⇤

100%

(962)

(460)

(502)

(154)

(213)

(362)

(232)

(914)

Party ID
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

⇤

(13)

⇤

(11)

White Evangelical

(23)
Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

43%
57%

79%
21%

37%
63%

8%
92%

77%
23%

58%
42%

12%
88%

29%
71%

51%
49%

9%
91%

53%
47%

100%

(962)

(352)

(262)

(332)

(200)

(361)

(401)

(345)

(618)

(216)

(746)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa

30. Clinton Traits – Tells the truth
Which of these do you feel describe or do not describe Hillary Clinton?
Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

31%
69%

29%
71%

33%
67%

34%
66%

29%
71%

30%
70%

32%
68%

30%
70%

⇤
⇤

100%

(958)

(459)

(498)

(155)

(212)

(361)

(229)

(909)

Party ID
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

⇤

(13)

⇤

(12)

White Evangelical

(23)
Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

31%
69%

62%
38%

22%
78%

4%
96%

65%
35%

36%
64%

9%
91%

23%
77%

35%
65%

9%
91%

37%
63%

100%

(958)

(348)

(263)

(331)

(201)

(357)

(400)

(345)

(613)

(216)

(742)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa

31. Clinton Traits – Is a risky choice
Which of these do you feel describe or do not describe Hillary Clinton?
Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

57%
43%

61%
39%

54%
46%

69%
31%

54%
46%

60%
40%

48%
52%

57%
43%

⇤
⇤

100%

(969)

(463)

(506)

(156)

(212)

(362)

(238)

(919)

Party ID
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

⇤

(13)

⇤

(12)

White Evangelical

(25)
Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

57%
43%

26%
74%

61%
39%

86%
14%

23%
77%

44%
56%

87%
13%

72%
28%

49%
51%

93%
7%

47%
53%

100%

(969)

(352)

(268)

(333)

(200)

(366)

(403)

(349)

(620)

(217)

(751)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa

32. Trump Traits – Is prepared to be Commander in Chief
Which of these do you feel describe or do not describe Donald Trump?
Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

32%
68%

33%
67%

31%
69%

19%
81%

24%
76%

36%
64%

42%
58%

32%
68%

⇤
⇤

100%

(955)

(454)

(501)

(155)

(213)

(360)

(227)

(907)

Party ID
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

⇤

(13)

⇤

(12)

White Evangelical

(24)
Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

32%
68%

7%
93%

34%
66%

56%
44%

6%
94%

21%
79%

55%
45%

39%
61%

28%
72%

60%
40%

24%
76%

100%

(955)

(349)

(264)

(327)

(198)

(360)

(397)

(340)

(615)

(212)

(743)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa

33. Trump Traits – Would bring change to Washington
Which of these do you feel describe or do not describe Donald Trump?
Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

69%
31%

71%
29%

66%
34%

71%
29%

68%
32%

69%
31%

⇤
⇤

100%

(963)

(456)

(507)

(155)

(213)

(365)

(231)

(914)

Party ID
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

⇤

(13)

⇤

(12)

White Evangelical

(25)
Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

69%
31%

48%
52%

70%
30%

90%
10%

45%
55%

59%
41%

89%
11%

76%
24%

64%
36%

90%
10%

62%
38%

100%

(963)

(351)

(269)

(327)

(199)

(364)

(400)

(346)

(617)

(214)

(749)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa

34. Trump Traits – Will look out for people like you
Which of these do you feel describe or do not describe Donald Trump?
Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

36%
64%

38%
62%

35%
65%

28%
72%

41%
59%

44%
56%

37%
63%

⇤
⇤

100%

(957)

(453)

(504)

(155)

(213)

(361)

(228)

(909)

Party ID
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

⇤

(13)

⇤

(12)

White Evangelical

(24)
Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

36%
64%

8%
92%

34%
66%

69%
31%

8%
92%

20%
80%

65%
35%

48%
52%

30%
70%

69%
31%

27%
73%

100%

(957)

(350)

(265)

(327)

(199)

(359)

(399)

(342)

(615)

(214)

(743)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa

35. Trump Traits – Treats all people fairly
Which of these do you feel describe or do not describe Donald Trump?
Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

29%
71%

30%
70%

28%
72%

15%
85%

21%
79%

33%
67%

41%
59%

29%
71%

⇤
⇤

100%

(956)

(455)

(501)

(155)

(213)

(363)

(226)

(908)

Party ID
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

⇤

(13)

⇤

(12)

White Evangelical

(24)
Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

29%
71%

3%
97%

31%
69%

55%
45%

5%
95%

16%
84%

53%
47%

35%
65%

26%
74%

61%
39%

20%
80%

100%

(956)

(351)

(264)

(325)

(199)

(361)

(396)

(339)

(617)

(212)

(745)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa

36. Trump Traits – Tells the truth
Which of these do you feel describe or do not describe Donald Trump?
Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

38%
62%

37%
63%

39%
61%

28%
72%

32%
68%

43%
57%

44%
56%

39%
61%

⇤
⇤

100%

(959)

(456)

(503)

(155)

(216)

(363)

(224)

(906)

Party ID
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

⇤

(13)

⇤

(12)

White Evangelical

(28)
Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

38%
62%

12%
88%

37%
63%

68%
32%

8%
92%

25%
75%

65%
35%

48%
52%

33%
67%

68%
32%

30%
70%

100%

(959)

(354)

(265)

(325)

(199)

(365)

(396)

(339)

(620)

(214)

(745)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa

37. Trump Traits – Is a risky choice
Which of these do you feel describe or do not describe Donald Trump?
Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

73%
27%

71%
29%

75%
25%

92%
8%

84%
16%

67%
33%

60%
40%

74%
26%

⇤
⇤

100%

(959)

(455)

(503)

(155)

(212)

(363)

(228)

(910)

Party ID
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

⇤

(13)

⇤

(12)

White Evangelical

(24)
Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

73%
27%

84%
16%

77%
23%

59%
41%

88%
12%

82%
18%

58%
42%

66%
34%

77%
23%

49%
51%

80%
20%

100%

(959)

(351)

(264)

(328)

(199)

(361)

(398)

(341)

(617)

(214)

(744)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa

38. Attention to Campaign this Fall
How much of the Presidential campaign do you expect to watch this fall?
Gender
A lot, I follow politics all the time
Some, I’ll tune in here and there
A bit, but mainly if something big
happens
Not much, this race is pretty much
settled for me
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

43%
35%

56%
29%

32%
41%

40%
43%

43%
30%

43%
36%

47%
34%

43%
35%

⇤
⇤

13%

16%

13%

20%

12%

13%

⇤

11%

12%

⇤

100%

(986)

(465)

(521)

(159)

(218)

(366)

(243)

(933)

Party ID
A lot, I follow politics all the time
Some, I’ll tune in here and there
A bit, but mainly if something big
happens
Not much, this race is pretty much
settled for me
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

⇤

(13)

⇤

(12)

White Evangelical

(29)
Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

43%
35%

39%
39%

45%
34%

48%
32%

48%
34%

33%
39%

51%
32%

47%
31%

41%
37%

66%
22%

37%
39%

13%

14%

10%

12%

11%

18%

13%

12%

15%

11%

10%

100%

(986)

(362)

(274)

(334)

(201)

(375)

(410)

(351)

(635)

(218)

(768)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa

39. Senate Vote 2016
In the U.S. Senate election in Iowa in November, would you vote for...
Gender
Chuck Grassley, the Republican
Patty Judge, the Democrat
Not sure yet
Someone else
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

45%
38%
15%
1%

49%
39%
10%
2%

42%
38%
20%
1%

34%
36%
30%
1%

43%
38%
17%
2%

51%
35%
13%
1%

47%
45%
8%
0%

46%
38%
15%
1%

⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤

100%

(985)

(465)

(520)

(159)

(217)

(367)

(241)

(931)

Party ID
Chuck Grassley, the Republican
Patty Judge, the Democrat
Not sure yet
Someone else
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

⇤

(13)

⇤

(12)

White Evangelical

(29)
Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

45%
38%
15%
1%

8%
75%
17%
0%

43%
34%
19%
4%

88%
3%
9%
0%

4%
82%
13%
1%

25%
48%
26%
1%

84%
8%
7%
1%

67%
23%
10%
1%

34%
47%
19%
1%

90%
7%
2%
0%

33%
47%
19%
1%

100%

(985)

(363)

(272)

(334)

(202)

(373)

(409)

(351)

(634)

(218)

(767)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa

40. Grassley Same Kind of Republican as Trump
Whether or not you would vote for him, do you feel Chuck Grassley is the same kind of Republican as Donald Trump, or a different kind of Republican from Donald
Trump?
Gender
Same
Different
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

24%
76%

21%
79%

26%
74%

19%
81%

22%
78%

29%
71%

24%
76%

⇤
⇤

100%

(985)

(464)

(521)

(158)

(217)

(366)

(243)

(931)

Party ID
Same
Different
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

⇤

(13)

⇤

(12)

White Evangelical

(29)
Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

24%
76%

34%
66%

19%
81%

36%
64%

23%
77%

19%
81%

22%
78%

25%
75%

20%
80%

25%
75%

100%

(985)

(363)

(273)

(333)

(200)

(375)

(410)

(351)

(634)

(218)

(766)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Iowa

41. Voter Fraud
In general, how widespread do you think voter fraud is in US elections? Do you think this happens a lot, sometimes, not much, or not at all?
Gender
A lot
Sometimes
Not much
Not at all
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

29%
33%
25%
13%

31%
28%
24%
17%

27%
37%
26%
10%

30%
34%
21%
15%

22%
41%
22%
15%

28%
31%
26%
15%

36%
27%
28%
9%

29%
33%
24%
14%

⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤

100%

(984)

(463)

(521)

(158)

(218)

(367)

(242)

(931)

Party ID
A lot
Sometimes
Not much
Not at all
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

⇤

(13)

⇤

(12)

White Evangelical

(29)
Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

29%
33%
25%
13%

11%
29%
36%
24%

32%
31%
22%
14%

46%
36%
16%
1%

10%
22%
32%
36%

17%
36%
34%
13%

49%
35%
13%
3%

42%
33%
23%
2%

22%
32%
26%
20%

61%
32%
5%
2%

20%
33%
31%
17%

100%

(984)

(361)

(273)

(334)

(201)

(375)

(409)

(350)

(634)

(218)

(766)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker: Iowa, August 21, 2016

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