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ON
COMPARATIVE STUDY OF MUTUAL FUNDS
WITH SPECIAL REFERENCE TO HDFC MUTUAL FUNDS AT INDIA
INFOLINE LIMITED, HYDERABAD, PRAKASH NAGAR,
BEGUMPET, HYDERABAD
Submitted in partial fulfilment of the requirement for the award of the degree of
TABLE OF CONTENTS
Page No.
Part-I
1-37
1-19
1-2
4-8
9-11
12
12-19
20-37
1.2.1
20-21
1.2.2
22
1.2.3
22-25
26
26-28
1.2.6
28-29
1.2.7
29-37
Part-II
38-40
Research Methodology
2.1 Need For the Study
38-39
39
40
40
Part-III
41-102
Case Analysis
3.1 Data Interpretation
41-87
87-97
3.3 Findings
98
3.4 Recommendations
99-100
3.5 Conclusion
101
References
102
of redemption.
INVEST IN
VARIETY OF
STOCKS/BONDS
MARKET (FLUCTUATIONS)
INVEST
THEIR
MONEY
INVESTOR
current net asset value: total fund assets divided by shares outstanding.
PROFIT/LOSS FORM
PORTFOLIO OF
INVESTMENT
PROFIT/LOSS FROM
INDIVIDUAL
Figure: 1.1
In Simple Words, Mutual fund is a mechanism for pooling the resources by issuing units
to the investors and investing funds in securities in accordance with objectives as
disclosed in offer document.
Investments in securities are spread across a wide cross-section of industries and
sectors and thus the risk is reduced. Diversification reduces the risk because not all stocks
may move in the same direction in the same proportion at the same time. Mutual fund issues
units t o the investors in accordance with quantum of money invested by them.
Investors of Mutual fund are known as unit holders. The profits or losses are shared by the
investors in proportion to their investments. The Mutual funds normally come out with a
number of schemes with different investment objectives which are launched from time to
time.
In India, A Mutual fund is required to be registered with Securities and Exchange Boa
rd of India (SEBI) which regulates securities markets before it can collect funds from the
public.
In Short , a Mutual fund is a common pool of money in to which investors with
common investment objective place their contributions that are to be invested in
accordance with the state d investment objective of the scheme. The investment manager
would invest the money collected from the investor in to assets that are defined/ permitted
by the stated objective
equity and equity related instruments and a debt fund would invest in bonds, debentures,
gilts etc. Mutual fund is a suitable investment for the common ma n a s it offers an Oporto
unity to invest in a diversified, professionally managed basket of securities at a
relatively low cost.
Advant
age
Particulars
1.
Portfoli
o
Diversif
ication
2.
Professi
onal
Manage
ment
3.
Less
Risk
4.
Low
Transac
tion
Costs
5.
Liquidit
y
6.
Choice
of
Scheme
s
7.
Transpa
rency
Flexibili
ty
Safety
8.
9.
Disadva
ntage
Particulars
1.
Costs
Control
Not in
the
Hands
of
an
Investor
2.
No
Custom
ized
Portfoli
os
3.
Difficult
y
in
Selectin
g
a
Suitable
Fund
Scheme
EQUITY FUNDS
BALANCED
FUNDS
DEBT FUNDS
INDEX FUNDS
DEVIDEND YEILD
EQUITY
DIVERSIFIED
LEQUID FUNDS
DEBT
ORIENTED
GUILT FUNDS
EQUITY
ORIENTED
INCOME FUNDS
THEMANTIC FUND
FMPS FUNDS
SECTOR FUND
FLOATING RATE
ELSS
ARBITAGE
FUNDS
funds can yield great capital appreciation as, historically, equities have outperformed
all asset classes in the long term. Hence, investment in equity funds should be
considered for a period of at least 3-5 years. It can be further classified as:
1. Index funds- In this case a key stock market index, like BSE Sensex or Nifty is tracked.
Their
portfolio mirrors the benchmark index in terms of both composition and individual
stock weightages.
2. Equity diversified funds- 100% of the capital is invested in equities spreading across
different sectors and stocks.
3. Dividend yield funds- it is similar to the equity-diversified funds except that they invest in
companies offering high dividend yields.
4. Thematic funds- Invest 100% of the assets in sectors which are related through some
theme.
e.g. -An infrastructure fund invests in power, construction, cements sectors etc.
5. Sector funds- Invest 100% of the capital in a specific sector. e.g. - A banking sector fund
will invest in banking stocks.
6. ELSS- Equity Linked Saving Scheme provides tax benefit to the investors.
Balanced fund: Their investment portfolio includes both debt and equity. As a result,
on the risk-return ladder, they fall between equity and debt funds. Balanced funds are
the ideal mutual funds vehicle for investors who prefer spreading their risk across
various instruments. Following are balanced funds classes:
2
Debt fund: They invest only in debt instruments, and are a good option for investors
averse to idea of taking risk associated with equities. Therefore, they invest
exclusively in fixed-income instruments like bonds, debentures, Government of India
securities; and money market instruments such as certificates of deposit (CD),
commercial paper (CP) and call money. Put your money into any of these debt funds
depending on your investment horizon and needs.
1.
Liquid funds- These funds invest 100% in money market instruments, a large
portion being invested in call money market.
2. Gilt funds ST- They invest 100% of their portfolio in government securities of and Tbills.
3.
Floating rate funds - Invest in short-term debt papers. Floaters invest in debt
instruments, which have variable coupon rate.
4.
Arbitrage fund- They generate income through arbitrage opportunities due to misspricing between cash market and derivatives market. Funds are allocated to equities,
derivatives and money markets. Higher proportion (around 75%) is put in money
markets, in the absence of arbitrage opportunities.
5. Gilt funds LT- They invest 100% of their portfolio in long-term government
securities.
6.
Income funds LT- Typically, such funds invest a major portion of the portfolio in
long-term debt papers.
7.
MIPs- Monthly Income Plans have an exposure of 70%-90% to debt and an exposure
of 10%-30% to equities.
8.
FMPs- fixed monthly plans invest in debt papers whose maturity is in line with that
of the fund.
Equity Funds
Debt funds
Liquid
and
Market funds
Figure:1.4
SPONSOR
Sponsor is the person who acting alone or in combination with another body corporate
establishes a mutual fund. Sponsor must contribute at least 40% of the net worth of the
Investment managed and meet the eligibility criteria prescribed under the Securities and
Exchange Board of India (Mutual Fund) Regulations, 1996. The sponsor is not responsible or
liable for any loss or shortfall resulting from the operation of the Schemes beyond the initial
contribution made by it towards setting up of the Mutual Fund.
TRUST
The Mutual Fund is constituted as a trust in accordance with the provisions of the Indian
Trusts Act, 1882 by the Sponsor. The trust deed is registered under the Indian Registration
Act, 1908.
TRUSTEE
Trustee is usually a company (corporate body) or a Board of Trustees (body of individuals).
The main responsibility of the Trustee is to safeguard the interest of the unit holders and
ensure that the AMC functions in the interest of investors and in accordance with the
Securities and Exchange Board of India (Mutual Funds) Regulations, 1996, the provisions of
the Trust Deed and the Offer Documents of the respective Schemes. At least 2/3rd directors
of the Trustee are independent directors who are not associated with the Sponsor in any
manner.
ASSET MANAGEMENT COMPANY (AMC)
The AMC is appointed by the Trustee as the Investment Manager of the Mutual Fund. The
AMC is required to be approved by the Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) to act
as an asset management company of the Mutual Fund. At least 50% of the directors of the
AMC are independent directors who are not associated with the Sponsor in any manner. The
AMC must have a net worth of at least 10 cores at all times.
REGISTRAR AND TRANSFER AGENT
The AMC if so authorized by the Trust Deed appoints the Registrar and Transfer Agent to the
Mutual Fund. The Registrar processes the application form, redemption requests and
dispatches account statements to the unit holders. The Registrar and Transfer agent also
handles communications with investors and updates investor records.
No.
of
Corpus (Rs.Crores)
schemes
Reliance Mutual Fund
263
108,332.36
202
78,197.90
325
70,169.46
207
67,978.19
283
56,282.87
130
34,061.04
70
32,414.92
124
30,833.02
191
25,472.85
164
21,676.29
175
21,222.81
Figure:1.5
Mutual funds posses a very strong distribution channel so that the ultimate customers doesnt
face any difficulty in the final procurement. The various parties involved in distribution of
mutual funds are:
1. Direct marketing by the AMCs: the forms could be obtained from the AMCs directly.
The investors can approach to the AMCs for the forms. some of the top AMCs of India are;
Reliance ,Birla Sunlife, Tata, SBI magnum, Kotak Mahindra, HDFC, Sundaram, ICICI,
Mirae Assets, Canara Robeco, Lotus India, LIC, UTI etc. whereas foreign AMCs include:
Standard Chartered, Franklin Templeton, Fidelity, JP Morgan, HSBC, DSP Merill Lynch, etc.
2. Broker/ sub broker arrangements: the AMCs can simultaneously go for broker/subbroker to popularize their funds. AMCs can enjoy the advantage of large network of these
brokers and sub brokers.
3. Individual agents, Banks, NBFC: investors can procure the funds through individual
agents, independent brokers, banks and several non- banking financial corporations too,
whichever he finds convenient for him.
The registered office of the AMC is situated at Ramon House, 3rd Floor, H.T. Parekh Marg,
169, Back bay Reclamation, Church gate, Mumbai - 400 020.
In terms of the Investment Management Agreement, the Trustee has appointed HDFC Asset
Management Company Limited to manage the Mutual Fund
As per the terms of the Investment Management Agreement, the AMC will conduct the
operations of the Mutual Fund and manage assets of the schemes, including the schemes
launched from time to time.
Particulars
49.90
Zurich Insurance Company (ZIC), the Sponsor of Zurich India Mutual Fund, following a
review of its overall strategy, had decided to divest its Asset Management business in India.
The AMC had entered into an agreement with ZIC to acquire the said business, subject to
necessary regulatory approvals.
On obtaining the regulatory approvals, the Schemes of Zurich India Mutual Fund has now
migrated to HDFC Mutual Fund on June 19, 2003.
The AMC is also providing portfolio management / advisory services and such activities are
not in conflict with the activities of the Mutual Fund. The AMC has renewed its registration
from SEBI vide Registration No. - PM / INP000000506 dated December 22, 2000 to act as a
Portfolio Manager under the SEBI (Portfolio Managers) Regulations, 1993. The Certificate of
Registration is valid from January 1, 2004 to December 31, 2006.
Board of Directors
The Board of Directors of the HDFC Asset Management Company Limited (AMC) consists
of the following eminent persons.
Table:1.6
Mr. Deepak Parekh, the Chairman of the Board, is associated with HDFC Ltd. in his
capacity as its Executive Chairman.
Mr. Parekh joined HDFC Ltd. in a senior management position in 1978. He was inducted as
Wholetime Director of HDFC Ltd. in 1985 and was appointed as the Executive Chairman in
1993.
Mr. N. Keith Skeoch is associated with Standard Life Investments Limited as its Chief
Executive and is responsible for all company business and investment operations within
Standard Life Investments Limited.
Mr. Keki M. Mistry is an associate director on the Board. He is the Vice-Chairman &
Managing Director of Housing Development Finance Corporation Limited (HDFC Ltd.) He is
with HDFC Ltd. since 1981 and was appointed as the Executive Director of HDFC Ltd. in
1993. He was appointed as the Deputy Managing Director in 1999, Managing Director in
2000 and Vice Chairman & Managing Director in 2007.
SPONSORS
HOUSING DEVELOPMENT FINANCE CORPORATION LIMITED (HDFC):
HDFC was incorporated in 1977 as the first specialised housing finance institution in India.
HDFC provides financial assistance to individuals, corporate and developers for the purchase
or construction of residential housing. It also provides property related services (e.g. property
identification, sales services and valuation), training and consultancy. Of these activities,
housing finance remains the dominant activity.
HDFC currently has a client base of over 8, 00,000 borrowers, 12, 00,000 depositors, 92,000
shareholders and 50,000 deposit agents. HDFC raises funds from international agencies such
as the World Bank, IFC (Washington), USAID, CDC, ADB and KFW, domestic term loans
from banks and insurance companies, bonds and deposits. HDFC has received the highest
rating for its bonds and deposits program for the ninth year in succession. HDFC Standard
Life Insurance Company Limited, promoted by HDFC was the first life insurance company in
the private sector to be granted a Certificate of Registration (on October 23, 2000) by the
Insurance Regulatory and Development Authority to transact life insurance business in India.
HDFC is India's premier housing finance company and enjoys an impeccable track record in
India as well as in international markets. Since its inception in 1977, the Corporation has
maintained a consistent and healthy growth in its operations to remain the market leader in
mortgages. Its outstanding loan portfolio covers well over a million dwelling units. HDFC
has developed significant expertise in retail mortgage loans to different market segments and
also has a large corporate client base for its housing related credit facilities. With its
experience in the financial markets, a strong market reputation, large shareholder base and
unique consumer franchise, HDFC was ideally positioned to promote a bank in the Indian
environment.
STANDARD LIFE INVESTMENTS LIMITED
The Standard Life Assurance Company was established in 1825 and has considerable
experience in global financial markets. In 1998, Standard Life Investments Limited became
the dedicated investment management company of the Standard Life Group and is owned
100% by The Standard Life Assurance Company.
With global assets under management of approximately US$186.45 billion as at March 31,
2005, Standard Life Investments Limited is one of the world's major investment companies
and is responsible for investing money on behalf of five million retail and institutional clients
worldwide. With its headquarters in Edinburgh, Standard Life Investments Limited has an
extensive and developing global presence with operations in the United Kingdom, Ireland,
Canada, USA, China, Korea and Hong Kong. In order to meet the different needs and risk
profiles of its clients, Standard Life Investments Limited manages a diverse portfolio
covering all of the major markets world-wide, which includes a range of private and public
equities, government and company bonds, property investments and various derivative
instruments. The company's current holdings in UK equities account for approximately 2% of
the market capitalization of the London Stock Exchange.
Equity Funds
HDFC Growth Fund
agencies.
6. It can merge into another fund or could be acquired by another fund house.
Performance measures:
Equity funds: the performance of equity funds can be measured on the basis of: NAV
Growth, Total Return; Total Return with Reinvestment at NAV, Annualized Returns and
Distributions, Computing Total Return (Per Share Income and Expenses, Per Share Capital
Changes, Ratios, Shares Outstanding), the Expense Ratio, Portfolio Turnover Rate, Fund
Size, Transaction Costs, Cash Flow, Leverage.
Debt fund: Likewise, the performance of debt funds can be measured on the basis of: Peer
Group Comparisons, The Income Ratio, Industry Exposures and Concentrations, NPAs,
besides NAV Growth, Total Return and Expense Ratio.
Liquid funds: the performance of the highly volatile liquid funds can be measured on the
basis of: Fund Yield, besides NAV Growth, Total Return and Expense Ratio.
Concept of benchmarking for performance evaluation:
Every fund sets its benchmark according to its investment objective. The funds performance
is measured in comparison with the benchmark. If the fund generates a greater return than the
benchmark then it is said that the fund has outperformed benchmark , if it is equal to
benchmark then the correlation between them is exactly 1. And if in case the return is lower
than the benchmark then the fund is said to be underperformed.
Some of the benchmarks are:
1. Equity funds: market indices such as S&P CNX nifty, BSE100, BSE200, BSE-PSU, BSE
500 index, BSE bankex, and other sectoral indices.
2. Debt funds: Interest Rates on Alternative Investments as Benchmarks, I-Bex Total Return
Index, JPM T-Bill Index Post-Tax Returns on Bank Deposits versus Debt Funds.
3. Liquid funds: Short Term Government Instruments Interest Rates as Benchmarks, JPM TBill Index.
To measure the funds performance, the comparisons are usually done with:
I) with a market index.
ii) Funds from the same peer group.
iii) Other similar products in which investors invest their funds.
Investors are required to go for financial planning before making investments in any mutual
fund. The objective of financial planning is to ensure that the right amount of money is
available at the right time to the investor to be able to meet his financial goals. It is more than
mere tax planning. Steps in financial planning are:
Asset allocation.
Selection of fund.
Studying the features of a scheme.
In case of mutual funds, financial planning is concerned only with broad asset allocation,
leaving the actual allocation of securities and their management to fund managers. A fund
manager has to closely follow the objectives stated in the offer document, because financial
plans of users are chosen using these objectives.
If we take a look at the recent scenario in the Indian financial market then we can find the
market flooded with a variety of investment options which includes mutual funds, equities,
fixed income bonds, corporate debentures, company fixed deposits, bank deposits, PPF, life
insurance, gold, real estate etc. all these investment options could be judged on the basis of
various parameters such as- return, safety convenience, volatility and liquidity. Measuring
these
investment options on the basis of the mentioned parameters, we get this in a tabular
form
Table:1.7
Return
Safety
Volatility
Liquidity
Convenienc
e
Equity
High
Low
High
High
Moderate
Bonds
Moderate
High
Moderate
Moderate
High
Co.
Moderate
Debent
ures
Moderate
Moderate
Low
Low
Co.
FDs
Moderate
Low
Low
Low
Moderate
Bank
Deposi
ts
Low
High
Low
High
High
PPF
Moderate
High
Low
Moderate
High
Life
Insura
nce
Low
High
Low
Low
Moderate
Gold
Moderate
High
Moderate
Moderate
Gold
Real
Estate
High
Moderate
High
Low
Low
Mutual
Funds
High
High
Moderate
High
High
We can very well see that mutual funds outperform every other investment option. On three
parameters, it scores high whereas its moderate at one. comparing it with the other options,
we find that equities gives us high returns with high liquidity but its volatility too is high with
low safety which doesnt makes it favourite among persons who have low risk- appetite.
Even the convenience involved with investing in equities is just moderate.
Now looking at bank deposits, it scores better than equities at all
fronts but lags badly in the parameter of utmost important ie; it scores low on return , so its
not an happening option for person who can afford to take risks for higher return. The other
option offering high return is real estate but that even comes with high volatility and
moderate safety level, even the liquidity and convenience involved are too low. Gold have
always been a favourite among Indians but when we look at it as an investment option then it
definitely doesnt gives a very bright picture. Although it ensures high safety but the returns
generated and liquidity are moderate. Similarly, the other investment options are not at par
with mutual funds and serve the needs of only a specific customer group. Straightforward,
we can say that mutual fund emerges as a clear winner among all the options available.
exists no single option which can fit to the need of everybody. But mutual funds have
definitely sorted out this problem. Now everybody can choose their fund according to their
investment objectives.
III) Returns get adjusted for the market movements: as the mutual funds are managed by
experts so they are ready to switch to the profitable option along with the market movement.
Suppose they predict that market is going to fall then they can sell some of their shares and
book profit and can reinvest the amount again in money market instruments.
IV) Flexibility of invested amount: Other then the above mentioned reasons, there exists
one more reason which has established mutual funds as one of the largest financial
intermediary and that is the flexibility that mutual funds offer regarding the investment
amount. One can start investing in mutual funds with amount as low as Rs. 500 through SIPs
and even Rs. 100 in some cases.
investors. For example, consistent return re ally focuses on risk. If someone is afraid of
negative returns, consistency will be a more import ant measure than tot al ret urn i.e.
Growth in NAV as well as dividend received.
A fund can have very impressive total ret urns overtime, but can be very volatile and tough
for a
risk adverse
categories may not be suitable for everyone. Typically, when one has to select funds, the
first step should be to consider personal goals and objectives. Invest ors need to decide which
element they value the most and the n prioritize the other criteria
Once one knows what one is looking for, one should go about selecting the funds according
to the asset allocation. Most investors need just a few funds, carefully picked, watched and
managed over period of time.
investment purely and solely because at the very beginning we take the risk of parting
with our funds, for getting higher value back at a later date. Partition it self is a risk.
Well
known economist and Nobel Prize recipient William Sharpe tried to segregate the total
risk faced in any kind of investment into two parts - systematic (Systemic) risk and
unsystematic (Unsystematic) risk.
Systematic risk is that risk which exists in the system. Some of the biggest examples of
systematic risk are inflation, recession, war, political situation etc.
Inflation erodes returns generated from all investments e .g. If return from fixed deposit is 8
percent and if inflation is 6 per cent then real rate of return from fixed deposit is reduced by 6
percent. Similarly if returns generated from equity market is 18 percent and inflation is still 6
per cent then equity returns will be lesser by the rate of inflation. Since inflation exists in the
system there is no way one can stay away from the risk of inflation.
Economic cycles, war and political situations have effects on all forms of investments. Also
these exist in the system and there is no way to stay away from them. It is like learning
to walk.
Anyone who wants to learn to walk has to first fall; you cannot learn to walk
without falling. Similarly, anyone who wants to invest has to first face
systematic risk.
Therefore, one can never make any kind of investment without systematic risk.
Another form of risk is unsystematic risk. This risk does not exist in the system and
hence is not applicable to all forms of investment.
Unsystematic risk is associated with particular form of investment.
Suppose we invest in
stock market and the market falls, then only our investment in equity gets affected OR if we
have placed a fixed deposit in particular bank and bank goes bankrupt, than we only
lose money placed in that bank. While there is no way to keep away from risk, we can
always reduce the
impact of risk.
unsystematic risk. If our investment is distributed across various asset classes, the impact of
unsystematic risk is reduced.
If we have placed fixed deposit in several banks, then even if one of the banks goes
bankrupt our entire fixed de posit investment is not lost.
investment is in Tata Motors, HLL, Infosys, adverse news about Infosys will only
impact investment in Infosys, all other stocks will not have any impact .
To reduce the
impact of systematic risk, we should invest regularly. By investing regularly, we average out
the impact of risk.
of both
and hence adverse news about single security will have nominal impact on overall portfolio.
Mutual
fund as an investment vehicle helps reduce, both, systematic as well a s unsystematic risk
Make an average (or fair) return for the level of risk in the portfolio
To find out the portfolio which best meets the purpose of the investor.
At a minimum, any comprehensive mutual fund selection and analysis approach should
include the following generalized processes:
Fund selection
The fund portfolio analysis gives the ability to select funds that are aligned with the investors
strategies and objectives. It helps the fund manager to make the best use of available
opportunities by applying to the highest priority of the investor. A fund manager can regularly
assess how securities and stocks are contributing to portfolio health and can make the
corrective action to keep the portfolio in compliance with the investors interest and
objectives.
Mutual funds do not determine risk preference. However, once investor determines his/her
return preferences, he/she can choose a mutual fund a large and growing variety of alternative
funds designed to meet almost any investment goal. Studies have showed that the funds
generally were consistent in meeting investors stated goals for investment strategies, risk, and
return. The major benefit of the mutual fund is to diversify the portfolio to eliminate
unsystematic risk. The instant diversification of the funds is especially beneficial to the small
investors who do not have the resources to acquire 100 shares of 12 or 15 different issues
required to reduce unsystematic risk.
Mutual funds have generally maintained the stability of their correlation with the market
because of reasonably well diversified portfolios. There are some measures for the analysis
and each of them provides unique perspectives. These measures evaluate the different
components of performance.
Measure of risk
Investors are interested not only in funds return but also in risk taken to achieve those
returns. So risk can be thought as the uncertainty of the expected return, and uncertainty is
generally equated with variability. Variability and the risk are correlated; hence high returns
will tend to high variability.
Standard deviation:
in simple terms standard deviation is one of the commonly used statistical parameter to
measure risk, which determines the volatility of a fund. Deviation is defined as any variation
from a mean value (upward & downward). Since the markets are volatile, the returns
fluctuate every day. High standard deviation of a fund implies high volatility and a low
standard deviation implies low volatility.
Beta is used to measure the risk. It basically indicates the level of volatility associated with
the fund as compared to the market. In case of funds, as compared to the market. In case of
funds, beta would indicate the volatility against the benchmark index. It is used as a short
term decision making tool. A beta that is greater than 1 means that the fund is more volatile
than the benchmark index, while a beta of less than 1 means that the fund is more volatile
than the benchmark index. A fund with a beta very close to 1 means the funds performance
closely matches the index or benchmark.
The success of beta is heavily dependent on the correlation between a fund and its
benchmark. Thus, if the funds portfolio doesnt have a relevant benchmark index then a beta
would be grossly inappropriate. For example if we are considering a banking fund, we should
look at the beta against a bank index.
R-Squared (R2):
R squared is the square of R (i.e.; coefficient of correlation). It describes the level of
association between the funs market volatility and market risk. The value of R- squared
ranges from0 to1. A high R- squared (more than 0.80) indicates that beta can be used as a
reliable measure to analyze the performance of a fund. Beta should be ignored when the rsquared is low as it indicates that the fund performance is affected by factors other than the
markets.
For example:
Case 1
Case 2
R2
0.65
0.88
1.2
0.9
In the above tableR2 is less than 0.80 in case 1, implies that it would be wrong to mention
that the fund is aggressive on account of high beta. In case 2, the r- squared is more than 0.85
and beta value is 0.9. it means that this fund is less aggressive than the market.
Portfolio turnover ratio:
Portfolio turnover is a measure of a fund's trading activity and is calculated by dividing the
lesser of purchases or sales (excluding securities with maturities of less than one year) by the
average monthly net assets of the fund. Turnover is simply a measure of the percentage of
portfolio value that has been transacted, not an indication of the percentage of a fund's
holdings that have been changed. Portfolio turnover is the purchase and sale of securities in a
fund's portfolio. A ratio of 100%, then, means the fund has bought and sold all its positions
within the last year. Turnover is important when investing in any mutual fund, since the
amount of turnover affects the fees and costs within the mutual fund.
Total expenses ratio:
A measure of the total costs associated with managing and operating an investment fund such
as a mutual fund. These costs consist primarily of management fees and additional expenses
such as trading fees, legal fees, auditor fees and other operational expenses. The total cost of
the
fund is
divided
by
the fund's
total
assets
to
arrive
at a
percentage
The Sharpe Measure :In this model, performance of a fund is evaluated on the basis of Sharpe Ratio, which is a
ratio of returns generated by the fund over and above risk free rate of return and the total risk
associated with it.
According to Sharpe, it is the total risk of the fund that the investors are concerned about. So,
the model evaluates funds on the basis of reward per unit of total risk. Symbolically, it can be
written as:
Where,
Si is standard deviation of the fund,
While a high and positive Sharpe Ratio shows a superior risk-adjusted performance of a fund,
a low and negative Sharpe Ratio is an indication of unfavourable performance.
All risk-averse investors would like to maximize this value. While a high and positive
Treynor's Index shows a superior risk-adjusted performance of a fund, a low and negative
Treynor's Index is an indication of unfavorable performance.
Comparison of Sharpe and Treynor
Sharpe and Treynor measures are similar in a way, since they both divide the risk premium by
a numerical risk measure. The total risk is appropriate when we are evaluating the risk return
relationship for well-diversified portfolios. On the other hand, the systematic risk is the
relevant measure of risk when we are evaluating less than fully diversified portfolios or
individual stocks. For a well-diversified portfolio the total risk is equal to systematic risk.
Rankings based on total risk (Sharpe measure) and systematic risk (Treynor measure) should
be identical for a well-diversified portfolio, as the total risk is reduced to systematic risk.
Therefore, a poorly diversified fund that ranks higher on Treynor measure, compared with
another fund that is highly diversified, will rank lower on Sharpe Measure.
Jenson Model:
Jenson's model proposes another risk adjusted performance measure. This measure was
developed by Michael Jenson and is sometimes referred to as the differential Return Method.
This measure involves evaluation of the returns that the fund has generated vs. the returns
actually expected out of the fund1 given the level of its systematic risk. The surplus between
the two returns is called Alpha, which measures the performance of a fund compared with the
actual returns over the period. Required return of a fund at a given level of risk (Bi) can be
calculated as:
After calculating it, Alpha can be obtained by subtracting required return from the actual
return of the fund.
p= Ri [ Rf + Bi (Rm - Rf) ]
Higher alpha represents superior performance of the fund and vice versa. Limitation of this
model is that it considers only systematic risk not the entire risk associated with the fund and
an ordinary investor cannot mitigate unsystematic risk, as his knowledge of market is
primitive.
Fama Model:
The Eugene Fama model is an extension of Jenson model. This model compares the
performance, measured in terms of returns, of a fund with the required return commensurate
with the total risk associated with it. The difference between these two is taken as a measure
of the performance of the fund and is called Net Selectivity.
The Net Selectivity represents the stock selection skill of the fund manager, as it is the excess
returns over and above the return required to compensate for the total risk taken by the fund
manager. Higher value of which indicates that fund manager has earned returns well above
the return commensurate with the level of risk taken by him.
Selectivity: measures the ability of the portfolio manager to earn a return that is consistent
with the portfolios market (systematic) risk. The selectivity measure is:
Ri [ Rf + Bi (Rm - Rf) ]
Diversification: measures the extent to which the portfolio may not have been completely
diversified. Diversification is measured as:
PART-II
RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
2.1 NEED FOR THE STUDY
The Mutual Fund Companies periodically build up a study, which can prioritize and analyse
the portfolio of the mutual funds. This study is helpful in having a comparison among the
mutual funds based on the risk bearing capacity and expected return of the investor and will
also carry out an analysis of the portfolio of the selected mutual fund.
The mutual fund industry is growing globally and new products are emerging in the market
with all captivating promises of providing high return. It has become difficult for the
investors to choose the best fund for their needs or in other words to find out a fund which
will give maximum return for minimum risk. Therefore, they turn to their financial adviser to
get precise direct investment. Hence, the company asked me to prepare a model, which will
facilitate them to analyse the fund and to have reasonable estimation for the fund
performance.
The driving force of Mutual Funds is the safety of the principal guaranteed, plus the added
advantage of capital appreciation together with the income earned in the form of interest or
dividend. The various schemes of Mutual Funds provide the investor with a wide range of
investment options according to his risk bearing capacities and interest besides; they also give
handy return to the investor. Mutual Funds offers an investor to invest even a small amount of
money, each Mutual Fund has a defined investment objective and strategy. Mutual Funds
schemes are managed by respective asset managed companies, sponsored by financial
institutions, banks, private companies or international firms. A Mutual Fund is the ideal
investment vehicle for todays complex and modern financial scenario.
The study is basically made to analyze the various open-ended equity schemes of HDFC
Asset Management Company to highlight the diversity of investment that Mutual Fund offer.
Thus, through the study one would understand how a common person could fruitfully convert
a meagre amount into great penny by wisely investing into the right scheme according to his
risk taking abilities.
Sharpe ratio is a performance measure, which reflects the excess return earned on a portfolio
per unit of its total risk (standard deviation). Treynor measure indicates the risk premium
return per unit risk of the portfolio. While Jensen alpha talks about the deviation of the actual
return from its expected one. Fema measure decomposes the portfolio total return into two
main components: systematic return and the unsystematic return. It determines whether the
portfolio is perfectly diversified or not. Hence, it is a significant measure to evaluate the
performance of the fund manager.
The analysis of the fund portfolio has been done to find out the influence of the top holdings
on the performance of the fund. All these measures give fair implication and results about the
portfolio performance and can show the ground reality to a rational investor.
Whether the growth oriented Mutual Fund are earning higher returns than the
benchmark returns (or market Portfolio/Index returns) in terms of risk.
Whether the growth oriented mutual funds are offering the advantages of
Diversification, Market timing and Selectivity of Securities to their investors
This study provides a proper investigation for logical and reasonable comparison and
selection of the funds.
It also assists in analysing the portfolio of the selected funds.
The study is limited only to the analysis of different schemes and its suitability to
different investors according to their risk-taking ability.
The study is based on secondary data available from monthly fact sheets, websites and
other books, as primary data was not accessible.
The study is limited by the detailed study of six schemes of HDFC.
Many investors are all price takers.
The assumption that all investors have the same information and beliefs about the
distribution of returns.
Banks are free to accept deposits at any interest rate within the ceilings fixed by the
Reserve Bank of India and interest rate can vary from client to client. Hence, there
can be inaccuracy in the risk free rates.
The study excludes the entry and the exit loads of the mutual funds.
Part-III
CASE ANALYSIS
3.1 DATA INTERPRETATION
Risk returns analysis and comparative study of funds
In this section, a sample of HDFC equity related funds have been studied, evaluated and
analysed. This study could facilitate to get a fair comparison.
The expectations of the study are to give value to the funds by keeping the risk in the view.
Here equity funds are taken as they bear high return with high risk.
Following are the products of HDFC Mutual Fund, which have been taken the evaluation
purpose.
HDFC Equity Fund Growth option
HDFC Capital Builder
HDFC Growth Fund
HDFC Long Term Advantage Fund
HDFC Top 200 Fund
Investment Objective
The investment objective of the Scheme is to achieve capital appreciation.
Basic Scheme Information
Table:3.1
Nature of Scheme
Inception Date
Option/Plan
Entry Load
NIL
in)
Exit Load.
Nil
Lock-In-Period
Nil
Redemption Proceeds
Investment Pattern
The asset allocation under the Scheme will be as follows:
Table:3.2
SR NO.
TYPE OF INSTRUMENTS
NORMAL
ALLOCATION
(%of net asset)
RISK
PROFILE
80-100
Medium to high
0-100
Low to medium
instruments
2
Investment in Securitised debt, if undertaken, would not exceed 20% of the net assets of the
scheme. The Scheme may also invest upto 25% of net assets of the Scheme in derivatives
such as Futures & Options and such other derivative instruments as may be introduced from
time to time for the purpose of hedging and portfolio balancing and other uses as may be
permitted under the Regulations.
Investment Strategy & Risk Control
In order to provide long term capital appreciation, the Scheme will invest predominantly in
growth companies. Companies selected under this portfolio would as far as practicable
consist of medium to large sized companies which: are likely achieved above average growth
than the industry; enjoy distinct competitive advantages, and have superior financial
strengths.
The aim will be to build a portfolio, which represents a cross-section of the strong growth
companies in the prevailing market. In order to reduce the risk of volatility, the Scheme will
diversify across major industries and economic sectors.
Benchmark Index : S&P CNX 500. HDFC Equity, which is benchmarked to S&P CNX 500
Index is not sponsored, endorsed, sold or promoted by Indian Index Service & Products
Limited (IISL).
Fund Manager : Mr. Prashant Jain
Table:3.3
NAV
S&P
Ri
Rm
Ri Rm
CNX
Rm-Rm
sqr(Rm-
av
Rm av)
Rm2
500
2011
151.389
4899.39
FEB
141.228
4504.73
-6.71185
-8.05529
54.06587
-9.0864
82.56268
64.88767
MAR
142.602
4605.89
0.972895
2.24564
2.184771
1.214527
1.475077
5.042897
APL
151.16
4934.46
6.001318
7.133692
42.81156
6.10258
37.24148
50.88956
MAY
161.281
5185.95
6.695554
5.096606
34.1246
4.065494
16.52824
25.9754
JUN
165.313
5223.82
2.499984
0.730242
1.825594
-0.30087
0.090523
0.533254
JULY
172.325
5483.25
4.241651
4.966289
21.06526
3.935177
15.48562
24.66403
AUG
168.827
5411.29
-2.02989
-1.31236
2.663941
-2.34347
5.491863
1.72229
SEP
182.84
6094.11
8.300213
12.61843
104.7357
11.58732
134.266
159.2248
OCT
210.3
7163.3
15.0186
17.54465
263.4959
16.51353
272.6968
307.8146
NOV
206.176
6997.6
-1.96101
-2.31318
4.536164
-3.34429
11.18429
5.3508
DEC
223.324
7461.48
8.317166
6.62913
55.13557
5.598018
31.3378
43.94536
2012
188.42
6245.45
-15.6293
-16.2974
254.7177
-17.3285
300.2786
265.6065
FEB
187.594
6356.92
-0.43838
1.784819
-0.78243
0.753707
0.568075
3.18558
MAR
165.788
5762.88
-11.624
-9.34478
108.6241
-10.3759
107.6591
87.32486
APL
178.191
6289.07
7.481241
9.130678
68.3088
8.099566
65.60296
83.36928
MAY
169.605
5937.81
-4.81843
-5.58525
26.91209
-6.61636
43.77619
31.19497
JUN
143.171
4929.98
-15.5856
-16.9731
264.5363
-18.0042
324.1514
288.0859
JULY
151.715
5297.47
5.967689
7.454188
44.48428
6.423076
41.25591
55.56493
AUG
158.924
5337.28
4.751673
0.751491
3.570838
-0.27962
0.078188
0.564738
SEP
145.721
4807.2
-8.30774
-9.93165
82.50962
-10.9628
120.1822
98.63768
OCT
110.322
3539.57
-24.2923
-26.3694
640.5738
-27.4005
750.7883
695.3455
NOV
101.808
3379.53
-7.71741
-4.52145
34.8939
-5.55257
30.83098
20.44354
DEC
112.377
3635.87
10.38131
7.585078
78.74302
6.553966
42.95447
57.53341
JAN
JAN
2013
103.754
3538.57
-7.67328
-2.67611
20.53456
-3.70723
13.74352
7.161582
FEB
98.163
3403.33
-5.38871
-3.82188
20.59501
-4.85299
23.55156
14.60679
MAR
108.852
3720.51
10.88903
9.319696
101.4825
8.288584
68.70062
86.85673
APL
127.097
4278.54
16.76129
14.99875
251.3984
13.96764
195.0949
224.9625
MAY
169.897
5480.11
33.67507
28.08365
945.7186
27.05253
731.8396
788.6911
Total
29.7767
28.87114
3533.466
3469.417
3499.186
average
1.063454
1.031112
126.1952
123.9077
JAN
Figure:3.1
m= 123.9077
=11.13239
(Beta) =[N (XY) XY ]/[ N (X2) (X) 2 ]
= (98937.047- 859.6872)/( 97977.214- 833.54264)
= 98077.36/ 97143.672
= 1.0096114
Table:3.4
Ri
Rm
Ri-Rm
sq of Dev frm av
FEB
-6.71185
-8.05529
1.34344
-1.3111
1.71898
MAR
0.972895
2.24564
-1.27274
1.305086
1.70325
APL
6.001318
7.133692
-1.13237
1.164715
1.356561
MAY
6.695554
5.096606
1.598948
-1.56661
2.454256
JUN
2.499984
0.730242
1.769742
0.75698
0.573018
JULY
4.241651
4.966289
-0.72464
0.75698
0.573018
AUG
-2.02989
-1.31236
-0.71753
0.749866
0.5623
SEP
8.300213
12.61843
-4.31822
4.350562
18.92739
OCT
15.0186
17.54465
-2.52605
2.558392
6.545367
2007
JAN
NOV
-1.96101
-2.31318
0.352172
-0.31983
0.102291
DEC
8.317166
6.62913
1.688036
-1.65569
2.741324
2008
-15.6293
-16.2974
0.668127
-0.63579
0.404223
FEB
-0.43838
1.784819
-2.2232
2.255543
5.087475
MAR
-11.624
-9.34478
-2.27926
2.311604
5.343511
APL
7.481241
9.130678
-1.64944
1.681778
2.828377
MAY
-4.81843
-5.58525
0.76682
-0.73448
0.539459
JUN
-15.5856
-16.9731
1.387467
-1.35513
1.836366
JULY
5.967689
7.454188
-1.4865
1.518841
2.306878
AUG
4.751673
0.751491
4.000182
-3.96784
15.74376
SEP
-8.30774
-9.93165
1.623906
-1.59156
2.533078
OCT
-24.2923
-26.3694
2.077092
-2.04475
4.181006
NOV
-7.71741
-4.52145
-3.19596
3.228297
10.4219
DEC
10.38131
7.585078
2.796228
-2.76389
7.639067
2009
-7.67328
-2.67611
-4.99717
5.029507
25.29594
FEB
-5.38871
-3.82188
-1.56683
1.599166
2.557333
MAR
10.88903
9.319696
1.569336
-1.53699
2.362352
APL
16.76129
14.99875
1.76254
-1.7302
2.993588
MAY
33.67507
28.08365
5.591422
-5.55908
30.90337
Total
29.7767
28.87114
0.90556
160.2354
avrage
1.063454
1.031112
0.032341
5.722694
JAN
JAN
= (1.063454-5)/ 2.392215
=-1.64557
=0.070488
Investment Objective
The Investment Objective of the Scheme is to achieve capital appreciation in the long term.
Basic Scheme Information
Nature of Scheme
Inception Date
Option/Plan
Entry Load
NIL
(purchase / additional
purchase / switch-in)
Exit Load
NAV)
allotment.
Minimum Application
Amount
Nil
Redemption Proceeds
2009)
Pattern
The asset allocation under the Scheme will be as follows :
Sr.No.
Asset Type
(% of Portfolio)
Risk Profile
Medium to High
Investment in Securitised debt, if undertaken, would not exceed 20% of the net assets of the
scheme.
Investment Strategy
This Scheme aims to achieve its objectives by investing in strong companies at prices which
are below fair value in the opinion of the fund managers.
The Scheme defines a "strong company" as one that has the following characteristics :
a market price quote that is around 30% lower than its value, as determined by the
discounted value of its estimated future cash flows
a P/E multiple that is lower than the company's sustainable Return on funds employed
a P/E to growth ratio that is lower than those of the company's competitors
in case of companies in cyclical businesses, a market price quote that is around 50%
lower than its estimated replacement cost
Fund Manager
Mr. Chirag Setalvad (since Apr 2, 07)
Mr. Anand Laddha - Dedicated Fund Manager - Foreign Securities
NAV
S&P
CNX
500
Ri
Rm
Ri Rm
Rm-Rm
av
sqr(RmRm av)
Rm2
2007
JAN
64.459
4899.39
FEB
61.259
4504.73
-4.9644
-8.05529
39.98964
-9.0864
82.5626
8
64.88
767
MAR
60.3
4605.89
-1.56548
2.24564
-3.51551
1.214527
1.47507
7
5.042
897
APL
65.818
4934.46
9.150912
7.133692
65.27979
6.10258
37.2414
8
50.88
956
MAY
69.818
5185.95
6.077365
5.096606
30.97394
4.065494
16.5282
4
25.97
54
JUN
73.27
5223.82
4.944284
0.730242
3.610525
-0.30087
0.09052
3
0.533
254
JULY
76.914
5483.25
4.973386
4.966289
24.69927
3.935177
15.4856
2
24.66
403
AUG
76.323
5411.29
-0.76839
-1.31236
1.008405
-2.34347
5.49186
3
1.722
29
SEP
83.09
6094.11
8.866266
12.61843
111.8784
11.58732
134.266
159.2
248
OCT
96.061
7163.3
15.61078
17.54465
273.8857
16.51353
272.696
8
307.8
146
NOV
99.034
6997.6
3.094908
-2.31318
-7.15908
-3.34429
11.1842
9
5.350
8
DEC
106.53
8
7461.48
7.577196
6.62913
50.23022
5.598018
31.3378
43.94
536
2008
JAN
88.367
6245.45
-17.0559
-16.2974
277.9672
-17.3285
300.278
6
265.6
065
FEB
87.439
6356.92
-1.05017
1.784819
-1.87436
0.753707
0.56807
5
3.185
58
MAR
75.967
5762.88
-13.12
-9.34478
122.6035
-10.3759
107.659
1
87.32
486
APL
79.418
6289.07
4.542762
9.130678
41.4785
8.099566
65.6029
6
83.36
928
MAY
75.065
5937.81
-5.48113
-5.58525
30.61343
-6.61636
43.7761
9
31.19
497
JUN
64.169
4929.98
-14.5154
-16.9731
246.3716
-18.0042
324.151
4
288.0
859
JULY
67.228
5297.47
4.767099
7.454188
35.53486
6.423076
41.2559
1
55.56
493
AUG
70.149
5337.28
4.344916
0.751491
3.265164
-0.27962
0.07818
8
0.564
738
SEP
63.365
4807.2
-9.67084
-9.93165
96.04744
-10.9628
120.182
2
98.63
768
OCT
47.587
3539.57
-24.9002
-26.3694
656.603
-27.4005
750.788
3
695.3
455
NOV
44.556
3379.53
-6.36939
-4.52145
28.79888
-5.55257
30.8309
8
20.44
354
DEC
48.064
3635.87
7.873238
7.585078
59.71913
6.553966
42.9544
7
57.53
341
2009
JAN
45.564
3538.57
-5.2014
-2.67611
13.91953
-3.70723
13.7435
2
7.161
582
FEB
43.34
3403.33
-4.88105
-3.82188
18.65479
-4.85299
23.5515
6
14.60
679
MAR
46.604
3720.51
7.531149
9.319696
70.18802
8.288584
68.7006
2
86.85
673
APL
53.006
4278.54
13.73702
14.99875
206.0381
13.96764
195.094
9
224.9
625
MAY
67.6
5480.11
27.53273
28.08365
773.2195
27.05253
731.839
6
788.6
911
TOTAL
21.08029
28.87114
3270.029
3469.41
7
3499.
186
AVERA
GE
0.752867
1.031112
116.7868
123.907
7
Figure:3.2
m = 123.9077
=11.13239
Table:3.6
Ri
Rm
Ri-Rm
Dev frm
ave
sq of Dev frm av
FEB
-4.9644
-8.05529
3.090893
-3.36914
11.35109
MAR
-1.56548
2.24564
-3.81112
3.532879
12.48124
APL
9.150912
7.133692 2.01722
-2.29546
5.269159
MAY
6.077365
5.096606 0.980759
-1.259
1.585089
JUN
4.944284
0.730242 4.214041
-4.49229
20.18063
JULY
4.973386
4.966289 0.007097
-0.28534
0.08142
AUG
-0.76839
-1.31236
-0.82221
0.676037
SEP
8.866266
12.61843 -3.75217
3.473923
12.06814
OCT
15.61078
17.54465 -1.93386
1.655617
2.741069
NOV
3.094908
-2.31318
5.408088
-5.68633
32.33438
DEC
7.577196
6.62913
0.948066
-1.22631
1.503837
2008 JAN
-17.0559
-16.2974
-0.75845
0.480204
0.230596
FEB
-1.05017
1.784819 -2.83499
2.55674
6.536922
MAR
-13.12
-9.34478
-3.77523
3.496982
12.22888
APL
4.542762
9.130678 -4.58792
4.309671
18.57326
MAY
-5.48113
-5.58525
0.10412
-0.38237
0.146203
JUN
-14.5154
-16.9731
2.457673
-2.73592
7.485245
JULY
4.767099
7.454188 -2.68709
2.408844
5.802531
AUG
4.344916
0.751491 3.593425
-3.87167
14.98983
SEP
-9.67084
-9.93165
0.260807
-0.53905
0.290577
OCT
-24.9002
-26.3694
1.469223
-1.74747
3.053642
NOV
-6.36939
-4.52145
-1.84793
1.569689
2.463923
DEC
7.873238
7.585078 0.28816
-0.5664
0.320814
2009 JAN
-5.2014
-2.67611
-2.52528
2.24704
5.049189
FEB
-4.88105
-3.82188
-1.05916
0.780919
0.609834
MAR
7.531149
9.319696 -1.78855
1.510302
2.281012
2007 JAN
0.54397
APL
13.73702
14.99875 -1.26173
0.983487
0.967247
MAY
27.53273
28.08365 -0.55091
0.272669
0.074348
TOTAL
21.08029
28.87114
-7.79085
181.3761
1.031112
-0.27824
6.477719
AVERAGE
0.752867
=0.752867- [5+0.936265(1.031112-5)]
=
-0.39357
Fema Measures
Selectivity =Ri [ Rf + Bi (Rm - Rf) ]
=0.752867- [5+0.936265(1.031112-5)]
-0.39357
The primary investment objective of the Scheme is to generate long term capital appreciation
from a portfolio that is invested predominantly in equity and equity related instruments.
Basic Scheme Information
Table:3.7
Nature of Scheme
Inception Date
Option/Plan
Entry Load
NIL
in)
Exit Load.
Nil
Lock-In-Period
Nil
Redemption Proceeds
Investment pattern
The corpus of the Scheme will be invested primarily in equity and equity related instruments.
The Scheme may invest a part of its corpus in debt and money market instruments, in order to
manage its liquidity requirements from time to time, and under certain circumstances, to
protect the interests of the Unit holders. The asset allocation under the Scheme will be as
follows :
Table:3.8
SR
TYPE OF INSTRUMENTS
NORMAL
NO.
RISK
ALLOCATION
(%of net asset)
80-100
Medium to
instruments
2
PROFILE
high
0-100
Low to
medium
SENSEX
Ri
Rm
Ri Rm
Rm-Rm
av
sqr(RmRm av)
Rm2
2007
JAN
48.917
14090.92
FEB
45.047
12938.09
-7.91136
-8.18137
64.72575
-8.91997
79.56584
66.93478
MAR
45.461
13072.1
0.91904
1.035779
0.951922
0.297178
0.088315
1.072838
APL
48.581
13872.37
6.863025
6.12197
42.01523
5.383369
28.98066
37.47851
MAY
53.198
14544.46
9.503715
4.84481
46.0437
4.106209
16.86095
23.47219
JUN
54.695
14650.51
2.814016
0.729144
2.051821
-0.00946
8.94E-05
0.53165
JULY
58.716
15550.99
7.351677
6.146407
45.1864
5.407806
29.24437
37.77832
AUG
58.17
15318.6
-0.9299
-1.49437
1.389618
-2.23298
4.986179
2.233155
SEP
63.82
17291.1
9.71291
12.8765
125.0683
12.1379
147.3287
165.8043
OCT
73.682
19837.99
15.45284
14.72949
227.6123
13.99088
195.7448
216.9577
NOV
74.895
19363.19
1.646264
-2.39339
-3.94015
-3.13199
9.809352
5.728304
DEC
80.576
20286.99
7.585286
4.770908
36.1887
4.032307
16.2595
22.76156
2008
JAN
68.432
17648.71
-15.0715
-13.0048
196.0015
-13.7434
188.8807
169.1245
FEB
67.827
17578.72
-0.88409
-0.39657
0.350606
-1.13517
1.28862
0.15727
MAR
62.15
15644.44
-8.36982
-11.0035
92.09761
-11.7421
137.8777
121.0777
APL
66.196
17287.31
6.510056
10.5013
68.36407
9.762702
95.31035
110.2774
MAY
62.813
16415.57
-5.11058
-5.04266
25.77091
-5.78126
33.42296
25.4284
JUN
53.472
13461.6
-14.8711
-17.9949
267.6048
-18.7335
350.9451
323.8174
JULY
56.819
14355.75
6.259351
6.642227
41.57603
5.903626
34.8528
44.11918
AUG
58.871
14564.53
3.611468
1.45433
5.252267
0.715729
0.512268
2.115076
SEP
54.54
12860.43
-7.35676
-11.7003
86.07665
-12.4389
154.7273
136.898
OCT
42.283
9788.06
-22.4734
-23.8901
536.8922
-24.6287
606.5731
570.737
NOV
40.089
9092.72
-5.18885
-7.10396
36.86137
-7.84256
61.50578
50.46627
DEC
41.652
9647.31
3.898825
6.099275
23.78001
5.360674
28.73683
37.20116
2009
JAN
38.443
9424.24
-7.70431
-2.31225
17.8143
-3.05085
9.307696
5.346504
FEB
36.429
8891.61
-5.23893
-5.6517
29.60885
-6.3903
40.83598
31.94174
MAR
38.73
9708.5
6.316396
9.1872
58.03
8.448599
71.37883
84.40465
APL
44.131
11403.25
13.94526
17.45635
243.4334
16.71775
279.4832
304.7242
MAY
56.982
14625.25
29.12012
28.2551
822.792
27.5165
757.1579
798.3508
TOTAL
30.39962
20.68083
3139.6
3381.666
3396.941
AVG
1.085701
0.738601
112.1286
120.7738
Figure:3.3
m= 120.7738
=10.98971
(Beta) =[N (XY) XY ]/[ N (X2) (X) 2 ]
= (87908.8-628.6893)/ (95114.34-427.6966)
= 87280.12/ 94686.64
= 0.921779
Table:3.10
Ri
Rm
Ri-Rm
sq of Dev frm
av
Rm2
FEB
-7.91136
-8.18137
0.270008
0.077092104
0.005943
66.93478
MAR
0.91904
1.035779
-0.11674
0.463838642
0.215146
1.072838
2007
JAN
APL
6.863025
6.12197
0.741056
-0.393955855
0.155201
37.47851
MAY
9.503715
4.84481
4.658905
-4.311805316
18.59167
23.47219
JUN
2.814016
0.729144
2.084872
-1.737772055
3.019852
0.53165
JULY
7.351677
6.146407
1.20527
-0.85817039
0.736456
37.77832
AUG
-0.9299
-1.49437
0.564474
-0.217374552
0.047252
2.233155
SEP
9.71291
12.8765
-3.16359
3.510692544
12.32496
165.8043
OCT
15.45284
14.72949
0.723351
-0.376251086
0.141565
216.9577
NOV
1.646264
-2.39339
4.039651
-3.692551406
13.63494
5.728304
DEC
7.585286
4.770908
2.814378
-2.467278063
6.087461
22.76156
2008
JAN
-15.0715
-13.0048
-2.0667
2.413797413
5.826418
169.1245
FEB
-0.88409
-0.39657
-0.48752
0.834616326
0.696584
0.15727
MAR
-8.36982
-11.0035
2.633708
-2.286608411
5.228578
121.0777
APL
6.510056
10.5013
-3.99125
4.338346289
18.82125
110.2774
MAY
-5.11058
-5.04266
-0.06792
0.415022146
0.172243
25.4284
JUN
-14.8711
-17.9949
3.123803
-2.776702677
7.710078
323.8174
JULY
6.259351
6.642227
-0.38288
0.729975995
0.532865
44.11918
AUG
3.611468
1.45433
2.157138
-1.810037944
3.276237
2.115076
SEP
-7.35676
-11.7003
4.34358
-3.996480234
15.97185
136.898
OCT
-22.4734
-23.8901
1.416689
-1.069589295
1.144021
570.737
NOV
-5.18885
-7.10396
1.915115
-1.568014871
2.458671
50.46627
DEC
3.898825
6.099275
-2.20045
2.547549815
6.49001
37.20116
2009
JAN
-7.70431
-2.31225
-5.39206
5.73916105
32.93797
5.346504
FEB
-5.23893
-5.6517
0.412777
-0.065677352
0.004314
31.94174
MAR
6.316396
9.1872
-2.8708
3.217903695
10.3549
84.40465
APL
13.94526
17.45635
-3.51109
3.858190515
14.88563
304.7242
MAY
29.12012
28.2551
0.865017
-0.517917027
0.268238
798.3508
TOTAL
30.39962
20.68083
9.718797
-4.44089E-15
181.7403
3396.941
AVG
1.085701
0.738601
0.3471
-1.58603E-16
6.490725
0.013767
Fema Measures
Selectivity =Ri [ Rf + Bi (Rm - Rf) ]
[5+0.921779 (0.738601-5)]
=1.085701=
0.013767
Nature of Scheme
Inception Date
10-Feb-06
Closing Date
27-Jan-06
Option/Plan
Entry Load
NIL
(purchase / additional
purchase / switch-in)
Exit Load
(as a % of the Applicable
NAV)
(Other than Systematic
Investment Plan (SIP)/
Systematic Transfer Plan
(STP))
Upto 12 months 4%
Minimum Application
Amount
scheme.
(STP))
Lock-In-Period
Nil
Redemption Proceeds
2009)
Investment Pattern
The following table provides the asset allocation of the Schemes portfolio.
Type of Instruments
(% of Net Assets)
(% of Net Assets)
70
100
High
30
Low
instruments
Fixed Income Securities
(including money market
instruments)
Investment Strategy
The investment strategy of the Scheme is to build and maintain a diversified portfolio of
equity stocks that have the potential to appreciate in the long run. Companies identified for
selection in the portfolio will have demonstrated a potential ability to grow at a reasonable
rate for the long term.
The aim will be to build a portfolio that adequately reflects a cross-section of the growth
areas of the economy from time to time. While the portfolio focuses primarily on a buy and
hold strategy at most times, it will balance the same with a rational approach to selling when
the valuations become too demanding even in the face of reasonable growth prospects in the
long run.
Fund Manager
Mr. Srinivas Rao Ravuri (since Apr 3, 06)
Mr. Anand Laddha - Dedicated Fund Manager - Foreign Securities
SENSEX
Ri
Rm
Ri Rm
Rm-Rm
av
sqr(RmRm av)
Rm2
2007
JAN
95.224
14090.92
FEB
87.782
12938.09
-7.81526
-8.18137
63.93949
-8.91997
79.56584
66.93478
MAR
86.337
13072.1
-1.64612
1.035779
-1.70502
0.297178
0.088315
1.072838
APL
91.627
13872.37
6.127153
6.12197
37.51024
5.383369
28.98066
37.47851
MAY
96.561
14544.46
5.384876
4.84481
26.0887
4.106209
16.86095
23.47219
JUN
100.695
14650.51
4.281232
0.729144
3.121633
-0.00946
8.94E-05
0.53165
JULY
102.976
15550.99
2.265256
6.146407
13.92319
5.407806
29.24437
37.77832
AUG
102.627
15318.6
-0.33891
-1.49437
0.506464
-2.23298
4.986179
2.233155
SEP
109.68
17291.1
6.87246
12.8765
88.49326
12.1379
147.3287
165.8043
OCT
118.185
19837.99
7.754376
14.72949
114.218
13.99088
195.7448
216.9577
NOV
119.445
19363.19
1.066125
-2.39339
-2.55165
-3.13199
9.809352
5.728304
DEC
128.983
20286.99
7.985265
4.770908
38.09697
4.032307
16.2595
22.76156
2008
JAN
112.202
17648.71
-13.0102
-13.0048
169.1954
-13.7434
188.8807
169.1245
FEB
110.554
17578.72
-1.46878
-0.39657
0.582478
-1.13517
1.28862
0.15727
MAR
96.105
15644.44
-13.0696
-11.0035
143.8121
-11.7421
137.8777
121.0777
APL
103.44
17287.31
7.632277
10.5013
80.14885
9.762702
95.31035
110.2774
MAY
99.18
16415.57
-4.11833
-5.04266
20.76733
-5.78126
33.42296
25.4284
JUN
85.045
13461.6
-14.2519
-17.9949
256.4613
-18.7335
350.9451
323.8174
JULY
88.972
14355.75
4.617555
6.642227
30.67085
5.903626
34.8528
44.11918
AUG
93.359
14564.53
4.930765
1.45433
7.17096
0.715729
0.512268
2.115076
SEP
82.286
12860.43
-11.8607
-11.7003
138.7739
-12.4389
154.7273
136.898
OCT
63.504
9788.06
-22.8253
-23.8901
545.298
-24.6287
606.5731
570.737
NOV
57.237
9092.72
-9.86867
-7.10396
70.10665
-7.84256
61.50578
50.46627
DEC
61.406
9647.31
7.28375
6.099275
44.42559
5.360674
28.73683
37.20116
2009
JAN
58.709
9424.24
-4.39208
-2.31225
10.15559
-3.05085
9.307696
5.346504
FEB
55.785
8891.61
-4.9805
-5.6517
28.14829
-6.3903
40.83598
31.94174
MAR
59.209
9708.5
6.137851
9.1872
56.38966
8.448599
71.37883
84.40465
APL
68.298
11403.25
15.35071
17.45635
267.9674
16.71775
279.4832
304.7242
MAY
87.958
14625.25
28.78562
28.2551
813.3405
27.5165
757.1579
798.3508
TOTAL
6.828943
20.68083
3065.056
3381.666
3396.941
AVG
0.243891
0.738601
109.4663
120.7738
Figure:3.4
m= 120.7738
=10.98971
(Beta) =[N (XY) XY ]/[ N (X2) (X) 2 ]
= (85821.57- 141.2282)/ (95114.34- 427.6966)
= 85680.34/ 94686.64
= 0.904883
Table:3.12
Ri
Rm
Ri-Rm
sq of Dev frm av
FEB
-7.81526
-8.18137
0.366111
-0.860821325
0.741013
MAR
-1.64612
1.035779
-2.6819
2.187192079
4.783809
APL
6.127153
6.12197
0.005183
-0.499893333
0.249893
MAY
5.384876
4.84481
0.540065
-1.034775537
1.07076
JUN
4.281232
0.729144
3.552088
-4.046798071
16.37657
JULY
2.265256
6.146407
-3.88115
3.386440599
11.46798
AUG
-0.33891
-1.49437
1.15546
-1.650170515
2.723063
SEP
6.87246
12.8765
-6.00404
5.509332488
30.35274
OCT
7.754376
14.72949
-6.97511
6.48039862
41.99557
NOV
1.066125
-2.39339
3.459513
-3.954222903
15.63588
DEC
7.985265
4.770908
3.214357
-3.709067209
13.75718
2007
JAN
2008
JAN
-13.0102
-13.0048
-0.00545
-0.489256261
0.239372
FEB
-1.46878
-0.39657
-1.07221
0.577496505
0.333502
MAR
-13.0696
-11.0035
-2.0661
1.571389464
2.469265
APL
7.632277
10.5013
-2.86903
2.374315379
5.637374
MAY
-4.11833
-5.04266
0.924329
-1.419039116
2.013672
JUN
-14.2519
-17.9949
3.743063
-4.237772814
17.95872
JULY
4.617555
6.642227
-2.02467
1.529961243
2.340781
AUG
4.930765
1.45433
3.476435
-3.971144712
15.76999
SEP
-11.8607
-11.7003
-0.16032
-0.334386466
0.111814
OCT
-22.8253
-23.8901
1.064835
-1.559545364
2.432182
NOV
-9.86867
-7.10396
-2.76471
2.26999821
5.152892
DEC
7.28375
6.099275
1.184475
-1.679185121
2.819663
2009
JAN
-4.39208
-2.31225
-2.07983
1.585118054
2.512599
FEB
-4.9805
-5.6517
0.671205
-1.165915514
1.359359
MAR
6.137851
9.1872
-3.04935
2.554639268
6.526182
APL
15.35071
17.45635
-2.10565
1.610935739
2.595114
MAY
28.78562
28.2551
0.530513
-1.025223388
1.051083
TOTAL
6.828943
20.68083
-13.8519
-4.44089E-15
210.478
AVG
0.243891
0.738601
-0.49471
-1.58603E-16
5.538895
=-5.25605
Jenson alpha (p)= Ri [ Rf + Bi (Rm - Rf) ]
=0.243891- [5+0.904883 (0.738601-5)]
=
-0.90004
Fema Measures
Selectivity =Ri [ Rf + Bi (Rm - Rf) ]
=0.243891- [5+0.904883 (0.738601-5)]
=
-0.90004
HDFC TAXSAVER
Investment Objective
The investment objective of the Scheme is to achieve long term growth of capital.
Basic Scheme Information
Table:3.13
Nature of Scheme
Inception Date
Option/Plan
Entry Load
NIL
in)
Exit Load.
Nil
Lock-In-Period
3 yrs
Redemption Proceeds
Investment Pattern
The asset allocation under the Scheme will be as follows:
Table:3.14
SR NO.
ASSET TYPE
(% OF
PORTFOLIO)
RISK
PROFILE
Minimum 80%
Medium to high
Minimum 20%
Low to medium
related instruments
2
The Scheme may also invest up to 25% of net assets of the Scheme in derivatives such as
Futures & Options and such other derivative instruments as may be introduced from time to
time for the purpose of hedging and portfolio balancing and and other uses as may be
permitted under the regulations and guidelines.
The Scheme may also invest a part of its corpus, not exceeding 40% of its net assets, in
overseas markets in Global Depository Receipts (GDRs), ADRs, overseas equity, bonds and
mutual funds and such other instruments as may be allowed under the Regulations from time
to time. The ELSS (Equity Linked Savings Scheme) guidelines, as applicable, would be
adhered to in the management of this Fund.
instruments falls below 80% of the portfolio of the Scheme at any point in time, it would be
endeavoured to review and rebalance the composition.
Benchmark Index :
S&P CNX 500. HDFC Tax saver, which is benchmarked to S&P CNX 500 Index is not
sponsored, endorsed, sold or promoted by Indian Index Service & Products Limited (IISL).
Fund Manager : Dhawal Mehta
S&P
CNX
500
2007
JAN
146.134
4899.39
FEB
135.133
4504.73
Ri
Rm
Ri Rm
Rm-Rm
av
sqr(RmRm av)
Rm2
-7.52802
-8.05529
60.64039
-9.0864
82.56268
64.88767
MAR
133.882
4605.89
-0.92575
2.24564
-2.07891
1.214527
1.475077
5.042897
APL
144.308
4934.46
7.787455
7.133692
55.5533
6.10258
37.24148
50.88956
MAY
153.765
5185.95
6.553344
5.096606
33.39982
4.065494
16.52824
25.9754
JUN
156.535
5223.82
1.80145
0.730242
1.315495
-0.30087
0.090523
0.533254
JULY
163.61
5483.25
4.519756
4.966289
22.44641
3.935177
15.48562
24.66403
AUG
161.481
5411.29
-1.30127
-1.31236
1.707729
-2.34347
5.491863
1.72229
SEP
173.27
6094.11
7.300549
12.61843
92.12149
11.58732
134.266
159.2248
OCT
198.737
7163.3
14.69787
17.54465
257.8689
16.51353
272.6968
307.8146
NOV
196.735
6997.6
-1.00736
-2.31318
2.330208
-3.34429
11.18429
5.3508
DEC
204.284
7461.48
3.837141
6.62913
25.43691
5.598018
31.3378
43.94536
2008
JAN
173.277
6245.45
-15.1784
-16.2974
247.3687
-17.3285
300.2786
FEB
171.845
6356.92
-0.82642
1.784819
-1.47501
0.753707
0.568075
3.18558
MAR
152.02
5762.88
-11.5366
-9.34478
107.8066
-10.3759
107.6591
87.32486
APL
158.411
6289.07
4.204052
9.130678
38.38584
8.099566
65.60296
83.36928
MAY
148.793
5937.81
-6.07155
-5.58525
33.91109
-6.61636
43.77619
31.19497
JUN
126.45
4929.98
-15.0162
-16.9731
254.8707
-18.0042
324.1514
288.0859
JULY
135.953
5297.47
7.515223
7.454188
56.01989
6.423076
41.25591
55.56493
AUG
142.358
5337.28
4.711187
0.751491
3.540414
-0.27962
0.078188
0.564738
SEP
132.682
4807.2
-6.79695
-9.93165
67.50492
-10.9628
120.1822
98.63768
OCT
99.119
3539.57
-25.2958
-26.3694
667.0357
-27.4005
750.7883
695.3455
NOV
90.957
3379.53
-8.23455
-4.52145
37.23212
-5.55257
30.83098
20.44354
DEC
98.972
3635.87
8.811856
7.585078
66.83862
6.553966
42.95447
57.53341
2009
JAN
93.555
3538.57
-5.47327
-2.67611
14.64708
-3.70723
13.74352
FEB
89.449
3403.33
-4.38886
-3.82188
16.77372
-4.85299
23.55156
14.60679
MAR
97.063
3720.51
8.512113
9.319696
79.3303
8.288584
68.70062
86.85673
APL
112.05
4278.54
15.44049
14.99875
231.588
13.96764
195.0949
224.9625
MAY
144.827
5480.11
29.25212
28.08365
821.5062
27.05253
731.8396
788.6911
265.6065
7.161582
TOTAL
15.36369
28.87114
3293.627
AVG
0.548703
1.031112
117.6295
Figure:3.5
m= 123.9077
=11.13139
(Beta) =[N (XY) XY ]/[ N (X2) (X) 2 ]
= (92221.54- 443.5671)/ (97977.21- 833.5426)
= 91777.98/ 97143.67
= 0.944765
Table:3.16
Ri
Rm
Ri-Rm
Dev frm
ave
sq of
Dev frm
av
3469.417
123.9077
3499.186
2007
JAN
FEB
-7.52802
-8.05529
0.527266
-1.00968
1.019444
MAR
-0.92575
2.24564
-3.17139
2.688985
7.230641
APL
7.787455
7.133692
0.653763
-1.13617
1.290886
MAY
6.553344
5.096606
1.456738
-1.93915
3.760291
JUN
1.80145
0.730242
1.071208
-1.55362
2.413726
JULY
4.519756
4.966289
-0.44653
-0.03588
0.001287
AUG
-1.30127
-1.31236
0.011095
-0.4935
0.243546
SEP
7.300549
12.61843
-5.31788
4.835475
23.38182
OCT
14.69787
17.54465
-2.84678
2.364366
5.590227
NOV
-1.00736
-2.31318
1.305818
-1.78823
3.197757
DEC
3.837141
6.62913
-2.79199
2.30958
5.334158
2008
JAN
-15.1784
-16.2974
1.119058
-1.60147
2.564696
FEB
-0.82642
1.784819
-2.61124
2.128833
4.531929
MAR
-11.5366
-9.34478
-2.19178
1.709373
2.921956
APL
4.204052
9.130678
-4.92663
4.444217
19.75106
MAY
-6.07155
-5.58525
-0.4863
0.003894
1.52E-05
JUN
-15.0162
-16.9731
1.956929
-2.43934
5.950372
JULY
7.515223
7.454188
0.061035
-0.54344
0.295331
AUG
4.711187
0.751491
3.959696
-4.44211
19.7323
SEP
-6.79695
-9.93165
3.134702
-3.61711
13.08349
OCT
-25.2958
-26.3694
1.073584
-1.55599
2.421115
NOV
-8.23455
-4.52145
-3.71309
3.230684
10.43732
DEC
8.811856
7.585078
1.226778
-1.70919
2.921319
2009
JAN
-5.47327
-2.67611
-2.79715
2.314743
5.358035
FEB
-4.38886
-3.82188
-0.56698
0.08457
0.007152
MAR
8.512113
9.319696
-0.80758
0.325174
0.105738
APL
15.44049
14.99875
0.441737
-0.92415
0.854046
MAY
29.25212
28.08365
1.168474
-1.65088
2.725415
TOTAL
15.36369
28.87114
-13.5075
147.1251
AVG
0.548703
1.031112
-0.48241
5.254467
= 2.292262
-0.70163
=0.548703=
-0.70163
Investment Objective
The investment objective is to generate long-term capital appreciation from a portfolio of
equity and equity linked instruments. The investment portfolio for equity and equity-linked
instruments will be primarily drawn from the companies in the BSE 200 Index. Further, the
Scheme may also invest in listed companies that would qualify to be in the top 200 by market
capitalisation on the BSE even though they may not be listed on the BSE This includes
participation in large IPOs where in the market capitalisation of the company based on issue
price would make the company a part of the top 200 companies listed on the BSE based on
market capitalisation.
Basic Scheme Information
Table:3.17
Nature of Scheme
Inception Date
Option/Plan
Entry Load
NIL
in)
Exit Load.
Nil
Lock-In-Period
Nil
Investment Pattern
The asset allocation under the Scheme will be as follows:
Table:3.18
SR NO.
ASSET TYPE
(% OF PORTFOLIO)
RISK
PROFILE
related instruments
Medium to high
Instruments
cash
Low to medium
Investment in Securitised debt, if undertaken, would not exceed 20% of the net assets of the
scheme. The Scheme may also invest upto 25% of net assets of the Scheme in derivatives
such as Futures & Options and such other derivative instruments as may be introduced from
time to time for the purpose of hedging and portfolio balancing and other uses as may be
permitted under the regulations and guidelines.
Investment Strategy & Risk Control
The investment strategy of primarily restricting the equity portfolio to the BSE 200 Index
scrips is intended to reduce risks while maintaining steady growth. Stock specific risk will be
minimised by investing only in those companies / industries that have been thoroughly
researched by the investment manager's research team. Risk will also be reduced through a
diversification of the portfolio.
Benchmark Index : BSE 200
Fund Manager : Mr. Prashant Jain
Rm
Ri Rm
Rm-AvRm
(RmAvRm)2
Rm2
2007
JAN
112.359
1687.35
FEB
103.269
1545.27
-8.09014
-8.4203
68.12144
-9.34081
87.25075
70.90152
MAR
104.504
1556.72
1.195906
0.740971
0.886131
-0.17954
0.032233
0.549038
APRI
L
111.805
1666.14
6.986335
7.028881
49.10612
6.108374
37.31223
49.40517
MAY
119.096
1766.08
6.521175
5.998295
39.11594
5.077788
25.78393
35.97955
JUNE
120.34
1804.81
1.044536
2.192992
2.290658
1.272485
1.619219
4.809216
JULY
127.614
1894.18
6.04454
4.951768
29.93116
4.031261
16.25106
24.52
AUG
126.201
1857.7
-1.10725
-1.9259
2.132443
-2.84641
8.10203
3.709088
SEPT
140.49
2118.86
11.32241
14.05824
159.1733
13.13774
172.6001
197.6342
OCT
160.215
2439.87
14.04015
15.15013
212.71
14.22962
202.4821
229.5264
NOV
158.356
2454.23
-1.16032
0.588556
-0.68291
-0.33195
0.110192
0.346398
DEC
169.794
2656.52
7.222966
8.242504
59.53532
7.321997
53.61163
67.93887
2008
JAN
147.718
2230.39
-13.0016
-16.0409
208.5581
-16.9614
287.6897
257.3108
FEB
147.689
2217.47
-0.01963
-0.57927
0.011372
-1.49978
2.249334
0.335555
MAR
131.544
1932.41
-10.9318
-12.8552
140.5298
-13.7757
189.7699
165.2559
APRI
L
143.025
2157.52
8.727878
11.64918
101.6727
10.72868
115.1045
135.7035
MAY
137.675
2038.22
-3.7406
-5.5295
20.68366
-6.45
41.60255
30.57534
JUNE
115.424
1644.18
-16.162
-19.3326
312.4523
-20.2531
410.1865
373.7477
JULY
123.902
1749.11
7.345093
6.381905
46.87568
5.461398
29.82686
40.72871
AUG
129.235
1782.08
4.304208
1.884959
8.113254
0.964452
0.930167
3.553069
SEPT
118.754
1555.7
-8.11003
-12.7031
103.0228
-13.6236
185.6036
161.3696
OCT
92.324
1145.68
-22.2561
-26.356
586.5812
-27.2765
744.0068
694.6377
NOV
86.546
1062.35
-6.25839
-7.27341
45.51987
-8.19392
67.14027
52.90249
DEC
92.798
1156.59
7.223904
8.870899
64.08253
7.950392
63.20874
78.69286
2009
JAN
88.074
1107.06
-5.09063
-4.28242
21.80018
-5.20292
27.07041
18.33909
FEB
84.379
1044.94
-4.19534
-5.61126
23.54111
-6.53177
42.66396
31.48622
MAR
92.552
1140.43
9.686059
9.138324
88.51435
8.217817
67.53251
83.50896
APRI
L
107.584
1339.38
16.24168
17.44517
283.3389
16.52467
273.0646
304.3341
MAY
139.341
1772.82
29.51833
32.36124
955.2498
31.44073
988.5198
1047.25
Total
37.30138
25.7742
3632.867
4141.326
4165.051
Avera
ge
1.332192
0.920507
129.7453
147.9045
Figure:3.6
m= 147.9045
=12.1616
Table:3.20
Ri
Rm
Ri-Rm
dev frm av
sq of dev
Rm2
FEB
-8.09014
-8.4203
0.330164
0.081521
0.006646
70.90152
MAR
1.195906
0.740971
0.454935
-0.04325
0.001871
0.549038
APRIL
6.986335
7.028881
-0.04255
0.454231
0.206326
49.40517
MAY
6.521175
5.998295
0.52288
-0.11119
0.012364
35.97955
JUNE
1.044536
2.192992
-1.14846
1.560142
2.434043
4.809216
JULY
6.04454
4.951768
1.092773
-0.68109
0.46388
24.52
AUG
-1.10725
-1.9259
0.818654
-0.40697
0.165624
3.709088
SEPT
11.32241
14.05824
-2.73583
3.147515
9.906851
197.6342
OCT
14.04015
15.15013
-1.10998
1.521668
2.315473
229.5264
NOV
-1.16032
0.588556
-1.74887
2.160557
4.668006
0.346398
DEC
7.222966
8.242504
-1.01954
1.431223
2.048399
67.93887
2008
JAN
-13.0016
-16.0409
3.039273
-2.62759
6.90422
257.3108
FEB
-0.01963
-0.57927
0.559639
-0.14795
0.02189
0.335555
MAR
-10.9318
-12.8552
1.923436
-1.51175
2.285389
165.2559
APRIL
8.727878
11.64918
-2.92131
3.332991
11.10883
135.7035
MAY
-3.7406
-5.5295
1.788892
-1.37721
1.896699
30.57534
JUNE
-16.162
-19.3326
3.170579
-2.75889
7.611496
373.7477
JULY
7.345093
6.381905
0.963188
-0.5515
0.304156
40.72871
AUG
4.304208
1.884959
2.41925
-2.00756
4.030315
3.553069
SEPT
-8.11003
-12.7031
4.593101
-4.18142
17.48424
161.3696
OCT
-22.2561
-26.356
4.099889
-3.6882
13.60285
694.6377
NOV
-6.25839
-7.27341
1.015015
-0.60333
0.364007
52.90249
DEC
7.223904
8.870899
-1.647
2.058681
4.238165
78.69286
2009
JAN
-5.09063
-4.28242
-0.80821
1.219896
1.488145
18.33909
FEB
-4.19534
-5.61126
1.415923
-1.00424
1.008493
31.48622
MAR
9.686059
9.138324
0.547736
-0.13605
0.01851
83.50896
2007
JAN
APRIL
16.24168
17.44517
-1.20349
1.615179
2.608803
304.3341
MAY
29.51833
32.36124
-2.84291
3.254597
10.5924
1047.25
37.30138
25.7742
11.52718
107.7981
4165.051
1.332192
0.920507
0.411685
3.849932
-0.12301
Fema Measure:
Selectivity =Ri [ Rf + Bi (Rm - Rf) ]
=1.332192- [5+0.868932 (0.920507-5)]
=
-0.12301
12.22546
11.8529
Capital
builder
4.872865
11.8529
Growth
fund
16.48711
3.792016
Long term
adv
-7.63043
3.792016
Tax saver
-0.89438
11.8529
Top 200
24.0141
5.065339
Figure:3.7
Comparison of ratios:
Table:3.22
Fund
name
S.D.
market
S.D. fund
B value
Sharpe
ratio
Treynor
ratio
Jensons
alpha
Fema
Retuns
jan07may08(29
months)
HDFC
Equity
11.13239
2.392215
1.0096114
-1.64557
-3.89907
0.070488
-3.0836
12.22546
HDFC
Capital
Builder
11.13239
2.545136
0.936265
-1.66872
-4.53625
-0.39357
-3.33967
4.872865
HDFC
Growth
Fund
10.98971
2.54769
0.921779
-1.53641
-4.24646
0.013767
-2.9264
16.48711
HDFC
Long
Term
Adv
10.98971
2.353486
0.904883
-2.02088
-5.25605
-0.90004
-3.84352
-7.63043
HDFC
Tax
saver
11.13139
2.292262
0.944765
-1.94188
-4.71154
-0.70163
-3.63399
-0.89438
HDFC
Top 200
12.1616
1.962124
0.868932
-1.8693
-4.22105
-0.12301
-2.87834
24.0141
Its measure involves evaluation of the returns that the fund has generated vs. the returns
actually expected out of the fund given the level of its systematic risk. Higher alpha
represents superior performance of the fund and vice versa.
The analysis points out that all the funds are having negative alpha except HDFC Equity fund
and HDFC Growth fund which have positive points. Jenson alpha ratio justifies that these
two funds are at least able to achieve the expected return given the level of their systematic
risk.
Fema measure:
The Net Selectivity (Fema) represents the stock selection skill of the fund manager, as it is
the excess returns over and above the return required to compensate for the total risk taken by
the fund manager. Higher value of which indicates that fund manager has earned returns well
above the return commensurate with the level of risk taken by him.
It has been that all the funds are having negative net selectivity because of the higher risk
found both in systematic risk (B) and unsystematic risk. This findings point out, that the stock
selection of the fund manager has been failed because of the systematic risk i.e. recession.
Comparing to other funds HDFC Growth fund (-2.9264) has lesser negative points in this
time of great crisis. This indicates that HDFC Growth fund is getting enhanced return by
nullifying systematic risk and unsystematic risk.
From the above analysis there is no fund which has consistency. The funds are being affected
very badly either by the systematic risk or by the unsystematic risk. As we observe closely, it
is the HDFC Growth fund, which has better option for the investment. Its Sharpe ratio is
lesser negative than other funds which illustrates that its return is less affected by overall risk.
Its alpha value is more than 0 which means its less affected by the market risk (systematic
risk) and also its Fema value (selectivity) has lesser negative value which has managed to
nullify systematic risk and unsystematic risk during the time of recession.
An investor who is entering into the capital market for making long-term investment, the
volatility of the market is important to accomplish his or her goal and these expectations are
often formed on the basis of historical record of monthly returns, measured for holding period
and other important ratios. We will take this fund (HDFC Growth fund) for further analysis
of its portfolio.
31-May-09
Name of Instrument
Industry +
Quantity
Market/
Fair
Value(Rs.
In Lakhs)
%
toNAV
Banks
448,000
8,372.45
7.20
Media &
Entertainment
4,160,179
7,001.58
6.02
Banks
932,397
6,901.14
5.93
Telecom - Services
750,346
6,159.59
5.30
Industrial Capital
Goods
2,099,819
5,513.07
4.74
Petroleum Products
926,557
4,305.71
3.70
Finance
182,500
3,977.77
3.42
Auto Ancillaries
5,319,910
3,769.16
3.24
Pharmaceuticals
318,535
3,666.18
3.15
Pharmaceuticals
272,365
3,305.83
2.84
H T Media Ltd.
Media &
Entertainment
2,307,000
2,861.83
2.46
Chemicals
913,257
2,807.81
2.41
Consumer Non
Durables
160,268
2,766.79
2.38
Pharmaceuticals
420,000
2,719.50
2.34
ITC Ltd.
Consumer Non
Durables
1,462,305
2,685.52
2.31
Fertilisers
1,433,271
2,608.55
2.24
Biocon Limited
Pharmaceuticals
1,319,006
2,397.95
2.06
Petroleum Products
104,250
2,368.46
2.04
Petroleum Products
633,721
2,300.09
1.98
Consumer Non
Durables
2,050,115
2,264.35
1.95
Bank of Baroda
Banks
469,151
2,058.63
1.77
Software
120,000
1,926.12
1.66
MphasiS Limited
Software
569,000
1,916.96
1.65
Banks
220,000
1,713.69
1.47
Auto Ancillaries
5,367,120
1,682.59
1.45
Ferrous Metals
400,000
1,621.40
1.39
Consumer Non
Durables
653,355
1,507.94
1.30
Transportation
3,607,000
1,441.00
1.24
Thermax Ltd.
Industrial Capital
Goods
367,366
1,345.29
1.16
Oil
111,353
1,301.99
1.12
Construction Project
711,738
990.03
0.85
Paper Products
3,967,287
987.85
0.85
Industrial Capital
Goods
276,428
811.18
0.70
Auto Ancillaries
836,454
705.97
0.61
Construction
396,496
635.78
0.55
Construction
761,912
552.01
0.47
Construction
710,597
531.53
0.46
ISMT Ltd.
Ferrous Metals
1,175,668
413.25
0.36
Industrial Products
424,234
245.21
0.21
Engineering
12,612
207.85
0.18
Ferrous Metals
538,745
199.07
0.17
Sub total
101,548.67
87.33
Total
101,548.67
87.33
1,000.00
0.86
5,072.00
4.36
8,679.32
7.45
Net Assets
116,299.99
100.00
Table:3.24
Sectoral Allocation of Assets(%)
Banks
16.37
Pharmaceuticals
10.39
8.48
7.94
Petroleum Products
7.72
6.60
Telecom - Services
5.30
Auto Ancillaries
5.30
Finance
3.42
Software
3.31
Chemicals
2.41
Fertilisers
2.24
Ferrous Metals
1.92
Construction
1.48
Transportation
1.24
Oil
1.12
Construction Project
0.85
Paper Products
0.85
Industrial Products
0.21
Engineering
0.18
12.67
Current Assets
TOTAL
100
Figure:3.8
Table:3.25
HDFC Growth
Fund
Date
Period
Returns
(%) ^
December 30,
2008
41.697
37.23
49.17
53.472
7.01
7.67
36.034
16.65
10.95
16.439
28.31
24.74
N.A
N.A.
13.34
September 11,
2000
10
21.91
13.65
Figrure:3.9
the article corner from The Business Line web site. I comprehended the analysis and
concluded my view as stated below.
HDFC Growth Fund invests in stocks across market capitalisations. Despite a large-cap bias,
mid and small cap stocks account for 28 per cent of the portfolio. The fund has managed to
consistently beat its benchmark Sensex over one-, three- and five-year periods.
In the latest portfolio, the fund has invested in as many as 52 stocks across 18 different
sectors making it a fairly diversified portfolio. This may indicate net inflows into the fund.
Sector Moves: There is a fair bit of stability in terms of top sector holdings in the portfolio.
Banks (16.39 per cent) and pharmaceuticals (10.37 per cent) sectors continue to be the top
two sector holdings, although exposures have been a bit reduced.
Banks and consumer non-durables also figure among top holdings in the fund, and have seen
increased exposures over the September-February period. While capital goods and banks
have done well in the past year, they have been among the worst hit in the recent meltdown.
The respective sector indices were beaten down by over 25 per cent in the last couple of
months. Construction and predictably, software exposures have been pared in the six-month
period.
Interestingly, media and entertainment (8.48 per cent), which were not part of the portfolio
six months ago is now in the top ten sector holdings for the fund. The power sector has been
exited, while telecom services and auto ancillaries exposures have been increased
substantially.
Stock Moves: Most stocks are those whose prices have fallen during September-February,
include stocks such as Zee Entertainment, HT Media and Dr Reddy's Labs.
The fund has also taken profit booking opportunities, with several stocks whose prices rose
between 60-105 per cent have been exited. These include, Axis Bank, Hanung Toys and Tata
Power. Other high-profile exits include DLF, HPCL, Ranbaxy Labs, and Punj Lloyd.
Reliance Industries, SBI, ONGC and BHEL are the stocks retained by the fund during the
period and are among the fund's top holdings.
3.4 FINDINGS
As far as analysis is concerned, we found out that the HDFC Growth Fund was among
the best performers fund. Although all the funds are affected by the global meltdown,
(recession) still HDFC Growth Fund has better performed comparing to other funds
for its systematic and unsystematic risk. It offers advantages of diversification, market
timing, and selectivity. In the comparison of sample of funds, HDFC Growth fund is
found highly diversified fund and because of high diversification, it has reduced the
total risk of portfolio.
Further, other funds were found very poor in diversification, market timing, and
selectivity. Although HDFC Top 200 Fund and Equity Fund performed better in terms
of returns but these suffered by the systematic risk (market volatility) and lack of
diversification. For the further clarification, we too studied the portfolio of HDFC
Growth fund.
One of the findings that I came across is that generally, a good model of asset classes
is the one that can explain a large portion of the variance of returns on the assets and
there were some stocks in the fund portfolio, which were not aligned with strategy of
the fund portfolio.
The optimal situation involves the selection that proceeds from sensible assumptions,
is carefully and logically constructed, and is broadly consistent with the data while
collecting the stocks for the portfolio. The portfolio was showing constructive
outcome in long time horizon and the results can be improved by making the minor
changes in fund portfolio.
Hence, the portfolio theory teaches us that investment choices are made on the basis
of expected risk and returns and these expectations can be satisfied by having right
mix of assets.
3.5 RECOMMENDATIONS:
Considering the above analysis, it can be noted that the three growth oriented mutual funds
(HDFC Equity Fund, HDFC Growth Fund and HDFC Top 200 fund) have performed better
than their benchmark indicators. Other funds such as HDFC Capital Builder Fund, HDFC
Long term Advantage Fund did not perform well even some performed negatively. Though
HDFC Equity Fund, HDFC Growth Fund and HDFC Top 200 fund have performed better
than the benchmark of their systematic risk (volatility) but with respect to total risk the fund
have not outperformed the Market Index.
Growth oriented mutual funds are expected to offer the advantages of Diversification, Market
timing and Selectivity. In the sample, HDFC Equity Fund, HDFC Growth Fund and HDFC
Top 200 fund is found to be diversified fund and because of high diversification, it has
reduced total risk of the portfolio. Whereas, others are low diversified and because of low
diversification their total risk is found to be very high. Further, the fund managers of these
under performing funds are found to be poor in terms of their ability of market timing and
selectivity.
The fund manager of HDFC Equity Fund, HDFC Growth Fund and HDFC Top 200
fund can improve the returns to the investors by increasing the systematic risk of the
portfolio, which in turn can be done by identifying highly volatile shares.
Alternatively, these can take advantage by diversification, which goes to reduce the
risk if the same return is given to the investor at a reduced risk level, the
compensation for risk might seem adequate. The fund manager of HDFC Capital
Builder Fund, HDFC Long term Advantage Fund can earn better returns by adopting
the marketing timing strategy and selecting the under priced securities.
The fund manager can divide all securities into several asset classes and tries to
construct an efficient portfolio based on expected returns, risk, and correlations of
indexes representing these asset classes. The investment should be done in the bench
mark indexes to get an efficient portfolio in such a way that no other combination
of these indexes would result in a portfolio with a higher return for a given level of
risk. It should be emphasized, however, that this is not a fully efficient portfolio
because information about correlations among individual securities within an index
and across the indexes is lost in the transition from individual securities to the
benchmarks that represent them.
These measures are more useful to investors who are putting their money into one
diversified fund and are able to use leverage or invest in the risk-free asset. When the
investor is investing in the different funds, the funds marginal contribution to the
portfolios risk and return is more important than its individual security
characteristics. To construct an efficient portfolio, an investor must take account of the
correlations among the being considered.
It is not advisable to apply just procedure or approach for all situations at least when it comes
to investments though the used measures are highly reliable in the studies done on similar
veins. Even at this juncture it would still be recommended that instead of going ahead only on
the basis of risk and return, other indicators like new projects, sector impact, individual
sentiments about companies etc besides common sense and intuition may also be looked
into.
3.6 CONCLUSIONS:
Mutual fund has become one of the important sources for investing. It is quite likely that a
more efficient portfolio can be constructed directly from funds. Thus, the two-step process of
choosing an asset allocation based on the information about benchmark indexes and then
choosing funds in each category may be one of the best realistically attainable approaches. To
use this approach to portfolio selection effectively, investors would benefit from estimates of
future asset returns, risks and correlations, as well as from fund managements disclosure of
future asset exposures and appropriate benchmarks.
It has been a great opportunity for me to get a first experience of Mutual Funds. My study is
to get the feel of how the work is carried out in relation to funds portfolio aspect. I got an
opportunity in relation to the documentation and also the portfolio analysis that have been
carrying out in facilitating the investor and the fund manager.
REFERENCES
Books:
1. Security Analysis and Portfolio Management (sixth Edition 1995) by Donald
E. Fisher and Ronald J. Jordan. Publication: Pearson education.
2. The Indian Financial System (second edition) by Bharati V. Pathak. Published
by Dorling Kindersley (India) Pvt. Ltd., licensees of Pearson Education in
South Asia.
3. Security Analysis and Portfolio Management by Khan and Jain.
Magazines:
Websites
www.hdfcfund.com
www.amfiindia.com
www.moneycontrol.com
www.sebi.gov.in
www.bseindia.com
www.nseindia.com
www.mutualfundsindia.com
www.valueresearch.com
www.indiainfoline.com
www.in.finance.yahoo.com
www.investing.businessweek.com
www.businessline.com