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September 2016
HISPANIC/LATINO OVERSAMPLE
Interviews: 300 Latino Registered Voters, including 136 respondents with a cell phone only
Study #16804
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey/Telemundo
50 Male
50 Female
Please note: all results are shown as percentages unless otherwise stated.
The margin of error for 300 interviews among Registered Voters is 5.66%
The margin of error for 266 interviews among Likely Voters is 6.00%
Likely Voters defined as voted in either 2012 or 2014 or 18-24 year olds with
self-reported interest in the election of 5 to 10 on a 1-10 scale.
Unless otherwise noted by a + or ^^ all previous data shown reflects responses among all adults.
Q2a
For statistical purposes only, would you please tell me how old you are?
(IF REFUSED, ASK:) Well, would you tell me which age group you belong to? (READ LIST) +
16
18-24 ................................................................
10
25-29 ................................................................
10
30-34 ................................................................
9
35-39 ................................................................
9
40-44 ................................................................
5
45-49 ................................................................
9
50-54 ................................................................
7
55-59 ................................................................
11
60-64 ................................................................
4
65-69 ................................................................
3
70-74 ................................................................
7
75 and over ..........................................................
Not sure/refused .................................................
+ Results shown reflect responses among registered
voters.
Q3
Are you currently registered to vote [LANDLINE: at this address; CELL: in (STATE)]? +
100
Registered ........................................
Not registered ................................ Not sure .......................................... + Results shown reflect responses among
registered voters.
HISPANIC/LATINO OVERSAMPLE
Q5
All in all, do you think things in the nation are generally headed in the right direction, or do you feel things
are off on the wrong track?
Headed in the right direction ......
Off on the wrong track ...............
Mixed (VOL) .............................
Not sure ...................................
9/16+
38
46
12
4
7/16+
21
58
18
3
9/15
32
54
9
5
7/15
33
54
8
5
12/14
37
47
9
7
9/14+
27
56
11
6
4/13
42
42
9
7
10/12+
52
38
6
4
9/2630/12+
55
33
7
5
8/12+
43
44
8
5
7/12+
41
45
10
4
6/12
42
44
9
5
5/12
40
42
10
8
3/10
37
55
4
4
9/08+
12
76
10
2
7/08+
16
74
5
5
Q6
In general, do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as president?
9/16+
Approve ................. 70
Disapprove ............ 24
Not sure .............. 6
7/16+
75
19
6
2/16+
67
26
7
9/15
62
29
9
7/15
63
30
7
12/14
57
31
11
9/14+
47
39
14
4/13
62
30
8
10/12+
66
27
7
9/2630/12+
73
24
3
7/12+
62
31
7
6/12
65
27
8
5/12
61
32
7
HISPANIC/LATINO OVERSAMPLE
Q7
Now I'm going to read you the names of several public figures, groups and organizations, and I'd like you to
rate your feelings toward each one as very positive, somewhat positive, neutral, somewhat negative, or very
negative. If you don't know the name, please just say so. (ALWAYS ASK BARACK OBAMA FIRST, THEN
RANDOMIZE CLINTON-TRUMP-PENCE-KAINE, RANDOMIZE REST)
Neutral
Somewhat
Negative
Very
Negative
Don't Know
Name/
Not Sure
19
15
27
25
20
30
29
26
16
18
21
23
26
27
30
29
23
25
17
14
14
19
16
20
19
16
10
9
14
13
14
17
14
17
12
18
6
3
8
9
8
10
12
7
5
4
8
8
6
11
6
10
8
11
11
10
14
12
17
11
13
12
14
13
11
13
12
12
9
8
13
16
1
1
1
1
2
2
1
2
1
3
3
34
44
24
22
30
35
38
23
20
26
31
27
27
27
12
10
17
21
13
17
17
9
8
13
6
8
9
5
21
17
20
18
20
12
8
1
1
2
2
4
Donald Trump
September 2016+ ...............................
July 2016+ ..........................................
February 2016+ ................................
September 2015 ................................
July 2015 ............................................
8
5
7
3
7
7
6
8
8
6
6
7
9
15
8
10
12
10
5
14
68
70
65
67
61
1
2
4
36
48
20
23
24
19
13
39
33
31
27
22
24
20
16
27
20
21
17
33
25
27
26
33
24
27
26
27
30
27
34
31
35
30
19
20
22
29
26
25
21
19
21
17
23
26
26
23
24
18
15
9
7
14
9
10
11
17
9
10
12
10
9
8
10
11
5
14
14
7
10
10
12
12
11
8
7
11
11
8
11
11
12
12
16
1
1
4
1
7
4
1
2
3
2
5
4
2
5
3
5
Very
Positive
Somewhat
Positive
Barack Obama
September 2016+ ...............................
July 2016+ ..........................................
February 2016+ ................................
September 2015 ................................
July 2015 ............................................
December 2014 ................................
September 2014+ ...............................
April 2013 ...........................................
October 2012+ ................................
September 26-30, 2012+....................
August 2012+ .....................................
July 2012+ ..........................................
June 2012 ..........................................
May 2012 ...........................................
May 20-23, 2010 ................................
May 5-9, 2010 ....................................
September 2008+ ...............................
July 2008+ ..........................................
46
58
37
34
39
28
27
38
53
56
46
41
41
31
39
36
41
27
Hillary Clinton
September 2016+ ...............................
July 2016+ ..........................................
February 2016+ ................................
September 2015 ................................
July 2015 ............................................
September 2014+ ...............................
April 2013 ...........................................
HISPANIC/LATINO OVERSAMPLE
Q7 (cont'd)
Very
Positive
Somewhat
Positive
Neutral
Somewhat
Negative
Very
Negative
Don't
Know
Name/
Not Sure
7
5
7
6
6
7
11
8
9
12
9
6
7
8
5
12
12
14
9
17
18
19
17
18
14
12
21
17
16
15
13
19
15
21
24
21
27
29
30
27
23
22
24
20
25
27
31
30
32
19
13
16
20
23
18
19
19
21
15
23
14
17
20
15
21
24
21
17
38
44
25
25
24
23
23
37
29
28
28
25
25
23
14
31
32
1
1
1
4
2
7
4
4
3
5
4
6
7
4
7
2
5
Jill Stein
September 2016+ ...............................
28
54
Gary Johnson
September 2016+ ...............................
27
48
Bill Clinton
September 2016+* .............................
February 2016+ ................................
September 2014+ .............................
August 2012+ ...................................
40
34
38
43
28
29
30
27
14
20
21
17
8
8
5
5
10
9
6
5
1
3
Mike Pence
September 2016+* .............................
10
19
16
48
Vladimir Putin
September 2016+* ...............................
12
15
46
23
Melania Trump
September 2016+** ............................
28
12
35
15
Tim Kaine
September 2016+** ............................
12
20
22
10
29
14
29
22
26
HISPANIC/LATINO OVERSAMPLE
And now, asking about two different countries, again rating your feelings toward each one as very positive, somewhat
positive, neutral, somewhat negative, or very negative. (ROTATE)
Q7 (cont'd)
Neutral
Somewhat
Negative
Very
Negative
Don't Know
Name/
Not Sure
21
26
13
21
25
Very
Positive
Somewhat
Positive
Mexico
September 2016+...............................
29
Canada
September 2016+................................
45
D/S
63
50
48
34
29
27
15
1
-7
-27
-33
-37
-57
-63
HISPANIC/LATINO OVERSAMPLE
Id like to ask you some questions about this years presidential election
Q8
Please tell me how interested you are in November's elections, using a scale from one to ten, on which a
"ten" means that you are very interested in November's elections and a "one" means that you are not at all
interested. You may choose any number from one to ten. (RECORD NUMBER 1-10. IF "NOT SURE,"
RECORD AS "DK.")
9/16+
7/16+
49
10, very interested................................
50
11
9 ................................................................
21
12
8 ................................................................
11
7
7 ................................................................
3
3
6 ................................................................
2
8
5 ................................................................
4
3
4 ................................................................
2
2
3 ................................................................
1
1
2 ................................................................
1
4
1, not at all interested ................................
4
Cannot rate ................................
1
2/16+
56
9
14
9
3
4
2
1
2
-
9/15+
56
6
11
10
4
7
1
1
1
3
-
9/2630/12+
53
6
18
8
4
6
1
4
-
8/12+
42
7
13
8
3
6
3
4
4
10
-
7/12+
49
6
13
10
5
8
2
1
1
4
1
10/12+
58
10
15
4
5
4
1
1
2
-
6/12+
43
9
14
9
2
8
2
2
1
8
2
5/12+
44
12
12
9
6
7
1
2
1
4
2
9/08+
67
9
12
4
2
2
1
1
2
-
7/08+
59
5
16
3
5
5
1
1
1
4
-
HISPANIC/LATINO OVERSAMPLE
Q9
The next election for president were held today, with (ROTATE TOP TWO:) Donald Trump as the
Republican candidate, Hillary Clinton as the Democratic candidate, Gary Johnson the Libertarian candidate,
and Jill Stein the Green Party candidate for whom would you vote?
9/161
RV+ LV++
16
17
63
65
9
9
3
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
1
5
4
7/16
RV+
12
72
7
5
1
2
1
Q10
And, if the election for president were held today, with only (ROTATE) Donald Trump and Mike Pence as
the Republican candidates, and Hillary Clinton and Tim Kaine as the Democratic candidates, for whom would
you vote? +
Donald Trump and Mike Pence ......................................
Hillary Clinton and Tim Kaine .........................................
Depends (VOL) ............................................................
Neither (VOL) ...............................................................
rd
Other/3 Party/Write-in (VOL) ......................................
Would not vote for President (VOL) ..............................
Not sure ........................................................................
RV+
18
69
5
1
3
4
LV++
18
71
4
1
3
4
2/16+
21
70
-
9/15+
17
72
-
HISPANIC/LATINO OVERSAMPLE
(ASKED ONLY OF RESPONDENTS WHO MAKE A CHOICE IN Q10)
Q10a
Would you definitely vote for (Trump and Pence/Clinton and Kaine), probably vote for (Trump and
Pence/Clinton and Kaine) but are still thinking about it, or are you just leaning toward voting for (Trump and
Pence/Clinton and Kaine)?
RESULTS SHOWN OFF BASE OF ALL REGISTERED VOTERS
65
10
10
1
61
32
4
3
Q11b
Now, talking some more about the candidates running for president
(ASKED OF NON-CLINTON VOTERS ON 4-WAY BALLOT)
Q12a
Which best describes your feelings about Donald Trump? (ROTATE TOP TO BOTTOM, BOTTOM TO TOP)
I believe that he would be a good president ....................................... 24
I am not sure whether or not he would be a good president,
28
but he is better than the alternatives. ...........................................
I do not believe that he would be a good president ................................ 41
7
Not sure .......................................................................................
+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.
HISPANIC/LATINO OVERSAMPLE
And, moving on
Q13
What is your preference for the outcome of this year's congressional elections -- (ROTATE:) a Congress
controlled by Republicans or a Congress controlled by Democrats?
9/16+
Republican-controlled Congress ...............................
29
Democrat-controlled Congress ................................
63
Not sure ................................................................8
9/14+
28
61
11
10/12+
23
65
12
Q14
Some people we have spoken with have already filled out their ballot for the Federal election for President,
Senate, Congress and statewide offices being held in November Have you already cast your ballot in the
election by voting by mail or in person at an early polling location? (DO NOT READ CHOICES:) (IF NOT
YET VOTED, THEN ASK:) And do you plan to vote early - either by mail or in person - or will you vote at the
polls on Election Day? +
Total Voting Early ............................................
Yes, voted by mail .............................................
Yes, voted early in person .................................
No, plan to vote early by mail.............................
No, plan to vote early in person .........................
No, will vote at the polls on Election Day ...........
Dont plan on voting (VOL) ..............................
Not sure ...........................................................
35
4
6
14
11
60
2
3
Q15
Do you have confidence that the results of the presidential election will be counted accurately or not? +
58
30
12
Yes ...........................................................................
No .............................................................................
Not sure/refused .....................................................
+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.
16
62
15
6
1
Q16B
Now, has what you have you seen, read, or heard in the past couple weeks about Hillary Clinton and her
campaign for president given you a more favorable impression of her or a less favorable impression of her?
If you have not seen, read, or heard anything please just say so. +
More favorable ....................................................
Less favorable ....................................................
Has made no difference (VOL) ...........................
No, Have Not Seen/Heard/Read Anything............
Not Sure .............................................................
44
28
18
8
2
HISPANIC/LATINO OVERSAMPLE
Moving on
Q18
In thinking about the next president that well be electing, which of the following two statements comes
closer to your point of view? (IF "BOTH," ASK:) I understand that you feel that they are both important, but if
you had to choose the ONE statement that comes closer to your point of view, which would you choose?
Statement A: Someone who will bring major changes to the way government operates even if it is not
possible to predict what the changes may be
Statement B: Someone who will bring a steady approach to the way government operates even if it means
fewer changes to how things are now
Statement A/bring major changes ......................................
Statement B/bring a steady approach ................................
Neither (VOL) ...................................................................
Not sure ............................................................................
* Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM A).
+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.
Q19
9/16+
41
55
1
3
7/16+
50
45
2
3
Which of the following statements best describes your point of view about the situation in our
country(ROTATE)
Our country is losing ground. Our economy has not improved enough and too many middle-class people
are struggling to keep up. Bad trade deals and the persistent threat of terrorism threaten our way of life
Our country is making progress. Our economy is coming back, millions more have a job, and real wages
are improving. Working with our allies we are dismantling terrorist networks and preventing planned attacks
against us here. +**
Our country is losing ground ..............................................
Our country is making progress .........................................
Some of both/mixed (VOL) ..............................................
Neither (VOL) ..................................................................
Not sure ...........................................................................
** Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM B).
+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.
37
45
13
4
1
Moving on
Q20
How important will the upcoming presidential debates be in helping you decide whom to support for
president--will they be extremely important, quite important, just somewhat important, or not at all important?
9/16+
29
21
18
30
2
9/2630/12+
36
25
21
16
2
HISPANIC/LATINO OVERSAMPLE
Now, switching topics
Q21
Would you say that immigration helps the United States more than it hurts it, OR immigration hurts the
United States more than it helps it?
Helps more than it hurts ............
Hurts more than it helps ............
A little of both (VOL) ...............
Not sure ...................................
9/16+
69
16
11
4
7/16+
79
14
4
3
2/16+
71
20
4
5
7/15
66
24
3
7
12/14
67
25
5
3
6/14
62
30
4
4
6/12
63
26
7
5
5/2023/10
60
30
NA
10
5/611/10
58
32
NA
10
6/07
69
21
NA
10
4/06
62
28
NA
10
HISPANIC/LATINO OVERSAMPLE
And thinking some more about the candidates running for president
Q22
Now I'd like you to compare Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump on a few issues. For each one, please tell me
whether you think that Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump would be better on that issue. If you think that both
would be equally good or that neither would be good on a particular item, just say so. Who do you think
would be better when it comes to (READ ITEM. RANDOMIZE) -- Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump, or do you
think that both would be equally good or neither would be good? (RANDOMIZE)
THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE PERCENTAGE WHO SAY DONALD TRUMP BETTER
Donald
Hillary
Both Would
Neither
Trump
Clinton
Be Equally
Would Be
Depends
Better
Better
Good
Good
(VOL)
Dealing with the economy
29
55
6
8
1
September 2016+ ...............................................
Not
Sure
1
23
60
10
18
68
18
61
16
17
68
12
13
66
14
Now, lets compare Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton on a few personal characteristics. Who do you think
would be better when it comes to (READ ITEM. RANDOMIZE) -- Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump, or do you
think that both would be equally good or neither would be good? (RANDOMIZE)
THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE PERCENTAGE WHO SAY DONALD TRUMP BETTER
Donald
Hillary
Both Would
Neither
Trump
Clinton
Be Equally
Would Be
Depends
Better
Better
Good
Good
(VOL)
Being honest and straightforward
47
3
22
2
September 2016+ .................................................... 24
Not
Sure
2
73
10
73
10
HISPANIC/LATINO OVERSAMPLE
Now I am going to ask you a few questions for statistical purposes only.
QF1b/c A lot of people are unable to get out and vote for many reasons. Did you happen to vote in the November
2012 election for president? (IF YES, ASK:) For whom did you voteBarack Obama, Mitt Romney, or
someone else? +
Voted for Barack Obama ...............................
Voted for Mitt Romney ...................................
Voted for someone else .................................
Not sure .........................................................
No, Did Not Vote ............................................
Not sure .......................................................
62
13
2
1
20
2
QF1d
And did you happen to vote in the 2014 election for U.S. Congress? +
Yes, voted ...............................................................
No, did not vote .......................................................
Not sure ..................................................................
+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.
QF2
63
29
8
Are you currently employed? (IF "CURRENTLY EMPLOYED," ASK:) What type of work do you do?
(RECORD UNDER "6--OTHER.") (IF "NOT CURRENTLY EMPLOYED," ASK:) Are you a student, a stay-athome mom or dad, retired, or unemployed and looking for work? +
Currently Employed
Professional, manager ............................
White-collar worker .................................
Blue-collar worker ...................................
Farmer, rancher ......................................
Not Currently Employed
Student ....................................................
Stay at home mom/dad ...........................
Retired ....................................................
Unemployed, looking for work .................
Other .......................................................
Not sure ................................................
14
14
20
11
5
21
7
6
2
HISPANIC/LATINO OVERSAMPLE
QF3
What is the last grade that you completed in school? (DO NOT READ CHOICES.) +
Grade school ...........................................................
Some high school ....................................................
High school graduate ..............................................
Some college, no degree.........................................
Vocational training/School ......................................
2-year college degree ..............................................
4-year college/bachelor's degree.............................
Some postgraduate work, no degree ......................
2-3 years postgraduate work/master's degree.........
Doctoral/law degree ................................................
Not sure/refused ....................................................
+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.
QF4
QF5
4
6
24
18
6
10
21
1
8
2
-
37
15
12
12
6
4
9
4
1
Thinking about your general approach to issues, do you consider yourself to be liberal, moderate, or
conservative? (IF "LIBERAL" OR "CONSERVATIVE," ASK:) Do you consider yourself to be very
(liberal/conservative) or somewhat (liberal/conservative)? +
Very liberal .........................................................
Somewhat liberal ...............................................
Moderate ............................................................
Somewhat conservative .....................................
Very conservative ..............................................
Not sure ...........................................................
16
18
35
15
14
2
HISPANIC/LATINO OVERSAMPLE
QF6a/b Are you a current or retired labor union member? (ASK ONLY OF RESPONDENTS WHO SAY "NO" OR
"NOT SURE" IN QF6a.) Is anyone else in your household a current or retired labor union member? +
Labor union member ........................................
Union household ..............................................
Non-union household .......................................
Not sure ..........................................................
14
3
80
3
QF7a
17
57
9
15
2
(ASK ONLY OF RESPONDENTS WHO SAY PROTESTANT, OTHER, OR NOT SURE IN QF7a.)
QF7b
Would you describe yourself as either a fundamentalist or an evangelical Christian, or would you not
describe yourself that way?
Fundamentalist/evangelical .............................................
10
Neither fundamentalist nor evangelical ...........................
13
Not sure ................................................................5
Catholic/Jewish/Muslim/Mormon/None (QF7a) ................
72
+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.
QF8
Are you married, widowed, separated, divorced, single and never been married, or are you unmarried and
living with a partner? +
Married .............................................................
Widowed ...........................................................
Separated ........................................................
Divorced ...........................................................
Single/never been married ................................
Unmarried and living with a partner ..................
Refused ..........................................................
50
5
3
7
28
6
1
HISPANIC/LATINO OVERSAMPLE
QF9
If you added together the yearly income of all the members of your family who were living at home last year,
would the total be less than ten thousand dollars, between ten thousand dollars and twenty thousand
dollars, between twenty thousand dollars and thirty thousand dollars, between thirty thousand dollars and
forty thousand dollars, between forty thousand dollars and fifty thousand dollars, between fifty thousand
dollars and seventy-five thousand dollars, between seventy-five thousand dollars and one hundred thousand
dollars, or would the total be more than that? +
Less than $10,000 ...............................................
Between $10,000 and $20,000 ...........................
Between $20,000 and $30,000 ...........................
Between $30,000 and $40,000 ...........................
Between $40,000 and $50,000 ...........................
Between $50,000 and $75,000 ...........................
Between $75,000 and $100,000 .........................
More than $100,000 ............................................
Not sure/refused .................................................
6
10
15
13
7
14
9
14
12
QF10b Do you seek out the majority of election news and overall information on politics from Spanish language
media?
Yes ...................................................35
No .....................................................63
Not sure .......................................... 2
+ Results shown reflect responses among
registered voters.
QF10c Were you or was one of your parents born outside the United States? (IF YES, ASK:) And were you, your
parents, or both you and your parents born outside the United States?
Yes, respondent born outside United States ........................................
Yes, respondent's parents born outside the United States ...................
Yes, both respondent and parents born outside the United States.......
No, neither respondent nor parents born outside the United States .....
Not sure ..............................................................................................
+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.
28
26
17
29
-
QF10d Do more of your relatives come from Cuba, Mexico, Puerto Rico, Central and South America, or from some
other Spanish-speaking country?
Cuba .................................................
Mexico ..............................................
Puerto Rico .......................................
Central and South America ...............
Other Spanish-speaking country .......
Not sure/refused .............................
+ Results shown reflect responses among
registered voters.
5
47
11
17
9
11