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Why not? Donald J. Trump


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1:3
o

It is better to get the war over now


when you are in control, instead of
losing the balance of power

There is no difference between


preemption and prevention, because
the rogue states and terrorists have
more access to dangerous weapons
The fuse has shortened

2:1
The US has to demonstrate to the
world that it acted to preempt
credibly with intelligence

2.2

2.3

US must have solid evidence that the


state is going to attack and has
intention to attack immediately

2.7
o

The US must have the strongest


argument and the best evidence to
give to the American people

Article 51 says you have to be


attacked first to use preemption

The US has the right of preemption


because the UN doesnt have the
power

3.1

The US has to demonstrate to the world


that it acted to preempt credibly with
intelligence

It is hard to find strong evidence

No intelligence is good enough to serve


as an adequate guide to starting
preventive war
Must consider unintended consequences
of preventive action.

3.1
o

The UN charter views preventive war as


illegitimate

3.4
o It may fuel rather than deter the WMDs
Preemptive and prevention is not the only
option
US has successfully steered most of Europe,
South Korea and Japan away without using force

3.2

3.3

The difference between preemption and


prevention is important because states
can be judged or labeled as rogue states
or bullies
If the US chooses prevention, there will
be negative consequences
Will be seen as bullies

2.1

2.2

There is a difference between preemptive


and preventive
Preemptive is war of necessity
Preventive is war of choice
Preventive war goes against the people
who start it
The Bush Doctrine

1:7

1:6

The US is vulnerable to mass terrorist


attacks and the use of nuclear
weapons (WMDs)
Rogue states will not back down/be
deterred and they are armed with
WMDs

1:5

1:5

3.5
o

The US provides the opportunity to


rid the world of dangerous threats

There are consequences for preemption.


If the US does not use this for the correct
means, it can be counter-productive.

3.6
o

The bush doctrine is hypocritical and


unlawful because it undermines
international laws the US helped
make

Why not? Donald J. Trump

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