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NBC News|SurveyMonkey Debate Reaction Poll

Embargoed for release Wednesday, September 28, 2016 at 5:00PM ET


The NBC News|SurveyMonkey Debate Reaction Poll was conducted online from Monday, September 26, 2016 immediately
following the debate through Tuesday, September 27, 2016 among a national sample of 7,541 likely voters (+/- 1.6%), 2,259 likely
Republican voters (+/-3.0%) and 2,557 likely Democratic voters (+/-2.7%). Complete error estimates can be found in the
methodology section below.

TOPLINE RESULTS
Which one of the following issues matters MOST to you right now?

9/26 - 9/27

Foreign
Policy
4

The
environment
8

Terrorism
18

Immigration
7

Health
care
13

Jobs and the


Economy
36

Education
9

Other
5

No
answer
1

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as president?
9/26 - 9/27

Strongly approve
32

Somewhat approve
19

Somewhat disapprove
12

Strongly disapprove
36

No answer
1

In politics today, do you consider yourself a Republican, Democrat, or Independent?


9/26 - 9/27

Republican
31

Democrat
36

Independent
33

No answer
1

As of today, do you lean more to the Republican Party or more to the Democratic Party? [AMONG IND OR DONT KNOW FOR
PARTY]
9/26 - 9/27

Republican
Party
36

Democratic
Party
30

Neither
31

No answer
3

th

Did you happen to watch the debate between the candidates for president that was held on Monday, September 26 or not?

9/26 - 9/27

Yes, I watched the debate

I did not watch the debate but


followed coverage in the news

I did not watch the debate


and havent followed
coverage in the news

74

18

No answer
-

Have you ever watched a presidential debate or was this your first time watching? [AMONG THOSE WHO WATCHED THE DEBATE]

9/26 - 9/27

First time
watching debate
7

Watched debate
before
92

No answer
1

From what you have heard and read, who do you think won or did the best job in the debate? [AMONG THOSE WHO WATCHED
OR FOLLOWED COVERAGE]

9/26 - 9/27

Hillary Clinton

Donald Trump

52

21

Neither of them
26

No answer
1

After Monday nights presidential debate, has your opinion of Hillary Clinton changed for the better, worse, or not changed?
[AMONG THOSE WHO WATCHED OR FOLLOWED COVERAGE]

9/26 - 9/27

Changed for the better


26

Changed for the


worse
17

Not changed
56

No answer
1

After Monday nights presidential debate, has your opinion of Donald Trump changed for the better, worse, or not changed?
[AMONG THOSE WHO WATCHED OR FOLLOWED COVERAGE]

9/26 - 9/27

Changed for the better


13

Changed for the


worse
26

Not changed
60

No answer
1

Do you think Hillary Clinton has the personality and temperament it takes to serve effectively as president?

9/26 - 9/27

Yes
53

No
46

No answer
1

Do you think Donald Trump has the personality and temperament it takes to serve effectively as president?

9/26 - 9/27

Yes
36

No
63

No answer
1

METHODOLOGY
NBC News|SurveyMonkey Debate Reaction Poll was conducted online from Monday, September 26, 2016 immediately following the debate
through Tuesday, September 27, 2016 among a national sample of 7,541 adults aged 18 and over who are likely to vote. Respondents for this
survey were selected from the nearly three million people who take surveys on the SurveyMonkey platform each day. Data for this week has been
weighted for age, race, sex, education, region, and voter registration status using the Census Bureau and Bureau of Labor Statistics Current
Population Survey to reflect the demographic composition of the United States. An additional smoothing parameter for ideology based on previous
Election Tracking interviews is included. The smoothing parameter was derived from aggregated data on ideology by region collected from previous
weeks (May 1-June 26) of the Weekly Election Tracking poll.
Because the sample is based on those who initially self-selected for participation rather than a probability sample, no estimates of sampling error
can be calculated. All surveys may be subject to multiple sources of error, including, but not limited to sampling error, coverage error, and
measurement error.
To assess the variability in the estimates and account for design effects, we create a bootstrap confidence interval to produce an error estimate.
The bootstrap confidence interval for this survey is plus or minus 1.6 percentage point for likely voters.
To calculate the bootstrap confidence interval we use the weighted data to generate 5000 independent samples and calculate the 95% confidence
intervals for the weighted average. When analyzing the survey results and their accuracy, this error estimate should be taken into consideration in
much the same way that analysis of probability polls takes into account the margin of sampling error.
Group
Total LVs

Unweighted N
7,541

Plus or minus
1.6

Republican LVs
Democrat LVs
Independent LVs

2,259
2,557
2,649

3.0
2.7
2.7

Male LVs
Female LVs

3,786
3,755

1.9
2.3

18-29 LVs
30-44 LVs
45-64 LVs
65+ LVs

802
1,513
3,644
1,582

4.6
3.5
2.3
3.4

White LVs
Black LVs
Hispanic LVs
Other LVs

6,009
558
374
600

1.8
5.8
6.9
5.9

Republican women LVs


Democratic women LVs
Independent women LVs

1,926
1,363
431

3.2
3.3
7.0

Women without college degrees LVs


Women with college degrees LVs

2,445
1,310

1.9
3.3

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