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Management of
Transaction Exposure
Chapter Eight
Chapter Objective:
This chapter discusses various methods available
for the management
g
of transaction exposure
p
facingg
multinational firms.
This chapter ties together chapters 5, 6, and 7.
8-0
Chapter Outline
8-1
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8-2
8-3
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11/30/2010
$30m
Long
forward
$0
S1
$1 20/ $1.50/
$1.20/
$1 50/ $1.80/
$1 80/
$30m
8-6
Ga / Losses
Gain
osses relative
e at ve to
Unhedged position
1.20 - $120,000,000
- $150,000,000
- $30,000,000
1.35 - $135,000,000
- $150,000,000
- $15,000,000
1.50 - $150,000,000
- $150,000,000
1 65 - $165,000,000
1.65
$165 000 000
- $150,000,000
$150 000 000
1.80 - $180,000,000
- $150,000,000
$30,000,000
S1
Cas Flow:
Cash
ow:
Unhedged
Position
8-7
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11/30/2010
$0
$1.20 $1.50
$1.80
$22.5m
10
8-10
S1
Cash Flow:
Unhedged
Position
Cash Flow:
Forward Hedge
1.20
+ $ 90,000,000
+ $112,500,000
$22,500,000
1.35
+ $101,250,000
+ $112,500,000
$11,250,000
1 50
1.50
+ $112,500,000
$112 500 000
+ $112,500,000
$112 500 000
1.65
+ $123,750,000
+ $112,500,000
- $11,250,000
1.80
+ $135,000,000
+ $112,500,000
- $22,500,000
8-11
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E(S1) = F
E(S1) < F
E(S1) > F
Management
Risk Preference
Payable Exposure
Receivable Exposure
Cautious
Hedge
Hedge
Neutral
Hedge
Hedge
Aggressive
Cautious
Hedge
Hedge
Neutral
Hedge
Aggressive
Hedge
Cautious
Hedge
Hedge
Neutral
Hedge
Aggressive
Hedge
8-12
8-13
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8-14
8-15
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8-16
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8-18
T hedge
To
h d a foreign
f i currency receivable
i bl buy
b puts on the
h
currency.
8-19
If the currency appreciates, your call option lets you buy the
currency at the exercise price of the call.
If the currency does not appreciate (or depreciates), you can let
the call option expire and buy the FX in the spot market.
If the currency depreciates, your put option lets you sell the
currency for the exercise price.
If the currency does not depreciate (or appreciates), you can let
the put option expire and sell the FX in the spot market
10
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Exercise?
Gross Dollar
Cost
Option Cost
1.20
No
$120,000,000
$2,160,000
$122,160,000
1.35
No
$135,000,000
$2,160,000
$137,160,000
1.50
Neutral
$150,000,000
$2,160,000
$152,160,000
1.65
Yes
$150,000,000
$2,160,000
$152,160,000
1.80
Yes
$150,000,000
$2,160,000
$152,160,000
11
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Options hedge
$152.16 m
$150 m
$1.50= E
Forward Hedge
$1.4784 = S*1
8-22
8-23
12
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Exercise?
Gross Dollar
Proceeds
Option Cost
1.20
Yes
$112,500,000
$1,215,000
$111,285,000
1.35
Yes
$112,500,000
$1,215,000
$111,285,000
1.50
Neutral
$112,500,000
$1,215,000
$111,285,000
1.65
No
$123,750,000
$1,215,000
$122,535,000
1.80
No
$135,000,000
$1,215,000
$133,785,000
Options hedge
$1.50= E
$112.5 m
Forward Hedge
$111.285 m
$1.5162 = S*1
8-25
13
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8-26
Options
27
8-27
14
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Cross-Hedging
Minor Currency Exposure
8-28
Cross-Hedging
Minor Currency Exposure
8-29
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8-30
8-31
16
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Hedging through
Invoice Currency
8-32
8-33
17
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Exposure Netting
8-34
Exposure Netting
8-35
18
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8-36
Information Asymmetry
Default Costs
8-37
19
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8-38
8-39
20