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Introduction
The battle of the banks is taking on new urgency. After spending the past few years fiddling with
their cost structures, leading banking organizations around the world are shifting their efforts toward
growth with an eye toward creating value.
Yet while their growth expectations are high, the markets are not cooperating. Low GDP (gross
domestic product) and inflation rates in almost every market mean tepid-to-moderate growth for
financial institutions. Adding to the challenge, more banks and financial institutions anticipate
internal or organic growth to play a leading role in bolstering their top lines. The latter is among the
key findings in an A.T. Kearney study conducted by Harris Interactive.
The findings reveal that for most financial services firms, a large percentage of growth will ideally
come from organic strategies, ranging from 71 percent in North America and 75 percent in Europe
to 88 percent in Asia (see figure 1 on page 2).1 And while acquisitions will continue to be part of their
growth agendas, most of these transactions will be aimed at filling geographic or capability gaps.
In what is essentially a zero-sum game in a mature industry, organic growth strategies depend on the
ability to develop customer insights and effectively translate those insights into effective operating
models. Nearly two-thirds of survey respondents say that ensuring a good customer experience at
every customer touch point is the most critical component of organic growth.
In this paper we highlight the study findings and discuss reasons why organic growth has become
a strategy of choice among global financial institutions. We explore why organic growth depends on
both acquiring new customers and retaining the loyalty of old customers, and outline how firms plan
to implement their organic growth strategies. Finally, we offer recommendations on specific ways to
link customer loyalty to improve operations and thereby create and deliver a differentiated customer
experience the foundation for organic growth.
Due to the small base size for Asia and Brazil, (12 and 18 executives, respectively) the findings for these regions provide directional insights only.
Banks Shift Gears in Drive for Top-Line Growth
The leaders in global banking have high aspirations when it comes to growth. Over the next
five years, global financial institutions expect
to increase their revenues by an average of 10
percent per year compounded annually, and
boost their profits by 11 percent on a compound basis, according to the survey findings
(see sidebar: Research Methodology). These aggressive projections exclude gains from acquisitions
or mergers.
This view is in sharp contrast to that of the
past five years when the global banking industry
experienced a 10 percent compound annual
growth rate in revenues, which includes the
accretive effects of mergers and acquisitions.
More than 75 percent of respondents expect
to increase value and profitability by growing
Organic growth
Inorganic growth
50%
Dont know or
declined to answer
33%
1%
1%
47%
59%
2%
65%
2%
0%
61%
75%
0%
37%
0%
33%
3%
25%
6%
0%
Inorganic
75%
25%
71%
29%
75%
25%
*Due to the small base size for Asia and Brazil, the findings for these regions provide directional insights only.
Sources: Harris Interactive and A.T. Kearney
..
88%
12%
76%
24%
Banks Shift Gears in Drive for Top-Line Growth
Research Methodology
A.T. Kearney and Harris Interactive
set out to investigate the degree to
which companies in the financial
services industry had a strategy for
achieving top-line growth and what
approach they used or planned to
use to turn that strategy into reality.
We also wanted to explore how their
approach was implemented.
Selecting the participants: Firms
had to meet the following qualifications: In North America, a firm
had to be among the top 125 banks
in terms of assets, and among the
top 75 property and casualty or life
insurance companies in revenues. In
Europe, Asia and Brazil, participat-
*Quotes from CEOs in this paper were taken from various press articles.
..
Banks Shift Gears in Drive for Top-Line Growth
revenues we are already number three in investment banking worldwide, he said. We would
not gain much from a merger and the overlaps
would be too big. We are focusing on organic
growth.
Another reason for focusing on organic
growth is that some institutions are close to
hitting regulatory caps. The Bank of AmericaFleetBoston deal, for example, has pushed the
combined institution to the regulatory limits.
In the United States, the limit is a 10 percent
share of deposits.
Finally, some banks are simply turning their
attention more fully toward their customers and
in so doing are meeting their growth aspirations.
For example, Commerce Bancorp has been
using organic growth to build up its top line
since 1973. In the past three years, Commerce
doubled its deposits and grew its branch network by 49 percent all without acquisitions.
In the next five years, Commerce plans to double
its branch network and increase deposits by 25
percent annually.
Then there is HSBC. The bank is an
entrenched, major competitor in 81 countries
globally, with 30 million retail customers, two
million small-to-medium enterprise customers
and 1,200 corporate multinational customers.
HSBC concentrates mainly on organic growth,
primarily by leveraging its international network
and by adopting a customer-driven marketing
approach organized around customer needs and
business segments. When it does acquire businesses, which is never ruled out, HSBC identifies targets based on their ability to extend the
banks global reach or to contribute revenues to
its existing businesses (see sidebar: Stretching
Your Growth Potential). Currently, HSBC is said
to be eyeing potential targets in China.
To achieve their ambitious organic growth goals,
survey respondents say their firms plan to employ
various customer management strategies (see
figure 2). Nearly two-thirds of respondents say
that ensuring a good customer experience at every
touch point is the most critical component of
organic growth.
Numerous studies prove that a good experience will drive customer acquisition and promote
customer retention, which in turn improves
profits. A 5 percent increase in customer retention can increase profits from 25 to 85 percent.
According to other A.T. Kearney research,
70 to 75 percent of customers who say they are
delighted with their financial institution also
say they definitely wont switch, will recommend the business to someone else, and will
consider buying other products from the financial organization. Meanwhile, almost 60 percent
of dissatisfied bank customers say they plan to
switch banks.
In a recent study performed by Bank
Administration Institute and MarkeTech Systems,
77 percent of a banks most profitable customers have been with the bank longer than five
years, whereas 50 percent of the least profitable
customers last four years or less.
Still, the average company loses one-third
of its customers every year. The top 20 U.S.
banks lose 12 to 15 percent of their customers
every year compared to leading U.S. banks that
lose only 7 percent annually, resulting in a solid
economic advantage.
This customer churn has a significant impact.
The churn-retention ratio has a direct impact on
expense ratios and on relative competitive cost
positions. Replacing customers increases the relative cost per new customer and redirects critical
..
Banks Shift Gears in Drive for Top-Line Growth
Strategies
Customer acquisition
85%
Cross-selling or
up-selling
85%
Customer retention
83%
Understanding
customer value
82%
91%
Understanding
customer differences
73%
79%
Predicting or
preventing churn
66%
Leveraging customer
knowledge
62%
74%
Developing
loyalty programs
58%
74%
Other 2%
82%
75%
82%
76%
59%
67%
77%
54%
79%
2%
82%
70%
88%
79%
88%
84%
98%
76%
76%
97%
Managing customer
profitability
Enablers
51%
65%
53%
41%
3%
1Among
survey respondents who believe customer management is extremely or very important to organic growth strategies.
to the small base size for Asia and Brazil, the findings for these regions provide directional insights only.
Sources: Harris Interactive and A.T. Kearney
2Due
..
65%
67%
67%
83%
92%
83%
67%
75%
75%
67%
Banks Shift Gears in Drive for Top-Line Growth
Industry
concentration
CR31
HHI2
100%
0.7
90%
Defense
Automotive controls
Replacement parts
80%
Maximum
70%
Shipbuilding
Sugar products
Insurance brokers
Soft drinks
60%
Meat packers
Cosmetics and toiletries
45%
40%
30%
20%
0.1
Confectionary goods
Grain, flour and cereal
Canners and processors
Automotive mfrs.
Dairy products
50%
Telecom
Diversified food
Logistics
Global multi-line insurance
Chemicals
Global life and health insurance
Original parts and accessories
Global property and casualty insurance
Electrical equipment
Minimum
10%
0.01
Global banking
0%
0
5
10
15
1CR3
= Market share of the three largest companies of the total market based on Value-Building Growth database (25,000 companies)
= Hirschman-Herfindahl Index corresponds to the sum of the squared market shares of all companies and is greater than 90%;
the axis logarithmically plotted.
Source: Graeme K. Deans, Fritz Kroeger and Stefan Zeisel, Winning the Merger Endgame, (McGraw-Hill, 2003)
2HHI
..
20
Banks Shift Gears in Drive for Top-Line Growth
19992003 *
40%
35%
30%
Focus on maintaining
current competitive
advantages
National Commerce
25%
Commerce Bancorp
Danske Bank
US Bancorp
20%
UBS
15%
10%
5%
0%
5%
10%
SunTrust Banks
Bank of Montreal
15%
30%
20%
10%
0%
10%
20%
*Market capitalization growth adjusted for change in equity. Industry average based on a sample of top global banks.
Source: A.T. Kearney
..
30%
40%
Banks Shift Gears in Drive for Top-Line Growth
Creating and sustaining a good customer experience has proved to be a challenge. With companies reporting an average success rate of 6.6
on a 10-point scale at implementing customer
management strategies, there is still much work
to be done (see figure 3).
Many financial institutions fail to systematically translate customer requirements and
insights into a clear set of operational imperatives. Although executives say they understand
the respective costs and benefits of customer
churn and retention, few develop deep insights
into the reasons for them. Without knowing
why customers stay or go, it is impossible to
develop strategies to maximize customer loyalty
and profitability.
In theory, the answer is easy: Financial institutions need to understand what truly makes
customers happy or unhappy and then focus
their efforts in those areas. However, they face
an array of challenges, including a lack of data
on just what critical aspects of the customer
experience delight or dismay customers and
what thresholds of performance significantly
improve or hurt customer loyalty. Other challenges include performance measures that dont
match customer priorities and an insufficient
link between improvement initiatives and their
impact on the top and bottom lines.
Although we often talk about enhancing
customer satisfaction, much more can be
accomplished by increasing customer loyalty.
Satisfaction, in essence, relates to how customers
Customer
management
77%
6.6
6.7
6.9
Acquisitions
57%
6.1
72%
7.0
83%
6.8
7.0
83%
36%
1Average
..
92%
8.3
22%
5.1
score is based on a 10-point scale in which 10 is extremely successful and 1 is not at all successful.
to the small base size for Asia and Brazil, the findings for these regions provide directional insights only.
Sources: Harris Interactive and A.T. Kearney
2Due
100%
7.3
6.5
5.6
100%
8.0
47%
6.8
47%
89%
69%
6.4
100%
8.3
6.7
61%
58%
89%
64%
6.8
6.3
6.4
77%
70%
6.4
73%
6.5
6.4
Market
approach
74%
75%
Brand
management
6.3
Product
management
25%
5.4
Banks Shift Gears in Drive for Top-Line Growth
perceive performance. Most customer satisfaction programs create and monitor an aggregate
customer satisfaction index. Such indices are
applauded when they go up even though
they only confirm that a company is spending
money effectively, not that it is doing so efficiently. When the satisfaction indices go down,
there are few clues as to why or about what
actions a company should take.
In gauging loyalty, by comparison, bank
managers must look beyond their customers
perceptions to focus on actual behaviors. Does
the customer intend to stay or switch to another
bank (retention)? Does the customer consider
using additional financial products or services
(cross-sell and up-sell)? Is the customer willing
to recommend the bank to family and friends
(advocacy)? By measuring customer intentions
and actual behaviors, managers can quantify
their impact, which in turn can be used to
prioritize resources, investments and improvement initiatives.
Of course, focusing on customers stated
loyalty is not enough. What matters is what
customers actually do, not what they say they
will do. Thus, it is important to quantify the
link back to real revenue and profitability. By
conducting analyses over periods of time, banks
can quantify, validate and calibrate between
changes in the stated loyalty and changes in their
market share (relative to the share of capacity in
that product and region). Further, banks need to
clearly and consistently define the key customer
loyalty-related metrics, such as retention, churn,
cross-selling and diminishment.
Only a few financial institutions have active
loyalty programs. U.S. Bancorp has a rewardsbased strategy that is broader than most. Under
its checking that pays program, the banks
..
Banks Shift Gears in Drive for Top-Line Growth
Brand image
Relationship
Product performance
Service performance
(people, process, policy, channel)
External influences
Market dynamics
Switching costs, barriers
and inducements
Lifestyle changes
Attitude
(intends to be loyal)
Actions
(is loyal)
Customer populations
Non-customers
Lost prospects
Current customers
Defections
Price
..
Enhanced
business performance
and value
Customer loyalty
Customer retention
Share of wallet or
cross-sell
Advocacy
Operational excellence
Cycle time
Quality
Productivity
Cost management
Banks Shift Gears in Drive for Top-Line Growth
..
Banks Shift Gears in Drive for Top-Line Growth
..
Banks Shift Gears in Drive for Top-Line Growth
..
Banks Shift Gears in Drive for Top-Line Growth
bank measured other processes as well, including the number of loans processed per full-time
employee and the amount of time a loan
application spends in the queue waiting to be
handed off to the next process. The bank used
the information to prioritize its spending across
the different aspects of its services.
Bank executives soon discovered that they
had been too focused on organizational functions: The product people understood priorities
in product features and the closing people
understood the priorities in closing processes.
But no one could make objective trade-offs
among these areas to prioritize spending. By
linking critical-to-customer attributes to the
--
Application
and approval
40%
Relationship
manager
30%
Closing
20%
Service
Service
Service
Service
Product
Price
Price
Service
Product
Service
Service
Service
Service
Service
Service
Service
Service
Service
Service
Brand image
10%
..
Banks Shift Gears in Drive for Top-Line Growth
Percent of responses
80
Satisfaction
breakpoint: 5
60
40
20
0
05
510
1015
1530
30+
10
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
Days
Credit needs
analysis
Application
submission
Application
processing
Credit analysis
Adjudication
Preparation of
closing documents
Closing
Funding
Booking
..
Service
(ongoing)
Pricing and
negotiation
Mean rating
Count
100
Banks Shift Gears in Drive for Top-Line Growth
70%
70
40%
50
40
30
26%
46%
44%
26%
20%
75%
56%
54%
60
75%
32%
20
10
Disappointed (15)
Indifferent (67)
Pleased (89)
Delighted (10)
Incremental
improvement
in retention1
Incremental
customers
retained per year2
Incremental balance
retained per year
(in US$ millions)3
1.9%
1900
$95285
3.6%
3600
$180540
2.4%
2400
$120360
1.5%
1500
$75225
2.3%
2300
$115345
Critical-to-customer attribute
Notes: 1 Represents incremental stated loyalty when operational performance is improved to consistently meet breakpoint
2
Based on estimate of 100,000 loan originations per year and an average loan balance of US$50,000 to 150,000 for loans funded
3
Potential customers are not added for all attributes to avoid double counting.
..
Banks Shift Gears in Drive for Top-Line Growth
..
Conclusion
The global banking landscape will remain extremely competitive and fast-paced in the coming years,
in large part due to the structural realities of low growth and inflation. Given these realities, of all
the issues banks are addressing, organic growth through improved customer management tops most
CEO agendas.
Can a financial institution use organic growth to outgrow its peers? Of course. But it requires
methodically cultivating loyalty in customers. Customer loyalty is about a dialogue; about listening
attentively and then responding with insights, products and services that are both personally and
financially appropriate. Success in customer loyalty rests not on piecemeal tactics, but rather on the
quality of interaction over the life of the relationship.
Copyright 2004, A.T. Kearney, Inc. All rights reserved. No part of this work may be reproduced in any form without written permission from
the copyright holder. A.T. Kearney is a registered mark of A.T. Kearney, Inc. A.T. Kearney, Inc., an EDS company, is an equal opportunity employer.
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