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The European Union (EU) is a culmination of a long process of economic and political integration among European
states. The EU started as a free trade area and a customs
union. Over time, it has become a supranational entity that
resembles a federal state and is governed by a byzantine
bureaucracy in Brussels. The EU claims to have brought
about prosperity and stability in Europe, but those claims
are increasingly at odds with reality. Europe is becoming
worryingly unstable and is falling behind other regions in
terms of economic growth. The EU model, which is marked
by overregulation and centralization, seems increasingly out
of place in todays world. What European countries need in
the coming decades is openness, rather than regional protectionism, and flexibility, rather than overregulation from
Brussels. Above all, what European governments need to do
is to reconnect with their increasingly restless electorates,
rather than ignore the latter for the sake of the unwanted
goal of a European superstate.
Introduction
What is the European Union, and what has it accomplished? This is how the EU answers those questions: The
EU is unlike anything elseit isnt a government, an association of states, or an international organization. Rather,
the 28 Member States have relinquished part of their sovereignty to EU institutions, with many decisions made at the
European level. The European Union has delivered more
than 60 years of peace, stability, and prosperity in Europe,
helped raise our citizens living standards, launched a
Marian L. Tupy is a senior policy analyst at the Cato Institutes
Center for Liberty and Prosperity.
Cato Institute 1000 Massachusetts Ave., N.W., Washington, D.C., 20001 (202) 842-0200
fax: (202) 842-3490 www.cato.org
Source: Angus Maddison, Statistics on World Population, GDP and Per Capita GDP, 12008 AD, http://www.ggdc.net/maddison/Historical_
Statistics/horizontal-file_02-2010.xls.
Note: *The EU15 figures do not contain data for Luxembourg.
Mounting Failures
There is an overwhelming consensus among economists
that free trade stimulates economic growth.12 In fact, no
3
President of the EU Commission, summed up the decisionmaking process in Brussels thusly: We decide on something, leave it lying around and wait and see what happens. If no one kicks up a fuss, because most people dont
understand what has been decided, we continue step by
step until there is no turning back.27 When the French and
the Dutch rebelled and voted against the EU Constitution
in their 2005 referenda, they were ignoredand the EU
Constitution, relabeled as the Lisbon Treaty, was adopted
nevertheless.
Is it any surprise, therefore, that while the EU
Commission and the EU Parliament grew in power and
importance, the European peoples interest and participation in EU institutions have steadily declined? When the
first election for the European Parliament was held in 1979,
for example, 62 percent of eligible voters cast their vote.
In every subsequent election, voter turnout has declined. It
reached a nadir, 42.61 percent, in 2014.28
card process is immensely difficult to implement and, probably, legally unenforceable.38 Considering that the EU has
refused to reform with the British referendum on EU membership hanging, so to speak, over its head, whats the likelihood
that the EU will reform once the danger of Brexit has passed?
The real problem for those who wish to see EU reforms
is that the EU establishment has a strong incentive to centralize decisionmaking in Brussels rather than decentralize.
Quite aside from the ideological commitment of the EU
bureaucrats to the creation of a United States of Europe,
which they may or may not believe in, centralization of
power is in their interest. It increases their power and
resources.
Yet, a blueprint for reform is available, for there is a
European country that has not experienced international
conflict since 1815 or civil strife since 1848; a country
that trades freely with the EU, but also with the rest of the
world; a country that is richer than all EU countries, except
for Luxemburg; and a country that maintains a world-beating
degree of domestic harmony and democratic accountability;
a country that is not a part of the EUs political or economic
integration process, but which deals with the EU at an intergovernmental level via a series of bilateral treaties. That
country is Switzerland.
GDP per capita in North Dakota, which is Americas richest state, is only slightly more than 2.1 times higher than
that in Mississippi, Americas poorest state.45
By definition, regulations emanating from Brussels must
be applied equally throughout the EU. Unavoidably, regulations that add to the cost of production have a more deleterious effect on less productive ex-communist countries than on
more productive Western European nations. Eastern countries
are growing increasingly resentful of regulations, which are
often made to enhance the already high standards that exist in
the West and which are often meant to protect the interests of
Western producers.
Conclusion
I started my career as a believer in the European integration process. Central Europe, where I was born, was impoverished by communism, and membership of the EU seemed
like a solution to many economic and political problems
in ex-communist countries. Over time, I started to see the
costs as well as the benefits of the EU. It was only much
later that I came to believe that the costs of EU membership
far outweigh its benefits. While this was a gradual process,
one event greatly helped to convince me that the EU has
become pernicious and must be stopped. That event was the
EUs handling of the French and Dutch referenda on the EU
Constitution in 2005.
After the people of France and Holland rejected the EU
Constitution in their respective referenda, the EU establishment relabeled it as the Lisbon Treaty and adopted it
nonetheless. This act of supreme arrogance convinced me
that the EU establishment held the people of Europe in
utter contempt and that it would stop at nothing in order
to pursue its agenda of an ever closer union. It showed
me that the EU bureaucrats see themselves as a class of
wise experts who know how society ought to be organized.
The memories of my childhood behind the Iron Curtain
flooded back. And that brings me to my final point: does
an enlightened class of technocrats have a right to make
people free or happy or, simply, better off?
As I have explained, the EU is not only failing to
address Europes problems, it exacerbates them. Moreover,
it seems to be unable and unwilling to reform. With every
electoral cycle, establishment parties committed to further European integration are growing weaker and anti-EU
parties are getting closer to power. The EU has been very
successful in plodding along, but its rearguard action cannot succeed indefinitely. At some point, one of the EUs 28
member states will elect an anti-EU government. I fear that
the longer the EU establishment ignores its opponents, the
more belligerent the latter will become.
As such, a negotiated parting of ways between the EU
and countries that feel they can do better on their own
makes more sense. Of course, there is no guarantee that all
of the former EU members will make the right choices. I
can imagine Prime Minister Boris Johnsons Great Britain
becoming a global free-trade superpower. But, I can also
imagine President Marine Le Pens France hunkering down
behind a wall of protective tariffs. That said, I would rather
see individual nation states make wrong choices than to