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QATAR UNIVERSITY / COLLEGE OF ARTS AND SCIENCE

DEPARTMENT OF MATHEMATICS, STATISTICS & PHYSICS


Feb. 10, 2013

Course Syllabus

By
Dr. Mohanad Al-Khasawneh

Applied Regression Analysis

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QATAR UNIVERSITY / COLLEGE OF ARTS AND SCIENCE


DEPARTMENT OF MATHEMATICS, STATISTICS & PHYSICS
Feb. 10, 2013

COURSE INFORMATION:
Course Title: Applied Regression Analysis
Course Code and Number: STAT 231_24887_L51
Credit Hours: 3 hours
Semester: Spring 2013
Prerequisite: STAT 102 and STAT 211 or STAT 251
Contact Hours: Class meetings: 4 hrs per week
Lecture Days, Times and Class Room:
Sunday:
9:00 am - 9:50 am WCS A212 (Class)
Tuesday: 9:00 am - 9:50 am WCS A212 (Class)
Thursday: 9:00 am - 9:50 am WCS A212 (Class)
Lab Days, Times and Class Room:
Tuesday: 8:00 am - 8:50 am WCS A211 (Lab)
First day of classes: Sunday Feb. 10, 2013.
Last day of classes: Thursday May 23, 2013.
Last day to withdraw from a course: Thursday April 11, 2013.
Final Exam: Monday 3/06/2013 (8:00-10:00 am ).
Number of weeks: 16

FACULTY INFORMATION:
Instructor

Faculty Information

Dr. Mohanad AlKhasawneh

Department

Mathematics, Statistics and Physics

E-Mail

alkhasawneh@qu.edu.qa

Website:

http://faculty.qu.edu.qa/alkhasawneh/index.aspx

Office Location

Corridor 4, Male Section (Room D204)

Office Tel

4403-4631

Mobile

30250302

Sunday 8:00-9:00 am

WCS -Math Staff Room (SA 210)

Wednesday 9:30-10:30 am

WCS -Math Staff Room (SA 210)

Office
Hours Thursday: 10-11 am

WCS -Math Staff Room (SA 210)


or by appointment

Applied Regression Analysis

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QATAR UNIVERSITY / COLLEGE OF ARTS AND SCIENCE


DEPARTMENT OF MATHEMATICS, STATISTICS & PHYSICS
Feb. 10, 2013

TEXT BOOK & REFERENCES:


Required Textbook: Michael Kutner, Christopher J. Nachtshem, and John Neter,
Applied Linear Regression Models, fourth edition (McGraw-Hill:
2004) ISBN: 978-0-07-301344-2.
References:
1. Classical and Modern Regression with Applications, Myers, second
edition, Duxbury Press, 1990.
2. Introduction to Linear Regression Analysis, D. Montgomery and E.
Peck, Wiley, 2001.
3. Linear Statistical Models, John Neter, Kutner ,Nachtshemand
WassemanApplied, McGrraw-Hill, 1996.
4. R: A Language and Environment for Statistical Computing Reference
Index The R Development Core Team Version 2.9.2 (2009).

COURSE DESCRIPTION:
This course covers the basic ideas of Applied Regression Analysis including: Simple
Linear Regression; Residual Analysis; Autocorrelation; Multiple Regression;
Parameter Estimation and Testing; Model Selection Procedures; Polynomial
Regression; Indicator Variables; Multicollinearity; Outliers and Influential
Observations.

COURSE OBJECTIVES:
1. To acquaint students with Least Square methods and concept of linear
regression, correlation, and its applications.
2.

To approach the material with matrices algebra

3.

To develop the ability to build regression models

4. To acquaint students with transformations, qualitative variable in the model


which broaden the use of linear regression theory.
5. Gain familiarity with use of modern statistical software packages for building
a statistical model.

STUDENT LEARNING OUTCOMES:


Upon completing the course, the students will be able to:
1. understand method and concept of simple and multiple regression and
correlation
2. Develop an understanding of the theoretical basis for regression analysis
3. write simple and multiple linear regression models in matrix format.
4. build regression models.
Applied Regression Analysis

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QATAR UNIVERSITY / COLLEGE OF ARTS AND SCIENCE


DEPARTMENT OF MATHEMATICS, STATISTICS & PHYSICS
Feb. 10, 2013

5. present the results using available statistical software


6. make an oral presentation by PowerPoint on interdisciplinary issues
relating to regression analyses

LEARNING RESOURCES & MEDIA:


The course will be taught through a combination of active learning strategies. These
will include:

Class meetings with expected participation and discussion.


Course documents, lectures and active classroom based discussion.
Interactive teaching methods, brain-storming.
Lab practical work using Minitab.

Web-based learning (Class notes, assignments, syllabus, exams solutions, etc.)


through Blackboard and the course website.

Take-home assignments and exams.


Office hours, three hours in the math staff room female campus or by
appointment.
Calculator and Computer: Each student will need a scientific calculator and
access to the internet to complete homework assignments and print off
notes and readings.
Project preparation and Presentations.
Additional online resources.

ACADEMIC RESOURCES:
Students will be provided with a range of academic materials. These will
mainly be made available through Blackboard and will include: E-Books;
articles for further reading; copies of historical documents; sample exams;
assignments with their solutions.

STUDENT COMPLAINTS POLICY:


Students at Qatar University have the right to pursue complaints related to
faculty, staff, and other students. The nature of the complaints may be either
academic or non-academic. For more information about the policy and
processes related to this policy, you may refer to the students handbook.

SOFTWARE:
No particular software system will be required, but examples will be given in
Excel, R or SPSS.
Applied Regression Analysis

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QATAR UNIVERSITY / COLLEGE OF ARTS AND SCIENCE


DEPARTMENT OF MATHEMATICS, STATISTICS & PHYSICS
Feb. 10, 2013

RULES AND REGULATIONS:


Participation
Class participation and attendance are important elements of every students
learning experience at QU, and the student is expected to attend all classes. A
student should not miss more than 25% of the classes during a semester. Those
exceeding this limit will receive a failing grade regardless of their performance.
In exceptional cases, the student, with the instructors prior permission, could be
exempted from attending a class provided that the number of such occasions does
not exceed the limit allowed by the University. The instructor will determine the
acceptability of an absence. A student who misses more than 25% of classes and has
a valid excuse for being absent will be allowed to withdraw from the course.
Plagiarism
Plagiarism is considered a serious academic offence and can result in your work
losing marks or being failed. QU expects its students to adopt and abide by the
highest standards of conduct in their interaction with their professors, peers, and
the wider University community. As such, a student is expected not to engage in
behaviours that compromise his/her own integrity as well as that of QU.
Plagiarism includes the following examples and it applies to all student assignments
or submitted work:
Use of the work, ideas, images or words of someone else without his/her
permission.
Use of someone else's wording, name, phrase, sentence, paragraph or essay
without using quotation marks.
Misrepresentation of the sources that were used.
For further information see: http://www.plagiarism.org/
The instructor has the right to fail the coursework or deduct marks where
plagiarism is detected.
Classroom Discipline
The use of mobile telephones inside the classroom is NOT allowed.
Any student disciplinary issues, which may arise, will be referred to the head
of the Department.

Applied Regression Analysis

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QATAR UNIVERSITY / COLLEGE OF ARTS AND SCIENCE


DEPARTMENT OF MATHEMATICS, STATISTICS & PHYSICS
Feb. 10, 2013

Special Needs
If you need course adaptations or accommodations because of a disability, or if you
need to make special arrangements in case the building must be evacuated, please
make an appointment with me as soon as possible, or see me during office hours.
Kindly be noted of QU Services for Special Needs at:
http://www.qu.edu.qa/students/services/special_needs/index.php

Students Learning Support Center (SLSC)


The Student Learning Support Center (SLSC) provides academic support services to
male and female students at QU. The SLSC is a supportive environment where
students can seek assistance with academic coursework, writing assignments,
transitioning to college academic life, and other academic issues. SLSC programs
include: Peer Tutoring, the Writing Lab, writing workshops, and Academic Success
Workshops. Students may also seek confidential academic counseling from the
professional staff at the Center.
All SLSC programs are designed to help students become independent and
successful learners by improving their study skills and self-confidence, increasing
their knowledge of course material, encouraging a positive attitude toward
education, and preparing them for lifelong learning. The SLSC is located in the Male
and Female Activities Buildings, and services are free of charge to QU students.
Please visit SLSC for more information at:
http://www.qu.edu.qa/students/services/slsc/index.php

Late or Missed Assignments


In all cases of assessment, students who fail to attend an exam, and are unable to
provide a medical note, will automatically receive a fail grade for this part of the
assessment.
Assignments handed in more than 24 hours late will receive a further 10%
penalty. Each subsequent 24 hours will result in a further 10% penalty.
In cases where a student misses an assessment on account of a medical
reason or with prior permission; in line with University regulations an
incomplete grade for the specific assessment will be awarded and a make-up
exam will be arranged.
Applied Regression Analysis

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QATAR UNIVERSITY / COLLEGE OF ARTS AND SCIENCE


DEPARTMENT OF MATHEMATICS, STATISTICS & PHYSICS
Feb. 10, 2013

CONTENT DISTRIBUTION AND LECTURE NOTES :( The notes will be posted on BB later)
Week

th

10 of Feb.
17th of

February
24th of

Details

Starting Date

February

3rd of March

10th of March

17th of March

24th of March

31st of March
th

of April

10

14th of April

11

21st of April

12

28th of April

13

5th of May

14

12th of May

15

19th of May

16

26th of May

Subject: Introduction to this course & Motivation.


Required Reading: NA
Subject: Introduction, Statistical Model and their application, Lest Square Method for
simple linear regression and their properties. Estimation of models parameter
Required Reading: Michael Kutner, Christopher J. Nachtshem, and John Neter, Applied
Linear Regression Models, pages 1-39.
Subject: Inference concerning parameters. Testing Hypothesis and Confidence Intervals.
Concept of Prediction Interval.
Required Reading: Michael Kutner, Christopher J. Nachtshem, and John Neter, Applied
Linear Regression Models, pages 40-63.
Subject: Analysis of Variance and Coefficient of Determination R2 , Covariance and
correlation concept
Required Reading: Michael Kutner, Christopher J. Nachtshem, and John Neter, Applied
Linear Regression Models, pages 63-99.
Subject: Diagnostics and Remedial, Non-linearity, Non-constancy of Error variance, Nonindepenendency, Transformations. Box-Cox method.
Required Reading: Michael Kutner, Christopher J. Nachtshem, and John Neter, Applied
Linear Regression Models, pages 100-153.
Subject: Review of matrix algebra.
Required Reading: Michael Kutner, Christopher J. Nachtshem, and John Neter, Applied
Linear Regression Models, pages 176-197.
Subject: Simple Linear Regression Model in Matrix Terms.
Required Reading: Michael Kutner, Christopher J. Nachtshem, and John Neter, Applied
Linear Regression Models, pages 197-212.
MID-TERM EXAM 26-3-2013 8-10 AM
MID SPRING VACATION
Subject: Multiple Linear Regression, General linear Regression Model in matrix terms,
qualitative predictor variables, ANOVA Table
Required Reading: Michael Kutner, Christopher J. Nachtshem, and John Neter, Applied
Linear Regression Models, pages 213-228.
Subject: ,Inference, Prediction of new observation.. Diagnostics and Remedial measures,
Required Reading: Michael Kutner, Christopher J. Nachtshem, and John Neter, Applied
Linear Regression Models, pages 228-255.
Subject: Multicollinearity
Required Reading: Michael Kutner, Christopher J. Nachtshem, and John Neter, Applied
Linear Regression Models, pages 256-293.
Subject: Polynomial Regression Model. Qualitiative Predictors.
Required Reading: Michael Kutner, Christopher J. Nachtshem, and John Neter, Applied
Linear Regression Models, pages 294326, 335-342.
Subject: Model selection, Criteria for Model selection, Search Procedure, Model
adequacy,
Required Reading: Michael Kutner, Christopher J. Nachtshem, and John Neter, Applied
Linear Regression Models, pages 343-383.
Subject: Identifying Outlying response, Identifying Outlying Predictors and leverage.
Identifying Influential cases, DEFITS, cook distance and DFFITS, and working on some
practical example.
Required Reading: Michael Kutner, Christopher J. Nachtshem, and John Neter, Applied Linear
Regression Models, pages 384-420.
PROJECT POWERPOINT PRESENTATION & REVISION FOR THE FINAL EXAM
FINAL EXAMS (OUR FINAL WILL BE ON MONDAY 3-6-2013 8-10 AM AND IT WIL BBE
COMPREHENSIVE & OPEN BOOK EXAM)

Applied Regression Analysis

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QATAR UNIVERSITY / COLLEGE OF ARTS AND SCIENCE


DEPARTMENT OF MATHEMATICS, STATISTICS & PHYSICS
Feb. 10, 2013

EVALUATION CRITERIA:
Students will be assessed the course according to the following criteria:
Letter Grade

Description

Percentage

Grade
Points

Excellent

90-100

4.00

B+

Very Good

85-89.9

3.50

Very Good

80-84.9

3.00

C+

Good

75-79.9

2.50

Good

70-74.9

2.00

D+

Pass

65-69.9

1.50

Pass

60-64.9

1.00

Fail

Less than 60

0.00

Incomplete

COURSE ASSESSMENT:
Students will be graded through the following means of assessment and their final
grade will be calculated from the forms of assessment as listed below with their
grade weighting taken into account.
Assessment Type

Grade
Weight

Day, Date and Time

Mid-Term

20%

Tuesday , March 26, 2013 (Class time)

Quizzes

10%

Will be posted later on Blackboard.

Assignments:

15%

Assignments Will be posted on Blackboard.

Project:

15%

- Deadline to submit proposal: March 28, 2013.


- Deadline to submit the Project: 12 May 2013.
- Presentations: During the last week of classes.

Participation:

5%

Final Exam:

35%

Applied Regression Analysis

MONDAY 3-6-2013 8-10 AM

( COMPREHENSIVE EXAM & OPEN BOOK)

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QATAR UNIVERSITY / COLLEGE OF ARTS AND SCIENCE


DEPARTMENT OF MATHEMATICS, STATISTICS & PHYSICS
Feb. 10, 2013

COURSE MATRIX (MATRIX OF OBJECTIVES AND OUTCOMES):


Course Objectives

Course Learning Outcomes

Assessment
tools

1. To familiarize students with


the concepts of a finite
population, sample,
sampling design, estimator
and advantages of a sample
survey over complete
enumeration.

1.Students will be able to define a finite


population, sample, target population,
sampling frame, sampling design, and
estimator.
2.Students will be able to recognize the
advantages of a sample survey over
complete enumeration.

exams
Assignments
Lab work

2. To acquaint students with


the concepts of simple
random sampling, with and
without replacement for
estimation of population
mean, total and proportion.

3.Students will be able to identify and use


principles of simple random sampling, with
and without replacement for estimation of
population mean, total and proportion.
4.Students will be able to write and run a variety
of computer programs using the free R-project
packages.
5.Students will be able to identify and use
principles of stratified random sampling for
estimation of population total, proportion and
mean.
6.Students will be able to plan and conduct
different types of surveys.
7.Students will be able to differentiate between
ratio estimation and regression estimation for
estimation of a population total and
population mean.
8.Students will be able to plan and conduct
different types of surveys.

exams
Assignments
Lab work
Project writing

3. To introduce students to the


concepts of stratified
random sampling for
estimation of population
total, proportion and mean.
4. To introduce the concept of
ratio estimation and
regression estimation for
estimation of a population
total and population mean.
5. To present the concept of
systematic sampling and
method of estimation of
population mean and total
under this method of
sampling.
6. To familiarize students with
cluster sampling.

7. To introduce the concept of


probability proportional to
size with replacement
(ppswr) sampling.
8. To introduce the concept of
multistage sampling.
9. To present the concept of
non-sampling error and
methods for non-response.

Applied Regression Analysis

9.Students will be able to plan and


conduct different types of surveys.
10. To present the concept of
systematic sampling and method of
estimation of population mean and
total under this method of sampling.
11. Students will be able to recognize
and plan cluster sampling.
12. Students will be able to plan and
conduct different types of surveys.
13. Students will be able to define probability
proportional to size with replacement (ppswr)
sampling.
14. Students will be able to recognize and plan
a multistage sampling.
15. Students will be able to deal with nonsampling error and will be able to reduce the
non-response.

exams
Assignments
Lab work
Project writing
presentation
exams
Assignments
Lab work
Project writing
presentation
exams
Assignments
Lab work
Project writing
presentation

exams
Assignments
Lab work
Project &
presentation
exams
Assignments
Lab work
exams
Assignments
Lab work
exams
Lab work

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QATAR UNIVERSITY / COLLEGE OF ARTS AND SCIENCE


DEPARTMENT OF MATHEMATICS, STATISTICS & PHYSICS
Feb. 10, 2013

ASSIGNMENT RUBRICS:
ASSIGNMENT RUBRICS
Total Score (15)
Student Name:____________________ Instructor Name: Dr Mohanad Alkhasawneh

CATEGORY
Organization

Amount of
Information

Quality of
Information

Sources

Mechanics

Diagrams &
Illustrations

Paragraph
Construction

4
Information is very
organized with
well-constructed
paragraphs and
subheadings.
All topics are
addressed and all
questions
answered with at
least 2 sentences
about each.
Information clearly
relates to the main
topic. It includes
several supporting
details and/or
examples.
All sources
(information and
graphics) are
accurately
documented in the
desired format.
References clearly
stated.

Information is
organized with
well-constructed
paragraphs.

Information is
organized, but
paragraphs are not
well-constructed.

The information
appears to be
disorganized. 8)

All topics are


addressed and
most questions
answered with at
least 2 sentences
about each.
Information clearly
relates to the main
topic. It provides 12 supporting details
and/or examples.

All topics are


addressed, and
most questions
answered with 1
sentence about
each.
Information clearly
relates to the main
topic. No details
and/or examples
are given.

One or more topics


were not
addressed.

All sources
(information and
graphics) are
accurately
documented, but
many are not in the
desired format. Not
all references are
included
A few grammatical
spelling or
punctuation errors.

Some sources are


not accurately
documented or
there are no
references
included.

Diagrams and
illustrations are
neat, accurate and
add to the reader's
understanding of
the topic.

All sources
(information and
graphics) are
accurately
documented, but a
few are not in the
desired format.
References clearly
stated
Almost no
grammatical,
spelling or
punctuation errors
Diagrams and
illustrations are
accurate and add to
the reader's
understanding of
the topic.

Diagrams and
illustrations are not
accurate OR do not
add to the reader's
understanding of
the topic.

All paragraphs
include
introductory
sentence,
explanations or
details, and
concluding
sentence.

Most paragraphs
include
introductory
sentence,
explanations or
details, and
concluding
sentence.

Diagrams and
illustrations are
neat and accurate
and sometimes add
to the reader's
understanding of
the topic.
Some paragraphs
include
introductory
sentence,
explanations or
details, and
concluding
sentence.

No grammatical,
spelling or
punctuation errors.

Score

Information has
little or nothing to
do with the main
topic.

Many grammatical,
spelling, or
punctuation errors.

Paragraphing
structure was not
clear and sentences
were not typically
related within the
paragraphs.

Total Score(Y): Y x 15/28


Applied Regression Analysis

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QATAR UNIVERSITY / COLLEGE OF ARTS AND SCIENCE


DEPARTMENT OF MATHEMATICS, STATISTICS & PHYSICS
Feb. 10, 2013

CLASSROOM PARTICIPATION EVALUATION CRITERIA:

Classroom Participation
Total Score (5)
Student Name:_____________________ Instructor Name: Dr Mohanad Alkhasawneh

Quality
Criteria

Degree to which student


integrates course
readings into classroom
participation

Interaction/participation
in classroom discussions/
/participation in
classroom learning
activities

Demonstration of
professional attitude and
demeanor

Needs
Score
Excellent
Good
Satisfactory
Improvement
(4 points) (3 points) (2 points)
(1 points)
- often cites
from
readings;
- uses
readings to
support
points;
- Often
articulates
"fit" of
readings with
topic at hand.
- always a
willing
participant;
- acts
appropriately
during all
role plays;
- responds
frequently to
questions;
- Routinely
volunteers
point of
view.
- always
demonstrates
commitment
through
preparation;
- always
arrives on
time;
- Often
solicits
instructors'
perspective
outside class.

- occasionally
cites from
readings;
- sometimes
uses readings
to support
points;
- Occasionally
articulates
"fit" of
readings with
topic at hand.

- rarely able to
cite from
readings;
- rarely uses
readings to
support points;
- rarely
articulates "fit"
of readings with
topic at hand

- unable to cite from


readings;
- Cannot use
readings to support
points; cannot
articulates "fit" of
readings with topic
at hand.

- often a
willing
participant;
- acts
appropriately
during role
plays;
- responds
occasionally
to questions;
- Occasionally
volunteers
point of view.

- Rarely a willing
participant.
- occasionally
acts
inappropriately
during role
plays;
- rarely able to
respond to direct
questions;
- rarely
volunteers point
of view

- never a willing
participant
- often acts
inappropriately
during role plays;,
- never able to
respond to direct
questions;
- Never volunteers
point of view.

- rarely
unprepared;
rarely
arrives late;
occasionally
solicits
instructors'
perspective
outside class

- often
unprepared;
occasionally
arrives late;
- Rarely solicits
instructors'
perspective
outside class.

- rarely prepared;
- often arrives late;
- never solicits
instructors'
perspective outside
class

Total Score(Y):

Applied Regression Analysis

Y x 5/12

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QATAR UNIVERSITY / COLLEGE OF ARTS AND SCIENCE


DEPARTMENT OF MATHEMATICS, STATISTICS & PHYSICS
Feb. 10, 2013

LEARNING ACTIVITIES AND TASKS:


The aim of Education is to develop cooperation among students
Good learning is collaborative and social not competitive and isolated
Try to talk and write about what you learn and relate it to past
experience and apply it in your daily life.

ADDITIONAL SOURCES:
1. Introduction to Statistical Thought. By Michael Lavine. A free web download is
http://www.math.umass.edu/~lavine/Book/book.pdf
2. More and more authors are making their books available for free, on the web.
Here is a website where you can find some of them.
http://textbookrevolution.org/index.php/Book:Lists/Subjects
3. Online statistics textbooks and reference manuals. This is a very
comprehensive list compiled by John C. Pezzulo, Associate Professor in the
Departments of Pharmacology and Biostatistics, Georgetown University,
Washington, DC. Includes links to:
a. HyperStat, a very good online textbook by David Lane.
b. Introductory Statistics: Concepts, models, and applications, another
good online texbook by David W. Stockburger, Emeritus Professor of
Psychology, Missouri State University.
c. StatPrimer: An online, public-domain biostatistics instructional manual
by B. Gerstman.
4. Statistical Methods for Research Workers, by Sir Ronald A Fisher. Part of the
Classics in the History of Psychology page. Click here for the complete list of
statistical & methodological books or articles.
5. Statistics Lectures & Quizzes from Dr. M.G. Settle's classes at Pensacola Junior
College, Milton Campus.
6. Online stats calculators, and links to some online textbooks. This is a very
comprehensive list.
7. An introductory tutorial for R can be found here
project.org/doc/manuals/R-intro.pdf

http://cran.r-

8. Although CMU archives the R package, it's best to go to the R Project (CRAN)
homepage, since you'll probably get the most recent version of it.
http://www.r-project.org/
9.

R manuals can be found here http://cran.r-project.org/manuals.html

10.For more resources please visit my website at


http://faculty.qu.edu.qa/alkhasawneh/cv.aspx
Applied Regression Analysis

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QATAR UNIVERSITY / COLLEGE OF ARTS AND SCIENCE


DEPARTMENT OF MATHEMATICS, STATISTICS & PHYSICS
Feb. 10, 2013

REMARKS:
1) It is the students responsibility to find out through the instructor or his/her
classmates about the assignments and covered topics during his/her time of
absence.
2) No Makeup Test will be given. If a test is missed for legitimate reason, the
value will be added to the value of the final examination. Whether such
reasons are legitimate will be determined by the professor. If the final exam is
missed for a legitimate reason, the student will be assigned an incomplete
grade.
3) If you are a student with special need, please inform the Professor. Then,
arrangements can be done with the Special Needs Section at the university.
4) Students should visit the Blackboard (BB) on regular bases for more
instructions and materials.
5) Bring your scientific calculator on the exams (the use of the cell phone
calculator will not be allowed).
6) Assignments should be worked independently. Exchanging ideas are
permitted orally but don't require any kind of copying.
7) Please refer to Qatar University Academic Calendar for 2012/2013 for
important dates.
http://www.qu.edu.qa/students/documents/calendar/EN_Calendar_12-13.pdf

Any questions/comments/suggestions? Please write to alkhasawneh@qu.edu.qa

Applied Regression Analysis

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