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Issue 5
PANORAMA
Indian Hotels
Sector
December 2012
PANORAMA
| Issue5
GROWTH DRIVERS
The improving demographics
Indias growing middle class, working
population and relatively young population
are generating huge domestic demand for
leisure and entertainment.
Rising affluence
The hotel industry has been the major
beneficiary of the rapid increase in disposable
incomes over the last decade. People moving
up the economic ladder have resulted into
higher demands and better occupancy factors
in the premium hotels of the country.
Current under penetration
The cropping up of new businesses in tier 2
and tier 3 cities will present a significant
opportunity to major global brands
India centric growth strategy
With 740 million domestic travellers (in 2011)
and over 6.3 million FTAs, India, after China, is
considered one of the most lucrative hotel
markets in the world and has the second
largest construction pipeline in Asia. Growing
affluence and the increasing role India is
expected to play in the global economy are
likely to drive both leisure and business travel
in the coming years.
Medical Tourism
India to become a major hub for medical
tourism, with revenues from the industry
estimated to grow significantly in coming
years.
MAJOR CHALLENGES
One of the key challenges faced by the
industry is the cyclical nature of demand,
caused due to seasonal factors, leading to
alternating high and low capacity utilization
periods, hurting profitability.
With uncertainty continuing to cloud the near
term, wavering business/consumer
confidence and a sluggish economy, there is
no significant trigger for the industry during
the next two-three quarters.
However, we have in the past witnessed
periods of decoupling between the hotels
industry and GDP growth; particularly during
periods of recession and the early phases of
recovery. During the economic down cycle,
the faster pace of deceleration in the hotels
industry, as witnessed during 2009, can take
the industry to deep troughs. While the climb
during the initial phases of recovery is faster
than the economic revival, a strong
underlying economy is a pre-requisite for a
sustained recovery.
Tier I cities, primarily Mumbai and Delhi,
continue to be the most preferred locations
for expansion. However, more than one-third
of the respondents did indicate a willingness
to invest in Tier II towns to capitalize on the
growth of domestic travel.
Although most players are not looking for
international locations actively, some
(especially the larger Indian chains) are open
to expanding internationally, provided there
is opportunity available.
4.
EMERGING TRENDS
PANORAMA
| Issue5
Advantage India
The WTO (World Travel Organization) predicts
that India will receive 25 million tourists by year
2015.
Stable and consistent growth projected
India currently has over 200,000 hotel rooms
spread across hotel categories and guesthouses and is still facing a shortfall of over
100,000 rooms (Source: FHRAI)
India will add almost 114,000 hotel guest
rooms to its inventory over the next five years.
(Source: HVS)
Number of
Hotels
Segments
90
Premium
Premium and
Upscale
Vivanta, Gateway,
Ginger
Oberoi, Trident,
Maidens
Fortune, Welcom,
Maurya, Sheraton
Premium
The Leela
12
24
Across all
segments
Major Brands
PANORAMA
| Issue5
References:
1.
2.
Hotels in India: Trends and Opportunities, HVS global hospitality services, 2011
3.
PANORAMA
CONSULT CLUB, IIM, Ahmedabad
consultclub@iimahd.ernet.in