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PREPAREDNESS
If he (the enemy) is superior in strength, evade him. If his forces are united, separate
them. Attack him where he is unprepared; appear where you are not expected. i
Sun Tzu
Introduction
1.
stronger opponent. There is need for flexibility to deal with such kind of threats, which
does not have symmetry and also use unconventional techniques. Tactics are employed
against an asymmetric opponent but there can be no set of checklists of tactics to fight
the asymmetric warfare, since each application is unique. Tactics are whatever we do
against an asymmetric opponent when we arrange forces to counter that opponent .
1
3.
force to counter-balance its deficiencies to achieve a level playing field. For a nation like
Bangladesh, facing a superior adversary, asymmetric warfare could turn out to be
strength rather than threat. But the flavor of unfairness associated with it forbids us to
adopt asymmetric tactics in its entirety as war-fighting methods. Unconventional
Warfare is one of the tools of asymmetric warfare and Bangladesh Army has already
adopted it as war fighting doctrine. On the other hand, there also persists a threat of
armed groups in Chittagong Hill Tracts and few terrorist activities of so called Islamic
extremist around the country. These are all asymmetric threat to the national security.
Different forms of asymmetric techniques are adopted by the asymmetric threats during
peace time as well as in war time. Therefore, it is imperative for us to study asymmetric
warfare, to be able to comprehend the intricacies of the subject and devise methods to
combat this threat.
4.
The aim of this paper is to study the Asymmetric Warfare in the perspective of
General.
warfare. On the other hand, Asymmetric engagements are battles between dissimilar
forces2. Examples are land versus air or sea. In the present context, engagement
between dissimilar forces is very common. It is, therefore, pertinent to mention much
specific definition of the asymmetric warfare. Steven Metz and Johnson of the US Army
War College offer another definition of asymmetry: "In the realm of military affairs and
national security, asymmetry is acting, organizing, and thinking differently than
opponents in order to maximize ones own advantages, exploit opponents weaknesses,
attain the initiative, or gain greater freedom of action. It can be political-strategic,
military-strategic, operational, or a combination of these. It can entail different methods,
technologies, values, organizations, time perspectives, or some combination of these. It
can be short-term or long-term. It can be deliberate or by default. It can be discrete or
pursued in conjunction with symmetric approaches. It can have both psychological and
physical dimensions.
7.
Is Asymmetry Important?
achieve asymmetric advantage over one another. The traditional practice had been
having numerical superiority. As the war itself evolved into new dimension, the
asymmetric advantage now focussed towards achieving qualitative or technological
superiority of arsenals. The present American military superiority bears the testimony of
achieving technological superiority. The numerical and qualitative asymmetry achieved
is very short lived, as the opponent also strives to attain parity. Only the doctrinal and
strategic asymmetry can serve for long term. A balanced and equal opponent can never
win a war by itself. It can at best bring stalemate. The examples are enormous in the
history. Whereas, the success stories are in their favour who had some sort of
asymmetric advantage. America took advantage of the atomic bomb to end World War
II. The North Vietnamese took advantage of the United States lack of will to win. These
examples show, asymmetric warfare is, using something extraordinary or never before
seen to gain advantage. Asymmetric warfare therefore, is a legitimate way for any
adversary to gain advantage over her enemy.
2 Ibid.
Afghan War.
(1979-89) was a classical example of asymmetric warfare. Here the weaker adversary
prevailed, because the stronger i.e. the Soviet Union could not sustain the attrition, the
casualties,
and
the
economic
cost
of
the
war.
http://www.defencejournal.com/2002/february/terrorism.htm
9.
14.
Characteristics
of
asymmetric
f.
targets.
g.
Most asymmetric attacks are of protracted nature. Only military action will
not suffice to solve the problem. Political, social and economic initiatives are
essential.
h.
Since the asymmetric warfare is supported covertly, the people or
asymmetric warriors mostly sustain themselves off the land through primitive
means.
j.
15.
A Cause.
asymmetric movement. The cause is the fountainhead and the motivation force.
Apart from giving it a start, it is also the mainstay of the activities.
b.
Political Frustration.
topped by corrupt politicians produce contempt and hatred against the system
and the government. In the absence of a remedial mechanism, people tend to
take the law in their own hands. Hence, the political frustration can provide the
breeding ground for asymmetric warfare.
c.
Economic Disparities.
Economic
disparities
even
in
developed
Weak Administration.
of asymmetry in 20th century warfare, its use was not as pronounced between
the Vietnam War were termed guerilla warfare. These asymmetric actions,
however,
did
not
produce
the
dramatic,
day-to-day
effects
on
and they degrade morale. Nuclear weapons are perhaps the asymmetric
weapon of choice. It is also possible for some of these weapons to be
produced by individuals, a factor that increases the scope of the potential
threat. Rather than being weapons of deterrence, as they were during the
Cold War, they are increasingly becoming the weapons of choice for
'second-rate' military powers and non-state groups. The threatened use of
weapons of mass destruction (WMD) can produce strategic and political
effects that may overshadow their military utilityiii.
(2)
Chemical weapons
will proliferate and will be widely used because they are the easiest to
develop and they are inexpensive iv. They are easy to weaponize, deploy,
and hide. Biological weapons technology is also widely available and
spreading. However, biological agents are more difficult to handle and
weaponize than chemical agents. Further, they are generally more lethal,
which makes them harder to defend against. Biological agents can cause
casualties on a scale similar to that of nuclear weapons, or threaten the
food supply. Their relatively low cost of production is within the capabilities
of basic civil biotechnologists.
b.
Economic Asymmetry.
religious zealots, it doesn't matter which corporations and business networks will
undoubtedly become future targets of asymmetric warfare. More enlightened
terrorists have discovered, or will discover soon, that the path to the fear and
chaos that they crave most may be more easily achieved by a wide-scale attack
on infrastructure/ economic targets, thus causing a general breakdown in society
and facilitating civil unrest and rioting v. There is even a possibility that the terrorist
acts could be paid for by legal or extralegal multinational corporations that would
benefit from the destruction of existing business competitors in a given city or
6
Cyber Asymmetry.
Terrorism.
action. Yet, it can achieve military-like results against a superior force relatively
cheaply and with little friendly bloodshed. The tools of violence comprising high
technology weapons, ammunition, explosive and other gadgetry meant for
destruction of an adversary on the battlefield are equally devastating against
society at the hands of terrorist. Terrorism is not random, undirected, purposeless
violence. It has definite goals and it uses violence as a tool to create an
atmosphere of fear. Terrorism is a tactics that can be used either in war or in low
intensity conflict. It is a political and psychological weapon directed at innocent
parties who neither caused nor are able to solve the problem that motivates the
terrorists. Terrorism influences an audience beyond the immediate victim.
Immediate victims are bargaining chips used to influence the real target, usually
government. Going back into history, it would be found that terrorism is not new
to the mankind. It is as old as the human society itself. History is replete with
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follows:
a.
forces.
c.
Enemy is invisible and does his best to blend with the local population.
Added to this, enemy constantly tries to convey his message to the people.
d.
target.
e.
f.
targets.
g.
not suffice to solve the problem. Political, social and economic initiatives are
essential.
experiencing religious, ethnic and other internal conflicts with increasing numbers of
separatist movements trying to carve up larger countries into smaller and more
tightly focused ethnic areas. Some of these conflicts are ancient and have been the
cause of fighting for hundreds of years. Others are more recent and the result of
demographic shifts, changing political regimes, or religious/ ideological shifts.
Because of conflicting ideologies, presumptive religious and ethnic diversity has not
materialized in many societies, for this reason, the concept of vertical ethnic and
religious integration has given way to horizontal migration and factional polarization
within these societies. This situation results in ethnic and religious migration to both
geographic and political positioning within the existing society. Any perceived threat
to the incumbent ideology will always be met with resistance, deflection, threat or
illusion compliance. In some cases, a "preemptive defense" is commonly employed,
whereby on one or more pretext, estranged factions are exterminated. Employing
this methodology, the incumbent ideology is insured passage from one class of
rulers to the next, while those deemed unworthy or contemptible by the "powers
that be" are manipulated, bypassed or ignored. This marginalization is often the
motivation for violent acts.
Threat Perception
13.
General
warfare, it is imperative for us to make an assessment of the threat that the country is
confronted with. These are in fact the areas, which provide the soft underbelly to our
enemies to achieve their ulterior motives. The threats to Bangladesh are both from
outside and from within. The existence of internal vulnerabilities allows the external
factors to build upon them and capitalize the discontent of masses towards the
achievement of their own nefarious aims. Some of the potential vulnerabilities are
discussed in succeeding paragraphs.
Threat Analysis
Preparedness of BD Army
Conclusion
Recommendations
10
i Translated from the Chinese By LIONEL GILES Sun Tzu on the Art of War, The Oldest
Military Treatise in the World at http://www.chinapage.com/sunzi-e.html.