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Income Statement
Year ended December 31,
(in millions)
Revenue
Investment banking fees
Principal transactions(a)
Lending- and deposit-related fees
Asset management, administration and commissions
Securities gains
Mortgage fees and related income
Card income
Other income(b)
Noninterest revenue
Net interest income
Total net revenue
Provision for credit losses
Consumer, excluding credit card
Credit card
Total consumer
Wholesale
Total provision for credit losses
Noninterest expense
Compensation expense
Noncompensation expense:
Occupancy
Technology, communications and equipment
Professional and outside services
Marketing
Other(a)(b)
Total noncompensation expense
Total noninterest expense
Income tax expense
Income before income tax expense
Income tax expense
Effective tax rate
Net Income
Actual
2012
$
2013
5,808
5,536
6,196
13,868
2,110
8,687
5,658
4,258
52,121
44,910
97,031
302 $
3,444
3,746
(361)
3,385 $
30,585
3,925
5,224
7,429
2,577
14,989
34,144
64,729
6,354
10,141
5,945
15,106
667
5,205
6,022
3,847
53,287
43,319
96,606
(1,871) $
2,179
308
(83)
225 $
30,810
3,693
5,425
7,641
2,500
20,398
39,657
70,467
Forecast
2014
6,542
10,531
5,801
15,931
77
3,563
6,020
2,106
50,571
43,634
94,205
2015
$
419
3,079
3,498
(359)
3,139 $
30,160
3,909
5,804
7,705
2,550
11,146
31,114
61,274
6,751 $
10,408
5,694
15,509
202
2,513
5,924
3,032
50,033
43,510
93,543 $
3,827
2016
2017
7,101 $
10,408
5,536
16,116
206
1,666
6,019
2,921
49,973
44,815
94,789 $
7,469
10,408
5,383
16,747
209
1,105
6,115
2,815
50,251
46,608
96,859
$4,018
$4,018
29,750 $
29,479 $
29,210
3,768
6,193
7,002
2,708
9,593
29,264
59,014 $
3,722
6,555
6,875
2,755
8,851
28,758
58,237 $
3,676
6,938
6,751
2,803
8,166
28,335
57,545
28,917 $
7,633
26.40%
25,914 $
7,991
30.80%
29,792 $
8,030
27.00%
30,702 $
6,260
20.39%
32,533 $
8,507
26.15%
35,295
9,229
26.15%
21,284
17,923
21,762
24,442 $
24,027 $
26,067
$
$
$
Actual
2013
17,923 $
805
$17,118
752
19,885 $
3,809.4
5.22 $
513
16,605 $
3,782.4
4.39 $
543
20,094 $
3,763.5
5.34 $
521
22,406
3,700.4
6.06
521
$21,991
3,664.8
$6.00
521
$24,031
3,629.6
$6.62
19,885
3,809.4
12.8
3,822.2
5.20
16,605
3,782.4
32.5
3,814.9
4.35
20,094
3,763.5
34.0
3,797.5
5.29
22,406
3,700.4
32.4
3,732.8
6.00
$21,991
3,664.8
32.4
3,697.2
$5.95
$24,031
3,629.6
32.4
3,662.0
$6.56
1.20
23.0%
77.0%
1.44
32.8%
67.2%
1.58
29.6%
70.4%
2012
21,284
647
$20,637
10.9%
8.4%
9.1%
6.1%
Forecast
2014
21,762
1,125
$20,637
10.6%
7.4%
2015
24,442 $
1,515
$22,927
2016
24,027 $
1,515
$22,512
2017
26,067
1,515
$24,552
1.72 $
28.4%
71.6%
1.80 $
30.0%
70.0%
1.99
30%
70.0%
11.3%
8.1%
10.6%
7.4%
10.9%
7.6%
Forecast
2018
$
7,856 $
10,408
5,233
17,402
213
732
6,213
2,712
50,771
48,006
98,777 $
2019
8,264
10,408
5,088
18,083
217
486
6,313
2,613
51,472
48,966
100,438
$4,018
$4,018
28,944 $
28,680
3,631
7,344
6,628
2,851
7,535
27,990
56,934 $
3,587
7,773
6,508
2,901
6,952
27,721
56,402
2020
$
8,692
10,408
4,947
18,790
221
322
6,414
2,518
52,313
49,946
102,259
$4,018
28,419
3,543
8,227
6,391
2,951
6,414
27,527
55,946
37,825 $
9,890
26.15%
40,018 $
10,464
26.15%
42,294
11,059
26.15%
27,935 $
29,554
31,236
Forecast
2018
$
27,935 $
1,515
$26,420
2019
29,554
1,515
$28,039
2020
31,236
1,515
$29,721
521
$25,899
3,594.7
$7.20
521
$27,518
3,560.1
$7.73
521
$29,200
3,525.9
$8.28
$25,899
3,594.7
32.4
3,627.1
$7.14
$27,518
3,560.1
32.4
3,592.5
$7.66
$29,200
3,525.9
32.4
3,558.3
$8.21
2.16 $
30%
70.0%
2.32 $
30%
70.0%
2.48
30%
70.0%
11.2%
7.8%
11.3%
7.9%
11.4%
8.0%
2012
Liabilities
Current Liabilities
Deposits
Accounts payable
Short/Current Portion Long Term Debt
Total Current Liabilities
Trading Liabilities
Long Term Debt
Minority Interests
Total liabilities
Preferred Stock
Common Stock
Retained Earnings
Treasury Stock
APIC
Accum. OCI
Stockholders' equity
Total liabilities and SE
2014
2015
2016
2017
Forecast
2018
2019
2020
471,833 $
60,933
532,766 $
603,938 $
65,160
669,098 $
728,111 $
70,079
798,190 $
573,080 $
46,605
619,685 $
613,834 $
60,000
673,834 $
669,310 $
60,000
729,310 $
725,588 $
60,000
785,588 $
782,216 $
60,000
842,216 $
838,906
60,000
898,906
733,796
(21,936)
711,860
738,418
(16,264)
722,154
757,336
(14,185)
743,151
837,299
(13,555)
823,744
862,418
(13,962)
848,456
888,291
(14,380)
873,910
914,939
(14,812)
900,127
942,387
(15,256)
927,131
970,659
(15,714)
954,945
940,197
14,519
48,175
7,614
2,235
101,775
2,359,141 $
840,132
14,891
48,081
9,614
1,618
110,101
2,415,689 $
857,427
15,133
47,647
7,436
1,192
102,098
2,572,274 $
733,387
14,362
47,325
6,608
1,015
105,572
2,351,698
711,385
14,319
47,045
6,442
782
105,572
2,407,836
690,044
14,275
46,767
6,281
603
105,572
2,466,762
669,343
14,232
46,491
6,123
465
105,572
2,527,940
649,262
14,189
46,216
5,970
358
105,572
2,590,914
629,784
14,146
45,943
5,820
276
105,572
2,655,392
1,193,593 $
195,240
322,106
1,710,939
1,287,765 $
194,491
267,005
1,749,261
1,363,427 $
206,939
288,667
1,859,033
1,279,715
177,638
189,345
1,646,698
1,318,106
177,638
189,345
1,685,089
1,357,650
177,638
189,345
1,724,633
1,398,379
177,638
189,345
1,765,362
1,440,331
177,638
189,345
1,807,314
1,483,540
177,638
189,345
1,850,523
380,942
63,191
2,155,072 $
137,744
267,889
49,617
2,204,511 $
152,815
276,379
52,320
2,340,547 $
126,897
288,651
41,879
2,104,125 $
126,897
300,197
36,855
2,149,039 $
126,897
312,205
32,434
2,196,168 $
126,897
324,693
28,543
2,245,495 $
126,897
337,681
25,119
2,297,010 $
126,897
351,188
22,105
2,350,714
9,058
4,105
104,223
(12,002)
94,604
4,081
204,069
2,359,141 $
11,158
4,105
115,756
(14,847)
93,828
1,178
211,178
2,415,689 $
20,063
4,105
129,977
(17,856)
93,270
2,168
231,727
2,572,274 $
26,068
4,105
146,420
(21,691)
92,500
171
247,573
2,351,698
26,068
4,105
163,239
(26,423)
91,809
0
258,798
2,407,836
26,068
4,105
181,485
(32,188)
91,124
0
270,594
2,466,762
26,068
4,105
201,039
(39,210)
90,443
0
282,446
2,527,941
26,068
4,105
221,727
(47,764)
89,767
0
293,904
2,590,914
26,068
4,105
243,592
(58,184)
89,097
0
304,678
2,655,392
$
$
Loans
Allowance for loan losses
Loans, net of ALL
Other Long Term Investments
Premises and equipment
Goodwill
Mortgage servicing rights
Other intangible assets
Other assets
Total assets
2013
Relative Valuation
Company
JPM
WFC
BAC
USB
PNC
C
GS
MS
COP
BNY
Average
Median
Stock Price
EPS
57.82
48.09
12.13
39.46
82.82
38.99
146.91
24.00
65.73
34.93
BV
6.00
4.15
1.31
3.16
7.38
5.40
12.14
2.90
7.07
2.71
Trailing P/E
60.46
33.83
22.54
23.28
81.86
69.46
171.45
34.97
89.09
32.70
9.64
11.59
9.26
12.49
11.22
7.22
12.10
8.28
9.30
12.89
10.40
10.43
P/BV
0.96
1.42
0.54
1.70
1.01
0.56
0.86
0.69
0.74
1.07
0.95
0.91
ROE
11.30%
12.34%
6.36%
13.04%
9.00%
7.99%
7.10%
8.48%
8.69%
8.30%
9.15%
8.59%
St. Dev
8.6%
9.2%
14.4%
7.0%
8.2%
14.9%
9.2%
10.8%
11.2%
7.0%
10.04%
9.17%
SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R
95.1%
R Square
90.3%
Adjusted R Square
87.6%
Standard Error
13.1%
Observations
10
ANOVA
df
Regression
Residual
Total
Intercept
X Variable 1
X Variable 2
2
7
9
SS
1.1194360089
0.11957783
1.2390138389
MS
F
Significance F
0.5597180045 32.76548865 0.0002792613
0.0170825471
Coefficients
0.4288544654
11.552950034
-5.303221168
Standard Error
0.370539737
2.4709092781
1.889304135
t Stat
P-value
Lower 95%
1.1573777996
0.28508029 -0.4473327828
4.6755864879 0.002272554
5.710178031
-2.8069706038 0.026259934 -9.7707155445
Upper 95%
1.3050417136
17.395722036
-0.8357267922
Lower 95.0%
-0.4473327828
5.710178031
-9.7707155445
RESIDUAL OUTPUT
Observation
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Predicted Y
Residuals
1.1475346343
-0.1911998675
1.3691307923
0.0523885692
0.4000168687
0.1381375235
1.5656061199
0.1294110622
1.0341048374
-0.022377498
0.5613776901 -4.7428058E-005
0.7622595489
0.0946083426
0.8350746102
-0.1487720652
0.8397039625
-0.1019107198
1.0184336377
0.0497620809
Standard Residuals
-1.6587598231
0.4544985046
1.1984159669
1.1227093067
-0.1941366129
-0.0004114634
0.8207773347
-1.290676232
-0.8841293129
0.4317123314
Company
MS
JPM
COF
PNC
C
WFC
BNY
USB
GS
BAC
Average
Median
(Under) / Over %
(17.8%)
(16.7%)
(12.1%)
(2.2%)
(0.0%)
3.8%
4.9%
8.3%
12.4%
34.5%
1.5%
1.9%
Predicted P/BV
0.84
1.15
0.84
1.03
0.56
1.37
1.02
1.57
0.76
0.40
0.95
0.93
Upper 95.0%
1.3050417136
17.395722036
-0.835726792
Sensitivity Analysis
Beta
Risk-Free Rate
Market Risk Premium
Cost of Equity
Stable Phase
Beta
Risk-Free Rate
Market Risk Premium
Cost of Equity
Stable Phase growth rate
Dividends
Present Value Factor
Present Value
2-Stage DDM Valuation
1.20
1.74%
5.61%
8.50%
Equity
Risk
Premium
1.10
2%
5%
7.50%
4.50%
2016
1.80
1.08
1.66
$65.93
Terminal Value
1-Stage DDM Valuation
$61.31
2017
1.99
1.18
1.69
2018
2.16
1.28
1.69
2019
2.32
1.39
1.67
Equity
Risk
Premium
LT Growth
5.00%
5.10%
5.20%
5.30%
5.40%
5.50%
5.61%
5.70%
5.80%
1.00
71.25
70.93
70.61
70.30
69.99
69.68
69.34
69.06
68.76
1.05
70.46
70.13
69.80
69.48
69.16
68.84
68.49
68.20
67.89
1.10
69.68
69.34
69.00
68.67
68.34
68.01
67.64
67.35
67.03
5.00%
5.10%
5.20%
5.30%
5.40%
5.50%
5.61%
5.70%
5.80%
1.50%
68.81
68.45
68.09
67.73
67.37
67.01
66.62
66.31
65.96
1.74%
68.09
67.73
67.37
67.02
66.66
66.31
65.93
65.62
65.27
1.90%
67.61
67.25
66.90
66.55
66.20
65.85
65.47
65.16
64.82
3.00%
3.25%
3.50%
3.75%
4.00%
4.25%
4.50%
4.75%
5.00%
1.00
48.52
50.97
53.73
56.85
60.42
64.54
69.34
75.02
81.83
1.05
47.94
50.36
53.08
56.16
59.68
63.74
68.49
74.09
80.81
1.10
47.36
49.75
52.43
55.48
58.95
62.96
67.64
73.18
79.81
1.15
68.91
68.56
68.22
67.87
67.53
67.19
66.82
66.51
66.18
Beta
1.20
68.16
67.80
67.44
67.08
66.73
66.38
66.00
65.69
65.35
1.25
67.41
67.04
66.67
66.31
65.95
65.59
65.20
64.88
64.52
1.30
66.67
66.29
65.92
65.55
65.17
64.81
64.40
64.08
63.72
1.35
65.95
65.56
65.17
64.79
64.41
64.04
63.62
63.29
62.92
1.40
65.23
64.83
64.44
64.05
63.66
63.28
62.86
62.51
62.14
Risk-Free Rate
2.10%
2.30%
2.50%
67.02
66.43
65.85
66.67
66.08
65.51
66.31
65.74
65.17
65.97
65.39
64.82
65.62
65.05
64.49
65.28
64.71
64.15
64.90
64.34
63.78
64.59
64.03
63.48
64.26
63.70
63.15
2.70%
65.28
64.94
64.60
64.26
63.93
63.59
63.23
62.93
62.61
2.90%
64.72
64.38
64.04
63.71
63.37
63.05
62.69
62.39
62.07
3.10%
64.15
63.82
63.49
63.16
62.83
62.50
62.15
61.86
61.54
1.30
45.15
47.41
49.96
52.85
56.15
59.96
64.40
69.66
75.96
1.35
44.61
46.85
49.36
52.22
55.48
59.24
63.62
68.81
75.03
1.40
44.09
46.29
48.78
51.59
54.81
58.52
62.86
67.97
74.12
1.15
46.80
49.15
51.80
54.80
58.24
62.20
66.82
72.28
78.83
Beta
1.20
46.24
48.56
51.18
54.14
57.53
61.44
66.00
71.39
77.86
1.25
45.69
47.98
50.56
53.49
56.84
60.69
65.20
70.52
76.90
S&P
6-mo
1-Yr
3- Yr
JPM
(6.0%)
(11.9%)
22.4%
WFC
(10.6%)
(5.2%)
25.3%
BAC
(5.7%)
(7.0%)
53.6%
USB
(14.0%)
(10.6%)
27.0%
(4.9%)
(8.7%)
25.6%
Adj Close
Date
2/1/2016
1/4/2016
12/1/2015
11/2/2015
10/1/2015
9/1/2015
8/3/2015
7/1/2015
6/1/2015
5/1/2015
4/1/2015
3/2/2015
2/2/2015
1/2/2015
12/1/2014
11/3/2014
10/1/2014
9/2/2014
8/1/2014
7/1/2014
6/2/2014
5/1/2014
4/1/2014
3/3/2014
2/3/2014
1/2/2014
12/2/2013
11/1/2013
10/1/2013
9/3/2013
8/1/2013
7/1/2013
6/3/2013
5/1/2013
S&P
1,853.44
1,940.24
2,043.94
2,080.41
2,079.36
1,920.03
1,972.18
2,103.84
2,063.11
2,107.39
2,085.51
2,067.89
2,104.50
1,994.99
2,058.90
2,067.56
2,018.05
1,972.29
2,003.37
1,930.67
1,960.23
1,923.57
1,883.95
1,872.34
1,859.45
1,782.59
1,848.36
1,805.81
1,756.54
1,681.55
1,632.97
1,685.73
1,606.28
1,630.74
JPM
56.54
59.50
65.59
66.24
63.82
60.13
63.22
67.59
66.39
64.45
61.98
58.97
59.65
52.93
60.52
58.18
58.49
57.87
57.11
55.40
54.97
53.01
53.40
57.55
53.87
52.48
55.08
53.89
48.54
48.33
47.24
52.11
49.00
50.67
WFC
49.56
49.84
53.94
54.68
53.36
50.61
52.56
56.66
55.07
54.79
53.59
52.91
53.29
50.16
52.97
52.64
50.96
49.79
49.37
48.52
50.10
48.40
46.98
47.07
43.93
42.62
42.68
41.38
39.85
38.57
38.35
40.33
38.26
37.59
BAC
13.96
14.14
16.83
17.38
16.73
15.54
16.24
17.77
16.92
16.35
15.79
15.25
15.62
14.97
17.67
16.79
16.90
16.80
15.80
14.98
15.09
14.86
14.86
16.88
16.21
16.43
15.27
15.51
13.69
13.53
13.83
14.30
12.60
13.37
USB
39.80
40.06
42.67
43.63
41.93
40.77
41.84
44.67
42.88
42.35
42.11
42.90
43.57
40.94
43.91
42.94
41.39
40.64
40.84
40.60
41.84
40.52
39.17
41.16
39.30
37.95
38.59
37.25
35.49
34.74
34.10
35.23
34.12
32.88
4/1/2013
3/1/2013
2/1/2013
1/2/2013
12/3/2012
11/1/2012
10/1/2012
9/4/2012
8/1/2012
7/2/2012
6/1/2012
5/1/2012
4/2/2012
3/1/2012
2/1/2012
1/3/2012
12/1/2011
11/1/2011
10/3/2011
9/1/2011
8/1/2011
7/1/2011
6/1/2011
5/2/2011
4/1/2011
3/1/2011
2/1/2011
1/3/2011
12/1/2010
11/1/2010
10/1/2010
9/1/2010
8/2/2010
7/1/2010
6/1/2010
5/3/2010
4/1/2010
3/1/2010
2/1/2010
1/4/2010
12/1/2009
11/2/2009
10/1/2009
9/1/2009
8/3/2009
7/1/2009
6/1/2009
1,597.57
1,569.19
1,514.68
1,498.11
1,426.19
1,416.18
1,412.16
1,440.67
1,406.58
1,379.32
1,362.16
1,310.33
1,397.91
1,408.47
1,365.68
1,312.41
1,257.60
1,246.96
1,253.30
1,131.42
1,218.89
1,292.28
1,320.64
1,345.20
1,363.61
1,325.83
1,327.22
1,286.12
1,257.64
1,180.55
1,183.26
1,141.20
1,049.33
1,101.60
1,030.71
1,089.41
1,186.69
1,169.43
1,104.49
1,073.87
1,115.10
1,095.63
1,036.19
1,057.08
1,020.62
987.48
919.32
45.49
43.78
45.13
43.40
40.28
37.63
38.18
36.81
33.78
32.74
32.22
29.90
38.76
41.20
35.16
33.42
29.58
27.55
30.92
26.56
33.12
35.67
35.88
37.90
39.99
40.19
40.70
39.18
36.94
32.57
32.77
33.10
31.62
35.03
31.79
34.37
36.98
38.82
36.41
33.78
36.10
36.81
36.19
37.92
37.61
33.45
29.47
34.93
34.02
32.27
32.04
31.22
30.15
30.57
31.33
30.88
30.48
30.15
28.90
29.94
30.58
27.95
25.98
24.51
23.00
22.93
21.35
23.10
24.62
24.73
25.00
25.55
27.83
28.25
28.35
27.10
23.79
22.74
21.92
20.55
24.16
22.30
24.99
28.80
27.07
23.78
24.69
23.44
24.35
23.85
24.43
23.85
21.16
20.99
12.05
11.92
10.99
11.07
11.35
9.63
9.10
8.63
7.80
7.16
7.98
7.17
7.90
9.32
7.77
6.94
5.41
5.29
6.63
5.94
7.94
9.42
10.63
11.39
11.90
12.92
13.84
13.30
12.92
10.60
11.08
12.68
12.05
13.57
13.89
15.21
17.23
17.25
16.09
14.66
14.54
15.30
14.07
16.33
16.96
14.26
12.73
31.21
31.82
31.68
30.86
29.78
29.90
30.78
31.79
30.79
30.87
29.63
28.49
29.46
29.01
26.76
25.68
24.62
23.48
23.18
21.33
20.92
23.49
22.99
22.95
23.15
23.70
24.75
24.10
24.07
21.18
21.56
19.26
18.49
21.24
19.86
21.25
23.74
22.95
21.78
22.20
19.93
21.31
20.51
19.31
19.93
17.99
15.79
5/1/2009
4/1/2009
3/2/2009
2/2/2009
1/2/2009
12/1/2008
11/3/2008
10/1/2008
9/2/2008
8/1/2008
7/1/2008
6/2/2008
5/1/2008
4/1/2008
3/3/2008
2/1/2008
1/2/2008
12/3/2007
11/1/2007
10/1/2007
9/4/2007
8/1/2007
7/2/2007
6/1/2007
5/1/2007
4/2/2007
3/1/2007
2/1/2007
1/3/2007
12/1/2006
11/1/2006
10/2/2006
9/1/2006
8/1/2006
7/3/2006
6/1/2006
5/1/2006
4/3/2006
3/1/2006
2/1/2006
1/3/2006
12/30/2005
919.14
872.81
797.87
735.09
825.88
903.25
896.24
968.75
1,166.36
1,282.83
1,267.38
1,280.00
1,400.38
1,385.59
1,322.70
1,330.63
1,378.55
1,468.36
1,481.14
1,549.38
1,526.75
1,473.99
1,455.27
1,503.35
1,530.62
1,482.37
1,420.86
1,406.82
1,438.24
1,418.30
1,400.63
1,377.94
1,335.85
1,303.82
1,276.66
1,270.20
1,270.09
1,310.61
1,294.87
1,280.66
1,280.08
1,248.29
31.89
28.52
22.93
19.71
22.00
26.87
26.98
35.15
39.49
32.55
34.36
28.69
35.96
39.85
35.63
33.72
39.32
35.89
37.51
38.65
37.37
36.31
35.90
39.21
41.95
42.17
38.88
39.69
40.93
38.54
36.93
37.86
37.21
36.18
36.15
33.01
33.51
35.66
32.46
32.07
30.99
30.68
22.06
17.27
12.29
10.45
16.02
24.98
24.48
28.58
31.50
25.40
25.13
19.72
22.89
24.45
23.92
24.03
27.73
24.56
26.38
27.41
28.71
29.45
26.97
28.09
28.83
28.44
27.29
27.50
28.47
27.96
27.71
28.32
28.23
27.12
28.01
25.97
25.69
26.39
24.54
24.66
23.76
23.94
10.86
8.61
6.57
3.80
6.32
13.53
15.27
22.71
32.88
28.68
30.31
21.99
30.73
33.92
34.25
35.31
39.23
36.66
40.40
42.28
44.03
43.83
41.01
42.28
43.86
43.54
43.64
43.48
44.48
45.17
45.55
45.10
44.85
43.09
42.68
39.84
40.09
40.92
37.33
37.18
35.86
16.87
16.01
12.84
12.54
13.00
21.91
23.22
25.66
31.00
27.09
26.03
23.72
27.82
28.41
27.13
26.51
27.81
26.27
27.03
27.09
26.58
26.11
24.17
26.59
27.57
27.39
27.89
28.12
28.07
28.53
26.23
26.39
25.91
24.76
24.71
23.84
23.58
24.02
23.30
23.36
22.60
22.59
PNC
C
(4.4%)
(4.3%)
47.9%
GS
(20.4%)
(18.6%)
1.8%
MS
(15.1%)
(15.0%)
10.5%
COF
(24.6%)
(26.8%)
18.4%
BK
(16.0%)
(16.2%)
33.7%
(10.0%)
(7.8%)
38.2%
Adj Close
PNC
86.09
86.65
94.75
94.95
89.73
88.17
90.07
97.05
94.04
94.08
90.19
91.17
89.92
82.67
88.71
85.06
84.01
82.74
81.93
79.82
85.62
81.98
80.80
83.16
78.17
76.35
73.74
73.14
69.89
68.44
68.27
71.84
68.48
67.27
GS
42.48
42.58
51.69
54.02
53.10
49.50
53.37
58.33
55.07
53.92
53.11
51.32
52.21
46.77
53.89
53.75
53.31
51.60
51.43
48.70
46.89
47.35
47.68
47.37
48.40
47.21
51.85
52.66
48.54
48.26
48.08
51.86
47.71
51.71
159.65
161.56
180.23
190.02
186.86
173.17
187.96
203.67
207.36
204.78
194.47
186.10
187.91
170.16
191.31
185.96
186.92
180.60
176.21
169.55
164.22
156.74
156.22
160.16
162.70
159.88
172.68
164.58
156.19
153.62
147.72
158.75
146.38
156.86
MS
25.71
25.88
31.62
34.10
32.78
31.17
34.09
38.43
38.24
37.65
36.78
35.04
35.14
33.19
37.98
34.44
34.21
33.74
33.49
31.56
31.46
30.03
30.10
30.23
29.87
28.62
30.37
30.31
27.82
26.05
24.90
26.30
23.57
24.99
COF
64.59
65.20
71.72
78.01
78.00
71.70
76.87
79.98
86.55
82.21
79.16
77.17
77.06
71.39
80.50
81.13
80.42
79.30
79.73
76.98
79.95
76.35
71.24
74.39
70.79
67.77
73.53
68.75
65.63
65.70
61.69
65.68
59.77
57.98
BK
35.50
36.22
41.02
43.63
41.45
38.81
39.45
43.02
41.44
42.81
41.81
39.58
38.49
35.41
39.71
39.19
37.90
37.74
38.18
38.04
36.36
33.53
32.86
34.07
30.89
30.85
33.57
32.38
30.55
28.87
28.44
30.07
26.70
28.61
63.74
62.04
58.20
57.65
54.04
52.03
53.94
58.12
57.26
54.44
55.92
56.20
60.68
58.64
54.12
53.57
52.14
49.01
48.56
43.27
45.02
48.75
53.20
55.71
55.64
55.90
54.76
53.25
53.80
47.71
47.76
45.91
45.09
52.52
49.89
55.40
59.34
52.63
47.39
48.86
46.45
50.17
43.07
42.67
37.40
32.19
33.98
46.40
43.99
41.74
41.93
39.33
34.37
37.16
32.52
29.53
26.96
27.23
26.34
32.82
36.30
33.10
30.50
26.12
27.29
31.36
25.43
30.82
38.06
41.32
40.84
45.54
43.85
46.43
47.82
46.93
41.67
41.37
38.79
36.81
40.68
37.30
39.29
43.36
40.18
33.73
32.94
32.84
40.78
40.58
48.02
49.61
31.45
29.47
140.92
141.97
144.48
142.17
122.65
113.25
117.18
108.84
101.22
96.18
91.38
91.23
109.24
117.99
109.23
105.43
85.53
90.67
103.22
89.09
109.50
126.79
125.02
132.20
141.49
148.60
153.45
152.98
157.22
145.99
150.32
134.88
127.74
140.35
122.16
134.25
134.78
158.39
145.13
137.74
156.38
157.14
157.27
170.38
152.92
150.60
135.97
21.37
21.16
21.71
21.95
18.37
16.20
16.69
16.03
14.37
13.08
13.92
12.75
16.49
18.68
17.64
17.74
14.35
14.03
16.73
12.78
16.55
21.04
21.72
22.80
24.68
25.73
27.96
27.69
25.59
23.00
23.39
23.16
23.17
25.33
21.74
25.39
28.30
27.39
26.35
25.04
27.63
29.48
29.98
28.78
26.99
26.56
26.52
54.71
52.03
48.32
53.28
54.80
54.49
56.87
53.89
53.43
53.35
51.62
48.51
52.34
52.59
47.74
43.12
39.86
42.09
42.98
37.31
43.35
44.94
48.58
51.09
51.41
48.81
46.75
45.19
39.94
34.94
34.93
37.07
35.49
39.63
37.73
38.66
40.59
38.72
35.30
34.42
35.80
35.82
34.13
33.32
34.77
28.58
20.37
26.86
26.50
25.69
25.71
24.21
22.55
23.28
21.20
21.12
19.94
20.44
18.96
22.02
22.35
20.47
18.64
18.32
17.91
19.58
17.00
18.90
22.96
23.31
25.58
26.35
27.05
27.53
28.29
27.28
24.38
22.63
23.51
21.83
22.56
22.14
24.39
27.92
27.61
25.50
26.01
24.94
23.75
23.77
25.76
26.31
24.29
25.96
39.89
34.76
25.57
23.86
28.39
42.16
45.40
57.36
63.66
61.31
60.75
48.11
54.13
58.43
54.69
51.24
54.72
54.20
60.44
59.57
55.73
57.59
54.54
58.06
59.86
60.10
57.87
58.93
59.32
59.10
56.43
55.90
57.37
56.06
56.10
55.14
54.15
56.16
52.46
54.83
50.55
47.81
36.91
30.26
25.10
14.88
35.22
66.41
82.05
135.10
200.48
185.63
182.69
161.04
210.33
239.73
203.21
224.94
267.25
276.09
312.29
387.88
432.03
433.98
426.14
469.33
498.61
485.77
465.11
456.33
494.56
499.67
444.86
445.57
441.22
438.38
424.82
424.29
433.53
439.24
411.06
403.58
401.12
417.91
133.32
118.20
97.52
83.78
73.86
77.20
72.26
84.62
116.75
149.55
167.86
159.21
160.59
174.20
150.28
154.13
181.31
195.05
205.57
224.87
196.28
159.40
170.56
195.94
208.66
197.62
186.49
182.09
191.48
179.62
175.52
171.01
152.14
133.68
137.37
134.96
135.42
143.80
140.52
126.49
126.46
114.12
28.21
21.99
21.12
18.12
18.76
14.67
13.49
15.98
20.78
36.89
35.67
32.35
39.66
43.58
40.75
37.56
44.00
47.08
46.74
59.63
55.63
55.07
56.40
61.25
62.10
61.34
57.32
54.52
60.25
59.06
55.24
55.44
52.69
47.55
48.06
45.49
42.91
46.27
45.02
42.75
44.04
40.48
22.75
15.55
11.37
11.19
14.33
28.84
31.12
35.03
45.67
39.53
37.18
33.76
42.74
46.74
43.41
40.60
47.81
41.37
46.66
57.38
58.12
56.57
61.88
68.60
69.77
64.92
65.97
67.34
70.27
67.14
68.06
69.31
68.72
63.86
67.55
74.63
72.29
75.64
70.30
76.48
72.70
75.41
24.60
22.57
24.93
19.56
22.72
24.68
26.32
28.75
28.17
29.93
30.70
32.49
38.25
37.39
35.64
37.47
39.73
41.42
40.74
41.50
37.30
34.16
35.96
36.92
36.14
36.06
35.94
36.01
35.46
34.70
31.33
30.29
30.88
29.55
29.43
28.01
28.91
30.58
31.16
29.60
27.50
27.35
JPM
Raw Beta
0.67
0.33
Adj Beta
Risk-Free Rate
Market Risk Premium
Expected Return
St. Dev.
Sharpe Ratio
1.31
1.31
1.00
1.20
1.74%
5.61%
8.5%
8.6%
0.78
WFC
1.21
1.21
BAC
2.04
2.04
USB
0.94
0.94
1.14
1.70
0.96
8.1%
9.2%
0.70
11.3%
14.4%
0.66
7.1%
7.0%
0.77
Returns
S&P
(4.5%)
(5.1%)
(1.8%)
0.1%
8.3%
(2.6%)
(6.3%)
2.0%
(2.1%)
1.0%
0.9%
(1.7%)
5.5%
(3.1%)
(0.4%)
2.5%
2.3%
(1.6%)
3.8%
(1.5%)
1.9%
2.1%
0.6%
0.7%
4.3%
(3.6%)
2.4%
2.8%
4.5%
3.0%
(3.1%)
4.9%
(1.5%)
2.1%
JPM
(5.0%)
(9.3%)
(1.0%)
3.8%
6.1%
(4.9%)
(6.5%)
1.8%
3.0%
4.0%
5.1%
(1.1%)
12.7%
(12.5%)
4.0%
(0.5%)
1.1%
1.3%
3.1%
0.8%
3.7%
(0.7%)
(7.2%)
6.8%
2.6%
(4.7%)
2.2%
11.0%
0.4%
2.3%
(9.3%)
6.3%
(3.3%)
11.4%
WFC
(0.6%)
(7.6%)
(1.3%)
2.5%
5.4%
(3.7%)
(7.2%)
2.9%
0.5%
2.2%
1.3%
(0.7%)
6.2%
(5.3%)
0.6%
3.3%
2.4%
0.8%
1.8%
(3.2%)
3.5%
3.0%
(0.2%)
7.2%
3.1%
(0.1%)
3.1%
3.8%
3.3%
0.6%
(4.9%)
5.4%
1.8%
7.6%
BAC
(1.3%)
(16.0%)
(3.2%)
3.9%
7.7%
(4.3%)
(8.6%)
5.1%
3.5%
3.6%
3.5%
(2.4%)
4.4%
(15.3%)
5.3%
(0.7%)
0.6%
6.3%
5.5%
(0.8%)
1.6%
0.0%
(12.0%)
4.1%
(1.3%)
7.6%
(1.5%)
13.2%
1.2%
(2.2%)
(3.3%)
13.5%
(5.8%)
11.0%
USB
(0.6%)
(6.1%)
(2.2%)
4.1%
2.9%
(2.6%)
(6.3%)
4.2%
1.3%
0.6%
(1.8%)
(1.5%)
6.4%
(6.8%)
2.2%
3.8%
1.8%
(0.5%)
0.6%
(3.0%)
3.3%
3.5%
(4.9%)
4.7%
3.5%
(1.7%)
3.6%
5.0%
2.1%
1.9%
(3.2%)
3.2%
3.8%
5.3%
1.8%
3.6%
1.1%
5.0%
0.7%
0.3%
(2.0%)
2.4%
2.0%
1.3%
4.0%
(6.3%)
(0.7%)
3.1%
4.1%
4.4%
0.9%
(0.5%)
10.8%
(7.2%)
(5.7%)
(2.1%)
(1.8%)
(1.4%)
2.8%
(0.1%)
3.2%
2.3%
6.5%
(0.2%)
3.7%
8.8%
(4.7%)
6.9%
(5.4%)
(8.2%)
1.5%
5.9%
2.9%
(3.7%)
1.8%
5.7%
(2.0%)
3.6%
3.4%
7.4%
0.0%
3.9%
(3.0%)
4.0%
7.7%
7.0%
(1.4%)
3.7%
9.0%
3.2%
1.6%
7.8%
(22.9%)
(5.9%)
17.2%
5.2%
13.0%
7.4%
(10.9%)
16.4%
(19.8%)
(7.1%)
(0.6%)
(5.3%)
(5.2%)
(0.5%)
(1.3%)
3.9%
6.1%
13.4%
(0.6%)
(1.0%)
4.7%
(9.7%)
10.2%
(7.5%)
(7.0%)
(4.7%)
6.6%
7.8%
(6.4%)
(1.9%)
1.7%
(4.6%)
0.8%
12.4%
13.5%
(7.6%)
2.7%
5.4%
0.7%
2.6%
3.5%
(1.4%)
(2.4%)
1.5%
1.3%
1.1%
4.3%
(3.5%)
(2.1%)
9.4%
7.6%
6.0%
6.6%
0.3%
7.4%
(7.6%)
(6.2%)
(0.4%)
(1.1%)
(2.1%)
(8.2%)
(1.5%)
(0.3%)
4.6%
13.9%
4.6%
3.7%
6.7%
(14.9%)
8.3%
(10.8%)
(13.2%)
6.4%
13.8%
(3.7%)
5.3%
(3.7%)
2.1%
(2.3%)
2.4%
12.7%
0.8%
(4.9%)
1.1%
8.5%
(0.7%)
(2.5%)
17.9%
5.8%
5.5%
10.7%
8.9%
(10.3%)
11.3%
(9.2%)
(15.3%)
20.1%
11.9%
28.2%
2.2%
(20.2%)
11.6%
(25.1%)
(15.8%)
(11.4%)
(6.6%)
(4.3%)
(7.9%)
(6.7%)
4.1%
2.9%
21.9%
(4.4%)
(12.6%)
5.2%
(11.3%)
(2.3%)
(8.6%)
(11.7%)
(0.1%)
7.2%
9.7%
0.8%
(4.9%)
8.7%
(13.8%)
(3.8%)
18.9%
12.0%
17.2%
(1.9%)
0.4%
2.7%
3.6%
(0.4%)
(2.9%)
(3.2%)
3.3%
(0.3%)
4.2%
4.0%
(3.3%)
1.5%
8.4%
4.2%
4.3%
4.8%
1.3%
8.7%
2.0%
(10.9%)
2.2%
0.2%
(0.9%)
(2.3%)
(4.2%)
2.7%
0.1%
13.6%
(1.7%)
11.9%
4.2%
(13.0%)
6.9%
(6.5%)
(10.5%)
3.4%
5.4%
(1.9%)
11.4%
(6.5%)
3.9%
6.2%
(3.1%)
10.8%
13.9%
(6.4%)
5.3%
9.4%
8.5%
(11.0%)
(8.6%)
0.8%
(7.5%)
(16.9%)
(9.1%)
1.2%
(1.0%)
(8.6%)
1.1%
4.8%
(0.6%)
(3.5%)
(6.1%)
(0.9%)
(4.4%)
1.5%
3.6%
1.3%
(3.2%)
(1.8%)
3.3%
4.3%
1.0%
(2.2%)
1.4%
1.3%
1.6%
3.2%
2.5%
2.1%
0.5%
0.0%
(3.1%)
1.2%
1.1%
0.0%
2.5%
11.8%
24.4%
16.3%
(10.4%)
(18.1%)
(0.4%)
(23.2%)
(11.0%)
21.3%
(5.3%)
19.7%
(20.2%)
(9.8%)
11.8%
5.7%
(14.2%)
9.5%
(4.3%)
(2.9%)
3.4%
2.9%
1.2%
(8.5%)
(6.5%)
(0.5%)
8.5%
(2.0%)
(3.0%)
6.2%
4.4%
(2.4%)
1.7%
2.8%
0.1%
9.5%
(1.5%)
(6.0%)
9.9%
1.2%
3.5%
1.0%
27.7%
40.5%
17.7%
(34.8%)
(35.9%)
2.0%
(14.3%)
(9.3%)
24.0%
1.1%
27.5%
(13.9%)
(6.4%)
2.2%
(0.4%)
(13.3%)
12.9%
(6.9%)
(3.7%)
(4.5%)
(2.5%)
9.2%
(4.0%)
(2.5%)
1.3%
4.2%
(0.8%)
(3.4%)
1.8%
0.9%
(2.1%)
0.3%
4.1%
(3.2%)
7.8%
1.1%
(2.6%)
7.5%
(0.5%)
3.8%
(0.7%)
26.2%
30.9%
73.1%
(40.0%)
(53.3%)
(11.4%)
(32.8%)
(30.9%)
14.6%
(5.3%)
37.8%
(28.4%)
(9.4%)
(1.0%)
(3.0%)
(10.0%)
7.0%
(9.3%)
(4.5%)
(4.0%)
0.4%
6.9%
(3.0%)
(3.6%)
0.7%
(0.2%)
0.4%
(2.3%)
(1.5%)
(0.9%)
1.0%
0.6%
4.1%
1.0%
7.1%
(0.6%)
(2.0%)
9.6%
0.4%
3.7%
5.4%
24.7%
2.4%
(3.6%)
(40.7%)
(5.6%)
(9.5%)
(17.2%)
14.4%
4.1%
9.8%
(14.8%)
(2.1%)
4.7%
2.3%
(4.7%)
5.8%
(2.8%)
(0.2%)
1.9%
1.8%
8.0%
(9.1%)
(3.6%)
0.7%
(1.8%)
(0.8%)
0.2%
(1.6%)
8.8%
(0.6%)
1.9%
4.6%
0.2%
3.6%
1.1%
(1.8%)
3.1%
(0.3%)
3.3%
0.1%
PNC
1.13
1.13
C
2.35
2.35
GS
1.46
1.46
MS
1.62
1.62
COF
1.57
1.57
BK
0.96
0.96
1.09
1.90
1.31
1.42
1.38
0.97
7.8%
8.2%
0.74
12.4%
14.9%
0.72
9.1%
9.2%
0.80
9.7%
10.8%
0.73
9.5%
11.2%
0.69
7.2%
7.0%
0.78
MS
COF
Returns
PNC
(0.6%)
(8.5%)
(0.2%)
5.8%
1.8%
(2.1%)
(7.2%)
3.2%
(0.0%)
4.3%
(1.1%)
1.4%
8.8%
(6.8%)
4.3%
1.3%
1.5%
1.0%
2.7%
(6.8%)
4.4%
1.5%
(2.8%)
6.4%
2.4%
3.5%
0.8%
4.7%
2.1%
0.2%
(5.0%)
4.9%
1.8%
5.5%
(0.2%)
(17.6%)
(4.3%)
1.7%
7.3%
(7.2%)
(8.5%)
5.9%
2.1%
1.5%
3.5%
(1.7%)
11.7%
(13.2%)
0.3%
0.8%
3.3%
0.3%
5.6%
3.9%
(1.0%)
(0.7%)
0.7%
(2.1%)
2.5%
(9.0%)
(1.5%)
8.5%
0.6%
0.4%
(7.3%)
8.7%
(7.7%)
11.4%
GS
(1.2%)
(10.4%)
(5.2%)
1.7%
7.9%
(7.9%)
(7.7%)
(1.8%)
1.3%
5.3%
4.5%
(1.0%)
10.4%
(11.1%)
2.9%
(0.5%)
3.5%
2.5%
3.9%
3.2%
4.8%
0.3%
(2.5%)
(1.6%)
1.8%
(7.4%)
4.9%
5.4%
1.7%
4.0%
(7.0%)
8.4%
(6.7%)
11.3%
(0.7%)
(18.2%)
(7.3%)
4.0%
5.2%
(8.6%)
(11.3%)
0.5%
1.5%
2.4%
5.0%
(0.3%)
5.9%
(12.6%)
10.3%
0.7%
1.4%
0.8%
6.1%
0.3%
4.8%
(0.2%)
(0.4%)
1.2%
4.4%
(5.7%)
0.2%
8.9%
6.8%
4.6%
(5.3%)
11.6%
(5.7%)
16.9%
(0.9%)
(9.1%)
(8.1%)
0.0%
8.8%
(6.7%)
(3.9%)
(7.6%)
5.3%
3.9%
2.6%
0.1%
7.9%
(11.3%)
(0.8%)
0.9%
1.4%
(0.5%)
3.6%
(3.7%)
4.7%
7.2%
(4.2%)
5.1%
4.5%
(7.8%)
7.0%
4.8%
(0.1%)
6.5%
(6.1%)
9.9%
3.1%
6.0%
BK
(2.0%)
(11.7%)
(6.0%)
5.3%
6.8%
(1.6%)
(8.3%)
3.8%
(3.2%)
2.4%
5.6%
2.8%
8.7%
(10.8%)
1.3%
3.4%
0.4%
(1.1%)
0.4%
4.6%
8.4%
2.0%
(3.5%)
10.3%
0.1%
(8.1%)
3.7%
6.0%
5.8%
1.5%
(5.4%)
12.7%
(6.7%)
6.5%
2.7%
6.6%
1.0%
6.7%
3.9%
(3.5%)
(7.2%)
1.5%
5.2%
(2.6%)
(0.5%)
(7.4%)
3.5%
8.4%
1.0%
2.8%
6.4%
0.9%
12.2%
(3.9%)
(7.6%)
(8.4%)
(4.5%)
0.1%
(0.5%)
2.1%
2.8%
(1.0%)
12.8%
(0.1%)
4.0%
1.8%
(14.1%)
5.3%
(10.0%)
(6.6%)
12.8%
11.0%
(3.0%)
5.2%
(7.4%)
16.5%
0.9%
14.1%
16.2%
(5.3%)
(14.8%)
5.5%
5.4%
(0.5%)
6.6%
14.4%
(7.5%)
14.3%
10.1%
9.6%
(1.0%)
3.4%
(19.7%)
(9.6%)
9.7%
8.5%
16.8%
(4.3%)
(13.0%)
23.3%
(17.5%)
(19.0%)
(7.9%)
1.2%
(10.3%)
3.8%
(5.6%)
(2.9%)
1.9%
12.6%
0.7%
6.6%
5.4%
(9.5%)
9.0%
(5.1%)
(9.4%)
7.9%
19.1%
2.4%
0.3%
(19.5%)
0.5%
(15.5%)
(3.2%)
57.7%
6.7%
(20.2%)
(0.7%)
(1.7%)
1.6%
15.9%
8.3%
(3.4%)
7.7%
7.5%
5.2%
5.3%
0.2%
(16.5%)
(7.4%)
8.0%
3.6%
23.3%
(5.7%)
(12.2%)
15.9%
(18.6%)
(13.6%)
1.4%
(5.4%)
(6.6%)
(4.8%)
(3.2%)
0.3%
(2.7%)
7.7%
(2.9%)
11.4%
5.6%
(9.0%)
14.9%
(9.0%)
(0.4%)
(14.9%)
9.1%
5.4%
(11.9%)
(0.5%)
(0.1%)
(7.7%)
11.4%
1.5%
10.8%
2.0%
1.0%
(2.5%)
(1.1%)
19.5%
13.3%
(2.9%)
4.1%
11.6%
9.8%
(6.0%)
9.2%
(22.7%)
(11.8%)
5.9%
(0.6%)
23.6%
2.3%
(16.2%)
31.0%
(22.8%)
(21.3%)
(3.1%)
(4.8%)
(7.6%)
(4.1%)
(8.0%)
1.0%
8.2%
11.2%
(1.6%)
1.0%
(0.0%)
(8.5%)
16.5%
(14.4%)
(10.3%)
3.3%
3.9%
5.2%
(9.4%)
(6.3%)
(1.7%)
4.2%
6.6%
1.6%
0.1%
(6.0%)
5.2%
7.7%
(9.3%)
(2.8%)
0.6%
(4.2%)
5.5%
0.8%
0.2%
3.3%
6.4%
(7.3%)
(0.5%)
10.2%
10.7%
8.2%
(5.3%)
(2.1%)
15.2%
(13.9%)
(3.5%)
(7.5%)
(4.9%)
(0.6%)
5.3%
4.4%
3.4%
13.2%
14.3%
0.0%
(5.8%)
4.4%
(10.4%)
5.0%
(2.4%)
(4.8%)
4.8%
9.7%
2.6%
(3.9%)
(0.1%)
4.9%
2.4%
(4.2%)
21.7%
40.3%
(10.5%)
1.4%
3.1%
(0.1%)
6.2%
7.4%
(3.1%)
9.8%
0.4%
5.9%
(2.4%)
7.8%
(13.9%)
(1.4%)
9.1%
9.8%
1.7%
2.3%
(8.6%)
15.2%
(10.1%)
(17.7%)
(1.5%)
(8.9%)
(2.9%)
(2.6%)
(1.7%)
(2.7%)
3.7%
11.9%
7.7%
(3.7%)
7.7%
(3.2%)
1.9%
(9.2%)
(12.6%)
1.1%
8.3%
(2.0%)
4.3%
5.0%
(0.1%)
(7.7%)
(2.1%)
8.3%
(6.4%)
5.5%
14.7%
36.0%
7.1%
(15.9%)
(32.7%)
(7.1%)
(20.8%)
(9.9%)
3.8%
0.9%
26.3%
(11.1%)
(7.4%)
6.8%
6.7%
(6.4%)
1.0%
(10.3%)
1.5%
6.9%
(3.2%)
5.6%
(6.1%)
(3.0%)
(0.4%)
3.9%
(1.8%)
(0.7%)
0.4%
4.7%
0.9%
(2.6%)
2.3%
(0.1%)
1.7%
1.8%
(3.6%)
7.1%
(4.3%)
8.5%
5.7%
22.0%
20.6%
68.7%
(57.7%)
(47.0%)
(19.1%)
(39.3%)
(32.6%)
8.0%
1.6%
13.4%
(23.4%)
(12.3%)
18.0%
(9.7%)
(15.8%)
(3.2%)
(11.6%)
(19.5%)
(10.2%)
(0.4%)
1.8%
(9.2%)
(5.9%)
2.6%
4.4%
1.9%
(7.7%)
(1.0%)
12.3%
(0.2%)
1.0%
0.6%
3.2%
0.1%
(2.1%)
(1.3%)
6.9%
1.9%
0.6%
(4.0%)
12.8%
21.2%
16.4%
13.4%
(4.3%)
6.8%
(14.6%)
(27.5%)
(21.9%)
(10.9%)
5.4%
(0.9%)
(7.8%)
15.9%
(2.5%)
(15.0%)
(7.0%)
(5.1%)
(8.6%)
14.6%
23.1%
(6.5%)
(13.0%)
(6.1%)
5.6%
6.0%
2.4%
(4.9%)
6.6%
2.3%
2.6%
12.4%
13.8%
(2.7%)
1.8%
(0.3%)
(5.8%)
2.3%
11.1%
0.0%
10.8%
28.3%
4.1%
16.5%
(3.4%)
27.9%
8.7%
(15.6%)
(23.1%)
(43.7%)
3.4%
10.3%
(18.4%)
(9.0%)
7.0%
8.5%
(14.6%)
(6.6%)
0.7%
(21.6%)
7.2%
1.0%
(2.3%)
(7.9%)
(1.4%)
1.2%
7.0%
5.1%
(9.5%)
2.0%
6.9%
(0.4%)
5.2%
10.8%
(1.1%)
5.7%
6.0%
(7.3%)
2.8%
5.3%
(2.9%)
8.8%
46.3%
36.8%
1.6%
(21.9%)
(50.3%)
(7.3%)
(11.2%)
(23.3%)
15.5%
6.3%
10.1%
(21.0%)
(8.6%)
7.7%
6.9%
(15.1%)
15.6%
(11.3%)
(18.7%)
(1.3%)
2.7%
(8.6%)
(9.8%)
(1.7%)
7.5%
(1.6%)
(2.0%)
(4.2%)
4.7%
(1.4%)
(1.8%)
0.9%
7.6%
(5.5%)
(9.5%)
3.2%
(4.4%)
7.6%
(8.1%)
5.2%
(3.6%)
9.0%
(9.5%)
27.4%
(13.9%)
(8.0%)
(6.2%)
(8.4%)
2.0%
(5.9%)
(2.5%)
(5.5%)
(15.0%)
2.3%
4.9%
(4.9%)
(5.7%)
(4.1%)
1.7%
(1.8%)
11.3%
9.2%
(5.0%)
(2.6%)
2.2%
0.2%
0.4%
(0.2%)
1.5%
2.2%
10.8%
3.4%
(1.9%)
4.5%
0.4%
5.1%
(3.1%)
(5.5%)
(1.9%)
5.3%
7.6%
0.5%
20.0%
f(x)==0.434815754
R
1.3051281956x + 0.0032867662
10.0%
(20.0%)
(15.0%)
(10.0%)
(5.0%)
0.0%
0.0%
(10.0%)
(20.0%)
(30.0%)
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
4
6
3
7
2
1
10
8
11
9
5
7
2
3
6
5
1
10
8
11
9
4
8
7
1
5
6
2
11
10
9
4
3
S&P
JPM
WFC
BAC
USB
PNC
C
GS
MS
COF
BK
6-mo
1-Yr
3- Yr
(6.0%)
(11.9%)
22.4%
(10.6%)
(5.2%)
25.3%
(5.7%)
(7.0%)
53.6%
(14.0%)
(10.6%)
27.0%
(4.9%)
(8.7%)
25.6%
(4.4%)
(4.3%)
47.9%
(20.4%)
(18.6%)
1.8%
(15.1%)
(15.0%)
10.5%
(24.6%)
(26.8%)
18.4%
(16.0%)
(16.2%)
33.7%
(10.0%)
(7.8%)
38.2%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
PNC
USB
WFC
S&P
BK
JPM
BAC
GS
COF
C
MS
6-mo
(4.4%)
(4.9%)
(5.7%)
(6.0%)
(10.0%)
(10.6%)
(14.0%)
(15.1%)
(16.0%)
(20.4%)
(24.6%)
1-Yr
(4.3%)
(8.7%)
(7.0%)
(11.9%)
(7.8%)
(5.2%)
(10.6%)
(15.0%)
(16.2%)
(18.6%)
(26.8%)
3- Yr
47.9%
25.6%
53.6%
22.4%
38.2%
25.3%
27.0%
10.5%
33.7%
1.8%
18.4%
Trading assets
Securities(e)
Loans
Total assets
Deposits
Long-term debt(f)
Common stockholders' equity
Total stockholders' equity
Headcount
Credit quality metrics
Allowance for credit losses
Allowance for loan losses to total retained
loans
Allowance for loan losses to retained loans
excluding purchased credit-impaired
loans(g)
Nonperforming assets
Net charge-offs
Net charge-off rate
2014
$
2015
94,205 $
61,274
32,931
3,139
29,792
8,030
21,762 $
93,543
59,014
34,529
3,827
30,702
6,260
24,442
5.34 $
5.29
3,763.50
3,797.50
6.05
6.00
3,700.40
3,732.80
232,472 $
3,714.80
241,899
3,663.50
63.49 $
52.97
62.58
57.07
44.69
1.58
70.08
54.37
66.03
60.46
48.13
1.72
10%
11%
13
0.89
65
56
13
0.99
600 $
496
10.20%
11.60
13.10
7.60
11.80%
13.50
15.00
398,988 $
348,004
757,336
2,573,126
1,363,427
276,836
212,002
232,065
241,359
14,807
1.90%
1.55
7,967
4,759
0.65%
343,839
290,827
837,299
2,351,698
1,279,715
288,651
221,505
247,573
234,598
indicated.
Year ended December
31,
(in millions)
Consumer & Community
Banking
Investment Bank
Commercial Banking
Asset Management
Corporate
Total
Line of Business
Consumer & Community Banking
Corporate & Investment Bank
Commercial Banking
Asset Management
Corporate
44,368
34,633
6,882
12,028
12
97,923
45.3%
35.4%
7.0%
12.3%
0.0%
100.0%
3,520
(161)
(189)
4
(35)
3,139
112.1%
(5.1%)
(6.0%)
0.1%
(1.1%)
100.0%
Net Revenue
45.3%
35.4%
7.0%
12.3%
0.0%
Noninterest Expense
41.8%
38.0%
4.4%
13.9%
1.9%
25,609
23,273
2,695
8,538
1,159
61,274
41.8%
38.0%
4.4%
13.9%
1.9%
100.0%
Net income/(loss)
2014
$
Provision
112.1%
(5.1%)
(6.0%)
0.1%
(1.1%)
9,185
6,925
2,635
2,153
864
21,762
Net Income
42.2%
31.8%
12.1%
9.9%
4.0%
42.2%
31.8%
12.1%
9.9%
4.0%
100.0%
Pre-provision profit/(loss)
2014
$
18,759
11,360
4,187
3,490
(1,147)
36,649
Return on equity
2014
18%
10
18
23
NM
10%
51.2%
31.0%
11.4%
9.5%
(3.1%)
100.0%
Page
$6.00
$1.76
1.2
Riskfree rate=
1.74%
Risk Premium=
5.61%
$24,442.00
$221,505.00
30.00%
11.55%
(in percent)
Retention =
70.67%
(in percent)
Do you want to change any of these inputs for the high growth period?
If yes, specify the values for these inputs (Please enter all variables)
ROE =
11.55%
(in percent)
Retention =
70.67%
(in percent)
Do you want to change any of these inputs for the stable growth period?
Page
10.00%
(in percent)
Warnings
Page
8.47%
Page
$6.00
8.67%
Outside Estimates =
7.50%
Fundamental Growth =
8.16%
Weighted Average
8.10%
$1.90
$2.06
Page
Page
Extraordinary
Growth
($13.98)
($12.06)
($10.06)
($7.98)
($5.81)
($3.57)
($1.24)
$1.18
$3.69
$6.29
$8.99
$11.79
$14.69
$17.69
$20.80
$24.02
$27.36
growth rate.
Page
s to the model
(in currency)
(in currency)
5
(in years)
No
(Yes or No)
(in percent)
(in percent)
(in percent)
No
(Yes or No)
$3.96
(in currency)
Yes
(Yes or No)
7.50%
(in percent)
Yes
Last year
(Yes or No)
(in currency)
Yes
(Yes or No)
No
(Yes or No)
Page
40.00%
(in percent)
40.00%
(in percent)
20.00%
(in percent)
4.50%
(in percent)
55.00%
(in percent)
Yes
(Yes or No)
30.00%
(in percent)
Yes
(Yes or No)
1.1
he next page.
Warnings
Page
Page
Weight
40.00%
40.00%
20.00%
29.33%
$2.22
$2.40
$2.60
4.50%
30.00%
7.91%
$81.40
$8.71
$54.20
$62.91
Page
$22.25
$31.67
$8.99
$62.91
Growth period
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Value
$1.23
$2.79
$4.35
$5.90
$7.45
$8.99
$10.53
$12.06
$13.59
$15.11
$16.63
Page
Page
Page
Page
Page
Page
Page
Name of company:
Date of valuation:
Inputsfromcurrentfinancials
NetIncome=
BookValueofEquity=
CurrentEarningspershare=
CurrentDividendspershare=
Doyouwanttonormalizethenetincome/earningspershare?
InputsforDiscountRate
Betaofthestock=
Riskfreerate=
RiskPremium=
InputsforHighGrowthPeriod
Lengthofhighgrowthperiod
Doyouwanttocalculatethegrowthratefromfundamentals?
Ifno,entertheexpectedgrowthrateinearningsinhighgrowthperiod=
Ifyes,thefollowingwillbetheinputstothefundamentalgrowthformulation:
ROE=
Retention=
Doyouwanttochangeanyoftheseinputsforthehighgrowthperiod?
Ifyes,specifythevaluesfortheseinputs(Pleaseenterallvariables)
ROE=
Retention=
Doyouwanttochangeanyoftheseinputsforthestablegrowthperiod?
Ifyes,specifythevaluesfortheseinputs
ROE=
Doyouwantmetograduallyadjustyourinputsduringthesecondhalf?
InputsforStableGrowthPeriod
Entergrowthrateinstablegrowthperiod?
Stablepayoutratiofromfundamentalsis=
Doyouwanttochangethispayoutratio?
Ifyes,enterthestablepayoutratio=
Willthebetatochangeinthestableperiod?
Ifyes,enterthebetaforstableperiod=
JP Morgan Chase
31-Dec-15
$24,406.00
$221,505.00
$6.00
$1.80
No
1.2044358911
1.74%
5.61%
Lastyear
$211,664.00
(incurrency)
(incurrency)
(inpercent)
(inpercent)
10
Yes
(YesorNo)
11.53%
70.01%
No
(inpercent)
(inpercent)
Yes
(inpercent)
(inpercent)
10.00%
Yes
(inpercent)
4.50%
(inpercent)
55.00%
Yes
30.00%
(inpercent)
(YesorNo)
(inpercent)
Yes
1.10
(YesorNo)
(incurrency)
(incurrency)
Bloomberg.com2/20/2016
AswathDamodaranwebsite2/20/2016
NormalizedEarningsCalculatio
Choosetheapproachtonormalizedearnings
Approach1:AverageNetIncomeoverlast5years
NetIncome
Approach2:Normalizedreturnonequity
NormalizedROE=
1
5
$18,976.00
22%
4
$21,284.00
3
$17,923.00
alizedEarningsCalculation
2
$21,762.00
Current
$24,406.00
Average
$20,870.20
Outputfromtheprogram
CostofEquity=
8.50%
NetIncome=
$24,406
EarningsperShare=
$6.00
GrowthrateinEPS=
8.07%
PayoutRatioforhighgrowthphase=
29.99%
Thedividendsforthehighgrowthphaseareshownbelow(upto10years)
1
ExpectedGrowthRate
8.07%
8.07%
Earningspershare
$6.49
$7.01
Payoutratio
29.99%
29.99%
Dividendspershare
$1.95
$2.10
CostofEquity
8.50%
8.50%
108.50%
117.72%
$1.79
$1.79
CumulativeCostofEquity
PresentValue
GrowthRateinStablePhase=
4.50%
Page
PayoutRatioinStablePhase=
30.00%
CostofEquityinStablePhase=
7.91%
Priceattheendofgrowthphase=
$108.45
PresentValueofdividendsinhighgrowthphase=
PresentValueofTerminalPrice=
Valueofthestock=
Estimatingthevalueofgrowth
Valueofassetsinplace=
$75.87
Valueofstablegrowth=
($20.71)
Valueofextraordinarygrowth=
$10.89
Valueofthestock=
$66.06
Page
utfromtheprogram
8.07%
8.07%
8.07%
7.36%
6.64%
$7.58
$8.19
$8.85
$9.50
$10.13
29.99%
29.99%
29.99%
29.99%
29.99%
$2.27
$2.46
$2.65
$2.85
$3.04
8.50%
8.50%
8.50%
8.38%
8.26%
127.72%
138.57%
150.34%
162.94%
176.41%
$1.78
$1.77
$1.77
$1.75
$1.72
Page
$17.29
$48.77
$66.06
Page
10
5.93%
5.21%
4.50%
$10.73
$11.29
$11.80
30.00%
30.00%
30.00%
$3.22
$3.39
$3.54
8.15%
8.03%
7.91%
190.77%
206.09%
222.39%
$1.69
$1.64
$1.59
Page
Page
Page
Page