Вы находитесь на странице: 1из 27

Going from Optimization to Innovation

in Unconventional Oil and Gas


PROPEL Energy Tech Forum
March 2016

This presentation contains information that is proprietary to ADI Analytics LLC. No part of it may be used,
circulated, quoted, or reproduced for distribution without written permission from ADI Analytics LLC.

4 About ADI Analytics


4 Going from Optimization to Innovation in Unconventional Oil and Gas

www.adi-analytics.com

ADI Analytics is a boutique consulting firm serving energy


and chemical companies with passion, rigor, and expertise
Markets

Technology

Operations

Functions

Exploration

Production

Refining

Distribution

Coal

Generation

Transmission

Carbon

Biomass

Solar

Wind

Geothermal

Plastics

Materials

Auto

Manufacturing

Oil &
Gas

Power &
Mining

Renewables &
Cleantech

Chemical &
Industrial

www.adi-analytics.com

Fortune 500 and mid-sized companies, start-ups, investors,


and governments have hired us to shape decisions globally

www.adi-analytics.com

4 About ADI Analytics


4 Going from Optimization to Innovation in Unconventional Oil and Gas

www.adi-analytics.com

Key messages

Rocks matter more than you think First movers among North American
unconventional players are benefiting more from operational best practices.

www.adi-analytics.com

North American unconventionals was a small business


revolution and not led by Big Oil

Pioneers

Fast
followers

Acquirers /
late entrants

Experience and Capability in Unconventionals

www.adi-analytics.com

First movers who pivoted quickly away from gas to oil and
liquids acreage EOG and Pioneer have done really well
Investment Performance for Top Operators
(Total Shareholder Return, 2012-15)

44%

42%

EOG

PXD

OXY
-29%

COP

APC

-36%

-37%

DVN

APA

-49%

-51%

ECA

-73%

www.adi-analytics.com

CHK

-81%

Key messages

Drilling rig productivity and multi-well pads have provided most of the cost
reductions in North American unconventionals.

www.adi-analytics.com

Drilling costs for unconventional oil and gas wells have come
down significantly
Drilling Costs in the Eagle Ford
(USD Per Foot)
$127
$106
$99
$90

$91
$81

2010

2011

2012
Equipment

www.adi-analytics.com

2013
Consumables
10

2014
Other

2015

$75

2016

With varying levels of reduction across key categories


Drilling Costs in the Eagle Ford
(USD Per Foot)
$127
$106
$99
$90

$91
$81

2010

2011

2012
Equipment

www.adi-analytics.com

2013
Consumables
11

2014
Other

2015

$75

2016

Cost reductions in the past 18 months, however, have come


mainly from deep price discounts for oilfield services
Drilling Costs in the Eagle Ford
(USD Per Foot)
$127
Deep discounting of
oilfield services

$106
$99
$90

$91
$81

2010

2011

2012
Equipment

www.adi-analytics.com

2013
Consumables
12

2014
Other

2015

$75

2016

Through 2014, rig productivity and multi-well pads cut drilling


costs but drill bits and drilling chemicals have changed little
Drilling Costs in the Eagle Ford
(USD Per Foot)
$127
$106
$99
$90

$91

Consumables
= -7%

Equipment
= -26%

2010

2011

2012
Equipment

www.adi-analytics.com

2013
Consumables
13

2014
Other

Key messages

Completion costs have not really fallen and could be fertile ground for new
technologies and innovation.

www.adi-analytics.com

14

Completion costs have also fallen but more slowly in


comparion to drilling costs
Completion Costs in the Eagle Ford
(USD Per Foot of Lateral Length)
$756
$653

$639

$660
$550
$442

$292

2010

2011
Stimulation

www.adi-analytics.com

2012
OCTG

2013
Equipment
15

2014

2015

Water disposal

Total

2016

Perforation and frac stimulation is the largest cost item; the


share of other cost categories very significantly by play
Completion Costs in the Eagle Ford
(USD Per Foot of Lateral Length)
$756
$653

$639

$660
$550
$442

$292

2010

2011

2012

Stimulation
www.adi-analytics.com

OCTG

2013
Equipment
16

2014

2015

Water disposal

2016

Aggressive cost reductions seen recently are mainly due to


oilfield service discounts versus efficiency or innovation
Completion Costs in the Eagle Ford
(USD Per Foot of Lateral Length)
$756
$653

$639

Deep discounting of
oilfield services

$660
$550

$442

$292

2010

2011

2012

Stimulation
www.adi-analytics.com

OCTG

2013
Equipment
17

2014

2015

Water disposal

2016

Through 2014, completion capabilities have improved but


costs have not fallen as much as those for drilling
Completion Costs in the Eagle Ford
(USD Per Foot of Lateral Length)
$756
$653

$639

$660
$550

Stimulation
= -11%

2010

2011

2012

Stimulation
www.adi-analytics.com

OCTG

2013
Equipment
18

2014
Water disposal

Key messages

Unconventional cost reductions have come mainly from operational optimization


than the development and adoption of new technologies.

www.adi-analytics.com

19

Unconventional players have adopted numerous initiatives to


reduce costs across the value chain
1

Exploration

Drilling

Completions

Production

2D Seismic

Multi-well pads

Sequential / parallel fracs

Production facility optim.

Advanced core analysis

Walking rigs

Zipper fracs

Water management

3D Seismic

Own rig transportation

Own sand mines/frac flts.

Flare gas management

Reservoir modeling

Fit-for-purpose rigs

Own water systems

Emission reduction

Microseismic

Geosteering

Longer laterals

Refracturing

Well spacing

More stages

Well orientation

Proppant use optimization

Bi-fuel rigs

Bi-fuel frac fleets

Customized well designs

Microseismic

SIMOPS

Green completions

Well placement

Flowback analysis

Batch drilling

Engineered completions
Energized fracs

www.adi-analytics.com

20

But most of the widely-practiced are primarily efforts to


optimize operations and not really new technologies
1

Exploration

Drilling

Completions

Production

2D Seismic

Multi-well pads

Sequential / parallel fracs

Production facility optim.

Advanced core analysis

Walking rigs

Zipper fracs

Water management

3D Seismic

Own rig transportation

Own sand mines/frac flts.

Flare gas management

Reservoir modeling

Fit-for-purpose rigs

Own water systems

Emission reduction

Microseismic

Geosteering

Longer laterals

Refracturing

Well spacing

More stages

Well orientation

Proppant use optimization

Bi-fuel rigs

Bi-fuel frac fleets

Customized well designs

Microseismic

SIMOPS

Green completions

Well placement

Flowback analysis

Batch drilling

Engineered completions
Energized fracs

www.adi-analytics.com

21

Going beyond optimization, unconventional oil and gas


operators have several pain points and innovation needs
Major Innovation Challenges
1 Ability to explore for sweet spots
Exploration

2 Improve predictive modeling capabilities


3 Develop tools for hydrocarbon characterization

4 Develop faster, cheaper, precise, and cleaner D&C technologies


Drilling &
Completions

5 Improve completions with better fractures and equipment


6 Increase hydrocarbon recovery or reduce shale gas well decline rates

7 Optimize water and emission footprint through new practices and technologies
Production

8 Reduce decline rates through EOR, in-fill drilling, refracs, and other tools
9 Develop technologies that allow for better integration with midstream assets

www.adi-analytics.com

22

How do we put the wells in the right place, with the right
orientation, and choose where to complete based on data?
Produce far too many
under-performing fractures

Current unconventional
best practices

60%

Limited exploration, if any

Find sweet spots


by trial and error

40%

Perforate the reservoir


every 50 or 100 feet

Stimulate stages with identical


fluid and proppant volumes
Low
www.adi-analytics.com

23

High

Energized fracs can compete with water only if the latters


lifecycle costs are fully included in completion costs
With Lifeycle Water Costs
(U.S. $ Million)

Fracture Treatment in Montney


(U.S. $ Million)

Slickwater
www.adi-analytics.com

Slickwater

N2 Foam
24

CO2 Foam

N2 Foam

Natural gas flaring is emerging as a key issue addressing


which will require new technologies at a smaller scale

Gas Production and Flaring


(Billion Cubic Feet Per Day)

Bakken Flaring Rates by Well


(Thousand Cubic Feet Per Day)
2,500

2,000

0.8 Sold

1,500

0.6
0.5

1,000

0.3

0.2
0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

0.2 0.2

500

0.2

0.1 0.1 0.1


0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

0.2

0.2

0.3 0.3

Flared

2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014


www.adi-analytics.com

25

200

400

600

800

1000

Key messages

Rocks matter more than you think First movers among North American
unconventional players are benefiting more from operational best practices.

Drilling rig productivity and multi-well pads have provided most of the cost
reductions in North American unconventionals.

Completion costs have not really fallen and could be fertile ground for new
technologies and innovation.

Unconventional cost reductions have come mainly from operational optimization


than the development and adoption of new technologies.

www.adi-analytics.com

26

440 Cobia Drive


Suite 1704
Houston, Texas 77494

+1.832.768.8806
info@adi-analytics.com
www.adi-analytics.com

Copyright 2009-2016 ADI Analytics LLC.

Вам также может понравиться