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NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll October 2016 New Hampshire Questionnaire

Residents: n=1,138 MOE +/- 2.9% Registered Voters: n=1,020 MOE +/- 3.1% Likely Voters: n=768 MOE +/- 3.5% Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding. Screener <Marist Poll Introduction> Are you 18 years of age or older?

Do you consider your permanent home address to be in New Hampshire?

HH SELECTION – LANDLINE FRAME ONLY

GENDER GUESS

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as president?

LIKELY VOTERS

October 2016

September 2016

Approve

52

47

Disapprove

45

49

Unsure

3

4

Total

100

100

 

REGISTERED VOTERS

October 2016

September 2016

Approve

52

47

Disapprove

45

48

Unsure

4

5

Total

100

100

 

RESIDENTS

October 2016

September 2016

Approve

53

47

Disapprove

43

46

Unsure

5

7

Total

100

100

If November's presidential election were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are [including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate or already voted]:

LIKELY VOTERS

October 2016

September 2016

Hillary Clinton and Tim Kaine, the Democrats

47

42

Donald Trump and Mike Pence, the Republicans

39

41

Neither

9

11

Other

3

2

Undecided

2

3

Total

100

100

REGISTERED VOTERS

October 2016

September 2016

Hillary Clinton and Tim Kaine, the Democrats

47

40

Donald Trump and Mike Pence, the Republicans

38

40

Neither

10

14

Other

2

2

Undecided

2

4

Total

100

100

NBC News/WSJ/Marist New Hampshire Poll October 2016; Page 1

Would you say you strongly support <candidate>, somewhat support them, or do you think you might vote differently on Election Day [including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate or already voted]? LIKELY VOTERS WITH A CANDIDATE PREFERENCE

October 2016

September 2016

Strongly support

68

65

Somewhat support

28

27

Might vote differently

3

7

Unsure

1

1

Total

100

100

REGISTERED VOTERS WITH A CANDIDATE PREFERENCE

October 2016

September 2016

Strongly support

65

62

Somewhat support

30

29

Might vote differently

4

7

Unsure

1

1

Total

100

100

If November's presidential election were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are [including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate or already voted]:

LIKELY VOTERS Hillary Clinton, the Democrat

October 2016

September 2016

45

39

Donald Trump, the Republican Gary Johnson, the Libertarian Jill Stein, of the Green Party Other Undecided Total

36

37

10

15

4

3

2

1

3

5

100

100

REGISTERED VOTERS

October 2016

September 2016

Hillary Clinton, the Democrat

44

37

Donald Trump, the Republican

35

36

Gary Johnson, the Libertarian

11

17

Jill Stein, of the Green Party

4

3

Other

3

1

Undecided

4

6

Total

100

100

NBC News/WSJ/Marist New Hampshire Poll October 2016; Page 2

Overall, do you have a favorable or an unfavorable impression of Hillary Clinton?

LIKELY VOTERS

October 2016

September 2016

Favorable

42

38

Unfavorable

55

59

Unsure/Never heard

3

3

Total

100

100

REGISTERED VOTERS

October 2016

September 2016

Favorable

40

37

Unfavorable

56

59

Unsure/Never heard

4

4

Total

100

100

RESIDENTS

October 2016

September 2016

Favorable

40

35

Unfavorable

56

60

Unsure/Never heard

4

5

Total

100

100

Overall, do you have a favorable or an unfavorable impression of Donald Trump?

LIKELY VOTERS

October 2016

September 2016

Favorable

29

36

Unfavorable

68

61

Unsure/Never heard

3

4

Total

100

100

REGISTERED VOTERS

October 2016

September 2016

Favorable

28

34

Unfavorable

69

62

Unsure/Never heard

3

4

Total

100

100

RESIDENTS

October 2016

September 2016

Favorable

27

33

Unfavorable

69

63

Unsure/Never heard

4

5

Total

100

100

NBC News/WSJ/Marist New Hampshire Poll October 2016; Page 3

If November's election for U.S. Senate in New Hampshire were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are [including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate or already voted]:

LIKELY VOTERS Maggie Hassan, the Democrat Kelly Ayotte, the Republican Other Undecided Total

October 2016

September 2016

47

44

48

52

2

<1

2

4

100

100

REGISTERED VOTERS

October 2016

September 2016

Maggie Hassan, the Democrat

47

44

Kelly Ayotte, the Republican

48

51

Other

2

<1

Undecided

3

5

Total

100

100

Would you say you strongly support <candidate>, somewhat support <candidate>, or do you think you might vote differently on Election Day? LIKELY VOTERS WITH A CANDIDATE PREFERENCE

October 2016

September 2016

Strongly support

65

64

Somewhat support

29

29

Might vote differently

5

7

Unsure

1

<1

Total

100

100

REGISTERED VOTERS WITH A CANDIDATE PREFERENCE

October 2016

September 2016

Strongly support

63

62

Somewhat support

31

30

Might vote differently

6

7

Unsure

1

1

Total

100

100

NBC News/WSJ/Marist New Hampshire Poll October 2016; Page 4

If November's election for governor in New Hampshire were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are [including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate or already voted]:

LIKELY VOTERS Colin Van Ostern, The Democrat Chris Sununu, The Republican Other Undecided Total

October 2016

47

46

2

4

100

REGISTERED VOTERS

October 2016

Colin Van Ostern, The Democrat

47

Chris Sununu, The Republican

46

Other

2

Undecided

5

Total

100

Would you say you strongly support <candidate>, somewhat support <candidate>, or do you think you might vote differently on Election Day? LIKELY VOTERS WITH A CANDIDATE PREFERENCE Strongly support

or do you think you might vote differently on Election Day? LIKELY VOTERS WITH A CANDIDATE

Somewhat support Might vote differently Unsure Total

Somewhat support Might vote differently Unsure Total
Somewhat support Might vote differently Unsure Total
Somewhat support Might vote differently Unsure Total

October 2016

50

43

7

1

100

REGISTERED VOTERS WITH A CANDIDATE PREFERENCE

October 2016

Strongly support

49

Somewhat support

44

Might vote differently

7

Unsure

1

Total

100

NBC News/WSJ/Marist New Hampshire Poll October 2016; Page 5

Are you male or female?

LIKELY VOTERS

October 2016

September 2016

Male

48

49

Female

52

51

Total

100

100

 

REGISTERED VOTERS

October 2016

September 2016

Male

49

48

Female

51

52

Total

100

100

 

RESIDENTS

October 2016

September 2016

Male

49

49

Female

51

51

Total

100

100

Nature of the Sample: NBC News/WSJ/Marist New Hampshire Poll of 1,138 Adults

This survey of 1,138 adults was conducted October 20th through October 24th, 2016 by The Marist Poll sponsored and funded in partnership with NBC News and The Wall Street Journal . Adults 18 years of age and older residing in the state of New Hampshire were contacted on landline or mobile numbers and interviewed in English or Spanish by telephone using live interviewers. Landline telephone numbers were randomly selected based upon a list of telephone exchanges from throughout the state of New Hampshire from ASDE Survey Sampler, Inc. The exchanges were selected to ensure that each region was represented in proportion to its population. Respondents in the household were randomly selected by first asking for the youngest male. This landline sample was combined with respondents reached through random dialing of mobile phone numbers from Survey Sampling International. Assistance was provided by Luce Research for data collection. After the interviews were completed, the two samples were combined and balanced to reflect the 2013 American Community Survey 5- year estimates for age, gender, income, race, and region. Results are statistically significant within ±2.9 percentage points. There are 1,020 registered voters. The results for this subset are statistically significant within ±3.1 percentage points. There are 768 likely voters defined by a probability turnout model which determines the likelihood respondents will participate in the 2016 Presidential Election based upon their chance of vote, interest in the election, and past election participation. The results for this subset are statistically significant within ±3.5 percentage points. The error margin was not adjusted for sample weights and increases for cross-tabulations.

For nature of the sample and additional tables, please visit The Marist Poll

NBC News/WSJ/Marist New Hampshire Poll October 2016; Page 6

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