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NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll October 2016 Nevada Questionnaire

Residents: n=1,122 MOE +/- 2.9% Registered Voters: n=985 MOE +/- 3.1% Likely Voters: n=707 MOE +/- 3.7% Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding. Screener <Marist Poll Introduction> Are you 18 years of age or older?

Do you consider your permanent home address to be in Nevada?

HH SELECTION – LANDLINE FRAME ONLY

GENDER GUESS

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as president?

LIKELY VOTERS

October 2016

September 2016

Approve

48

46

Disapprove

46

47

Unsure

6

8

Total

100

100

 

REGISTERED VOTERS

October 2016

September 2016

Approve

49

47

Disapprove

45

44

Unsure

7

9

Total

100

100

 

RESIDENTS

October 2016

September 2016

Approve

50

47

Disapprove

42

43

Unsure

8

10

Total

100

100

If November's presidential election were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are [including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate or already voted]:

LIKELY VOTERS

October 2016

September 2016

Hillary Clinton and Tim Kaine, the Democrats

45

45

Donald Trump and Mike Pence, the Republicans

45

44

Neither

8

6

Other

1

1

Undecided

1

3

Total

100

100

REGISTERED VOTERS

October 2016

September 2016

Hillary Clinton and Tim Kaine, the Democrats

45

46

Donald Trump and Mike Pence, the Republicans

43

41

Neither

9

8

Other

1

1

Undecided

2

4

Total

100

100

NBC News/WSJ/Marist Nevada Poll October 2016; Page 1

Would you say you strongly support <candidate>, somewhat support them, or do you think you might vote differently on Election Day [including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate or already voted]?

LIKELY VOTERS WITH A CANDIDATE PREFERENCE

October 2016

September 2016

Strongly support

72

70

Somewhat support

25

25

Might vote differently

3

4

Unsure

<1

1

Total

100

100

REGISTERED VOTERS WITH A CANDIDATE PREFERENCE

October 2016

September 2016

Strongly support

68

65

Somewhat support

27

29

Might vote differently

4

5

Unsure

<1

1

Total

100

100

If November's presidential election were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are [including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate or already voted]:

LIKELY VOTERS Hillary Clinton, the Democrat

October 2016

September 2016

43

41

Donald Trump, the Republican Gary Johnson, the Libertarian Jill Stein, of the Green Party Other Undecided Total

43

42

10

8

*

3

3

1

2

4

100

100

REGISTERED VOTERS

October 2016

September 2016

Hillary Clinton, the Democrat

43

41

Donald Trump, the Republican

41

39

Gary Johnson, the Libertarian

11

9

Jill Stein, of the Green Party

*

3

Other

3

2

Undecided

3

5

Total *Determined not on ballot after September poll

100

100

NBC News/WSJ/Marist Nevada Poll October 2016; Page 2

Overall, do you have a favorable or an unfavorable impression of Hillary Clinton?

LIKELY VOTERS

October 2016

September 2016

Favorable

40

40

Unfavorable

55

55

Unsure/Never heard

5

4

Total

100

100

REGISTERED VOTERS

October 2016

September 2016

Favorable

39

39

Unfavorable

55

56

Unsure/Never heard

6

5

Total

100

100

RESIDENTS

October 2016

September 2016

Favorable

39

38

Unfavorable

54

56

Unsure/Never heard

6

7

Total

100

100

Overall, do you have a favorable or an unfavorable impression of Donald Trump?

LIKELY VOTERS

October 2016

September 2016

Favorable

38

39

Unfavorable

58

57

Unsure/Never heard

4

5

Total

100

100

REGISTERED VOTERS

October 2016

September 2016

Favorable

35

35

Unfavorable

60

59

Unsure/Never heard

5

5

Total

100

100

RESIDENTS

October 2016

September 2016

Favorable

33

33

Unfavorable

62

61

Unsure/Never heard

5

6

Total

100

100

NBC News/WSJ/Marist Nevada Poll October 2016; Page 3

If November's election for U.S. Senate in Nevada were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are [including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate or already voted]:

LIKELY VOTERS Catherine Cortez Masto, the Democrat Joe Heck, the Republican Other Undecided Total

October 2016

September 2016

42

45

49

47

4

1

5

7

100

100

REGISTERED VOTERS

October 2016

September 2016

Catherine Cortez Masto, the Democrat

42

46

Joe Heck, the Republican

47

45

Other

4

1

Undecided

6

8

Total

100

100

Would you say you strongly support <candidate>, somewhat support <candidate>, or do you think you might vote differently on Election Day? LIKELY VOTERS WITH A CANDIDATE PREFERENCE Strongly support

October 2016

55

September 2016

58

Somewhat support

38

32

Might vote differently

6

8

Unsure

1

1

Total

100

100

REGISTERED VOTERS WITH A CANDIDATE PREFERENCE

October 2016

September 2016

Strongly support

53

54

Somewhat support

38

36

Might vote differently

7

9

Unsure

1

2

Total

100

100

Are you male or female?

LIKELY VOTERS

October 2016

September 2016

Male

49

49

Female

51

51

Total

100

100

REGISTERED VOTERS

October 2016

September 2016

Male

49

49

Female

51

51

Total

100

100

RESIDENTS

October 2016

September 2016

Male

50

50

Female

50

50

Total

100

100

NBC News/WSJ/Marist Nevada Poll October 2016; Page 4

Nature of the Sample: NBC News/WSJ/Marist Nevada Poll of 1,122 Adults

This survey of 1,122 adults was conducted October 20th through October 24th, 2016 by The Marist Poll sponsored and funded in partnership with NBC News and The Wall Street Journal . Adults 18 years of age and older residing in the state of Nevada were contacted on landline or mobile numbers and interviewed in English or Spanish by telephone using live interviewers. Landline telephone numbers were randomly selected based upon a list of telephone exchanges from throughout the state of Nevada from ASDE Survey Sampler, Inc. The exchanges were selected to ensure that each region was represented in proportion to its population. Respondents in the household were randomly selected by first asking for the youngest male. This landline sample was combined with respondents reached through random dialing of mobile phone numbers from Survey Sampling International. Assistance was provided by Luce Research for data collection. After the interviews were completed, the two samples were combined and balanced to reflect the 2013 American Community Survey 5-year estimates for age, gender, income, and region, except for race, which is from the 2010 Census. Results are statistically significant within ±2.9 percentage points. There are 985 registered voters. The results for this subset are statistically significant within ±3.1 percentage points. There are 707 likely voters defined by a probability turnout model which determines the likelihood respondents will participate in the 2016 Presidential Election based upon their chance of vote, interest in the election, and past election participation. The results for this subset are statistically significant within ±3.7 percentage points. The error margin was not adjusted for sample weights and increases for cross-tabulations.

For nature of the sample and additional tables, please visit The Marist Poll

NBC News/WSJ/Marist Nevada Poll October 2016; Page 5

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