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Engagement Cant Be Pressure

1) We Meet: We dont pressure China to do anything, they


have every right to say no.
2) Counter Interpretation: Engagement must be quid pro quo
James Shinn Book Weaving the Net: Conditional Engagement with China
published by Council on Foreign Relations 1996
https://books.google.com/books/about/Weaving_the_Net.html?id=ks8O-V6I2qMC
8. Conditional engagement's recommended tactics of tit-for-tat responses are
equivalent to using carrots and sticks in response to foreign policy actions by China .
Economic engagement calls for what is described as symmetric tit-for-tat and
security engagement for asymmetric tit-for-tat. A symmetric response is one that
counters a move by China in the same place, time, and manner, an asymmetric
response might occur in another place at another time, and perhaps in another
manner. A symmetric tit-for-tat would be for Washington to counter a Chinese tariff
of two percent on imports for the United States with a tariff of two percent on
imports from China. An asymmetric tit-for-tat would be for the United States to
counter a Chinese shipment of missiles to Iran with an American shipment of F-16s
to Vietnam ( John Lewis Gaddis, Strategies of Containment: A Critical Appraisal of
Postwar American National Security Policy, New York Oxford University Press,
(1982). This is also cited in Famed Zakaria, The Reagan Strategy of Containment,"
Political Science Quarterly 105, no. 3 (199o), pp. 383- )

3) We meet our counter interpretation: demanding a


concession from China for our concession is quid pro quo
4) Counter Standards

1) Fairness
a) We control limits. Demanding quid pro quo actions massively limits the case list
b) We give neg key say-no arguments that would otherwise go unexplored
2) Field Context
a) Shinn, our interpretation author, is an expert in the field of economic
engagement with China that works with the US Council on Foreign Relations.
b) This means they are the most qualified to define what economic engagement
with China is in a context specific to China
c) We terminally control the predictability debate, which is the key internal link to
clash and pre-round preparation education
3) Education
a) Learning about international bargaining is key policy maker education

On the Voters
Prefer reasonability: if we have one good standard left at the end of the debate
dont vote on T. Competing interpretations always encourages a race to the bottom
where wed be incentivized to run T every round

CASE

A2 China Says No
1) Extend our Inherency card from the 1AC Ali and Rajagopalan
16. It Proves China wants this reduction now and views it as a
bigger threat
2) Ending Missions key concession
RT 16
US provocations may force China to declare air defense zone in S. China Sea
report
Published by RT.Com; 1 Jun, 2016 (https://www.rt.com/news/345026-air-defensechina-sea/)
Beijing has called the US involvement in the dispute the greatest threat to the
region. Chinese dredging vessels are purportedly seen in the waters around Fiery
Cross Reef in the disputed Spratly Islands in the South China Sea in this still image
from video taken by a P-8A Poseidon surveillance aircraft provided by the United
States Navy May 21, 2015. U.S. NavyChina scrambles fighter jets, warships after
US destroyer sails near disputed reef
We urge them to stop stirring up a storm in a teacup and stop sowing seeds of
discord so as to maintain peace and stability in the South China Sea, which
conforms to the common interests of all parties, Yang Yujun, spokesman for the
Ministry of National Defense (MND) said at a briefing, China Military Online reported.
Last month Beijing asked the US to stop its surveillance activities near China after
two of its fighter jets carried out what the Pentagon labeled an "unsafe" intercept of
a US military reconnaissance aircraft over the South China Sea. The incident added
fuel to the fire in the already tense relations between the two countries. What
needs to be pointed out is that the US always likes to distort facts and draw media
attention to the distance between the military aircraft of the two sides. But in
essence, the root cause for security hazards and potential accidents in the air and
at sea between China and the US is the long term, large-scale and frequent close-in
reconnaissance activities against China by the US military vessels and aircraft, a
Chinese Defense Ministry spokesman said.
3) Their card generic, our ev is specific

3) China accepting US Hegemony now Theyll cooperate with


us if we return the favor
Sisci, 15
China's New International Mindset? by Francesco Sisci January 4, 2015 at 5:00 am
(http://www.gatestoneinstitute.org/5004/china-us-leadership)
China's political mindset about international politics is at a turning point , one that
could mark the beginning of a new role for China in global affairs. On December 27,

2014, the Chinese press reported a speech by Vice Premier Wang Yang, entitled,
"The United States is the guide of the world; China is willing to join this system." In
the text, Wang Yang reportedly said, "China and United States are global economic
partners, but America is the guide of the world. America already has the leading
system and its rules; China is willing to join the system and respect those rules and
hopes to play a constructive role." These statements mark a stark contrast from the
times when China seemed extremely suspicious of America's hegemonic role in the
world. Implicitly, China now appears to admit that America has the leading role in
the world and to be willing to work with it . It is a change, it may have many
implications; at least for now it is in a positive direction. The speech does not give
any explanation for the dramatic change of heart by the Chinese leadership; it is not
clear, in fact, what brought it about. However, it is clear that, after the recent
successful meeting between presidents Barack Obama and Xi Jinping at the APEC
summit in Beijing, this is the next step. At the APEC meeting, the two sides agreed
on a number of issues that had been pretty irksome in previous years. In many
ways, after many years of strong distrust, the meeting between might have
succeeded in turning a new leaf in bilateral relations. This change goes beyond the
idea floated some years ago of a "G2" (a US-China special relationship). The G2 idea
was based on faulty thinking: of U.S.-Chinese ties as isolated from the rest of the
world. This time, the concept is more comprehensive, and in many ways reassuring,
because it accepts US leadership for both the U.S. and for the many countries that
feared being left out of the new strong bond between Washington and Beijing.

A2 Surveillance K2 Heg
1) Satellite Surveillance checks back
2) Extend Freedberg 12, card 4, from the 1AC Advantage 1.
These missions are causing over-stretch than undermine the
effectiveness of the US military.
3) Heg != Actual military capacity. Its more about perception.
Navy has a much bigger impact on perception than
surveillance planes

Japan DA
1) Link Turn Japan hates Chinese involvement in the South
China Sea. The plan is perceived as massive win for them, even
without consultation. It improves Japan-China relations
2) No Link There is no tangible way that the plan would affect
trade between Japan and China, thus it cant change their
relations which you claim are predicated on trade
3) No escalation to war between China and Japan Relations
improving rapidly Uniqueness overwhelms the link
Akio Takahara, The University of Tokyo 9 September 2015 Are JapanChina
relations sweetening or souring http://www.eastasiaforum.org/2015/09/09/arejapan-china-relations-sweetening-or-souring/

Simply put, the momentum should continue while Xi stays firmly at the helm. The four factors that brought about

although strategic
competition is intensifying due to Chinas rapid military build-up and active
maritime advancement, neither of the two countries wishes to go to war . In May and
the rapprochement between the two countries since 2014 have not been lost. First,

June 2014, there were two consecutive near-miss incidents between military aircraft over the East China Sea. One
such incident would have been concerning enough, but to have two near-miss incidents was very alarming indeed.
Both Japan and China realised that they must resume active dialogue to avoid any accidents that would escalate
the situation. Second,

Chinas economic slowdown is a reality and many localities are suffering from

accumulated bad loans and fiscal deficit. Japan remains an important economic partner for China,
especially in these times of need. But after Japan nationalised the Senkaku/Diaoyu Islands in 2012, violent antiJapanese demonstrations led to Japanese businesses being destroyed, burned and looted. It was estimated that the

Chinese leadership
realised that tension in the political relationship was one factor discouraging Japanese
enterprises from investing in China. Third, China is facing difficulties promoting its new type of major
damage to Japanese businesses in China amounted to 10 billion yen (US$80 million). The

country relations with the United States. The two countries agree to cooperate and expand their mutual interests in
economic, environmental and other areas, but strategic competition is intensifying in the Western Pacific and
extending into areas such as cyberspace and space.

The tense relations with the US helped


prompt China to refocus on neighbourhood diplomacy and rebalance toward Japan. Fourth, Xi Jinping
has consolidated his domestic power base through his anti-corruption campaign and by heading newly established
policy-making institutions. He has no reason to worry about domestic criticism if he adjusts his attitude towards
Japan. While a soft policy toward Japan has traditionally been an easy target for political rivals to criticise the Party
leadership, Xi has already established his power and authority, and his image of a tough leader.

4) Japan-US relations high now. Uniqueness overwhelms the


link

BRUCE STOKES APRIL 14, 2015 http://foreignpolicy.com/2015/04/14/united-statesjapan-relationship-poll-washington-tokyo/


this is a pivotal year in U.S.-Japan relations . As the two nations mark the 70th anniversary of the
end of World War II in August, it is a moment for both the American and Japanese publics to reflect on the past
but also, with Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe visiting the United States in late April, to take the temperature of
the current bilateral relationship and to consider its future. As both countries face the rising strategic and economic
challenge posed by China, the United States is explicitly rebalancing its international posture toward Asia. Japan has
fractious relations with U.S. ally South Korea over unresolved issues involving their mutual history, and with U.S.
adversary China over both history and territorial disputes. At the same time, to the consternation of both Seoul and

Tokyo is debating a more active role in collective regional security. And the
United States and Japan are the key economies in an unprecedented effort known
Beijing,

as the Trans-Pacific Partnership to broaden and deepen trade and investment


among Pacific countries that account for more than one-third of the worlds GDP. How
the American and Japanese people see these issues may go a long way toward framing the ongoing relationship of
these onetime foes and now longtime allies. Adversaries in World War II, fierce economic competitors in the 1980s

Americans and Japanese nonetheless share a deep mutual respect


today. Roughly two-thirds of Americans trust Japan either a great deal (26 percent) or a
fair amount (42 percent), according to a new Pew Research Center survey. And three-quarters of
Japanese share a similar degree of trust of the United States , though their intensity is
and early 1990s,

somewhat less (10 percent a great deal, 65 percent a fair amount).

5) No War Japan has almost no military. They spend less than


1% of their GDP on military, incredibly low compared to any
other nation. They would NEVER escalate anything to war.

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