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CELE
EA
TING 20
RA
Y
India
2016
HOTELS IN INDIA
TRENDS & OPPORTUNITIES
Achin Khanna, MRICS
Managing Director
Diksha Chopra
Analyst
HVS.com
HVS | 2nd Floor, Paras Downtown Centre, Golf Course Road, Sector 53, Gurgaon 122 002, INDIA
alterations to the sample set of hotels for the two most recent
years. Resultantly, figures reported for 2014/15 in this
edition have a minor variance from the numbers published
for the same period, last year.
Introduction
The season's first rainfall. A child's first words. Your very
first pay check. Beginnings are a cherished feeling! Why
should it be any different in the world of hotels?
151
150
131
1,000
129
124
128
129
137
133
126
133
160
130
126
122
122
127
127
120
122
124
128
140
120
800
100
600
80
60
400
40
887
1,136
872
1,085
814
993
717
861
551
698
462
586
407
495
349
424
316
397
268
348
252
335
235
312
211
289
215
271
199
256
199
255
174
216
180
232
163
214
122
183
120
182
200
20
-
Number of Hotels
For over two decades, HVS has collated data related to the
hotel performance of the country through the annual Trends
& Opportunities Survey. This report discusses the key
hospitality trends as well as our outlook for the future,
highlighting 13 major Indian markets. It further presents
opportunities in the hospitality industry of specific interest
to investors, developers and hotel operators.
Growing consistently since 1995/96 from just 120 hotels
with about 18,000 branded/organised rooms to a record 887
hotels with a room count of 1,13,622 in 2015/16, the
survey participant base has witnessed an increase of
5,170 rooms since the last survey.
In a bid to maintain strict control on the quality of data
analysed and presented herein, we have made slight
PAGE 2 | 2016 HOTELS IN INDIA TRENDS & OPPORTUNITIES
12.0%
60.0
10.0%
50.0
8.0%
40.0
6.0%
30.0
4.0%
20.0
2.0%
10.0
-
2011/12
2012/13
2013/14
2014/15**
GDP Growth
2015/16*
Inflation (CPI)***
Tourism Overview
The Indian Travel and Tourism Industry has been
instrumental to the nation's economic growth. Over the
years, it has also emerged as a significant source of foreign
exchange and a large employment generator.
The sustained growth of this
industry can be attributed to
the rising middle class,
i n f ra s t r u c t u ra l re fo r m s ,
increase in international
tourist arrivals and tourismfriendly visa policies such as
the extension of e-Tourist Visa
to 150 countries. According to
the World Travel & Tourism
Council's (WTTC's) Economic
Impact 2016 - India report, the
total contribution of Travel and Tourism to the GDP was
`8,309.4 billion (6.3% of the GDP) in 2015. This is projected
to grow by 7.3% to `8,913.6 billion in 2016 and eventually
reach `18,362.2 billion (7.2% of the GDP) by 2026.
According to the World Travel
& Tourism Council's Economic
Impact 2016 - India report, the
total contribution of Travel
and Tourism to the GDP was
`8,309.4 billion (6.3% of the
GDP) in 2015. This is projected
to grow by 7.3% to `8,913.6
billion in 2016 and eventually
reach `18,362.2 billion
(7.2% of the GDP) by 2026.
3
4
6.2% during the past five years. The top three source markets
for India during the period 2013 to 2015 continued to be the
US (15.1%), followed by Bangladesh (14.1%) and the
UK (10.8%).
As an initiative to further
boost inbound tourism, the
Government of India plans to
extend the e-Tourist Visa
facility to an additional 36
countries after witnessing
i n c re m e n t a l g ro w t h i n
tourist arrivals in the first quarter of 2016. On acceptance of
this proposal, the facility will be available to 186 countries. As
per the Ministry of Tourism, a total of 5,40,396 tourists arrived
on an e-Tourist Visa between January and July this year as
compared to 1,47,690 during the same period in 2015 - a
whopping 266% increase.
A total of 5,40,396 tourists arrived
on an e-Tourist Visa between
January and July this year as
compared to 1,47,690 tourists
during the same period in 2015 - a
whopping 266% increase.
80.0%
69.0%
1,00,000
71.4%
68.8%
64.8%
90,000
59.5%
57.2%
80,000
70,000
71.5%
59.5%
63.4%
60.6%
59.3%
57.8%
58.4%
70.0%
59.8%
60.0%
51.6%
50.0%
60,000
50,000
40.0%
40,000
30.0%
30,000
20,000
20.0%
10,000
-
10.0%
Occupancy
World Travel & Tourism Councils (WTTCs) Economic Impact 2016 - India Report
60.4%
59.7%
58.7%
58.2%
5,200
63.1%
61.3%
59.9%
59.8%
66.2%
65.5%
64.5%
64.0%
63.4%
68.0%
64.0%
60.0%
58.6% 58.6%
56.0%
5,000
4,800
52.0%
4,600
4,400
48.0%
4,200
4,000
2011/12
2012/13
2013/14
2014/15
2015/16
44.0%
68.0%
6,000
64.0%
62.2%
60.2% 60.0%
5,800
5,600
58.1%
5,400
5,200
49.5%
5,000
44.8%
44.2%
44.2%
4,600
39.7%
4,400
4,200
52.0%
52.2%
51.9%
4,800
57.1% 56.0%
43.1%
48.0%
44.0%
40.0%
38.9%
36.0%
35.2%
36.5%
4,000
32.0%
2011/12
2012/13
2013/14
2014/15
2015/16
4.2%
* The 2014/15 data has been modied to exclude the performance of irrelevant supply
** Change in 2015/16 expressed as percentage of the gure for 2014/15
Source: HVS Research
1,432
Three-star
Two-star
4.8%
5.4%
2.5%
2,114
2,063
2,063
1,849
1,714
2.7%
3,123
3,039
3,083
3,252
3,354
3,348
3,255
3,530
3,488
3,012
2,212
1,830
1,670
1,669
1,696
1,673
1,505
1,457
3.2%
1,825
1,543
1.8%
4,442
4,361
4,474
4,691
4,905
4,905
4,638
5,745
5,722
5,111
3,847
3,088
2,580
2,246
2,368
2,392
2,168
2,296
3.1%
Four-star
2,538
-0.3%
5,541
5,559
5,720
5,881
6,135
6,380
6,410
7,268
7,652
6,506
4,985
3,897
3,372
3,114
3,277
3,447
3,368
3,516
3,044
Five-star
3,315
2.2%
0.1%
1.8%
8,976
5,541
5,532
8,815
8,727
5,611
5,779
8,982
9,189
6,032
6,513
9,350
9,277
6,489
7,722
11,096
11,200
7,989
7,071
9,778
7,168
5,444
4,299
5,606
4,686
3,569
3,269
4,335
4,668
3,467
3,731
5,102
4,910
3,505
3,903
5,572
4,991
5,613
3,986
3,688
Overall Average
Five-star Deluxe
1.4%
Compounded
Growth
12-Month**
Change
2015/16
2014/15*
2013/14
2012/13
2011/12
2010/11
2009/10
2008/09
2007/08
2006/07
2005/06
2004/05
2003/04
2002/03
2001/02
2000/01
1999/00
1998/99
1997/98
1996/97
* The 2014/15 data has been modied to exclude the performance of irrelevant supply
** Change in 2015/16 expressed as percentage of the gure for 2014/15
Source: HVS Research
Two-star
0.4%
-1.8%
4.3%
60.2%
57.7%
61.0%
59.0%
64.8%
7.6%
64.3%
59.8%
57.9%
56.8%
56.9%
58.5%
55.5%
56.2%
64.7%
68.9%
65.9%
56.7%
59.6%
53.6%
49.7%
48.8%
47.7%
48.2%
47.0%
49.2%
Three-star
-0.4%
6.8%
5.9%
64.8%
61.1%
57.2%
61.2%
59.1%
55.7%
55.4%
57.9%
60.0%
59.1%
61.9%
60.7%
60.3%
58.6%
58.5%
58.5%
68.9%
67.2%
70.2%
71.7%
72.7%
70.4%
71.1%
71.8%
68.7%
66.8%
57.0%
56.4%
52.7%
51.4%
56.1%
58.7%
53.2%
55.7%
56.4%
55.9%
58.2%
58.5%
65.7%
60.5%
Four-star
Five-star
0.0%
-0.2%
4.8%
6.0%
63.4%
64.7%
61.7%
59.8%
58.4%
59.9%
60.1%
57.8%
59.3%
59.8%
60.9%
60.6%
59.5%
61.6%
62.5%
59.5%
68.8%
71.7%
73.0%
71.4%
71.5%
73.8%
71.4%
69.0%
64.8%
65.0%
59.3%
57.2%
51.6%
52.2%
60.9%
57.2%
53.9%
2007/08
2006/07
2005/06
2004/05
2003/04
2002/03
2001/02
2000/01
1999/00
58.3%
60.2%
55.4%
57.1%
62.0%
67.6%
62.9%
1998/99
1997/98
1996/97
Survey Results
2008/09
Five-star Deluxe
2009/10
2010/11
2011/12
2012/13
2013/14
2014/15*
Overall Average
2015/16
12-Month**
Change
Compounded
Growth
Overall Average
705
1,104
2,000
725
1,477
1,939
3,480
2,276
2,320
3,374
702
1,283
1,983
3,354
2,162
1998/99
718
1,153
1,876
2,863
1,889
1999/00
816
1,404
1,934
3,107
2,134
2000/01
843
1,248
1,684
2,437
1,789
2001/02
895
1,267
1,775
2,571
1,870
2002/03
995
1,772
2,252
3,046
2,313
2003/04
1,038
2,217
2,771
4,003
2,966
2004/05
1,458
2,797
3,509
5,290
3,892
2005/06
2,075
3,665
4,567
7,138
5,049
2006/07
52
40
Four-star
Three-star
Exchange Rate
36.3
43
70
91
155
110
90
42.2
37
61
79
128
81
43.5
35
50
77
113
83
44.9
37
53
77
114
73
47.2
36
50
69
99
35
47
65
78
46.0
36
56
73
102
96
44.9
41
69
87
125
122
44.5
50
86
112
161
58
31
20
Five-star
Four-star
Three-star
36.3
20
41
53
42.2
18
34
44
77
50
1998/99
43.5
16
27
43
66
43
1999/00
44.9
18
31
43
69
48
2000/01
47.2
18
26
36
52
38
2001/02
48.2
19
26
37
53
39
2002/03
* The 2014/15 data has been modied to exclude the performance of irrelevant supply
** Change in 2015/16 expressed as percentage of the gure for 2014/15
Exchange Rate
35.4
95
Two-star
63
66
Overall Average
Five-star Deluxe
96
1997/98
1996/97
46.0
22
39
49
66
50
2003/04
44.9
23
49
62
89
66
2004/05
44.5
33
63
79
119
87
2005/06
68
90
48.2
* The 2014/15 data has been modied to exclude the performance of irrelevant supply
** Change in 2015/16 expressed as percentage of the gure for 2014/15
35.4
89
141
Five-star
104
Overall Average
Five-star Deluxe
Two-star
2,257
3,942
5,142
8,030
5,496
2007/08
1,985
3,362
4,250
6,933
4,598
2008/09
1,806
2,797
3,756
5,715
3,861
2009/10
1,959
2,977
3,949
5,694
3,947
2010/11
1,110
1,909
2,942
3,626
5,491
3,575
2011/12
1,091
1,848
2,718
3,257
5,398
3,343
2012/13
43.6
48
84
105
164
116
2006/07
43.6
69
117
149
224
162
40.2
56
98
128
200
137
2007/08
40.2
87
142
190
278
199
45.9
43
73
93
151
100
2008/09
45.9
77
125
158
242
168
47.7
38
59
79
120
81
2009/10
47.7
68
97
134
194
136
45.6
43
65
87
125
87
2010/11
45.6
73
108
140
205
143
48.0
23
40
61
76
114
75
2011/12
48.0
36
70
102
128
192
126
54.5
20
34
50
60
99
61
2012/13
54.5
34
60
86
108
165
106
1996/97 1997/98 1998/99 1999/00 2000/01 2001/02 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13
* The 2014/15 data has been modied to exclude the performance of irrelevant supply
** Change in 2015/16 expressed as percentage of the gure for 2014/15
Two-star
Three-star
Four-star
Five-star
Five-star Deluxe
1997/98
1996/97
1,190
1,817
2,669
3,178
5,438
3,310
92
60.7
21
29
43
53
87
54
2013/14
60.7
34
51
74
94
144
90
61.2
19
30
44
52
89
54
2014/15*
61.2
34
50
71
91
144
65.0
20
31
44
52
89
54
2015/16
65.0
33
48
68
85
138
85
2015/16
1,272
2,008
2,877
3,384
5,803
3,512
2014/15* 2015/16
2013/14 2014/15*
1,258
1,786
2,643
3,185
5,231
3,275
2013/14
0.5%
3.9%
1.4%
0.1%
0.3%
-0.2%
12-Month**
Change
-3.6%
-3.4%
-4.2%
-6.3%
-4.2%
-5.8%
12-Month**
Change
6.9%
10.5%
7.8%
6.5%
6.7%
6.1%
12-Month**
Change
-4.1%
2.4%
1.8%
-0.6%
-0.3%
-1.0%
Compounded
Growth
-2.3%
1.0%
1.4%
-0.2%
-0.1%
-1.1%
Compounded
Growth
3.5%
5.7%
5.2%
2.8%
2.9%
2.2%
Compounded
Growth
2009/10
2010/11
2011/12
1,336
1,336
1,419
1,439
1,439
1,739
1,299
1,293
1,755
2,036
16.0%
4.8%
519
675
800
1,521
1,785
1,975
2,477
2,777
2,944
3,154
7.1%
22.2%
Bengaluru
2,414
3,456
3,889
5,597
5,947
7,713
8,536
10,162
11,117
11,799
6.1%
19.3%
Chennai
2,442
2,826
3,307
3,806
4,066
4,904
6,330
7,105
7,444
7,787
4.6%
13.8%
7,990
9,019
8,625
8,129
9,111
10,697
11,338
12,370
13,193
14,035
6.4%
6.5%
1,980
3,246
3,782
4,559
5,190
5,323
5,323
0.0%
17.9%
28.0%
Ahmedabad
Gurgaon
2013/14
2014/15*
2015/16
Compounded
Growth
2007/08
Agra
2012/13
12-Month**
Change
2006/07
300
351
527
841
1,239
1,322
1,322
0.0%
Goa
2,450
2,768
2,795
3,288
3,375
3,885
4,406
4,703
5,298
5,596
5.6%
9.6%
Hyderabad
1,868
2,554
2,761
3,782
4,036
4,797
5,411
5,734
5,954
6,262
5.2%
14.4%
15.4%
NOIDA
Jaipur
1,388
1,556
1,683
2,472
2,554
3,054
4,129
4,523
4,822
5,040
4.5%
Kolkata
1,354
1,396
1,373
1,520
1,588
1,787
2,163
2,243
2,701
2,701
0.0%
8.0%
Mumbai
7,402
8,454
7,948
9,877
11,303
12,052
12,807
13,022
12,865
13,054
1.5%
6.5%
Pune
Other Cities****
Total
777
1,346
1,518
2,672
4,691
5,672
5,317
6,159
6,137
6,287
2.4%
26.2%
9,345
11,596
12,357
15,412
18,039
21,729
24,642
24,657
26,820
29,226
9.0%
13.5%
39,285
46,982
48,475
61,795
71,531
84,313
94,255
1,01,177
1,07,695
1,13,622
5.5%
12.5%
* Supply tracked in 2014/15 has been modied due to the removal of irrelevant supply
** Change in 2015/16 expressed as percentage of the gure for 2014/15
*** Delhi NCR data (Shaded Por on), rest New Delhi (excluding Gurgaon, NOIDA and Greater NOIDA) data
**** Other Ci es includes all other hotel markets across India
Source: HVS Research
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Number of Rooms
Th
Future Supply
The proposed supply landscape is ever-changing and subject
to several external forces that can often delay project
openings. Thus, HVS adopts a cautious and comprehensive
approach to compute the supply probable to enter the
market over the next five years. The information
conscientiously gathered throughout the year, as well as via
the annual Trends & Opportunities Survey, is examined
thoroughly by the team. The resultant list of projects omits
all superficial statements made to the media or
announcements made by real estate developers or owners to
promote their brand and get greater visibility. The next step
involves filtering the list based on confirmed tie-ups with an
operator, planned number of rooms and anticipated date of
opening. Substantial amount of time and effort is employed
for assessing the probability of completion of each individual
project. Therefore, as an unbiased third party, HVS
meticulously analyses the future supply in the market.
Following last year's methodology, we have sliced the
proposed supply further, contingent on the status of
development. Only the late stage-planned and actively under
construction supply have been included in the list. The
inactive supply, even if announced or signed, has been
removed from the five-year horizon if it's known to be
delayed or abandoned.
It is noteworthy that the pipeline for proposed supply
totaled 1,14,466 rooms back in 2007/08 the highest in
a decade, whereas in 2015/16 it contracted significantly
to 56,912 rooms.
Figure 14 (table and chart) illustrates the branded supply
across the 13 major markets covered in this report.
FIGURE 13: PROMINENT HOTEL OWNERSHIP COMPANIES BY EXISTING INVENTORY (AUGUST 2016)
8,000
7,000
6,000
5,000
4,000
3,000
2,000
1,000
IHCL*
ITC Hotels
EIH Ltd.
Lemon Tree
Hotels Ltd.
K. Raheja
Corp
Roots
Corporation
SAMHI
Apeejay
Surrendra
Group
Duet India
Hotels
Panchshil
Hotels Pvt.
Ltd.
Total Inventory
* IHCL includes Piem Hotels Ltd., Taj GVK Hotels & Resorts Ltd. and other Joint Venture Companies
** Saraf Hotel Enterprises includes Juniper Hotels, Chartered Hotels Pvt. Ltd., Unison Hotels Ltd., Robust Hotels Pvt. Ltd., Asian Hotels (East) Ltd.
Source: HVS Research
FIGURE 14: PROPOSED BRANDED HOTEL ROOMS ACROSS MAJOR CITIES (2015/16 2020/21**)
Existing Supply
2015/16
Proposed
Supply*
Increase in Future
Supply
Active Development of
Supply
Luxury
Upscale
Mid Market
Budget
Extended Stay
Agra
2,036
622
31%
28%
16.1%
32.2%
0.0%
51.8%
0.0%
Ahmedabad
3,154
1,238
39%
71%
23.7%
33.2%
36.6%
6.5%
0.0%
Bengaluru
11,799
5,209
44%
67%
12.8%
39.0%
28.2%
16.5%
3.5%
Chennai
7,787
2,312
30%
100%
0.0%
0.0%
44.0%
44.4%
11.6%
New Delhi
14,035
2,792
20%
92%
19.6%
48.7%
27.3%
4.4%
0.0%
Gurgaon
5,323
1,959
37%
70%
0.0%
34.8%
30.2%
18.0%
17.0%
NOIDA
1,322
2,561
194%
9%
0.0%
45.6%
31.7%
15.3%
7.4%
Goa
5,596
2,062
37%
90%
0.0%
37.3%
28.6%
34.1%
0.0%
Hyderabad
6,262
2,464
39%
32%
0.0%
14.9%
49.0%
26.5%
9.6%
Jaipur
5,040
960
19%
89%
0.0%
27.4%
64.7%
7.9%
0.0%
Kolkata
2,701
3,209
119%
64%
15.3%
34.1%
26.6%
24.1%
0.0%
Mumbai
13,054
4,166
32%
39%
23.6%
19.9%
32.2%
18.7%
5.6%
Pune
6,287
1,965
31%
73%
25.9%
19.8%
37.2%
17.2%
0.0%
Other Cities
29,226
25,393
87%
71%
0.5%
22.0%
48.7%
25.8%
3.0%
1,13,622
56,912
50%
66%
6.5%
26.6%
40.1%
22.9%
3.9%
Total
* Proposed Supply includes 4,286 rooms which have been open for less than six months, and therefore, not included in the exis ng supply
18,000
16,605
16,000
15,265
14,686
14,035
14,000
13,054
11,799
12,000
10,099
10,000
7,787
8,000
7,717
7,445
7,059
6,691
6,262
6,000
5,040
4,744
4,027
4,000
3,154
2,000
6,287
5,890
5,596
5,323
2,701
2,036 2,208
1,322
1,552
Agra
Ahmedabad
Bengaluru
Chennai
New Delhi
Gurgaon
NOIDA
2015/16
Goa
Hyderabad
Jaipur
Kolkata
Mumbai
Pune
2020/21
** The supply for 2020/21 has been computed by adding the ac ve future supply to the exis ng base of rooms in 2015/16
Source: HVS Research
2,768
2,554
1,556
1,396
8,454
1,346
1,388
1,354
7,402
777
9,019
7,990
1,868
2,826
2,442
2,450
3,456
675
519
2,414
1,336
1,336
1,518
7,948
1,373
1,683
2,761
2,795
8,625
3,307
3,889
800
1,419
4,904
4,066
58%
58%
19,476 25,722 21,484 24,909 26,504 26,224 23,141 23,873 23,882 25,393
1,01,971 1,14,466 94,115 89,449 1,02,438 93,355 84,650 68,050 56,270 56,912
6,137
6,287
8,072
8,243
8,054
5,196
7,477
6,159
5,317
12,865 13,054
49%
5,672
5,545
4,645
12,121 10,896
3,118
3,705
9,802
3,511
2,620
7,896
2,584
1,706
1,743
2,005
5,561
2,870
1,119
2,474
1,965
4,691
3,612
3,481
2,859
2,893
2,291
4,166
2,672
9,877
4,025
5,965
3,356
3,433
2,622
67%
3,644
2,701
2,701
2,243
2,163
1,787
1,588
4,867
2,664
5,265
2,422
2,561
3,209
1,520
3,357
2,937
5,713
56%
2,792
56%
4,012
5,040
4,822
4,523
4,129
3,054
2,554
2,154
68%
2,312
1,959
61%
5,209
960
2,472
2,178
5,884
3,353
8,250
1,873
2,084
60%
47%
6,262
5,411
2,406
3,268
2,502
3,311
5,317
32%
622
1,238
58%
3,058
10,619
5,596
5,298
5,954
4,703
5,734
4,406
3,885
4,797
5,302
5,615
5,522
1,736
5,033
5,355
5,818
5,331
6,144
4,945
5,626
7,147
6,213
503
1,026
2,062
990
1,372
3,885
5,995
866
1,857
7,547
12,509
9,819
650
2,550
7,819
667
2,319
510
2,339
6,911
3,375
1,322
1,322
1,239
841
527
351
400
3,058
670
3,664
9,716 10,731
4,036
5,323
5,323
5,190
4,559
3,782
13,193 14,035
3,246
7,787
7,444
6,330
7,713
5,947
7,105
8,536
1,975
1,785
12,882 15,542 10,784
764
2,230
2,036
3,154
1,755
2,944
1,293
2,777
1,299
2,477
1,739
1,439
Ac ve Development of Supply
75%
71%
58%
67%
53%
31%
73%
53%
62%
73%
52%
60%
60%
55%
47%
60%
71%
51%
42%
64%
53%
49%
62%
66%
60%
58%
58%
35%
51%
60%
67%
60%
56%
45%
77%
65%
77%
63%
56%
53%
41%
67%
75%
57%
67%
73%
22%
75%
72%
65%
69%
41%
76%
66%
75%
65%
84%
53%
28%
62%
87%
56%
64%
42%
67%
55%
60%
80%
69%
71%
58%
87%
55%
37%
53%
74%
52%
74%
47%
69%
48%
58%
69%
71%
72%
49%
72%
82%
78%
68%
70%
54%
71%
80%
66%
86%
82%
61%
70%
64%
33%
70%
92%
61%
50%
13%
10%
87%
83%
52%
64%
43%
66%
71%
73%
39%
64%
89%
32%
90%
9%
70%
92%
100%
67%
71%
28%
2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16
2,464
3,782
3,288
300
1,980
8,129
3,806
5,597
1,521
1,439
Proposed Supply
2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16
* Delhi NCR data (Shaded Por on), rest New Delhi (excluding Gurgaon, NOIDA and Greater NOIDA) data
Total
Pune
Mumbai
Kolkata
Jaipur
Hyderabad
Goa
NOIDA
Gurgaon
New Delhi*
Chennai
Bengaluru
Ahmedabad
Agra
2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16
Exis ng Supply
FIGURE 15: DISTRIBUTION OF EXISTING AND PROPOSED BRANDED HOTEL ROOMS ACROSS MAJOR CITIES (2006/07 2015/16)
2,00,000
1,80,000
40,000
1,51,324
1,60,000
1,40,000
1,20,000
1,13,622
1,00,000
80,000
60,000
24,905
20,000
2000/01
Number of Rooms
2015/16
Trendline
2020/21
* The 2014/15 data has been modied to exclude the performance of irrelevant supply
** Change in 2015/16 expressed as percentage of the gure for 2014/15
Delhi NCR data (Shaded Por on) from 1996/97 to 2008/09, New Delhi (without Gurgaon, NOIDA and Greater NOIDA) data from 2009/10 to 2015/16
0.1%
-0.6%
7.1%
65.7%
61.3%
57.4%
58.2%
51.3%
46.7%
50.9%
62.2%
69.5%
83.4%
83.1%
86.4%
68.9%
Pune
1.1%
64.3%
62.4%
62.5%
67.6%
64.5%
64.6%
52.0%
63.4%
69.7%
72.0%
76.2%
77.9%
74.6%
60.6%
65.3%
73.0%
Mumbai
71.0%
3.4%
74.3%
71.8%
0.2%
63.7%
67.0%
1.1%
68.5%
67.8%
71.5%
57.8%
54.8%
62.9%
66.4%
65.4%
62.8%
69.0%
76.4%
75.5%
73.9%
69.5%
61.8%
55.9%
67.5%
0.3%
Kolkata
68.3%
70.0%
70.2%
11.7%
1.8%
58.1%
60.9%
54.5%
57.1%
51.7%
54.3%
54.7%
49.3%
54.0%
55.2%
57.7%
57.3%
57.1%
65.7%
64.7%
65.5%
72.1%
82.0%
65.7%
67.2%
78.7%
75.9%
58.8%
44.9%
68.9%
68.0%
48.3%
55.0%
69.1%
61.3%
47.0%
45.6%
66.0%
53.4%
54.1%
58.4%
Jaipur
55.8%
51.7%
54.8%
Hyderabad
72.2%
72.8%
67.8%
62.5%
59.3%
60.5%
53.6%
60.6%
53.3%
58.6%
59.2%
53.3%
1.0%
-6.0%
6.2%
1.4%
70.7%
50.9%
48.0%
69.7%
68.7%
68.9%
68.5%
53.5%
44.4%
56.2%
67.7%
65.1%
80.7%
74.0%
Goa
61.1%
58.4%
NOIDA
0.0%
-1.3%
-0.5%
4.9%
64.1%
61.1%
58.8%
58.0%
62.0%
66.5%
66.0%
Gurgaon
8.2%
6.4%
62.7%
66.7%
61.7%
58.9%
61.7%
60.9%
60.0%
63.8%
68.7%
68.3%
62.1%
63.1%
67.3%
73.9%
72.8%
74.7%
76.9%
80.8%
78.2%
72.9%
79.1%
73.1%
66.6%
58.3%
60.4%
53.3%
56.5%
64.6%
58.9%
52.9%
65.3%
60.2%
67.3%
New Delhi
64.7%
68.4%
80.2%
Chennai
54.1%
67.2%
65.7%
55.4%
-0.1%
14.0%
66.2%
58.1%
57.7%
55.6%
56.6%
58.4%
53.2%
54.6%
65.3%
72.5%
76.7%
81.4%
78.5%
72.0%
64.3%
69.8%
64.4%
61.2%
67.2%
Bengaluru
59.0%
-0.9%
0.5%
-7.1%
1.8%
54.9%
57.1%
61.5%
53.9%
52.7%
53.7%
59.9%
60.4%
58.9%
57.1%
54.3%
60.2%
55.9%
58.2%
61.2%
52.4%
58.3%
73.3%
67.9%
58.9%
56.0%
69.1%
68.3%
57.1%
50.0%
63.2%
53.8%
30.7%
33.7%
53.2%
55.8%
42.5%
40.1%
50.8%
58.0%
46.4%
71.8%
46.1%
65.8%
1996/97 1997/98 1998/99 1999/00 2000/01 2001/02 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12
2012/13
51.7%
2013/14
Ahmedabad
2014/15* 2015/16
Agra
12-Month** Compounded
Change
Growth
2,473
3,951
6,169
1,836
3,556
6,229
Jaipur
Kolkata
Mumbai
6,297
3,888
2,533
1,579
5,661
3,557
2,514
1,867
3,409
4,932
5,555
2,949
2,414
2,676
3,698
2,902
2,316
2,914
4,338
4,356
2,805
2,603
3,021
2,980
2,774
3,086
4,269
3,323
4,832
4,184
2,917
2,728
2,541
2,754
4,089
3,224
3,752
2,431
2,410
3,012
3,521
4,822
3,240
3,461
3,772
3,985
5,103
3,714
7,470
2,787
4,915
6,041
3,887
4,407
4,870
4,804
6,909
4,357
8,762
3,111
3,622
4,715
6,523
8,738
5,288
5,285
5,962
5,801
9,192
5,378
10,406
3,526
7,946
10,932
6,575
5,664
6,271
6,255
10,429
6,340
9,827
4,351
5,262
8,834
5,710
6,597
8,634
5,632
6,776
4,285
6,243
4,949
8,194
6,408
4,718
5,173
6,056
2,666
2,442
4,028
1,988
4,547
Kolkata
Mumbai
4,257
2,247
1,155
3,651
1,949
1,182
3,589
2,326
1,596
1,600
1,144
1,042
2,565
2,264
1,424
1,642
3,036
1,933
1,848
1,897
1,752
2,105
1,830
3,121
2,213
2,653
1,908
1,225
1,751
1,666
2,470
1,880
3,793
1,720
3,042
3,472
2,236
2,326
2,969
2,491
4,036
2,708
6,081
1,904
4,084
4,603
2,970
2,895
3,993
3,257
5,582
3,407
6,720
2,150
2,028
5,440
6,807
3,992
3,462
4,299
4,223
7,069
5,522
8,155
4,859
3,665
4,120
4,516
7,707
4,616
6,417
7,544
4,017
3,189
3,068
2,394
2,777
* The 2014/15 data has been modied to exclude the performance of irrelevant supply
** Change in 2015/16 expressed as percentage of the gure for 2014/15
Delhi NCR data (Shaded Por on) from 1996/97 to 2008/09, New Delhi (without Gurgaon, NOIDA and Greater NOIDA) data from 2009/10 to 2015/16
Pune
1,279
879
1,072
879
Jaipur
Hyderabad
1,766
1,453
1,678
1,434
2,312
1,997
2,701
1,523
1,216
4,661
6,473
4,648
3,234
3,515
3,829
6,600
4,210
5,181
2,908
2,790
6,034
3,546
3,509
2,642
3,227
3,758
5,932
3,785
3,957
2,327
2,957
5,268
4,108
2,601
2,743
3,654
2,311
5,113
4,377
2,722
2,954
4,100
6,256
1,363
2,177
2,452
2,402
600
1,164
5,547
Goa
1,371
2,503
2,236
2,514
620
1,252
NOIDA
2,958
2,697
New Delhi
2,329
1,948
674
1,527
5,023
2,720
2,839
Chennai
1,920
657
1,374
5,443
2,112
2,107
Bengaluru
884
1,288
Gurgaon
934
1,316
944
1,762
Ahmedabad
Agra
5,810
8,428
6,087
4,539
5,146
5,613
5,958
4,163
7,923
6,049
4,727
5,026
6,162
7,416
7,639
8,174
5,524
6,293
3,917
2,135
5,050
4,232
2,609
2,714
4,220
4,164
4,736
5,212
3,629
3,562
2,347
3,400
1996/97 1997/98 1998/99 1999/00 2000/01 2001/02 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12
7,493
10,679
6,686
5,982
6,297
6,271
9,811
6,677
9,495
5,773
4,540
5,322
4,754
* The 2014/15 data has been modied to exclude the performance of irrelevant supply
** Change in 2015/16 expressed as percentage of the gure for 2014/15
Delhi NCR data (Shaded Por on) from 1996/97 to 2008/09, New Delhi (without Gurgaon, NOIDA and Greater NOIDA) data from 2009/10 to 2015/16
Pune
1,646
1,604
Hyderabad
2,727
4,526
4,115
3,535
3,735
2,164
1,954
2007/08
7,752
2,303
2,347
Goa
2,863
4,626
3,796
3,424
3,602
1,840
2,354
2006/07
7,496
4,913
4,007
New Delhi
3,600
3,025
2,736
1,586
2005/06
NOIDA
3,977
3,540
Chennai
3,254
2,705
1,638
2004/05
7,554
3,451
3,136
Bengaluru
2,220
1,906
2003/04
8,247
1,833
2,678
Ahmedabad
2002/03
Gurgaon
2,027
1,826
Agra
FIGURE 18: KEY OPERATING CHARACTERISTICS BY MAJOR CITIES AVERAGE RATE (`)
2,248
4,856
4,356
2,649
2,394
4,488
2,985
3,958
4,561
3,263
3,314
2,098
3,605
2012/13
3,861
7,550
6,093
4,843
4,854
6,513
6,724
6,831
7,387
5,440
5,960
3,904
6,126
2012/13
2,243
4,795
4,031
2,575
2,354
4,601
3,193
3,861
4,225
2,795
3,104
1,967
3,827
2013/14
3,908
7,158
5,739
4,743
4,556
6,692
5,964
6,569
6,941
5,050
5,379
3,734
6,338
2013/14
3,985
7,363
5,676
4,873
4,689
7,094
5,280
6,242
6,266
4,772
5,430
3,867
6,148
2,359
5,194
3,889
2,586
2,589
4,752
2,604
3,815
4,052
2,844
3,117
2,024
3,988
2,618
5,472
3,890
2,967
2,725
5,013
2,688
4,004
4,182
2,992
3,594
2,123
3,508
2014/15* 2015/16
3,846
7,230
5,734
4,743
4,535
6,819
5,429
6,241
6,568
4,825
5,368
3,753
6,488
2014/15* 2015/16
11.0%
5.4%
0.0%
14.8%
5.3%
5.5%
3.2%
4.9%
3.2%
5.2%
15.3%
4.9%
-12.0%
12-Month**
Change
3.6%
1.8%
-1.0%
2.7%
3.4%
4.0%
-2.7%
0.0%
-4.6%
-1.1%
1.2%
3.1%
-5.2%
12-Month**
Change
2.7%
1.0%
3.6%
5.5%
6.1%
7.1%
-11.4%
-5.0%
2.3%
0.3%
2.8%
1.0%
7.2%
Compounded
Growth
3.3%
0.9%
2.5%
5.3%
5.8%
6.0%
-5.7%
-4.5%
2.4%
1.6%
2.9%
2.0%
6.6%
Compounded
Growth
170
100
176
Kolkata
Mumbai
36.3
42.2
138
88
62
39
73
43.5
130
82
45
43
63
44.9
124
82
65
52
65
47.2
104
72
62
51
57
48.2
54
87
61
57
53
57
46.0
61
95
66
65
60
67
44.9
78
107
72
77
84
89
114
83
166
81
44.5
110
136
87
99
109
43.6
150
200
121
121
137
133
211
155
108
123
239
81
108
98
197
70
131
40.2
197
272
163
141
156
155
259
158
244
108
116
45.9
163
233
146
130
137
137
214
145
207
104
185
120
138
95
121
189
124
149
94
137
47.7
122
177
128
95
108
118
133
45.6
109
180
141
104
114
58
75
81
80
76
Chennai
New Delhi
128
Mumbai
42.2
43.5
84
44.9
80
52
45
93
36
21
51
36
28
26
48.2
38
46.0
42
66
55
54
47.2
41
38
46
40
40
26
37
48
30
35
34
44.9
67
77
50
52
66
56
44.5
91
104
66
65
89
73
125
77
151
43.6
125
156
91
79
99
97
162
92
40.2
137
203
121
91
102
112
192
115
159
79
55
173
76
64
* The 2014/15 data has been modied to exclude the performance of irrelevant supply
** Change in 2015/16 expressed as percentage of the gure for 2014/15
Delhi NCR data (Shaded Por on) from 1996/97 to 2008/09, New Delhi (without Gurgaon, NOIDA and Greater NOIDA) data from 2009/10 to 2015/16
Exchange Rate
36.3
111
56
35.4
35
67
30
Jaipur
Kolkata
26
31
90
45
48
61
45.9
101
141
101
70
76
84
144
91
113
64
126
74
74
55
68
82
47.7
62
110
45.6
51
112
96
60
55
86
65
58
110
130
83
87
51
90
25
39
68
51
61
135
42
38
77
24
39
Goa
Hyderabad
34
49
82
48
39
56
33
27
137
59
42
51
13
24
116
50
55
56
13
27
NOIDA
43
45
52
15
34
114
60
15
31
Gurgaon
37
48
58
60
Bengaluru
23
36
Ahmedabad
31
26
27
50
Agra
Pune
48.0
87
165
126
99
105
54.5
71
139
112
89
89
120
123
155
128
125
136
100
109
72
112
159
170
115
131
82
124
48.0
45
105
88
54
57
88
87
99
109
76
74
49
71
82
49
54.5
41
89
80
60.7
37
79
66
42
39
76
53
55
70
46
51
33
62
64
44
61.2
63
118
94
78
74
112
89
102
107
79
88
61
106
95
65.0
61
113
87
75
72
109
81
96
96
73
83
59
61.2
39
85
64
42
42
78
43
62
66
47
51
33
65
65.0
40
84
60
46
42
77
41
62
64
46
55
33
54
60.7
64
118
95
78
75
110
98
108
114
83
89
62
104
73
84
60
61
39
66
1996/97 1997/98 1998/99 1999/00 2000/01 2001/02 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13
* The 2014/15 data has been modied to exclude the performance of irrelevant supply
** Change in 2015/16 expressed as percentage of the gure for 2014/15
Delhi NCR data (Shaded Por on) from 1996/97 to 2008/09, New Delhi (without Gurgaon, NOIDA and Greater NOIDA) data from 2009/10 to 2015/16
Exchange Rate
35.4
109
52
Jaipur
Pune
68
45
45
66
Goa
Hyderabad
63
93
72
105
62
67
170
85
67
92
78
75
45
79
53
52
41
157
101
85
80
39
50
NOIDA
95
35
61
166
111
79
70
62
38
173
135
113
New Delhi
89
81
53
50
Gurgaon
95
110
89
100
Chennai
Ahmedabad
Bengaluru
56
50
52
76
Agra
1996/97 1997/98 1998/99 1999/00 2000/01 2001/02 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13
FIGURE 20: KEY OPERATING CHARACTERISTICS BY MAJOR CITIES AVERAGE RATE (US$)
4.4%
-0.9%
-5.9%
7.9%
-1.0%
-0.8%
-2.9%
-1.3%
-3.0%
-1.1%
8.4%
-1.4%
-17.3%
12-Month**
Change
-2.6%
-4.2%
-6.9%
-3.4%
-2.8%
-2.2%
-8.6%
-6.0%
-10.3%
-7.0%
-4.9%
-3.1%
-10.9%
12-Month**
Change
0.4%
-2.2%
0.4%
2.2%
2.8%
3.7%
-15.8%
-9.8%
-0.9%
-2.9%
-0.4%
-2.2%
3.7%
Compounded
Growth
1.0%
-2.3%
-0.7%
1.9%
2.5%
2.7%
-10.4%
-9.3%
-0.8%
-1.6%
-0.3%
-1.3%
3.2%
Compounded
Growth
70.0%
25,000
64.7%
63.4%
60.0%
20,000
52.9%
50.0%
40.0%
15,000
30.0%
10,000
20.0%
5,000
10.0%
-
Five-Star Deluxe
RevPAR (`)
Nationwide
Occupancy %
City Trends
Agra is the only city amongst the major hotel markets being
tracked in this survey to have recorded a decline (-12%) in
its RevPAR in 2015/16 as compared to 2014/15. While
the trend appears to be alarming at first sight, a double-digit
(16%) increase in supply was the primary cause of this steep
fall. During the same period, Agra witnessed a reasonable
growth of 7.7% in demand, which somewhat mitigated the
brunt of the huge increase in supply. Demand in the city has
consistently grown over the last few years especially in the
Domestic and MICE segments, bolstered by infrastructure
developments such as the Yamuna Expressway and the
recently started Gatimaan Express connecting New Delhi and
Agra.
Moving forward, infrastructural developments by the state
government such as the Tajganj project, Agra-Lucknow
Expressway and development of the inner ring road are
expected to be completed in the near future. Additionally,
planned projects such as the Agra Street Cafe, Agra Heritage
Centre, Mughal Museum, Taj Orientation Centre, and a theme
park are likely to commence construction shortly.
Resultantly, both connectivity to the city and the
destination's appeal are anticipated to improve, and we
expect tourism to witness sustained expansion, going
forward. On the supply front, of the 622 new hotel rooms
planned in the city, only 172 are likely to commence
operations over the next few years. Thus, with continual
infrastructure development and diminishing supply, we
believe that the hotel market will gradually improve in the
coming years.
Ramada Plaza Agra
Taj Santacruz
Demand in the city has steadily expanded over the last few
years, and this increment has primarily been noted in the
MICE segment. Being India's 'Gateway to the East', Kolkata's
connectivity and infrastructure are able to support
MICE-driven demand. Events and weddings comprise a large
share of demand for the city, and a lucrative opportunity for
hotels lies in this segment. Furthermore, upcoming hotels
such as the JW Marriott, Westin and ITC Royal Bengal, which
are planned to offer extensive meeting and conferencing
facilities, are expected to enhance MICE demand in the city by
attracting large events and conferences. However, since all
these hotels are anticipated to open in the next two-year
horizon, it is likely that marketwide performance may come
under some duress. On the whole, even as we believe that the
hotels in Kolkata are bracing for a rough ride in the
short-to-medium term, we expect the city to absorb the
additional supply and position itself as a leading destination
for MICE in the long term.
In 2015/16, Mumbai achieved the highest occupancy
(74.3%) recorded over the past five years amongst the 13
cities tracked in this survey. This continued upward trend
in occupancy is testament to the inherent strength and robust
nature of demand in the market. Additionally, Mumbai
recorded the highest average rate (`7,363) steering it clear as
the best performing hotel market in terms of RevPAR too
(`5,472). A further dissection of Mumbai's micro-markets,
namely South, Central and North Mumbai that have minimal
overlap in room night demand, reveals that all three exhibited
an increase in occupancy by 7.8%, 9.7% and 0.9%,
The drop in average rate of 4.6% for the most part has been on
account of Central, South and East Delhi hotels dipping their
rate in an attempt to tackle the supply pressure from the
Aerocity hotels. Relocation of large scale events such as
Defense Exposition and PetroTech, which had a significant
impact on demand for hotels in Delhi and NCR to other Indian
cities has further had an adverse impact on the average rate.
New Delhi's hotel market is expected to see a supply addition
of approximately 2,600 rooms (active supply) over the next
two-to-five years, with the majority of supply being in the
upscale and mid market positioning. Going forth, the budget
and mid market hotels in the Aerocity District will continue to
absorb demand from the unbranded/unorganised segment.
Robust demand coupled with moderate supply, provides an
opportunity to the hotels in the aforementioned micromarkets to concentrate on increasing average rate. Overall,
the outlook for the New Delhi market remains positive.
PAGE 20 | 2016 HOTELS IN INDIA TRENDS & OPPORTUNITIES
As some Tier I markets reach moderate levels of supplysaturation, hotel brands are increasingly employing the
conversion route as a means of expansion. Interestingly,
this may present an opportunity for both hotel developers
and hotel brands to expand their footprint in Tier II and
Tier III cities. With land costs being relatively more
affordable, and connectivity improvements (both by land
and air), these locations are becoming more desirable for
In Closing
India's hotel sector has now unequivocally entered the next
up-cycle. Prudent, measured, yet assertive decision making
by the industry's stakeholders is now required. The only
thing worse than a bad decision is taking no decision! We
conclude this year's report with the hope that hotel owners,
operators, lenders and advisors will all jointly appreciate
the opportunity ahead and make decisive plans to capitalise
on it.
1
0
2
David Scowsill, President & CEO, World Travel & Tourism Council
Rakesh Sarna, Managing Director & CEO, Taj Hotels Resorts & Palaces
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