CO

Presidential Election Survey

Conducted 10/31-11/3
1150+ Respondents
Likely General Election Voters
Margin of Error: +/- 3.02
Response Rate: 3.20%
Confidence: 95%
Response Distribution: 50%

Overall Survey
Primary Ballot Test
Other/
Undecided
1.99%
Clinton
44.77%

Stein
3.87%
Johnson
5.04%
Trump
44.33%

Page 1 of 9

Secondary Ballot Test

Which candidate do you think most
of your neighbors are voting for?
Stein
2.56%
Johnson
4.65%

Else
3.71%

Clinton
42.72%
Trump
46.36%

Age Ranges
18-25
9.76%
62+
24.25%

26-35
16.05%

56-61
12.89%
46-55
19.60%

36-45
17.45%

Page 2 of 9

Seniors (62+)
Johnson
1.44%
Stein
0.44%

Other/
Undecided
1.13%
Clinton
46.95%

Trump
50.05%

Ages 56-61
Stein
1.69%
Johnson
2.27%

Other/
Undecided
2.38%
Clinton
46.21%
Trump
47.46%

Page 3 of 9

Ages 46-55

Johnson
4.78%

Other/
Undecided
1.47%

Stein
2.98%

Clinton
46.98%
Trump
43.79%

Ages 36-45
Other/
Undecided
2.99%
Stein
5.58%

Clinton
43.89%

Johnson
9.47%
Trump
38.06%

Page 4 of 9

Ages 26-35
Other/
Undecided
3.42%
Stein
6.58%

Clinton
45.52%

Johnson
3.49%
Trump
40.99%

Ages 18-25
Stein
9.58%

Other/
Undecided
0.50%

Johnson
12.77%

Clinton
33.34%

Trump
43.81%

Page 5 of 9

Self-Identified Gender

Male
46.97%
Female
53.03%

Self Identified Race/Ethnicity

Other
2.05%

Black
2.91%

Asian
2.62%
LaPno
9.42%
White
83.00%

Page 6 of 9

Survey Question #1
Likely voters whose most recent
general election was 2008 and forward
Johnson
5.22%

Stein
4.18%

Other/
Undecided
1.75%
Clinton
44.71%
Trump
44.14%

Survey Question #1
Likely voters whose most recent
general election was 2006 and before
Johnson
4.05%

Stein
2.17%

Other/
Undecided
3.28%
Clinton
45.10%
Trump
45.40%

Page 7 of 9

Survey Question #2
Likely voters whose most recent
general election was 2008 and forward

Johnson
4.56%

Stein
2.55%

Else
3.41%

Clinton
42.45%
Trump
47.03%

Survey Question #2
Likely voters whose most recent
general election was 2006 and before
Johnson
4.83%

Else
5.13%

Stein
2.17%

Clinton
36.80%

Trump
51.08%

Page 8 of 9

Methodology
Likely general election voters were selected at random from a list of registered voters based
on election participation and registration date. Household ages and locations were extracted
as well from this list. In excess of 45,000 households were called over the duration of the
poll. Each household participant was asked to opt-in to the survey if they planned to vote in
the 2016 Presidential Election.
Using automated voice response technology allows each participant to hear the questions
exactly the same way, from the same voice, spoken with the same tone and nuance. Calls are
placed to randomly-selected phone numbers through a stratified process that insures
approrpiate geographic representation. These calls were placed from 6:00pm to 8:30pm
local time from Monday, October 31st though Wednesday, November 2nd.
Survey results undergo a weighting process to ensure the sample is comparable to the
demographic breakdown of 2012 Colorado general election participants. Final results are
based on these weights in order to address non-response bias. In addition, the final
published ballot test is a combination of survey respondents to both a standard ballot test
and a ballot test guaging where respondent's neighbors stand. This addresses the underlying
bias of traditional polling, wherein respondents are not wholly truthful about their position
regarding highly controversial candidates.
For more information, please contact info@trf-grp.com.

Page 9 of 9

APPENDIX CROSSTABS I
18-25
Clinton 33.34%
Trump
43.81%
Johnson 12.77%
Stein
9.58%
Other/Undecided
0.50%
18-25
100%
26-35
0%
36-45
0%
46-55
0%
56-61
0%
62+
0%
Male
60.35%
Female 39.65%
Black
0.62%
White
82%
Latino
10%
Asian
5%
Other
2.01%

26-35
45.52%
40.99%
3.49%
6.58%
3.42%
0%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
37.98%
62.02%
1.54%
75.47%
15.78%
3.33%
3.89%

36-45
43.89%
38.06%
9.47%
5.58%
2.99%
0%
0%
100%
0%
0%
0%
52.33%
47.67%
4.97%
81.00%
10.15%
2.51%
1.38%

46-55
46.98%
43.79%
4.78%
2.98%
1.47%
0%
0%
0%
100%
0%
0%
54.03%
45.97%
4.23%
83.11%
7.17%
3.66%
1.83%

56-61
46.21%
47.46%
2.27%
1.69%
2.38%
0%
0%
0%
0%
100%
0%
43.88%
56.12%
2.52%
84.96%
8.84%
1.64%
2.04%

62+
46.95%
50.05%
1.44%
0.44%
1.13%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
100%
39.62%
60.38%
2.41%
88.55%
6.46%
1.07%
1.52%

Black
68.57%
27.27%
2.74%
0.00%
1.43%
2.08%
8.47%
29.79%
28.48%
11.14%
20.04%
46.97%
53.03%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%

White
43.15%
46.37%
4.43%
4.17%
1.88%
9.68%
14.59%
17.03%
19.63%
13.19%
25.88%
48.13%
51.87%
0%
100%
0%
0%
0%

Latino
54.83%
36.31%
7.03%
0.00%
1.83%
10.71%
26.87%
18.79%
14.92%
12.10%
16.62%
34.27%
65.73%
0%
0%
100%
0%
0%

Asian
37.80%
34.92%
14.61%
12.66%
0.00%
17.51%
20.41%
16.70%
27.43%
8.08%
9.87%
48.67%
51.33%
0%
0%
0%
100%
0%

Other
39.09%
35.02%
11.65%
3.95%
10.29%
9.57%
30.44%
11.72%
17.47%
12.82%
17.99%
56.43%
43.57%
0%
0%
0%
0%
100%

APPENDIX CROSSTABS II
Clinton
Clinton
100%
Trump
0%
Johnson
0%
Stein
0%
Other/Undecided
0%
18-25
7.27%
26-35
16.32%
36-45
17.10%
46-55
20.57%
56-61
13.30%
62+
25.44%
Male
45.37%
Female 54.63%
Black
4.46%
White
80.00%
Latino
11.54%
Asian
2.21%
Other
1.79%

Trump
0%
100%
0%
0%
0%
9.65%
14.84%
14.98%
19.36%
13.80%
27.38%
46.41%
53.59%
1.79%
86.81%
7.72%
2.06%
1.62%

Johnson
0%
0%
100%
0%
0%
24.75%
11.12%
32.81%
18.61%
5.80%
6.92%
55.55%
44.45%
1.58%
72.92%
13.16%
7.60%
4.74%

Stein
0%
0%
0%
100%
0%
24.15%
27.25%
25.15%
15.09%
5.63%
2.73%
66.48%
33.52%
0.00%
89.35%
0.00%
8.56%
2.09%

Other/Undecided

0%
0%
0%
0%
100%
2.45%
27.64%
26.26%
14.47%
15.43%
13.74%
35.81%
64.19%
2.09%
78.62%
8.67%
0.00%
10.62%

Male
43.24%
43.80%
5.96%
5.48%
1.52%
12.54%
12.98%
19.44%
22.55%
12.04%
20.46%
100%
0%
2.91%
85.04%
6.87%
2.71%
2.46%

Female
46.12%
44.81%
4.22%
2.45%
2.41%
7.30%
18.77%
15.68%
16.99%
13.64%
27.62%
0%
100%
2.91%
81.19%
11.68%
2.54%
1.68%