Академический Документы
Профессиональный Документы
Культура Документы
DAILY
EXPIRY
R4
R3
R2
R1
PP
S1
S2
S3
S4
ALUMINIUM
30-NOV-2016
120
118
117
116
115
114
113
112
111
COPPER
30-NOV-2016
348
343
338
336
333
331
328
323
318
CRUDE OIL
18-NOV-2016
3201
3118
3035
2988
2952
2905
2869
2786
2703
GOLD
05-DEC-2016
31274
31022
30770
30663
30518
30411
30266
30014
29762
LEAD
30-NOV-2016
143
143
141
139
137
135
133
131
129
NATURAL GAS
25-NOV-2015
201
196
191
188
186
183
181
176
171
NICKEL
30-NOV-2016
720
713
706
702
69699
695
692
685
678
SILVER
05-DEC-2016
45233
44603
43973
43685
43343
43055
42713
42083
41453
ZINC
30-NOV-2016
172
169
166
165
163
162
160
157
154
R4
R3
R2
R1
PP
S1
S2
S3
S4
EXPIRY
ALUMINIUM
30-NOV-2016
142
133
126
119
112
110
105
98
91
COPPER
30-NOV-2016
372
365
350
335
329
320
314
305
290
CRUDE OIL
15-NOV-2016
4301
3888
3475
3208
3062
2795
2649
2236
1823
GOLD
05-DEC-2016
32696
31926
31156
30857
30386
30087
29616
28846
28076
LEAD
30-NOV-2016
150
146
142
141
138
137
134
130
126
NATURALGA
S
25-NOV-2015
280
251
222
204
193
175
164
135
106
NICKEL
30-NOV-2016
743
728
713
705
698
690
683
668
653
SILVER
05-DEC-2016
48903
47039
45175
44287
43311
42423
41447
39583
37719
ZINC
30-NOV-2016
180
174
168
166
162
160
156
150
144
EXPIRY
R4
R3
R2
USDINR
26-OCT2016
67.30
67.20
67.10
EURINR
26-OCT2016
74.60
74.50
GBPINR
26-OCT2016
83.90
JPYINR
26-OCT2016
64.70
DATE
R1
PP
S1
S2
S3
S4
67
66.90
66.80
66.7
0
66.60
66.5
0
74.40
74.3
0
74.20
74.10
74
73.90
73.8
0
83.80
83.70
83.6
0
83.50
83.40
83.3
0
83.20
83.1
0
64.60
64.50
64.4
0
64.30
64.20
64.1
0
64
63.9
0
EXPIRY
R4
R3
R2
R1
PP
S1
S2
S3
S4
USDINR
26-OCT2016
67.70
67.5
0
67.30
67.1
0
66.90
66.70
66.5
0
66.30
66.10
EURINR
26-OCT2016
75
74.8
0
74.60
74.4
0
74.20
74
73.8
0
73.60
73.40
GBPINR
26-OCT2016
84.30
84.1
0
83.90
83.7
0
83.50
83.30
83.1
0
82.90
82.70
JPYINR
26-OCT2016
65.10
64.9
0
64.70
64.5
0
64.30
64.10
63.9
0
63.70
63.50
EXPIRY
R4
R3
R2
R1
PP
S1
S2
S3
S4
SYOREFIDR
20-DEC-2016
687
682
677
675
672
670
667
662
657
SYBEANIDR
20-DEC-2016
327
8
3232
318
6
3159
3140
3113
3094
3048
3002
RMSEED
20-DEC-2016
499
7
4867
473
7
4689
4607
4559
4477
4347
4217
JEERAUNJHA
20-DEC-2016
190
47
1864
7
182
47
18093
1784
7
1769
3
1744
7
1704
7
1664
7
GUARSEED10
20-DEC-2016
351
4
3466
341
8
3391
3370
3343
3322
3274
3226
TMC
20-DEC-2016
752
1
7421
732
1
7281
7221
7181
7121
7021
6921
DATE
EXPIRY
R4
R3
R2
R1
PP
S1
S2
S3
S4
SYOREFIDR
20-DEC-2016
725
706
687
680
668
661
649
630
611
SYBEANIDR
20-DEC-2016
3445
334
5
3245
318
3
3145
3083
3045
2945
2845
RMSEED
20-DEC-2016
5165
497
2
4779
471
0
4586
4517
4393
4200
4007
JEERAUNJHA
20-DEC-2016
1992
7
191
97
1846
7
182
03
1773
7
1747
3
17007
1627
7
1554
7
GUARSEED10
20-DEC-2016
3684
357
8
3472
341
7
3366
3311
3260
3154
3048
TMC
20-DEC-2016
7670
751
4
7358
730
0
7202
7144
7046
6890
6734
DATE
ENERGY
Oil prices edged up in early trading on Friday, stabilising after five straight days of falls triggered
by a surge in U.S. crude inventories and doubts over the ability of oil producers to coordinate an
output cuts. International Brent crude oil futures LCOc1 were trading at $46.50 per barrel at
0036 GMT, up 15 cents, or 0.3 percent, from their last close. U.S. West Texas Intermediate
futures were at $44.83, up 17 cents, or 0.4 percent. Despite the slight increases, traders said
market sentiment was bearish. Brent futures fell for the past five straight trading sessions and is
down about 13.5 percent since its most recent peak in mid-October. Analysts said markets were
also weighed down by traders pulling out money from crude futures ahead of the upcoming U.S.
presidential elections, which are seen as a risk to global markets. "I suspect the main drivers are
that risk is being taken off the table ahead of next week's election and the continuance of long
liquidation," said Jeffrey Halley, senior market analyst at OANDA brokerage in Singapore.
Beyond concerns ahead of the U.S. elections, traders said oil market fundamentals were also
weak, with U.S. crude stocks surging, demand growth low, and doubts that the Organization of
the Petroleum Exporting Countries and non-OPEC producer Russia can agree on a meaningful
output cut later this month."Crude oil continued to sell off with new data raising concerns of an
expanding surplus... Investors also continued to fret about OPEC failing to reach an agreement
on production cuts," ANZ bank said on Friday.
U.S. crude oil stockpiles soared more than 14 million barrels last week, the largest weekly build
since the U.S. Energy Department started keeping records in 1982, highlighting that a global fuel
supply overhang is far from over. oil production remains near records and inventories are high,
British bank Barclays said demand growth was timid. "Q3 16 demand growth rate is less than
one-third that of the same quarter last year," Barclays bank said in a note to clients, estimating
last quarter's growth below 1 million barrels per day (bpd). It said consumption increases for the
last quarter of the year would not be much higher, before averaging 1.3 million bpd in 2017.
Oil prices settled down more than 1 percent on Thursday as investors reeled from a record
weekly surge in U.S. crude inventories, and remained skeptical about whether OPEC can
actually implement its planned output cap.U.S. crude CLc1 fell 68 cents, or 1.5 percent, to settle
at $44.66 per barrel. At one point, oil had fallen more than $1 a barrel and hit a session low of
$44.37. Brent crude LCOc1 was down 51 cents, or 1.1 percent, at $46.35 a barrel. It hit a session
low of 45.99.Traders said energy monitoring service Genscape reported a weekly build of 1.2
million barrels at the U.S. delivery base in Cushing, Oklahoma. That kept a lid on oil prices a
day after crude fell to a five-week low, when U.S. data on Wednesday showed stockpiles of oil
surged a record 14 million barrels last week. Thursday, prices were also pressured as U.S.
equities fell, with the S&P 500 stock index headed for its longest losing streak since the 2008
financial crisis. Oil ministers from the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries
(OPEC) meet on Nov. 30 in Vienna to agree on a production cap to reduce a global glut and
combat low prices.Market watchers have grown skeptical that a concrete deal can be reached or
enforced. OPEC has not made clear how much each member should cut, and several have been
resistant. A Reuters survey this week based on shipping data and industry sources indicated that
OPEC output probably set a record high in October. got this rally a few weeks ago, recent weeks
on the expectation that we'll see some cohesive cut coming through from OPEC, but that's been
slowly unwound," said Matt Smith, director of commodity research at energy data provider
ClipperData. News of an attack on a Nigerian pipeline, which sources say cut output by at least
200,000 barrels, lent some support to crude prices. Nigeria, Africa's largest crude producer, has
been hamstrung in months by rebel activity. prices have been falling for four days and have not
recovered to levels reached in October after the preliminary agreement by OPEC to cap
production, reached at a meeting in Algiers. "If there were broadly three drivers propelling oil
prices from about $45 per barrel ahead of Algiers to $53 - OPEC expectations, inventories and a
more or less benign macro environment - they suddenly seem spent," Credit Suisse analysts said
in a note.
BASE METAL
Copper futures traded a shade lower at Rs 328.20 per kg as speculators trimmed positions,
tracking a weak trend overseas and muted spot demand. At the Multi Commodity Exchange,
copper for delivery in current month declined by 15 paise or 0.05 per cent to Rs 328.20 per kg in
business turnover of 854 lots. Similarly, the metal for delivery in February contracts shed 15
paise or 0.04 per cent to Rs 333.65 per kg in 4 lots. Analysts attributed the fall in copper futures
to weak trend in global markets where copper weakened and fall in demand at the domestic spot
markets here. Meanwhile, Copper for delivery in three month fell 0.4 per cent at the London
Metal Exchange.
Nickel prices went up 0.96 per cent to Rs 703 per kg in futures trade as speculators raised their
bets, driven by rising demand at the domestic spot markets amid a firming trend in base metals at
the London Metal Exchange. In futures trading at the Multi Commodity Exchange, nickel for
delivery in November spurted Rs 6.70, or 0.96 per cent, to Rs 703 per kg, in a business turnover
of 898 lots. The metal for delivery in December was trading higher by Rs 6.70, or 0.95 per cent,
to Rs 708.50 per kg in 11 lots. Analysts said the rise in nickel prices at futures trade was mostly
attributed to strong demand from alloy makers at the domestic spot markets coupled with a
strength in base metals at the London Metal Exchange (LME) after China's economy stabilised in
the third quarter, to bolster the outlook for commodities demand. Nickel prices went up by 0.56
per cent to Rs 694.80 per kg in futures trade as speculators raised their bets, driven by a firming
trend at the domestic spot markets on pick-up in demand. In futures trading at the Multi
Commodity Exchange, nickel for delivery in current month spurted Rs 3.90, or 0.56 per cent, to
Rs 694.80 per kg, in a business turnover of 985 lots. The metal for delivery in December was
trading higher by Rs 3.40, or 0.49 per cent, to Rs 700 per kg in 22 lots. Analysts said a firming
trend at the domestic spot markets following increased demand from alloy-makers mainly
pushed up nickel prices at futures trade here.
Aluminium prices edged lower by 0.39 per cent to Rs 115.50 in futures trade as speculators
booked profits at prevailing levels. At the Multi Commodity Exchange, aluminium for delivery
in November eased by 45 paise, or 0.39 per cent to Rs 115.50 per kg in a business turnover of
704 lots. Similarly, the metal for delivery in December shed 25 paise, or 0.21 per cent to Rs
116.05 per kg in 6 lots. Market analysts said besides profit-booking by participants, fall in
demand from consuming industries in the spot market, mainly influenced aluminium prices at
futures trade. At the Multi Commodity Exchange, zinc for delivery in December was trading
higher by Rs 1.05, or 0.64 per cent, to Rs 165.50 per kg, in a business turnover of 59 lots. The
metal for delivery in November rose Re one, or 0.61 per cent, to trade at Rs 164.90 per kg in
1,009 lots. Globally, zinc for delivery in three months rose 2.6 per cent to settle at USD 2,458 per
tonne at the London Metal Exchange yesterday, after touching USD 2,479.50, the highest since
August 2011. Market analysts attributed the rise in zinc futures to fresh bets created by
participants on the back of rising demand at the domestic spot market and metal climbing to over
five-year highs at the LME with investors betting that a rebound in demand from China will
underpin prices.
NCDEX - WEEKLY MARKET REVIEW
Heavy rain forecast for AP, Odisha coasts as depression lingers in Vicinity The depression in the
west-central Bay of Bengal lay 240 km south-east of Visakhapatnam and 520 km southsouthwest of Paradip on Friday evening. It was 880 km south-southwest of Khepupara in
Bangladesh, where it is headed for landfall as a deep depression, a stepdown from a tropical
cyclone forecast earlier. The intensification may happen after it recurves away to the North-East
from the Andhra Pradesh coast, skirting both the Odisha and Bengal coasts, according to the Met
Department. The proximity to the East Coast should bring light to moderate, at times heavy, rain
to the coastal areas of these three States until Sunday, the Met said. The US Joint Typhoon
Warning Centre , too, has officially cancelled its outlook for any further strengthening of the
depression. It is noted that the system is encountering increasing wind shear as it prepares to
recurve to the North-East. Wind shear refers to the sudden change in wind speed and direction
with height.
Rabi sowing 8.3% lower on drop in acreage of pulses, coarse cereals Sowing of key rabi crops
(winter crops), such as wheat, mustard and gram, has begun in major producing States.
According to the Agriculture Ministry, sowing has taken place so far on about 81.55 lakh ha,
which is about 8.3 per cent lower than the corresponding period last year. Rabi planting generally
starts in early October and goes on till late January. The decline in acreage so far is largely
because of a drop in the area under pulses and coarse cereals. However, sowing is expected to
accelerate as the season advances. The acreage under wheat the main rabi cereal as on
November 4 stood at 4.28 lakh hectares, higher than the 2.76 lakh hectares sown during the same
period last year. Planting of rice stood at 9.51 lakh ha (6.25 lakh ha). The acreage under oilseeds
was highest at 29.79 lakh ha (19.91 lakh ha). Mustard is the main oilseed crop grown during the
rabi season, while chana or gram is the main pulses crop. Sowing of pulses was down at 24.16
lakh ha (30.07 lakh ha). Coarse cereal acreage declined to 13.84 lakh ha (29.92 lakh ha). A near
normal South-West monsoon this year after two consecutive droughts has led to improved soil
moisture levels and comfortable water storage levels across major parts of the country, which
should aid the rabi planting. Delayed crushing in western States pulls down Oct sugar production
Sugar production in the country in October 2016 -- the first month of the ongoing sugar season -dropped sharply by 44 per cent to 1.04 lakh tonnes compared to the same month last year as
Maharashtra and Gujarat delayed production. vIn all, 28 mills have started crushing as on
October 31 2016, as against 65 in 2015-16 sugar season same time, according to industry body
Indian Sugar Mills Association. During 2016-17, Maharashtra mills delayed their crushing
operations to get the cane matured further to get better sugar recovery from standing cane,
according to an official release. These mills are now expected to start crushing from November
5, 2016. Similarly, Gujarat mills are expected to start this week, the release added. With the
carryover stock of 77 lakh tonnes as on October 1 2016 and estimated sugar production of 234
lakh tonnes, total sugar available in the country during 2016-17 sugar season would be around
311 lakh tonnes against the estimated consumption of 255 lakh tonnes, according to ISMA
estimates.
Sugar
Sugar Futures closed down last week due to subdued physical demand and expectation of
sufficient supplies in the country. However, the price recovered on Friday on reports of lower
sugar production in October compared to last year. The most-active December sugar contract
closed 0.44% higher on Friday to settle at 3,441 per quintal. Sugar production in the country in
October 2016 -- the first month of the ongoing sugar season -- dropped sharply by 44 per cent to
1.04 lakh tonnes compared to the same month last year as Maharashtra and Gujarat delayed
production As per ISMAs first media release, during 2016-17 SS, Maharashtra mills delayed
their starting so as to get the cane matured further to get better sugar recovery from standing
cane. These mills are now expected to start crushing from 5th November, 2016. Similarly,
Gujarat mills are expected to start this week. The carryover stock as on 1st October is pegged at
77 lt and production is estimated at 234 lt in 2016-17 SS. Thus, total sugar available in the
country during 2016-17 SS would be around 311 lt, against the estimated consumption of 255 lt.
Moreover, government is looking to enhance domestic supplies by reduce import duty if the
prices domestic market increase. Central government is exploring the option of lowering the 40%
import duty on the sweetener in its raw form. Due to droughts, sugar production in Maharashtra
is likely to drop nearly 40 percent to 5 million tonnes in the 2016/17 season started on Oct. 1
compared with a year earlier.
Soybean
Soybean futures closed lower last week due to higher arrivals of soybean in the physical markets.
The prices have dropped below the MSP in States of MP and Gujarat. The most-active Nov16
delivery contract closed 1.45% down last week to settle at Rs. 3,069 per quintal. The harvesting
of soybean in full swing and supplies are strong in the physical market. As per SEA recent survey
soybean production in 2016- 17 forecasted at 10.9 mt, up 58% from the last year.
CBOT soybean rose for the second straight session on Friday as investors turned their attention
to export data after a price slide fuelled by big harvest supplies. The USDAs weekly export sales
report support prices, led by brisk Chinese buying of U.S. soybeans. As per USDA, net sales of
2.5 mt for 2016/2017--a marketing-year high--were up 28% from the previous week and 34%
from the prior 4-week average. U.S. soy harvest was 87% complete as on 30 Oct, ahead of the
five-year average of 85 percent but in line with an average of trade expectations. Soybean traders
are also watching crop prospects in South America and expectations for a big Brazilian harvest
are being reinforced by rapid planting followed by beneficial rainfall.
Mustard Seed
Mustard seed futures gain last week due to increase in demand from the industrial consumer for
crushing as winter sets in. However,reports of good progress of sowing in Rajasthan capped
further rise. The Nov16 contract ended 2.74% higher last week to settle at Rs.4,650/quintal. As
per agriculture ministry data, all-India acreage of mustard in the ongoing rabi season was nearly
2.73 mln ha as on Nov 04 up 80% from a year ago. The country's production of rapeseed is
expected to increase by 12.5% to 6.3 mt from a year earlier. The rabi sowing in the largest
mustard producing state, Rajasthan has started. According to government data, Rajasthan has
sown 13.7 lakh hectares as on 24th Oct 2016, up by 191.5% higher compared to last year
acreage.As per the latest USDA monthly report, global rapeseed production for 2016/17 is
forecast at 67.6 mt, up from 66.9 mt last month and down 3 % from 2015/16. Larger crops are
expected from Canada, Australia, and the United States offset a slight decrease for Russia.
Refined Soy Oil
Refined soy oil futures closed lower last week due to pressure on domestic soybean and
International edible oil prices. The most active,Ref Soy oil Nov16 expiry contract closed 0.19%
down to settle at Rs. 667.9 per quintal last week. Though the tariff value of crude soyoil were
raised by $8 per tn to $853 which was the third increase in two month by the government the
domestic prices were traded lower on steady demand and good stocks. Since January 2016, the
base import prices for crude soy oil increase by more than 20% from $720 per tonnes. As per
SEA data, India September crude soyoil import 469,564 tonnes, an increase of 46 % compared to
321,062 tonnes year ago while, India Nov-Sep crude soyoil import 3.96 mt vs 2.58 mt an
increase of 53% y/y for the current oil year. Earlier, India has cut import taxes on both crude
palm oil and refined edible oils by 5% points to 7.5 and15 % respectively.
Jeera
Jeera futures gain for third consecutive day on Friday to close higher last week due to pickup in
physical demand and lower level buying by the market participants. NCDEX Nov16 Jeera
closed 1.75% higher last week to close at Rs 17,715 per quintal..The price trend on the chart
looks positive on reports of dwindling physical supplies and slow start to the new season sowing
in Gujaratand Rajasthan. Moreover, pickup in physical demand and expecting dwindling supplies
in the physical market pushed the prices higher. According Department of commerce data, the
exports of Jeera in the first five months (Apr-Aug) of 2016-17 is at 60,907 tonnes, higher by 62%
compared to last year same time. The exports of jeera during August 2016 increase 65% m/m to
9,003 tonnes while there is also increase exports y/y by 65.7%.
Turmeric
Turmeric futures closed higher during the last week and continue its positive trend due to good
demand from the local buyers as well as expectation of demand upcountry buyers as supplies
may dwindle during next month. Turmeric Nov16 delivery contract on NCDEX closed 1.12%
higher last week to settle at Rs 7,414 per quintal. Currently the supplies are for medium and poor
quality during the restof the season till new crop arrived which may keep the prices sideways to
higher. It is expected that the demand from the industrial buyers will support the prices just
before new season harvesting. On the export front, country exported about 51,147 tonnes of
turmeric during April-August period up by 32% compared last year, as per department of
commerce data. Expectations of increasing production in coming harvesting season and lowering
export demand in recent months are putting pressure on turmeric prices at higher levels.
Turmeric acreage in Telangana and Andhra Pradesh was higher this year as compared last year.
Kapas
Cotton complex prices closed lower last week due to higher arrivals in the physical market
coupled with lower off take from the buyers as prices were at higher levels. Last week, NCDEX
Kapas for Apr17 closed 0.28% lower while MCX Oct16 cotton closed 1.50% down%. The
arrivals have begun in Gujarat, Madhya Pradesh and are expected to pick in Haryana where the
ginners have called off their strike. Industry expects the cotton output to surpass 35-36 million
bales this season. Despite less area under cotton, good monsoon expected to rescue the 2016-17
production. industry are estimating 355 lakh bales 170 kg each for the season 2016-17 (Oct-Sep),
as against the governments first estimate of 321.2 lakh bales. As per CAB, India's cotton output
is seen at 351 lakh bales (1 bale = 170 kg), up 4% from 338 lakh bales a year ago due to good
monsoon and minimum pest infestation. Cotton area is down by 11.6% at 105.6 lh against 116 lh
last year.For the current season, cotton arrivals in the country are pegged at 21 lakh bales as on 2
nd November, 2016. In October, Punjab, Haryana and Rajasthan together account for at 5.82 lakh
bales while Gujarat and Maharashtra added 7.3 lakh bales. Madhya Pradesh too seen about 1.82
lakh bales arrivals. In South India, about 3.36 lakh bales arrivals have been recorded. According
to USDA, production in India is forecast at 26.5 million bales 5.77 mt, up marginally from
2015/16. A rebound in Indias yield is expected to offset a 10-percent reduction in cotton area
this season.
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